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Sampling Distributions

THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:


You have recently joined a Weight Watchers club. Suppose that the number of times you expect to visit the club in a month
is represented by a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 12 and a standard deviation of 2.50.
1) Over the course of the next year, what is the probability that you average more than 13 visits to the club?
A) 0.0823
B) 0.3446
C) 0.4177
D) 0.1554
2) The probability is 85% that you average less than how many visits to the club per month over the course of next
year?
A) 12.50
B) 12.75
C) 11.50
D) 11.75
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
Suppose that 20% of all invoices are for amounts greater than $800. A random sample of 50 invoices is taken.
3) What is the mean and standard error of the sample proportion of invoices with amounts in excess of $800?
A) mean = 0.20, standard error = 0.0032
B) mean = 10, standard error = 0.0598
C) mean = 10, standard error = 0.4472
D) mean = 0.20, standard error = 0.0566
4) What is the probability that more than 22.7% of these 50 invoices are for more than $800?
A) 0.2734
B) 0.2266
C) 0.3156
D) 0.1368
5) What is the probability that at least 25% of these 50 invoices are for more than $800?
A) 0.8106
B) 0.3106
C) 0.1894

D) 0.8894

6) Suppose that 15% of all invoices are for amounts greater than $1,000. A random sample of 60 invoices is taken.
What is the probability that between 13% and 23% of these 60 invoices are for more than $1,000?
A) 0.1664
B) 0.4591
C) 0.6255
D) 0.2019
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
You have recently joined a country club. Suppose that the number of times you expect to play golf in a month is represented
by a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 10 and a standard deviation of 2.4.
7) Over the course of the next year, what is the probability that you average more than 11 games a month?
8) Over the course of the next year, the probability is 85% that you average less than how many games per
month?
9) The number of orders that come into a mail-order sales office each month is normally distributed with a mean
of 298 and a standard deviation of 15.4. For a particular sample size, the probability that the sample mean
exceeds 300 is 0.2. How big must the sample be?
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
The length of time it takes to fill an order at a local sandwich shop is normally distributed with a mean of 4.1 minutes and a
standard deviation of 1.3 minutes.
10) What is the probability that the average waiting time for a random sample of ten customers is between 4.0 and
4.2 minutes?

11) The probability is 95% that the average waiting time for a random sample of ten customers is greater than how
many minutes?
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
It has been found that 62.1% of all unsolicited third class mail delivered to households goes unread. Over the course of a
month, a household receives 100 pieces of unsolicited mail.
12) What is the mean of the sample proportion of pieces of unread mail?
13) What is the variance of the proportion?
14) What is the standard error of the sample proportion?
15) What is the probability that the sample proportion is greater than 0.60?
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
It is estimated that 1.3% of all items produced on an assembly line have some form of defect. You randomly select 60 items
for inspection.
16) What is the probability that more than 1.5% of the 60 items have some form of defect?
17) The probability is 86% that the proportion of items with a defect is less than what number?
18) An advertisement claims that four out of five doctors recommend a particular product. A consumer group
wants to test that claim, and takes a random sample of 30 doctors. The consumer group finds that of this group
of doctors, only 0.75 would recommend the product. What is the probability that the proportion of doctors in
this sample who recommend the product is 0.75 or less? Do you have reason to doubt the manufacturer's
claim? Explain.
THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
The average checking account balance at a local bank is $1,742 with a standard deviation of $132. A random sample of 70
accounts is selected.
19) What is the probability that the average balance for these accounts is less than $1,700?
20) The probability is 0.23 that the average balance for these accounts is greater than what amount?

Answer Key
Testname: UNTITLED2

1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
7)

A
B
D
C
C
C
= 10, = 2.4, n = 12

P(X > 11) = P(Z > 1.44) = 1 - 0.9251 = 0.0749


8) = 10, = 2.4, n = 12
a - 10
a - 10
) = 0.85
P(X < a) = 0.85 P(Z <
= 1.04 a = 10.721
0.6928
2.4 / 12
9) P(X > 300) = 0.20 P(Z >

300 - 298
2 n
2 n
) = 0.20 P(Z >
) = 0.20
= 0.84
15.4
15.4
15.4 / n

10) P(4.0 < X < 4.2) = P(Z < 0.24) - P(Z < -0.24) = 0.5948 - 0.4052 = 0.1896
a - 4.1
a - 4.1
11) P(X > a) = 0.95 P Z >
=P Z>
= .95
0.411
1.3 / 10

a- 4.1
= -1.64 a = 3.42 minutes
0.411

12) E(P) = P = 0.621


2
13) ^ = P(1- P) / n = (0.621)(0.379)/100 = 0.00235
P
14) ^ =
P

0.00235 = 0.0485

15) P(P > 0.60) = P(Z > -0.43) = 0.6664


16) p = 0.013, n = 60
^

P(p > 0.015) = P[Z > (0.015 - 0.013) / (0.013)(0.987)/(60)] = P(Z > 0.14) = 0.4443
^

17) P(p < k) = 0.86 = P[Z < (k - .013)/ (0.013)(.987)/60] (K - 0.013)/0.0146 = 1.08
K = 0.0288
18) P = 0.80, n = 30
^

P(p 0.75) = P[Z < (0.75 - 0.80) / (0.80)(0.20)/30] = P(Z < -0.68) = 0.2483
It would not be unusual to have 75% or fewer doctors recommending the product out of a group of 30. We cannot
really doubt the manufacturer's claim.
19) = 1742 and = 132
1700 - 1742
P(X < 1700) = P Z <
= P(Z < -2.66) = 0.0039
132/ 70
20) P(X > k) = 0.23 = P Z <
This implies that

K - 1742
K - 1742
=P Z>
15.777
132/ 70

K - 1742
= 0.74. Hence, K = $1,753.67
15.777

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