Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Patiparn Sukorndhaman
Mr. Yodphot Wongrukmit
Opportunity Day for 2008 performance Apr 01, 2009
Disclaimer
The information contained herein is being furnished on a confidential basis for
discussion purposes only and only for the use of the recipient, and may be subject
to completion or amendment through the delivery of additional documentation.
Except as otherwise provided herein, this document does not constitute an offer to
sell or purchase any security or engage in any transaction. The information
contained herein has been obtained from sources that The Bangchak Petroleum
Public Company Limited (BCP) considers to be reliable; however, BCP makes no
representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or
completeness of the information contained herein. Any projections, valuations and
statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in
the evaluation of the matters described herein; such projections, valuations and
analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may
utilize one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results;
accordingly, such projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be
viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of
future events. The recipient should make an independent evaluation and judgment
with respect to the matters contained herein.
Contents
Performance FY2008
Progress of Investment Projects
Marketing Activities
Whats BCP moving on 2009?
Other Events and Activities
Performance FY2008
Favorable
Unfavorable
USD/Bbl
Dubai
160
140
25
120
20
100
15
80
95/Dubai
30
AVG.FY07 =14.55
10
AVG.FY07=68.41
60
40
AVG.FY08=93.46
(5)
20
AVG.FY08=9.12
(10)
USD/Bbl
GO/Dubai
50
Y2008
Y2007
USD/Bbl
FO/Dubai
AVG.FY08=(14.93)
45
(5)
40
35
(10)
30
AVG.FY07=16.72
25
(15)
AVG.FY07 =(10.40)
(20)
20
15
AVG.FY08=25.98
10
(25)
(30)
(35)
4Q07
2008
2007
M.Baht
$/BBL
M.Baht
$/BBL
M.Baht
$/BBL
M.Baht
$/BBL
1,608
6.36
989
4.68
6,152
6.79
3,049
3.63
136
0.54
(117)
(0.55)
(216)
(0.25)
47
0.06
(6,434)
(25.45)
1,027
4.86
(4,138)
(4.54)
1,803
2.16
0.03
(942)
(1.03)
54
0.06
(4,682)
(18.52)
1,899
8.98
856
0.96
4,953
5.91
12
0.05
0.04
43
0.05
128
0.15
(449)
(1.78)
(401)
(1.90)
(1,560)
(1.71)
(1,313)
(1.56)
EBITDA
(5,119)
(20.25)
1,507
7.13
(661)
(0.71)
3,768
4.50
Adjusted EBITDA
1,307
5.17
480
2.27
4,419
4.87
1,911
2.28
Key factors
Crude Run (KBD)
Exchange rate (/$)
78.3
35.11
67.5
34.04
74.2
33.53
66.3
34.68
DB ($/Bbl)
52.64
83.39
93.46
68.41
95/DB ($/Bbl)
GO/DB ($/Bbl)
FO/DB ($/Bbl)
3.84
17.77
(7.60)
12.66
19.51
(9.99)
9.12
25.98
(14.93)
14.55
16.72
(10.40)
Base GRM
GRM Hedging
Inventory Gain/(Loss)
Write Down (LCM)
Total GRM
Other Income
Operating Expenses
+6.79
-0.25
-5.57
GRM* ($/Bbl)
7.97
5.66
6
4
6.9
6.54
5.36
3.69
2
0
2007
2008
150
145
133
139
132
116
100
99
50
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
inventory impact
100
90
83.6
80
70
74.3
74.2
78.26
66.3
59.6
60
50
40
2007
2008
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
2007
2008
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5 J
-10
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
Year 2007
Year 2008
Gasoline
Spread UNL95 ($/Bbl)
Year 2007
Year 2008
Diesel
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
4Q07
2008
2007
M.Baht
St./L
M.Baht
St./L
M.Baht
St./L
M.Baht
St./L
1,101
197
(34)
(6)
1,493
65
509
24
130
57
66
34
354
43
274
32
1,231
176
32
1,847
60
783
26
Other Income
175
25
166
22
711
23
615
20
Operating Expenses
(405)
(58)
(407)
(54)
(1,367)
(44)
(1,189)
(40)
EBITDA
1,001
143
(209)
(27)
1,191
38
209
Sale Volume
KBD
ML/Mo
KBD
ML/Mo
KBD
ML/Mo
KBD
ML/Mo
o Retail
38.3
187
38.8
189
39.2
190
36.9
179
o Industrial
15.7
76
13.2
64
14.0
68
14.8
72
53.9
263
52.0
254
53.2
258
51.7
250
Retail Margin
Industrial Margin
Total MKM
10
Source : DOEB
4Q08
ML/Mo
4Q07
Mkt Share
ML/Mo
2008
Mkt Share
ML/Mo
2007
Mkt Share
ML/Mo
Mkt Share
446.0
32.6%
PTT
470.1
35.6%
470.9
33.0%
500.7
37.0%
SHELL
197.1
14.9%
224.8
15.7%
194.7
14.4%
218.8
16.0%
ESSO
216.6
16.4%
236.8
16.6%
212.1
15.7%
237.1
17.3%
BCP
184.4
14.0%
188.6
13.2%
189.2
14.0%
174.5
12.7%
CALTEX
89.7
6.8%
127.5
8.9%
100.8
7.4%
115.5
8.4%
JET
92.7
7.0%
92.1
6.4%
81.9
6.1%
91.8
6.7%
OTHERS
69.8
5.3%
88.2
6.2%
74.3
5.5%
85.8
6.3%
TOTAL
1,320.4
1,428.9
1,353.7
17.8%
5.8%
BCP
PTT
20.5%
15%
15%
10%
8.4%
5.7%
5%
-1.6%
0%
-2.2%
1Q
2Q
-8.5%
-7.6%
3Q
4Q
SHELL
ESSO
BCP
CALTEX
JET
12.3%
8.4%
10%
5%
0%
-1.2%
(5%)
(10%)
1,369.5
-1.2%
Retail market
Growth through
service station
(5%)
(10%)
FY
(15%)
-11.0% -10.5%
-12.7%
-10.8%
11
Refinery
Marketing
Depreciation & Amortization
FX-Other Gain (Loss)
Impairment Adjustment
Net Interest Expense
4Q08
(4,118)
(5,119)
1,001
4Q07
1,298
Change%
-417.3%
1,507
(209)
2008
530
(661)
1,191
2007
3,977
(204)
(840)
(819)
19
(21)
44
(75)
(16)
(41)
15
(40)
(147)
(121)
(794)*
(462)
(4,479)
911
1,350
(507)
(3,129)
404
-874.5%
(689)
1,691
-140.7%
Inventory Gain/(Loss)
(6,426)
1,027
-725.7%
(5,080)
1,857
-373.6%
Adjusted EBITDA
2,275
270
741.3%
5,610
2,120
164.6%
Refinery
1,307
480
4,419
1,911
Marketing
1,001
(209)
1,191
209
Pre-tax Profit
Tax
Net Profit
(1,045)
-86.7%
3,768
209
(217)
-591.7%
Change%
356
2,581
-140.5%
(890)
12
Progress of
Investment Projects
13
PQI project
Current
Simple Refinery
After
PQI Completion
Fuel Oil, 9%
LPG, 5%
LPG, 3%
Diesel, 52%
Jet Fuel, 9%
Diesel, 35%
ULG, 18%
ULG, 25%
PQI project
Simplify Block flow diagram
Hydrogen
LPG
3%
Mogas
18%
IK/Jet
Diesel
Fuel Oil
11%
35%
33%
HPU
Hydrogen Plant
Vacuum
Gas Oil
24%
HCU
Hydro-cracking Unit
VDU
Mogas
7%
Diesel
17%
Fuel Oil
9%
Note :
Mogas = 25%
Diesel = 52%
14 May 09
Inauguration
15
Project
Investment Cost
Progress
: 88% (Feb09)
: 76.05% (Feb09)
16
Marketing Activities
18
+
AVG. YTD ( ..- ..)
(!"#/%)
)".
*
+
,
-*
,-
).+"#
%/0
2551
642.3
285.4
318.9
207.0
252.6
81.9
28.2
238.0
2550
601.0
297.6
327.0
189.8
263.9
91.8
31.7
359.0
+6.9%
-4.1%
-2.5%
+9.1%
-4.3%
-10.7%
-11.1%
-33.7%
#& #1
2,054.4
2,161.7
-5.0%
&'#"(%)
1
3
2
5
4
2551
31.3
13.9
15.5
10.1
12.3
4.0
1.4
11.6
2550
27.8
13.8
15.1
8.8
12.2
4.2
1.5
16.6
100.0
100.0
+3.5
+0.1
+0.4
+1.3
+0.1
-0.3
-0.1
-5.0
19
2## +
AVG. YTD ( ..- ..)
(!"#/%)
)".
*
+
,
-*
,-
).+"#
%/0
2551
500.7
194.7
212.1
189.2
100.8
81.9
26.1
48.1
2550
446.0
218.8
237.1
174.5
115.5
91.8
28.2
57.8
+12.3%
-11.0%
-10.5%
+8.4%
-12.7%
-10.7%
-7.6%
-16.8%
#& #1
1,353.7
1,369.5
-1.2%
&'#"(%)
1
3
2
4
5
2551
37.0
14.4
15.7
14.0
7.4
6.1
1.9
3.6
2550
32.6
16.0
17.3
12.7
8.4
6.7
2.1
4.2
100.0
100.0
+4.4
-1.6
-1.6
+1.2
-1.0
-0.6
-0.2
-0.6
20
2## '3+4*
AVG. YTD ( ..- ..)
(!"#/%)
)".
*
+
,
-*
,-
).+"#
%/0
2551
90.3
38.7
32.0
45.8
17.5
20.2
5.6
3.7
2550
49.2
24.2
16.0
31.2
9.3
7.6
2.4
1.7
+83.4%
+59.8%
+99.2%
+46.6%
+89.5%
+164.9%
+130.7%
+117.7%
#& #1
253.8
141.7
+79.1%
&'#"(%)
1
3
4
2
2551
35.6
15.3
12.6
18.0
6.9
8.0
2.2
1.4
2550
34.7
17.1
11.3
22.0
6.5
5.4
1.7
1.2
100.0
100.0
+0.8
-1.8
+1.3
-4.0
+0.4
+2.6
+0.5
+0.2
21
",')'3/'67 (#%'@%')
2008
2009
22
/><B/'C, %'921.'23'4! 4 5
AVG. YTD ( ..- ..)
(!"#/%)
&'#"(%)
)".
*
+
,
-*
,-
).+"#
%/0
2551
60.3
28.6
9.6
63.0
3.1
1.4
0.3
2.2
2550
8.6
+599%
2
3
28.6
+120%
#& #1
168.5
37.2
+352.4%
2551
35.8
17.0
5.7
37.4
1.8
0.8
0.2
1.3
2550
23.2
100.0
100.0
76.8
0.0
+12.6
+17.0
+5.7
-39.4
+1.8
+0.8
+0.2
+1.3
23
1$%<%'",-'./#$%&&'<D'
RM HIGHLIGHT 2008
GSH POOL
ULG POOL
AVG.
2007
AVG.
2008
2008
24
1$%<%'",-'./#$%&&'<D'
RM HIGHLIGHT 2008
25%
51%
49%
AVG.
AVG.
2007
2008
Power D B2
Power D B5
75%
2008
25
2.&52!B/ Power D B5
B//].>&&B/2.& D$(
2.&>>b*/%&*(5c5#=>'4:'
B//d'",-'./$W@:
4!'b/
-].>&&B//b*2W.$W@:
$.2/4!'
B//",-'./'C,%'56
C Plus 9'$.$W@:F&&'
>62-
<,5'!'F@& CRM
(BCP Privilege Club) >/.&
6.>5'=>&
26
27
Fast Service
Service
B//"*n""4%' 55 D-.& 5*I'
200 D-.& 9'*N 2552
28
)
5-/o>&
84
17
12
124
5-/o5&!'
99
38
34
24
208
5-/o>&D<&
12
38
)
190
67
52
36
12
10
370
",')'*np2.&*()<
(D-.&)
426
158
218
112
28
37
19
1,004
44.60%
42.41%
23.85%
32.14%
42.86%
27.03%
33.33%
33.33%
5.26%
36.85%
@!<5*I' % %4&)%$
29
)89 ,>!#
#&
")89 :;< );
!##"
30
4&" "%</2.&52!B/
5=>56!'C,%'@4 600 4 %4q
$W-/)' b.5$r< 6%C&D6. 1-28 .#. 52
+ *np4&"9'5B6 . D$(*!+s$
31
32
4&"DE2F8G>$7@$%4
RM HIGHLIGHT 2008
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
Movies
Promo
Food
Other
33
33
!"2%#%'74&"DE2F8G>$7@$%4
36
4%64&"DE2F8G>$7@$%4 .)4!"@5&!'
W$'!!@:@>&5<r
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W$'!!'5&=>
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",')'
",')'
",')'
",')'
176,477
129,384
101,761
25,898
4
4
4
4
433,520
4
).)89 E85
39
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F*256>7B:>W$#$%&&'<D'
<
B5 EURO 4
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B5
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B>> <.'%4]:&B5B: D$( &' AUTO SHOW Ayutthaya Park
Leaflet
5
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EURO
EURO 44
44
45
B//2B:'Dq>!''!$ %)*(5c
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5-'=>
1
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2
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17
13
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28
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1
58
" B//2B5#!BHC'"*N 50 ",')' 9 2B 5*I'
58 2B + *n""4%'
"5*-/2!C'*N 52 ",')' 95 2B
46
#!'@
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Cool Andaman
%4-'::>' 5!B/ 10
5V/' 2552
* %4&)%$2B1W:*(>4!"Dq'b]27Dq<5<.'
49
112
22
GreenTyreEx
GreenWashEx
GreenWashAutoCare
4
43
GreenWash
37
GreenServe
GreenAutoService
20
40
60
80
100
120
50
5*$/''C,%'5@=>&#:>b2:>&
- @ 5@=>&/'6754'8!' 449 4
- @ 5@=>&/'67<58$ 649 4
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57
New VISION
A Thai leading Energy Company that operates
on good governance principles with keen
concerns to social and environmental aspects for
Thailand and beyond.
The company has proved to generate
continuous profit sharing through its strong and
modern management, high qualified and
experienced human resources.
Greenergy Excellence
p_dmR\dmRRs^_R`SaiX\dMNPpSgRgimSkder]cip Mbjki`\RbUzP\iX\dXUkdXjP
Statement of Vision:
|UQMscjkiP^_R`SabcUdd\Pecf^_R`SagiMPjkid t]Xp_dMPP`\RocSgecf
`\Rgc\]Vlk}m}agioc`RfVQ]\PmSkder]cip ecfMNPNRftXYPgimUdsp
MbjkimR\dsr\ppUkPsd MgSQtge`ids`R
58
Value Statement
Beyond Expectation
HIKLMNHOPROSTU
Continuing Development
L_NR`Ka`KLMNH\b^K\cR
Pursuing Sustainability
VWNKVWWLZH[\I]RT^K
59
Refinery Bus.
Financial
Position
Resources
Developing employee
competency
Employee engagement
program
Developing technology for
serving work anywhere
anytime
Corporate rebranding
60
ion
t
a
THB mil
str
u
l
lI
USD/bbl
12,000
12
10,000
10
GRM (right-hand)
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
2009F
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
61
62
CSR
1
63
CSR
64
Rewards
65
Rewards
66
Rewards
67
Rewards
68
69
71
72
73
74
75
HPU
76
Equipment rechecking
77
78
79
80
81
EHS Pump
82
EHS Pump
83
HPU correction
84
85
86
Depressurized Test
87
88
89
90
91
92
Refinery
Capacity
Complex
177
550
Simple
120
517+ 548
Simple
17
78
Thai Oil
Complex
275
IRPC
Complex
215
PTTAR
Complex
210
Star
Complex
150
PTT
1,307
Shell
553
Chevron
439
Susco
98
Petronas
111
PT
211
14,120
1,164
18,536
Players In Thailand
ESSO
Integrated
Integrated Bangchak (BCP)
Rayong Purifier (RPC)
Refinery
Refinery
Only
Only
Marketing
Marketing
Only
Only
Total
(KBD)
Service
Station
93
Value Chain
Wholesale Customers
BCP
s
BCP
BCPs
Refinery
Refinery
Business
Business
Import
Crude
(20%)
Typical Yield
(80%)
Refined
Products
Simple Refinery
Nameplate : 120
KBD
2%
PTT
Local
Crude
LPG
Mogas
IK/JPIK/JP-1
HSD
FO
3%
18%
11%
35%
33%
40%
Wholesalers
Wholesalers
Export
5%
GRM
33%
60%
ULR91, GSH95, GSH91, HSD, B5, E20, E85
BCP
s
BCP
BCPs
Marketing
Marketing
Business
Business
Ex-Ref
Price
517
MKM
Wholesale
Price
JP-1
MKM
CO-OP 548
+ Non Oi l
Jobbers
Gas Station
LPG
Jobbers
HSD
Retail
Price
94