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History[edit]
SPC was pioneered by Walter A. Shewhart at Bell Laboratories in the early 1920s.
Shewhart developed the control chart in 1924 and the concept of a state of stat
istical control. Statistical control is equivalent to the concept of exchangeabi
lity[1][2] developed by logician William Ernest Johnson also in 1924 in his book
Logic, Part III: The Logical Foundations of Science.[3] Along with a gifted tea
m at AT&T that included Harold Dodge and Harry Romig he worked to put sampling i
nspection on a rational statistical basis as well. Shewhart consulted with Colon
el Leslie E. Simon in the application of control charts to munitions manufacture
at the Army's Picatinny Arsenal in 1934. That successful application helped con
vince Army Ordnance to engage AT&T's George Edwards to consult on the use of sta
tistical quality control among its divisions and contractors at the outbreak of
World War II.
W. Edwards Deming invited Shewhart to speak at the Graduate School of the U.S. D
epartment of Agriculture, and served as the editor of Shewhart's book Statistica
l Method from the Viewpoint of Quality Control (1939) which was the result of th
at lecture. Deming was an important architect of the quality control short cours
es that trained American industry in the new techniques during WWII. The graduat
es of these wartime courses formed a new professional society in 1945, the Ameri
can Society for Quality Control, which elected Edwards as its first president. D
eming traveled to Japan during the Allied Occupation and met with the Union of J
apanese Scientists and Engineers (JUSE) in an effort to introduce SPC methods to
Japanese industry .[4][5]
"Common" and "special" sources of variation[edit]
Main article: Common cause and special cause (statistics)
Shewhart read the new statistical theories coming out of Britain, especially the
work of William Sealy Gosset, Karl Pearson, and Ronald Fisher. However, he unde
rstood that data from physical processes seldom produced a "normal distribution
curve"; that is, a Gaussian distribution or "bell curve". He discovered that dat
a from measurements of variation in manufacturing did not always behave the way
as data from measurements of natural phenomena (for example, Brownian motion of
particles). Shewhart concluded that while every process displays variation, some
processes display variation that is natural to the process ("common" sources of
variation)- these processes were described as 'in (statistical) control'. Other
processes additionally display variation that is not present in the causal syst
em of the process at all times ("special" sources of variation), and these were
described as 'not in control'.[6]
Application to non-manufacturing processes[edit]
In 1988, the Software Engineering Institute suggested that SPC could be applied
to non-manufacturing processes, such as software engineering processes, in the C
apability Maturity Model (CMM). The Level 4 and Level 5 practices of the Capabil
ity Maturity Model Integration (CMMI) use this concept.
The notion that SPC is a useful tool when applied to non-repetitive, knowledge-i
ntensive processes such as research and development or systems engineering has e
ncountered skepticism and remains controversial.[7][8]
In his seminal article No Silver Bullet, Fred Brooks points out that the complex
ity, conformance requirements, changeability, and invisibility of software[9][10
] results in inherent and essential variation that cannot be removed. This impli
es that SPC is less effective in the domain of software development than in, e.g
., manufacturing.
In 2014 a method for data validation of measurement data, based on SPC, was trie
d out. The method enabled the user to validate data containing static wave compo
nents (process noise), a requirement when working on hydro power plants where sl
owly damping surges are abundant during normal operation. [11]
Variation in manufacturing[edit]
In manufacturing, quality is defined as conformance to specification. However, n
o two products or characteristics are ever exactly the same, because any process
contains many sources of variability. In mass-manufacturing, traditionally, the
quality of a finished article is ensured by post-manufacturing inspection of th
e product. Each article (or a sample of articles from a production lot) may be a
ccepted or rejected according to how well it meets its design specifications. In
contrast, SPC uses statistical tools to observe the performance of the producti
on process in order to detect significant variations before they result in the p
roduction of a sub-standard article. Any source of variation at any point of tim
e in a process will fall into one of two classes.
1) "Common Causes" - sometimes referred to as nonassignable, normal sources of v
ariation. It refers to many sources of variation that consistently acts on proce
ss. These types of causes produce a stable and repeatable distribution over time
.
2) "Special Causes" - sometimes referred to as assignable sources of variation.
It refers to any factor causing variation that affects only some of the process
output. They are often intermittent and unpredictable.
Most processes have many sources of variation; most of them are minor and may be
ignored. If the dominant sources of variation are identified, however, resource
s for change can be focused on them. If the dominant assignable sources of varia
tion are detected, potentially they can be identified and removed. Once removed,
the process is said to be "stable". When a process is stable, its variation sho
uld remain within a known set of limits. That is, at least, until another assign
able source of variation occurs. For example, a breakfast cereal packaging line
may be designed to fill each cereal box with 500 grams of cereal. Some boxes wil
l have slightly more than 500 grams, and some will have slightly less. When the
package weights are measured, the data will demonstrate a distribution of net we
ights. If the production process, its inputs, or its environment (for example, t
he machines on the line) change, the distribution of the data will change. For e
xample, as the cams and pulleys of the machinery wear, the cereal filling machin
e may put more than the specified amount of cereal into each box. Although this
might benefit the customer, from the manufacturer's point of view, this is waste
ful and increases the cost of production. If the manufacturer finds the change a
nd its source in a timely manner, the change can be corrected (for example, the
cams and pulleys replaced).
Application of SPC[edit]
The application of SPC involves three main phases of activity:
Understanding the process and the specification limits.
Eliminating assignable (special) sources of variation, so that the process is st
able.
Monitoring the ongoing production process, assisted by the use of control charts
, to detect significant changes of mean or variation.
Control charts[edit]
The data from measurements of variations at points on the process map is monitor
ed using control charts. Control charts attempt to differentiate "assignable" ("
special") sources of variation from "common" sources. "Common" sources, because
they are an expected part of the process, are of much less concern to the manufa
cturer than "assignable" sources. Using control charts is a continuous activity,
ongoing over time.
Stable process[edit]
When the process does not trigger any of the control chart "detection rules" for
the control chart, it is said to be "stable". A process capability analysis may
in Ghosh, M. & Pathak, P.K. (eds.) Current Issues in Statistical Inference: Ess
ays in Honor of D. Basu, Hayward, CA: Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 99-1
12.
Bergman, B. (2009) "Conceptualistic Pragmatism: A framework for Bayesian analysi
s?", IIE Transactions, 41, 86?93
Deming, W E (1975) "On probability as a basis for action", The American Statisti
cian, 29(4), 146?152
? (1982) Out of the Crisis: Quality, Productivity and Competitive Position ISBN
0-521-30553-5
Oakland, J (2002) Statistical Process Control ISBN 0-7506-5766-9
Salacinski, T (2015) SPC - Statistical Process Control. The Warsaw University of
Technology Publishing House. ISBN 978-83-7814-319-2
Shewhart, W A (1931) Economic Control of Quality of Manufactured Product ISBN 087389-076-0
? (1939) Statistical Method from the Viewpoint of Quality Control ISBN 0-486-652
32-7
Wheeler, D J (2000) Normality and the Process-Behaviour Chart ISBN 0-945320-56-6
Wheeler, D J & Chambers, D S (1992) Understanding Statistical Process Control IS
BN 0-945320-13-2
Wheeler, Donald J. (1999). Understanding Variation: The Key to Managing Chaos 2nd Edition. SPC Press, Inc. ISBN 0-945320-53-1.
Wise, Stephen A. & Fair, Douglas C (1998). Innovative Control Charting: Practica
l SPC Solutions for Today's Manufacturing Environment. ASQ Quality Press. ISBN 0
-87389-385-9
Zabell, S. L. (1992). "Predicting the unpredictable". Synthese. 90: 205. doi:10.
1007/bf00485351.
External links[edit]
Wikimedia Commons has media related to Statistical process control.
Statistical Process Control
worked example of the Deming's Red Bead Experiment
The Red Beads: Understanding Variation
Explanation of all control charts
Statistical Process Control
MIT Course - Control of Manufacturing Processes
NIST Engineering Statistics Handbook
Online Calculators for Statistical Process Control
Is Statistical Process Control Applicable to Software Development Processes?
Could the Software Engineering Institute be Wrong About Statistical Process Cont
rol?
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