Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Submitted By:
Renjan Oommen
Basant Maheshwari
Sindhu Sivan
Nitish Pandey
Swaminath Adabala
Vikram Phatak
Contents
1. Abstract
2. Situational Analysis
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
Introduction
Marketing Objectives
Technology product category threats and opportunities
Company strengths and weaknesses
Competitive Analysis
Situation Analysis
Introduction
Product
A fuel cell is an electrochemical energy conversion device which converts the
chemicals hydrogen and oxygen into water, and in the process it produces electricity.
The fuel cell essentially requires
hydrogen and oxygen: while the
oxygen is drawn from air, the
hydrogen is either supplied
directly or is reformed from
hydrocarbon gases such as
methane or other fuels like
ethanol and methanol. Hydrogen
and oxygen combine in the fuel
cell to produce electricity, heat
and water. There are several
different types of fuel cell but
they are all based around a
central design.
Fuel Cells as Stationary Power Plants
According to the Central Electricity Authority (CEA), India needs an additional 1,
00,000 MW at an estimated investment of nearly US$100bn to meet its power
requirements in the next 15 years. Combined with the rising interest in non-conventional
energy sources, this translates into great potential for entry of fuel cell power plants as
power generators. Given the strong agrarian economy, ethanol (from sugarcane
molasses) and methane (from biogas) are readily available as primary choices as fuels
for fuel cell plants.
While setting up of the fuel cell stack and fuel processor are significant
investments, the operation costs are much lower than conventional power generation
facilities. A typical fuel cell plant using methane as a fuel could have raw electricity
generation costs at Rs. 4-5 per kWh, which will drop down to a competitive Rs. 2-3 per
kWh after factoring reductions in price due to environmental credits, savings on
maintenance, increased reliability and use of the heat generated in the fuel cell process.
The Most Promising Fuel Cell - Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell Technology (MCFC)
Molten carbonate fuel cells are designed to operate at higher temperatures than
phosphoric acid or proton exchange membrane fuel cells and thus achieve higher fuelto-electricity and overall energy use efficiencies (50%) than these low temperature cells
(37-42%). When the waste heat is captured and used, overall thermal efficiencies can be
as high as 85%. Conventional modes come no where near these figures.
Type
Alkaline Fuel Cell
(AFC)
Proton Exchange
Membrane Fuel Cell
(PEMFC)
Phosphoric Acid Fuel
Cell (PAFC)
Molten Carbonate
Fuel Cell (MCFC)
Solid Oxide Fuel Cell
(SOFC)
Polymeric
Membrane
0.1-500
Residential, Portable
and Transportation
160-210
OrthoPhosphoric
5-200
650
Molten
Carbonate
Zirconia
1002,000
25Central Utilities
1,00,000
800-1000
Flexibility in the types of fuels that can be used with fuel cell technology
Fuel cells can run continuously for long periods of time before servicing is
required
Fuel cells are also able to respond fast to load changes, because the
electricity is generated by a chemical reaction.
Choice of Company
Reliance Energy Ltd is India's leading integrated power utility company in the
private sector. It has a significant presence in generation, transmission and distribution of
power in Maharashtra, Goa and Andhra Pradesh. It distributes over 5,000 MW of power the largest in the country.
Reliance Energy is in the process of commissioning / execution of 2 x 250 MW
Tau Devilal Thermal Power Station at Panipat, Haryana and 2 x 210 MW Parichha
Thermal Power Station at Parichha, U.P. Also it will be setting the worlds largest 8000
MW gas based power project in Ghaziabad, district of UP by 2008 using gas from
Krishna Godavari basin.
With large scale involvement in power sector Reliance Energy has the
advantage/potential to enter renewable energy sector using Fuel Cell technology, as it is
the most promising renewable source of energy. Moreover the company will have the
first mover advantage as well as it can utilize the sops being provided by GOI.
Marketing Objectives
The business objective of the product launch is to test the installation and
exploitation of this technology at a township scale so that in next 6 years this can be a
preferred source of technology India and that Reliance energy is the giant in an
oligopolistic setting of fuel cell providers. Other objective is that as a spin off Reliance
Energy can look forward to export to SAARC and SAFTA countries.
In order to achieve the objectives within the Indian subcontinent by 2012 the
marketing objective is to market Fuel Cell technology on a turnkey basis for increasing
their market share in power generation area and to position this as a product of choice or
a business opportunity in areas suffering from power shortage.
Technology Product Category Threats and Opportunities
Threats
Renewable i.e solar, wind and hydel as well non-renewable i.e thermal, and
nuclear sources of power generation
Opportunities
(a) India is a power-starved country. According to the Central Electricity Authority (CEA),
India needs an additional 1,00,000 MW at an estimated investment of nearly US$100bn
to meet its power requirements in the next 15 years. The grid quality electricity
generation through fuel cell technology on a decentralized manner can be of immense
help to the country.
(b) Disadvantages of non - renewable sources of energy i.e pollution leading to
climatic changes due to ozone layer depletion. It is estimated that the world-wide
emissions of greenhouse gases will have doubled by 2030
Competitive Analysis
Barriers to Entry
The large deficit in power provides opportunity to new players to enter Indian
power generation market. The only barrier is the huge capital investment required in the
power sector. Players maybe willing but not many have access to the know how - a
barrier to some extent.
Bargaining Power of Customers
The costumers do not have bargaining power due to huge
availability and due to the monopoly setting at least for next 3 years.
deficit in power
set to change with the ease and speed of implementation of MCFC based power
generation plants. Consider the following facets:
the huge size of new coal-fired base load generating plant and long project lead
times, coupled with uncertain future demand, creating space for mid-sized
generators with relatively short project times;
BHEL (Hyderabad) is working on developing PAFC and MCFC for distributed
power generation and also focuses on preparing catalyst and fuel reformer to be
used in fuel cell power plants. They have demonstrated some distributed power
systems.
Based on the Need Plot we were able to estimate the most significant needs. The larger
segment is looking for Generation and Distribution and for providing Captive Power units.
Now we analysed the potential users looking for these benefits for following
characteristics:
Region
o UP
o North
o South
o East
o Central
Type
o Western
o Factory
o Realtor
o Power Business Venture
Consumption Size (Continuous Value)
Target Segment (Size Calculation):
To select the target segment there were 2 important considerations, one that our
product cum service would meet that benefit and second that the segment would allow
us to move towards our stated business objective.
As far as being able to fulfilling the need is concerned the potential product line from
Ballard Inc. USA is capable of setting of large generation and distribution plants as well
as medium to small captive power units for townships.
Hence the criteria for segment selection now depends only on the segments
ability to support our stated business objective of cash return in 12 years period.
Considering the following parameters:
Investment ceiling of Rs 1000 Crores
Captive Production Investment requirement: 836 Crores
Generation & Distribution Investment requirement: 846 Crores
Estimated IRR from Captive would be in the order of 11.34%
Estimated IRR from the Generation & Distribution entities it would
be 17.23%.
Number of customers in each segment in year 1 thru 5.
To arrive at our segment we need to evaluate each of our segment data (for
either of the 2 populous benefits viz. generation and distribution and captive power) on
visible characteristics. The graphical plot of same is shown below.
segment selection was not merely based on size and financial returns but also on the
mature spectrum of the MCFC technology.
From this exercise it emerged that the best return would be from the following
need segment- Setting up of Power Generation & Generation Units and the visible
characteristics of the targeted customers would be the following:
Their consumption size is more than 100 MW and less than 250 MW.
Differentiation
Reliance Energy is the pioneer in this technology in the context of India. Thus the
requirement to differentiate is very easily achieved. Yet in keeping with the existing
position of the corporate image the product needs to be have features, reliability,
durability, service, utility etc. of the highest order. Toward that effect Reliance Energy is
achieving this by sourcing the technology from one of the foremost companies in this
field. The differentiation will assist the company in the following:
The customers will get 24X7 service and a response time of 4 hours anywhere.
We will need repair teams standby using choppers for high speed and immediate
travel as and when required. The end user should feel comfortable being served
power from a product backed by Reliance Energy.
Positioning
As an extension of the philosophy of differentiation the MCFC plants will be
positioned as state of art technology that is more than just another power source. It is a
competition not to thermal, solar or windmill energy but to the Nuclear power. It is to be
positioned as a modern or even ahead of its time technology adoption of which not only
signifies a cool flow of electricity but a blow to the belief that power cannot be got without
damaging or risking our environment. Espousal of this technology will be made to signify
as having concern for the community and the delicate state of our ecological balance.
For those more inclined to financial aspects of business, the aspect of environment
carbon credit benefits will be highlighted.
There being no other competitor in this segment we did not need to consider
perceptual mapping.
Marketing Plan
c)
This decision can be of immense gain to the company in terms of almost nil/low R&D
investment required, Quick to get into use and Low technical and financial risks in the
transfer. In addition, this helps in developing a competitive advantage for the company in
the market.
Since Reliance is already into power generation and distribution in a large scale,
with enough capital and capacity to survive in the market by its own, it required a reliable
source of proven technical know-how to foray into the new area of customised power
generation market. Therefore licensing is the most fitting mechanisms for technology
transfer for the company under the given conditions and would prove more beneficial to
them by adding a new product to the existing business lines.
Cost Of Development:
The Company has to generate many ideas to find one worthy of product
development and often faces high R&D, manufacturing and marketing cost. The concept
testing, prototype development and test marketing processes would consume a large
amount of money. Since the market gap for power in India is phenomenally high and
MCFC being a newer and better technology conforming to the environmental standards it
has a got a greater potential for success and capability in absorbing the cost involved in
development
Social and Governmental Constraints:
Though MCFCs are relatively larger, highly exothermic and corrosive in nature
(up to certain extent) its interaction with the environment is minimal due to close system
concepts and therefore the fear of safety hazards is minimal
Fragmented market:
Companies with newer products aim for a smaller market segment and for High
technology products scope is further limited. But in case of this product this issue is not
of great concern view wide gap in demand supply in the Indian power sector market.
Idea Screening:
The purpose of idea screening is to drop poor ideas as early as possible .The
rationale is that product development cost rise substantially with each successive
development stage especially with such capital intensive project. Secondly if an idea is
allowed to move into the next stage, product failure can occur at a later stage which
could colossal financial damages. The basic risks can be reduced by formation of a
competent idea screening team with a very high idea screening ratio. Since the item is
customised and fewer products are made, alteration at a later stage can undertaken
without completely withdrawing the product from the market.
Marketing Strategy:
Whilst preparing a preliminary strategic plan for introducing a new product into
the market, the market size, structure and positioning are to carried out for the product.
Long term sales and profit goals of the product have been studied and it has been
planned to position the product as power generation plant with zero emission
standards.
Business Analysis
Extraction of Costs and Profits:
Costs are estimated by R&D, manufacturing,
marketing and finance departments. The challenge behind developing the complete cost
is the need to understand the variables involved in making it. Large amount of estimation
and assumptions such as market growth rate, companys market share, and factory
realized prices, anticipatory development cost, market research cost and promotions for
the entire period of the product life cycle etc were considered for arriving at a valid
measure of the cost of the product.
Market testing:
The extent of market testing required by the product is dictated by the investment cost
and risk on one side and the time pressure and research cost on the other side. MCFC
being a High investment technology product , it must be compulsorily market tested and
the cost of the market test will be an insignificant percentage of the total project cost.
Vendors must be careful in interpreting beta results because only a small no of test
customers are being used ,who are randomly drawn and the test are somewhat
customised to each site because of the risk that the customers who are unimpressed
with the product may leak unfavourable reports about the product at an early stage of the
launch.
Commercialization:
Two major factors that are to be factored in during commercialisation of MCFC are as
follows:
Size of the Power Plant
Since the sales and profit were arrived at based on various valid assumptions
and the product and market being new , defining the plant size would be critical decision
at this stage of product development. Moreover this being a customized product, the best
way to counter the risk would be to start producing on a low volume /made to order and
then increase the scale based on the market feed back.
Timing
In commercializing a new product, a market entry timing is critical. The first firm
entering the market enjoys the first movers advantage of locking up the key customers
and gaining leadership. But if the product is rushed to the market before it is thoroughly
debugged, the first entry can backfire. Since Reliance being a established player in the
power market with enough financial muscle power any unfortunate setbacks during the
initial period can be easily absorbed by them.
The product is being targeted to the existing and best prospectus customers,
presumably who would really have the ability to become early adopters, heavy users and
opinion leaders in the power industry and the market. The main aim is to attract strong
sales as soon as possible to get an early start in this new venture. The already existing
market leadership of the company in the existing power markers can be testimony for
marketing the new product. A critical path scheduling of the activities in launching the
product would help in achieving the goal in the least possible time.
Marketing Communication
,Advertising and Public relations are the few modes by which this product can be
marketed .
Direct Marketing(Personal Selling) : This is the most effective tool of the buying process
of high technology products, particularly in building up buyer preference, conviction and
action. This is primarily because of the nature of the product and the target market aimed
at selling the product. Since the no of customers are very small there exist an immediate
and interactive relationship between technology buyer and the seller. The seller has to
develop a kind of relationship deep and long term enough to influence the buyer for not
only the present product but also the variants which may be produced at a later stage in
the technology life cycle. Such relationship are generally strategic in nature .
Advertising : Advertising can be used to build a long-term image for a product or trigger
quick sales. Advertising can efficiently reach geographically dispersed buyers and certain
forms of advertising (TV) can require a large budget, whereas other forms (newspaper) do
not. Just the presence of advertising might have an effect on sales. Large-scale advertising
says something positive about the sellers size, power and success.
Public Relations and Publicity:
Marketers tend to under sue public relations, yet a
well-thought program coordinated with the other communications-mix elements can be
extremely effective. The appeal of the public relations and publicity can lead to high
credibility , ability to catch buyers off guard and dramatize to an extent about the product.
Sales Promotion :
Companies use sales promotion tools to gain attention and may
lead the consumer to the product. They incorporate some concession, inducement, or
contribution that gives value to the consumer. Sales promotion can be used for short-run
effects such as to highlight product offers and boost sagging sales.
Purpose
Expenditure Initial Investment
Technology Transfer for a period of 5years
Cost of Manufacturing of Fuel Cell generators
Total Initial Investment
100
900
1000
20
900
920 (A
Selling Price
930.4 (B
Profit (B-A)
10.4
Type of generators
KW
Cost @ Rs 2.25 Lacs /KW
1000
C
L
No of Plants
250
100
1
6
15
24.75 L
1.65 La
1.65 La
1.00 La
8.23 La
10.88 L
(0.6X1
efficie
mainte
A/B