Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Session
BSc Programme
Economics
Revision Session
2012
Building Futures
Topics
3 Hour Exam : 4 questions from 8 :
1) How markets work
5) NI measurement
2) Indifference theory
6) Multipliers
3) Monopoly
7) Inflation
8) International trade
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
35
30
25
Demand
0
200
100
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Case 1 35
30
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Case 1 35
1
30
25
Demand
0
200
100
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Case 1 35
30
25
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Case 1 35
30
25
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
35
30
4
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
35
30
4 5
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
35
30
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Market equilibrium
4 5
Case 1 35
30
Case 2 25
when:
Excess demand
DEMAND = SUPPLY
Demand
0
200
100
300
400
Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)
40
Supply
Excess supply
Case 1 35
30
Market equilibrium
4 5
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0
100
200
300
400
S (reflecting
opportunity
costs)
CS
PS
Maximum
welfare gains
from trade
D (reflecting
consumption
benefits)
Qe
Quantity per
unit of time
a) An indirect
tax
Price
S + tax
P2
b) An indirect
subsidy
c) A maximum price
Price
S
S+
subsidy
MC
P1
P1
P1
P2
MC
P2
D
S
MB
Q2
Q1
D
0
Q1
Q2
D
0
Q2
Q1
Quantity per unit of time
Building Futures
Building Futures
Building Futures
PES value
(over relevant range)
PED value
(over relevant range)
Thus, in the special case where PED and PES values were
equal. The tax per unit on the good would be exactly twice the
size of the resulting price rise and the two groups would finish
up paying equal shares!!
Building Futures
Price
Price
Supply + Tax
P2
P2
P1
Supply (Elastic)
Demand
(Elastic)
Ps
P1
Ps
Demand
(Inelastic)
Q2 Q1
Demander
pays
Supplier
pays
(the rest)
Q2
Q1
Building Futures
2. Indifference Theory
The Indifference Model provides us with information on FOUR
important variables that affect the consumer decision:
1.
2.
3.
4.
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2. Indifference Theory
The combinations
An Indifference Curve
Quantity
Consumed
of Good Y
Utility U
Higher Utility U1
12Y
6Y
5X
8X
2. Indifference Theory
The combinations
A budget line
Quantity
Consumed
of Good Y
If B = 60 pw
Price of Good X must be . ?
Price of Good Y must be .. ?
10Y
5Y
4X
8X
11
2. Indifference Theory
Consumer Equilibrium
Meals
8
7
6
U1
U0
U
5
4
3
2
1
F
0
Discos
2. Indifference Theory
Point E is a POINT of TANGENCY
Therefore at E:
The gradient of the
Budget Line
Price of X
Price of Y
Marginal Utility of X
Marginal Utility of Y
MU of Y
Price of Y
Therefore at E:
Therefore at E:
MU of X
Price of X
Building Futures
12
3. Monopoly
Definition:
A pure monopolist is the only firm in a particular industry
and will (almost certainly) be protected by barriers to entry.
A monopolist may:
differentiate its own product
price discriminate
(But these are not definitional characteristics)
NB: The difference between PURE monopoly and firms that have
monopolistic power.
3. Monopoly
The two key definitional characteristics are therefore:
a) The FIRM IS the industry and therefore faces the market
demand curve.
b) The barriers to entry will mean that there are likely to be
long run supernormal profits.
We can add to these the general (commercial) assumption
that monopolists will profit-maximise and will therefore
follow the decision rule, MC = MR.
This gives the equilibrium output shown on the next slide.
13
3. Monopoly
Monopoly Equilibrium
MARGINAL
COST
Price
Pe
AVERAGE
COST
Supernormal
profit
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)
AC
MARGINAL
REVENUE
0
Qe
3. Monopoly
Inefficiency in Monopoly (welfare loss)
MARGINAL
COST
Price
Pe
Welfare
Loss
AVERAGE
COST
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)
AC
MARGINAL
REVENUE
0
Qe
14
3. Monopoly
Inequity in Monopoly (Exploitation)
MARGINAL
COST
Price
HIGH
PRICE
AVERAGE
COST
HIGH
profit
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)
AC
MARGINAL
REVENUE
0
Qe
3. Monopoly
But all is not negative with monopolies.
They will tend to be BIG firms therefore they may enjoy
INTERNAL ECONOMIES of SCALE
Increasing returns to scale
Factor price advantages
Research & Development advantages
All of these will tend to SHIFT the COST curves downwards.
15
3. Monopoly
Possible COST advantages to Monopoly
Price
MC1
MC2
P1
P2
AC1
AC2
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)
MARGINAL
REVENUE
AC2
Q2
3. Monopoly
Lower costs will reduce price (P2 < P1) and therefore will
offset the exploitative nature of monopoly
It could be a WIN-WIN outcome (lower price and higher
profits)
There will still be welfare loss inefficiency BUT the lower
costs make the maximum attainable welfare greater
(An inefficient high welfare world may be preferable to an
efficient low welfare world.)
A REGULATED monopoly attempts to achieve the best of
both worlds!
16
MRP = MPP x MR
Change in Revenue
17
Production
rises by 600
units per week
Sales revenue
rises by
1800 per week
or
Building Futures
18
Building Futures
MRP
0
10
12
14
16
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
19
MRP
Wage ()
MC of labour
Wage pw
= 800
MRP = MCL
0
10
MRP
12
14
16
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
MC1
MC2
MC3
MRP
w1
w2
w3
The firms Dcurve for
labour!
0
D1 D2 D3
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
20
MC1
Wage rate
D1
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
MC
D1 (MRP1)
D1
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
21
MC
D0 (MRP0)
0
D0
Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures
22
Expenditure on
goods & services
HOUSEHOLDS
HOUSEHOLDS
FIRMS
Factor payments
(wages, rents,
profit)
NATIONAL
PRODUCT
NATIONAL
INCOME
NATIONAL
EXPENDITURE
NP = NI = NE
Factor services
(labour, land, etc)
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23
All firms
Output
&
ALL
VALUEADDED
Doublecounted
output
value
Output
of non-firm
institutions
Imputed
value of
owner-occupied
accommodation
&
Imputed
Rent
Transfer
interest
as output
of
financial
institutions
Transfer
interest
All
Household
income
Wages and
salaries
Imputed
value of
owner-occupied
Accommodation
&
Retained profit
&
Any income
diverted to the
government in
tax
Stock
appreciation
&
Transfer
Income
+
All profit less
stock
appreciation
24
All
Household
Expenditure
Imputed
rental expenditure
&
Firms expenditure on
capital equipment
&
Inventory investment
&
Government spending
on the provision of
services
&
Foreign expenditure on
exports
&
Subsidies on goods &
services
Consumer
spending
Transfer
spending
&
Imports
&
Taxes on
goods &
services
Investment
Govt spending
Exports less
imports
Indirect taxes
net of subsidies
6. Multipliers
Theoretical Background
The SAY view (Supply creates its own Demand)
The KEYNES view (Demand determines Supply)
To be more exact it is AGGREGATE DEMAND that
determines NATIONAL PRODUCT, where:
AD = C + I + G + X M
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6. Multipliers
The economy will react to changes (shifts) in these
components through a process involving:
Multiplier repetitions
Spending brings forth new production hence creating
new income. Partial respending of that income
finances new spending which brings forth etc
6. Multipliers
NI
Aggregate
Demand,
(National
Income)
( billion)
New AD
Upward
Multiplier
Process
15
30
Original
AD
60
Initial rise in
Govt
Spending of
60 billion
160
Overall
increase in
National
Income
of 120 billion
100
320
National Income
( billion)
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6. Multipliers
Multipliers are Measures of Sensitivity (like
marginals and elasticities). They usually involve
an initial CAUSE that brings about a larger
(multiplied) EFFECT.
In Economics 1 you may encounter SIX multipliers
The BASIC INJECTIONS multiplier (kj)
FIVE Fiscal multipliers (kj, kt, kb, kg, kr)
The CREDIT (or Deposit) multiplier (kc)
6. Multipliers
INJECTIONS MULTIPLIER calculations are based on the effects
of the multiplier process.
Suppose there is an autonomous increase in Govt. spending of
60 billion.
This is an autonomous increase in aggregate demand of 60
billion.
Suppose also that there are enough resources in the economy
to meet the rising demand.
Let us further suppose that people, on average, tend to spend
exactly half (0.5) of any extra income they receive on UK
(domestic) goods. The rest is saved, taxed, or spent on imports.
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27
6. Multipliers
( AD of 60b)
( Cd of 30b)
( NP of 60b)
( NP of 30b)
( Cd of 15b) ( NP of 15b)
( Cd of 7.5b) etc
Hence the resulting overall change in National product (NP) will be:
60b ( 1 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 + etc )
which equals:
6. Multipliers
The expression in brackets is the sum of a geometric
progression that can be calculated as:
1
`
( 1 MPCd)
60b x 2
120 billion
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28
6. Multipliers
There are two basic multiplier equations to learn :
1 The Multiplier value (kJ)
kJ =
1
` =
(1 MPCd)
1 ` =
MPW
1
`
MPS + MRT + MPM
kJ x Original AD
Building Futures
6. Multipliers
The basic multiplier process can be triggered by any
INJECTION I (Investment), G (Govt Spending) or X
(foreign spending).
Exercise: Suppose firms spend an extra 500m
on new machinery and MPCd = 0.8
CALCULATE: a) The Multiplier value
b) The final effect on National Income
What would be the overall effect if the 500m was
c) Only this year ?
d) Financed from extra tax?
29
7. Inflation
1) What is inflation
3) Effects of inflation
Definitions
Efficiency effects
Equity effects
Macro effects
2) Causes of inflation
Demand-pull
Cost-push
Fiscal deflation
Monetarist view
Monetary deflation
Monetarist prescription
7. Inflation
Measuring Retail Price Inflation
A basket of goods is defined which includes all major
items of expenditure. Contents of this basket can
change over time.
Price rises (and falls) are monitored for each of these
items, usually over the course of a year. They are
expressed in percentage form.
These price changes are then weighted according to
the proportion of spending that they account for.
30
7. Inflation
The weighted price changes for all the basket items
are added up.
This addition is then divided by the sum of the weights
to give retail price inflation in percentage form.
This percentage of the previous years index value is
added to that previous years index to give the new RPI.
The original index value is conventionally set
at 100 for a chosen base year.
7. Inflation
Item
P x w
Food
+ 20
40m
+ 40
Accom.
+ 50
60m
+ 150
Others
10
100m
50
31
7. Inflation
Keynesian Demand-Pull View
Building Futures
7. Inflation
The COST-PUSH view
Wagepush; autonomous increases in wage costs cause
inflation.
Imported costpush; increases in the prices of imported
raw materials.
Taxpush; increases in business taxes or indirect taxes
which raise business costs.
Profitpush; increases in profit margins or mark-ups
associated with an increase in monopolistic power.
Building Futures
32
7. Inflation
The MONETARIST view
Monetarists argue that the amount of money in circulation is the
crucial determinant of INFLATION. This view of inflation is known
as The Quantity Theory of Money!
M . V =
then
Y . P
Building Futures
7. Inflation
(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
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33
8. International Trade
Key points
Absolute advantage
Definition
Numerical example
Diagrammatic model
Comparative advantage
Definition
Numerical example
Diagrammatic model
Building Futures
8. International Trade
Other arguments for trade
Economies of scale
Choice
Co-operation
34
8. International Trade
The Principle of Comparative Advantage.
(David Ricardo)
Trade creates economic welfare.
Providing there is no compulsion, there are no losers
only winners with trade.
In spite of this basic truism, many people still cant
appreciate why it can be beneficial to trade
internationally with countries whose productivity
capabilities are inferior.
Building Futures
8. International Trade
Maximum Production Possibilities
Country
P
Country
Q
Zips
100
120
Buttons
50
200
Building Futures
35
8. International Trade
Maximum Consumption Possibilities
(no trade, 50% resource split)
Country
P
Country
Q
Zips
50
60
Buttons
25
100
Building Futures
8. International Trade
Production Specialisation (Q devotes 75% of
resources to buttons ie PARTIAL Specialisation)
Country
P
Country
Q
Zips
100
30
Buttons
150
Building Futures
36
8. International Trade
Consumption
(after trading 40 units of each good @ 1Z =1B)
Country
P
Country
Q
Zips
60
70
Buttons
40
110
Building Futures
8. International Trade
Consumption Gains !!
Country
P
Country
Q
Zips
+10
+10
Buttons
+15
+10
Building Futures
37
8. International Trade
The Absolute Advantage (Adam Smith) model !!
Units of
Wine
(000s)
300
PV
CPCC
Country
C
Country
V
Maize
100
60
Wine
200
300
200
PPCC
CPC V
100
PPCV
0
20
PC
40
60
80
100
8. International Trade
The Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo) model !!
Units of Coal
(x tonnes)
Country Country
G
UK
400
PG
300
CG
200
CPC UK
160
100
80
Coal
400
160
Steel
120
100
NTG
CUK
PPCUK
PPCG
NTUK
0
20
30
40
50
60
PUK
80
100
120
Units of Steel (x tonnes)
Building Futures
38
8. International Trade
KEY to previous slide
With no trade G produces and consumes at NTG
With no trade UK produces and consumes at NTUK
With PARTIAL specialisation G produces at PG
With complete specialisation UG produces at PUK
With TRADE G consumes at CG
With TRADE UK consumes at CUK
Building Futures
39