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Your Tutor for the

Session

BSc Programme
Economics
Revision Session
2012

Building Futures

Topics
3 Hour Exam : 4 questions from 8 :
1) How markets work

5) NI measurement

2) Indifference theory

6) Multipliers

3) Monopoly

7) Inflation

4) Demand for Labour

8) International trade

1. How markets work


Market Equilibrium

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

35

30

25
Demand
0

200

100

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply
Excess supply

Case 1 35

30

Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

1) Sellers reduce price to clear


accumulating unsold stock.

Excess supply

(Buyers may offer lower prices for

Case 1 35

otherwise unsold stock)

1
30

25
Demand
0

200

100

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

price falls due to the substitution

Excess supply

(value-for-money) effect and the

Case 1 35

2) Quantity demanded extends as

real income (affordability) effect.

30

25
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

the lower price squeezes

Excess supply

profitability and the higher

Case 1 35

3) Quantity supplied contracts as

marginal costs of intensive

30

production are no longer


worthwhile.

25
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

4) Sellers raise price to cash in on


the shortages (Buyers may offer
higher prices to secure the good)

35

30

4
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

5) Quantity supplied extends as


the higher price boosts profitability
and the higher marginal costs of

35

more intensive production become


worthwhile.

30

4 5
Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

6) Quantity demanded contracts


as price rises due to the
substitution (value-for-money)

35

effect and the real income


(affordability) effect.

30

Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0

100

200

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply
Excess supply

Such changes will persist until

Market equilibrium

4 5

off changes in price, demand


and supply.

Case 1 35

30

Either type of excess triggers

the excesses disappear. The

variables cease to change

Case 2 25

when:

Excess demand

DEMAND = SUPPLY

Demand
0

200

100

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


The Market clearing process

Price of
tomatoes
(dollars per kg.)

40

Supply

But how do these disequilibrium


cases come about ?

Excess supply

Case 1 35

30

Answer Either some external


force has caused it (eg Govt.
price control), or MORE LIKELY
the equilibrium has moved
because of a shift in demand or
supply.

Market equilibrium

4 5

Case 2 25
Excess demand
Demand
0

100

200

Each of the six numbered arrows


should be EXPLAINED in
behavioural terms !

300

400

Quantity demanded & supplied per month ( 000s kgs. )

1. How markets work


This topic title can be extended to take in How WELL markets work in
which case EFFICIENCY (and maybe equity) would be brought into the
analysis.
Listen to the Introductory AUDIO POWERPOINT on this subject.
Price,
welfare

S (reflecting
opportunity
costs)

CS
PS

Maximum
welfare gains
from trade

D (reflecting
consumption
benefits)

Qe

Quantity per
unit of time

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


Forms of Government intervention in Markets
Price

a) An indirect
tax

Price

S + tax

P2

b) An indirect
subsidy

c) A maximum price
Price

S
S+
subsidy

MC
P1

P1

P1

P2

MC

P2
D

S
MB

Q2

Q1

Quantity per unit of time

D
0

Q1

Q2

Quantity per unit of time

D
0

Q2

Q1
Quantity per unit of time

The WELFARE LOSS


in each case

Building Futures

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


1) Government price control
Can be:
price ceilings BELOW equilibrium
(eg. rent control)
Price floors ABOVE equilibrium
(eg. Minimum wages)
Fixed prices either side of equilibrium
(eg. Fixed exchange rates)

Building Futures

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


Government indirect tax decisions
Indirect taxes are so called because they affect consumers
indirectly through pushing up prices. How demand responds
to such price rises will be relevant to the purposes of the tax.
Two main purposes exist:
To raise revenue (revenue duties)
To discourage consumption (demerit taxes)
Low PED is preferable for the first objective WHY?
High PED is preferable for the second objective WHY?

Building Futures

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


Incidence (who pays the tax?)
Indirect taxes are handed over to the Govt. by suppliers but
they pass on some of the tax to consumers by charging
higher prices. Thus consumers pay some of the tax and
suppliers pay some. The PROPORTION is called the incidence
or burden of the tax.
An incidence rule states that the ratio of the respective
burdens equals the inverse ratio of the respective price
elasticities!!
Building Futures

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


Incidence Rule
Amount consumer pays
(through higher prices)
Amount supplier pays
(net of higher price receipts)

PES value
(over relevant range)
PED value
(over relevant range)

Thus, in the special case where PED and PES values were
equal. The tax per unit on the good would be exactly twice the
size of the resulting price rise and the two groups would finish
up paying equal shares!!

Building Futures

1. How markets work in MIXED Economies


Incidence and price elasticities
Supply + Tax
Supply (Inelastic)

Price

Price

Supply + Tax
P2

P2
P1

Supply (Elastic)

Demand
(Elastic)

Ps

P1
Ps

Demand
(Inelastic)

Q2 Q1
Demander
pays

Supplier
pays

(the price rise)

(the rest)

Q2

Q1

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2. Indifference Theory
The Indifference Model provides us with information on FOUR
important variables that affect the consumer decision:
1.
2.
3.
4.

Consumer income (the budget available)


The price of good X (discos)
The price of good Y (meals)
Consumer tastes

Changes in any of these would affect the optimal decision.


1

Building Futures

10

2. Indifference Theory
The combinations

An Indifference Curve
Quantity
Consumed
of Good Y

Utility U

Higher Utility U1

12Y

12Y+5X and 6Y+8X


both give the SAME
utility (U)
Consumers are
INDIFFERENT
between them.

6Y

5X

8X

Quantity Consumed of Good X


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2. Indifference Theory
The combinations

A budget line
Quantity
Consumed
of Good Y

10Y+4X and 5Y+8X

If B = 60 pw
Price of Good X must be . ?
Price of Good Y must be .. ?

10Y

both give the SAME


level of SPENDING
(B for Budget) Both
combinations are
equally affordable.

5Y

4X

8X

Quantity Consumed of Good X


Building Futures

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2. Indifference Theory
Consumer Equilibrium
Meals
8
7
6

U1

U0
U

5
4
3

2
1
F
0

Discos

Point E is on the highest attainable indifference curve


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2. Indifference Theory
Point E is a POINT of TANGENCY
Therefore at E:
The gradient of the
Budget Line

The gradient of the


Indifference Curve

Price of X
Price of Y

Marginal Utility of X
Marginal Utility of Y

MU of Y
Price of Y

Therefore at E:

Therefore at E:

MU of X
Price of X
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3. Monopoly
Definition:
A pure monopolist is the only firm in a particular industry
and will (almost certainly) be protected by barriers to entry.
A monopolist may:
differentiate its own product
price discriminate
(But these are not definitional characteristics)
NB: The difference between PURE monopoly and firms that have
monopolistic power.

3. Monopoly
The two key definitional characteristics are therefore:
a) The FIRM IS the industry and therefore faces the market
demand curve.
b) The barriers to entry will mean that there are likely to be
long run supernormal profits.
We can add to these the general (commercial) assumption
that monopolists will profit-maximise and will therefore
follow the decision rule, MC = MR.
This gives the equilibrium output shown on the next slide.

13

3. Monopoly
Monopoly Equilibrium
MARGINAL
COST

Price

Pe

AVERAGE
COST

Supernormal
profit

DEMAND
(Average
revenue)

AC

MARGINAL
REVENUE
0

Qe

Quantity per time period

3. Monopoly
Inefficiency in Monopoly (welfare loss)
MARGINAL
COST

Price

Pe

Welfare
Loss

AVERAGE
COST
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)

AC

MARGINAL
REVENUE
0

Qe

Quantity per time period

14

3. Monopoly
Inequity in Monopoly (Exploitation)
MARGINAL
COST

Price

HIGH
PRICE

AVERAGE
COST

HIGH
profit

DEMAND
(Average
revenue)

AC

MARGINAL
REVENUE
0

Qe

Quantity per time period

3. Monopoly
But all is not negative with monopolies.
They will tend to be BIG firms therefore they may enjoy
INTERNAL ECONOMIES of SCALE
Increasing returns to scale
Factor price advantages
Research & Development advantages
All of these will tend to SHIFT the COST curves downwards.

15

3. Monopoly
Possible COST advantages to Monopoly
Price
MC1
MC2

P1
P2

AC1
AC2
DEMAND
(Average
revenue)
MARGINAL
REVENUE

AC2

Q2

Quantity per time period

3. Monopoly
Lower costs will reduce price (P2 < P1) and therefore will
offset the exploitative nature of monopoly
It could be a WIN-WIN outcome (lower price and higher
profits)
There will still be welfare loss inefficiency BUT the lower
costs make the maximum attainable welfare greater
(An inefficient high welfare world may be preferable to an
efficient low welfare world.)
A REGULATED monopoly attempts to achieve the best of
both worlds!

16

4. Demand for Labour


Demand for labour is an example of derived demand
Input demand is derived from output demand
Thus the demand for car-workers is derived from the
demand for cars
And the demand for property space is derived from the
demand for whatever is produced in that space!
But the exact nature of the link between input and
output demand is a little more complicated than that!
Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


The THEORY of derived demand is based on the
concept of MARGINAL REVENUE PRODUCT (MRP)
THREE definitions of MRP ..

MRP is the extra revenue from the extra product


generated by the last unit of input

MRP = Change in REVENUE


Change in INPUT

MRP = MPP x MR

MPP = Change in Product


Change in Input
MR =

Change in Revenue

Change in Product (sold)


Building Futures

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4. Demand for Labour


An arithmetic example ..
Labour demand
rises by
2 workers pw

Production
rises by 600
units per week

Sales revenue
rises by
1800 per week

MPP = +600 / +2 = 300 units pw per worker


MR = +1800 / +600 = 3 per week per unit
MRP = +1800 / +2

or

300 x 3 = 900 pw per worker.

Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


BUT MRP is not a constant value. It will be
variable in response to:
Changes in Quantity of Labour used
(ie movements along the MRP curve)
Changes in Productivity (MPP) and Output
Market (MR) conditions
(ie shifts in the MRP curve)
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4. Demand for Labour


The Firms MRP curve for labour
This may rise at first as more workers are used
(due to some specialisation)
But will eventually fall due to the Law of Diminishing
Returns (MPP )
and (possibly) the firms need to lower price to sell
extra production (MR )

Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


The Firms MRP curve
MRP
()
900

MRP
0

10

12

14

16

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
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4. Demand for Labour


The Firms Optimum level of demand

for this we need to


introduce info. on Input
price (ie wage rate)!

MRP
Wage ()

MC of labour

Wage pw
= 800

MRP = MCL
0

10

MRP
12

14

16

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


The Firms Demand Curve
MRP
Wage ()

for this we need to


introduce different
possible wage rates!

MC1
MC2
MC3
MRP

w1
w2
w3
The firms Dcurve for
labour!
0

D1 D2 D3

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures

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4. Demand for Labour


The Firms Demand Curve for Labour
MRP
Wage ()

MC1

Wage rate

The firms Dcurve for


labour!

D1

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


Shifts in the Demand Curve
MRP
Wage ()
Wage rate

MC
D1 (MRP1)

D1

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures

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4. Demand for Labour


Shifts in the Demand Curve
MRP
Wage ()
Wage rate

MC

D0 (MRP0)
0

D0

Quantity of
labour
(workers pw)
Building Futures

4. Demand for Labour


As previously stated (rightward) SHIFTS are caused by

Changes in Productivity (MPP)

Better quality workers

More other factors (more space, more machinery)

Better quality other factors (better machinery, better


space planning, better management)

Output Market (MR) conditions

Greater demand in the output market

Reduced competition/supply in the output market


Building Futures

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5. National Income Measurement


NATIONAL INCOME is the extra product
wealth generated by an economy
during the course of a year.
There are THREE ways in which this PRODUCTION
concept can be measured

PRODUCT method (direct)


INCOME method (indirect)
EXPENDITURE (indirect)
Building Futures

5. National Income Measurement


The circular flow of income
Goods &
Services

Expenditure on
goods & services

HOUSEHOLDS
HOUSEHOLDS

FIRMS

Factor payments
(wages, rents,
profit)

NATIONAL
PRODUCT

NATIONAL
INCOME

NATIONAL
EXPENDITURE

NP = NI = NE

Factor services
(labour, land, etc)

Building Futures

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5. National Income Measurement


The NATIONAL PRODUCT Approach

All firms
Output

&

ALL
VALUEADDED

Doublecounted
output
value

Output
of non-firm
institutions

Imputed
value of
owner-occupied
accommodation

&

Imputed
Rent

Transfer
interest
as output
of
financial
institutions

Transfer
interest

5. National Income Measurement


The NATIONAL INCOME Approach

All
Household
income

Wages and
salaries

Imputed
value of
owner-occupied
Accommodation

&
Retained profit
&
Any income
diverted to the
government in
tax

Stock
appreciation
&
Transfer
Income

Income from self


employment

Rent & Imputed


Rent

+
All profit less
stock
appreciation

24

5. National Income Measurement


The NATIONAL EXPENDITURE Approach

All
Household
Expenditure

Imputed
rental expenditure
&
Firms expenditure on
capital equipment
&
Inventory investment
&
Government spending
on the provision of
services
&
Foreign expenditure on
exports
&
Subsidies on goods &
services

Consumer
spending

Transfer
spending
&
Imports
&
Taxes on
goods &
services

Investment

Govt spending

Exports less
imports

Indirect taxes
net of subsidies

6. Multipliers
Theoretical Background
The SAY view (Supply creates its own Demand)
The KEYNES view (Demand determines Supply)
To be more exact it is AGGREGATE DEMAND that
determines NATIONAL PRODUCT, where:

AD = C + I + G + X M

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6. Multipliers
The economy will react to changes (shifts) in these
components through a process involving:
Multiplier repetitions
Spending brings forth new production hence creating
new income. Partial respending of that income
finances new spending which brings forth etc

Inventory adjustments at each stage


Each round of spending lowers stocks (inventory) and
that is the signal for producers to increase output. In
service sectors it is pressure on capacity that
constitutes the equivalent signal.
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6. Multipliers
NI

The Multiplier Process

The shift upward in


the Agg. Demand line
of 60 billion triggers
off an upward
multiplier process
which eventually
raises National
Income by 120
billion!

Aggregate
Demand,
(National
Income)
( billion)

New AD
Upward
Multiplier
Process

15
30

Original
AD

60

Initial rise in
Govt
Spending of
60 billion

160

Overall
increase in
National
Income
of 120 billion

100

The multiplier is TWO


45o
200

320
National Income
( billion)

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6. Multipliers
Multipliers are Measures of Sensitivity (like
marginals and elasticities). They usually involve
an initial CAUSE that brings about a larger
(multiplied) EFFECT.
In Economics 1 you may encounter SIX multipliers
The BASIC INJECTIONS multiplier (kj)
FIVE Fiscal multipliers (kj, kt, kb, kg, kr)
The CREDIT (or Deposit) multiplier (kc)

6. Multipliers
INJECTIONS MULTIPLIER calculations are based on the effects
of the multiplier process.
Suppose there is an autonomous increase in Govt. spending of
60 billion.
This is an autonomous increase in aggregate demand of 60
billion.
Suppose also that there are enough resources in the economy
to meet the rising demand.
Let us further suppose that people, on average, tend to spend
exactly half (0.5) of any extra income they receive on UK
(domestic) goods. The rest is saved, taxed, or spent on imports.
Building Futures

27

6. Multipliers
( AD of 60b)
( Cd of 30b)

( NP of 60b)

( NP of 30b)

( Cd of 15b) ( NP of 15b)
( Cd of 7.5b) etc
Hence the resulting overall change in National product (NP) will be:
60b ( 1 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 + etc )

which equals:

60b ( 1 + 0.5 + 0.52 + 0.53 + 0.54 + )


Building Futures

6. Multipliers
The expression in brackets is the sum of a geometric
progression that can be calculated as:
1
`
( 1 MPCd)

where MPCd ( the Marginal Propensity to


Consume domestic goods) is that 0.5
fraction we assumed described peoples
spending behaviour.

So the overall change in National product (NP) is:


60b ( 1 )
( 1 0.5)

60b x 2

120 billion

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6. Multipliers
There are two basic multiplier equations to learn :
1 The Multiplier value (kJ)
kJ =

1
` =
(1 MPCd)

1 ` =
MPW

1
`
MPS + MRT + MPM

2 The Multiplier prediction


Overall NP (or NI) =

kJ x Original AD

Building Futures

6. Multipliers
The basic multiplier process can be triggered by any
INJECTION I (Investment), G (Govt Spending) or X
(foreign spending).
Exercise: Suppose firms spend an extra 500m
on new machinery and MPCd = 0.8
CALCULATE: a) The Multiplier value
b) The final effect on National Income
What would be the overall effect if the 500m was
c) Only this year ?
d) Financed from extra tax?

29

7. Inflation
1) What is inflation

3) Effects of inflation

Definitions

Efficiency effects

Measuring Price indices & inflation

Equity effects
Macro effects

2) Causes of inflation
Demand-pull

4) Policies for inflation

Cost-push

Fiscal deflation

Monetarist view

Monetary deflation

Principal references; Paper


0498 and the DVD!)

Monetarist prescription

7. Inflation
Measuring Retail Price Inflation
A basket of goods is defined which includes all major
items of expenditure. Contents of this basket can
change over time.
Price rises (and falls) are monitored for each of these
items, usually over the course of a year. They are
expressed in percentage form.
These price changes are then weighted according to
the proportion of spending that they account for.

30

7. Inflation
The weighted price changes for all the basket items
are added up.
This addition is then divided by the sum of the weights
to give retail price inflation in percentage form.
This percentage of the previous years index value is
added to that previous years index to give the new RPI.
The original index value is conventionally set
at 100 for a chosen base year.

7. Inflation
Item

%Price Expenditure Weight

P x w

Food

+ 20

40m

+ 40

Accom.

+ 50

60m

+ 150

Others

10

100m

50

INFLATION = (40 + 150 50) / (2 + 3 + 5) = 14%


New Index = (Previous Index) x (1 + 0.14)

31

7. Inflation
Keynesian Demand-Pull View

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7. Inflation
The COST-PUSH view
Wagepush; autonomous increases in wage costs cause
inflation.
Imported costpush; increases in the prices of imported
raw materials.
Taxpush; increases in business taxes or indirect taxes
which raise business costs.
Profitpush; increases in profit margins or mark-ups
associated with an increase in monopolistic power.
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7. Inflation
The MONETARIST view
Monetarists argue that the amount of money in circulation is the
crucial determinant of INFLATION. This view of inflation is known
as The Quantity Theory of Money!

M . V =

then

Y . P
Building Futures

7. Inflation
(A)

(B)

If the MONEY SUPPLY were to expand (more than


real output (Y)),
And VELOCITY of CIRCULATION is stable,

(C)

Real output will temporarily surge due to asset


disequilibrium, then back to its original level,

(D)

Therefore PRICES will tend to rise in line with the


monetary expansion !!

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8. International Trade
Key points
Absolute advantage

Definition
Numerical example
Diagrammatic model

Comparative advantage

Definition
Numerical example
Diagrammatic model
Building Futures

8. International Trade
Other arguments for trade
Economies of scale
Choice
Co-operation

Arguments against protectionism


The arguments FOR trade!
Infant industries may not grow up
Employment protection encourages inefficiency
Prices (& maybe inflation) are higher
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8. International Trade
The Principle of Comparative Advantage.
(David Ricardo)
Trade creates economic welfare.
Providing there is no compulsion, there are no losers
only winners with trade.
In spite of this basic truism, many people still cant
appreciate why it can be beneficial to trade
internationally with countries whose productivity
capabilities are inferior.
Building Futures

8. International Trade
Maximum Production Possibilities
Country
P

Country
Q

Zips

100

120

Buttons

50

200

Building Futures

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8. International Trade
Maximum Consumption Possibilities
(no trade, 50% resource split)

Country
P

Country
Q

Zips

50

60

Buttons

25

100

Building Futures

8. International Trade
Production Specialisation (Q devotes 75% of
resources to buttons ie PARTIAL Specialisation)
Country
P

Country
Q

Zips

100

30

Buttons

150

Building Futures

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8. International Trade
Consumption
(after trading 40 units of each good @ 1Z =1B)

Country
P

Country
Q

Zips

60

70

Buttons

40

110

Building Futures

8. International Trade
Consumption Gains !!
Country
P

Country
Q

Zips

+10

+10

Buttons

+15

+10

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8. International Trade
The Absolute Advantage (Adam Smith) model !!
Units of
Wine
(000s)
300

PV

CPCC

Country
C

Country
V

Maize

100

60

Wine

200

300

200

PPCC

CPC V

100

PPCV
0

20

PC

40

60

80

100

Units of Maize (000s)


Building Futures

8. International Trade
The Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo) model !!
Units of Coal
(x tonnes)

Country Country
G
UK

400
PG

300

CG
200
CPC UK

160
100
80

Coal

400

160

Steel

120

100

NTG
CUK

PPCUK

PPCG

NTUK
0

20

30

40

50

60

CPCG Terms of trade


2C = 1S

PUK
80

100
120
Units of Steel (x tonnes)
Building Futures

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8. International Trade
KEY to previous slide
With no trade G produces and consumes at NTG
With no trade UK produces and consumes at NTUK
With PARTIAL specialisation G produces at PG
With complete specialisation UG produces at PUK
With TRADE G consumes at CG
With TRADE UK consumes at CUK
Building Futures

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