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Problem Statement:
Problem
Statement:
Only
2.5% of
companies
successfully
complete
100%
of
their
projects.
Gallup
Business
Journal
All
Project
Management
40%
Finance
30%
Program
&
Portfolio
Management
30%
PMI
AFRICA
CONFERENCE
2016
Problem Statement:
Problem Statement:
10
System
Dynamics:
The purpose of a model is to:
1. Understanding of the system.
2. Capture mental models and serve as a communication tool and a
unifying medium.
3. Discover policies that improve system behaviour.
11
System Dynamics:
12
13
Dynamic
Hypothesis
Employee
Skills
Variables:
Employee
Creativity,
Learning Ability, Individual
Learning,
Employee
Commitment, Motivation,
Employee
Morale,
Personal Mastery, Job
Loading, Productivity &
Employee Fear.
Customer/Financial
Variables:
Profit, Market Share, Client
Confident & Number of
Customers/Jobs.
Strategy
Related
Variables:
Visioning, Investment in
Human
Resources,
Investment in Admin Issues,
Provide Training, Bonus
Sharing, Improve Work
Conditions,
Shared
Commitment, Delegation
Level, Management Control
Level & Confess Level.
Organization
Related
Variables:
Organization
Learning,
Organizations Sophistication &
Skills,
Leadership,
team
Learning,
Organization
Alignment, More Perception of
the Changing Environment,
Respond to Environmental
Changes, Shared Vision &
14
Shared Mental Model
15
16
17
Constructed
Interviews:
Objectives:
1. Investigate
the
causal
relationships.
2. Determine
the
weight
of
effect.
3. Validate
the
dynamic
behavior
pattern.
18
Constructed
Interviews:
Example:
What
are
the
factors
that
affect
the
organizations
learning?
a.
b.
c.
d.
The occurrence of employees that masters what they are doing as jobs.
e.
The existence of employees that have the capacity & and ability to learn.
f.
19
Constructed
Interviews:
Example:
What
are
the
factors
that
affect
the
organizations
learning?
a.
b.
19/25 36%
c.
d.
The occurrence of employees that masters what they are doing as jobs.
e.
The existence of employees that have the capacity & and ability to learn.
f.
20
Findings
Analysis:
Equations
Before
Interviews:
Organization
Learning
=
a
+
b
+
c
+
d
+
e
Equations
After
Interviews:
Organization
Learning
=
(0.68a)
+
(0.36b)
+
(0.32c)
+
(0.20d)
+
(0.64e)
Where
a
=
Respond
to
Environmental
Changes
b
=
Shared
Vision
&
Mental
Model
c
=
Team
Learning
d
=
Personal
Mastery
e
=
Individual
Learning
21
Models
Output:
"Profit"
Dynamic
Behavior
Pattern
2500
600000
500000
2000
1500
300000
1000
Before Survey
After Survey
400000
200000
500
100000
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Year
After Survey
2017
2018
2019
2020
Before Survey
22
Sensitivity
Analysis:
"Profit"
Dynamic
Behavior
Pattern
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2012
2013
2014
Investment Strategy
2015
2016
Year
2017
2018
2019
2020
No Investment in ICT
23
Sensitivity
Analysis:
"Profit"
Dynamic
Behavior
Pattern
250
200
150
100
50
0
2012
2013
2014
Investment Strategy #1
2015
2016
Year
2017
Investment Strategy #2
2018
2019
2020
Investment Strategy #3
24
Expected
Benefits:
It closes an open managerial gap between strategic planning and project
management.
Provides a common language for discussion among organizations personnel.
Managing projects as business units contributing to the organizations goals
and business objectives.
Provides a common mental model for managing projects and how the system
works.
Obtaining highly skilled employees loyal to the organization.
Improvement of the organizations performance.
Decision support system through sensitivity analysis.
PMI
AFRICA
CONFERENCE
2016
25
Thank You