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Abstract
Permeability is one of the most important characteristics of
hydrocarbon bearing formations. Formation permeability is often
measured in the laboratory from reservoir core samples or evaluated from well test data. However, core analysis and well test
data are usually only available from a few wells in a field. On the
other hand, almost all wells are logged.
This paper presents a non-parametric model to predict reservoir permeability from conventional well log data using an artificial neural network (ANN). The ANN technique is demonstrated
by applying it to one of Saudi Arabias oil fields. The field is the
largest offshore oil field in the world and was deposited in a fluvial dominated deltaic environment.
The use of conventional regression methods to predict permeability in this case was not successful. The ANN permeability
prediction model was developed using some of the core permeability and well log data from three early development wells. The
ANN model was built and trained from the well log data and their
corresponding core measurements by using a back propagation
neural network (BPNN). The resulting model was blind tested
using data which was taken from the modelling process. The results of this study show that the ANN model permeability predictions are consistent with actual core data. It could be concluded
that the ANN model is a powerful tool for permeability prediction from well log data.
Introduction
Many oil reservoirs have heterogeneity in rock properties.
Understanding the form and spatial distribution of these heterogeneities is fundamental to the successful exploitation of these reservoirs. Permeability is one of the fundamental rock properties,
which reflects the rocks ability to transmit fluids when subjected
to pressure gradients. While this property is very important in reservoir engineering, there is no specific geophysical well log for
permeability, and its determination from conventional log analysis
is often unsatisfactory(1).
In general, porosity and permeability are independent properties of a reservoir. However, permeability is low if porosity is
disconnected, whereas permeability is high when porosity is interconnected and effective. Despite this observation, theoretical
relationships between permeability and porosity have been formulated, such as the Kozeny-Carmen theory. The Kozeny-Carmen
theory relates permeability to porosity and specific surface area
of a porous rock which is treated as an idealized bundle of capillary tubes. This theory, however, ignores the influence of conical
flow in the constrictions and expansions of the flow channels and
treats the highly complex porous medium in a very simple manner.
PEER REVIEWED PAPER (REVIEW AND PUBLICATION PROCESS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB SITE)
November 2006, Volume 45, No. 11
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Reservoir Description
The field under study is located in the northern area of the Arabian Gulf. It is an anticline structure with a productive area about
65 km long and 15 km wide. It is one of a series of structures
trending southwest to northeast produced by uplift movement that
is reflecting deep-seated basement faults. This reservoir is a thick
sequence of sandstone, siltstone, and shale with thin intervals of
limestone, coal, and varying amounts of ironstone. One of the most
important observations about the reservoir of interest is the gradual
decrease in sand content from southwest to northeast. It has been
convenient to plot core permeability vs. core porosity for several
wells and generate a correlation to estimate formation permeability in wells from which cores are not available. For homogeneous reservoirs, this method may prove adequate. As the degree
of heterogeneity of a reservoir increases, such correlation loses its
reliability. Figure 1 shows a semilog plot of core permeability vs.
core porosity measurements from three wells. The scatter of this
data shows the high degree of heterogeneity in this reservoir.
the lateral discontinuity of the formation beds over the lateral extension of the reservoir, as mentioned earlier, 460 data samples
were chosen by a random number generator for network training.
The remaining 240 samples were put aside to be used for testing
the networks integrity and robustness.
n2
n1
y = f bo + b j f j woj + wij xi
j =1
i =1
where y is the output variable, xi are the input variables, b and w are
the connection weights, n1 is the dimension of the input vector, and
n2 is the number of hidden neurons. Note that bo and Woj are called
the bias weights (analogous to the intercept used in statistical regression). Small random numbers are used to initialize all the connection weights (including the bias weights) and the final values
are determined by an iterative process.
The output, y, depends on the particular transfer function that
is chosen. The common transfer functions used in a multiplayer
network are log-sigmoid {y = f (x)= [ex/(1 + ex)]} and tan-sigmoid
or tanh-1[y = f (x)= (ex e-x)/ (ex + e-x)]. These functions are sometimes called the squashing function as it squashes the values
into the range of (-1,1). Therefore, all the values of the input variables (corrected log porosity (), GR, RHOB, DT, NPHI, and ILD)
and the target variable for permeability, K, must be normalized or
scaled in the range of (-1, 1).
Consequently, different normalization formulas were tested
to normalize the input variables. The following formulation was
10,000
Hidden layer
Input layer
Well A
Permeability (mD)
1,000
100
Well B
Corrected log
porosity (F)
Well C
GR
ILD
10
Output (K)
RHOB
1
NPHI
0.1
0.01
DT
Wn
0
10
20
30
40
Porosity (%)
FIGURE 1: Crossplot of permeability vs. porosity measurements
from three wells in the reservoir under study.
42
......................................................... (1)
.............................................................. (2)
............................................................... (3)
........................................................................................ (4)
.............................................................................. (5)
1
ykactual ykANN
q
wij (t ) =
e
+ wij (t 1)
wij
.................................................................. (7)
........................................................................ (6)
TABLE 1: Statistical distribution of the input data used for network training process.
Variable
Corrected log porosity ()
Gamma ray (GR)
Sonic (DT)
Neutron (NPHI)
Bulk density (RHOB)
Deep induction log (ILD)
Min.
Max.
Average
St. Dev.
5
7.934
80.7
0.213
1.873
0.1702
36.9
83.586
109.3
0.519
2.6274
2,000
26.77688
28.29141
93.88557
0.298479
2.226158
54.57274
6.588722
15.59948
4.303568
0.039343
0.103319
229.4703
TABLE 2: Statistical distribution of the input data used for network testing process.
Variable
Min.
Max.
Average
St. Dev.
5.1
7.643
80.1
0.227
1.84
0.169
36.8
74.306
108.2
0.484
2.7028
2,000
25.90846
30.09125
92.84418
0.298806
2.247061
89.21511
7.211273
16.78414
4.457518
0.042535
0.129651
359.5711
43
6,000
Well A
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
Well B
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Well C
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Conclusions
1. The ANN model for predicting permeability is ideal when
training the neural network using all six input variables [corrected log porosity (), GR, RHOB, DT, NPHI, and ILD].
2. An artificial neural network is capable of estimating formation permeability with a high accuracy by using geophysical
44
3.
4.
5.
6.
NOMENCLATURE
ANN
BPNN
GR
RHOB
DT
NPHI
ILD
STDEV
b
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
Actual perm., mD
Actual perm., mD
Actual perm., mD
Predicted perm., mD
Predicted perm., mD
Predicted perm., mD
2,500
5,000
7,500
5,400
10,000
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
5,250
5,225
5,300
5,275
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
5,450
5,500
5,325
5,350
5,550
5,375
5,400
5,600
5,425
5,450
5,650
5,500
5,475
5,550
5,525
5,700
5,750
Well A
Well C
Well B
FIGURE 4: The actual permeability and ANN predicted permeability vs. depth for Wells A, B, and C.
bo
e
K
n1
n2
q
t
w
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
wij
woj
xi
X
Y
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
REFERENCES
1. MOHAGHEGH, S., BALAN, B., and AMERI, S., Permeability
Determination From Well Log Data; SPE Formation Evaluation,
Vol. 12, No. 3, pp. 170-174, September 1997.
2. BATEMAN, R.M., Open-Hole Log Analysis and Formation Evaluation; International Human Resources Development Corp, Boston,
MA, 1985.
3. WENDT, W.A., SAKURAI, S., and NELSON, P.H., Permeability
Prediction From Well Logs Using Multiple Regression; in Reservoir
Characterization, L.W. Lake and H.B. Caroll Jr. (eds.), Academic
Press, New York, NY, pp. 181-222, 1985.
4. MOHAGHEGH, S., BALAN, B., and AMERI, S., State-of-the-Art in
Permeability Determination From Well Log Data: Part 2Verifiable,
Accurate Permeability Predictions, the Touch-Stone of All Models;
paper SPE 30979, presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting,
Morgantown, WV, September 18 20, 1995.
5. SIZE, W.B., Use and Abuse of Statistical Methods in the Earth Sciences; Oxford University Press, New York, NY, 1987.
6. DAVIS, J.C., Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology; John Wiley &
Sons, New York, NY, 1990.
7. SHOKIR, E.M. EL-M., Neural Network Determines Shaly-Sand
Hydrocarbon Saturation; The Oil and Gas Journal, pp. 37-41,
April 23, 2001.
8. SHIBLI, S.A.R., WONG, P.M., HUANG, Y., and MAIGNAN, M.,
Applications of AI-Based Techniques for Spatial Prediction; Proceedings of the 3rd Annual Conference of the IAMG, Part 2, Barcelona,
Spain, pp. 675-680, September 22 27, 1997.
9. WONG, P.M., TAGGART, I.J., and JIAN, F.X., A Critical
Comparison of Neural Networks and Discriminant Analysis in Lithofacies, Porosity, and Permeability Predictions; Journal of Petroleum
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10. WONG, P.M., TAMHANE, D., and WANG, L., A Neural Network
Approach to Knowledge-Based Well Interpolation: A Case Study of a
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No. 3, pp. 363-372, 1997.
11. SMITH, M., Neural Networks for Statistical Modelling; Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, NY, p. 235, 1993.
Authors Biographies
Eissa Mohamed El-Moghawry Bayoumi
Shokir is an associate professor in the Petroleum Engineering Department, College
of Engineering, at King Saud University
in Saudi Arabia. Previously, he was an assistant professor in the Petroleum Engineering Department at Cairo University,
Egypt. During that time, he also worked on
a part-time basis for the College of Engineering & Technology at the Arab Academy
for Science and Technology. Dr. Shokir holds
B.S. and M.S. degrees in petroleum engineering from Cairo University, and a Ph.D. degree in petroleum engineering from the Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Technical University of Clausthal,
Germany.
Ali Alsughayer is an assistant professor
in the Petroleum Engineering Department,
College of Engineering, at King Saud University in Saudi Arabia. Dr. Alsughayer
holds B.S. and M.S. degrees in petroleum
engineering from King Saud University,
and a Ph.D. degree in petroleum engineering from the Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University, UK.
Abdulla Al-Ateeq was a lecturer in the Petroleum Engineering Department, College
of Engineering, at King Saud University
in Saudi Arabia. He recently started work
as a research engineer in the Research and
Development Centre for Saudi Aramco.
Mr. Al-Ateeq holds B.S. and M.S. degrees
in petroleum engineering from King Saud
University in Saudi Arabia.
ProvenanceOriginal Petroleum Society manuscript, Permeability Estimation From Well Log Responses (2005-012), first presented at the
6th Canadian International Petroleum Conference (the 56th Annual Technical Meeting of the Petroleum Society), June 7 - 9, 2005, in Calgary,
Alberta. Abstract submitted for review November 5, 2004; editorial comments sent to the author(s) May 2, 2006; revised manuscript received
June 3, 2006; paper approved for pre-press June 7, 2006; final approval
October 16, 2006.
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