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Shipping Intelligence Weekly

Issue No. 1,239

16-Sep-2016

ClarkSea Index

This Week's Analysis (see Back Page)

Heavy Metal Always Close To Shipping's Heart But


Sometimes It Takes Nerves Of Steel

$,000/day

15

Vessel Charter Rates This Week


1 Year VLCC TC Rate $26,500/day

1 Year Capesize TC Rate

$13,125/day

6-12m 2,750 TEU TC Rate $5,900/day

1 Year MR TC Rate

10

$8,750/day

Jul-16

Feb-16

Apr-15

Sep-15

Jun-14

Nov-14

Jan-14

Aug-13

Oct-12

Mar-13

May-12

Jul-11

Dec-11

Feb-11

Sep-10

Sullom Voe

Primorsk
Wilhelmshaven

CONTENTS

Rotterdam

Roberts Bank

Crude Tanker Spot Market


Product Tanker Spot Market

Hampton Roads
New Orleans
LOOP

Houston

p2
p3

Odessa
Novorossiysk
Trieste
Augusta
Agioi Theodoroi

Arzew

Sidi Kerir
Es Sider
Ain Sukhna

Ras Tanura

Bonaire

Lome

p4

Bonny Offshore
Dar es Salaam

& Futures

p5

Gas & Chemical Markets

p6

Liner & Offshore Markets

p7

Secondhand Prices

p8

Sale & Purchase Market

pi

Recent Ship Sales by Vessel Type

pii

Fleet Changes, Bunkers


& Capital Market Activity

piii

Timecharter Fixture Record

piv

The Timecharter Market

p9

The Shipbuilding Market

p10

The Demolition Market

p11

Economic Indicators

p12

World Fleets & Orderbooks


Analysis

Gangavaram

Mumbai

Tripcharter Market, Freight Indices

Ship Demand Trends

Jamnagar

Mundra

St Eustatius
Bolivar

Large Bulk Carrier Market

Lavera

New York

Philadelphia

p13
p14-15
p16

Rio de Janeiro
Tubarao

Richards Bay
Saldanha Bay

Selection of ports covered by the various market sectors in this report

Asset Prices This Week


VLCC N/B

$85.5m

Capesize N/B

$42.0m

2,750 TEU N/B

$28.0m

VLCC 5yo

$62.0m

Capesize 5yo

$24.0m

2,750 TEU 5yo

$11.0m

Roberts Bank
Longkou
Qingdao

Chiba
Oita

Beilun
Mundra
Jamnagar
Pipavav
Gangavaram
Mumbai

New York

Philadelphia

Ulsan

Houston

Ningbo

Hampton Roads
New Orleans
LOOP
St Eustatius
Bolivar

Clarksons Research is respected worldwide


as the most authoritative provider of
intelligence for the global shipping industry.
Clarksons Research is part of the Clarksons
group, the worlds largest provider of
shipbroking and integrated shipping
services. For more detail about the
Clarksons group visit www.clarksons.com.

Bonaire

Singapore

Jakarta
Dampier

Banjarmasin
Hay Point
Rio de Janeiro
Tubarao
Sydney

Selection of ports covered by the various market sectors in this report

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20

$7,873

ISSN: 1358-8028

Crude Tanker Spot Market


Crude Tanker Spot Earnings ($,000's/day)

Crude Tanker Highlights


VLCCs:

120

70

Suezmaxes:

100

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90

30

A pick-up in cargoes offered from Nigeria has supported


rates on all featured routes loading in the West Africa
increasing w-o-w. Meanwhile, a tight tonnage list and an
active Black Sea and Mediterranean market supported the
rate on the cross-Med route rising to WS 70. Suezmax
average earnings surged 68% w-o-w to $18,012/day.

20

Aframaxes:

60
50
40

It has been a busy week in the Mediterranean and Black


Sea load regions, which supported the rate on the Sidi
Kerir-Trieste route increasing to WS 95. Elsewhere, the
rate on the Baltic-UKC route rose to WS 70. Aframax
average earnings increased by 24% w-o-w to $15,591/day.

10

Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul


'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15

Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug


'15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16

VLCC Single
Voyage.....
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23

280,000t Gulf - Europe


280,000t Gulf - US Gulf~ *
265,000t Gulf - Japan *
265,000t Gulf - S.Korea *
270,000t Gulf - Sing
280,000t Gulf - Red Sea
260,000t WAF - China *
260,000t WAF - US Gulf
260,000t WAF - WC India^
275,000t Caribs-Singapore^
VLCC Ave. Earnings *

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

VLCC Earnings

Sep 09

Sep 16

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

25
24
34
33
33
36.5
37.5
50
2.25
2.60

25
24
34
34
34
37.5
42.5
50
2.50
3.00

36
34
56
54
59
63
60
67
3.64
4.81

21,719
29,977
27,462
26,167
28,008
38,648
27,028
39,442
32,389
52,937
30,015

57,649
68,365
65,865
61,646
67,366
76,407
63,508
76,160
72,151
105,085
64,846

38,599
44,483
40,514
37,787
42,538
48,064
41,260
53,801
50,757
73,354
41,011

17,495
21,440
13,392
12,683
12,372
17,364
15,172
32,570
21,483
28,610
15,672

18,398
22,322
14,249
14,508
14,212
19,195
20,856
32,918
26,964
36,513
17,984

This Week ....


FIRM....
FIRM....
FIRM....
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER

5%
4%
6%
14%
15%
11%
37%
1%
26%
28%
15%

^ Lump sum in million dollars. ~VLCC earnings on the Gulf-US Gulf route are basis ballast to Bonaire from start 2011 onwards.

Suezmax Single
Voyage.....
24
24
24
24
24
24

130,000t WAF - USAC


130,000t WAF - Med*
130,000t Med - Med *
140,000t Black Sea - Med*
130,000t Gulf - WC India*
Suezmax Ave. Earnings *

WS 2016

Voyage.....
100,000t Baltic - UKC *
80,000t
Black Sea - Med *
80,000t
Sidi Kerir - Trieste *
80,000t
Mellitah - Fos^
80,000t
Med - USAC
80,000t
UKC - UKC *
80,000t
UKC - USAC
80,000t
Gulf - East *
80,000t
Indo - Japan *
70,000t
Caribs - US Gulf *
Aframax Ave. Earnings *

Suezmax Earnings

Sep 09

Sep 16

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

47.5
47.5
55
52.5
62.5

62.5
65
70
67.5
60

68
71
77
79
78

24,785
25,583
30,796
31,000
21,612
27,791

40,265
42,840
50,292
53,515
40,205
46,713

22,625
24,142
28,469
31,406
22,207
26,556

9,959
9,301
12,854
9,058
11,617
10,708

17,799
18,932
22,271
20,008
10,836
18,012

Aframax Single
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25

Average earnings $ per day

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

This Week ....


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
SOFTER
FIRMER

79%
104%
73%
121%
-7%
68%

Aframax Earnings

Sep 09

Sep 16

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

67.5
72.5
72.5
75
65
92.5
85
62.5
62.5
105

70
95
95
97.5
65
97.5
85
62.5
62.5
90

79
96
94
98
86
104
92
103
105
103

28,519
24,679
24,427
21,200
22,059
23,216
22,581
23,075
23,060
25,960
24,705

44,990
37,003
36,530
34,415
32,430
39,729
32,121
34,158
36,904
36,522
37,977

26,206
21,715
21,410
14,932
21,851
24,350
22,968
22,124
24,198
20,132
22,876

17,068
10,450
11,505
3,954
11,896
14,623
17,744
7,559
8,118
18,838
12,594

19,157
19,522
19,966
13,164
12,171
19,546
18,100
8,004
8,561
14,381
15,591

This Week ....


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRM....
FIRM....
WEAKER
FIRMER

12%
87%
74%
233%
2%
34%
2%
6%
5%
-24%
24%

"Voyage Earnings" are estimated from spot freight rates (see footnote on page 4); */ # Indicates constituent routes of "Average Earnings".
^Earnings and rate based on Es Sider - Fos before 20th February 2015.

Clarksons Research

Page 2

16-Sep-16

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80

With holidays in the Far East and MEG, the market exMEG has been relatively quiet. By contrast, the market in
the Atlantic has been relatively positive, with a number of
cargoes being offered early in the week and a pick-up in
the Suezmax market in the region supporting the rate on
the WAF-China route rising to WS 42.5.

110

VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax

Product Tanker Spot Market


Product Tanker Spot Earnings ($,000's/day)

Product Tanker Highlights

MR Clean Tanker Earnings


Handy Clean Earnings
Dirty Panamax Earnings

45
40

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35
30
25
20

15

Dirty Products:
In spite of limited activity in the UKC and Mediterranean,
rates on both featured routes out of the region increased
w-o-w. Meanwhile, activity remained subdued in the
Caribbean market and the rate on the Caribs-US Gulf
route remained unchanged w-o-w at WS 85. Dirty
average earnings rose by 10% w-o-w to stand at
$9,893/day.

10
5

Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul


'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15

Oct Dec Feb Apr


'15 '15 '16 '16

Clean Product
Single Voyage...
26
27
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
29
29

75,000t Gulf - Japan


55,000t Gulf - Japan
37,000t UKC - USAC *
37/38kt UKC-USAC-USG-UKC
37,000t UKC- W. Africa *
38,000t USG - ECSA *
30,000t Singapore-E Aus *
40,000t Korea-Singapore^
35,000t WC India - Japan *
35,000t Gulf - E.Africa
40,000t Gulf - UKC * ^
30,000t Med - Med #
30,000t Black Sea - Med #
Clean 'MR' Ave. Earnings *
Clean 'Hdy' Ave. Earnings #

^ Lump Sum in $million.

WS 2016

31
31
31
33

55,000t Med - US Gulf *


55,000t UKC - US Gulf *
50,000t Caribs - US Gulf *
30,000t Black Sea - Med
Dirty Ave. Earnings *

Sep 16

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

75
87.5
70

98
106
106

75/55

70/70

106/82

92.5
95
172.5
0.33
92.5
115
0.975
100
110

120
107.5
172.5
0.335
92.5
105
0.925
100
110

137
134
176
0.35
110
142
1.06
136
145

18,302
15,232
10,330
17,913
15,358
14,111
13,474
23,098
10,737
16,733
11,093
13,079
11,867
12,517
12,473

30,497
24,847
19,276
26,876
25,178
24,416
21,477
29,291
19,604
22,191
18,714
24,462
19,726
21,444
22,094

19,338
15,115
11,441
16,151
14,998
15,948
15,021
19,837
11,663
13,596
10,594
8,758
10,338
13,277
9,548

15,737
10,408
4,248
6,478
6,059
8,183
13,071
16,784
7,079
8,419
7,218
950
4,067
7,643
2,508

10,512
9,238
3,714
8,620
10,636
10,344
13,400
17,485
7,414
7,391
6,475
1,114
4,227
8,664
2,670

Gulf-West
Gulf-East/Japan
Gulf-Red Sea
Others
Total Number of Fixtures
Vessels due to arrive in Gulf ~
VLCCs Spot in Gulf ~ No.
000 Dwt

This Week ....


WEAKER!!
WEAKER
WEAKER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRM....
FIRM....
WEAKER
WEAKER
FIRMER
FIRM....
FIRMER
FIRM....

-33%
-11%
-13%
33%
76%
26%
3%
4%
5%
-12%
-10%
17%
4%
13%
6%

Earnings for a triangular voyage of UKC-USAC at WS 70, followed by USG-UKC at WS 70. See Sources & Methods.

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

Dirty Earnings

Sep 09

Sep 16

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

82.5
85
85
107.5

87.5
87.5
85
100

104
104
111
140

17,418
19,586
19,568
17,630
18,858

25,938
26,852
26,854
20,300
26,548

15,876
16,799
16,039
11,788
16,238

8,909
10,055
8,025
5,118
8,996

10,452
11,031
8,196
3,869
9,893

Average No.
2015

This Week ....


FIRMER
FIRMER
STEADY
WEAKER
FIRMER

17%
10%
2%
-24%
10%

VLCC Spot Market

Monthly Fixture Record

2014
Fixtures:

Clean Earnings

95
95
75

VLCC Spot
Market Activity...

Average earnings $ per day

Sep 09

Dirty Product
Single Voyage...

Jun Aug
'16 '16

Number

Last

This Week ...

Apr '16

May '16

Jun '16

Jul '16

Aug '16

4 Wks

29
102
0
72
203

17
87
4
58
166

29
81
2
58
170

15
59
1
48
123

DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....

-48%
-27%
-50%
-17%
-28%

100
8
2,450

119
8
2,429

66
7
2,093

122
6
1,825

UP BY....
DOWN BY.
DOWN BY.

85%
-14%
-13%

19
97
1
52
169

19
90
5
58
173

9
71
2
56
138

20
87
4
49
160

92
6
1,865

95
4
1,059

83
2
596

99
6
1,821

~ As at the beginning of the month for historical data; for the next 4 weeks (vessels due) or this week (vessels spot) for current week's data.

Clarksons Research

Page 3

16-Sep-16

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Clean Products:
An increase in available tonnage and limited activity in
the MEG combined to depress LR rates on the
benchmark route to Japan. Meanwhile, the MR market in
the region has also softened, with the lumpsum rate on
the Gulf-UKC route declining w-o-w to $0.925m.
Elsewhere, the MR market in the US Gulf has firmed this
week, with the rate on the USG-ECSA route rising to WS
107.5. Meanwhile, the rate on the backhaul leg of the
transatlantic triangle rose to WS 70. However, the rate on
the westbound leg fell w-o-w to WS 70. Clean MR
average earnings increased 13% w-o-w to stand at
$8,664/day.

50

Large Bulk Carrier Market


Bulkcarrier Spot Earnings ($,000's/Day)
35
Capesize Average Spot
Panamax Average Spot
30

Supramax Tripcharter

Panamax:
Activity was slow in the Pacific basin this week, largely
due to holidays in Singapore, China and South Korea.
Meanwhile, it was a subdued start to the week in the
Atlantic basin, with limited enquiry for shipments out of
ECSA. Nevertheless, average Panamax spot earnings
rose 4% w-o-w to $6,482/day.

20

15

10

Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul


'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15

Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug


'15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16

Capesize Single
Voyage
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34

176,000t ore Tubarao/Rotterdam*


173,000t ore Tubarao/El Dekheila
176,000t ore Tub/Qingdao*
166,500t coal Bolivar/Rotterdam*
175,000t ore Dampier/Qingdao*
176,000t ore Saldanha/Qingdao
176,000t ore Dampier/Japan 18m*
168,000t coal Hay Pt./China
168,500t coal R.Bay/Rotterdam
168,500t coal R.Bay/EC India
Capesize Average Earnings *

Panamax Single
Voyage
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36

Capesize:
It was a slow start to the week in the Capesize market,
with limited enquiry in both basins. However, activity
picked up towards the end of the week, with the major iron
ore miners in Western Australia and Brazil providing a
healthy flow of fresh cargoes. Overall, average Capesize
earnings rose 7% w-o-w to $13,132/day.

67,000t coal USGulf/ARA*


67,000t coal Bolivar/ARA
65,000t coal Murmansk/ARA*
55,000t grain USGulf/N. China*^
72,000t coal Rob. Bank/N. China*
72,000t coal Dalrymp. B./N. China*
70,000t coal Indonesia/S. China*^
72,000t coal Indonesia/WC India*
72,000t coal Indonesia/EC India
60,000t grain Nopac/N. China*^
66,500t coal Richards B./Rott
72,000t coal Richards B./WC India*
Panamax Average Earnings *

Supramax Single
Voyage...
37 50,000t grain USGulf/Jap.(HSS)
37 50,000t coal Richards B./WC India
37 Supramax Average Earnings

$ Per Ton
Sep 09 Sep 16
5.70
6.05
11.70
6.10
5.85
8.85
5.70
6.25
5.60
8.00

5.95
6.15
12.10
6.15
5.85
9.20
5.70
6.25
5.75
8.00

Average Earnings $ Per Day

8.30
5.90
5.10
29.75
10.50
7.90
3.30
6.00
5.25
16.00
7.00
7.75

8.30
5.90
5.15
29.75
10.50
7.90
3.30
6.00
5.25
16.00
7.00
7.75

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

4.01
4.32
7.91
4.62
3.93
5.93
3.85
4.52
3.48
5.65

11,321
13,477
27,342
13,601
12,511
18,862
16,800
15,690
499
12,922
16,315

6,170
9,251
14,080
8,431
6,306
10,124
10,315
7,689
79
7,906
9,060

2,858
5,331
8,899
5,231
4,684
6,943
7,878
4,855
-1,118
5,367
5,910

7,587
9,781
16,238
8,827
12,323
12,969
16,228
10,085
2,443
11,908
12,241

9,083
10,650
17,691
9,464
12,731
14,424
16,692
10,496
3,328
12,324
13,132

Average Earnings $ Per Day


2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

8.34
6.13
5.06
25.95
8.36
7.04
3.40
5.29
4.56
13.79
6.28
6.95

7,192
6,456
4,361
14,600
11,764
10,569
6,035
11,119
12,558
9,384
2,596
9,129
7,801

5,892
6,531
7,079
9,701
8,746
7,456
3,102
9,113
9,649
6,597
1,730
7,160
7,205

4,872
3,046
4,791
7,913
7,445
6,814
3,435
6,488
6,584
5,845
2,204
5,243
5,872

3,510
1,177
3,161
9,450
10,046
7,516
2,475
7,365
7,687
7,187
1,845
5,390
6,233

3,774
1,387
3,567
9,665
10,315
7,773
2,645
7,577
7,877
7,372
2,109
5,653
6,482

30.50
8.30

29.50
8.40

Average Earnings $ Per Day

This Week ...


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRM.......
FIRM.......
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRM.......
FIRMER
FIRM.......
FIRM.......

20%
9%
9%
7%
3%
11%
3%
4%
36%
3%
7%

Panamax Market

2016

$ Per Ton
Sep 09 Sep 16

Capesize Market

2016

$ Per Ton
Sep 09 Sep 16

Handy:
Sentiment was negative in the Pacific basin this week.
Limited fresh cargoes in the north Pacific contributed to a
4% w-o-w drop in the Supramax Transpacific RV
tripcharter rate. Meanwhile, a build-up of tonnage in the
US Gulf put pressure on Supramax rates in the region.

This Week ...


FIRM.......
FIRMER
FIRMER
STEADY
STEADY
FIRM.......
FIRM.......
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
FIRMER
FIRM.......
FIRM.......

8%
18%
13%
2%
3%
3%
7%
3%
2%
3%
14%
5%
4%

Supramax Market
This Week ...

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 09

Sep 16

25.80
7.33

18,950
6,317
10,819

12,586
4,389
7,366

10,690
2,782
5,608

12,763
2,779
6,353

12,162 SOFTER
3,139 FIRMER
6,388 STEADY

-5%
13%
1%

"Voyage Earnings" are calculated from spot freight rates for standard routes/ships. These assumptions are detailed in the "Sources & Methods" document on the Shipping Intelligence
Network (www.clarksons.net). Standard ships are indicated by the figures on the left e.g. modern Capesize = standard ship no. 34. A wider selection of spot freight rate and earnings
series, including for Kamsarmax vessels, is available on Shipping Intelligence Network. ^2014 averages comprised of July-December data.

Clarksons Research

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25

Bulkcarrier Highlights

Tripcharter Market, Freight Indices & Futures


Capesize
Tripcharter*
Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Average Capesize Earnings

2014

2015

2016

Aug 19

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

29,591
12,723
159
12,257
13,683

16,257
7,353
-236
8,113
7,872

11,713
5,356
-447
5,239
5,465

12,000
6,350
400
4,100
5,713

12,500
7,500
500
4,750
6,313

13,000
8,000
750
4,500
6,563

16,500
11,900
3,900
9,150
10,363

17,000
12,150
4,900
9,950
11,000

Panamax
Tripcharter...

2014

2015

2016

Aug 19

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

15,336
7,988
974
6,837
7,783

10,263
5,063
559
5,925
5,452

8,211
4,426
532
4,613
4,445

10,250
5,250
900
5,650
5,513

10,000
5,400
900
5,500
5,450

10,000
5,150
900
4,900
5,238

9,500
5,500
900
4,600
5,125

10,000
5,500
900
4,750
5,288

Supramax
Tripcharter...

^ Does not include Indonesia-China.

This Week ....


FIRM.......
STEADY
STEADY
FIRM.......
FIRM.......

5%
0%
0%
3%
3%

Supramax Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Indonesia - China~
Average Supramax Earnings^

3%
2%
26%
9%
6%

Panamax Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Average Panamax Earnings

This Week ....


FIRM.......
STEADY
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRM.......

2014

2015

2016

Aug 19

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

14,918
8,894
6,322
6,351
5,966
9,121

9,986
5,910
4,615
5,803
4,399
6,578

8,697
4,889
2,899
4,338
3,908
5,206

10,250
6,500
4,250
4,500
6,000
6,375

10,250
7,000
4,400
5,000
6,500
6,663

10,000
7,000
4,400
5,000
6,500
6,600

10,000
6,750
4,000
5,000
6,250
6,438

10,500
6,500
4,250
4,500
6,000
6,438

This Week ....


FIRM.......
SOFTER
FIRM.......
WEAKER
SOFTER
STEADY

5%
-4%
6%
-10%
-4%
0%

~ Based on delivery South China, redelivery South China.

Handysize

Handysize Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Tripcharter...
Cont/ECSA
Cont/USEC-USG
ECSA/Cont
USEC-USG/Cont
SEAsia/Australia R/V
Transpacific R/V
Average Handysize Earnings

2014

2015

2016

Aug 19

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

5,656
5,319
10,100
10,683
6,920
7,294
7,662

3,779
4,063
8,572
7,236
4,331
4,933
5,485

3,836
4,022
5,914
5,943
3,914
4,249
4,646

6,000
6,000
6,000
6,500
5,000
5,750
5,875

6,500
6,400
6,000
6,500
5,500
6,000
6,150

6,250
6,100
5,750
6,300
5,250
5,750
5,900

6,000
5,750
5,500
6,000
5,250
5,750
5,708

6,000
5,700
5,500
6,000
5,500
6,000
5,783

This Week ....


STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
FIRM.......
FIRM.......
STEADY

0%
-1%
0%
0%
5%
4%
1%

Note: Vessels based on Baltic standards where appropriate. *Capesize rates based on a 180,000 dwt vessel from start 2015, and a 172,000 dwt vessel previously. Trip rates
for a wider selection of standard vessels, including a 58,000 dwt Supramax and 34,000 dwt Handysize are available on Shipping Intelligence Network at www.clarksons.net.

Baltic Freight Indices


Date
06-Sep
07-Sep
08-Sep
09-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
14-Sep
15-Sep
Max Value
Min Value
Avg Value

Baltic Supramax Index Trends

BPI
641
648
655
658
659
656
649
645
659
641
651

BSI
714
702
694
688
681
671
665
661
714
661
685

BHSI
425
422
420
419
417
415
415
415
425
415
419

BDI
745
773
792
804
804
796
756
764
804
745
779

Index
5.66
5.43
9,829
5,441
9,618
5,173
6,917

Oct-16
6.15
5.50
11,900
6,250
10,125
6,450
6,850

Q4 16
6.15
5.40
11,775
6,250
9,425
6,575
6,850

Cal 17
5.75
4.60

BCI
1182
1371
1478
1566
1581
1607
1444
1487
1607
1182
1465

1,750
2014
1,500

2015
2016

1,250

1,000

750

FFA Indications*
$/day

15-Sep

BCI 7 Bolivar-Rott.
BCI 4 R.Bay-Rott.
BPI 2A USG/F.East
BPI 3A T/P R/V
Cape TC Avg.
P'max TC Avg.
S'max TC Avg.

500

250
7,475
5,750
5,900

Week No.

0
1 3 6 8 11 13 16 18 21 23 26 28 31 33 36 38 40 43 45 48 50

*FFA Indications basis closing mid-price

Clarksons Research

Page 5

16-Sep-16

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Capesize Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Gas & Chemical Markets


Gas Carrier
Markets.

Average

2016

Gas Market
16 Sep

LPG Charter Rates, $'000/month

Trends

2014

2015

Jul

Aug

91.21

90.14

24.40

20.63

19.00 SOFTER...

-8%

77,070 88,508

14,367 9,600

8,745 WEAKER..

-9% 3,500

3,500m Pressure (West)

51,810
45,839
31,452
27,737
33,361
28,205
17,011
7,179
7,533

19,398
20,121
20,581
19,628
19,924
21,042
16,110
5,425
5,589

15,781
16,110
18,905
17,261
17,589
19,726
15,617
5,425
5,589

LNG Spot Rate, $/day^


160,000m (TFDE)
145,000m (ST)

71,942 36,038
49,317 26,000

4,500

LPG Voyage Rates, $/mt

3,500m Pressure (East)

63,096
62,040
36,418
28,335
31,559
26,609
16,872
5,798
6,108

17,096
18,370
19,603
18,411
18,699
20,631
16,028
5,425
5,589

33,400 40,000
17,400 26,250

84,000m3 TCE,
Gulf - Japan

4,000

3,000
SOFTER... -8%
WEAKER.. -12% 2,500
SOFTER... -4%
2,000
SOFTER... -6%
SOFTER... -6% 1,500
SOFTER... -4%
1,000
STEADY... -3%
STEADY... 0%
500
STEADY... 0%
0

37,000 SOFTER...
27,000 STEADY...

1 Yr t/c (84,000m3)
Sep-14
Oct-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Sep-16

46.2K mt Gulf/Jap
LPG TCE, $/day
84,000m modern~
LPG 12 mths T/C, $/day
84,000m modern~
59,000m modern
35,000m
22,500m modern
20,500m Semi-Ref
17,000m Ethylene
8,250m Ethylene

-8%
3%

~Based on 82K cbm ship until end 2015. ^Single voyage loading in the next 3 months.

With earnings at current levels, it


seems that freight negotiations are
increasingly focussed on what might be
considered small change. Indeed, what
may just be a few $s/mt or $s/day is now
potentially a big gap to bridge when
trying to fix business these days. Spot
rates and earnings are at the lowest
levels since 2010, yet every cent seems
to count in the current market, on both
the owners and the charterers side.

Markets.
Voyage Rates ($/mt)
10,000 Gulf/WC India
15,000 Gulf/Ulsan
15,000 Gulf/Med
15,000 Gulf/Rott.
5,000 Rott/Houston
10,000 Rott/Houston
5,000 Rott/Ulsan
5,000 Singapore/Rott
1,000~ Sing./Houston
10,000 Ulsan/Houston
5,000 Houston/Rott
5,000 Houston/Ulsan
12 mths TC, $/day
13,000 dwt IMO II
19,999 dwt S/S

Average

2016

Chem Market

2014

2015

Jul

Aug

16 Sep

32.79
50.73
60.62
66.48
44.01
39.28
100.14
93.04
164.17
59.10
47.98
65.15

31.98
45.60
58.88
60.88
44.70
40.23
84.93
91.40
161.90
56.19
58.25
63.08

23.00
39.00
48.00
52.00
35.50
33.30
81.30
72.60
137.00
36.00
58.20
67.80

22.00
38.00
47.00
51.00
33.88
30.88
78.50
71.00
137.00
37.00
54.00
55.25

21.50
37.50
46.50
50.50
29.00
26.00
77.00
73.00
139.00
37.00
54.00
52.00

Trends
STEADY... -2%
STEADY... -1%
STEADY... -1%
STEADY... -1%
WEAKER.. -14%
WEAKER.. -16%
STEADY... -2%
STEADY... 3%
STEADY... 1%
STEADY... 0%
STEADY... 0%
SOFTER... -6%

probably some way off from being at the


point of actually taking such an action.
Thankfully, one owner has taken the
initiative and set an example by selling a
vessel for recycling; the first VLGC to be
sold for demolition since 2011. One can
only hope that other owners will follow
suit rather than persist in trying to find
further trading opportunities which only
serve to further depress the market.

Chemical Freight Rates, $/mt


100
Rott/Far E.
Houston/Far E.

90

80

70

60
50
basis 5,000mt
Easychems
40

9,167 10,146
14,042 15,200

11,250 10,000
15,750 15,350

9,750 STEADY...
15,000 STEADY...

-3%
-2%

Sep-14
Oct-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Sep-16

Chemicals

As things stand, it is expected that


vessel utilisation levels could deteriorate
further into next year. So there does not
appear to be much support for anything
other than a temporary improvement in
rates without some radical strategies
being
implemented.
Recent
data
indicates that many vessels in the VLGC
fleet are still not slow steaming which is
difficult to understand. Although there is
widespread talk of lay-up, owners are

Easychems except for: ~ Stainless Steel.

It has once again been a quiet


week in the specialised products market. Reflecting this, spot rates on all featured routes remained flat w-o-w.

On the Houston to Far East route,


rates for 5,000mt parcels stood at
$52/mt, below the year to date average
of $72/mt. Overall, the year to date average is up 16% y-o-y. Rates for
10,000mt parcels on the same route
stood at $50/mt this week. Meanwhile,
Clarksons Research

rates for 5,000mt parcels on the Rotterdam to Far East route stood at $77/mt.
The rate on the route has averaged
$82/mt in the year to date, 4% below the
average rate during the same period of
2015. Elsewhere, rates for 5,000mt parcels on the Singapore to Rotterdam
route remained steady w-o-w at $73/mt.

A persistent oversupply of space


has pushed down edible oil rates. The
spot rate for a 35,000 tonne veg oil carPage 6

go on the Argentina to India route declined $1/mt w-o-w to $36.50/mt.

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5,000

Liner & Offshore Markets


Liner Market Rates ($,000's/day)

Liner Market News

20
grdFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
1,7001,700
teuteu
grd
6-12
glsFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
2,7502,750
teuteu
gls
6-12
glsFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
4,4004,400
teuteu
gls
6-12

15

Container / MPP /

Sep-16

Jun-16

Mar-16

Dec-15

Sep-15

Jun-15

Mar-15

Dec-14

Sep-14

Jun-14

Mar-14

Dec-13

Sep-13

Jun-13

Mar-13

Dec-12

Sep-12

Average

Short Sea Markets


Containerships ($/Day, 6-12mth TC)
Feeder, 1,000 teu grd.
Feeder, 1,700 teu grd.
Feeder, 2,000 teu g'less
Feeder, 2,750 teu g'less
Narrow Beam, 4,400 teu g'less
Intermediate, 6,800 teu g'less (3yr TC)
MPP Tonnage ($/Day)^
17,000 dwt, grd. 1 yr. t/c (liner)
12,000 dwt, grd. 1 yr. t/c (liner)
European Short Sea 3,000dwt ($/t)
ECUK/ARAG - N.Spain
French Bay - ECUK
Lower Baltic - ARAG
UK/ARAG - W.Med
3,500dwt g'less. 1 yr. t/c (/day)~

Liner Markets

2016

2012

2013

2014

2015

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Trends*

5,358
6,292
6,408
6,742
9,942
29,857

6,321
7,096
6,483
6,829
8,696
27,542

6,396
7,313
6,933
7,425
8,771
24,667

7,250
8,842
8,483
9,563
11,817
22,750

6,800
7,000
6,200
6,000
5,150
13,000

6,700
6,900
6,150
6,000
5,100
13,000

6,700
6,700
6,100
5,900
4,700
13,000

6,700
6,700
6,100
5,900
4,700
13,000

STEADY...
SOFTER...
STEADY...
STEADY...
SOFTER...
STEADY...

-1%
-4%
-2%
-1%
-7%
0%

8,988

9,780
8,870

9,763
8,508

8,463
7,379

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

SOFTER...
SOFTER...

-4%
-5%

22.73
16.73
20.42
33.22

22.85
17.96
20.98
33.22

25.02
18.64
21.64
35.56
2,594

22.24
15.51
17.62
29.77
2,704

16.13
12.75
16.38
22.19
2,800

15.60
12.65
15.55
22.05
2,750

15.00
12.63
15.19
20.94
2,650

14.25
12.25
14.75
20.00
2,650

SOFTER...
STEADY...
STEADY...
SOFTER...
STEADY...

-5%
-3%
-3%
-4%
0%

*3-month trend for Container/MPP; current month shows latest end month data. Change since previous month for Short Sea; see www.hcshipping.co.uk for market report.
~2014 avg basis May-Dec data. ^2012 data based on previous historical vessel specification (see Container Intelligence Monthly), 2013 average basis Aug-Dec data.

Latest

Trends*

17,082
16,000
5,220
6,000

FIRMER... 33%
STEADY... 0%
WEAKER.. -13%
STEADY... 0%

4,400 STEADY... -2%


10,000 WEAKER.. -15%
23,000 STEADY... 0%
60-100 SOFTER... -6%
100-180 WEAKER.. -17%

Clarksons Research

35
20

30
25

15

20

10

15
5

10

This Month
Aug-16

Obk

% Fleet

2,917
2,336
1,022
6,703
12,979

2,977
2,463
1,010
6,903
13,353

3,002
2,520
993
7,005
13,520

185
221
171
408
985

6%
9%
17%
6%
7%

Page 7

0
Aug-16

2015

May-16

2014

Feb-16

Anchor Handling Tug/Supply


PSV/Supply
Mobile Drilling Units
Other Types
All Offshore Vessels

45
40

W.Africa Term, PSV, >900m2, $000/day (RHS)

25

Nov-15

Trends

$000/day

Aug-15

Offshore Fleet

000/day

N.Sea Term, PSV, >900m2, 000/day (LHS)

*3-month trend. ** Annual drilling rig dayrates on end year basis.

No. End

30

May-15

2015

Feb-15

2014

North Sea OSV Market /Day


38,400 16,895
AHTS Spot, 20k+ BHP
35,000 18,000
AHTS Term, 20k+ BHP
12,229
4,871
PSV Spot, >900m2
17,250
7,592
PSV Term, >900m2
Regional OSV Market $/Day
5,908
SE Asia, AHTS Term, 5k BHP 8,500
30,917 16,196
W.Africa PSV Term, >900m2
36,208 29,153
Brazil, PSV Term, >900m2
Drilling Rig Market, $000/Day**
Jack-Up, SE Asia, High-Spec 125-150 80-100
350-410 200-275
Floater, GoM, Ultra Deep

Offshore Vessel Charter Rates

Offshore Market

Nov-14

Market

Average

Aug-14

Offshore

Offshore fleet includes all mobile units; for more detailed coverage of the full
range of offshore sectors see Offshore Intelligence Monthly. See also Offshore
Drilling Rig Monthly and Offshore Support Vessel Monthly.

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10

The fate of Hanjin Shipping remains uncertain, and


disruptions to cargo operations continue. Many of the
companys c. 100 operated ships appear to be idle, whilst
there have also reportedly been several vessel arrests. A
number of containership operators have continued to reorganise services and slot arrangements this week,
including on the Transpacific and intra-Asian routes. Since
the collapse of Hanjin Shipping in late August, spot
container freight rates on the Far East-Europe and
Transpacific trades have increased by around 40-50%,
according to the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index
(SCFI). However, spot rates on these routes have remained
relatively steady over the last two weeks. As of the 14th
September, the SCFI spot freight rate on the ShanghaiEurope route stood at $966/TEU, rising 2.4% w-o-w. The
latest Shanghai-US West Coast route SCFI spot freight rate
stood at $1,742/FEU, a decline of 0.4% w-o-w.

Secondhand Prices
Trend
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
STEADY...
WEAKER..

-5%
-11%
-17%
-14%
-10%
-13%
-16%
-10%
-13%
-17%
-4%
-10%
-15%
-6%
-12%
-12%
-8%
-14%
-8%
-2%
-12%

Long Term Price Trends


Index, Start 2000 = 100

550
500

Bulkers
Tankers

450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50

Aug '16

86.0
62.0
41.0
26.0
57.0
44.0
31.5
47.0
32.5
21.0
43.0
30.0
20.0
34.0
23.0
16.5
11.0
20.0
15.0
25.8
112
-22%

Aug '15

100.0
80.0
55.0
38.0
70.0
60.0
42.0
55.0
46.0
31.0
48.0
35.0
24.0
38.5
29.0
19.5
12.0
25.0
17.0
27.0
144
10%

Aug '14

105.0
77.0
52.0
29.0
72.0
57.0
37.0
57.0
42.0
27.0
45.0
33.5
23.5
37.0
25.0
16.0
10.0
23.0
15.0
26.8
131
1%

Aug '13

83.0
60.0
41.0
26.0
57.0
42.0
27.0
43.0
32.0
22.0
41.0
31.0
21.0
38.0
29.0
19.0
11.0
25.0
15.0
24.5
129
15%

Aug '12

Sep

Aug '11

2015

Aug '10

2014

Aug '09

Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
5 yrs
10 yrs
19,999 dwt Chem S/S 5 yrs
5-y-o Tanker Index
12 month Change
310,000 dwt
310,000 dwt
300,000 dwt
300,000 dwt
160,000 dwt
160,000 dwt
150,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
70,000 dwt
51,000 dwt
47,000 dwt
45,000 dwt
45,000 dwt
37,000 dwt
37,000 dwt ^

2013

Short Term Tanker Trends


25%

% Year on Year

Tanker prices based on double hull vessels. ^Pre Jan-15 (dwt): 35k.

Bulkcarrier

End Year, $m

15%

Three Month

-20%
Aug '16

May '16

Feb '16

-25%

Short Term Bulk Trends


50%

% Year on Year
5-year-old Bulker Price Index
Percentage Change
Year-On-Year

40%

20%

2013

2014

2015

Sep

Trend

20.0
16.3
9.3
37.1
18.0
17.0

19.0
14.5
8.0
24.7
18.0
17.0

16.0
16.0
8.5
35.7
27.0
21.0

10.0
11.0
6.0
28.2
35.0
26.0

WEAKER.. -13%
SOFTER... -4%
SOFTER... -6%
SOFTER... -6%
STEADY...
0%
STEADY...
0%

*Ro-Ro prices in euros. ^Price basis a Narrow Beam ("Old Panamax") vessel.

Three Month

111

102

93

79

SOFTER...

-7%

Aug '16

ALL VESSELS

Trend

May '16

Sep

-40%
Feb '16

2015

-30%
Nov '15

2014

-20%

Aug '15

2013

-10%

May '15

Index

0%

Feb '15

End Year, Index

10%

Nov '14

Clarkson

5-year-old Tanker Price Index


Percentage Change
Year-On-Year

-15%

Aug '14

10 yrs
10 yrs

-10%

Feb '14

5 yrs
5 yrs
10 yrs

-5%

May '14

4,500 teu^
2,750 teu
1,700 teu
Container Index
Ro-Ro 4,000 lm*
Ro-Ro 2,500 lm*

0%

Nov '13

End Year, $m

Ro-Ro Prices

5%

30%

*Pre Jan-14: 58k dwt. Pre Jul-16 (dwt): "52k, ~45-48k.

Container &

10%

Nov '15

3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
7%
5%
25%
10%
0%
0%
4%
0%
7%
3%

Aug '15

FIRM....
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
FIRM....
FIRM....
FIRMER...
FIRMER...
STEADY...
STEADY...
FIRM....
STEADY...
FIRM....
STEADY...

May '15

36.5
24.0
14.0
8.0
24.5
14.0
8.0
4.5
21.5
13.5
9.0
4.5
2.8
17.5
9.5
6.8
4.0
71
-24%

Feb '15

39.0
25.0
13.5
8.5
25.0
14.0
8.5
5.0
22.5
13.5
8.0
4.5
3.5
19.0
10.0
8.0
4.5
73
-37%

Nov '14

54.0
39.0
27.5
16.0
31.0
20.0
14.5
10.0
30.0
20.5
13.5
9.0
6.0
24.0
17.0
12.5
8.0
116
-14%

Aug '14

54.0
44.0
31.0
18.0
33.0
25.5
18.0
12.0
30.0
24.5
17.5
11.0
6.5
23.5
19.0
14.0
9.5
135
28%

Trend

Feb '14

Sep

May '14

2015

Nov '13

2014

Aug '13

Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
20 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs

2013

Aug '13

Prices...
180,000 dwt
180,000 dwt
170,000 dwt
170,000 dwt
82,000 dwt
76,000 dwt
75,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
61,000 dwt *
56,000 dwt
55-56,000 dwt "
52,000 dwt ~
42-45,000 dwt
37,000 dwt
32,000 dwt
32,000 dwt
28,000 dwt
5-y-o Bulker Index
12 month Change

20%

Three Month

Resale prices basis prompt delivery. 3-month trend: avg last 3 months vs avg previous 3 months. See SIN for full details of standard ship size history.

Clarksons Research

Page 8

16-Sep-16

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Prices

Asset Play in Focus

Three Month

Aug '08

End Year, $m

Aug '07

Oil Tanker

Sale & Purchase Market


Sales Volumes & Values
4,000

Value

3,500

160
140

3mma

3,000

120

2,500

100

2,000

80

1,500

60

1,000

40

500

20

Volume

0
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16

Tanker
Sales* ....
Type:

VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
Handy/Pmax
Total No. Sales
Total DWT (,000)
Total Value ($ m)

Type:

Capesize
Panamax
Handymax
Handysize
Total No. Sales
Total DWT (,000)
Total Value ($ m)

Sales ....

2015

2016

2016

38
38
38
186
300
28,383
8,838

15
11
22
96
144
11,686
2,793

2
4
3
9
1,152
135

Y-t-d

Aug

2015

2016

2016

73
120
130
133
456
35,123
6,203

60
107
130
107
404
29,027
3,248

4
11
22
16
53
3,206
403

Y-t-d

Aug

2015

2016

2016

575
13,896
8,320

284
4,394
1,857

24
484
164

Baltic Sale & Purchase Assessments (weekly)

Y-t-d

Aug

(Based on max. 5-year old vessels, as published by the Baltic Exchange)


As of the12th September 2016.

2015

2016

2016

236
68
56
132
41
41
1,331
77,402
23,362
302

124
17
25
112
25
19
832
45,107
7,899
175

Total
Sales .....
Buyers:

Greece
Norway
Germany
China P.R.
UK
South Korea
Total No. Sales
Total Dwt (,000)
Total Value ($m.)
Average $/Dwt

With limited activity on the modern Capesize front over the past month we now see
some movement in the sector, with one sale to report this week and a number of
further ongoing negotiations. The Japanese controlled HANJIN MATSUYAMA
(179,166 dwt, built 2011, Sungdong SB) has been sold to clients of Winning
Shipping for a price in the region of $22.75m. The last sale of a five year old
Capesize was the CAPE ALTHEA (179,250 dwt, built 2011, Hyundai HI(Ulsan)),
which was sold in June this year to clients of Great Eastern Shipping for a price in
the region of $23.75m. Elsewhere, German insolvency administrators have invited
offers for the three sisters E.R. BAYERN, E.R. BOSTON (both 178,978 dwt, built
2010, Hyundai HI(Gunsan)) and E.R. BAVARIA (178,838 dwt, built 2010, Hyundai
Samho HI). Bids were invited on Monday and we understand that the sellers
received a number of offers on both a singular vessel and en bloc basis and are
now engaged in close negotiations. We expect to be able to report further next
week.

Aug

Other
Total No. Sales
Total dwt (,000s)
Total Value ($ m)

Dry Cargo:

Y-t-d

Bulker
Sales* ....

Whilst there has been a hive of activity in the dry bulk market, we have had another
slow week in the tanker space as the watching and waiting game continues to play
out in the face of softening values. We have just one sale to report this week, which
counters the general softening in values. The Ardmore controlled Handy tanker
ARDMORE CENTURION (28,987 dwt, built 2005, STX SB (Jinhae), IMO2), was
announced as sold for a price of $15.7m to undisclosed buyers. The sellers have
achieved a very strong price given recent activity in the sector. However, it is likely a
premium would have been paid due to the vessels IMO 2 capabilities. Sales of this
type are few and far between, by comparison the last Handysize sold on a straight
sale basis around this age was non-IMO NORD THUMBELINA (38,492 dwt, built
2006, Guangzhou SY Intl) which achieved a price in excess of $13.5m last month.

15
3
3
86
4,842
702
145

Meanwhile, clients of Oldendorff have emerged as the buyers of the four PostPanamax sisters TONDA SEA, TANA SEA (both 93,246 dwt, built 2011, Zhejiang
Yangfan), TANGO SEA (93,028 dwt, built 2011, Taizhou Catic SB) and TONIC
SEA (93,005 dwt, built 2012, Taizhou Catic). The vessels have been sold on an en
bloc basis by clients of NSC Schiffahrt for a price in the region of $40m. Additionally,
clients of Oldendorff have bought the German controlled mini Cape EMMA
SCHULTE (115,156 dwt, built 2012, Jiangnan Changxing) from clients of Thomas
Schulte for a price of $12.6m.
Elsewhere, clients of Tufton Oceanic are continuing their fleet expansion program
and have now added the following two Handysize sisters to their fleet. The
STEVEN C (34,340 dwt, built 2009, SPP Tongyoung SY, C4x35T) and LISA J
(34,426 dwt, built 2010, SPP Tongyoung SY, C4x35T) were bought this week from
clients of Apex Marine Corp for a price of $19.5m on an en bloc basis. It should be
noted that the same sellers sold the two sisters QUINN J (34,399 dwt, built 2011,
SPP Goseong SY) at the start of June and the ETHEL L (34,399 dwt, built 2010,
SPP Tongyoung SY) in July this year for a price in the region of $9.5m each. Lastly
in the Handysize segment, the KARINE BULKER (32,271 dwt, built 2008, Kanda
Zosensho, C4x30T) has been sold for a price of $7.7m to undisclosed interests.
In the Supramax sector, Japanese owners invited offers on the FLEET PHOENIX
(55,903 dwt, built 2006, Mitsui SB (Chiba), C4x30.5T) earlier this week. Of the 12
outright parties, five bids were received on Wednesday and the vessel is now
committed for a price in the region of $8.8m to Bangladeshi interests.
Finally, the 15 year old Panamax PRIMROSE (74,716 dwt, built 2001, Hudong
Zhonghua) has been sold for a price of $3.2m to undisclosed buyers

VLCC (305,000 DWT):


$61.265m
Aframax (105,000 DWT):
$32.934m
MR Product tanker (51,000 DWT):
$22.767m
Capesize (180,000 DWT):
$23.614m
Panamax (74,000 DWT):
$13.706m
Super Handy (56,000 DWT):
$12.615m
Note: Clarksons Platou brokers did not contribute to the above Baltic Sale &
Purchase Assessment rates.

ALL DATA AND INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT ARE AS REPORTED


UP TO NOON ON THE DATE OF PUBLICATION

* Includes vessels over 10,000 dwt only. Sales of bulk vessels under 10,000 dwt and of non-bulk vessels are included in "Other Sales".

Clarksons Research

16-Sep-16

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Tankers:
No.

$m.

Recent Ship Sales by Vessel Type


Vessel Type
D/Hull

Vessel name
Nord Thumbelina

Dwt/Unit
38,492

Blt.
2006

Yard
Guangzhou SY Intl

Date
30-Aug

TankChem IMO II

Ardmore Centurion

28,987

2005

STX SB (Jinhae)

13-Sep

TankChem IMO II/III

Diamond Orchid

19,702

2008

Fukuoka SB

13-Sep

TankChem IMO II/III

Princimar Americas

19,707

2004

Usuki Zosensho

09-Sep

TankChem IMO III

Pacific Marchioness*

46,697

2010

Hyundai Mipo

01-Sep

TankChem IMO III

Price $m.

Buyers

excess

13.5

Undisclosed interests

15.7

Undisclosed interests

region

20.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

18.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

5 yrs BB

43

Clients of PAG

Pacific Duchess*

46,697

2009

Hyundai Mipo

01-Sep

5 yrs BB

Ro-Ro

318 cars

FESCO Ulan-Ude

3,199

1985

Usuki Zosensho

06-Sep

undisclosed

Clients of AMTC

Pass./Car

876 pass.

Queen Star

500

2000

Rodriquez

16-Sep

undisclosed

Clients of Seajets

06-Sep

undisclosed

Pass./Car

1,500 pass

Povl Anker

1,940

1978

Aalborg Vaerft

Pass

418 pass.

New Imperial Star

1,746

1980

Stocznia Szczecinska 01-Sep

Offshore

Survey

Hawk Explorer

1,749

1984

Tangen Verft

01-Sep

Offshore

PSV

Maersk Forwarder

4,643

1992

Ulstein Ulsteinvik

25-Aug

at auction

# Clients of PAG

Clients of MOLS Linien


1.46
1.1

Undisclosed interests
Clients of Seabird Exploration
Clients of Karadeniz

undisclosed

Gas C'rier

84,333 cu.m

BW Borg

54,826

2001

Kawasaki HI Sakaide 30-Aug

2 yrs TCB

40.5

Clients of Varun

Dry MPP

100 teu.

Ming Heng 59

6,129

2006

Nanjing Yonghua

05-Sep

at auction

RMB4.9

Chinese interests

Dry MPP

210 teu.

Ming Heng 79

10,348

2005

Zhejiang Aotai

05-Sep

at auction

RMB8.04

Chinese interests

Dry MPP

1,842 teu.

Global Pioneer

30,537

2002

Xiamen Shipbuilding

25-Aug

Dry Genl

Gearless

Ming Heng 1

8,900

2011

Fujian Southeast SB

05-Sep

3.6

Undisclosed interests

at auction

RMB5.45

Chinese interests

150

Container

8,450 teu.

Maersk Santana*

97,517

2005

I.H.I.

14-Sep

TC to 2022

Container

8,466 teu.

Maersk Sofia*

97,550

2007

I.H.I.

14-Sep

TC to 2020
TC to 2021

Undisclosed interests
# Undisclosed interests

Container

8,466 teu.

Maersk Sheerness*

97,536

2006

I.H.I.

14-Sep

Container

1,708 teu.

IS Japan

21,292

2007

Imabari SB (Imabari)

06-Sep

10.5

# Undisclosed interests
Clients of Wan Hai Lines

Container

868 teu.

WEC Velazquez

11,433

2007

J. J. Sietas

06-Sep

German interests

Container

1,740 teu.

Anthea

23,579

2000

Jiangyang S.Y.

06-Sep

undisclosed

Car C'rier

4,287 cars.

NOCC Puebla*

12,780

1999

Uljanik Brod.

16-Sep

region

Far East interests

Car C'rier

4,287 cars.

NOCC Pamplona*

12,778

1999

Uljanik Brod.

16-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Primrose

74,716

2001

Hudong Zhonghua

16-Sep

Bulk

4x30.5t cr.

Fleet Phoenix

55,903

2006

Mitsui SB (Chiba)

15-Sep

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Karine Bulker

32,271

2008

Kanda Zosensho

15-Sep

7.7

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x35t cr.

Steven C*

34,340

2009

SPP Tongyoung SY

13-Sep

19.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

Bulk

4x35t cr.

Lisa J*

34,426

2010

SPP Tongyoung SY

13-Sep

Bulk

Gearless

Tana Sea*

93,246

2011

Zhejiang Yangfan

13-Sep

Bulk

Gearless

Tonda Sea*

93,246

2011

Zhejiang Yangfan

13-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Tango Sea*

93,028

2011

Taizhou Catic SB

13-Sep

# Clients of Oldendorff

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Tonic Sea*

93,005

2012

Taizhou Catic SB

13-Sep

# Clients of Oldendorff

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Emma Schulte

115,156

2012

Jiangnan Changxing

13-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Hanjin Matsuyama

179,166

2011

Sungdong SB

13-Sep

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Hanjin Isabel

36,798

2012

Hyundai Vinashin

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Western Singapore

52,433

2003

Tsuneishi Cebu

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Hanjin Liverpool

36,851

2012

Hyundai Vinashin

Bulk

3x14t cr.

Crimson Jupiter

48,205

1996

Tsuneishi Zosen

07-Sep

3.33

Clients of United Nav Devl

Bulk

Gearless

Darya Shree

74,823

2004

Hudong Zhonghua

07-Sep

excess

Undisclosed interests

region

28.5

25

Clients of COSCOL
# Clients of COSCOL

region

3.2

Undisclosed interests

8.8

Bangladesh interests

# Clients of Tufton Oceanic


region

40

Clients of Oldendorff
# Clients of Oldendorff

12.6

Clients of Oldendorff

22.75

Clients of Winning Shipping

08-Sep

8.3

Greek interests

08-Sep

4.7

Clients of PT Salam Pacific

08-Sep

Greek interests

region

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Jin Ming*

61,414

2010

Oshima Shipbuilding

06-Sep

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Jin Han*

61,414

2011

Oshima Shipbuilding

06-Sep

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

Bulk

4x25t cr.

You Liang

42,067

1991

Oshima Shipbuilding

03-Sep

at auction

RMB26.5

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Conti Flint*

57,081

2012

COSCO Guangdong

02-Sep

region

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Conti Fuchsit*

57,081

2012

COSCO Guangdong

02-Sep

region

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x30t cr.

NOSCO Victory

45,585

1996

Hashihama Zosen

02-Sep

2.1

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Nemtas-1

50,077

2001

Mitsui SB (Chiba)

02-Sep

4.4

Chinese interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

N/B RESALE HULL 1181

76,000

2016

Jiangsu Rongsheng

02-Sep

11

Tianjin interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Toro Orient

76,636

2008

Imabari SB Marugame 02-Sep

8.5

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Marguerite

47,304

2002

Minami Nippon

4.2

Greek interests

# Clients of Tufton Oceanic

02-Sep

Clients of COSCO Bulk Carrier

Bulk

4x36t cr.

JS Loire*

63,301

2012

Sinopacific Dayang

30-Aug

region

12.5

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x36t cr.

JS Rhin*

63,500

2012

Sinopacific Dayang

30-Aug

region

12.5

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x35t cr.

N/B RESALE HULL H3067*

63,660

2016

Huangpu Wenchong

30-Aug

17.5

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x35t cr.

N/B RESALE HULL H3068*

63,660

2016

Huangpu Wenchong

30-Aug

17.5

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

3x30t cr.

Siam Win

12,519

2006

Shin Kochi Jyuko

30-Aug

Undisclosed interests

RMB12.04

Chinese interests

Bulk

Gearless

Bei Kun

13,000

2006

Zhejiang Donghong

29-Aug

Bulk

4x36t cr.

United Jalua

53,538

2010

Halong Shipbuilding

26-Aug

5.5

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x30.5t cr.

Tan Binh 234

32,936

2006

Kanda Zosensho

26-Aug

7.2

European interests

Bulk

4x36t cr.

Temara

53,410

2007

Shanghai Chengxi

26-Aug

5.5

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x30.5t cr.

Aroma

28,050

2009

I-S Shipyard

26-Aug

Undisclosed interests

Tug

230 gt

Bhagwan Pride*

2014

Damen Changde SY

07-Sep

Tug

294 gt

Bhagwan Power*

2013

Damen Gorinchem

07-Sep

160

at auction

undisclosed

Undisclosed interests
# Clients of Svitzer

* En bloc Sales. #En Bloc price shown under first ship of bloc.

Clarksons Research

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16-Sep-16

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Tanker

Fleet Changes, Bunkers & Capital Market Activity


Cargo Fleet

Tanker Fleet

Changes

2015
No.
5,886
251
49
3
11
194
6,080
3.3%

2016 to date

000 Dwt
507,723
19,147
2,347
940
1,393
16,347
524,071
3.2%

No.
6,080
244
30
2
0
216
6,296
3.6%

2015

Containership Fleet

2016 to date

000 Dwt
No.
000 Dwt
No.
000 Dwt
524,071 10,480 758,506 10,704 776,568
23,587
659
49,256
435
36,412
1,536
429
30,549
334
24,653
430
0
0
0
0
0
6
646
5
640
22,481
224
18,062
96
11,118
546,552 10,704 776,568 10,800 787,686
4.3%
2.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1.4%

2015
No.
5,111
211
92
0
4
115
5,226
2.3%

2016 to date

000 Teu
No.
18,258 5,226
1,678
95
193
120
0.0
0
4
3
1,481
-28
19,739 5,198
8.1%
-0.5%

000 Teu
19,739
681
395
0
3
283
20,022
1.4%

Tankers and bulkcarriers over 10,000 dwt only are included in the analysis in this table. Great Lakes Only vessels are excluded.

Deliveries to the World Fleet


Type

Date

Vessel Name

Flag

Year

Dwt

Owner

Shipyard & Yard No.

Contracted

Built
GCargo
Bulk
Chem & Oil
Bulk
Bulk
Container
Products
L.P.G.
Tanker
Bulk
Tanker
Chem & Oil
Bulk
Chem & Oil
Ore
Crew Boat
Crew/Fast Supply
Crew/Fast Supply

Crew Boat
MPP
Bulk
Bulk
Tanker
Bulk

Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16

Keum Yang 2
Great Comfort
Stena Immortal
Pacific Seagull
MG Mercury
MSC Mirja
Pacific A. Dorodchi
BTC Balyena
Eco Queen
African Heron
Gener8 Oceanus
Archon
Bo Yuan Jing
Ternfjord
Sea Ponta da Madeira
Global Tiger
Karina
Baru Sirius
Pelican Renewal
Kairos Triumph
Federal Alster
Lefkada
Gener8 Perseus
SBI Poseidon

Regional
Bunker Prices
Rotterdam
Hamburg
Genoa
Gibraltar
Philadelphia
Houston
Cristobal
Los Angeles
Japan
Singapore
Fujairah

Activity

2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016

Price
3,567
63,498
49,750
63,463
84,790
200,148
109,999
3,717
299,985
34,387
299,011
50,100
28,784
14,848
403,508
124
210
350
33
17,578
36,583
37,951
299,392
60,432

Keum Yang Shipping C


Sinotrans Shpg. Ltd.
Stena Bulk
Keiyo Kisen KK
Chiba Shipping Co.
Minsheng Financial
Sinokor Merchant
SMC Shipping
Awilco AS
MUR Shipping BV
Gener8 Maritime
Capital Ship Mngt
Taizhou Boyuan
Terntank Rederi A/S
Pan Ocean
Global Marine Serv
Oceanografia
Baru Offshore
Pelican Offshore
Daishin Senpaku K.K.
Intership Nav. Co.
Lydia Mar Shpg. Co.
Gener8 Maritime
Scorpio Bulkers

Average MGO Price, $/tonne


2014

2015

2016

818
875
903
890
977
935
988
926
858
961

481
512
549
534
558
546
581
566
499
693

362
381
424
406
397
405
426
450
377
477

Capital Market
Shipping IPOs
Shipping Follow Ons
Shipping Bonds
Total Shipping
Total Offshore^
Total Shipyard^

KO.
H.K.
BR.
PA.
PA.
LI.
M.I.
PAL
NIS
CM.
LI.
LI.
PRC
DIS
KO.
SV.
ME.
BZ.
MY.
LI.
M.I.
LI.
LI.
LI.

Average 380 cst Price, $/tonne

Sep 09 Sep 16
413
436
463
448
435
457
465
498
425
510

Jiangsu Hongqiang H HQ166


Chengxi Shipyard
CX0660
CSSC Offshore Marine 12130008
Iwagi Zosen
388
Imabari SB Marugame1697
Daewoo (DSME)
4299
Daehan Shipbuilding 5007
Kegoya Dock
1171
Daewoo (DSME)
5417
Namura Shipbuilding 425
Hyundai Samho HI S778
Samsung Ningbo
H033
Linhai Jianghai
AVIC Dingheng SB AD0025
STX Dalian
1707
Grandweld
H143/15
De Hoop Lobith
455
ETP Brazil
041/12
Penguin Shipyard
H298
Honda Zosen K.K
1102
New Times SB
0103601
Shimanami Shipyard 611
Hyundai HI (Gunsan) 2794
Mitsui SB (Tamano) 1911

394
416
461
443
423
449
460
491
406
503

2014

2015

2016

533
543
561
557
577
547
561
570
607
561
563

265
273
289
286
303
272
286
289
340
293
293

191
201
209
206
214
186
200
207
239
209
209

Number

Sep 09 Sep 16
248
263
266
259
263
235
256
255
293
263
266

235
260
256
248
260
230
246
255
286
250
253

0
$m
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$m
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

38.00

110.00

Prices This
Week (380 cst)
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
STEADY...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...

-5.3%
-1.1%
-3.8%
-4.3%
-1.3%
-2.1%
-3.9%
0.0%
-2.4%
-5.0%
-4.9%

Trends

$ Million

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

This Year

5
19
68
92
77
32

15
60
59
134
99
14

15
58
53
126
76
27

10
40
33
83
40
14

1
17
17
35
13
6

614
3,751
13,321
17,687
20,092
11,231

2,969
6,168
11,118
20,255
19,740
2,140

1,637
8,466
9,483
19,587
15,279
6,751

828
4,849
7,398
13,074
19,764
1,820

7
1,548
4,730
6,285
2,858
4,096

DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
UP...

-99%
-56%
-13%
-34%
-80%
208%

Data includes companies whose core activity is owning merchant vessels, offshore units, or shipbuilding. ^Totals for Offshore and Shipyard activity include IPOs, follow ons,
and bonds. Trends this year based on annualised figures for this year against last year. For further information see Shipping Intelligence Network and Capital Market Monthly.

Clarksons Research

iii

16-Sep-16

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(No. Vessels , 000dwt/teu)


Fleet 1st January
Deliveries
Changes:
Sold For Scrap
Misc. Additions
Misc.Removals/Losses
Net Change During Year
Fleet End Yr/ Yr to Date
% Change Since Start Year

Bulk Carrier Fleet

Timecharter Fixture Record


Latest Tanker Timecharter Fixtures...
Reported

Charterer

Vessel Name

D/

Year

Dwt

2009

Ice LR

Ext.

Period

equiv.

Rate
$ per Day

109,060

12-18 Mths

Place

12-Sep

PBF

Emerald Spirit

08-Sep

Phillips 66

Houston Star

2007

116,093

2 Yrs

RNR

Sep 16

08-Sep

Penfield

Galway Spirit

2007

105,559

18 Mths

$17,000

Sep 16

01-Sep

Handytankers

Chem Helen or Chem Nicholas

2007

38,396

1 Yr

$12,000 + pshare Sep 16

C. Mediterranean

01-Sep

Navig8

Bareilly

2005

106,053

1 Yr

$15,500

Aug 16

D/C

24-Aug

Norden

Sky

2007

37,879

1A

3-4 Mths

RNR

Sep 16

Mediterranean

24-Aug

Norden

Style

2008

37,900

1A

3-4 Mths

RNR

Sep 16

E. Mediterranean

18-Aug

Scorpio

Jag Pooja Ex Challenge Prospect

2005

48,710

1 Yr

$14,500

Aug 16

WCI

17-Aug

Parakou

Korea Line TBN

2017

50,000

7 Yrs

$14,950

Apr 17

Ex Yard

17-Aug

Parakou

Korea Line TBN

2017

50,000

7 Yrs

$14,950

Jun 17

Ex Yard

12-Aug

Laurin

Nord Valiant

2016

49,973

2 Yrs

$15,100

Aug 16

Cont.

26-Jul

Tullow Oil

Kokkari

2008

298,500

7-9 Mths

$28,000

Aug 16

West Africa

25-Jul

Total

Hellas Aphrodite

2016

49,999

22 Mths

$14,500

Sep 16

Ex Yard

25-Jul

Total

Hellas TBN

2017

50,000

2 Yrs

$14,000 + pshare May 17

Ex Yard

25-Jul

Total

Hellas TBN

2017

50,000

2 Yrs

$14,000 + pshare Jul 17

Ex Hyundai Mipo

22-Jul

Champion Tankers

Lone Star Ex Navig8 Stealth

2002

47,465

12 Mths

$13,500

Aug 16

Arg

18-Jul

MTMM

Alpine Stealth

2002

47,465

1 Yr

$13,500

Aug 16

US Atlantic Coast

08-Jul

ST Shipping

Alia

2003

35,669

3 Mths

$12,000

Jul 16

C. Med

06-Jul

Frontline

Miss Benedetta

2012

50,400

6 Mths

$14,750

Jul 16

D/C

04-Jul

Shell

Lyric Magnolia

2016

115,000

60-180 Days

$18,000

Jul 16

Ex Yard

01-Jul

Reliance

Hafnia Adamello

2004

39,997

Ext.

1 Yr

$15,650

Jul 16

D/C

28-Jun

Scorpio

Zefyros

2011

50,122

1 Yr

$14,500

Jul 16

27-Jun

Stena

Densa Whale

2012

158,322

Ext.

1 Yr

$23,000 + pshare Jul 16

27-Jun

Stena

Densa Orca

2012

158,322

Ext.

1 Yr

$23,000 + pshare Jul 16

D/C

21-Jun

ST Shipping

United Ambassador

2007

73,584

Ext.

6 Mths

$18,750

D/C

20-Jun

Navig8

Captain Paris

2014

114,793

1 Yr

Average $21,500 Jun 16

West

16-Jun

Scorpio

Atria

2011

37,000

6 + 6 Mths

$13,500

Jul 16

Mediterranean

16-Jun

ATC

Muskie

2003

70,297

1 Yr

$19,600

Jul 17

AG

Ext.

Ext.

$17,500

Delivery
Date
Sep 16

US Gulf
UKC

West
D/C

Jul 16

Latest Dry Bulk Timecharter Fixtures...


Reported

Charterer

Vessel Name

Year

Dwt

Cbm

Gear

Period

Built

Rate
$ per Day

Delivery
Date

Place

15-Sep

DHL

Cavaliere Grazia Bottiglieri

2010

178,132

194,179

4-7 Months

$9,000

18Sep-20Sep

Xiamen

15-Sep

Classic Maritime

Aquabreeze

2003

171,009

190,153

12-15 Months

$9,000

16Sep-17Sep

Zhuhai

12-Sep

Korea Line

Star Angie

2007

177,932

194,179

10-12 Months

$8,500

11Sep-13Sep

Bayuquan

09-Sep

CNR

Greek Seas

2015

82,043

97,250

5-8 Months

$6,750

10Sep-15Sep

Phu My

09-Sep

Phaethon

Red Sage

2015

182,443

192,235

5-8 Months

$10,500

10Sep

Yantai

08-Sep

Cargill

Trade Will

2012

81,712

97,115

10-14 Mths/10-14 Mths

$6,500/$7,500

25Sep-30Sep

Taichung

08-Sep

Cargill

Trade Resource

2016

82,031

97,529

1 Years

$7,000

15Sep-20Sep

Lanshan

08-Sep

Cobelfret

Anthemis

2011

93,216

110,330

5-7 Months

$7,000

22Sep-23Sep

Singapore

07-Sep

Seatrek

Dalmatia G

2010

57,673

71,850

4C x 36T

3-5 Months

$7,000

Prompt

CJK

07-Sep

WBC

Spar Vega

2011

57,981

71,549

4C x 30T

4-6 Months

$7,650

Prompt

Hon Gai

07-Sep

MOL

Bravery

2004

76,606

90,740

4-7 Months

$5,850

Prompt

Chiwan

05-Sep

Priminds

Athanasia C

2012

80,988

97,091

4-7 Months

$6,500

02Sep-05Sep

Nagoya

01-Sep

CNR

Pedhoulas Leader

2007

82,050

97,233

4-7 Months

$6,500

Prompt

Zhanjiang

01-Sep

CNR

Vivian

2002

75,735

87,693

4-7 Months

$6,000

07Sep-11Sep

Paradip

01-Sep

CNR

Tiger Zhejiang

2015

63,488

78,500

4C x 30T

6-8 Months

$7,650

30Sep

N China

31-Aug

ADMI

Ecoan G. O.

2008

75,131

89,939

5-10 Months

$5,500

01Sep-05Sep

Se Asia

31-Aug

Trafigura

Genco Bourgogne

2010

57,981

71,549

4C x 30T

4-6 Months

$7,250

30Aug-31Aug

Shanwei

30-Aug

Oldendorff

Deneb

2000

74,078

89,158

4-7 Months

$5,000

06Sep-09Sep

Rizhao

30-Aug

Phaethon

Spring Cosmos

2014

63,273

78,703

4C x 36T

5-8 Months

$8,000

Prompt

CJK

30-Aug

Ultrabulk

Jupiter

2006

77,171

90,150

8-11 Months

$6,250

Prompt

Busan

30-Aug

Oldendorff

Simon Ld

2014

179,816

203,687

12-16 Months

$9,000

31Aug

Qingdao

25-Aug

CNR

Minoan Grace

2012

56,709

71,634

4-6 Months

$6,600

Prompt

Fujairah

24-Aug

CNR

CP Chongqing

2016

64,000

83,253

10-12 Months

$7,500

30Oct

CJK

23-Aug

Sivabulk

CP Guangzhou

2015

63,527

78,772

10-12 Months

Basis BSI + 12%

15Aug

Bangladesh

23-Aug

Swiss Marine

Pacific Canopus

2012

180,330

201,953

4-7 Months

$7,700

31Aug-02Sep

Wakayama

22-Aug

Pacific Bulk

Amoy Action

2010

56,954

71,994

7-9 Months

$6,750

Prompt

N China

19-Aug

Oldendorff

Very Maria

2001

73,910

89,246

3-5 Months

$5,600

15Aug

Jinzhou

Clarksons Research

iv

4C x 30T
4C x 30T
4C x 30T

16-Sep-16

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C Built

The Timecharter Market


Tanker Timecharter Market
VLCC (Modern)

16

35,158
27,632
21,911
18,743
15,684
14,730

27,000
22,875
17,750
16,000
14,125
13,250

27,481 32,154 40,933 33,599


16,856 20,317 23,173 20,270
15,567 16,063 16,091 15,326

27,000
17,750
14,125

Total Fixtures

To Date

120

1 Year t/c

20

100

16

80

12

60

40

20

0
Aug-16

42,707
33,038
24,587
20,510
16,409
15,250

140

Spot $/day
24

Jun-16

30,183
24,413
19,029
16,466
15,399
14,678

$,000/day

Apr-16

23,404
18,096
15,048
15,514
15,063
13,707

28

Feb-16

26,500
21,250
16,000
15,000
13,125
12,000

Dec-15

39,382
29,342
23,227
19,806
16,158
14,852

Oct-15

48,433
35,875
26,712
23,567
17,769
15,880

Aug-15

28,115
22,712
17,538
15,880
14,630
13,774

Jun-15

19,837
16,014
13,288
14,981
14,351
13,063

No. fixtures

Apr-15

2016

Feb-15

2015

Dec-14

2014

T/C Activity
...over 1 year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

VLCC
200,000 +
Suezmax
120-200,000
Aframax
80-120,000
Panamax
60-80,000
Handy
10-60,000
Total No. Fixtures

26
20
21
21
108
196

12
14
42
27
139
234

30
25
61
28
101
245

71
36
63
31
100
301

15
7
28
18
68
136

Total in m. dwt

19.9

18.9

26.5

41.2

13.3

Tanker timecharter activity this week


This week, US-based PBF were reported to have
chartered the 2009-built, 109,060 dwt EMERALD
SPIRIT for between 12 and 18 months at a rate of
$17,500/day. Last week, US-headquartered Phillips 66
fixed the 2007-built 116,093 dwt HOUSTON STAR for
two years.

Sep

T/C Activity & The Freight Market

Estimated owners' rates prior to start 2016. Modern=no more than 10 years old.

Bulk Carrier Timecharter Market

17,303 21,038 13,270 10,253


10,870 13,935 9,519
7,804
10,928 11,428 8,207
7,118
9,385
9,519
7,293
6,289

10,875
7,800
7,000
6,000

Total Fixtures

To Date

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Capesize
100,000 +
Panamax
65-100,000
Handymax
40-65,000
Handysize
10-40,000
Total No. Fixtures

20
55
18
3
96

33
78
11
1
123

61
70
9
3
143

36
45
4
0
85

24
31
8
0
63

Total in m. dwt

8.9

12.7

16.8

10.3

7.2

Tanker and bulk carrier T/C activity size ranges reflect existing Clarksons Research ship type
definitions. Modern is taken to mean no more than 10 years old. A wider selection of
bulkcarrier T/C rates are available on Shipping Intelligence Network at www.clarksons.net.

Clarksons Research

Page 9

10

25

20

15

10

0
Aug-16

10,750
7,175
6,250
5,500

1 Year t/c
Spot $/day

Jun-16

9,268
6,544
6,257
5,507

$,000/day 30

Apr-16

16,413 20,889 12,104


10,125 13,050 8,373
10,284 11,385 7,966
8,726
9,346
7,077

12

Feb-16

8,750
6,400
6,750
5,250

Dec-15

7,553
5,622
5,641
4,914

No. fixtures

Oct-15

15,760 21,751 11,175


10,099 12,035 7,492
10,034 11,385 7,620
8,106
9,012
6,692

Capesize timecharter rates based on a 180,000 dwt vessel from start 2015 and 172,000 dwt
vessel previously.

T/C Activity
...over 1 year

Capesize (Modern)

16

Aug-15

2016

Jun-15

2015

Apr-15

2014

Feb-15

2013

One Year Timecharter


Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern
Three Year Timecharter
Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern
Five Year Timecharter
Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern

Dec-14

(Average Pac/Atl Delivery)

Oct-14

Average Rate $/day To Date

Aug-14

Timecharter Rates

Bulk carrier timecharter activity this week


The 2003-built Capesize AQUABREEZE was
chartered by Classic Maritime for 12-15 months at
$9,000/day this week. Meanwhile, the 2012-built
Kamsarmax TRADE WILL was chartered by Cargill
for an initial period of 10-14 months at $6,500/day, with
an option for a further 10-14 months at $7,500/day.
16-Sep-16

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2013
One Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
150,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
74,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern
37,000 Dwt
Modern
Three Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
150,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
74,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern
37,000 Dwt
Modern
Five Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern

T/C Activity & The Freight Market

Sep

Oct-14

Average Rate $/day To Date

Aug-14

Timecharter Rates

The Shipbuilding Market


What's Been Ordered...
Type
Cruise
Pass/Car F.
Container
Container
Container
Chem & Oil
Chem & Oil
Products
Products
Products
Products
Cruise
Cruise
Bulk
Bulk
Ro-Ro/Cnt
Ro-Ro/Cnt
Tanker
Tanker
Tanker
Asp.& Bit.
Asp.& Bit.
Asp.& Bit.

Date
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16

Dwt/Unit
600
5,600
22,000
22,000
22,000
28,000
28,000
4,500
4,500
6,000
6,000

210
600
1,900
1,900
1,900

240
240
63,000
63,000
50,000
50,000
320,000
320,000
311,000
7,500
7,500
7,500

Delivery
Oct 2017
Jun 2017
Dec 2017
Jan 2018
Feb 2018
2018
2018
Jan 2018
2018
2017
2017
Apr 2019
Oct 2019
2019
2019
Jun 2019
Jun 2020
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018

Builder

Price

ASENAV
MHI Shimonoseki
Jiangsu New YZJ
Jiangsu New YZJ
Jiangsu New YZJ
Wuhu Shipyard
Wuhu Shipyard
Kangnam Corporation
Kangnam Corporation
Zhejiang Shenzhou
Zhejiang Shenzhou
VARD Tulcea
VARD Tulcea
Imabari SB (Imabari)
Imabari SB (Imabari)
Gen. Dynamics NASSCO
Gen. Dynamics NASSCO
JMU Ariake Shipyard
JMU Ariake Shipyard
JMU Ariake Shipyard
Chengxi Shipyard
Chengxi Shipyard
Chengxi Shipyard

$m
$m
$m
$m

24.00
24.00
255.50
255.50

Owner/Manager*
Nisa Navegacion S.A.
Shin Nihonkai Ferry
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Unknown Chinese
Unknown Chinese
Doora Logistics Co.
Doora Logistics Co.
Sinanju Tankers Pte.
Sinanju Tankers Pte.
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
Wisdom Marine Group
Wisdom Marine Group
Matson Inc
Matson Inc
JX Ocean
JX Ocean
Kyoei Tanker
COSCO Southn Asphalt
COSCO Southn Asphalt
COSCO Southn Asphalt

S=Status, where: 5=confirmed order, 16=unconfirmed order, 17=option. Other units are: teu for containerships, cbm for gas vessels, numbers of cars, passengers or berths.
* The Primary Reference Company, as used in the Clarkson Fleet Database i.e. the company with the main commercial responsibility for the ship.

Shipbuilding News

Three Month

WEAKER... -4.5%
WEAKER!! -6.0%
WEAKER!! -6.6%
WEAKER... -1.5%

180,000 dwt
81,000 dwt
62,000 dwt
35,000 dwt

53.5
29.5
26.5
22.3

54.0
30.0
27.0
23.0

46.0
26.5
24.3
20.5

42.0
24.5
22.3
19.5

WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...

-4.0%
-2.7%
-2.9%
-1.7%

82,000m
174,000m

74.5

79.0
205.0

77.0
204.0

72.5 WEAKER...
198.0 WEAKER...

-2.2%
-0.7%

13,000 teu
2,750 teu
Pure Car Carrier 6,000 ceu
Clarkson Index

113.5
31.5
66.5
133

116.0
32.5
64.0
138

116.0
29.5
59.5
131

109.0
28.0
59.0
125

-3.3%
-2.9%
-1.1%
-2.4%

Newbuilding
Activity ....
Oil Tankers
Chemical & Spec. Tankers
LPG Carriers
LNG Carriers
Bulk Carriers
Containerships
General Cargo Vessels
Ro-Ro Vessels
Refrigerated Vessels
Offshore Vessels
FPSO/FSU
Passenger & Cruise Ships
Other Misc. Vessels
TOTAL CONTRACTING

Vessels Contracted

WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER....

Newbuilding Price Index

Year-on-Year

2013

2014

2015

2016

394
134
121
45
1246
288
91
56
2
571
5
69
34
3,056

221
161
111
69
780
160
94
35
11
477
7
59
32
2,217

413
116
73
34
354
242
112
53
6
143
4
40
27
1,617

50
23
5
4
37
61
16
18
1
31
49
8
303

Trend ...
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
FIRMER...
WEAK.
WEAK.

-83%
-72%
-90%
-83%
-85%
-65%
-80%
-52%
-77%
-70%
-100%
72%
-58%
-74%

Index, Jan'88 = 100


200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130

Ten year trend in


newbuilding
prices

120
110
100

Aug-16

85.5
55.5
45.5
33.0

Aug-15

93.5
63.0
52.0
35.5

Aug-14

97.0
65.0
54.0
36.8

Aug-13

94.0
59.5
52.3
34.8

Aug-12

320,000 dwt
157,000 dwt
115,000 dwt
51,000 dwt

Tankers
VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
'MR' Tanker
Bulk Carriers
Capesize
Panamax
Handymax
Handysize
Gas Vessels
LPG
LNG
Dry Cargo
Container
Container

There is only one order to report in the


newbuilding market this week. Shin Nihonkai Ferry
have announced an order for one firm 14,400 GT
passenger/car ferry at Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.
This is the second vessel in the series and is
scheduled to be delivered in 1H 2017 from the yards
Shimonoseki facility. The vessel will be able to carry
600 passengers and 22 vehicles. Shin Nihonkai
Ferry previously ordered one passenger/car ferry at
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries in November 2015,
which is scheduled for delivery in Q1 2017.
Global newbuild contracting activity has remained
weak in the year to date. There have been 303
reported newbuilding orders so far in 2016,
representing a 74% y-o-y decline in numerical terms
on an annualised basis.
Guideline newbuilding prices have weakened
throughout the first eight months of 2016. The
Clarksons Newbuilding Price Index currently stands
at 125 points, down 5% since the start of the year.

Aug-11

Sep

Aug-10

2015

Aug-09

2014

Aug-08

Trend ...

2013

Aug-07

Prices ....

Year End, $m.

Aug-06

Newbuilding

Newbuilding prices vary as to country of build, delivery and ship specification. Prices here are end year/latest and from Jun-08 assume a "European spec", 20/20/20/20/20% payments and "first class competitive
yards" quotations, and relate to market contracts where these have taken place and to brokers' best estimates when no contracts have occurred. 3-month trend basis last 3 vs previous 3 months.

Clarksons Research

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S
5
5
5
5
5
5
17
5
17
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5

The Demolition Market


Type

Date

Container
Bulk
M. Sulphur
Bulk
ERRV
Reefer
PCC
Container
Container
Container
Research
Bulk
L.P.G.
Pass/Car F.
PCC
Container
Container
Container
Container
Container
Container
Container
Bulk

Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16

Scrap
Prices...

Vessel Name

Flag
LI.
TV.
MA.
KO.
BR.
BS.
SG.
PRC
PA.
PA.
PA.
PA.
DJ.
M.I.
PA.
LI.
LI.
LI.
LI.
LI.
LI.
LI.
PA.

Viktoria Wulff
Deep True
Mitrope
C. Young
Putford Apollo
Belgian Reefer
Medea
Jing Po He
Ha Ni He
Bu Yi He
John Lethbridge
Hibari
Aruja
Lucky Star
Hercules Highway
HS Colon
Liwia P
Meta
Heike P
Alexandra
Hang Jun 5
Northern Grace
DST Drammen

Year End ($/ldt)


2013

2014

2015

Blt
2006
1985
1999
1988
1975
1983
1982
1997
1997
1997
1966
1997
1981
1976
1987
2002
2001
2001
2000
2000
2003
2000
1998

Latest

Tankers

435

450

290

265

-9%

425

420

282

285

1%

Note: The scrap prices ($/ldt) are based on Indian prices for VLCC tankers and a
Handy dry bulk carrier of around 8,000 ldt.

Activity...

Year (m dwt)

This Year
%

2013

2014

2015

2016

China

11.1

8.4

6.6

3.4

-29%

India

11.8

8.7

7.8

9.2

62%

Bangladesh

12.0

6.9

13.5

11.1

12%

Pakistan

9.3

6.9

8.2

7.0

17%

Other

2.7

2.7

2.8

3.6

77%

TOTAL

46.9

33.6

38.8

34.3

21%

Size &
Type...

Year (m dwt)
2013

2014

2015

5.0

2.4

0.5

2016

550

Buyer
As is Shanghai
India
As is Colombo
Old sale
Denmark
India
China P.R.
China P.R.
China P.R.
China P.R.
U.K. Interests
China P.R.
India
Turkey
India
As is Malta
As is Hong Kong
As is Malta
As is S'pore
As is Korea
As is Colombia
Bangladesh
Pakistan

$/ldt

$ m.

303.0
268.0

6.42
1.52

276.0
282.0
258.0
287.0
280.0
240.0
295.0

5.32
3.69
3.36
3.75
3.66
3.64
5.92

US$ per ldt

500

Tankers - India
Handy Bulk - India
Tankers - Bangladesh

450
400
350
300
250
200

Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep
'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16 '16

Demolition Market News

-100%

Suezmax

1.0

1.1

0.1

#####

Aframax

2.7

2.4

0.3

0.5

143%

Handy

2.3

1.8

1.5

0.9

-19%

< 10,000 dwt

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

-43%

Total Tankers

11.0

7.8

2.4

1.6

-11%

Capesize

7.9

4.2

15.4

12.0

6%

Panamax

5.0

4.8

6.8

6.8

38%

Bulkcarriers

Handymax

3.5

3.1

3.1

3.1

34%

Handysize

6.7

4.2

5.2

2.8

-27%

Total Bulkers

23.1
6.3

16.3
5.3

30.5
2.8

24.7
5.3

10%
162%

Containerships

6,481
13,928
19,259
13,077
13,016
13,052
13,060
15,161
20,073
9,792

Owner
Hermann Wulff
Stiga Shipping
Polish Steamship Co.
Hanaro Shipping
Seacor Intl (UK)
Chartworld Shpg.
Wallenius Lines AB
Shanghai Pan Asia
Shanghai Pan Asia
COSCON
Global Marine Sys
Nippon Yusen Kaisha
Unknown
Anchor Management
K-Line
Hansa Shipping
Stefan Patjens
Stefan Patjens
Stefan Patjens
Stefan Patjens
Hammonia Reederei
NVA Norddeutsche
Atlantica Shipping

Scrapping Price Trends

This Year

Tankers
VLCC

Ldt
21,191
5,666
6,575

This Year

Dry Cargo

Buyer

Dwt
58,241
26,541
15,866
69,347
965
14,786
28,566
44,911
44,911
44,911
605
91,437
4,514
4,150
14,977
58,399
39,128
39,198
39,300
39,128
41,802
66,910
71,982

Gas Vessels

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

56%

Other Dry

6.1

3.8

2.9

2.5

18%

TOTAL

46.9

33.6

38.8

34.3

21%

The $300/ldt level was breached this week as evidenced


by the sale of the containership VIKTORIA WULFF. This is
surprising as the Eid holidays have meant that it has been a
very quiet week in the ship recycling sector. However, the
signs have been there for a while, as the lack of tonnage
started to push rates up and we have been moving towards a
scenario where yards have emptied and are open across the
board in the Indian Sub-Continent. This would help create
healthy competition once again, which can only benefit owners.
It is very unusual that we are in a position where several of
the cash buyers have no tonnage in hand and with the actual
recyclers looking for tonnage, the speculation by cash buyers
is expected to occur once again.
The key factor to the stability of rates will now be down to
how many owners act on the back of this sudden increase in
price levels. It is evident that many ship owners are carefully
watching this market and may now be tempted to approach
buyers to ascertain a rate for their units.

* The % change is based on annualised figures for this year against last year.

Clarksons Research

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What's Been Scrapped...

Economic Indicators
GDP Growth & Forecasts*
Germany Euro Area
0.4%
-0.3%
1.6%
0.9%
1.5%
1.7%
1.3%
1.6%
1.6%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
1.6%
1.2%
1.4%

World
3.3%
3.4%
3.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3.1%
3.4%

Industrial Production*: OECD


Europe
-0.8%
0.5%
1.0%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%

OECD
0.4%
2.0%
0.8%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.0%

Industrial Production*: Asia

25

-10

Atlantic

-15

Pacific

-20

Currency Trends Spot ~ & Forward# ...

Australia
1.13
1.11
1.33
1.35
1.33
1.31
1.33

Jan '16

Jan '15

Jan '14

Jan '13

$/Yen
$/Euro

120
110
100
90
80
70
Sep '16

India
62.07
61.04
64.10
67.18
67.22
66.91
66.98

$/Sterling
130

Jul '16

16-Sep

140

Jun '16

#Forward Rates as of:

Index Jan'00=100

May '16

China
6.07
6.16
6.28
6.58
6.67
6.64
6.67

SDR
1.54
1.49
1.40
1.41
1.39
1.40
1.40

Jan '12

Exchange Rate Trends

Norway
6.15
6.30
8.05
8.28
8.45
8.26
8.24

Mar '16

H.Kong Singapore
7.76
1.27
7.75
1.27
7.75
1.37
7.76
1.36
7.76
1.35
7.76
1.35
7.76
1.36

Switz.
0.90
0.91
0.96
0.97
0.98
0.97
0.97

Feb '16

R.o K.
1,059.3
1,052.3
1,131.7
1,166.1
1,140.8
1,109.2
1,118.9

Japan
104.70
105.77
121.07
106.17
103.98
100.78
102.40
101.55
100.18

Dec '14

end:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
16-Sep

U.K.
1.64
1.65
1.53
1.44
1.32
1.31
1.32
1.32
1.33

Nov '14

Euro
1.37
1.33
1.11
1.12
1.11
1.12
1.12
1.13
1.14

Sep '14

end:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
16-Sep
3mo.#
12mo.#

Jan '11

-25
Jan '10

Brazil
1.2%
-3.1%
-8.5%
-5.9%
-6.6%
0.0%

Jan '16

Chile
3.1%
0.1%
-0.7%
-3.8%
-1.8%
0.0%

Jan '09

Poland
2.3%
3.5%
4.8%
6.0%
-3.4%
0.0%

Nov '15

Hungary
1.8%
7.1%
7.0%
-0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%

0
-5

Oct '15

Czech.
0.6%
5.1%
4.2%
3.8%
-14.0%
0.0%

Jul '15

Russia
-0.2%
1.7%
-3.2%
1.8%
-0.3%
0.0%

10

Aug '15

avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun '16
Jul '16
Aug '16

15

Jan '08

Ind. Production*: E.Europe & S. America

20

Jan '07

India
0.4%
1.2%
3.3%
2.1%
-2.4%
0.0%

Jan '06

Thailand Malaysia
-3.1%
2.7%
-4.6%
5.1%
-3.4%
4.6%
0.8%
5.2%
-5.1%
4.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Jan '05

Taiwan
0.9%
6.2%
-1.4%
0.9%
-0.3%
0.0%

Apr '15

China
9.7%
8.3%
6.1%
6.2%
6.0%
6.3%

Jun '15

R.o K.
-0.2%
0.0%
-0.7%
0.8%
1.6%
0.0%

30

Jan '04

avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun '16
Jul '16
Aug '16

Industrial Production
% change

Mar '15

Japan
-0.7%
2.1%
-0.9%
-1.5%
-3.8%
0.0%

Jan '03

USA
2.6%
4.1%
1.2%
-0.7%
-0.5%
0.0%

Jan '15

U.K.
-0.1%
1.9%
1.1%
1.6%
2.1%
0.0%

Jan '02

avg:
Germany
0.2%
2013
1.2%
2014
0.5%
2015
0.5%
Jun '16
-1.2%
Jul '16
0.0%
Aug '16

In August 2016, the value of US retail sales fell 0.3%


m-o-m, the first decline recorded since March, partly on the
back of a decline in automobile and gasoline sales.
Manufacturing output also fell, by 0.4% m-o-m, partly
reflecting the impact of the stronger dollar. These trends
have reduced expectations of a rate rise by the Federal
Reserve next week and some economists have cut their
US GDP growth forecasts for Q3 2016.

UK retail sales beat expectations in August, dropping


0.2% m-o-m and rising 6.2% y-o-y, partly easing concerns
of the impact of the Brexit vote on consumer confidence.
The y-o-y rise has in part been attributed to the weaker
pound boosting purchases of high-end goods by tourists.
Meanwhile, the UK unemployment rate in the May to July
period stood at 4.9%, down slightly y-o-y, indicating little
immediate impact of the Brexit vote on the UK jobs market.

Jan '01

USA
1.5%
2.4%
2.4%
2.0%
2.1%
1.2%
2.2%
2.5%

Jan '00

Japan
1.4%
0.0%
0.5%
0.7%
0.1%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%

*% change year-on-year. Source: IMF, OECD, The Economist. ~Currency units per US$ except , Euro and SDR.

Interest Rate Trends ...

Inflation & Prices

Prime Lending Rates:


avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
16-Sep

Euro

U.K.

China

Japan

U.S.A.

0.54%
0.16%
0.05%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%

1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.25%

6.00%
5.95%
4.98%
4.35%
4.35%
4.35%
4.35%

1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%

3.25%
3.25%
3.25%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%

Clarksons Research

Prices in $/bbl or $/t

Consumer Prices
$ Libor
6 mths.
0.41%
0.33%
0.48%
0.95%
0.96%
0.93%
1.25%

Page 12

avg:

2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
Latest

Eur

USA

Japan

OECD

1.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.7%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%

1.5%
1.6%
0.1%
1.0%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%

0.4%
2.7%
0.8%
-0.4%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.0%

1.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%

Crude

Grain

Steel

Oil

Wheat

Ship Plate

Brent

USG

Japan

108.24
98.34
52.98
48.74
41.85
49.16
46.05

322
302
228
187
188
190
184

621
592
494
360
360
360
360

16-Sep-16

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2013
2014
2015
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
2016 (f)
2017 (f)

China
7.7%
7.3%
6.9%
6.8%
6.7%
6.7%
6.6%
6.2%

Ship Demand Trends

34

3.0
2.9
2.0
2.5
17.9

3.3
2.7
2.0
2.2
17.4

3.4
2.6
2.2
2.0
18.0

3.7
2.7
2.3
2.2
18.7

6%
2%
4%
11%
4%

5.1
5.8
5.1
36.9

4.5
5.5
5.6
36.3

4.2
5.9
6.1
37.4

4.5
5.7
6.9
38.7

7%
-3%
12%
4%

1.6
2.6
1.7
7.7
20.7

1.4
2.5
1.8
7.8
20.9

1.5
2.6
1.8
8.4
22.1

1.5
2.8
1.8
8.6
23.0

3%
6%
1%
3%
4%

VLCC Demand
AG Exports

to China
to Japan
to Korea
to USA/UKC
Total Gulf Crude Exports

Crude Oil Trade


Imports:

USA (seaborne)
EU-5
China
Total Seaborne Imports

Products Trade
Imports:

USA
EU-5
Latin America
Asia
Total Seaborne Imports

80

32

70
60

31

50

30

40

29

30
20

28

10

27

0
Aug-16

0%
-4%
4%
-14%
-2%
-4%

Feb-16

95.5
12.1
31.6
4.6
7.6
2.9

May-16

95.9
12.6
30.3
5.3
7.8
3.0

90

Aug-15
Nov-15

93.2
11.7
29.2
5.2
7.6
3.0

Nov-12
Feb-13

91.2
10.1
28.5
5.3
7.5
3.5

VLCC Earnings
33

Aug-12

World
USA
Middle East
West Africa
South & Central America
North Africa

100

Major Oil Trades News:


Several Libyan oil terminals were seized from forces
aligned with the UN-backed government and control
handed over to the Libyan National Oil Corporation
(NOC). Later in the week, the NOC announced that it
would lift force majeure at Zuetina, Ras Lanuf and Es
Sider, with exports to resume as soon as possible. Additionally, the NOC stated that it would aim to raise Libyan
crude output by 0.6m bpd to around 1.0m bpd, although
this is dependent on lasting peace in the country.

*2016 data are projections. Oil production data shows total supply including crude oil, lease condensates and NGLs; world supply includes refinery gains, other liquids.

Dry Bulk
2013

2014

2015

2016*

2016/15

Steel Production
China
Japan
EU-27
Total Steel Prod. (listed)

China
Japan
South Korea
Total Seaborne Imports
Exports:
Australia

-1%
-2%
-6%
-2%

China
India
Japan
South Korea
Exports: **
Australia
Indonesia
Total Seaborne Coal Trade

794.9 913.8 939.7 993.8


135.9 136.4 131.0 129.7
63.4
73.5
73.3
70.7
1189.3 1339.3 1363.3 1400.9
570.0 717.0 766.9 806.7

264.9 239.0 163.6 171.2


175.3 216.0 214.2 202.8
186.1 183.2 184.8 184.6
118.0 122.7 126.1 120.8
344.9 375.1 378.2 385.0
415.5 408.2 365.7 340.1
1179.8 1214.0 1134.8 1111.2

World Seaborne
Crude Oil
Oil Products
Dry Bulk
Containers
Other
World Seaborne Trade
y-o-y growth

$,000/day
Steel Production Index
Capesize Earnings

60
50

350

40

325
30

6%
-1%
-4%
3%
5%

5%
-5%
0%
-4%
2%
-7%
-2%

*2016 data are projections. ** Steam coal, lignite & coking coal.

Trade

Index

300

Coal Trade
Imports: **

400
375

815.4 822.7 803.8 793.8


110.6 110.7 105.2 103.5
166.0 169.3 166.2 156.6
1091.9 1102.7 1075.2 1053.8

Iron Ore Trade


Imports:

Steel Production and Capesize Earnings

% Chg

million tonnes
2013

2014

2015

% Chg
2016*

1,837 1,806 1,862 1,929


957
964
1,023 1,063
4,584 4,821 4,818 4,857
1,545 1,640 1,687 1,759
1,363 1,408 1,446 1,490
10,286 10,639 10,836 11,099
3.4%
3.4%
1.9%
2.4%

2016/15
4%
4%
1%
4%
3%
2%

20

275
250

10

225

0
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Jul-16

Demand ....

million tonnes

Major Bulk Trades News:


Data released this week indicates that iron ore
throughput at Port Hedland in Western Australia
increased 9% y-o-y in August 2016, to reach a record
42.9mt. This was supported by a ramp-up in iron ore
output at Roy Hill and firm Chinese import demand.
Shipments to China accounted for 83% of Port Hedlands
total iron ore throughput in August.
According to provisional data released by the Chinese
National Bureau of Statistics this week, Chinese crude
steel output increased 3% y-o-y to 68.6mt in August
2016. The rise was partly driven by an expansion in the
countrys manufacturing output. Overall, Chinese crude
steel output dropped 0.6% y-o-y to 67.1mt in the first
eight months of the year.

Data based on latest available information at start Sep-16. For more detail see Seaborne Trade Monitor on Shipping Intelligence Network.

Clarksons Research

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Oil Production

110

OPEC Oil Production

May-15

2016/15

Nov-14
Feb-15

2016*

$,000/day

Aug-14

2015

35

May-14

2014

m. bpd

Nov-13
Feb-14

2013

OPEC Production & VLCC Earnings

% Chg

Aug-13

Demand ....

million barrels per day

May-13

Oil Tanker

World Fleets & Orderbooks


Total Cargo
CRUDE TANKERS
PRODUCTS TANKERS
CHEMICAL TANKERS
OTHER TANKERS
BULKERS
COMBOS
LPG CARRIERS
LNG CARRIERS
CONTAINERSHIPS
MULTI-PURPOSE
GENERAL CARGO
RO-RO
CAR CARRIERS
REEFERS
OFFSHORE (AHTS/PSV)
WORLD CARGO FLEET
TOTAL WORLD FLEET
TOTAL WORLD FLEET ($bn)*

Tanker
Fleet, m. Dwt
VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
Panamax
Small

200,000+
120-200,000
80-120,000
60-80,000
10-60,000

of which: Specialised >10,000

<10,000
TOTAL FLEET >10,000
of which:
Single Hull
Double Hull
Combos in Oil
Laid-up
Storage
ACTIVE FLT. >10,000

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

335.6
340.2
341.7
348.6 1,893
140.4
144.3
149.5
157.4 8,153
37.4
38.1
38.7
40.4
3,611
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
384
687.5
726.8
758.5
776.6 10,779
4.7
4.2
3.9
2.8
18
15.4
16.3
17.0
19.4
1,395
28.9
30.0
32.7
35.1
459
206.5
216.2
228.2
244.3 5,214
29.5
29.8
29.7
29.7
3,250
38.0
37.5
37.6
37.5 15,019
8.1
7.7
7.5
7.7
1,297
11.8
11.9
12.1
12.4
785
5.3
5.2
5.0
5.0
1,406
7.9
8.6
9.5
10.0
5,523
1,557.8 1,617.6 1,672.3 1,727.8 59,186
1,629.4 1,690.4 1,747.7 1,805.5 92,265
891.3
955.5
972.4
936.9 92265

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

359.9
163.9
41.8
1.0
785.4
2.7
21.7
36.4
246.5
29.8
37.5
7.6
12.4
5.0
10.3
1,762.0
1,840.5
894.8

312
393
255
5
1,249
0
149
140
432
109
113
34
66
15
406
3,678
4,582
4,582

63.1
20.4
5.4
0.0
108.4
0.0
4.9
11.4
38.5
1.5
1.0
0.6
1.3
0.1
1.1
257.8
263.6
274.7

17.5%
12.5%
13.0%
1.0%
13.8%
0.0%
22.3%
31.2%
15.6%
5.1%
2.6%
7.3%
10.2%
2.8%
10.9%
14.6%
14.3%
30.7%

16.7
5.8
1.9
0.0
48.3
0.0
1.2
2.2
8.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.5
86.3
87.0
67.2

28.1
10.0
2.0
0.0
34.8
0.0
2.6
3.4
14.7
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.6
0.1
0.6
97.8
99.9
99.8

18.4
4.6
1.6
0.0
25.4
0.0
1.1
5.7
15.9
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
73.7
76.6
107.7

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

187.2
72.6
97.9
29.8
105.0
29.8
22.0
492.6
12.4
480.2
4.0
2.9
2.3
491.4

190.2
76.2
96.9
29.9
107.7
30.1
22.7
500.8
9.1
491.7
2.4
7.9
2.4
493.0

194.2
75.9
96.0
29.8
111.7
30.5
23.0
507.7
6.0
501.8
2.7
5.8
2.3
502.3

200.3
77.4
98.8
29.4
118.3
32.2
23.2
524.1
3.7
520.4
2.0
3.3
9.9
512.9

678
510
950
416
3,720
3,274
7,767
6,274
133
6,141
8
27
41
6,214

208.5
79.1
102.6
30.2
122.7
42.1
23.4
543.1
3.2
539.8
1.3
2.3
10.7
531.4

123
99
146
61
403
260
133
832

37.9
15.6
16.4
4.5
13.9
5.5
0.7
88.3

18.2%
19.7%
16.0%
14.9%
11.3%
13.0%
3.1%
16.3%

11.0
4.1
3.8
1.2
4.0
1.9
0.4
24.0

13.9
9.9
8.0
2.3
5.8
2.0
0.3
39.8

13.1
1.6
4.6
1.1
4.2
1.6
0.1
24.5

Increase in size of Tanker Fleet:


2015/2014
3.2%
2016*/2015
3.6%
* year to date

Bulk Carrier
Fleet, m. Dwt

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

Capesize
100,000+
Panamax
65-100,000
Handymax
40-65,000
Handysize
10-40,000
TOTAL FLEET
Combos in Dry
Laid-up
Storage
ACTIVE FLEET

279.9
169.4
147.6
90.6
687.5
0.7
1.2
0.1
686.8

293.8
184.4
158.5
90.0
726.8
0.4
1.0
0.2
726.0

308.1
192.5
166.8
91.1
758.5
0.6
0.7
0.2
758.2

309.3
195.3
179.5
92.5
776.6
0.3
2.7
0.8
773.3

1,631
2,446
3,403
3,299
10,779
7
119
7
10,660

310.7
195.8
185.6
93.2
785.4
0.9
6.9
0.8
778.6

198
261
469
321
1,249

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule


m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

47.1
15.1%
18.2
11.3
17.6
21.4
10.9%
10.0
8.4
3.1
28.4
15.3%
15.2
10.8
2.5
11.5
12.3%
5.0
4.3
2.2
108.4
13.8%
48.3
34.8
25.4
Increase in size of Bulkcarrier Fleet:
2015/2014
2.4%
2016*/2015
1.1%
* year to date

Note: Panamax fleet includes vessels 60-64,999 dwt built prior to 2000. Handymax fleet includes vessels 65-69,999 built from 2000 onwards.

LPG Carrier
Fleet ,000m
<5,000 cbm
5-20,000 cbm
20-45,000 cbm
45-65,000 cbm
>65,000 cbm
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

,000m

No.

,000m

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

1,529
2,428
3,394
1,184
11,411
19,947
15.4

1,518
2,579
3,552
1,184
12,484
21,318
16.3

1,538
2,627
3,797
1,184
13,153
22,299
17.0

1,537
2,794
4,040
1,365
16,088
25,825
19.4

638
349
149
24
235
1,395

1,534
2,859
4,346
1,425
19,191
29,353
21.7

6
23
62
1
57
149

18
245
1,913
60
4,746
6,982
4.85

1.2%
8.6%
44.0%
4.2%
24.7%
23.8%
22.3%

10
39
430
60
1,184
1,723
1.18

4
172
1,249
0
2,233
3,657
2.62

4
34
234
0
1,330
1,602
1.06

"Oil Tankers" includes vessels in the crude oil & oil products sectors, including all IMO 3 tankers and specified IMO 2 tankers (see Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook for detailed
definition). "Chemical" includes IMO 1 tankers and specified IMO 2 tankers. "Specialised" includes chemical tankers and other tankers designed for the carriage of
specialist liquids. "Laid-up" includes vessels reported and confirmed to be in lay-up, remaining out of service for an extended period.

Clarksons Research

Page 14

16-Sep-16

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Fleet, m. Dwt

01-Sep-16

Year End

World Fleets & Orderbooks

<40,000 cbm
40-100,000 cbm
100-150,000 cbm
150-180,000 cbm
180-220,000 cbm
>220,000 cbm
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

Containership
Fleet ,000 Teu

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

,000m

No.

,000m

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

293
1,070
31,620
9,776
6,608
3,727
53,093
28.9

231
982
31,367
12,306
6,608
3,727
55,221
30.0

231
839
31,388
17,473
6,608
3,727
60,266
32.7

345
684
31,136
22,073
6,608
3,727
64,573
35.1

29
9
222
154
31
14
459

372
684
30,880
24,988
6,608
3,727
67,259
36.4

12
1
0
119
8
0
140

220
45
0
20,348
1,442
0
22,055
11.4

59.0%
6.6%
0.0%
81.4%
21.8%
0.0%
32.8%
31.2%

104
0
0
3,880
182
0
4,166
2.2

115
45
0
6,100
360
0
6,620
3.4

0
0
0
10,369
900
0
11,269
5.7

01-Sep-16

Year End
2012

100-2,999 teu (Feeder)


4,188.6
3-5,999 teu
(Intermediate) 5,574.4
6-7,999 teu
(Intermediate) 1,788.2
8-11,999 teu (Neo-P'max)
3,123.3
12-14,999 teu (Neo-P'max)
1,436.6
15,000 &+ teu (Post-P'max)
140.4
16,251.6
TOTAL FLEET
206.5
TOTAL M. DWT

2013

2014

4,084.9
5,562.7
1,881.4
3,554.7
1,812.5
245.5
17,141.6
216.2

4,011.6
5,539.9
1,914.2
4,096.1
2,178.4
516.5
18,256.7
228.2

2015

No.

4,016.1 2,927
5,533.5 1,188
1,934.7 282
4,796.9 559
2,446.8 193
1,010.2
65
19,738.2 5,214
244.3

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

,000teu

No.

,000teu % Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

3,992.9
5,327.1
1,883.7
5,034.9
2,603.5
1,159.7
20,001.7
246.5

205
37
1
57
65
67
432

394.5
143.8
6.9
602.1
909.8
1,318.3
3,375.4
38.5

93.9
21.0
6.9
304.1
128.1
137.0
691.0
8.0

154.9
81.9
0.0
227.2
365.5
464.4
1,293.9
14.7

145.7
40.9
0.0
70.8
416.2
717.0
1,390.6
15.9

9.9%
2.7%
0.4%
12.0%
34.9%
113.7%
16.9%
15.6%

12-14,999 TEU 'Neo-Panamax' includes some ships which are too large to transit the expanded locks of the Panama Canal based on current official dimension restrictions.

Multipurpose
Fleet ,000 Teu
100 - 499 teu
500 - 999 teu
1000 &+ teu
TOTAL FLEET
MPP FLEET M. DWT
GC FLEET M. DWT

01-Sep-16

Year End
2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

561.9
556.1
547.5
539.8 2,133
593.8
575.2
554.7
551.5
797
334.3
398.7
432.6
452.3
320
1,490.0 1,530.1 1,534.7 1,543.7 3,250
29.5
29.8
29.7
29.7
38.0
37.5
37.6
37.5 15,019

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

,000teu

No.

536.7
548.4
458.8
1,543.9
29.8
37.5

19
70
20
109
113

,000teu % Fleet
6.4
51.6
24.1
82.2
1.5
1.0

1.2%
9.4%
5.3%
5.3%
5.1%
2.6%

2016

2017

2018+

5.6
31.1
9.7
46.4
0.9
0.5

0.8
12.4
14.5
27.6
0.5
0.3

0.0
8.1
0.0
8.1
0.1
0.2

Ro-Ro Vessel
Fleet, m. Dwt

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

<5,000 dwt
5,000-10,000 dwt
10,000 &+ dwt
TOTAL FLEET
CAR CARRIERS

1.1
2.4
4.5
8.1
11.8

1.1
2.3
4.3
7.7
11.9

1.1
2.3
4.1
7.5
12.1

1.1
2.3
4.4
7.7
12.4

751
314
232
1,297
785

1.1
2.3
4.3
7.6
12.4

5
11
18
34
66

0.0
0.1
0.5
0.6
1.3

1.6%
3.3%
10.8%
7.3%
10.2%

0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2

0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.6

0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Reefer Vessel
Fleet m. ft.

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.ft

No.

m.ft

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

< 200,000 cu ft
200-449,999 cu ft
> 450,000 cu ft
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

48.1
76.0
112.9
236.9
5.3

47.2
74.9
109.7
231.8
5.2

46.0
73.9
105.5
225.4
5.0

46.1
74.2
103.8
224.2
5.0

976
244
186
1,406

46.0
72.9
103.3
222.2
5.0

2
9
4
15

0.3
2.5
3.0
5.8
0.1

0.7%
3.4%
2.9%
2.6%
2.8%

0.0
1.3
0.8
2.0
0.0

0.3
0.6
1.5
2.4
0.1

0.0
0.6
0.8
1.4
0.0

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Owner Fleets by
Nationality, m. GT

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m. GT

No.

m. GT

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

Greece
Japan
China P.R.
Germany
United States

151.0
158.2
113.0
97.4
51.4

164.1
161.2
119.2
95.4
53.1

180.2
163.4
122.0
95.0
58.5

192.5
163.8
131.5
92.9
59.6

5,266
8,638
6,843
3,772
5,211

200.0
163.1
135.1
90.2
62.1

353
454
572
188
191

21.4
27.1
33.8
5.6
8.9

10.7%
16.6%
25.0%
6.2%
14.3%

7.7
3.7
12.4
2.8
3.1

8.9
7.7
7.8
1.9
2.3

4.7
15.6
13.7
1.0
3.5

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Note: All fleet figures are from the Clarksons Research Ship and Orderbook Databases, expressed in the units indicated. All dwt figures are metric. Annual data are as at
year end, monthly data at the beginning of the month. The databases comprise vessels of 100gt and above. For access to more detailed fleet data visit World Fleet Register
at www.clarksons.net/wfr. * Value of the world fleet based on estimates of the value of each vessel based on type, size and age. For specialised and non-cargo vessels,
coverage may not be complete. Value of the orderbook based on reported newbuilding contract prices wherever possible and estimated contract prices adjusted for vessel
type, size and the date of the contract elsewhere. For more detail see World Fleet Monitor.

A "Sources & Methods" document which describes the methodology by which Clarksons Research gathers and processes the data set out in this
report, including the calculation of voyage earnings for tankers and bulk carriers, is available on our website at www.clarksons.net. Further enquiries
may be made to the addresses set out on the back page.

Clarksons Research

Page 15

16-Sep-16

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LNG Carrier
Fleet ,000m

Analysis
Marvels Iron Man, as depicted in the 2008 film, features industrialist and genius inventor Tony Stark
creating a powered suit, later perfecting its design and fighting evil. While it was a gold titanium alloy rather than iron which was used to make the futuristic armour, iron-based materials such as steel are used
incredibly widely in the worlds industries today, with clear implications for shipping too.

The strength of Iron Mans suit was what


helped turn Tony Stark into a superhero.
The versatility and strength of steel has
made it todays most important construction material, with 1.6 billion tonnes of
steel produced last year. Over recent
decades, steel became one of shippings
superheroes, with the unprecedented
growth in Chinese steel production leading to a doubling of global steel output
between 2000 and 2014, and helping to
underpin the biggest shipping market
boom in history. Growth in Chinas raw
material demand was explosive, and by
2014, global seaborne iron ore and coking coal trade totalled 1.6 billion tonnes,
one seventh of total seaborne trade.

A Dangerous Weapon
But even superheroes have weaknesses,
and reaching new heights was problematic for Iron Man, when the build-up of ice
on his suit at high altitudes brought him
back down to earth with a bump. A distinct chill in the air has recently surrounded the steel industry too. Slower economic growth in China, which uses half of the
worlds steel, led Chinese steel consumption to drop 5% in 2015, undermining
steel prices. Difficult economic conditions
elsewhere also limited steel use, with
consumption in Latin America and the
Middle East declining 7% and 1% respectively last year, and overall, global steel
output fell 3%. Weaker demand for
steelmaking materials was a key driver of
the fall in seaborne dry bulk trade in
2015, despite a 20% surge in Chinese
steel exports. The steel market remains
challenging with world consumption expected to fall again in 2016, and dry bulk

Shipping Intelligence Weekly, 16 September 2016


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trade still lacks the power to boost the


bulker markets back into higher altitudes.

In Need Of A Shield
Of course, steel also impacts the supply
side of the shipping industry. In Iron
Mans final showdown with the Iron Monger, in the end it all comes down to a
good design and precise timing, concepts
close to any shipowners heart. As the
very fabric of the ships themselves, steel
is a key cost for shipbuilders, but volatile
prices have just as big an impact at the
older end of the market. With continued
exports of surplus steel from China maintaining pressure on steel prices, there is

limited light at the end of the tunnel for


owners scrapping ships in difficult market
conditions for values around 50% lower
than just two years ago.

Iron World
So there you have it. An Iron Man with a
will of iron can save the world, whilst
steel can bring the worlds shipowners
fortune and challenges in equal measure.
Steel may no longer be the superhero of
seaborne trade growth, but it is still the
glue that quite literally holds the shipping
industry together and keeps 11 billion
tonnes a year of cargo afloat. Now thats
a superhuman effort. Have a nice day!

Graph of the Week


Nerves Of Steel?
Precarious Heights
To Abrupt Landings

160
140

million tonnes

$/ldt

Global Steel Production (LHS)


Bulkcarrier Scrap Price (RHS)

800
700

120

600

100

500

80

400

60

300

40

200

20

100

The grey area on the graph


shows monthly global crude steel
production in million tonnes. The
line shows the scrap price assessment for a Handysize
(c.8,000 ldt) bulkcarrier in the
Indian Sub-Continent (right hand
axis).

Jan-00
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Steel At The Heart

Source : Clarksons Research

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T. Baggio
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Licenced to ANTONIOS KAFFAS of . Distribution is restricted; please remember to acknowledge the source. http://www.clarksons.net 93753

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Shippings Heavy Metal Hero, Or Marvellous Villain?

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