Sie sind auf Seite 1von 16

The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at

www.emeraldinsight.com/0969-9988.htm

ECAM
17,5

A comparative study of truck


cycle time prediction methods
in open-pit mining

446

Emmanuel K. Chanda
School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering,
The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia, and

Received June 2009


Revised June 2009
Accepted April 2010

Steven Gardiner
Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines, Kalgoorlie, Australia
Abstract
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare the predictive capability of three methods of truck
cycle time estimation in open-pit mining: computer simulation, artificial neural networks (NNs), and
multiple regressions (MRs). The aim is to determine the best method. The most common method
currently used is computer simulation.
Design/methodology/approach Truck cycle times at a large open pit mine are estimated using
computer simulation, artificial NNs, and MRs. The estimated cycle times by each method are in turn
compared to the actual cycle times recorded by a computerized mine monitoring system at the same
mine. The errors associated with each method relative to the actual cycle times are documented and
form the basis for comparing the three methods.
Findings The paper clearly indicates that computer simulation methods used in predicting truck
cycle times in open-pit mining underestimate and overestimate the results for short and long hauls,
respectively. It appears that both NN and regression models are superior in their predictive abilities
compared to computer simulations.
Research limitations/implications The cycle time prediction models developed apply to a
specific mine site and one has to be careful not to directly apply these models to other operations.
Practical implications The paper describes the implementation of regression and NN modelling.
An opportunity exists for mines to utilise the large volumes of data generated to predict truck haulage
cycle times more accurately and hence, improve the quality of mine planning.
Originality/value The paper addresses an area of need in the mining industry. Accurate prediction
of cycle times is critical to mine planners as it impacts on production targets and hence, the budgets.
Keywords Production cycle, Simulation, Multiple regression analysis, Neural nets
Paper type Research paper

Engineering, Construction and


Architectural Management
Vol. 17 No. 5, 2010
pp. 446-460
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
0969-9988
DOI 10.1108/09699981011074556

Introduction
There are a number of methods being used by the industry to predict load-haul cycle
times in open-pit mining. The most commonly used approach is computer simulation
using the so-called Monte-Carlo technique. This method aims to simulate by computer
the step-by-step operations of the entire truck and loader fleet, including the randomness
of the loader-truck cycle time, and the queuing of trucks at the loader and at the dump or
elsewhere. However, the accuracy of the truck and loader cycle times generated by these
simulations is questionable as evidenced by significant discrepancies between actual
and predicted cycle times (Blackwell, 1999; Hardy, 2007). Computer programs such as
truck and loader productivity and cost (TALPAC) and Caterpillars fleet production
and cost (FPC) analysis are currently used by mining engineers to estimate open-pit

haulage truck requirements. A perceived shortcoming of software such as TALPAC is


that it provides a best estimate based on manufacturers equipment performance
specifications and capabilities, such as rim-pull curves. This method incorporates
performance assumptions that are optimistic, as equipment is subjected to wear and tear
which reduces its operational efficiency (Hardy, 2007). Furthermore, no account is made
for random events that occur over the course of a truck haul cycle. Queuing to load and
unload, refuelling, operator breaks, and unloaded trucks giving way to loaded trucks on
narrow sections of road or intersections are examples of events that will impact on a
truck cycle time. Such events cannot be accounted for when a predicted cycle time is
based on theoretical equipment capabilities.
In this study, one of the analytical models developed is based on multiple regression
(MR), where factors in the load/haul cycle considered potentially significant are the
independent variables and the cycle time is the dependent variable. Edwards and Holt
(2000) developed an MR model for hydraulic excavator cycle time with satisfactory
results. Edwards and Griffiths (2000) and Tam et al. (2002) have subsequently shown
that a neural network (NN) model for hydraulic excavator cycle times has a predictive
performance that is superior to the MR models. However, this assertion may not be
true in every case.
The second analytical model developed for this project is based on NN technology.
To this end the MATLABw (MATrix LABoratory) software package developed by The
Mathworks (Demuth et al., 2005) is utilised to create an NN that is the core of an artificial
intelligence (AI) model. The same significant variables used in the MR models are used
to train the AI model. NN have found application in mining; for example, Alehossein
(2002) discusses an NN model for prediction of three Cartesian force components acting
at and on the cutter-head of a rock cutting machine, Tam et al. (2002) developed an
artificial NN model predict excavator performance, and Grayeli and Moosavi (2006)
used artificial NN modelling to predict the load distribution in mining cable bolts.
In this study, three methods of truck cycle time estimation are compared. These are:
(1) simulation using TALPAC;
(2) artificial NN; and
(3) multiple regression.
The objective is to determine the best method among the three based on comparison with
the actual cycle times for various truck haulage routes at a large open-pit gold mine in
Western Australia. A secondary objective of this study is to investigate whether the
predictive capabilities of the three methods used will increase from TALPAC to the MR
model and from this model to the AI model as previously believed.
The scope of this study is limited to predicting the truck travel time (loaded empty)
only; the reason being that these are the elements of truck cycle for which accurate data
were available for modelling. However, a base set of 12 independent variables is used
in both the regression and NN models (Table I).
TALPAC Software
TALPAC is one of the most widely used truck and loader simulation packages
in Australian mining, but most truck manufacturers have programs that calculate
results using similar algorithms, for example, FPC by Caterpillar, Inc. For mine

Truck cycle time

447

ECAM
17,5

Variable

Description

shift
wait

Is a Boolean type data field, 0 for day shift and 1 for night shift
Is a Boolean field equal to 1 where waiting at shovel is non-zero, and a 0 in all
other cases
Is a Boolean field equal to 1 where queuing at shovel is non-zero, and a 0 in all
other cases
Numeric field listing the loading time for each cycle
Numeric field listing distance of haul route
Numeric field listing the change in elevation over the haul route
Numeric filed representing the type of loading unit
Numeric field listing total rainfall for the day of the haul cycle in mm
Numeric field listing evaporation for the day of the haul cycle in mm
Numeric field listing speed of the maximum wind gust on the day of the haul
cycle in km/h
Numeric field representing direction of the maximum wind gust on the day of
the haul cycle
A numeric field averaging the 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. relative humidity values

que

448

Table I.
Base set of independent
variables

load
tot_dist
vert_dist
loading_unit
rain_amount
evap_amount
max_wind_gust
max_wind_direction
av_rel_humidity

planning purposes, the aim of computer simulation is to determine the truck-loader


fleet productivity expressed in bank cubic metres (BCM) per operating hour.
The first step in running a TALPAC simulation is to define the load and haul
equipment. Properties such as bucket/tray capacities, power ratings, and both capital
and operating costs are defined for the load and haul units used by the operation. Also
defined at this point are the expected spotting and loading times. The user is then able
to assign a statistical spread to the times that will be used in the simulation based on
the expected time.
The intended haul route then is defined as a series of sections. Each section is
allocated a length, grade, rolling resistance, and speed limitation. Indication is also
made as to whether the truck is loaded or empty for that section of the route. Truck
spotting and loading/dumping times also are included in the haul cycle as auto entries
of zero distance. The duration of these sections of the cycle are drawn from the
parameters defined for the loading and dumping units.
Material properties and shift rosters are defined before the simulation is run for the
extraction of the target BCM (or tonnes) of rock. A number of reports are generated by
the simulation relating to productivity, tyre and fuel consumption, haul cycle, and cash
flow. For this study, the haul cycle report is the key point of interest.
Artificial NNs
Artificial NNs have been utilised for a variety of applications as the processing power of
computers has improved since the late-1980s. The primary advantage of such networks is
their ability to learn non-linear relationships between input variables and target output
values. Artificial NNs are designed in such a way as to attempt to replicate biological NNs
that are part of an animals nervous system. The human brain does not use higher
mathematics to solve problems; instead hundreds of billions of neurons interactively put
their contributions (weights) together towards achieving the best and quickest possible
outcome (Mehrotra et al., 1997). This concept has been used in the NN technique to predict
the haulage cycle time from a combination of variables presented in Table I.

A simplified representation of feed-forward NN functionality is shown in Figure 1,


where R inputs are presented to a single neuron transfer function f. The elementary
neuron has R inputs and with each input there is an associated weight w. Before using
the NN for predictions, it is trained for a set of data to calculate the weights of each
neuron-to-neuron connection. This happens by continuous readjustment of the weights
through the redistribution of the feedback errors, which arise by comparing the
calculated output with the actual. A single layer neuron network is similar to a
multivariable linear regression model. The input to the transfer function f comprises the
sum of the weighted inputs and bias and the output from transfer function gives the
activation a of the neuron. Back propagation networks often use the hyperbolic tangent
sigmoid (tansig), ft, or log sigmoid (logsig), fl transfer function as given in equation (1):
ft

2
21
1 e 22n

fl

1
1 e 2n

Truck cycle time

449

Each input is multiplied by its individual weighting, w1,1 to w1,R, where the subscripts
refer to (layer 1, input number). The bias, b, is applied to the sum of all weighted inputs
before presentation to the neuron function. Mathematical details of the process of
applying weights and biases in the training of the NN are discussed by Haykin (2008).
Multiple linear regression
Multiple linear regression analysis is a statistical method of determining a formula
with which to find the value of a dependent (unknown) variable by its relationship to a
set of independent (known) variables. Each of the independent variables is assigned
a weighting that reflects its impact on the value of the dependent variable. This
weighting is referred to as the coefficient of the variable in question. The formula is
developed based on a set of data where the values of both independent and dependant
variables are known. Then the formula is applied to a set of known independent
variables in an attempt to estimate the unknown dependent variable:
P1
W11
P2
n

a
f

P3
W1R
PR

b
l

Input

Source: Demuth et al. (2005)

General neuron
= f (Wp + b)

Figure 1.
Simplified neuron
functionality

ECAM
17,5

The general form of a linear regression model is shown in equation (2) (Neter et al.,
1985):
p21
X
bk X ik 1i where X i0 1
2
Yi
k0

450

where:
.
there are ( p 2 1) independent variables;
.
the Yi term represents each instance of the dependent variable;
.
the bk term represents each of the coefficient values from 0 to ( p 2 1);
.
the Xik term represents each instance of all independent variables from 0 to
( p 2 1); and
.
1i is a random error term with a mean value of 0.
Assuming that the expected value of the random error term is zero, an expected value
for the dependent variable is shown by equation (3) (Neter et al., 1985):
EY b0 b1 X 1 b2 X 2 bp21 X p21

It is not expected that all independent variables will have a purely linear influence on the
cycle time. It has been shown, however, that a linear MR technique can be utilised by
manipulating the data before commencing the regression (Chanda, 1989). In developing
his model to estimate the probability of success in multiple seam room and pillar coal
mining, Chanda (1989) used the linear form of each of the identified independent
variables as well as cube root, square root, square, cubic, and logarithmic forms of each
variable to take into account the non-linear interactions among the variables. A similar
process is applied to the defined independent variables used in this project.
It is recognised that not all defined independent variables will prove significant in
determining the dependent variable. In such cases, forward stepwise regression is
considered to be the preferential regression method (Draper and Smith, 1966). Stepwise
regression is an iterative process where the correlation of each of the independent
variables to the dependent variable is assessed, and the independent variable with the
highest correlation is entered into the regression equation at each iteration. The process
is ended when all variables are included in the equation or the correlation between the
remaining independent variables and the dependent variable is considered insignificant.
Modelling applications
Truck cycle time data
Data recorded by a computerised fleet management system employed at the mine was
utilised for this project. The data were extracted from the onsite database via
specifically developed database queries. Two initial sample sets of data received from
the mine were in the form of Excel spreadsheet files. The datasets were filtered later to
include only truck cycles along a particular haul route. Haul route data were supplied
by the mine in the form of digitised strings from a mine design package. The all bench
data refer to data relating to a mining bench from which a loading unit loads broken
rock onto trucks for haulage to the surface. The data were stored in separate
spreadsheets representing 16 individual blasting blocks (block data). An additional

field of loading unit was added to allow filtering of the data in order to focus on a
particular loading unit (shovel) as the source of material for haulage.
The routes were created by starting in the approximate centre of the mine bench in
question and digitising points along the haul route by snapping points to the pit
topography triangulation along the centre of the haul route to the dumping point. The
specific blast blocks represented in the cycle data were selected to correspond with
the actual block where the haul route string originated. Analysis in Vulcan generated the
total length of the route and the total change in elevation along the length of each route
intended variables in the NN and regression models. The digitised routes were used to
define the haul routes in the TALPAC simulation. Figure 2 shows a typical haul route from
a specific blast block in the pit to the stockpile. Five haul routes were used in the modelling.

Truck cycle time

451

TALPAC model
Haul route information is entered into TALPAC by importing route information in the
form of comma separated value (CSV) text files. The CSV files contain values of the
northing (Y), easting (X), and elevation (Z) at all points digitised along the haul route.
Such files are created by exporting string data from Vulcan Software. Speed limits
applicable to different sections of each haul route are entered with the haul route data.
Speed limits used for this project are the actual limits supplied by the mining company.
Rolling resistance working against trucks is also defined with the haul routes. The
rolling resistance defined for this project is the TALPAC default of 3 per cent. This is
not a measured variable and is often adjusted by TALPAC users as a way of forcing
the software to fit actual cycle times. Once the TALPAC variables are defined, one can
simulate the haulage system to determine cycle times, costs, and productivity.
In order to fully investigate the variation between TALPAC cycle time predictions,
25 simulations are conducted for each haul route in this project.
Artificial NN model
Spreadsheet data for network inputs and targets were imported into the Matlabw for
modelling. For this project, a total of 48 networks are developed. All networks are
two-layer networks where inputs are fed into a layer of tansig neuron/s. Outputs from
layer 1 subsequently report to a single purelin neuron, which in turn produces a single

Blast polygons

Haul road

Stockpile

Figure 2.
Plan of the open pit
showing a haul road

ECAM
17,5

452

output value. For each of the datasets, 12 networks are created with the number of tansig
neurons in layer 1 ranging from one to 12. Figure 3 is a graphical representation of a
network with six tansig neurons in the first layer. Using the tools in MATLAB the network
was trained based on the back-propagation algorithm (Edwards and Griffiths 2000).
Regression model
The regression model uses the same training and simulation matrices as created for the
NN modelling. However, it is necessary to transpose network-training data so that it is in
the correct format to utilise the regress command and obtain variable coefficients.
Equation (4) is an example of a regression model developed for all bench data. As the
same sets of data are used for regression as the NN modelling, regression results are also
filtered to contain only cycle times where trucks are loaded by one of the face shovels:
time 20:670783171shift2 2 0:407837745wait0:50 0:295354166qye0:33
1:39236775load 2 0:029126259load 2 0:000401797load 3
0:030977804tot_dist 2 5:49535 10206 tot_dist2
2 3:41946 10211 tot_dist3 0:001092995vert_dist2
3:29469 10206 vert_dist3 0:010015433rain_amount3
2 0:057618089evap_amount2 0:005808809evap_amount3

2 0:012901967max _windgust 2 0:002691516max _windgust2


5:79927 10205 max _windgust3
0:642826831 log10 max _wind_direction
0:136417323av_rel_humidity 2 0:004912923av_rel_humidity2
5:13972 10205 av_rel_humidity3

12

Figure 3.
Network with six tansig
neurons in the first layer

12 Input variables

Input weights

Hidden layer weights

IW{1,1}

LW{2,1}

b{1}

b{2}

Layer 1 bias

Layer 2 bias

6 tansig neurons

O
u
t
p
u
t
1

1 purelin neuron

Results
Variation in the predicted cycle time between simulations for each route in TALPAC is
limited. The most significant difference between minimum and maximum predicted
times is a 1.4 per cent variation for the Chaffers to SW3 haul route. Table II
summarises the simulated times for relevant haul routes as determined by TALPAC.
Mean times listed in Table II are used for comparison with regression and NN cycle
time predictions.

Truck cycle time

453

Artificial NN results
The mean time for each list of outputs is considered the simulated cycle time. As is
shown in Figure 4, the predicted cycle time varies between network structures.
In the majority of cases, the variance is minimal. Note that the outlier prediction for the
eight-neuron networks applied to the filtered bench dataset (Figure 5) has a negligible
effect on the mean cycle time for that network. A similar observation can be made
Time
Mean Minimum Maximum
Variation (%)
(minutes) (minutes) (minutes) maximum 2 minimum=minimum 100%

Route
Brownhill TW4
Chaffers Blendfinger
Chaffers SW3
Stores Blendfinger
Stores TW4

24.83
23.23
24.97
44.00
48.31

24.70
23.09
24.86
43.78
48.11

24.95
23.34
25.20
44.21
48.57

1.0
1.1
1.4
1.0
1.0

Table II.
TALPAC results

Neural network results for all bench data


45

Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to blendfinger
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

35

30

25

N
eu
ro
n
2
N
eu
ro
ns
3
N
eu
ro
ns
4
N
eu
ro
ns
5
N
eu
ro
ns
6
N
eu
ro
ns
7
N
eu
ro
ns
8
N
eu
ro
ns
9
N
eu
ro
ns
10
N
eu
ro
ns
11
N
eu
ro
ns
12
N
eu
ro
ns

20
A
ct
ua
l

Time (minutes)

40

Networks

Figure 4.
Comparative results for all
networks developed for all
bench simulation data

ECAM
17,5

Neural network results for filtered bench data


45

454

Time (minutes)

40
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to blendfinger
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

35

30

25

Figure 5.
Comparative results for all
networks developed
for filtered bench
simulation data

A
ct
ua
l
1
N
eu
ro
n
2
N
eu
ro
ns
3
N
eu
ro
ns
4
N
eu
ro
ns
5
N
eu
ro
ns
6
N
eu
ro
ns
7
N
eu
ro
ns
8
N
eu
ro
ns
9
N
eu
ro
ns
10
N
eu
ro
ns
11
N
eu
ro
ns
12
N
eu
ro
ns

20

Networks

regarding the outlier for the three-neuron network as shown in Figure 6 for all block
data. However, Figure 7 shows a large discrepancy for the network with 12 tansig
neurons. The filtered block dataset contain the lowest number of sample cycles, and it is
expected that the poor result for the 12-neuron network is an example of over fitting
Neural network results for all block data
45

Time (minutes)

40
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to blendfinger
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

35

30

25

ct

ua

l
N
eu
ro
n
2
N
eu
ro
ns
3
N
eu
ro
ns
4
N
eu
ro
ns
5
N
eu
ro
ns
6
N
eu
ro
ns
7
N
eu
ro
ns
8
N
eu
ro
ns
9
N
eu
ro
ns
10
N
eu
ro
ns
11
N
eu
ro
ns
12
N
eu
ro
ns

20
A

Figure 6.
Comparative results for all
networks developed for all
block simulation data

Networks

Neural network results for filtered block data

Truck cycle time

80
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

Time (minutes)

70

455

60

50

40

30

N
eu
ro
n
2
N
eu
ro
ns
3
N
eu
ro
ns
4
N
eu
ro
ns
5
N
eu
ro
ns
6
N
eu
ro
ns
7
N
eu
ro
ns
8
N
eu
ro
ns
9
N
eu
ro
ns
10
N
eu
ro
ns
11
N
eu
ro
ns
12
N
eu
ro
ns

A
ct
ua
l

20

Networks

of data due to an excess of neurons in the first layer of the network in relation to the
number of samples presented to the network.
In order to determine the optimal network structure for each dataset, an iterative
process was used in which the target time was subtracted from the simulated time for
each haul route. Results relating to the network with minimum variance were used for
comparison with the other methods.
Regression model results
As the same sets of data were used for regression modelling as the NN modelling,
regression results also were filtered to contain only cycles where trucks were loaded by
one of the face shovels.
Comparison of results
Predicted cycle times for all simulation methods are shown in Figures 8-11. Predicted
times in each graph are plotted against a line representing the mean actual cycle times
for each dataset. Where predicted times were close to the actual cycle times, points
were plotted in close proximity to this line.
Generally speaking, predicted times for both the regression and NN models were
significantly more accurate than the TALPAC predictions for all sets of data. There
appears to be a limited variation between the times predicted by regression and NN
models.
In order to quantify variations between predicted and actual cycle times, a
percentage error for each haul route was calculated using equation (5). Graphical
representations of calculated errors are shown in Figures 12-15:

Figure 7.
Comparative results for
all networks developed
for filtered block
simulation data

ECAM
17,5

Regression simulation
Simulated times (minutes)

456

All bench data


50

Figure 8.
Compared results for all
bench simulation data

45

TALPAC simulation

Neural network simulation


Actual times

40
35
30
25
20
20

25

30
35
Actual time (minutes)

40

45

Filtered bench data

Simulated times (minutes)

50

Figure 9.
Compared results
for filtered bench
simulation data

Regression simulation
TALPAC simulation

45

Neural network simulation


Actual times

40
35
30
25
20

20

25

30
35
Actual time (minutes)

40

45

40

45

All block data

Simulated times (minutes)

50

Figure 10.
Compared results for all
block simulation data

TALPAC simulation
Regression simulation

45

Neural network simulation


Actual times

40
35
30
25
20
20

25

30

35

Actual time (minutes)

Simulated times (minutes)

Truck cycle time

Filtered block data

50
Regression simulation
TALPAC simulation

45

Neural network simulation


Actual times

40

457

35
30
25
20
20

25

30

35

40

45

Actual time (minutes)

Figure 11.
Compared results
for filtered block
simulation data

Percentage errors all bench data


20
15
10

Errors (%)

5
0
5

Regression

Neural network

TALPAC

10
15
20
25

Chaffers to blendfinger
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

Figure 12.
Comparative percentage
errors for all bench
simulation data

30
Haul routes

Percentage error

Mean predicted time 2 Mean actual time


100%
Mean actual time

Figures 12-15 show that both regression and NN models are more accurate than
TALPAC in all cases. TALPAC simulation consistently is most accurate for the
Chaffers to SW3 haul route through all datasets.
Conclusions
The results outlined above would appear to indicate that both NN and regression
models based on actual mine data are superior in their predictive abilities to TALPAC
simulations. TALPAC Software appears to have under predicted cycle times for
shorter haul routes and over predicted times for the longer haul routes. There appears

ECAM
17,5

Percentage errors filtered bench data


20
15
10
5
Errors (%)

458

0
5

15
20

Figure 13.
Comparative percentage
errors for filtered bench
simulation data

Regression

Neural network

10

25

Chaffers to blendfinger
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

TALPAC

30
Haul routes

Percentage errors all block data


20
15

Errors (%)

10
5
0
5

Figure 14.
Comparative percentage
errors for all block
simulation data

Chaffers to blendfinger
Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

Regression

Neural network
TALPAC

10
15
Haul routes

to be minimal quantifiable difference between predictions made by the regression and


NN models.
The data utilised for this project is limited to information made available from an
operating mine only. Therefore, the models developed apply to this specific mine site
and one has to be careful not to directly apply these models to other operations.
However, the regression and NN models similar to those developed in this project
easily can be developed for any open-pit operation providing that sufficient data is
available. In such a case, input data could be refined to include variables considered
significant by the operation itself.

Truck cycle time

Percentage errors filtered block data


25
20
15

Brownhill to TW4
Chaffers to SW3
Stores to blendfinger
Stores to TW4

Errors (%)

10

459

5
0
5

Regression

Neural network

10
15

TALPAC

20
Haul routes

The quantity, and quality, of data recorded by open-cut mining operations is ever
increasing, particularly with the implementation of computer-based monitoring
systems. An opportunity exists for mines to utilise the collected data to predict load
and haul cycle times more accurately. The benefits to be gained from increased
accuracy include the potential to assist in mine planning, scheduling and budgeting
decisions.
References
Alehossein, H. (2002), Data mining for miners the general mixed model (GMM), Exploration
and Mining Research News, Vol. 14, pp. 6-8.
Blackwell, G.H. (1999), Estimation of large open pit haulage truck requirements, CIM Bulletin,
Vol. 92 No. 1028, pp. 143-69.
Chanda, E.C.K. (1989), Evaluation of success probability in multiple seam room-and-pillar
mining, Mining Science and Technology, Vol. 9, pp. 57-73.
Demuth, H., Beale, M. and Hagan, M. (2005), Neural Network Toolbox for Use with MATLABw,
The Mathworks, Natick, MA.
Draper, N.R. and Smith, H. (1966), Applied Regression Analysis, Wiley, New York, NY.
Edwards, D.J. and Griffiths, I.J. (2000), Artificial intelligence approach to calculation of
hydraulic excavator cycle time and output, Mining Technology: Transactions of the
Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Section A, Vol. 109 No. 1, pp. 23-9.
Edwards, D.J. and Holt, G.D. (2000), ESTIVATE: a model for calculating excavator productivity
and output costs, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, Vol. 7 No. 1,
pp. 52-62.
Grayeli, R. and Moosavi, M. (2006), Using artificial neural network (ANN) for modelling of load
distribution along fully grouted cable bolts, Mining Technology: IMM Transactions
Section A, Vol. 115 No. 1, pp. 24-33.
Hardy, R.H. (2007), Selection criteria for loading and hauling equipment open pit mining
applications, PhD thesis, Curtin University of Technology, Sydney, 2 Volumes, 558 pp.

Figure 15.
Comparative percentage
errors for filtered block
simulation data

ECAM
17,5

460

Haykin, S. (2008), Neural Networks and Learning Machines, 3rd ed., Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle
River, NJ, 938 pp.
Mehrotra, K., Mohan, C.K. and Ranka, S. (1997), Elements of Artificial Neural Networks, The MIT
Press, Cambridge, MA.
Neter, J., Wasserman, W. and Kutner, M.H. (1985), Applied Linear Statistical Models, 2nd ed.,
Richard D. Irwin, Homewood, IL.
Tam, C.M., Tong, T.K.L. and Tse, S.L. (2002), Artificial neural networks model for predicting
excavator productivity, Engineering Construction & Architectural Management, Vol. 9
Nos 5/6, pp. 446-52.
About the authors
Emmanuel K. Chanda is an Associate Professor and a Program Leader in School of Civil,
Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide (Australia). His expertise is in
mine planning and design. He has over 25 years experience in mine operations, academia, and
consulting, mainly involving base and precious metal projects. His research interests are process
optimization in mining, new generation mine haulage and systems, novel mining techniques,
and measurement and sensing in mining. Chanda has been a recipient of the American Fulbright
Senior Research Scholarship. For ten years prior to joining the University of Adelaide, he worked
for Curtin University of Technology, WA School of Mines, as Senior Lecturer, Associate
Professor, and Head of the Mining Engineering Department and member of the Program Leaders
Committee of Mining Education Australia (MEA). Prior to joining Curtin University, Chanda
worked for Zambia Consolidated Copper Mines Limited where he held various positions
including that of Mine Planning Superintendent. Chanda has BMinSc (Mining Engineering) from
the University of Zambia, MEng (Engineer of Mines) from the Colorado School of Mines, USA,
and PhD (Mining Engineering) from the Technical University of Berlin, Germany. He is a
member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (AusIMM) and the Society for
Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration (SME). Emmanuel K. Chanda is the corresponding author
and can be contacted at: echanda@civeng.adelaide.edu.au
Steven Gardiner is a Long-Term Planning Engineer at Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines
Superpit Operation in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia. He graduated from Curtin University of
Technology, WA School of Mines in 2006 and commenced working as a graduate at BHP Billiton
Iron Ores Mt Whaleback mine in the Western Australian Pilbara region. He has returned to
Kalgoorlie to gain experience in a different type of operation and commodity, and to continue his
studies. Gardiner enjoyed a diverse career path before enrolling in university as a mature age
student. He successfully completed a BEng (Mining Engineering) with first class honours and
received a number of academic awards in the process. He is currently working at attaining a
Master of Engineering Science (Mining) and is a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining
and Metallurgy (AusIMM).

To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail: reprints@emeraldinsight.com


Or visit our web site for further details: www.emeraldinsight.com/reprints

Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen