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Advanced Trading

Psychology

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The harsh reality is that the vast majority of all traders lose.

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Sticking to any trading system for any length of time is nearly impossible
only sure shot tips..!

without having confidence in it!

Confidence does not equal discipline!

Quietly destroying your confidence

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Not treating trading seriously

Half-Ass studying charts

Consecutive losing trades

One step forward winning trades & one step backwards losing trades.feels like your
not making progress

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anxiety

happiness

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fear

guilt

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gradual
acceptance

moving
forward

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This can

DENIAL Change?
What
change?

Yippee!
Finally,
Can I
its
handle
this? working!

Whats the
impact
here? How
will this
A
affect me?
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A
AD
A

A
A
B
A
A only sure shot tips..! Uh-oh
A
A
AC
this is more
A
A
than I bargained
A for!
AE
What was
A
I
Athinking?
HAPPINESS
AF
ANXIETY
FEAR
A

actually work!
And its so
rewarding!

DISILLUSIONMENT

Im outta
here!
This is
SO not
for me!

A
A
G
A

I can see it
now! My
future, that is!

A
AJ
A

A
AK
A

MOVING
FORWARD

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Who
Aam I?

GRADUAL
ACCEPTANCE

A
H
A

THREAT
GUILT

DEPRESSION
HOSTILITY

A
A
M
A

I will make
this work
even if I die
trying!

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The
allow
only markets
sure shot tips..!

you to

chose between

Self
Fulfillment

Self-Fulfillment

Self
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Destruction
Self-Destruction
and

continuously.

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Trying to rationalize markets behavior without a paradigm

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Lack of work ethic,
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Trading without a trust worthy plan,

Low trading self-esteem

Existing personality traits conflicting with being open to interpretation


of the markets

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Afraid of lots of trades or trading opportunities and experience

Most setups are perceived as risky especially without the necessary


understanding and skills.

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All-In-At-Once methods
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When should you jump

All-In-At-Once?

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Does that mean use your entire maximum position size?

How do you determine how many shares/contracts to use at entry?

Can I jump All-In-At-Once in on any setup?

Scaling In methods

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When should you scale in?

How should the incremental position sizes be determined?

Where should you scale in at?

What setups should you consider scaling in afterwards?

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only sure shot tips..!

Scaling
In

Scaling
Out

Scaling
In

Scaling
Out

All-InAtOnce

AllOut-AtOnce

All-InAtOnce

AllOut-AtOnce

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Multiple entries and One Exit

Multiple Entries and Multiple Exits

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Scaling
In

Scaling
Out

Scaling
In

Scaling
Out

All-InAtOnce

AllOut-AtOnce

All-InAtOnce

AllOut-AtOnce

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One Entry and One Exit

One Entry and Multiple Exits

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Traders should consider being psychologically prepared to trade

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Prepare to accept financial risk for something (e.g., the market) over
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which you have no control

Trading is more a psychological issue than a methodological one

Without an understanding of trading psychology, the chances to


overcome the fear, confusion, and despair that is inherent in trading are
pretty much zero.

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After a series of consecutive losses, method becomes replaced with a


feeling (e.g., psychology) that it is impossible to do anything right. This is
a perfect example of why psychology can be more critical than method.

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So it goes, it is said that trading is 90% mental and 10% techniques.

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This does not imply that regardless of trading tactics, a trader that has
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control over their emotional issues will be a profitable trader, or vice


versa.

Trading techniques is the sole determinant of high odds through the

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ability to understand and maximize its strengths and minimize its


weaknesses.

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The root cause of the trading psychology problem


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Knowingly taking a bad (non-method/non setup) trade
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Having to accept this action/behavior when there is a loss.

Keep in mind that a losing trade that is base on some method is NOT a

bad trade

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Because the risk of loss from 'some' percentage of previous trades has

been accepted.

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only sure shot tips..!
3. Sideways Topping Action

3-Bar Bearish Reversal

3-Bar Bullish Reversal


Bull Trap
Bear Trap
Bullish Piercing
Bullish Engulfing
Opening Range Higher Low

1. Sideways Bottoming Action

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Bearish Piercing

Bearish Engulfing

Opening Range Lower High

1. Sideways Bottoming Action

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Minor support area

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Major support areas

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Bullish

Bearish

Engulfing

Engulfing

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50%

Bullish
50%

Piercing

Bearish

Piercing

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TARGET

Price
Action

STOP

(1R)

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RISK

(multiple R)
REWARD

ENTRY

ENTRY

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REWARD

(multiple R)

RISK

(1R)

TARGET

STOP

LONG Entry
Up trend
Higher Highs & Higher Lows

Short Entry
Down trend
Lower Highs & Lower Lows

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Price
Action

TARGET

STOP

(1R)

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Profit from
entry

RISK

(multiple R)

1st

REWARD

ENTRY

ENTRY

Profit from 1st


entry

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REWARD

(multiple R)

RISK

(1R)
STOP

TARGET

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TARGET

Price
Action

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only sure shot tips..!
(multiple R)

RISK

STOP

REWARD

RISK

STOP

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REWARD

(multiple R)

TARGET

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Reference: Scaling In vs. All-In-At-Once

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Transition Among Phases

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3. Sideways Topping Action

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1. Sideways Bottoming Action

1. Sideways Bottoming Action

Indicator provides
signal

Buy

SOH

Short

SOH

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Typically built to assist with determining directional/trending Price Action

Up Trend with Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL)

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Down Trend with Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL)
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Oscillators typically used to gauge extended Price Action

Markets spending significant time in non-trending direction

Consolidation

Congestion

Range-Bound

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Usually NOT designed to provide multiple entries as price action is going in your
favorScaling In

Should be obvious that most designed for a All-In-At-Once strategy

Indicators and All-In-At-Once usually lead to very high likelihood of big losses

Additional efforts required to get multiple signals for entries using indicators

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There are huge perceptions about Scaling In vs. All-In-At-Once as two


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diverse trading approaches
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Traders believe they are better than there performance demonstrates

Traders gravitate towards instant gratification and bigger profits


Traders have little endurance and patience for learning to trade without

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generating profits in the short-term

The focus is usually on the big reward of a trade with a big position and

not the big lose if the trade moves in the wrong direction and against
you.

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Trading psychology is distorted


I cant making any money by scaling in
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My setups are really good so I can always just exit and cut the lose

Most traders cannot stick to a single trading system for extended period of time

As a traderyoure going to lose your confidence at some point!

As a traderyoure going to screw up and not have any discipline

After a series of consecutive losses

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You replace logic with feelings/emotions (e.g., psychology)

Then markets constantly test your will to succeed

As an active trader, you will get tiredits natural and human nature

As a trader you will knowingly take bad (non-method/non setup) trades

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Adopt a Three-Prong-Approach
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Minimize loses in each and every trade as much as possible
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Maximize profits in winning trades

Manage and reduce the amount of paper profits given back from winning

trades

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So which method addresses the objectives of creating the best


trading psychology mindset?

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Simple techniques usually are the most effective in trading

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Typically you dont know its trending price action until you get confirmation with

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either

Higher Highs and Higher Lows, or Lower Highs and Lower Lows

More profits since price action is directional

Trending price action comes with natural retracements

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Potential to give back some of profits with price action fluctuations

Preserving your trading capital should suggest to you to scale in to trades first

Look for confirmation that the setup is correct and price action is moving in your favor

You minimize the potential lose of trading capital with scaling in

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Not a lot of profit opportunity available in non trending price action moves

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Non trending price action typical comes with overlapping candlesticks

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Scale In at support or resistance

Use previous trend as a reference

Only use All-In-At-Once with tight and adequate stops for minimal risk of loses

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All-In-At-Once comes with big profitsalso comes with the unfortunate quality
of big loses
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Scaling In protects you by limiting the initial risk and lose at entry

Scaling In allows you to naturally build confidence in adding to winning trades

All-In-At-Once guarantees the potential for the biggest lost at entry

Scaling In provides less profits as price action goes in your favor

All-In-At-Once guarantees maximum profit when price action moves in your favor

Not the best characteristics to use to describes your trade execution demeanor

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Low % of winning trades (Wrong more often)


High % of winning trades (Right more often)

Better Question: Does the trade initially go in your favor?

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Usually traders switch to a money


management mindset after their entry

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As price action moves in the right direction,
only sure shot tips..!
you have to have a balanced mindset of

Initial Trade Setup


Target # 1

Scaling In more in trending price action &


money management

Hence, some traders adopt easy way out


All-In-At-Once method

Typically money
management
focus

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Not really focusing on whether price action


is trending or non-trending

Must have balanced Plan of Attack

Scaling In

All-In-At-Once

Before you trade!


ENTRY

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If you are consistently losing money in trading, then All-In-At-Once


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should NOT be an option for ANY of your trading setups
only sure shot tips..!

If you are a breakeven trader then there should be select setups where you
scale-in and others where you can jump All-In-At-Once

If you are generating some profits and want to generate more, then be very

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clear about only using All-In-At-Once when price action is trending!

OtherwiseScale In ALL your trades

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