Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Kang Li Lim
is currently working as a Credit Analyst in a leading bank. He completed his PhD and Master in Business Research from the University of
Western Australia. He obtained a First Class Honors in his undergraduate degree in Banking and Finance from Nanyang Business School
at the Nanyang Technological University in Singapore. His research interests include consumer behaviour, investment decision making and
financial services.
Geoffrey N. Soutar
graduated in economics from the University of Western Australia (UWA) and undertook doctoral training at Cornell University. He was Director
of the Graduate School of Management at UWA from 2000 until 2007. He has been a consultant to a large number of organisations in
Australia and internationally and has published more than 150 research papers in journals and in book chapters, as well as a number of
research monographs, across a wide range of management and marketing areas.
Julie A. Lee
is a Winthrop Professor in the Marketing discipline at the University of Western Australia. Since completing her PhD in Business
Administration from the University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, she has been a faculty member at several universities. She has also
consulted across a range of industries and organisations, including acting as an expert witness in cases drawing on her expertise in crosscultural consumer behaviour and marketing research.
ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to examine investors decision-making from the
perspective of a consumer using constructs commonly found in the consumer behaviour
field. An investment intentions model incorporating product knowledge, product involvement, risk and uncertainty avoidance, and mediated by perceived risk and uncertainty, was
developed and analysed using structural equation modelling. The research found that product knowledge and product involvement had the greatest impact on intentions, suggesting
the applicability of these constructs in finance research. Perceived risk was the only mediating construct. The model explained more than 60 per cent of the variation in intentions.
A major contribution of this research came from the development of an investment intentions model to examine retail investors investment decision-making processes from
a consumer behaviour perspective. It helps practitioners to develop a better understanding
of the factors that impact on their clients intentions to invest in the stock market. This study
is the first to include a set of consumer behaviour constructs in an investment intentions
model that was not examined before, despite the close relationship between behavioural
2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1363-0539 Journal of Financial Services Marketing Vol. 18, 4, 301315
www.palgrave-journals.com/fsm/
Lim et al
finance and consumer behaviour that includes elements of psychology and sociology in
individual decision-making.
Journal of Financial Services Marketing (2013) 18, 301315. doi:10.1057/fsm.2013.23
Keywords: investment intentions; consumer behaviour; perceived risk and uncertainty; risk and
uncertainty avoidance; investment model
INTRODUCTION
302
THEORETICAL BACKGROUND
AND HYPOTHESES
Marketing has examined the ways in which
peoples background characteristics and
psychological processes inuence a range
of behaviours, of which investment behaviour
may be considered a subset. Behavioural nance
and consumer behaviour draw on psychology
to explain individual-level behaviour, often
joining these factors with elements from
sociology and economics. The broader
consumer behaviour literature has identied
2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1363-0539 Journal of Financial Services Marketing Vol. 18, 4, 301315
Risk avoidance
Risk avoidance is an attitude, or a stable
tendency, to avoid risk (Douglas and
Wildavsky, 1982), whereas risk perception
is a transitory response to a situation-specic
stimulus (Weber et al, 2002).
Whereas individual risk attitudes are stable
over time, risk perceptions are dynamic and
change according to context. Weber and
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Uncertainty avoidance
Researchers have examined the difference
between high uncertainty-avoidant people
and low uncertainty-avoidant people and
the behaviours they exhibit. Hofstede (1994)
found that low uncertainty-avoidant
individuals were exible, accepted uncertainty
without a great deal of discomfort, took risks
easily, showed greater tolerance for other
peoples opinions and behaviours, and did
not welcome explicit norms (Yoo and
Donthu, 2002). On the other hand, Hofstede
(1980, 1991, 2001) and other researchers
(for example, Yoo and Donthu, 2002;
Reisinger and Turner, 2003) found
high uncertainty-avoidant people were
more rigid and had a need to control their
environment and situations in which
they found themselves. Therefore,
uncertainty-avoidant people were more
likely to search for solutions to reduce
their uncertainty. It was expected that
uncertainty avoidance would positively
inuence peoples perceptions of the
uncertainty involved in investing in the
stock market, suggesting:
Hypothesis 2: The greater a persons
uncertainty avoidance attitude, the greater
will be that persons perceptions of
the uncertainty involved in investing
in the stock market.
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Product knowledge
Several studies have found support for
a negative relationship between product
Product involvement
Product involvement has been related to
perceptions of risk (Dowling, 1986; Mitchell,
1999; Chaudhuri, 2000; Dholakia, 2001).
Indeed, perceived risk has been seen as
a consequence of product involvement.
Venkatraman (1989) suggested that, as enduring
involvement is a long-term product concern,
whereas perceived risk is contextual, enduring
involvement precedes risk. She found that
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Product
Knowledge
H6 (-)
H7 (-)
H8 (+)
H9 (-)
Involvement
Perceived
Risk
H3 (-)
H10 (-)
H11 (+)
H1 (+)
Risk
Avoidance
Investment
Intentions
H4 (+)
Perceived
Uncertainty
H5 (-)
H2 (+)
Uncertainty
Avoidance
Figure 1:
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THE STUDY
The population and the sample
The population of interest was public retail
investors in Singapore who had investments
outside their pension schemes in the stock
market and who had held such investments in
the stock market during the 6 months before
the data was collected. Singapore was chosen to
undertake such a study as it is one of the more
established markets in the Asia-Pacic region,
the third most competitive nancial centre in
the world (Yeandle et al, 2009) and has many
retail investors (Singapore Exchange Limited,
2010). Background information about the
respondents, including age, gender and
education, was obtained, as was additional
investment information, including years of
investment experience, the types of assets
owned and the dollar value of the respondents
portfolio.
The data used was obtained from members
of an online panel, who were recruited by email
and paid by the panel provider in points that
can be used for online purchases. A sample of
about 250 respondents was obtained to ensure
that there was sufcient data to estimate the
suggested model (Bentler and Chou, 1987).
The measures
A questionnaire, which included the items used
to measure the constructs of interest, was
developed. Scales were adapted from past
research and, where possible, multiple-item
scales that had good measurement properties
were chosen. When necessary, questions
were modied to t the current stock market
investment intentions context and, where
possible, a common scaling option (a 7-point
Likert-type scale) was used to ensure
consistency. A summary of the studys
constructs can be found in Table A1 of
the appendix.
Data analysis
An initial examination of the data was
undertaken, with descriptive statistics being
computed for the constructs individual items
and the background variables, using the SPSS
programme. A Conrmatory Factor Analysis
was then estimated for each of the seven latent
variables using the AMOS SEM programme.
Items with low loadings were removed to
improve the constructs goodness of t before
their measurement properties were assessed,
by examining their unidimensionality,
reliability and convergent and discriminant
validity. On the basis of commonly used
criteria, construct reliability was assumed if the
composite reliability score was 0.70 or higher,
whereas an AVE score of 0.50 or greater
suggested that convergent validity could be
assumed (Fornell and Larcker, 1981).
Discriminant validity was assessed by comparing
the shared variances (squared correlations) of
the various construct pairs with their respective
AVE scores (Fornell and Larcker, 1981).
A partial disaggregation approach (Bagozzi
and Edwards, 1998), which is a compromise
between a totally aggregated approach and
a totally disaggregated approach, was then used
to estimate the SEM models, as it required
fewer parameters to be estimated, which was
seen as desirable as the sample size was not large.
Partial disaggregation is undertaken by creating
two or more composite variables for each
construct. These composites can be created
from empirically identied sub-dimensions of
an overall latent construct or, more commonly,
by allocating indicator items randomly to the
various composite variables (Bagozzi and
Heatherton, 1994), which was done here.
The partial disaggregation approach enables
complex models to be assessed with reasonable
sample sizes and with less random error than
would be the case if a totally disaggregated
approach were used. Consequently, more stable
estimates can often be obtained. This process
led to a sample size to estimated parameter ratio
of approximately 4 to 1, which is acceptable
(Tanaka, 1987). The structural model was
estimated using the AMOS SEM programme.
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THE RESULTS
The sample
A total of 257 responses were obtained from
Singaporean panel members who answered the
online questionnaire over a period of 2 weeks.
About half of the respondents were male
(51 per cent). Close to half of the respondents
were aged 35 and 44 years (44 per cent) and
almost one-third had more than 15 years of
investment experience. The most common
educational achievement was a college
degree (41 per cent). There was also an even
distribution of the value of the portfolios, with
the largest group having a portfolio value of
between S$10 000 and S$25 000 (28 per cent).
Product knowledge
Product involvement
Risk avoidance
Uncertainty avoidance
Perceived risk
Perceived uncertainty
Investment intentions
a
308
Initial
number
of items
Final
number
of items
Correlation a
2
(probability)
Construct
reliability
AVE
score
7
11
7
5
6
4
6
6
5
4
5
4
2
4
0.99
0.98
0.91
NA
0.98
0.85
0.99
12.43 (0.19)
2.20 (0.82)
0.97 (0.62)
1.75 (0.88)
2.01 (0.37)
NA
3.02 (0.22)
0.94
0.95
0.82
0.88
0.88
0.86
0.95
0.72
0.78
0.54
0.59
0.65
0.56
0.84
This is the correlation between the summed scale based on the initial items and the summed scale based on the finally retained items.
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Relationships
Hypothesis 1
Hypothesis 2
Hypothesis 3
Hypothesis 4
Hypothesis 6
Hypothesis 7
Hypothesis 8
Hypothesis 9
Hypothesis 10
Hypothesis 11
Standardised coefficient
P-value
0.29
0.37
0.24
0.58
0.12
0.18
0.63
0.25
0.05
0.31
<0.01
<0.01
<0.01
<0.01
>0.05
<0.05
<0.01
<0.01
>0.05
<0.01
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Uncertainty
avoidance
Risk
avoidance
Product
involvement
Product
knowledge
Perceived
uncertainty
Perceived
risk
0.37
0.21
0.05
0.00
0.29
0.07
0.05
0.27
0.37
0.18
0.22
0.58
0.00
0.58
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.24
Risk
avoidance
Product
involvement
Product
knowledge
Perceived
uncertainty
Perceived
risk
0.599
0.001
0.078
0.002
0.001
0.620
0.083
0.002
0.001
0.097
0.001
0.002
0.001
uncertainty
Perceived risk
0.001
Investment
0.001
0.001
intentions
Standardised direct effects (bias-corrected)
Perceived
0.001
uncertainty
Perceived risk
0.001
Investment
intentions
Mediating effects
A bootstrapping approach was used to examine
the mediating roles played by perceived risk and
perceived uncertainty (Shrout and Bolger
(2002). Perceived risk was expected to mediate
the relationships between product knowledge
and investment intentions, product
involvement and investment intentions.
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CONCLUSIONS AND
IMPLICATIONS
Product knowledge and product involvement
both impacted on investment intentions.
Furthermore, whereas perceived risk had
a mediating effect, perceived uncertainty did
not. This result is signicant, as it emphasises the
importance of including risk and uncertainty as
separate constructs, as they had different impacts
on peoples stock market investment intentions.
This result is important, as many researchers
have used these constructs interchangeably
(Gronhaug and Stone, 1995; Hofstede, 2001;
Cho and Lee, 2006).
A major contribution of the present
research came from the development of an
investment intentions model to examine retail
investors investment decision-making
processes from a different (consumer
behaviour) perspective. Most previous studies
that examined peoples stock market
investment intentions did so with little
reference to the ways in which an investor
would approach such an investment decision.
This study is the rst to include a set of
consumer behaviour constructs in an
investment intentions model. The model
tted the data and yielded results that
increased our understanding of the impact of
these predispositional constructs on peoples
stock market investment intentions.
The current study supported earlier studies
(for example, March, 1996; Howcroft et al,
2007) that suggested that product knowledge
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APPENDIX
Table A1: The constructs used in the study
Construct
Product knowledge
Product involvement
Risk avoidance
Items
7
11
7
Scale
Likert-type scale
Semantic differential
Likert-type scale
Laroche et al (2003)
Laroche et al (2003)
Quintal et al (2006)
Quintal et al (2010a)
Zhou et al (2002)
Quintal et al (2010a)
Laroche et al (2003)
Stone and Gronhaug (1993)
Bstieler (2005)
Ellis and Shpielberg (2003)
Dodds et al (1991)
Soderlund and Ohman (2003)
Uncertainty avoidance
Perceived risk
5
6
Likert-type scale
Likert-type scale
Perceived uncertainty
Likert-type scale
Investment intentions
Likert-type scale
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