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Monthly Update

September 21, 2016

Health Check

Sector View
Positive
Index Performance as on September 21, 2016
Return (%)
Return (%)

1M

3M

YTD

1Y

CNX 500

1.3

8.8

11.4

12.7

Nifty

1.3

6.8

10.5

10.0

NSE Pharma

1.2

10.4

-1.9

-7.7

Stocks Performance
Mcap

Return (%)
Company

1M

3M

YTD

1Y 21-Sep

Sun Pharma.Inds.

-0.6

Lupin

-1.9

5.8

-5.0

-13.5 187445

6.6

-15.9

Dr Reddy's Labs

-17.8

69689

4.7

3.4

1.4

-20.3

52244

Cipla

8.0

24.4

-7.4

-7.4

48323

Aurobindo Pharma

5.6

12.0

-7.8

13.5

47261

Cadila Health.

4.9

24.1

19.5

-1.6

40069

Divi's Lab.

2.3

19.0

15.1

19.0

35287

Torrent Pharma.

4.2

21.6

12.7

13.8

27360

Glenmark Pharma.

4.0

18.1

-2.4

-12.0

25394

Glaxosmit Pharma

-10.0

-20.0

-15.2

-16.1

23806

Biocon

11.6

30.5

82.5

114.9

18911

Apollo Hospitals

-5.8

0.4

-10.5

-3.8

18251

Ajanta Pharma

-0.2

34.1

47.6

35.8

17298

Alembic Pharma

1.1

20.3

-6.2

-5.8

12310

Natco Pharma

-0.8

26.9

10.0

41.2

11094

Jubilant Life

24.1

84.3

52.7

81.3

10007

Wockhardt

11.8

-1.0

-41.7

-35.4

9851

Syngene Int.

13.8

17.9

15.7

49.7

9641

Strides Arcolab

4.6

-5.2

-20.0

-14.1

Pfizer

4.7

5.9

-15.3

-22.4
-22.2

Ipca Labs.

15.2

20.2

-20.3

Indoco Remedies

8.1

25.7

1.2

1.1

Unichem Labs.

-2.7

1.1

-1.6

-3.6

Market cap in | crore

Price movement
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
Sep-15

6000
4000
CNX Pharma

On an innovation front, Glenmark has announced the discovery and


initiation of investigating new drug (IND) enabling studies for a novel clinical
development candidate, GBR 1372. GBR 1372 adds to Glenmarks
expanding oncology portfolio of biologics including GBR 1302 (HER2xCD3
bispecific antibody) and GBR 1342 (CD38xCD3 bispecific antibody) based on
its proprietary BEAT technology. Glenmark is likely to file an IND with the
USFDA in 2HFY18. Glenmark presently has a pipeline of six Novel Biologics
Entity (NBE) and tow Novel chemical Entity (NCE) in various stages of
preclinical and clinical development.

Glenmark has entered into a tie-up with US based Particle Sciences, Inc. to
develop and market a generic version of Celgenes oncology injection
7457
Abraxane (paclitaxel protein (albumin)-bound particles for injectable
3051
2389 M suspension). As per the agreement, Glenmark has obtained global exclusive
marketing and distribution rights of the product upon commercialization.
Particle Sciences will develop this product exclusively for Glenmark.

8000

Jun-16

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 15% YoY to | 9643 crore for
the month of August, the highest growth in nine months mainly due to
recovery in volume growth (albeit on lower base) and seasonality benefit.
The growth was largely driven by volumes increase 9.1% followed by
price hikes- 2.9% and new product launches- 2.9%. On a MAT basis, IPM
growth stood at 10.5% YoY to | 102537 crore.

9211

10000

Mar-16

In a significant tie-up, Syngene has opened a dedicated centre for US


based leading biologics dedicated player Amgen Inc. in Bangalore. This
centre, christened as Syngene Amgen Research and Development Centre
(SARC), will be Syngenes fourth such exclusive R&D centre and the first for
a biologics company. Syngene already operates dedicated R&D centres for
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS), Abbott Nutrition (Abbott) and Baxter Inc. SARC
will be staffed by a team of more than 100 Syngene scientists, working with
Amgen researchers around the world on the discovery and development of
innovative medicines.

9140

12000

Dec-15

Syngene opens new centre; Domestic growth


recovers

Sep-16

Nifty (RHS)

Research Analyst
Siddhant Khandekar
siddhant.khandekar@icicisecurities.com
Mitesh Shah
mitesh.sha@icicisecurities.com

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

On a regulation front, Indocos Goa plant II (sterile and solid dosages facility)
received six 483 observations from USFDA. Inspection was conducted
between 31st August 31, 2016 to 4th September, 2016. The injectable ANDA
filings triggered this inspection. In Mar 2016, Goa plant received
establishment inspection report (EIR) for inspection conducted in July 2015.
No red flag on earnings front; regulatory worries waning
Despite pricing pressure and client consolidation in the US, which were
thought to be the significant headwinds post Q4FY16 numbers, most of the
players (barring few) managed to expand volumes in Q1 thereby
neutralising these headwinds. Regarding USFDA issues the Indian players
have moved on and seem better prepared than 12-18 months ago as
reflected by growing number of EIRs by the USFDA for Indian facilities. The
Indian formulations also did reasonably well despite NLEM / FDC issues. We
expect earnings momentum to continue on the back of incremental product
launches in the US and likely positive outcome from the USFDA reinspections besides normalising of Indian formulations growth. We expect
healthcare universe revenue, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a CAGR of 12%,
13% and 16%, respectively, in FY16-18E. The growth will be steered by US
(~13% CAGR over FY16-18E) and Indian formulations (~14% CAGR over
FY16-18E).

Regulatory approvals
Exhibit 1: Summary of USFDA approvals for Aug, 2016
[5

Company
Sun Pharma
Natco Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Sun Pharm
Aurobindo Pharma
Glenmark Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Dr Reddys Labs
Jubilant
Aurobindo Pharma
Jubilant
Cipla
Sun Pharm
Dr Reddys Labs
Ajanta Pharma

Drug Name
Metformin Hydrochloride
Oseltamivir Phosphate
Linezolid
Buprenorphine Hydrochloride; Naloxone Hydrochloride
Galantamine Hydrobromide
Triamcinolone Acetonide
Esomeprazole Sodium
Paricalcitol
Felodipine Er Tablets
Omeprazole; Sodium Bicarbonate
Telmisartan Tablets
Trospium Chloride
Morphine Sulfate
Nitroglycerin
Olanzapine

Company
Torrent Pharms
Lupin
Ajanta Pharma

Drug Name
Rosuvastatin Calcium
Paroxetine
Eletriptan Hydrobromide

Final Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Anti-Diabetic
Anti-Infective
Anti-Bacterial
Anti-Addictive
Anti-Alzheimer
Dermatology
GI
Hormonal
CVS
Gi
CVS
Cns
Pain Management
CVS
Cns
Tentative Approvals
Therapeutic Area
CVS
Anti-Depressant
Pain Management

Innovator company
Generic Version of
Santarus Inc
Glumetza
Roche
Tamiflu
Harmacia
Zyvox
Indivior Inc
Suboxone
Janssen Pharma
Razadyne
NA
NA
Astrazeneca
Nexium IV
Abbvie
Zemplar
Astrazeneca
Plendil
Santarus
Zegerid
Boehringer Ingelheim Pha Micardis
Valeant
Wellbutrin XL
Purdue Pharma
Ms Contin
Pfizer
Nitrostat
Lilly
Zyprexa

Market Size
US$ 1200 million
US$ 403 million
US$ 87 million
NA
NA
US$ 4.4 million
NA
US$ 110 million
NA
NA
US$ 250 million
US$ 792 million
NA
US$ 108 million
NA

Innovator company
Astrazeneca
Apotex
Pfizer

Market Size
NA
NA
NA

Generic Version of
Crestor
Paxil
Relpax

CNS: Central Nervous System; CVS: Cardiovascular,GI: Gastro Intestinal, NA: Not available;
Source: USFDA, ICICIdirect.com Research

M&As, Demergers, Tie-ups and JVs

DRL to market three of Amgens Biological drugs in India


DRL will be commercialising Amgens three biological drugs XGEVA
(denosumab), Vectibix (panitumumab) and Prolia (denosumab) in India in
the therapeutic areas of oncology and osteoporosis.
Cadila partners Takeda for chikungunya vaccine
Cadila health entered in to a strategic partnership with Japan's Takeda
Pharma to develop vaccine for vector borne chikungunya. The agreement
includes early stage development to the final commercialisation of the
vaccine. As per management, there is currently no vaccine to prevent
chikungunya virus infection.
Glenmark Signs agreement with Particle Sciences For gAbraxane
Glenmark Pharma entered into a strategic agreement with Particle Sciences,
Inc. to develop and market a generic version of Celgenes oncology
injection Abraxane (paclitaxel protein (albumin)-bound particles for
injectable suspension). As per the agreement, Glenmark has obtained global
exclusive marketing and distribution rights of the product upon
commercialization. Particle Sciences will develop this product exclusively
for Glenmark, and shall receive certain milestone payments during various
stages of the products development from Glenmark, including royalties on
sales. Development of the product has been initiated for the US market and
Glenmark intends to file the ANDA in FY19. The product will be
subsequently filed in other key markets across the globe. Branded Abraxane
marketed globally by Celgene has reported sales of US$ 967 million in
CY15.
Indoco acquires manufacturing plant at Baddi
Indoco Remedies has acquired the manufacturing facility at Baddi from
Micro Labs Ltd. The facility is spread over an area of 18000 sq mt, out of
which 11,000 sq mt is the built-up area. It produces 4.3 billion tablets and 50

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 2

million capsules p.a. With this acquisition, Indoco will now have six

facilities for formulations and three for APIs.


Price cuts / New Launches / Recalls/Approvals

Glenmark announces Initiation of IND studies for GBR 1372


Glenmark has announced the discovery and initiation of investigating new
drug (IND) enabling studies for a novel clinical development candidate, GBR
1372. GBR 1372 is the third Bispecific Antibody and also Glenmarks third
clinical candidate targeting an oncology indication.
Law suits / Court rulings / Settlements / Regulatory Issues

Indoco Goa Plant II received six observations from USFDA


Indoco remediess Goa plant II (sterile and solid dosages facility) received
six 483 observations from USFDA. Inspection was conducted between 31st
August 31, 2016 to 4th September, 2016. The injectable ANDA filings
triggered this inspection. As per the management, none of these
observations are related to data integrity issue. It expects to complete the
corrective and preventive actions within a period of 30 days. In Mar 2016,
Goa plant received establishment inspection report (EIR) from USFDA for
inspection conducted in July 2015.
Taro Pharma under anti-trust scanner for price hike
Taro Pharma has been summoned by the US Department of Justice (DOJ)
over its pricing policy. The DOJ's investigation comes at a time when
pharma companies in the US are being accused of exorbitantly increasing
the price of essential medicines.
US FDA completes Aurobindo's Unit IV audit
The company's management has indicated that the USFDA has completed
inspection of unit IV plant at Andhra Pradesh and issued 2-3 observations.
As per the management, the observations are minor which should not
impact the approval of pending products from the site.
Aurobindo, Sun and Lupin recall drugs in the US
Lupin Pharma is recalling 26436 bottles of Lisinopril Tablet from US due to
deviation from current good manufacturing practice (CGMP). Sun Pharma is
also recalling 12109 HDPE bottles of Carvediol Tablets due to Failed
Impurities/Degradation Specifications. As per the report, all the recalls are
fall under a class III recall category. Aurobindo is also recalling 23016 bottles
of Pantoprazole Sodium Delayed-Release Tablets under Class II category
due to received a market complaint stating the presence of one foreign
tablet (Montelukast Sodium Chewable Tab 4mg) in the product bottle of
Pantoprazole.
Others

Syngene sets up R&D centre for Amgen in Bengaluru


Syngene has announced the establishment of a dedicated centre for
Amgen, Inc. in Bangalore. This centre, called Syngene Amgen Research and
Development Centre (SARC), will be Syngenes fourth such exclusive R&D
centre and the first for a biologics company. Syngene already operates
dedicated R&D centres for Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS), Abbott Nutrition
(Abbott) and Baxter Inc. SARC will be staffed by a team of more than 100
Syngene scientists, working with Amgen researchers around the world on
the discovery and development of innovative medicines.
Q1FY17 Results

Apollo Hospital- Lower occupancy, Ind AS hit margins


Standalone revenues increased 12% YoY to | 1465 crore on the back of a
22% increase in pharmacy business to | 633 crore. Healthcare business
grew 6% to | 833 crore. EBITDA margins declined 85 bps to 12.8% on the
back of adverse product mix and Ind AS, which impacted EBITDA margins
of healthcare services negatively by 130-140 bps. Adjusted net profit degrew 18% to | 72 crore due to higher interest cost and lower EBITDA.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 3

Exhibit 2: Patent litigations (12 months)


[5

Month
Sep-15
Sep-15
Sep-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Jan-16
Feb-16
Feb-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16

Innovator

ANDA Filer

Brand Name

Jazz Pharma
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Horizon Pharma
Bayer Pharma
Merck
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Takeda Pharma
Janssen Pharma
Novartis Pharma
Otsuka Pharma
AstraZeneca
AstraZeneca
Novartis Pharma
Allergan
Shire Pharma
Dexcel Pharma
Dexcel Pharma
Cephalon Inc.
Cosmo Techs
Pfizer
Vanda Pharma
Forest Labs
Jazz Pharma
Otsuka Pharma
Symed Labs
UCB Inc.
Unimed Pharma
Helsinn Healthcare
Sanofi-Aventis
Otsuka Pharma
Merz Pharma
Dow Pharma
Cubist Pharma
Bayer Pharma
Bristol Myers Squibb
Janssen Products LP
Shire Canada
Daiichi Sankyo
Daiichi Sankyo
Daiichi Sankyo
Apicore
UCB, Inc.
Gilead
Janssen Biotech
Sanofi-Aventis
Sanofi-Aventis
Roche
AstraZeneca AB
Hyperion Therapeutics
Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Lupin
Gilead Sciences Inc
Shire LLC
AbbVie Inc.
Galderma Laboratories, LP
Reckitt Benckiser Inc.
Takeda Pharma
Dexcel
Shionogi Inc
Nestle Skin Health

Lupin
Lupin
Lupin
Alembic Pharma
Lupin
Taro Pharma
Aurobindo
Aurobindo
Natco Pharma
Zydus Pharma
Alembic Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Aurobindo Pharma
Lupin
Sun Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Aurobindo Pharma
Lupin
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Lupin
InvaGen Pharma
Sun Pharma
Alkem Labs
Glenmark Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Glenmark Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Taro Pharma
Taro Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
InvaGen Pharma
Cipla
Lupin
Lupin
Torrent Pharma
Alembic Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Glenmark Pharma
Cadila Healthcare
Cadila Healthcare
Cadila
Aurobindo
Lupin
Aurobindo
InvaGen Pharma
Hetero
Alkem Lab
Amgen Inc.
SEEGPharm
Sun Pharma
Dexcel Pharma
Aurobindo
Hi-Tech Pharmacal
Perrigo Co.

Xyrem
Tamiflu
Pennsaid
Staxyn
Beyaz
Moviprep
Prevacid
Xarelto
Gleevec
Abilify
Brilinta
Brilinta
Exelon Patch
Acular LS
Lialda
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
Nuvigili
Uceris
Toviaz
Fanapt
Viibryd
Xyrem
Abilify
Zyvox
Zyrtec-D
Androgel
Aloxi
Multaq
Abilify
Naftin
Onexton
Cubicin
Xarelto
Reyataz
Prezista
Daliresp
Benicar
Benicar
Benicar
LYMPHAZURIN
VIMPAT
EMTRIVA
ZYTIGA
MOZOBIL
MOZOBIL
Aloxi
Nexium 24HR
RAVICTI
Truvada
Antara
Complera
Fosrenol
Humira
Metrogel
Mucinex
Prevacid
Prilosec
Ulesfia
MIRVASO

API
Used for
Sodium Oxybate
Narcolepsy
Oseltamivir
Influenza
Diclofenac
Osteoarthritis
Vardenafil Hydrochloride
Sex Stimulant
Drospirenone
Birth control
Polyethylene glycol electrolyte soln
Gastro Intestinal
lansoprazole
Stomach ulcers
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Matinib Mesylate
Anti-cancer
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Ticagrelor
CVS
Ticagrelor
CVS
Rivastigmine
Dementia
Ketorolactromethamine
Ocular Pain
Mesalamine
Ulcerative Colitis
Omeprazole
GI
Omeprazole
GI
Modafinil
CNS
Budesonide
GI
Fesoterodine
Urotherapy
Iloperidone
Schizophrenia
Vilazodone
Anti-depressant
Gamma-hydroxybutyric acid
CNS
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Linezolid
Anti-Infective
Cetirizine
Respiratory
Testosterone
Low Testosterone
Palanosetron
Nausea
Dronedarone
Atrial Fibrillation
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Naftifine Hydrochloride
Fungal Infection
Cindamycin Phosphate and Benzoyl Peroxide Acne
Daptomycin
Antibiotic
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Atazanavir
HIV
Darunavir
HIV
Roflumilast
Respiratory
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
isosulfan blue
lymphatic imaging agent
lacosamide
partial-onset seizures
emtricitabine
HIV
abiraterone
Oncology
plerixafor
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
plerixafor
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
palonosetron hydrochloride
prevention of acute nausea
esomeprazole magnesium
treatment of acid reflux
Glycerol Phenylbutyrate
urea cycle disorders
emtricitabine / tenofovir disoproxil fumarate HIV
fenofibrate
hypercholesterolemia; dyslipidem
Emtricitabine; Rilpivirine Hydrochloride; TenofoHIV
lanthanum carbonate
end stage renal disease
adalimumab
immunosuppressant
metronidazole
rosacea
guaifenesin / pseudoephedrine hydrochloride bronchial congestion
lansoprazole
stomach ulcers
Omeprazole
Heartburn
benzyl alcohol
anti-parasite
brimonidine
Dermatology

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 4

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 15.3% YoY to | 9643


crore for the month of August. The growth was driven by volumes
increase 9.1%, price hikes- 2.9% and new product launches- 2.9%
and.
The (Fixed dosage combination) FDCs related market de-grew 11.5%.
Drugs under NLEM list increased 4.5% to |1101 crore while non-NLEM
drugs posted a robust growth of 17.3% to | 8141 crore. Volume growth
in NLEM and Non-NLEM was 14.9% and 9.6% respectively.
Among companies under I-Direct coverage, Indoco, IPCA and Unichem,
glenmark, Alembic and Sun have registered robust growth of 33.7%,
28.0%, 26.4%, 20.9%, 20.5% and 20.3% respectively. DRL, Torrent,
Ajanta, Lupin, Cipla and Cadila registered growth of 17.3%, 12.7%,
10.0%, 9.3%, 8.6% and 6.7% respectively.
Therapy wise, 6 therapies have outpaced the IPM growth. Notable
among them with growth rates- Anti-Malarials 38.6%, Anti infective
19.6%, Respiratory32.3%, Anti Diabetic 19.0%, Pain/Analgesics
15.4% and GI 14.2%.
In all, 340 new brands were launched in Aug-16.
On a MAT basis, IPM growth stood at 10.5% YoY to | 102537 crore.
Domestic companies have grown 17.1%, while MNC companies have
grown 9.0% in Aug-2016.

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

23.0 Oct-15

15.8

14.9
6.7

4.7

20

8.8

12.6

10.1

13.1

9.8

10
5
0
-5

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

34.0

35

Source: AIOCD data base ; As per AIOCD MAT Aug 2016

30

(%)

Unichem

Torrent

Sun Pharma

Pfizer

Novartis

Lupin

Ipca Labs

19.7

20
10

34.5

28.0

25
15

Indoco

GSK Pharma

Glenmark

DRL

Cipla

40

Cadila

Exhibit 4: Companies growth in domestic market in Aug, 2016


Biocon

SubChronic,
18529.19,
20.3%

10.6

15

13.7

20

Alembic

Acute,
44636.31,
48.8%

Sep-15

25

Industry acute to chronic therapy ratio percentage


Chronic,
28318.03,
31.0%

Aug-15

Exhibit 3: Domestic formulations - growth trend


Jul-15

Brand
Company Therapy
Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Gr. (%)
Corex
Pfizer
Respiratory
315.6
261.7
20.6
308.8
234.4
31.8
Spasmo Prox Wockhardt GI
Lantus
Sanofi
Anti Diabetic
304.5
241.2
26.2
Galvus Met Novartis
Anti Diabetic
295.8
216.4
36.7
Anti-Infectives 295.4
329.2 -10.3
Augmentin GSK
Clavam
Alkem
Anti-Infectives 255.9
221.7
15.4
Volini
Ranbaxy
Pain
236.8
204.3
15.9
Becosules Sun Pharma Vitamins
219.5
257.8 -14.9
Pan
Alkem
GI
205.8
182.3
12.9
Voveran
Novartis
Pain
205.1
161.0
27.3
Source: AIOCD data base

12.2

Top brands in Indian pharma market

IPM grew 15% in Aug- highest growth in 9 months

Ajanta

Therapy
Aug' 16 Aug' 15 YoY (%) July' 16 MoM (%)
Anti-Infectives
1562
1306
19.6
1409
10.9
GI
1138
997
14.2
1133
0.4
Cardiac
1119
1002
11.6
1084
3.2
Vitamins
848
761
11.4
824
2.9
Anti Diabetic
800
672
19.0
755
5.9
Respiratory
771
583
32.3
685
12.6
Pain
694
602
15.4
650
6.9
Derma
554
494
12.2
527
5.3
Neuro
552
504
9.5
527
4.7
Gynaecological
472
426
10.8
473
-0.2
Vaccines
163
163
0.1
172
-5.1
Ophthal
162
156
4.5
155
5.1
Hormones
159
139
14.0
149
6.7
Anti-Neoplastics
149
146
2.1
145
2.7
Others
117
87
35.2
108
8.4
Blood Related
111
102
8.4
107
3.2
Urology
105
91
15.0
101
3.4
Anti Malarials
77
56
38.6
60
28.1
Sex Stimulants
48
42
14.4
48
-0.3
Stomatologicals
43
38
13.4
43
-0.4
Source: AIOCD data base

(%)

Therapy wise performance (| crore)

12.3
11.9

8.8

19.9

15.6

8.2

12.4

13.5
7.2

2.9

5.8

7.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 5

Sun Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
3570.21,
44.5%

150
130
110
90
70
50

SubChronic,
1072.35,
13.4%

Acute,
3376.53,
42.1%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Sep-16

Sun Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Indian Pharma Market

Aug-16
15.8
12.4

14.9
9.9

6.7
3.3

Others

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

4.7

4.5

5.2

8.8

7.0
12.3

8.2

9.9

12.6

10.1

13.1

20.3

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.8

10

10%

10.6
12.5

7%

11.6

(%)

56%

13.7

15

9%

18.1

20

18%

5.2

25

23.0Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Exhibit 5: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Top 10

Jul-16

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 6: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 7: Top 10 brands performance


Therapy

Volini

Pain

22.1

19.2

15.2

21.3

3.7

Gemer

Anti Diabetic

17.4

12.3

41.5

16.3

7.0

Rosuvas

Cardiac

17.0

13.0

30.3

16.1

5.1

7.8

Istamet

Anti Diabetic

16.6

12.1

37.4

16.2

2.6

7.2

Levipil

Neuro

14.3

11.7

22.7

14.3

0.4

6.6

Revital H

Vitamins

14.3

10.2

40.2

13.7

4.8

Pantocid

Gastro Intestinal

13.5

11.2

21.0

13.1

3.2

Susten

Gynaecological

12.8

11.5

10.8

12.8

-0.2

Pantocid Dsr

Gastro Intestinal

11.1

9.6

15.5

10.8

3.0

Mox

Anti-Infectives

10.1

8.2

23.3

9.9

1.1

9.6
9.0
8.4
(%)

(| crore)

Brand

8.3 8.3 8.3

8.9 8.9 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.9 8.8


8.7
8.6 8.7

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

6.0

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research * Included Ranbaxys sales

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 8: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 9: Therapy wise performance

Derma
7%

Cardiac
29%

Anti-Infectives
18%

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

153.6

120.4

27.6

146.0

5.2

Neuro

141.4

117.4

20.5

136.0

3.9

Gastro Intestinal

102.2

87.9

16.2

100.0

2.2

96.5

86.8

11.2

90.8

6.2

Anti-Infectives

Gastro
Intestinal
19%

Neuro
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Derma

41.0

32.7

25.4

73.1

-43.9

Anti Diabetic

76.3

61.6

23.9

57.3

33.0

Vitamins

35.4

28.6

23.7

38.2

-7.4

Pain

59.6

51.9

14.8

34.3

73.8

Respiratory

33.8

22.7

49.0

30.0

12.7

Gynaecological

29.9

28.2

6.0

30.3

-1.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 6

Cipla

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

September 21, 2016

Stock Performance

Chronic,
1877.72,
Acute, 41.2%
2119.70,
46.5%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
556.57,
12.2%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Cipla

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Aug-16

14.9

15.8

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

12.3

14.2
6.7
8.8

8.8
2.0

Indian Pharma Market

Others

6.1

4.7

7.0
3.5

0
Top 10

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.6

4.6

11.5

10.1

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

21.0

10.0

11% 8%

10

11.0

(%)

13%

10.6

15

43%

13.7

20
25%

13.1
16.6

25

9.8
15.9

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

23.0Oct-15

Aug-15

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-15

Exhibit 10: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Cipla

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 11: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 12: Top 10 brands performance

(| crore)

5.4

Brand

Therapy

5.2

Foracort

Respiratory

16.5

15.3

7.8

16.3

1.6

Duolin

Respiratory

12.4

9.4

31.5

10.8

15.0

Budecort

Respiratory

12.0

11.0

9.1

12.3

-2.5

Seroflo

Respiratory

11.4

10.7

6.7

10.9

5.1

Asthalin

Respiratory

11.4

10.6

7.8

10.3

10.3

Montair Lc

Respiratory

8.0

5.9

35.5

7.3

10.6

Aerocort

Respiratory

8.0

7.8

2.0

7.7

3.8

5.1

5.0
4.8

5.1

5.2

4.9 4.9

4.8

(%)

5.2

5.2
4.9
4.7 4.7

4.6

4.6

4.4

4.5

4.2
Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

4.0

Cipla

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Azee

Anti-Infectives

7.6

7.7

-0.4

7.9

-3.5

Advent

Anti-Infectives

7.3

5.5

32.6

5.4

35.0

Ibugesic Plus

Pain

7.0

5.4

30.3

6.4

9.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 13: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 14: Therapy wise performance

Other
18%

Respiratory
30%

Urology
5%
Gastro
Intestinal
8%
Cardiac
12%

Anti-Infectives
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Respiratory
Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

Aug' 16
132.2

Aug' 15
112.8

YoY (%)
1 7.2

July' 16
122.1

MoM (% )
8.3

113.4

109.6

3.5

110.9

2.3

Cardiac

51.1

46.9

8.9

52.0

- 1.7

Gastro Intestinal

37.5

32.3

1 6.0

38.2

- 1.8

Urology
Neuro

20.1
13.6

19.7
15.7

1.8
-1 3.6

20.1
13.2

- 0.1
3.1

Ophthal

13.4

13.8

- 2.8

13.8

- 2.8

Pain

15.8

13.6

1 6.0

14.8

6.9

Derma
V itamins

12.0
7.9

10.9
7.4

9.4
6.5

11.1
8.4

8.0
- 5.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Dr. Reddys Labs

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance) Stock Performance


Chronic,
648.79,
30.8%
SubChronic,
405.29,
19.2%

Acute,
1053.63,
50.0%

140
120
100
80
60
Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Dr. Reddys

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

15.6

14.9
4.3

1.5

6.7

8.8

-1.4

4.1

4.7

7.0
6.7

15.8

31.7
12.6

26.5
10.1

9.8

7.5

13.1
27.4

23.6

23.0
30.7
10.6

14.6

(%)

10

16%

9%

13.7

20

29%

12%

Nov-15

40
30

34%

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 15: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

-10
Indian Pharma Market

Top 10

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Others

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 16: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 17: Top 10 brands performance

2.8
2.7

2.7

(%)

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.5
2.4
2.3

2.3

2.2

2.2

2.6

2.3

2.3

2.3
2.2

2.3 2.2 2.2

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

2.1

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Gastro
Intestinal
21%
Cardiac
14%

Anti-Infectives
8%
Respiratory
9%

Therapy

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Omez D

Gastro Intestinal

9.1

7.2

26.1

8.6

5.7

Omez

Gastro Intestinal

8.9

10.7

-16.7

9.4

-5.5

Peggrafeel

Anti-Neoplastics

7.2

1.7

309.9

5.4

33.2

Grafeel

Anti-Neoplastics

6.3

5.7

12.0

7.9

-20.1

Nise

Pain

5.8

5.4

7.2

5.2

10.5

Atarax

Respiratory

5.6

3.3

70.1

5.1

9.6

Econorm

Gastro Intestinal

5.5

5.7

-4.2

6.5

-16.7

Docetere

Anti-Neoplastics

5.3

2.5

112.9

4.1

28.5

Razo D

Gastro Intestinal

5.2

4.4

19.3

4.7

11.3

Razo

Gastro Intestinal

5.1

3.7

37.7

4.8

6.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 18: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Other
37%

(| crore)

Brand

AntiNeoplastics
11%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 19: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Gastro Intestinal

44.5

41.2

8.0

44.3

MoM (%)
0.5

Cardiac

27.7

27.1

2.0

25.6

8.1

Anti-Neoplastics

35.6

26.0

36.9

28.8

23.7

Respiratory

21.5

15.3

40.8

18.7

14.6

Anti-Infectives

21.1

15.1

39.8

16.3

29.4

Pain

14.5

13.3

9.4

13.4

8.6

Derma

11.4

10.1

12.1

10.7

6.6

Anti Diabetic

5.9

13.5

12.3

9.5

12.7

Urology

8.7

7.2

20.0

8.3

4.1

Neuro

7.3

6.7

7.8

6.6

10.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 8

Lupin

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
Acute,
933.57,
31.3%
Chronic,
1428.21,
47.9%

SubChronic,
617.73,
20.7%

140
120
100
80
60
Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Lupin

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

13%

11 to 20

Aug-16
13.5

15.8

14.9
11.1

6.7
4.7

-4

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

3.5

3.4 3.4

Lupin

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 21: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 22: Top 10 brands performance

3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3

Brand

Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Gluconorm-G

Anti Diabetic

15.0

11.4

30.8

14.6

2.2

Budamate

Respiratory

8.4

6.1

39.0

7.6

11.4

Tonact

Cardiac

7.7

8.4

-8.1

7.5

3.6

Rablet-D

Gastro Intestinal

5.2

4.7

12.1

5.4

-3.5

2.7

Rablet

Gastro Intestinal

4.5

4.5

1.1

4.5

1.4

2.5

Tazar

Anti-Infectives

4.2

3.5

20.2

3.8

10.0

2.3

Esiflo

Respiratory

4.0

4.4

-7.5

3.6

11.4

3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3

3.3
3.1

3.2 3.2 3.2

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.9

Aug-15

(%)

Jul-16

May-16
8.8
11.7

7.0

9%
Indian Pharma Market

Top 10

Jun-16

Apr-16

Mar-16
20.5

Feb-16
12.6
18.4

10.1
12.9

14.5

13.1

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

21.8

4.7
9.9

11%

9.8

12

7.2

(%)

20%

12.1

47%

10.6

20

13.7
20.9

28

23.0 Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 20: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

Lupin

Telekast-L

Respiratory

4.0

3.4

18.9

4.2

-4.4

Cetil

Anti-Infectives

3.9

3.4

14.2

4.2

-6.4

Ramistar

Cardiac

3.7

4.3

-15.2

3.5

3.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 23: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 24: Therapy wise performance

Other
22%

Cardiac
24%

Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Anti Diabetic
12%

Anti-Infectives
21%
Respiratory
13%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

71.9

70.0

2.8

68.5

5.0

Anti-Infectives

63.9

62.1

2.9

60.8

5.0

Respiratory

38.0

30.8

23.4

34.4

10.6

Anti Diabetic

38.2

29.5

29.4

36.9

3.5

Gastro Intestinal

25.4

23.0

10.2

25.1

1.3

Vitamins

15.8

16.8

-5.9

15.6

1.3

Neuro

14.4

14.0

2.9

13.8

4.4

Pain

13.2

12.8

3.3

12.7

3.4

Gynaecological

11.4

9.8

16.7

10.7

6.8

2.0

1.8

12.6

2.0

0.9

Ophthal

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 9

Cadila Healthcare

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
Acute,
933.57,
31.3%
Chronic,
1428.21,
47.9%

SubChronic,
617.73,
20.7%

140
120
100
80
60
Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Cadila Healthcare

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

15.8

14.9

Indian Pharma Market

Others

6.4

8.2

6.7

7.0

8.4

4.7

7.0

8.8

12.6
12.8

10.1
7.6

2.1

4.1

0
Top 10

Dec-15
13.1

6.3

12.7

9.8

10

9%

10.6
15.8

15

14.2

(%)

11%

13.7

20

20%

13%

Nov-15

23.0
24.9

30
25

47%

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 25: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

Cadila Healthcare

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

4.2
4.1
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4

4.1
3.9

4.0

4.0
3.9 3.9
3.9

3.9 3.9

Exhibit 27: Top 10 brands performance

3.9
3.8

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

3.7 3.6

Aug-15

(%)

Exhibit 26: Market share in Indian formulations market

Cadila Healthcare

Brand

Therapy

Skinlite

Derma

Mifegest Kit

Gynaecological

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)


13.9

13.9

0.2

13.3

4.4

9.4

11.2

-16.4

10.7

-12.8

Deriphyllin

Respiratory

9.2

6.5

41.9

8.4

9.8

Pantodac

Gastro Intestinal

9.1

8.0

13.6

10.5

-12.9

Atorva

Cardiac

9.0

10.5

-13.8

8.4

7.3

Falcigo

Anti Malarials

6.5

7.9

-17.7

5.7

14.4

Zyrop

Blood Related

6.5

5.8

12.2

6.9

-6.5

Vivitra

Anti-Neoplastics

5.7

0.0

NA

6.4

-10.3

Thrombophob

Pain

5.6

4.7

20.0

5.0

12.8

Sovihep

Anti-Infectives

5.5

5.2

6.9

5.2

6.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 28: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 29: Therapy wise performance

Cardiac
16%
Other
39%

Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Respiratory
11%
Pain
10%

Gynaecological
10%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Cardiac

52.8

54.3

-2.6

51.4

MoM (%)
2.9

Gastro Intestinal

47.4

44.4

6.8

48.4

-2.0
13.4

Respiratory

38.5

31.3

22.7

33.9

Gynaecological

31.9

35.3

-9.7

32.8

-2.9

Pain

36.1

31.4

15.1

32.7

10.5

Derma

26.9

25.0

7.8

25.3

6.3

Anti-Infectives

30.9

27.1

14.2

28.0

10.4
-0.3

Anti-Neoplastics

23.0

21.3

7.9

23.0

Vitamins

17.5

13.3

30.9

16.7

4.4

8.3

10.1

-17.8

7.3

14.6

Anti Malarials

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 10

GlaxoSmithKline

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
411.83,
12.9%

Acute,
2117.94,
66.3%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
664.88,
20.8%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

GSK Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

21 to 30

31 to 50

Aug-16

6.4

7.2

14.9

15.8

Jul-16

Jun-16
-6.7

0.3
-9.5

Indian Pharma Market


11 to 20

6.7

8.8
4.7

7.0

-10
-15

Top 10

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.6
2.2

6.9

10.1

13.1

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

23.0
Oct-15

-7.2

-5

16%

4.7

-1.1

9%

1.2

(%)

51%

9.8

10

10%

4.5

15

14%

10.6

20

13.7

25

21.2

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 30: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Others

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 31: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.6

3.5

3.4

3.3

3.4 3.4

3.3
3.1 3.1

3.0

3.0 3.0

3.0
2.9

2.8

3.0

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Augmentin

Anti-Infectives

25.7

27.2

-5.6

20.9

Calpol

Pain

23.5

14.9

57.8

23.4

0.7

Synflorix

Vaccines

18.3

14.6

25.0

16.2

13.1

Zinetac

Gastro Intestinal

13.1

12.6

3.4

14.8

-11.6

22.8

12.1

-16.6

9.2

9.6

Betnovate N

Derma

8.6

12.2

-29.2

9.2

-5.6

Betnesol

Hormones

8.6

8.0

7.4

8.1

6.0

T Bact

Derma

8.1

7.9

3.2

9.3

-12.5

Aug-16

10.1

Jun-16

Derma

May-16

Betnovate C

Apr-16

2.4

-5.1

Mar-16

7.3

12.2

Feb-16

11.4

2.8

Jan-16

9.9

11.3

Dec-15

11.1

11.6

Nov-15

12.2

Hormones

Oct-15

Anti-Infectives

Eltroxin
Sep-15

Ceftum
Aug-15

2.6
Jul-16

(%)

3.2

3.4

Exhibit 32: Top 10 brands performance

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 33: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Other
26%

Anti-Infectives
23%

Respiratory
8%
Pain
10%

Derma
18%
Vaccines
15%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 34: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Anti-Infectives

66.7

66.1

0.9

61.2

MoM (%)
9.0

Derma

45.4

53.3

-15.0

46.0

-1.4

Vaccines

43.2

34.6

24.6

39.9

8.2

Pain

34.5

25.5

35.4

34.9

-1.0

Respiratory

23.0

20.9

9.9

20.8

10.4

Hormones

20.9

20.1

4.4

21.0

-0.3

Vitamins

23.4

22.2

5.7

24.0

-2.6

Gastro Intestinal

-10.7

14.9

15.2

-1.8

16.7

Cardiac

4.5

6.1

-26.6

4.6

-3.3

Gynaecological

2.2

2.8

-21.5

3.4

-34.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 11

Wockhardt

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
223.03,
19.3%

Acute,
803.34,
69.7%

400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

SubChronic,
126.85,
11.0%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Wockhardt

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 35: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

60

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Indian Pharma Market

Others

15.8
9.2

14.9
14.4
6.7

8.8
9.4

1.8

2.5

0
Top 10

4.7
4.9

7.0

12.6
5.5

23.0

38.3

13.1

10.1
9.9

10

9.8

20

15%

13.7
24.7

54%

10.6

30

(%)

9%

42.6

40

8%

29.8

50.5

50

14%

Wockhardt

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 37: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.8
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0

Therapy

Practin
1.28
1.29

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

1.28 1.25
1.22

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

1.37 1.37 1.34


1.33

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

1.35

1.39 1.41 1.38

Wockhardt

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Intestinal
25%

Vitamins
15%

Anti-Infectives
7%
Neuro
8%

Vitamins

27.0

22.9

18.1

25.6

5.4

7.6

6.2

21.8

7.3

4.8

Tryptomer

Neuro

5.7

5.8

-0.2

5.1

12.9

Wepox

Blood Related

5.6

0.7

644.5

6.0

-6.3

Bro Zedex

Respiratory

4.8

3.5

37.9

4.7

2.7

Methycobal

Vitamins

4.5

4.6

-3.8

4.3

4.8

Biovac A

Vaccines

4.1

5.5

-24.7

2.7

52.3

Zedex

Respiratory

3.4

2.4

41.9

3.4

1.3

Biovac V

Vaccines

3.4

5.7

-40.0

3.5

-1.4

Wosulin

Anti Diabetic

2.7

2.0

32.7

2.3

15.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 38: Contribution of therapies to domesticGastro


sales (MAT Aug16)
Other
33%

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Spasmo Proxyvon PluGastro Intestinal

Aug-15

(%)

Exhibit 36: Market share in Indian formulations market

Respiratory
12%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 39: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Gastro Intestinal

29.4

25.2

16.5

28.1

MoM (%)
4.5

Vitamins

19.4

17.9

8.5

18.5

5.3

Respiratory

2.2

15.7

10.4

51.7

15.4

Neuro

9.7

9.5

1.9

8.9

7.9

Anti-Infectives

8.6

8.7

-0.9

7.5

15.6

Anti Diabetic

8.0

7.0

14.9

7.2

11.3

Derma

8.3

7.4

12.1

7.4

12.6

Pain

6.3

8.4

-25.5

5.9

6.0

Vaccines

7.7

11.2

-31.4

6.2

24.2

Hormones

2.5

1.9

30.5

2.6

-3.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 12

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60

Chronic,
781.54, 37.2%
Sub-Chronic,
473.14, 22.5%
Acute, 844.70,
40.2%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Glenmark

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15
43.6

15.8
19.7

14.9
15.8

7.1

6.7

8.8
8.9

7.0
14.8

12.6
19.6

10.1
16.3

9.8

13.1
18.6

23.0
Indian Pharma Market

Top 10

4.7
8.6

12%

10%

11.5

13%

(%)

36%

10.6

29%

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

13.0

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

13.7
28.0

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-15

Aug-15

Exhibit 40: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Others

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 41: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 42: Top 10 brands performance


Therapy

Telma

Cardiac

13.6

14.0

-3.0

12.5

Telma H

Cardiac

12.9

11.2

16.1

11.9

8.7

Ascoril Plus

Respiratory

11.4

7.1

59.8

10.0

14.1

Candid

Derma

9.1

7.6

20.1

10.0

-9.1

2.1

Candid-B

Derma

8.6

7.6

13.7

9.6

-10.5

Telma Am

Cardiac

6.9

5.9

15.8

6.4

7.0

1.9

Ascoril Ls

Respiratory

5.5

3.2

72.9

4.0

39.2

Onabet

Derma

4.9

3.2

49.8

Zitamet Plus

Anti Diabetic

3.8

0.0 NA

Lizolid

Anti-Infectives

3.5

2.7

2.7
2.5
2.3

2.3

2.4

2.6

2.5 2.5

2.5

2.4 2.4

2.4

2.4

2.3 2.3

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.2

Aug-15

(%)

(| crore)

Brand

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Exhibit 43: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Anti Diabetic
8%

Derma
29%

Anti-Infectives
13%
Respiratory
16%

32.6

9.1

4.2

15.1

3.5

8.1

2.9

22.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Other
12%

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Cardiac
22%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 44: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Derma

63.2

56.1

12.8

61.3

MoM (%)
3.1

Cardiac

47.4

43.0

10.2

43.8

8.2

Respiratory

40.4

25.6

57.7

33.6

20.2

Anti-Infectives

36.9

28.1

31.4

32.0

15.5

Anti Diabetic

6.7

14.7

17.7

-17.1

13.7

Vitamins

5.2

5.7

-8.7

5.1

1.8

Gastro Intestinal

8.1

4.7

72.1

6.8

19.2

Gynaecological

5.9

4.7

26.3

5.9

-0.6

Pain

4.1

4.4

-7.2

3.9

5.8

Ophthal

4.4

3.9

15.2

3.9

14.4

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 13

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
1069.36,
50.1%

200
160
120
80
40

SubChronic,
509.42,
23.9%

Acute,
555.14,
26.0%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Torrent Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Others

Aug-16
15.8

14.9
6.7

8.8

2.4

1.4

7.3

4.7

7.0
2.4

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.6
10.2

-5

-2.7

31 to 50

-3.0

21 to 30

10.1

13.1

0
11 to 20

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
5.4

9%

7.4

10

3.8

14%

12%

9.8

(%)

15

10.6
16.0

20

33%

13.7
21.7

32%

19.9

25

23.0Oct-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 45: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Top 10

Mar-16

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 46: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 47: Top 10 brands performance

2.4
2.4

2.34
2.29

2.3

2.24

2.2

2.22
2.16

2.2

2.19

2.25

2.22

2.29
2.24

2.21

2.19

Therapy

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Shelcal

Vitamins

17.5

14.5

20.4

17.6

Chymoral Forte

Pain

11.2

11.9

-5.6

10.6

6.2

Nikoran

Cardiac

7.6

7.2

5.8

7.2

6.4

Azulix-Mf

Anti Diabetic

6.1

4.5

36.9

5.7

7.1

-0.6

5.3

4.1

30.5

5.5

-2.9

Gastro Intestinal

4.7

3.9

19.1

4.6

2.2

Jan-16

Aug-16

Gastro Intestinal

Nexpro

Jul-16

Nexpro Rd

Jun-16

2.1
May-16

-1.2

Apr-16

7.2

5.5

Mar-16

5.3

10.9

Feb-16

19.9

4.9

Dec-15

4.7

5.4

Oct-15

5.7

Cardiac

Sep-15

Cardiac

Dilzem
Aug-15

Nebicard

2.1
Nov-15

(%)

2.3

2.32

(| crore)

Brand

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Cardiac
29%

Pain
8%

Gastro
Intestinal
15%
Vitamins
16%

Vitamins

4.5

3.2

37.2

4.5

-0.3

Rozucor

Cardiac

3.6

3.1

16.3

3.3

7.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 48: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Other
16%

Shelcal Ct

Neuro
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 49: Therapy wise performance

(| crore)

Therapy

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

58.6

Neuro

33.9

54.3

8.1

56.7

3.4

30.1

12.4

32.4

Vitamins

4.5

33.8

27.5

23.0

33.9

-0.2

Gastro Intestinal

31.9

26.8

18.8

32.0

-0.3

Pain

17.8

16.9

4.9

16.9

5.4

Anti Diabetic

13.8

10.9

26.9

13.0

6.0

Anti-Infectives

8.7

9.3

-7.0

7.9

9.1

Derma

5.9

4.4

35.5

5.6

4.9

Gynaecological

3.0

3.2

-5.5

2.9

6.5

Urology

1.0

0.8

33.1

1.0

-1.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 14

Ipca Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
150
125
100
75
50

Chronic,
325.51,
27.3%

Acute,
797.43,
66.9%

SubChronic,
68.40,
5.7%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Ipca

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 50: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

34.5

40
35

31 to 50

15.8

27.7
14.9
6.7
4.0

3.7
Ipca Laboratories

3.3

21 to 30

1.5

11 to 20

4.7

7.0

11.5

Indian Pharma Market

Top 10

8.8

12.6

10.1

13.1
11.8

9.1

3.0

16%

9.8

10

6.3

15

10.6

20

3.5

38%

13.7

(%)

25

12%
11%

23.0
25.8

30

23%

Others

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 52: Top 10 brands performance

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2


1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

1.4

1.5

Aug-16

1.4 1.4

Nov-15

Sep-15

1.3

Oct-15

2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Aug-15

(%)

Exhibit 51: Market share in Indian formulations market

Ipca Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Pain
25%

Anti-Infectives
6%

Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Brand

Therapy

Zerodol P

Pain

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)


9.6

6.6

43.9

5.7

67.4

Rapither-Ab

Anti Malarials

9.2

3.8

139.9

7.0

30.6

Zerodol Sp

Pain

8.5

8.2

4.3

8.4

1.2

Larinate

Anti Malarials

8.2

4.3

89.9

6.0

37.4

Lariago

Anti Malarials

7.5

3.1

138.6

5.0

49.9

Hcqs

Anti Malarials

5.1

4.9

3.0

5.2

-2.6

Lumerax

Anti Malarials

4.6

3.0

55.7

3.4

36.8

Glycinorm M

Anti Diabetic

3.3

2.8

20.0

3.6

-7.1

Folitrax

Anti-Neoplastics

3.1

2.5

22.3

3.0

3.3

Malirid

Anti Malarials

2.5

1.5

66.9

2.0

28.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 53: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Other
24%

(| crore)

Anti Malarials
20%
Cardiac
17%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 54: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Pain

34.6

29.0

19.3

29.8

MoM (%)
16.4

Anti Malarials

39.4

22.5

75.0

30.7

28.4

Cardiac

19.2

18.2

5.3

18.9

1.5

Gastro Intestinal

9.4

8.9

5.5

9.6

-2.3

Anti-Infectives

8.6

7.5

14.1

7.3

17.6

Anti Diabetic

6.1

5.6

10.3

6.3

-3.1

Respiratory

5.7

4.4

30.2

4.8

20.1

Anti-Neoplastics

5.0

4.0

26.0

4.7

5.6

Neuro

5.0

4.1

21.9

4.4

13.7

Derma

4.1

3.2

30.0

3.9

6.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 15

Biocon

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
234.38,
72.0%

140
120
100
80

SubChronic,
23.33,
7.2%

Acute,
68.01,
20.9%

60
Sep-15

Nov-15

Mar-16

May-16

Jul-16

Sep-16

Biocon

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

31 to 50

Aug-16

14.9

15.8

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

8.8

3.5

6.7

8.8
9.4

4.7
7.7

7.0

12.6
11.3

14.5

Feb-16

Jan-16
10.1

13.1

Dec-15

Nov-15

0.1

-10

Others

-0.8

-5

-11.2

21 to 30

23.0
Oct-15

2%
11 to 20

5.3

(%)

5.2

10

5%
5%

9.8

15

10%

7.3

78%

13.7

20

10.6

25

10.0

Aug-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 55: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Top 10

Jan-16
CNX Pharma

-15

Source: AIOCD data base

Indian Pharma Market

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 56: Market share in Indian formulations market


0.39

Brand

0.38

0.37

0.36

0.35
0.33

0.33

0.33

0.34 0.34 0.35

0.34

0.34

Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Insugen

Anti Diabetic

7.7

7.2

6.3

7.1

7.8

Basalog

Anti Diabetic

5.6

4.7

18.6

5.5

2.6

2.3

1.8

Erypro

Blood Related

2.4

2.0

19.2

Biomab Egfr

Anti-Neoplastics

1.9

0.2

938.6

0.29

Canmab

Anti-Neoplastics

1.8

1.7

4.4

1.7

6.1

0.27

Abraxane

Anti-Neoplastics

1.7

1.0

68.9

2.3

-27.7

Insugen R

Anti Diabetic

1.5

1.5

4.3

1.4

13.0

Blisto Mf

Anti Diabetic

1.3

1.4

-9.6

1.2

7.5

Insugen N

Anti Diabetic

0.6

0.8

-19.4

0.5

32.0

Psorid

Anti-Neoplastics

0.6

0.7

-10.4

0.7

-6.7

0.32

0.32

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

0.31

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

0.31

0.31

Aug-15

(%)

Exhibit 57: Top 10 brands performance

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 58: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Cardiac
5%
Blood Related
6%

Derma
3%

AntiNeoplastics
23%

0.1 1284.8

Other
4%

Exhibit 59: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti Diabetic
Anti-Neoplastics

Anti Diabetic
59%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

17.9
7.4

MoM (%)

16.9

6.3

16.8

6.5

5.1

44.6

6.2

19.3

Blood Related

2.4

2.0

21.7

2.4

1.9

Cardiac

1.3

1.3

-5.8

1.2

2.2

Derma

0.7

0.7

0.9

0.8

-7.8

Anti-Infectives

0.5

0.7

-24.6

0.6

-16.1

Others

0.2

0.2

17.4

0.2

-4.5

Gastro Intestinal

0.1

0.4

-74.5

0.1

-13.2

Vitamins

0.1

0.2

-40.8

0.1

-16.3

Pain

0.0

0.0

3.8

0.1

-61.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 16

Pfizer

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
433.18,
15.7%
SubChronic,
564.23,
20.5%

Acute,
1754.51,
63.8%

200
160
120
80
40
Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Pfizer

21 to 30

31 to 50

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

15.8
5.8

14.9
8.9

6.7
-1.0

7.2

2.7

3.4

4.7

7.0

8.8

12.6
5.1

-3.5

-5
11 to 20

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

10.1

9.8

13.1

25.0

1.6

19%

3.3

(%)

10

10.6

15

50%

10%

8.9

20

10%

13.7
18.5

25

11%

Nov-15

23.0

30

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Exhibit 60: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

-10

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Pfizer

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 61: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.0
2.93

2.90

2.93

2.8

Exhibit 62: Top 10 brands performance

2.95

2.90 2.91 2.92


2.83

2.88

2.84

(%)

2.73

2.79
2.72

2.6

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.4
Aug-15

Sep-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Jul-16

Pfizer

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Corex

Respiratory

24.4

27.4

-11.0

24.1

1.1

Becosules

Vitamins

20.8

21.7

-4.5

21.5

-3.2

Minipress Xl

Cardiac

13.1

9.6

36.9

16.3

-19.9

Magnex

Anti-Infectives

12.7

12.3

3.1

11.9

6.6

Gelusil Mps

Gastro Intestinal

12.3

11.6

5.6

12.3

0.0

Dolonex

Pain

12.1

11.4

5.7

12.8

-6.1

Mucaine

Gastro Intestinal

10.5

8.9

17.3

10.2

2.5

Wysolone

Hormones

10.4

9.0

15.1

9.6

7.8

Prevenar 13

Vaccines

7.1

3.0

133.8

6.0

17.8

Dalacin C

Anti-Infectives

6.6

6.6

0.6

5.7

16.8

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 63: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 64: Therapy wise performance

Anti-Infectives
16%
Other
40%

Respiratory
14%
Gastro
Intestinal
11%

Hormones
9%

Vitamins
10%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Anti-Infectives

37.7

39.6

-4.7

35.0

MoM (%)
7.9

Respiratory

33.5

32.6

2.8

31.6

6.0

Gastro Intestinal

27.6

25.7

7.5

27.7

-0.5

Vitamins

27.3

27.5

-0.8

27.9

-2.1

Hormones

23.7

22.0

7.4

22.2

6.4

Gynaecological

21.1

17.8

18.9

20.8

1.6

Neuro

16.4

17.1

-4.3

14.8

10.4

Cardiac

19.1

15.3

24.4

21.9

-12.8

Pain

17.3

15.9

8.8

16.9

2.2

Vaccines

12.3

6.9

77.7

11.2

9.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 17

Novartis

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
414.61,
41.3%

190
140

SubChronic,
162.81,
16.2%

Acute,
427.68,
42.6%

90
40
Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Novartis India

31 to 50

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

Indian Pharma Market

15.8

14.9

2.9

4.4

3.9

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

Novartis India

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 66: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 67: Top 10 brands performance

1.3
1.21

1.2

1.16 1.17 1.16 1.15

1.15 1.16

1.19 1.19

1.1

1.10 1.10
1.06
1.02

1.1

Brand

Therapy

Galvus Met

Anti Diabetic

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)


27.0

24.7

9.2

26.6

1.2

Voveran

Pain

19.7

14.9

32.7

18.6

6.1

Galvus

Anti Diabetic

10.1

10.3

-2.6

9.6

5.0

Rabipur (Novartis)

Vaccines

8.2

7.0

16.5

5.6

45.7
6.2

Tegrital

Neuro

4.4

4.5

-2.5

4.2

1.0

Voveran

Pain

3.5

3.1

13.7

3.4

3.5

0.9

Regestrone

Gynaecological

2.5

2.9

-12.9

2.9

-14.1

Methergin

Gynaecological

2.4

3.0

-20.6

2.3

3.8

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

1.0

Aug-16

(%)

6.7

4.7

5
21 to 30

8.8
10.2

18.7

21.6

12.6

10.1
14.9

13.1
17.3

20.4
9.8

10

7.0

79%

15

10.6
15.3

(%)

20

13.7
21.7

25

25.1

23.0
27.4

30

2%
11%4%4%

11 to 20

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 65: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

1.2

Sep-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Jul-16

Novartis India

Syntocinon

Gynaecological

2.4

2.2

9.0

2.2

6.0

Pybactum

Anti-Infectives

2.0

0.5

273.4

0.2

712.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 68: Contribution of Other


therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 69: Therapy wise performance

15%

Therapy

Gynaecological
8%

Anti Diabetic
35%

Vaccines
9%
Vitamins
10%

Pain
23%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Anti Diabetic

37.6

35.7

5.3

36.8

2.2

Pain

24.6

19.8

24.5

23.4

5.3

Vitamins

8.8

9.9

-10.8

8.8

0.2

Vaccines

8.3

7.1

16.3

5.7

45.8

Gynaecological

7.4

8.3

-11.4

7.6

-2.8

Neuro

4.4

5.6

-20.5

4.2

6.2

Anti-Infectives

5.4

4.6

16.0

3.2

70.8

Respiratory

1.9

1.8

10.7

1.8

10.5

Anti-Neoplastics

0.5

0.5

2.5

0.4

33.7

Cardiac

0.7

1.2

-39.1

0.7

2.2

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 18

Unichem Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
472.89,
56.7%

160
130
100
70
Sep-15

SubChronic,
48.43,
5.8%

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Unichem Labs

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

14.9
4.0

8.4

6.7

8.8
2.3

Exhibit 72: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.10
1.00
0.94
0.90

0.94
0.89 0.90 0.90

0.89

0.95

0.92
0.92

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

0.84 0.85
Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

0.84 0.82
Aug-15

4.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 71: Market share in Indian formulations market

(%)

Unichem Laboratories

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

0.80

0.6

3.1

Indian Pharma Market

Top 10

7.0

9.9

12.6

10.1

13.1
3.8

2.7

10.0

14%
9%

13.5

12%

11.3

10

9.8

15

10.6

(%)

33%

13.7

20

15.8

19.9

23.0
28.3

30
25

32%

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Nov-15

Exhibit 70: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-15

Acute,
312.14,
37.5%

Nov-15

Unichem Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Other
11%

Gastro
Intestinal
12%

Neuro
14%

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Losar H

Cardiac

8.4

6.2

36.6

8.3

1.3

Ampoxin

Anti-Infectives

7.4

5.8

28.0

6.8

8.6

Losar

Cardiac

5.9

5.0

16.7

5.6

5.9

Unienzyme

Gastro Intestinal

5.5

4.6

18.7

5.3

3.5

Vizylac

Gastro Intestinal

3.5

3.1

14.2

3.2

10.7

Arkamin

Cardiac

2.1

1.2

86.0

2.1

0.1

Serta

Neuro

2.0

1.6

22.3

1.9

7.6

Trika

Neuro

1.9

2.1

-8.3

1.9

-1.4

Unistar (Unichem)

Cardiac

1.7

1.4

23.8

1.6

9.4

Linox

Anti-Infectives

1.7

0.9

90.4

1.5

8.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 73: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Pain
4%

Therapy

Cardiac
42%

Anti-Infectives
17%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 74: Therapy wise performance

(| crore)

Therapy

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

34.8

28.5

22.1

34.2

1.8

Anti-Infectives

16.3

12.3

32.9

14.9

9.8

Neuro

11.9

9.3

28.9

11.2

6.9

Gastro Intestinal

10.7

9.1

18.4

10.1

6.6

Pain

4.0

3.0

33.9

4.0

1.0

Anti Diabetic

3.8

2.2

70.8

3.5

10.1

Respiratory

2.2

1.7

30.7

2.1

6.3

Vitamins

2.1

1.9

9.9

1.9

6.9

Derma

2.0

1.4

42.4

1.8

13.1

Gynaecological

0.4

0.5

-25.4

0.4

-7.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 19

Indoco Remedies

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
140
120
100
80
60

Chronic,
43.70,
6.5%

Acute,
547.10,
81.8%

Sep-15

SubChronic,
77.72,
11.6%

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Sep-16

Indoco

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Aug-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Exhibit 75: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

40.9

50

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

-10

Others

15.8

14.9
6.7
11.5

8.8
5.2

0.7

4.7

7.0

12.6

5.6

5.4

10.1

13.1
11.0

Exhibit 77: Top 10 brands performance

0.9
0.8 0.8

0.8
0.8

0.7 0.7
0.7 0.7

0.7 0.7 0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.6

0.7

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

0.6
Aug-15

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 76: Market share in Indian formulations market

(%)

9.8

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

0.7

-0.9

-1.3

10.3

15%
Top 10

23.0

10

10.6

9%

20

-6.4

48%

13.7

10%

(%)

30

16.2

18%

34.0

40

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Brand

Therapy

Febrex Plus

Respiratory

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)


10.8

5.3

106.0

9.0

20.5

Oxipod

Anti-Infectives

6.3

3.0

110.9

5.0

27.9

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

4.6

4.1

12.7

5.6

-17.0

Atm

Anti-Infectives

3.7

2.4

54.6

3.0

20.9
-12.5

Sensodent-K

Stomatologicals

3.2

2.7

21.8

3.7

Cital

Urology

2.9

2.6

8.9

2.7

5.8

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

2.5

1.8

39.4

3.0

-17.2

Cloben G

Derma

2.3

2.0

18.8

2.2

5.6

Karvol Plus

Respiratory

2.2

1.5

48.1

1.9

14.4

Sensodent-Kf

Stomatologicals

1.8

2.0

-8.3

2.1

-10.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 78: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)


Other
25%

Respiratory
19%

Anti-Infectives
19%

Vitamins
7%
Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Stomatological
s
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 79: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

17.4

9.8

78.2

14.5

20.2

Anti-Infectives

16.7

10.5

58.1

13.8

20.3

Stomatologicals

10.5

9.2

13.8

11.7

-10.3

Gastro Intestinal

Respiratory

10.5

8.8

20.3

12.2

-13.8

Vitamins

5.5

4.3

26.4

5.3

3.0

Urology

3.3

3.0

11.8

3.2

6.1

Ophthal

3.5

3.1

13.5

3.1

12.6

Pain

3.0

2.4

23.9

3.0

-0.2

Derma

3.1

2.6

17.2

2.9

4.5

Anti Diabetic

2.2

1.8

17.9

2.2

-0.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 20

Ajanta Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
215.14,
48.4%

290
240
190
140
90
40

SubChronic,
52.76,
11.9%

Acute,
176.88,
39.8%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

CNX Pharma

Ajanta

23%

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

0.5

0.51

0.5

0.51

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

15.8

14.9
10.9

6.7

Exhibit 82: Top 10 brands performance

0.51 0.50

0.50
0.49

0.48

0.48 0.48
0.460.46

0.46
0.45

0.4
0.4

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

0.4
Sep-15

Ajanta Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 81: Market share in Indian formulations market

Aug-15

11.4

13.1

Indian Pharma Market

(%)

8.8

4.7

7.6

7.0

7.6

12.6
10.5

Source: AIOCD data base

0.5

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16
10.1
6.9

6.5

5
11 to 20

Dec-15
13.1
14.3

9.8

10

12%

9.9

(%)

10.6
12.6

15

13%
10%

Nov-15

13.7
18.3

20

42%

11.9

25

23.0Oct-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 80: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

0.5

Sep-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Jul-16

Ajanta Pharma

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Met Xl

Cardiac

4.4

3.9

11.7

4.3

1.3

Melacare

Derma

3.2

3.4

-6.6

3.8

-16.4

Atorfit Cv

Cardiac

3.1

3.3

-3.6

2.9

9.2

Rosufit Cv

Cardiac

1.6

1.1

44.4

1.4

13.5

Feburic

Pain

1.4

1.3

13.8

1.3

10.1

Soft Drops

Ophthal

1.3

1.2

5.6

1.4

-4.1

Met Xl Am

Cardiac

1.2

0.9

33.4

1.2

6.6

Cinod

Cardiac

1.0

0.7

34.2

0.9

15.7

Rosutor Gold

Cardiac

0.9

0.6

44.6

0.9

-1.8

Peroclin

Derma

0.8

0.8

1.4

0.7

12.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 83: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 84: Therapy wise performance

Pain
5%

Others
9%
Cardiac
34%

Vitamins
6%

Derma
22%

Ophthal
24%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

Cardiac

16.2

13.7

17.9

15.2

MoM (%)
6.7

Ophthal

10.2

9.6

5.4

10.2

-0.5

Derma

8.9

8.7

2.7

8.9

-0.1

Vitamins

2.2

2.5

-13.3

2.0

8.2

Pain

2.2

2.2

-0.3

2.0

6.0

Gastro Intestinal

1.0

1.1

-8.9

0.9

4.1

Neuro

1.0

0.8

12.9

0.8

12.5

Anti-Infectives

1.0

0.7

40.7

0.8

19.6

Anti Diabetic

0.8

0.0

1850.1

0.7

14.5

Respiratory

0.3

0.3

-3.6

0.3

9.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 21

Alembic Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT Aug16)

Stock Performance
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40

Chronic
231.46,
18.8%
SubChronic
214.35,
17.4%

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Sep-16

Alembic Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Sep-15

Aug-15

Exhibit 85: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Mar-16

Acute,
784.06,
63.8%

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Indian Pharma Market

28.0
15.8

14.9

11.4
6.7

8.8
11.3
4.7
5.6

8.1

7.0

12.6
13.7

23.3

24.1
13.1

19.0

6.0

5
Top 10

10.1

10

9.8

(%)

15

12%

10.6

20

13%

13.7
21.3

25

42%

10%

23.0
31.5

30

23%

29.3

35

Alembic Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 86: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 87: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

Therapy

Azithral

Anti-Infectives

14.3

11.6

Althrocin

Anti-Infectives

8.9

Roxid

Anti-Infectives

5.7

Gestofit

Gynaecological

Wikoryl

Respiratory

1.3

Ulgel

1.2

1.6
1.5

1.49 1.49 1.49


1.43

1.43

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

1.3

1.31 1.30 1.32

Aug-16

1.36

1.4

Jul-16

1.4

1.42 1.44

Jun-16

1.41

1.47

May-16

1.5
(%)

(| crore)

Alembic Pharma

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)


23.8

12.1

8.3

6.9

8.5

4.5

4.7

21.2

4.6

25.3

5.1

4.4

17.3

5.4

-5.4

5.1

2.9

72.8

4.2

21.0

Gastro Intestinal

3.4

3.3

3.2

3.4

0.4

Rekool D

Gastro Intestinal

2.9

3.1

-4.3

3.1

-4.9

Richar

Gynaecological

2.7

2.0

34.8

2.7

2.1

Glisen Mf

Anti Diabetic

2.3

2.2

4.3

2.3

-1.8

Rekool

Gastro Intestinal

2.1

2.2

-5.1

2.3

-9.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 88: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Aug16)

Exhibit 89: Therapy wise performance

Other
25%

Anti-Infectives
23%

Gynaecological
11%

Respiratory
13%

Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Cardiac
14%

Therapy
Anti-Infectives
Cardiac
Gastro Intestinal
Respiratory
Gynaecological
Vitamins
Anti Diabetic
Pain
Urology
Derma

Aug' 16
34.5
18.8
18.7
19.4
14.9
11.0
9.0
5.1
3.1
2.3

Aug' 15
29.3
15.8
17.6
13.6
12.5
8.6
6.6
4.3
2.1
2.6

(| crore)
YoY (%)
17.7
19.3
6.5
41.9
19.9
27.7
37.6
18.9
46.5
-13.2

July' 16
29.7
18.1
18.8
15.8
14.8
11.1
8.7
4.6
2.8
2.1

MoM (%)
16.1
3.7
-0.8
22.3
0.7
-0.4
3.3
11.4
9.5
5.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

18.9

Page 22

ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Healthcare)


CMP
(|)

TP
(|)

Ajanta Pharma

AJAPHA 1966 1,780 Hold

17298.3

45.4

52.8

63.6

43.3

37.2

30.9

29.9

25.0

21.2

42.9

37.1

35.0

34.2

30.2

Apollo Hospitals

APOHOS 1299 1,440 Hold

18069.6

22.2

18.5

28.7

58.5

70.2

45.3

27.8

27.9

22.5

8.2

7.3

9.6

8.9

7.0

9.9

Aurobindo Pharma

AURPHA

Buy

47126.6

33.9

41.3

48.0

23.7

19.5

16.8

25.0

20.5

17.7

23.3

24.6

25.5

28.1

26.0

23.5

Alembic Pharma

ALEMPHA 652

Hold

12287.4

38.2

20.4

28.1

17.1

32.0

23.2

12.4

23.1

17.5

51.5

23.2

26.2

44.9

20.5

23.5

620

M Cap
(| Cr)

PE(x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E

I-Direct
Code

805 1,055

Rating

EPS (|)
FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16

Company

28.2

Biocon

BIOCON

959 1,030

Buy

19184.0

22.5

33.3

38.4

42.6

28.8

25.0

11.5

8.7

7.0

9.1

13.1

14.8

11.1

14.7

15.0

Cadila Healthcare
Cipla

CADHEA
CIPLA

393
602

Buy
Hold

40238.2
48405.4

15.0
18.5

15.8
17.6

20.3
25.4

26.3
32.5

24.9
34.2

19.4
23.7

17.1
20.3

17.5
18.5

13.8
13.7

26.7
12.0

22.9
11.1

26.8
15.2

28.6
12.5

24.7
10.8

25.6
13.8

Divi's Laboratories

DIVLAB

1340 1,415

Buy

35575.4

41.8

45.1

54.5

32.1

29.7

24.6

24.7

21.8

18.1

30.7

29.2

29.8

25.9

23.3

23.4

Dr Reddy's Labs

DRREDD 2974 2,875 Hold

53942.7

142.1

86.5

143.5

20.9

34.4

20.7

13.2

17.6

11.8

17.3

10.9

17.8

20.7

11.4

16.3

Glenmark Pharma

GLEPHA

858 1,000

Buy

25565.9

32.2

41.4

49.8

26.7

20.7

17.2

17.8

14.9

12.1

16.2

18.7

20.6

21.2

21.7

20.9

Indoco Remedies

INDREM

329

Buy

3035.9

9.0

13.6

19.4

36.6

24.3

17.0

17.9

13.5

10.4

12.5

17.3

23.4

14.2

18.3

21.7

Ipca Laboratories
Jubilant Life Sciences
Lupin

405
510

365

IPCLAB

590

605

Buy

7447.1

10.0

21.9

30.2

58.9

27.0

19.5

23.0

14.5

11.5

5.7

11.5

14.4

5.5

11.0

13.5

VAMORG

591

635

Buy

9413.8

26.0

41.4

52.7

22.7

14.3

11.2

10.6

8.7

7.2

12.0

15.1

17.0

14.2

18.8

19.6

1549 1,890

Buy

69859.5

50.4

64.6

75.5

30.7

24.0

20.5

20.2

15.4

12.7

18.6

20.6

22.1

20.7

21.7

20.2

Natco Pharma

NATPHA

LUPIN

647

700

Buy

11273.4

8.9

11.6

13.8

72.7

55.8

46.9

41.7

36.0

30.2

16.0

17.3

18.0

11.9

13.7

14.3

Sun Pharma

SUNPHA

778

890

Buy

187341.7

23.4

29.9

35.5

33.2

26.1

21.9

20.9

16.8

14.2

18.6

20.7

21.2

18.0

19.3

19.2

Syngene International

SYNINT

473

550

Buy

9454.0

11.1

15.8

18.7

42.7

29.9

25.3

26.1

20.8

16.7

13.2

17.4

19.3

21.0

23.6

22.3

Torrent Pharma

TORPHA 1605 1,650

Buy

27159.8

107.8

68.0

74.9

14.9

23.6

21.4

10.5

16.6

15.6

46.7

28.5

27.5

53.8

27.0

24.3

Unichem Laboratories

UNILAB

Buy

2434.4

12.3

15.3

21.1

21.8

17.6

12.7

14.9

12.0

8.6

13.8

15.7

18.9

11.7

12.9

15.5

268

340

Exhibit 90: One year forward P/E of CNX Pharma vs. Sensex
45
40
35
30
25
x

20
15
10
5

CNX Pharma

Sep-16

Mar-16

Sep-15

Mar-15

Sep-14

Mar-14

Sep-13

Mar-13

Sep-12

Sep-11

Mar-12

Mar-11

Sep-10

Mar-10

Sep-09

Mar-09

Sep-08

Mar-08

Sep-07

Mar-07

Sep-06

Sensex

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 23

RATING RATIONALE

ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns


ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the
notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Sector view:
Over weight compared to index
Equal weight compared to index
Under weight compared to index
Index here refers to BSE 500

Pankaj Pandey

Head Research

pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,


ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No. 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 24

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accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or
view(s) in this report.

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Page 25

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