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INTRODUCTION
Global warming is a gradual process of heating of earths surface and whole
environment including oceans, ice caps, etc. The global rise in atmospheric temperature
has been clearly noticed in the recent years. According to the Environmental Protection
Agency, in the past century there is increase in the earths surface average temperature
by around 1.4 degree Fahrenheit (means 0.8 degrees Celsius). It has also been estimated
that global temperature may increase by another 2 to 11.5 degrees F in the next century.
GLOBAL WARMING AND ITS IMPACTS ON CLIMATE OF INDIA
Global warming is for real. Every scientist knows that now, and we are on our way to the
destruction of every species on earth, if we don't pay attention and reverse our course.
-
Theodore C. Sorensen
Global warming is the talk of the town in this century, with its detrimental effects
already being brought to limelight by the recurring events of massive floods, annihilating
droughts and ravaging cyclones throughout the globe. The average global temperatures are
higher than they have ever been during the past millennium, and the levels of CO2 in the
atmosphere have crossed all previous records. A scrutiny of the past records of 100 years
indicates that India figures in the first 10 in the world in terms of fatalities and economic losses
in a variety of climatic disasters.
Before embarking on a detailed analysis of Global warming and its impacts on Indian
climate, we should first know what climate, green house effect and global warming actually
mean.
CLIMATE
The climate is defined as the general or average weather conditions of a certain region,
including temperature, rainfall, and wind. The earths climate is most affected by latitude, the
tilt of the Earth's axis, the movements of the Earth's wind belts, and the difference in
temperatures of land and sea, and topography. Human activity, especially relating to actions
relating to the depletion of the ozone layer, is also an important factor. The climate system is a
complex, interactive system consisting of the atmosphere, land surface, snow and ice, oceans and
other bodies of water, and living things.
increasing
population,
economy
and
use
of
energy.
Increasing
demand
of
industrialization in the modern world to fulfill almost each need is causing the release of
variety of green house gases through many industrial processes in the atmosphere.
The release of carbon dioxide (CO2) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) gas has been
increased in the recent years by 10-fold. The release of carbon dioxide gas varies
according to the natural and industrial processes including photosynthesis and oxidation
cycles. Methane is another green house gas release in the atmosphere by the anaerobic
decomposition of organic materials. Other greenhouse gases are like oxides of nitrogen
(nitrous
oxide),
halocarbons,
chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs),
chlorine
and
bromine
compounds, etc. Such green house gases get collected to the atmosphere and disturb the
radiative balance of atmosphere. They have capability to absorb heat radiations and cause
warming of the earth surface.
gas.
It
is
human
generated
cause
of
global
warming.
Park however because of increasing effect of global warming, only 25 glaciers are left.
Huge level climate changes are making hurricanes more dangerous and powerful. Natural
storms are getting so strong by taking energy from temperature difference (of cold upper
atmosphere and warm Tropical Ocean). Year 2012 has been recorded as hottest year
since 1895 and year 2013 together with 2003 as the warmest year since 1880.
Global warming causes lot of climate changes in the atmosphere such as
increasing summer season, decreasing winter season, increasing temperature, changes in
air circulation patterns, jet stream, rain without season, melting ice caps, declining ozone
layer, occurrence of heavy storms, cyclones, flood, drought, and so many effects.
Detailed researches of climatic events of the past 150 years have revealed that the
temperatures have risen all over the globe, with the warming occurring in two phases. The first
phase was from 1919 to 1940, with an average temperature gain of 0.35C, and the second phase
was from 1970 to the present, exhibiting temperature gains of 0.55C. Records show that the past
25 years have been the warmest time of the past 5 centuries. The global warming has resulted in
the warming of the oceans, rising of the sea levels, melting of glaciers, and diminished snow
cover in the Northern Hemisphere.
GREENHOUSE GASES
The most significant greenhouse gas is actually water vapor, not something
produced directly by humankind in significant amounts. However, even slight increases in
atmospheric levels of
temperature.
There are two reasons:
First, although the concentrations of these gases are not nearly as large as that of
oxygen and nitrogen (the main constituents of the atmosphere), neither oxygen or
nitrogen are greenhouse gases. This is because neither has more than two atoms per
molecule (i.e. their molecular forms are O2 and N2, respectively), and so they lack the
internal vibrational modes that molecules with more than two atoms have. Both water
and CO2, for example, have these "internal vibrational modes", and these vibrational
modes can absorb and reradiate infrared radiation, which causes the greenhouse effect.
Secondly,
CO2 tends to remain in the atmosphere for a very long time (time
scales in the hundreds of years). Water vapor, on the other hand, can easily condense or
evaporate, depending on local conditions. Water vapor levels therefore tend to adjust
quickly to the prevailing conditions, such that the energy flows from the Sun and reradiation from the Earth achieve a balance. CO 2 tends to remain fairly constant and
therefore behave as a controlling factor, rather than a reacting factor. More CO 2 means
that the balance occurs at higher temperatures and water vapor levels.
Indian Ocean, the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. It has land boundaries with Pakistan,
China, Nepal, Bhutan, Burma and Bangladesh.
The Indian economy is considered as one of the fastest growing major economies.
However, the country is plagued by the climatic disasters that continue to wreak havoc on its
economy. As a result, in spite of the leaping economical progress, the majority of the people of
India continue to live in poverty, with malnutrition and diseases corroding the society.
CLIMATE OF INDIA
Being such a huge country, India exhibits a wide diversity of temperatures; from the
freezing cold winters in the Himalayas to the scorching heat of the Thar Desert. The above two
regions play a very significant role in controlling the weather of India, making it warmer than to
be expected with its latitude. The Himalayas participate in this warming by preventing the cold
winds from blowing in, and the Thar desert attracts the summer monsoon winds, which are
responsible for making the majority of the monsoon season of India. However, the majority of
the regions can be considered climatically tropical.
(like melting of ice caps). However, we should not get back and try everyones best to
reduce the effects of global warming by reducing the human causes of global warming.
We should try to reduce the emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere and adopt
some climate changes which are already happening for years. Instead of using electrical
energy we should try using clean energy or energy produced by solar system, wind and
geothermal. Reducing the level of coal and oil burning, use of transportation means, use
of electrical devices, etc may reduce the global warming to a great level.
Temperature Changing
As everyone has heard from the media, recent years have consistently been the
warmest in hundreds and possibly thousands of years. But that might be a temporary
fluctuation, right? To see that it probably isn't, the next graph shows the average
temperature in the Northern Hemisphere as determined from many sources, carefully
combined, such as tree rings, corals, human records, etc.
These graphs show a very discernable warming trend, starting in about 1900. It
might seem a bit surprising that warming started as early as 1900. How is this possible?
The reason is that the increase in carbon dioxide actually began in 1800, following the
deforestation of much of Northeastern American and other forested parts of the world.
The sharp upswing in emissions during the industrial revolution further added to this,
leading to a significantly increased carbon dioxide level even by 1900.
Thus, we see that Global Warming is not something far off in the future - in fact it
predates almost every living human being today.
Temperature increase is caused by anthropogenic emissions
Computer models strongly suggest that this is the case. The following graphs show that
1) If only natural fluctuations are included in the models (such as the slight increase in
solar output that occurred in the first half of the 20th century), then the large warming
in the 20th century is not reproduced. 2) If only anthropogenic carbon emissions are
included, then the large warming is reproduced, but some of the variations, such as the
cooling period in the 1950s, is not reproduced (this cooling trend was thought to be
caused by sulfur dioxide emissions from dirty power plants). 3) When both natural and
anthropogenic emissions of all types are included, then the temperature evolution of the
20th century is well reproduced.
The IPCC is open to all members of the UNEP and WMO and consists of
several thousand of the most authoritative scientists in the world on climate change. The
role of the IPCC is to assess the scientific, technical and socio-economic information
relevant for the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change. It does not
carry out new research nor does it monitor climate related data. It bases its assessment
mainly on published and peer reviewed scientific technical literature.
The
IPCC
has
completed
two
assessment
reports,
developed
methodology
guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, special reports and technical papers.
Results of the first assessment (1990--1994): confirmed scientific basis for global
warming but concluded that ``nothing to be said for certain yet''. The second assessment
(1995), concluded that `` ...the balance suggests a discernable human influence on global
climate'', and concluded that, as predicted by climate models, global temperature will
likely rise by about 1-3.5 Celsius by the year 2100. The next report, in 2000, suggested,
that the climate might warm by as much as 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next 100
years, which would bring us back to a climate not seen since the age of the dinosaurs.
The most recent report, in 2001, concluded that "There is new and stronger evidence
that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human
activities".
Due to these assessments, debate has now shifted away from whether or not
global warming is going to occur to, instead, how much, how soon, and with what
impacts.
Melting of the ice caps --- loss of habitat near the poles. Polar bears are now thought
to be greatly endangered by the shortening of their feeding season due to dwindling ice
packs.
Melting glaciers - significant melting of old glaciers is already observed.
Widespread vanishing of animal populations --- following widespread habitat loss.
Spread of disease --- migration of diseases such as malaria to new, now warmer, regions.
Bleaching of Coral Reefs due to warming seas and acidification due to carbonic acid
formation --- One third of coral reefs now appear to have been severely damaged by
warming seas.
Loss of Plankton due to warming seas --- The enormous (900 mile long) Aleution island
ecosystems of orcas (killer whales), sea lions, sea otters, sea urchins, kelp beds, and fish
populations, appears to have collapsed due to loss of plankton, leading to loss of sea
lions, leading orcas to eat too many sea otters, leading to urchin explosions, leading to
loss of kelp beds and their associated fish populations.
REDUCE EMISSIONS
In reality, we will need to work on all fronts - 10% here, 5% here, etc, and
work to phase in new technologies, such as hydrogen technology, as quickly as possible.
To satisfy the Kyoto protocol, developed countries would be required to cut back their
emissions by a total of 5.2 % between 2008 and 2012 from 1990 levels. Specifically,
the US would have to reduce its presently projected 2010 annual emissions by 400
million tons of CO2 . One should keep in mind though, that even Kyoto would only go
a little ways towards solving the problem. In reality, much more needs to be done.
The most promising sector for near term reductions is widely thought to be coalfired electricity. Wind power, for example, can make substantial cuts in these emissions
in the near term, as can energy efficiency, and also the increased use of high efficiency
natural gas generation.
The potential impact of efficiency should not be underestimated: A 1991 report to
Congress by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Policy Implications of Greenhouse
Warming, found that the U.S. could reduce current emissions by 50 percent at zero cost
to the economy as a result of full use of cost-effective efficiency improvements.
which, such as lowering the pH of the ocean such that coral cannot grow, are already
well known.
Response of Government: Develop "Carbon Sequestration" Technology
Many government agencies around the world are very interested in maintaining fossil
fuel use, especially coal. It should be noted that US energy use, which is enormous, is
increasing, not decreasing. Furthermore, we are not going to run out of coal in the near
term (oil may begin to run low sometime after 2010). Methods for reducing carbon
emission levels while still burning coal are now investigation by government and
industry, as we now discuss.
We believe that a major increase in renewable energy use should be achieved to help
offset global warming. While there are some US government programs aimed in this
direction, there is simply not enough money being spent yet to achieve this goal in a
timely manner. A primary goal of many new programs is not to increase renewables, but
rather, is to find ways to capture the extra CO2 from electricity generation plants and
"sequester" it in the ground, the ocean, or by having plants and soil organisms absorb
more of it from the air.
Possible Problems with Carbon "Sequestration"
One of the Carbon sequestration approaches under investigation is the possibility of
depositing CO2 extracted from emission streams in large pools on the Ocean bottom. It is
possible that such pools will not be stable, and may either erupt to the surface, or
diffuse into the ocean and alter the oceans pH.
Another scheme under investigation is the idea of stimulating phytoplankton growth on
the ocean surface by dusting the surface with iron (the limiting nutrient). This will cause
an increased uptake of carbon by the plankton, part of which will find its way to the
ocean bottom. Fishing companies are considering using this to increase fish harvests
while simultaneously getting credit for carbon sequestration. Serious ecological disruptions
could occur, however, especially if this approach is conducted on a sufficiently large
scale.
SEA-LEVEL RISE
Global warming has a few major effects on the oceans. As water gets warmer, it
expands. And as glaciers and ice caps in places like Greenland and Antarctica melt, they
add water to the ocean. That all causes sea levels to go up.
Global average sea levels have risen roughly 19 centimeters (7.5 inches) since the 19th
century, after 2,000 years of relatively little change. The rate of sea-level rise has
continued to increase in recent decades:
Exactly how high sea levels will rise in the future depends on how greenhouse gas
emissions rise and how the world warms. This IPCC chart shows future projections
under a low-emissions scenario (in blue) and a high-emissions scenario (in red):
Low emissions: We've already warmed the planet enough to heat and expand the oceans
and lock in some melting of land ice. So even if we do reduce emissions, we can still
expect some additional sea-level rise in the decades ahead possibly half a meter (1.6
feet) by the end of the century, and continuing thereafter.
High emissions: If greenhouse gas emissions keep growing, however, sea-level rise gets
even more drastic. The IPCC is currently predicting up to 1 meter of sea-level rise (3.3
feet) by century's end if emissions keep growing unchecked. And the oceans would
continue to rise for centuries thereafter.
Effects: Rising sea levels are expected to increase the risk of flooding, storm surges, and
property damage in coastal cities and regions. One 2013 study inNature Climate Change
estimated that average annual losses from flooding in the world's biggest coastal cities
could rise from $6 billion per year today to $1 trillion per year by 2050. Cities could
build flood defenses such as levees, pumps, and movable barriers, but at a cost of
tens of billions of dollars per year.
Uneven rise: Sea levels also won't rise evenly everywhere. In some regions the land is
actually sinking, due to sediment erosion or freshwater pumping. In other regions, strong
wind and ocean currents can warp the waters and affect local sea levels. The melting of
the giant ice caps will also have odd gravitational effects.
OCEAN ACIDIFICATION
When humans burn fossil fuels, the oceans absorb roughly one-third of that additional
carbon dioxide. This process staves off (some) global warming, but it also makes the
seas more acidic, as the carbon dissolves in water to form carbonic acid. That's ocean
acidification.
Since the Industrial Revolution, the oceans have become 30 percent more acidic (that is,
the pH of ocean surface water has dropped from roughly 8.18 to 8.07). And that process
is expected to continue if humans continue emitting greenhouse gases, with the rate of
change expected to be the fastest in 300 million years.
More acidic seawater can chew away at coral reefs and kill oysters by making it
harder for them to form protective shells. Acidification can also interfere with the food
supply for key species like Alaska's salmon. One study in the journal Climatic Change
estimated that the loss of mollusks alone could cost the world as much as $100 billion
per year by the end of the century.
Scientists are still trying to understand exactly how acidification will affect different
species and the marine food chain, both through lab experiments and by looking at past
acidification events. About 55 million years ago, during thePaleocene-Eocene Thermal
Maximum, the oceans became warmer and more acidic. As a result, coral reefs became
scarcer and the food chain had difficulty supporting larger predators.
Wrap your water heater in an insulation blanket Youll save 1,000 pounds of
carbon dioxide a year with this simple action. You can save another 550 pounds per year
by setting the thermostat no higher than 50C.
CONCLUSION
Human-induced
barometers
of
global
warming that
warming
theory
is
proponents
myth.
put
Not
forth
as
one
of
the
key
evidence
has
been
proven true. The temperature has not rapidly increased as claimed by global warming
proponents, but has either decreased or remained unchanged. Since predicting a
temperature rise of 6 F over the next century, the UN's IPCC has repeatedly
downgraded its projected temperature increases to as little as 1 F while satellite data
show a cooling of .02 F since 1979. Likewise, the arctic isn't warming as all the global
warming climate models predicted, but is instead cooling. The claim that the world's
glaciers are melting has also been proven to be untrue, as many glaciers are expanding
and others receding due to other natural causes. Dire predictions that warming would
cause a precipitous rise in the ocean by as much as 7 to 10 feet have also been proven
incorrect, forcing scientists to downgrade their predictions of sea level rising just 15
inches. Evidence offered by leading scientists indicate that the modest sea level increase
is more like 7 inches per century and demonstrates that the increase is due to nonclimatic forces that Man has no power to influence. Clearly, the preponderance of
evidence keeps building against the global warming theory, making the upcoming
conference in Buenos Aires quite unnecessary. This conference was meant to follow up
on the 1997 Kyoto Conference where the United States and numerous other nations
agreed to make major reductions in their CO2 emissions to counter unnatural warming.
The Clinton Administration hopes to use Buenos Aires as a forum to continue that
momentum in an attempt to resuscitate the Kyoto treaty in an unreceptive Congress. But
one has to ask: If the predictions offered by global warming proponents have been
proved so consistently wrong, why should we start believing them now? The answer is
that we shouldn't.