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IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

PV Market Development
Gatan Masson,
IEA PVPS Task 1 Operating Agent
Director, Becquerel Institute
Leonardo Energy

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

What is IEA PVPS?

Implementing Agreement from


International Energy Agency
Energy Technology Network.

Established in 1993
28 members: 23 countries, EC, 4 associations

Strategy 2013-2017: To enhance the international


collaborative efforts which facilitate the role of photovoltaic
solar energy as a cornerstone in the transition to sustainable
energy systems

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

40.000 MW installed in 2014

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

177.000 MW end of 2014

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

A Global PV Market

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

A changing Top 10

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

% electricity demand

World: 1%

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

The Economics of PV

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

2 Distinct PV Worlds
Producers

Distributed PV

Self-consumption,
energy effiency, grid
parity, competition
with utilities
distribution business

Prosumers

One
technology

Grid injection, PPA,


competition with
utilities generation
business

Centralized PV

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

New Business Models ?


FiT still drives 75% of the
market. 90% was driven
by financial incentives.
2014 looks similar. FiT
with tenders grows fast.

Self-consumption policies were


used in 55% of rooftop PV
installations in 2013.

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Declining PV Prices

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Declining PV LCOEs

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

How to remunerate PV?


PV Penetration in the electricity mix
FiT and similar

Competitive bids / system oriented

Tax br.

Self-consumption based schemes


Private PPAs
Market based remuneration?
Grid parity threshold (PV LCOE < retail prices)

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

In summary
Competitiveness ?

Which Incentives ?

Local industry vs low


prices?

Market Integration ?

Cost of financing

Quality & Reliability

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY


PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

www.iea-pvps.org
Becquerelinstitute.org

Thank you for your attention

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