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INTRODUCTION
Saudi Arabia is officially known as Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Saudi
Arabias free market economy has undergone remarkable changes in a relatively short
period of time. It has evolved from a basic agricultural society into a regional and global
economic power with a modern infrastructure. Petroleum is an integral part of the Saudi
economy, Saudi Arabia is the worlds largest producer and exporter of oil
(www.saudiembassy.net).
For centuries, the migration of laborers within and between countries has become
more prominent as they seek better opportunities for themselves. Numerous studies have
dealt on the reasons why individuals move from a specific place to another based on
home country macroeconomic variables but seldom on host country (Ramos, 2014).
In 2012, the total number of deployed OFWs has risen to 1,802,031 in which
79.64 percent is on the land-based employment while the remaining 20.36 percent is on
sea-based employment. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) ranked first in the
destination of Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) (POEA, 2012).
The economics of labor migration states that workers from the home country have
the expectation of a higher income abroad which is considered as a main basis of
decisions to emigrate. Migration for employment is an important global issue, which
affects most countries in the world. Many people cannot find employment to support
themselves and their families in their own countries, while some other countries have a
shortage of workers to fill positions in various sectors of their economies (ILO, 2006).
Globally, more people seek better lives outside their home countries. Many
Filipinos leave the country each year to work abroad. Globalization, demographic shifts,
conflicts, income inequalities, and climate change encourage more workers and their
families to cross borders in search of employment and security. Migrant workers
contribute to growth and development in their countries of destination, while countries of
origin greatly benefit from their remittances and the skills acquired during their migration
experience. Remittances to the Philippines from around the world continue to grow. The
study focused on the labor movements of OFWs from the Philippines to KSA from 1995
to 2014.
The study was conducted from October 2015 to February 2016. This study
covered the labor deployment of OFWs from the Philippines to KSA.
Scope and Limitations of the Study
The study was focused on the deployment of workers from the Philippines to
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) from 1995 to 2014.
The study was limited to 20-year period in order to have a more accurate outcome
in determining the macroeconomic variables that affect the labor movements of OFWs.
It was also limited to one country which is KSA to observe behavior of the OFWs
thoroughly specifically the land-based workers.
Definitions of Terms
Deployment. It is the distribution of forces or laborers in preparation for work in
other countries. In this study, it means the number of OFWs sent to Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia (KSA).
Gross
Domestic
Product
(GDP).
This
is
value of
all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year, equal to
total consumer, investment, and government spending, plus the value of exports, minus
the value of imports.
GDP per capita. It is a measure of average income per person in a country.
International migration. It is the movement of people from one country to
another. In the study, it means moving from Philippines to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
(KSA).
Labor migration. It is the movement from home country to foreign country for
purposes of employment.
Labor movement. It is an organized effort of workers to improve their economic
and social status by united action measured through time series.
Misery index. It is an economic indicator computed by adding the unemployment
rate to the inflation rate. (Arthur Okun, 1960)
Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs). These are Filipinos working abroad who
are expected to return permanently either upon the expiration of a work contract or upon
retirement.
Push and Pull Theory. Positive and negative factors at the origin and destination
push and pull migrants towards migration (Lee, 1966). Push factors attribute to the
negative characteristics of the origin and the pull factors identify the positive
characteristics at the destination that attract Filipinos to work abroad (Datta, 2002).
Remittances. This is the process of sending money as an obligation to the family
left in the Philippines.
Conceptual Framework
There are three levels in the theories of migration: macro-level, micro-level and
meso-level theories. The macro-level theories explained the trends in the movement of
workers while the micro-level theories identified the decisions, expectations and desires
of each individual on migration. Meanwhile, the meso-level, located in the middle of
macro and micro level, indicates the causes and continuation of migration (HagenZanker, 2008).
One of the micro-level theories of migration is the push-pull theory. This study
will imply the use of push-pull theory. Lee (1966) was the first to formulate migration in
a push-pull framework on an individual level, looking at both the supply and demand side
of migration. Positive and negative factors at the origin and destination push and pull
migrants towards migration, delayed by intervening factors like migration laws and
personal factors. According to Datta (2002), push factors attribute to the negative
characteristics operating at the center of origin, whereas pull factors identify the positive
characteristics at the center of destination.
Figure 1 illustrates the relationship of the deployment of OFWs from the
Philippines to Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and macroeconomic variables such as
GDP per capita, misery index, and remittances.
As indicated, the variables found in the home country were recognized to be the
push factors, while those in the host country were considered as the pull factors.
Generally, those variables found in the home country such as the GDP per capita and
misery index had the opposite effects for the host country. On the other hand, remittances
per capita sent by the deployed land-based OFWs in KSA served as a pull factor for
outward labor migration of the workers.
The slow and unstable GDP per capita growth and high unemployment rate,
combined with a rising population, and willingness to work in any location and far from
their families, have conditioned many Filipino workers to view overseas work as a
practical and often necessary option.
Misery index on the other hand, is the combined unemployment rate and inflation
rate that drives the individuals to choose to work abroad. The idea behind this variable is
that higher unemployment rates and worsened inflation rates will result to specific
economic costs for a country. In the home country, higher value of this variable leads to
higher urge for an individual to leave the country. In developing countries like the
Philippines, the availability of employment opportunities is decisive. Also, due to high
unemployment rates and nonstop increase in the prices of commodities, competition in
the labor market begins.
The host country will continuously attract more migrants due to availability of
opportunities to the workers. The main reason why an individual chooses to work abroad
is because of the monetary return they can obtain from it. An increase in remittances per
capita will encourage the individual to work abroad.
Independent Variables
Dependent Variable
DEPLOYMENT OF OFWs
to KSA
Figure 1. The relationship between the deployment of OFWs and the selected
macroeconomic variables such as GDP per capita, misery index,
and remittances.
10
which deployed workers to the construction and oil sectors. The Gulf countries still
accounted for 67 percent of the outflow of OFWs. As of 2012, Saudi Arabia leads the top
ten destinations of OFWs, which includes five Gulf countries, four Asian countries, and
with Italy, being the only non-Asian country (Country Migration Report, 2013).
Acupan and Agbola (2007) cited in their study that the Philippines stands
prominent among remittance-receiving and labor-exporting countries. With US$11.6
billion in official remittances in 2004 as mentioned in Global Economic Prospects, World
Bank (2006), the Philippines was the developing worlds third largest remittancerecipient country in absolute value terms. Commission on Filipinos Overseas (2006) cited
that around nine million Filipinos live and work in more than 130 countries around the
world in terms of labor-export. In addition, World Bank (2006) mentioned that
international migration, mainly from developing countries into developed countries has
generated significant improvement in the lives of migrants and their families. These
international migrants receive higher wages and their families who are left in their
country of origin benefit through the remittances. Countries of destination on the other
hand benefit from the increased supply of skilled labor while countries of origin saw the
easing of their domestic labor market pressures.
Workers were classified into land-based or sea-based (Ramos, 2014). As cited in
POEA (2000), the growth of international labor migration brings more opportunities for
land-based employment though the demand for sea-based workers were also high. The
underlying reason for preference of land-based over the sea-based opportunities was the
increase on domestic offers due to the oil boom in the Gulf countries.
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12
13
destination country that tends to be less selective for the education and wealth status of
workers overtime.
In the study of Todaro and Harris (1970), they account for the significant urban
unemployment that was found in many less developed countries. Migration is not
completely risk-free, because the migrant does not necessarily get a job upon arrival in
the city. Rural-urban migration occurs, as long as the expected real income differential is
positive.
According to Piore (1979), migration is the result of a temporary pull factor,
namely strong structural labor demand in developed countries. It is not purely economic
approach; there is economic dualism on the labor market of developed countries and
wages. The temporary labor migration, caused by inflation, was offered to the migrants
because the changes in the wages in the unskilled sector were unattractive to the citizens
of the host country.
Based on the work of Sjaastad (1962), migration is treated as an individual
investment decision to increase the productivity of human capital, thus again focusing on
the labor market, but at the same time migrants.
The Philippines had a history of sending migrant workers abroad to increase
domestically-earned income. The slow and unstable GDP per capita growth and high
unemployment rate, combined with a rising population, and a willingness to work in any
location far away from their families, have conditioned many Filipino workers to view
overseas work as an often option. The acknowledgement of government to the scarce
domestic opportunities has led to strong support and obligation for finding opportunities
for deploying overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) (Reside, 2009).
14
15
future. Reasons to immigrate can include the standard of living, the too low value of
wages, a slow job market, or a lack of educational opportunities. Large amounts of
immigration will weaken the population of home country due decreasing labor force, the
level of production, and economic spending. If a country is losing citizens due to
economic reasons, the situation will not improve until economic changes are made but
many individuals do not forget their home country and continue to support family
members financially through the income from the country they migrate (Boundless,
2015).
Winters and Walmsley (2003) studied that international migration can have
positive impacts on both the home and host country, providing remittances to origin and
the needed human resources to destination. International migration also has the possible
effect of facilitating the transfer of skills and contributing to cultural enrichment.
Therefore, one should also maintain international migration that demand the loss of
human resources for many countries of origin and may give rise to political, economic or
social pressure in countries of destination.
There are conflicting views on the impact of immigration on the economies of
receiving countries. Some believe that migrants steal the jobs and depress the wages.
Another argument is that immigration has the potential of producing conflict among
ethnic groups. Finally, the foes of immigration argue that increasing number of migrants
may destroy the local communitys identity and its institutions. Allies of immigration, on
the other hand, argue that immigrants are not the cause of job loss on the side of local
population. The allies also add that migrants create added value to the economy since
they are also consumers and stimulate the economy which in turn creates new jobs. In
16
addition, international migration has the potential of facilitating the transfer of skills and
contributing to cultural enrichment. (MFA, 2015)
The economic benefits of international migration can be measured by the higher
real wages and income that the migrant worker can earn abroad during his or her
remaining working life, over and above what he or she could have earned at home. Other
benefits may be greater educational and job opportunities for the migrants children.
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METHODOLOGY
This section includes the research design, hypothesis, sources of data, participants
of the study, data gathering procedure, and statistical treatment of data used to address the
research problem.
Research Design
This study used the time series or longitudinal research design. The time series is
a set of observations, each one being recorded at a specific time (Brockwell and Davis,
2002). In addition, Kowalczyk (2015) defined longitudinal research as the study on a
sample of the population at intervals to examine the effects of development. Longitudinal
research design was used to determine the trend in macroeconomic variables that affect
the number of OFWs going to Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) such as GDP per capita,
misery index, and remittances.
Hypothesis of the study
It was hypothesized that there is no significant relationship between the
deployment of OFWs and the selected macroeconomic variables such as GDP per capita,
misery index, and remittances.
Sources of Data
The study used secondary data in determining the labor movements of OFWs
from Philippines to KSA from the year 1995 through the year 2014. Information
regarding the macroeconomic variables affecting international labor migration came from
various readings. The data on deployment of OFWs going to KSA was derived from the
Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA).
18
Misery index (combined inflation rate and unemployment rate) for both the home
and host countries were obtained from World Development Indicators (WDI). Some
missing values for the unemployment rates of KSA were derived from Central
Department of Statistics and Information (CDSI) website while some missing values for
the unemployment rates of the Philippines were derived from Philippine Statistics
Authority (PSA) website.
Information regarding the annual GDP per capita (current US $) were obtained
from the World Development Indicators (WDI) database while the remittances (in
thousand U.S. dollars) were derived from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) website.
Data Gathering Procedure
The data on annual deployment of OFWs going to KSA were downloaded from
the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) official webpage. The data
on GDP per capita (current US $) and misery index (combined inflation rate and
unemployment rate) were downloaded from World Development Indicators (WDI),
Central Department of Statistics and Information (CDSI), and Philippine Statistics
Authority (PSA) database while the data on remittances (in thousand U.S. Dollars) came
from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) website.
Statistical Treatment of Data
The study used trend analysis based on historical data about the labor movements
performance of OFWs going to KSA in order to analyze the trend and behavior of the
variables. Multiple regression analysis was also used to determine the functional
relationship between the dependent and independent variables or the relationship between
19
the deployment of OFWs and the selected macroeconomic variables such as GDP per
capita, misery index, and remittances. The function was specified as:
NW = f(GDP, MI, REM)
The regression model was presented as follows:
NW =
where:
NW = number of deployed land-based workers in KSA
= coefficient
= misery index
= error
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21
DEPLOYMENT OF OFWS TO
KSA (LANDBASED)
168,604
GROWTH RATE
(%)
-
1996
155,848
-7.57
1997
160,302
2.86
1998
193,698
20.83
1999
198,556
2.51
2000
184,724
-6.97
2001
190,732
3.25
2002
193,157
1.27
2003
169,011
-12.50
2004
188,107
11.30
2005
194,350
3.32
2006
223,459
14.98
2007
238,419
6.69
2008
275,933
15.73
2009
291,419
5.61
2010
293,049
0.56
2011
316,736
8.08
2012
330,040
4.20
2013
382,553
15.91
2014
402,873
5.31
AVE
237,578.5
5.02
In 1998, the Philippines was able to regain and increase its growth rate of 20.83
percent since the Middle East countries overtook Asia which used to be the top
destination. Due to the financial crisis in Asia, the Middle East countries ranked as the
top destination of OFWs (POEA, 1998).
Number of OFWs
Year
22
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
23
24
same with the situation of the Philippines which continues to deploy workers to the oilrich Gulf countries like the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia that needs workers.
Trend in Macroeconomic Variables
The macroeconomic variables included in the study were GDP per capita, misery
index, and remittances
Gross Domestic Product per capita. Table 2 and Figure 3 show the trend in
GDP per capita (current US$) of the Philippines and KSA. GDP per capita is the measure
of average income per person in a country. During the year 1995, the Philippines
obtained a GDP per capita of 1,064.84 while KSA had 7,672.49 US dollars.
Table 2. GDP per capita (current US$) of the Philippines and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,
1995-2014
YEAR GDP PHILIPPINES GROWTH RATE GDP KSA GROWTH RATE
(US$)
(%)
(US$)
(%)
1995
1,064.84
7,672.49
1996
1,163.85
9.30
8,369.07
9.08
1997
1,131.40
-2.79
8,656.17
3.43
1998
970.61
-14.21
7,559.67
-12.67
1999
1,091.78
12.48
8,203.43
8.52
2000
1,043.46
-4.43
9,354.47
14.03
2001
961.71
-7.83
8,760.09
-6.35
2002
1,004.99
4.50
8,639.14
-1.38
2003
1,015.78
1.07
9,389.54
8.69
2004
1,084.77
6.79
10,853.63
15.59
2005
1,201.00
10.72
13,303.37
22.57
2006
1,398.83
16.47
14,855.00
11.66
2007
1,680.55
20.14
16,050.72
8.05
2008
1,927.55
14.70
19,714.40
22.83
2009
1,831.99
-4.96
16,013.28
-18.77
2010
2,135.93
16.59
19,326.58
20.69
2011
2,358.07
10.40
24,116 .17
24.78
2012
2,587.62
9.73
25,945.97
7.59
2013
2,765.09
6.86
25,819.11
-0.49
2014
2,843.08
2.82
25,409.03
-1.59
AVE
1,563.15
5.70
14,400.57
.7.17
Year
30000.00
25000.00
20000.00
15000.00
GDP (Phil)
GDP (KSA)
10000.00
5000.00
0.00
Figure 3. GDP per capita (current US$) of the Philippines and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,
1995-2014
From the start, a big difference in GDP per capita between the home and host
country can be seen. In 1996, the GDP per capita of both countries increased by 9.30
percent for the Philippines and 9.08 percent for KSA. The change in the GDP per capita
for the following years was also observed. From 2012 to 2014, the GDP per capita of the
Philippines and KSA continued to change.
During the time of President Ramos from 1992 to 1997, a broad range of
economic reforms and initiatives were introduced to spur business growth and foreign
investment. This resulted to higher growth rate of 9.30 percent in 1996. The Asian
financial crisis which triggered in 1997 slowed down economic development in the
Philippines with a growth rate of -2.79 percent and a growth rate of -14.21 percent in
1998 (
History Central, 2015).
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In 1999, the GDP per capita in the Philippines increased by 12.48 percent due to
the continuation of some reforms begun by the Ramos administration by President
Estrada. Important laws to strengthen regulation and supervision of the banking system
and securities markets, to liberalize foreign participation in the retail trade sector, and to
promote and regulate electronic commerce were enacted (
History Central, 2015).
Despite the decrease in growth rate in 2000 by -4.43 percent and -7.83 in 2001,
President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo has made considerable progress in restoring
macroeconomic stability with the help of a well-regarded economic team in the following
years (
History Central, 2015). From 2010, the Aquino administration had been citing the
countrys economic gains (Philippine Daily Inquirer, 2015).
In the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), the year 2004 was the best year in the
history of Saudi economy in terms of economic performance since 1982. After achieving
a positive growth in 2003 and 2004, KSA achieved a growth rate of 22.57 percent in 2005
due to the strength of the oil sector, better domestic geo-political environment,
acceleration of reform measures; growth of foreign assets, a strong private sector growth,
and a high growth of corporate earnings (Gulfbase, 2010).
The average OPEC basket oil price stood at US$82.33 per barrel in 2010
compared to US$50.20 a barrel in 2009 and $105.16 in 2008. A peak level of oil price
touched $147.27 a barrel in the international market on 2008 due to geo-political
uncertainties in the Middle East and increased global energy demand (Gulfbase, 2010).
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In 2009, oil prices plunged sharply thereafter due to global financial and
economic crisis with -18.77 percent growth rate. The KSA has launched mega projects,
including establishment of six economic cities in different regions to achieve balanced
developments to recover from the financial and economic crisis. It was visible in 2010
with a growth rate of 20.69 percent (Gulfbase,2010).
Generally, this may be affected by the technological advances, imports and
exports, social trends, population growth, remittances, and government interventions
(Hawk, 2016). Strong growth in technological innovation tends to give higher GDP
growth rate. Exports bring money into the country, which increases the exporting
nation's GDP while the money spent on imports, leaves the economy and decreases the
importing nation's GDP. The effect of population growth on per capita GDP growth is
negative. On the other hand, remittances have a positive effect on GDP per capita.
The compensation received by OFWs as estimated by the National Statistical
Coordination Board (NSCB) continued to increase resulting in higher estimates of the
Gross National Income (GNI). The GNI represents the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
after accounting for the net primary income from abroad, composed mostly of the
compensation of OFWs. Undoubtedly, the increasing number of OFWs improves the
countrys GNI as estimates of compensation continue on an increasing trend.
Remittances data as reported by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has always been
claimed to boost the GNI as this contributes to higher estimates of household final
consumption expenditures and gross capital formation. In 2011 alone, OFW remittances
amounted to 20.11 billion USD (or Php 871.25 billion), about 6.8 percent of our GNI for
that year. (NSCB, 2012)
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It was recorded that as of 2014 the Philippines had a total GDP per capita of
2,843.08 US dollars while KSA had 25,409.03 US dollars. It was clearly visible in the
graph that KSA had a higher GDP per capita than the Philippines.
For the past 20 years, the highest growth rate in GDP per capita of the Philippines
was recorded in 2007 at 20.14 percent and lowest growth rate of -14.21 percent in 1998.
On the other hand, for KSA the highest growth rate of 24.78 percent was recorded in
2011 and lowest growth rate of -18.77 percent in 2009. The average GDP per capita of
the Philippines for 20-year period was recorded0 at 1,563.15 US dollars or an average
growth rate of 5.70 percent. On the other hand, KSA had an average GDP per capita of
14,400.57 US dollars or an average growth rate of 7.17 percent.
According to the study of Brucker et al. (2003), the choice of labor migration is
where individuals form expectations on utility differences in the respective locations,
which are determined by the income differentials between home and host countries.
The Philippines sent migrant workers abroad to increase domestically-earned
income. The slow and unstable GDP per capita growth and high unemployment rate,
combined with a rising population, and a willingness to work in any location far away
from their families, have conditioned many Filipino workers to view overseas work as an
often option (Reside, 2009).
Misery index. Misery index is an economic indicator created by an economist,
Arthur Okun, and computed by adding the unemployment rate and the inflation rate
(Arthur Okun, 1960). The effectiveness of the misery index for both the Philippines and
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) can be obtained by getting the difference.
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Table 3 and Figure 4 show the misery index or the combined unemployment rate
and inflation rate of the Philippines and KSA. It shows that the Philippines has greater
misery index than KSA.
The difference of both countries in misery index from 1996 to 1997 was 7
percent. The difference in misery index between the home and host country continued to
vary.
Table 3. Misery Index of Philippines and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), 1995-2014
MISERY INDEX (%)
DIFFERENCE
YEAR
Philippines
KSA
(%)
1995
15.9
10.6
5.3
1996
14.9
7.2
7.7
1997
13.5
6.3
7.2
1998
18.6
6.0
12.6
1999
15.3
3.0
12.3
2000
15.2
3.5
11.7
2001
16.3
3.5
12.8
2002
14.2
5.4
8.8
2003
13.5
6.5
7.0
2004
16.7
6.2
10.5
2005
14.2
6.6
7.6
2006
13.5
8.5
5.0
2007
10.3
9.9
0.4
2008
15.6
15.0
0.6
2009
11.7
10.5
1.2
2010
11.1
10.7
0.4
2011
11.6
11.6
0.0
2012
10.2
8.5
1.7
2013
10.1
9.2
0.9
2014
10.9
8.4
2.5
The highest difference in misery index between the two countries was recorded at
2.8 percent in 2001. On the contrary, the misery index of the Philippines equals the
misery index of KSA or zero difference in 2011. According to Datta (2002), push factors
attribute to the negative characteristics of the origin, whereas pull factors identify the
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Misery index
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
Year
Figure 4. Misery Index of the Philippines and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), 19952014
Misery index is not only about the real impact of inflation rate, it also recognizes
the impact among the people. Inflation rate is not only about being able to afford goods
and services, but also about the general feeling of whether one can afford those goods and
services or not. At the same time, misery index is also about the non-gainful employment
in an economy (Beja, 2014). It accounts for that state of being jobless and feeling jobless.
A higher misery index implies higher economic ill-being. The misery index can also be
read as the portion of the population who is suffering in the existing economic conditions
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(Beja, 2014). Moreover, McWhinney (2009) states that the misery index is used to
illustrate the current economic condition. The main assumption in misery index is that an
increasing unemployment rate and high inflation have a negative impact on economic
growth.
In addition, a high (or climbing) misery index has been a political thing resulting
in a change of presidents while a low (or falling) misery index resulted in reelection.
Since both high unemployment and high inflation are major factors to the average wage
earner, its a quick measure to the health of the economy because as inflation rate rises
the cost of living and unemployment rate rises and more people cross economic line into
poverty that would attract work abroad (Inflation data, 2016).
Remittances. Remittance is the process of sending money as an obligation to the
family left in the Philippines. Due to increasing unemployment rate, Filipinos continue to
choose to work abroad to send home remittances that have become an important pillar of
the Philippine economy.
Table 4 and Figure 5 show the trend of cash remittances from Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia (KSA) to the Philippines.
In 1995, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, cash remittances amounted to
10,435 thousands US dollars. In 1996, remittances increased by 39.10 percent but a
sudden decrease of 62.83 percent was observed on the following year due to the decrease
in deployed OFWs to KSA. It was in 1997 that the lowest growth rate of -62.83 percent
was recorded for the past 20 years. From 5,395 thousands US dollars recorded in 1997,
remittances increased to 33,432 thousands US dollars in 1998 or by 519.68 percent
growth rate due to the increase in deployed OFWs to KSA. The average cash remittances
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from Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) land based amounted to 980,129.70 thousands US
dollars or an average growth rate of 68.40 percent.
Table 4. Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) cash remittances from the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia (KSA), 1995-2014
YEAR
CASH REMITTANCES
GROWTH RATE
(in thousands US $)
(%)
1995
10,435
1996
14,515
39.10
1997
5,395
-62.83
1998
33,432
519.68
1999
181,010
441.43
2000
492,990
172.36
2001
607,969
23.32
2002
992,263
63.21
2003
824,484
-16.91
2004
876,674
6.33
2005
947,074
8.03
2006
1,117,013
17.94
2007
1,140,401
2.09
2008
1,384,363
21.39
2009
1,469,194
6.13
2010
1,542,507
4.99
2011
1,611,268
4.46
2012
1,724,663
7.04
2013
2,104,356
22.02
2014
2,522,588
19.87
AVE
980,129.70
68.40
Such growth in remittances could be attributed to the deployment of higher-paid
landbased workers, including professional and service workers such as caregivers/
caretakers, clerks, office managers and utility personnel. OFW remittances account for
about 16 percent of the countrys total current receipts and 10 percent of gross domestic
product (GDP), a larger portion of which continued to originate from the US, Saudi
Arabia, Hongkong, Japan, Singapore and the UAE (POEA, 2003).
33
34
2000000.00
Year
1500000.00
1000000.00
500000.00
0.00
Figure 5. Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) cash remittances from the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia (KSA), 1995-2014
35
H0
36
coefficient indicates that for every additional misery index in the KSA the deployed
OFWs to KSA (landbased) decreased by an average of -1,610.85 OFWs.
The coefficient for cash remittances from KSA (landbased) was 0.0412. The
coefficient demonstrates that for every additional cash remittances from KSA (landbased)
the deployed OFWs to KSA (landbased) increased by an average of 0.0412 OFWs.
Lack of employment opportunities in the home country and high remittances from
the host country influence the decision of the Filipinos to work abroad. Any increase in
the misery index in the Philippines and remittances suggested that there would be an
increase too in the deployment of Filipino workers to KSA.
Table 5. Regression analysis on the relationship between deployed OFWs to KSA
(landbased) to macroeconomic variables
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL
VARIABLES COEFFICIENTS STD. t (df=14) p-value
95%
95%
ERROR
lower
upper
Regression output
Intercept
-16,594.7986 34,486.6797 -0.481 .6378 -90,561.3699 57,371.7728
Misery index 5,557.6244 1,869.1187
2.973 .0101 1,548.7634
9,566.4853
(Phil)
Misery index -1,610.8506 1,172.4428
-1.374 .1911 -4,125.4902
903.7890
(KSA)
GDP (Phil)
138.8611
21.0074
6.610 1.17E-05
93.8047
183.9174
GDP (KSA)
-4.6245
2.3147
-1.998 .0655
-9.5890
0.3400
Remmitances from 0.0412
0.0097
4.262 .0008
0.0205
0.0620
KSA (landbased)
Regression Analysis
R
0.981
Adjusted R 0.975
R
0.991
Std. Error
11984.535
n
20
k
5
Dep. Var.
Deployed OFWs to KSA (Landbased)
37
ANOVA table
Source
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
105,627,383,670.2420
2,010,807,194.7583
107,638,190,865.0000
df
5
14
19
MS
21,125,476,734.0483
143,629,085.3399
F
47.08
p-value
1.38E-11
The coefficient for GDP per capita (Philippines) was 138.86. The coefficient
shows that for every additional GDP per capita in the Philippines, the deployed OFWs to
KSA (landbased) increased by an average of 138.86 OFWs. On the contrary, the
coefficient for GDP per capita (KSA) was -4.6245. The coefficient shows that for every
additional GDP per capita in the KSA, the deployed OFWs to KSA (landbased) decreased
by an average of -4.6245 OFWs.
At first, the number of migrating workers tended to be lower due to increased
level of per capita GDP. However, the relationship between the two variables would be
increasing at a certain point. This change in pattern could be explained by the migration
of unskilled workers. Unlike the skilled and professional workers, unskilled individuals
had lower income in domestic labor markets. Due to this, even though GDP per capita of
the home country was increasing, the unskilled workers look for higher income through
migration in the host countries. This may also be attributed to the OFWs who get used to
receive higher salaries abroad than in the home country. Also, as stated by King and
Skeldon (2010) and Ramos (2014), migration of workers within the home country pushed
those individuals to work abroad particularly to destination country that tends to be less
selective for the education and wealth status of workers overtime.
R-squared was estimated at 0.981 which implies that 98.1 percent of the variation
in deployed OFWs to KSA is explained by the variation in the independent variables
38
included in the model. R-squared is a statistical measure of how close the data are to the
regression line.
The results of the regression analysis proves the study of Datta (2002) that
negative characteristics of the Philippines such as higher misery index and lower GDP
per capita than KSA serve as push factors for the Filipinos to choose to work abroad. On
the other hand, the rising remittances from KSA, low misery index (KSA), and higher
GDP per capita (KSA) than the Philippines serve as pull factors that attract Filipinos to
work abroad.
Generally, those variables found in the home country such as the GDP per capita
and misery index had the opposite effects for the host country. On the other hand,
remittances per capita sent by the deployed land-based OFWs in KSA served as a pull
factor for outward labor migration of the workers.
39
40
41
2.8 percent in 2001. On the contrary, the misery index of the Philippines equals the
misery index of KSA or zero difference during the year 2011.
The growth rates of cash remittances continued to vary. In 2014, the Philippines
had a total amount of 2,522,588 thousands US$ cash remittances from Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia (KSA) land based.
The regression analysis shows that the misery index (Philippines), GDP per capita
(Philippines), and remittance from KSA (landbased) have positive relationship to
deployed OFWs to KSA. However, the misery index (KSA) and GDP per capita (KSA)
shows negative relationship.
In addition, results of the regression analysis proves the study of Datta (2002) that
negative characteristics of the Philippines such as higher misery index and lower GDP
per capita than KSA serve as push factors for the Filipinos to choose to work abroad. On
the other hand, the rising remittances from KSA, low misery index (KSA), and higher
GDP per capita (KSA) than the Philippines serve as pull factors that attract Filipinos to
work abroad.
Conclusion
Throughout the years the deployment of land based OFWs in Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia (KSA) continue to boost.
The deployment of OFWs to KSA is significantly affected by misery index
(Philippines), GDP per capita (Philippines), and remittances from KSA (landbased) thus,
the null hypothesis is rejected.
Lack of employment opportunities in the home country and high remittances from
the host country influence the decision of the workers to work abroad. Any increase in the
42
misery index in the Philippines and remittances suggested that there would be an increase
in the deployment of Filipino workers to KSA. The remittances being sent by the OFWs
have been a great contribution to the growth of the Philippines.
Unlike the skilled and professional workers, unskilled individuals have lower
income in domestic labor markets. Due to this, even though GDP per capita of the home
country is increasing, the unskilled workers look for higher income through migration in
the host countries.
The Philippines has become a successful labor exporter. The big number of
deployed OFWs every year is an indicator that migration will be an important part of the
country's future development plans and prospects. Individuals make decisions based on
their perceptions of what would be beneficial for them.
Recommendations
While the Philippines cannot stop people from leaving, the country will need to
explore how migration can be an instrument for development. In this regard, the
government may learn more from international discussions on international labor
migrations.
Though the remittances being sent by the OFWs have been a great contribution to
the growth of the Philippines, the study recommend to the Philippine government to
provide more job opportunities together with higher wages within the country. This
would encourage Filipinos to stay home than work abroad.
To those who want to study the same concept, the study recommends considering
other macroeconomic variables like population growth, real wage rate, labor force
43
participation rate, and job vacancies and trying Asian countries such as Singapore,
Malaysia, and Hong Kong since the number of OFWs there is blooming.
REFERENCES
Acupan, A. and Agbola, F. (2007). On the Determinants of International Labor
Migration in the Philippines.
Ahmad, N., Hussain, Z., Hussain, M., et.al. (2008). Macroeconomic Determinants of
International Migration from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review.
85-99.
Albert, J. R. G. (2012). Counting and Monitoring the Contributions of OFWs (The
Nations New Heroes). Retrieved 16 Feb 2016 from: http://www.nscb.gov.ph/
beyondthenumbers/2012/10082012_jrga_ofw.asp
Aldaba, F. (2000). Trade Liberalization and International Migration: The Philippine
Case. Ateneo de Manila University Discussion Paper No. 04.
Asis, M. (2006). The Philippines Culture of Migration. Migration Information Source.
Beja, E. L., Jr. (2014). Philippine Misery Index: An initial Assesment-Eaglewatch.
Retrieved 19 Feb 2016 from: http://www.admu.edu.ph/news/research/philippinemisery-index-initial-assessment-eaglewatch-dr-edsel-l-beja-jr
Boundless. (2015). Impact of Immigration on the Host and Home Country Economies.
Boundless Economics. Boundless, 18 Sep. 2015. Retrieved 26 Oct. 2015
from https://www.boundless.com/economics/textbooks/boundless-economicstextbook/immigration-economics-38/introduction-to-immigration-economics138/impact-of-immigration-on-the-host-and-home-country-economies-54612643/
Brockwell, P. and Davis, R. (2002). Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting.
Second Edition. Page No. 1
Brucker, H., Siliverstovs, B., and Trubswetter, P. (2003). International Migration to
Germany: Estimation of a Time-Series Model and Inference in Panel
44
45
46
47
APPENDICES
48
Appendix 1
Deployment of Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs), 1995-2014
Year
1995
Total
Deployment
653574
Landbased
Deployment
488173
Seabased
Deployment
165401
Deployment of OFWs
to KSA (landbased)
168604
1996
660122
484653
175469
155848
1997
747696
559227
188469
160302
1998
831643
638343
193300
193698
1999
837020
640331
196689
198556
2000
841628
643304
198324
184724
2001
866590
661639
204951
190732
2002
891908
682315
209593
193157
2003
867969
651938
216031
169011
2004
933588
704586
229002
188107
2005
988615
740632
247983
194350
2006
1062567
788070
274497
223459
2007
1077623
811070
266553
238419
2008
1236013
974399
261614
275933
2009
1422586
1092162
330424
291419
2010
1470826
1123676
347150
293049
49
2011
1687831
1318727
369104
316736
2012
1802031
1435166
366865
330040
2013
1935345
1469179
367166
382553
2014
1932669
1430842
401826
402873
Appendix 2
Misery Index in the Philippines, 1995-2014
YEAR
1995
Inflation Rate
(%)
6.8
Unemployment Rate
(%)
9.1
MISERY INDEX
(%)
15.9
1996
7.5
7.4
14.9
1997
5.6
7.9
13.5
1998
9.2
9.4
18.6
1999
5.9
9.4
15.3
2000
4.0
11.2
15.2
2001
5.3
11.0
16.3
2002
2.7
11.5
14.2
2003
2.3
11.2
13.5
2004
4.8
11.9
16.7
2005
6.5
7.7
14.2
2006
5.5
8.0
13.5
2007
2.9
7.4
10.3
2008
8.3
7.3
15.6
2009
4.2
7.5
11.7
2010
3.8
7.3
11.1
50
2011
4.6
7.0
11.6
2012
3.2
7.0
10.2
2013
3.0
7.1
10.1
2014
4.1
6.8
10.9
Sources: World Development Indicators (WDI) and Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
Appendix 3
Misery Index in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), 1995-2014
YEAR
1995
Inflation Rate
(%)
4.9
Unemployment Rate
(%)
5.7
MISERY INDEX
(%)
10.6
1996
1.2
6.0
7.2
1997
0.1
6.2
6.3
1998
-0.4
6.4
6.0
1999
-1.3
4.3
3.0
2000
-1.1
4.6
3.5
2001
-1.1
4.6
3.5
2002
0.2
5.2
5.4
2003
0.6
5.9
6.5
2004
0.3
5.9
6.2
2005
0.7
5.9
6.6
2006
2.2
6.3
8.5
2007
4.2
5.7
9.9
2008
9.9
5.1
15.0
2009
5.1
5.4
10.5
2010
5.3
5.4
10.7
2011
5.8
5.8
11.6
51
2012
2.9
5.6
8.5
2013
3.5
5.7
9.2
2014
2.7
5.7
8.4
Sources: World Development Indicators (WDI) and Central Department of Statistics and
Information (CDSI)
Appendix 4
Request for oral review of thesis proposal
52
Appendix 5
Request for oral
review of thesis
manuscript
53
54