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Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts, including statements regarding our estimates, expectations,
beliefs, intentions, projections or strategies for the future, may be "forward-looking statements" as defined in the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that
could cause actual results to differ materially from the estimates, expectations, beliefs, intentions, projections and
strategies reflected in or suggested by the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not
limited to, the cost of aircraft fuel; the availability of aircraft fuel; the impact of rebalancing our hedge portfolio, recording
mark-to-market adjustments or posting collateral in connection with our fuel hedge contracts; the possible effects of
accidents involving our aircraft; the restrictions that financial covenants in our financing agreements will have on our
financial and business operations; labor issues; interruptions or disruptions in service at one of our hub or gateway
airports; disruptions or security breaches of our information technology infrastructure; our dependence on technology in our
operations; the effects of weather, natural disasters and seasonality on our business; the effects of an extended disruption
in services provided by third party regional carriers; failure or inability of insurance to cover a significant liability at Monroes
Trainer refinery; the impact of environmental regulation on the Trainer refinery, including costs related to renewable fuel
standard regulations; our ability to retain management and key employees; competitive conditions in the airline industry;
the effects of extensive government regulation on our business; the sensitivity of the airline industry to prolonged periods of
stagnant or weak economic conditions; the effects of terrorist attacks or geopolitical conflict; and the effects of the rapid
spread of contagious illnesses. Additional information concerning risks and uncertainties that could cause differences
between actual results and forward-looking statements is contained in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings,
including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2014. Caution should be taken not to place
undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which represent our views only as of Dec. 17, 2015, and which we have
no current intention to update.
In this presentation, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find the reconciliations of those
measures to comparable GAAP measures on our website at delta.com.
A High-Quality Company
Consistently Producing
High-Quality Returns and
Cash Flows
A high-quality company
uniquely positioned
among the S&P
Industrials
High-Quality Product
Sustainable Earnings
& Cash Flow
Capital Efficiency
Deltas ROIC, Free Cash Flow and EPS growth are in the top 10% of S&P Industrials
5
Balanced, metric-driven approach producing strong results for shareholders that are consistent
with high-quality industrial companies
Since introducing goals in 2013, Delta has consistently outperformed and then raised longterm targets at our May analyst meeting
2015E Results
2013 Goals
2014 Goals
2015 Goals
2015E Results
Operating
Margin
10-12%
11-14%
14-16%
EPS
Growth
10-15%
10-15%
15% +
ROIC
15% +
15-18%
20-25%
Cash
Flow
$5B+ op cash
flow
$6B op cash
flow;
$3B FCF
$7-8B op cash
flow;
$4-5B FCF
Balance
Sheet
All results exclude special items; Delta ROIC reflects benefits of NOLs
22.4%
14.3x
21.3%
15.6x
9.5x
18.9%
Delta
Delta
19.5x
$1.2B
Delta
$1.5B
16.8x
8.2x
Delta
High quality industrial transports are companies with similar index characteristics to Delta part of S&P 500 and Dow Transportation Index (CHRW, CSX, EXPD, FDX, KSU, NSC, R, UNP,
UPS); For both peer groups, ROIC and free cash flow are the 2013-15E (cons.) average. Data source is FactSet; Delta ROIC & P/E reflect benefit of NOLs; P/E is as of 12/15/15; Adjusted for
Special Items
Consistently
Producing Solid
Results
Positioned to Grow
Earnings and Cash
Flow in 2016
International is
Key to Long-Term
Growth
10
2015 Accomplishments
11
16.5 17.5%
Down ~2%
$1.82 - $1.87
Up ~2%
Non-operating expense
$200M
Fuel price includes taxes, settled hedges, refinery contribution and excludes MTM adjustments; Guidance excludes special items
Flat
12
Capital Returns To
Shareholders
21%
$2.6B
$6.8B
15%
$1.35B
$350M
2013
2014
2015E
2013
2014
2015E
2013
2014
2015E
13
At Delta
Flat (2%)
System
Domestic
International
2014
2015E
2016E
15
Financial
Services
9%
5%
Transportation
5
2009
2010
4%
Health Care
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Business
Services
4%
3%
Media
Lift
Product
Reliability
Price
2016
Delta
Delta
Delta
Delta
Delta
2015
Delta
Delta
Delta
Delta
Delta
2014
United
United/Delta
Delta
Delta
Delta
Automotive
Other
Total
3%
Technology
2%
2%
4%
16
UK
$7.7B
China
$7.4B
Canada
$4.7B
Mexico
$4.4B
Germany
$4.3B
Brazil
$4.1B
Japan
$3.9B
France
$3.8B
India
Italy
$3.3B
$3.0B
17
Air France/KLM
Joint Venture is the
Model
Maturation of Virgin
Atlantic Joint Venture
Successful joint venture with Virgin Atlantic now entering its third
year
Coordinated commercial and marketing efforts in London aimed
at premium travelers
Additional benefits from Virgin Atlantics network and fleet
initiatives accrue to Delta through the 49% equity stake
Globalize Deltas
Business
Operations
18
5 - 7%
(4%)
(6%)
Total
Pacific
(3%)
(8%)
(10%)
Japan
China
Other
US POS
4,260
3,859
3,495
9,184
2,952
4,254
6,251
2,016
2010
% China
~40%
POS
2015
2020E
2025E
~70%
19
Leveraging Deltas
Latin Investments
Strengthening GOL
as an Airline and a
Partner
Building a Deeper
Relationship with
Aeromexico
20
25%
12%
24%
23%
14%
12%
+
21
Consistently
Producing Solid
Results
Positioned to Grow
Earnings and Cash
Flow in 2016
International is
Key to Long-Term
Growth
22
Alaska
99.6%
Delta
jetBlue
99.6%
Delta
United
98.8%
United
Southwest
98.7%
Southwest
American
98.4%
Alaska
jetBlue
98.3%
American
95%
96%
97%
98%
99%
1.79
86.1%
3.18
3.28
Southwest
80.0%
American
80.0%
United
3.39
78.1%
jetBlue
3.92
76.6%
70%
75%
American
American
United
0.68
United
Southwest
0.79
Southwest
1.14
0.5
1.0
80%
85%
90%
Alaska
0.35
0.0
Delta
Delta
0.16
Alaska
86.3%
100%
0.02
Delta
Alaska
2.09
jetBlue
60%
66.6%
63.7%
62.9%
62.3%
61.8%
65%
70%
75%
24
TechOps Leverage
Maintenance Cancellations
YTD
147
(93%)
2,999
72
1,169
723
393
224
DL
197
173
13
2013
AA+UA+WN
95
20
2012
2014
2015
2014
31
YTD October
2015
25
5.16
4.68
4.88
WN
DL
B6
UA
AA
(3.0%)
(4.8%)
(0.8%)
(5.5%)
4.2%
12
17
13
12
Product
Interior upgrades
Food and beverage improvements
Entertainment on demand
Wi-Fi
Airport investments
(5 = Excellent)
4.28
4.34
4.38
27.2%
31.1%
33.5%
37.8%
92.2
94.4
88.1
77.7
4.14
2012
2013
2014
2015
2012
2013
2014
2015
2012
2013
2014
2015
27
OUR FOUNDATION
KEY PERFORMANCE
INDICATORS
AMERICAS MOST
AWARD-WINNING
AIRLINE
NET PROMOTER
EMPLOYEE
SATISFACTION
OPERATIONAL
PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE
29
30
88.3%
85.5%
84.3%
81.0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
31
Making Targeted
Network
Investments
Expanding Ancillary
Revenue Through a
Tailored Customer
Experience
International
Domestic
Over the short to intermediate term,
capitalize on leading unit revenue position
Delta Passenger Unit Revenue versus A4A Average - YTD September 2015
114.4%
107.0%
101.2%
Domestic
Atlantic
98.2%
98.8%
Latin
Pacific
System
34
$150
$125
Cost per Seat
-12%
-8%
$100
-9%
Large RJ
100-110
Seat
$75
-8%
Small
Narrowbody
$50
40
60
4.30
Large
Narrowbody
4.10
757-200
4.27
4.11
757-300
35
$1.5B
$2.4B
$1.2B
$0.9B
2014
2015E
2018E
36
First Class
Delta Comfort+
~70%
~50%
57%
45%
2013
2015E
2018 Goal
34%
36%
2013
2015E
2018 Goal
21,000
18,600
19,300
28,000
21,500
18,200
2013
2015E
2018 Goal
2013
2015E
2018 Goal
37
Product Availability
for each
product
soand
customers
have
Clearly
display
products
relative price
38
$15.00
80%
Airfare 18%
Ground
Transportation
15%
30%
$8.30
Other 25%
$6.35
Lodging 22%
Food 20%
2013
2015E
2018 Goal
Optional Service Revenue per Passenger includes First Class products, Delta Comfort+, Basic Economy, Preferred Seats, Sky Club, Buy on Board, Priority Boarding, Trip Insurance,
Hotel/Rental Car Purchases. This revenue excludes baggage fees, cancellation/change fees, and any SkyMiles/loyalty revenue.
39
Capital Efficient
Investment Strategy
Balanced Capital
Deployment
41
Balanced, metric-driven approach producing strong results for shareholders that are consistent
with high-quality industrial companies
Since introducing goals in 2013, have consistently outperformed and then raised long-term
targets at our May analyst meeting
2015E Results
2013 Goals
2014 Goals
2015 Goals
2015E Results
Operating
Margin
10-12%
11-14%
14-16%
EPS
Growth
10-15%
10-15%
15% +
ROIC
15% +
15-18%
20-25%
Cash
Flow
$5B+ op cash
flow
$6B op cash
flow;
$3B FCF
$7-8B op cash
flow;
$4-5B FCF
Balance
Sheet
All results exclude special items; Delta ROIC reflects benefits of NOLs
42
2.4%
<2.0%
0.2%
2012
2013
2014
~flat
2015E
2016E
43
$2.87
$2.23
~$1.45
2013
2014
(6%)
(7%)
2015E
(22%)
2016E
~(35%)
44
$15.3B
$12.0B
$9.3B
2013
2014
2015E
45
Reinvest In The
Business
~50% of operating cash
flow to be reinvested in
the business
Allows for replacement of
~20% of Deltas mainline
fleet from 2016-2018
Strategic investments in
international airlines
allow for capital efficient
growth
Strengthen The
Balance Sheet
More than $10 billion in
debt reduction since 2009
Progress toward investment
grade metrics evident in
four S&P upgrades and
three Moodys upgrades
since May 2013
Current S&P and Fitch
ratings one notch away
from investment grade
Committed to ~$1 billion per
year in pension funding
Return Cash To
Shareholders
Announced $5 billion
repurchase authorization
through 2017 in May 2015
Delta has now returned
more than $4 billion and
repurchased ~9% of the
outstanding shares of the
company since 2013
Will return at least 50% of
free cash flow to
shareholders over the
next two years
Expect to produce over $20 billion in operating cash flow from 2015-2017
46
14.8%
11.2%
6.2%
Delta
6.0%
High-Quality
S&P
Industrial
Industrials
Transports
Airline
Average
UPS
DAL
22.6% 20.5%
UNP
CNP
CSX
FDX
NSC
47
100%
80%
60%
40%
2014
2017
2020
Pension Expense
$300
$150
$0
2014
-$150
2017
2020
48
5.8% 5.5%
4.8%
3.4% 3.3%
2.2%
DAL
UPS
CSX CHRW
KSU
FDX
22.4%
14.3x
21.3%
15.6x
9.5x
18.9%
Delta
Delta
19.5x
$1.2B
Delta
$1.5B
16.8x
8.2x
Delta
High quality industrial transports are companies with similar index characteristics to Delta part of S&P 500 and Dow Transportation Index (CHRW, CSX, EXPD, FDX, KSU, NSC, R, UNP,
UPS); For both peer groups, ROIC and free cash flow are the 2013-15E (cons.) average. Data source is FactSet; Delta ROIC & P/E reflect benefit of NOLs; P/E is as of 12/15/15; Adjusted for
Special Items
50
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
51
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Delta sometimes uses information ("non-GAAP financial measures") that is derived from the Consolidated Financial Statements, but that is not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S.
(GAAP). Under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules, non-GAAP financial measures may be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, but should not be considered a substitute for or
superior to GAAP results. The tables below show reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.
Forward Look ing Projections. Delta is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be estimated at this time.
Delta
(in billions)
Total operating revenue
Year Ended
December 31, 2008
$
22.7
Northwest
Period From
January 1 to
October 29,
2008
$
11.6
Combined
Year Ended
December 31, 2008
$
34.3
(Projected)
Year Ended
December 31, 2015
$
40.8
(in billions)
Total operating revenue
Change
~20%
Year Ended
December 31, 2009
$
12.9
16.8
$
29.7
$
0.5
1.5%
(Projected)
Year Ended
Year Ended
Year Ended
December 31,
December 31,
December 31,
2013
2014
2015
$
15.4 $
18.5 $
17.6
10.5
8.2
7.0
$
25.9 $
26.7 $
24.6
$
3.9 $
5.5 $
6.9
15.1%
20.7%
28.2%
Change in ROIC since the merger
Change in ROIC since 2014
2013 - 2015
Three Year
Average
21.3%
~27%
7.5%
52
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Operating Margin, Adjusted
We adjust for the following items to determine operating margin, adjusted for the reasons described below:
Mark -to-mark et ("MTM") adjustments and settlements. MTM adjustments are defined as fair value changes recorded in periods other than the settlement period. Such fair value changes are not necessarily indicative of the actual
settlement value of the underlying hedge in the contract settlement period. Settlements represent cash received or paid on hedge contracts settled during the period. These items adjust fuel expense to show the economic impact of
hedging, including cash received or paid on hedge contracts during the period. Adjusting for these items allows investors to better understand and analyze our core operational performance in the periods shown.
Restructuring and other. Because of the variability in restructuring and other, the exclusion of this item is helpful to investors to analyze the companys recurring core operational performance in the periods shown.
Refinery Sales . Delta's refinery segment provides jet fuel to the airline segment from its own production and from jet fuel obtained through agreements with third parties. Activities of the refinery segment are primarily for the benefit of the
airline. However, from time to time, the refinery sells fuel by-products to third parties. These sales are recorded gross within other revenue and other operating expense. We believe adjusting for refinery sales allows investors to better
understand and analyze the impact of fuel cost on our results in the periods shown.
Operating margin
Items excluded:
MTM adjustments and settlements
Restructuring and other
Refinery sales
Operating margin, adjusted
Operating margin
Items excluded:
MTM adjustments and settlements
Restructuring and other
Refinery sales
Operating margin, adjusted
Year Ended
December 31, 2011
5.6%
Year Ended
December 31, 2012
5.9%
Year Ended
December 31, 2013
9.0%
Year Ended
December 31, 2014
5.5%
0.1%
0.9%
-0.1%
1.6%
6.6%
7.4%
-0.7%
1.1%
0.0%
9.4%
5.8%
1.7%
0.1%
13.1%
(Projected)
Year Ended
December 31, 2015
19.5%
-3.4%
-0.1%
0.2%
16.2%
(Projected)
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2015
18.0% - 19.0%
-1.4%
0.0%
-0.1%
16.5% - 17.5%
(in billions)
Net Income
Adjusted for:
MTM adjustments and settlements
Restructuring and other
Loss on extinguishment of debt
Total adjustments
Net Income, adjusted for special items
Year Ended
December 31, 2014
0.7
(Projected)
Year Ended
December 31, 2015
$
5.1
1.5
0.4
0.2
2.1
2.8
(1.4)
(1.4)
3.7
845
3.35
804
4.57
Change
36%
53
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Free Cash Flow
We present free cash flow because management believes this metric is helpful to investors to evaluate the company's ability to generate cash that is available for use for debt service or general corporate initiatives. Adjustments
include:
Hedge margin. Free cash flow is adjusted for hedge margin as we believe this adjustment removes the impact of current market volatility on our unsettled hedges and allows investors to better understand and analyze the
companys core operational performance in the period shown.
Hedge deferral. During the March 2015 quarter, we effectively deferred settlement of a portion of our hedge portfolio until 2016 by entering into fuel derivative transactions that, excluding market movements from the date of the
transactions, would provide approximately $150 million in cash receipts during the September 2015 quarter and $150 million in cash receipts for the December 2015 quarter. Additionally, these transactions will require
approximately $300 million in cash payments in 2016 (excluding market movements from the date of the transactions). By effectively deferring settlement of a portion of the original derivative transactions, the restructured hedge
portfolio provides additional time for the fuel market to stabilize while adding some hedge protection in 2016. Free cash flow is adjusted to include these deferral transactions in order to allow investors to better understand the net
impact of hedging activities in the period shown.
(in billions)
Net cash provided by operating activities
Net cash used in investing activities
Adjustments:
Hedge margin
Hedge deferral
Net purchases of short-term investments and other
SkyMiles used pursuant to advance purchase under AMEX agreement and other
Total free cash flow
(Projected)
Year Ended
Year Ended
Year Ended
December 31, 2013 December 31, 2014 December 31, 2015
$
4.5 $
4.9 $
7.6
(2.7)
(2.5)
(3.6)
0.3
2.1
Capital Returns
Capital Returns as a % of free cash flow
0.9
0.4
3.7
$
$
Three Year
Average
(0.8)
0.3
0.2
3.7 $
3.1
2.6
~70%
(in billions)
Debt and capital lease obligations
Plus: 7x last twelve months' aircraft rent
Adjusted total debt
Less: cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments
Less: hedge margin receivable
Adjusted net debt
Adjusted net debt reduction since the merger
(Projected)
December 31, 2015
$
8.5
1.8
10.3
(3.4)
(0.1)
$
6.8
$
10.2
54
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Pre-Tax Income, Adjusted
Delta adjusts pre-tax income to determine pre-tax income, adjusted, for MTM adjustments and settlements, restructuring and other and loss on extinguishment of debt for the same reasons described above and Virgin Atlantic MTM
adjustments for the reasons described below:
Virgin Atlantic MTM adjustments. We record our proportionate share of earnings from our equity investment in Virgin Atlantic in other expense. We adjust for Virgin Atlantic's MTM adjustments to allow investors to better understand
and analyze the companys financial performance in the periods shown.
Year Ended December 31,
(Projected)
(in billions)
Pre-tax income
Adjusted for:
MTM adjustments and settlements
Restructuring and other
Loss on extinguishment of debt
Virgin Atlantic MTM adjustments
Pre-tax income, adjusted
2014
2015
1.1
2.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4.5
Increase
Year-overYear
$4.4 - $4.5
1.4
$5.8 - $5.9
$1.3 - $1.4
Fuel Expense, Adjusted And Average Fuel Price Per Gallon, Adjusted
The tables below show the components of fuel expense, including the impact of the refinery segment and hedging on fuel expense and average price per gallon. We then adjust for MTM adjustments and settlements for the same
reasons described in operating margin, adjusted above. The benefit provided by lower fuel expense to pre-tax income, adjusted (reconciled above) also includes the impact lower fuel expense has on profit sharing.
(in millions)
Fuel purchase cost
Airline segment fuel hedge losses
Refinery segment impact
Total fuel expense
MTM adjustments and settlements
Total fuel expense, adjusted
Year Ended
December 31,
(Projected)
2014
2015
$ 11,350 $ 6,945
2,258
852
(96)
(288)
$ 13,512 $ 7,509
1,373
(2,346)
$ 11,166 $ 8,882
$1.3 - $1.4
$
$
(Projected)
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2015
$1.49 - $1.54
0.18
(0.01)
$1.66 - $1.71
0.16
$1.82 - $1.87
Change
Year-over-Year
2,284
2.3
0.5
1.8
~75%
55
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Non-Fuel Unit Cost or Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM-Ex)
We adjust CASM for restructuring and other for the same reason described in operating margin, adjusted, above and the following items for the reasons described below to determine CASM-Ex:
Aircraft fuel and related taxes. The volatility in fuel prices impacts the comparability of year-over-year non-fuel financial performance. The adjustment for aircraft fuel and related taxes (including our regional carriers) allows
investors to better understand and analyze our non-fuel costs and our year-over-year financial performance.
Profit sharing. We adjust for profit sharing because this adjustment allows investors to better understand and analyze our recurring cost performance and provides a more meaningful comparison of our core operating costs to
the airline industry.
Other expenses. Other expenses include aircraft maintenance and staffing services we provide to third parties, our vacation wholesale operations, and refinery cost of sales to third parties. Because these businesses are not
related to the generation of a seat mile, we adjust for the costs related to these sales to provide a more meaningful comparison of the costs of our airline operations to the rest of the airline industry.
CASM (cents)
Adjusted for:
Aircraft fuel and related taxes
Profit sharing
Restructuring and other
Other expenses
CASM-Ex
Year-over-year change
Year Ended
December 31, 2011
14.12
(5.01)
(0.11)
(0.10)
(0.37)
8.53
Year Ended
December 31, 2012
14.97
(5.31)
(0.16)
(0.20)
(0.38)
8.92
4.6%
CASM (cents)
Adjusted for:
Aircraft fuel and related taxes
Profit sharing
Restructuring and other
Other expenses
CASM-Ex
Year-over-year change
Year Ended
December 31, 2013
14.77
(4.92)
(0.22)
(0.17)
(0.32)
9.14
2.4%
Year Ended
December 31, 2014
15.92
(5.64)
(0.45)
(0.30)
(0.37)
9.16
0.2%
9.61
(Projected)
Year Ended
December 31, 2015
13.88
(3.60)
(0.60)
(0.51)
9.17
~flat
9.77
~1.5%
(Projected)
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2015
13.67
(3.00)
(0.64)
(0.52)
9.51
2.0%
56