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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
INTRODUCTION
Kuantan is the state capital of Pahang, the largest state in Peninsular Malaysia. It is situated
near Kuantan River mouth and facing the South China Sea. If measuring the distance along the
east coast of Peninsular Malaysia, it is located roughly halfway between Singapore and Kota
Bharu. With over 500,000 people Kuantan is the largest city on the Malaysian east coast
(Kuantan 2006).
Kota Bahru
West Malaysia
Pahang
Kuala
Lumpur
Sumatra
Island
Brunei
Kuantan
East Malaysia
Singapore
Borneo
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
businesses. Towards the late 19th century, settlement of Chinese miners and traders saw the
early establishment of township in Kuantan and also nearby tin mines such as Gambang and
Sungai Lembing. Since the shifting of the administrative and commercial centre of Pahang to
Kuantan in 1955, Kuantan is known as a tropical getaway with tourism as one of its major
economic activities. Trade and commerce largely supports the economy of the town with timber
and fishing industries also play vital roles in the local economy. Kuantan is also blessed by a
strong presence of petrochemical industries, located about 25 km to the north of the town
centre. National Physical Plan 2005 has also identified Kuantan as the future growth centre hub
of trades, offices, transportation and tourism in the east coast of Peninsular Malaysia.
Kuantan is connected to Kuala Lumpur via the East Coast Expressway and Federal Highway
Route 2. The East Coast Expressway is not only linking major towns within the state but also
will eventually link Kuantan to other state capitals in the east coast of Peninsular Malaysia. Long
distance travelers however still prefer the old trunk road called Federal Highway Route 2 which
at present provides the essential link to other important east coast towns in the absent of the full
package of the East Coast Expressway. With total length of approximately 176 km within the
State of Pahang, the federal route is easily the most preferred route by both the locals and the
long distance travelers. At national level it provides the link from Kuantan Port to Kuala Lumpur
(the National Capital) and Port Klang (the National Port located about 300 km in the west coast
of Peninsular Malaysia). Figure 2 shows the relative location of the East Coast Expressway and
Federal Highway Route 2 serving Kuantan.
ay
ressw
t Exp
Coas
East Completed
To
Kuala
Lumpur
Kuantan
Interchange
To Major
Town in
The East
Cost
Port of
Kuantan
Gambang
Interchange
2
oute
ay R
ighw
ral H
Fede
Gambang Town
Zone
Kuantan Town
Zone
Figure 2: Relative location of the East Coast Expressway and Federal Route 2
The affected Federal Highway Route 2 that becomes the subject of the study is known as
Kuantan - Gambang Road that link Kuantan Town to Gambang Town and forms the backbone
of Kuantan road network. At present it is an urban arterial of dual 2-lane carriageway similar to
the East Coast Expressway in number of lane but a rank lower in the hierarchy of roads in
Malaysia. With the operation of the main route, the East Coast Expressway, long distance
travellers are supposed to deviate away from using the route. However, there is an unbalanced
consideration for through and local traffic since the road continue to cater as the main trunk
road for through traffic despite its new role to cater for local and generated traffic demand from
new developments along the federal route as shown below.
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
12 km
To/from
Kuantan
&
Terengganu
TUDM
(Air force &
Airport)
Taman Seroku
Pusat Sembelih
MEC Industrial
area 1
Kg Mahkota
Pusat Serenti
University
Malaysia
Pahang
Kg Seri Fajar
Gambang Perdana
6 km
bridge
Toll Expressway
Schools zone
Interchange
Legend:
Dual 2-lane carriageway
Major routes
Minor roads
Ingress and egress
(with u-turns for right turning)
Signalised
Intersection
Jaya Gading
Industrial area
Gambang
Transport
Terminal
Federal Route 2
Signalised
Intersection
To/from
Town
Center
Additional of 150 vehicle per hour is added from the new development to the road
network during the peak hours.
Additional 200 vehicle per hour is added from the new development to the road
network during the off peak hours.
The scale of the residential use of the new development is more than 200 dwelling
units.
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
The scale of the commercial use of the new development is more than 4000 square
meter.
All the four criteria must be tested, and if any of the criteria reaches the trigger level, then a TIA
study shall be required. However, in specific cases TIA shall be required even if the added trip
generation may be lesser than the trigger levels.
The main goal of the current traffic impact assessment approach is to obtain the approval of the
authority on the proposed traffic mitigation and management measures as to counter the impact
of the proposed development to the prevailing transportation system. According to Zulkiple, et.
al. (2005), the step for obtaining the approval commencing with the appointment of the traffic
impact assessment consultant by the developer and ending with the approval of the approving
authority of the traffic impact assessment study proposals. Outcomes of the TIA study are
supposed to be implemented by the developer with the supervision of the authority. The
developer has no problem to comply with any traffic mitigation plans proposed inside the
compound of the development area since this will help in the sale of the proposed development
units. However, the construction of the access road and the intersection with the main road is
normally limited to priority or signalized intersection that is low cost in nature and can sustain
short to moderate term traffic demand. It is very rare that the access road and the intersection
can sustain long term traffic demand since along the way, other developers might just request to
obtain access to the same intersection via the same access road and the service life of the
access road and the intersection become shorter. The problem is exaggerated by passing
through traffic from new development outside the area of influence of the proposed
development which is not accounted for during the TIA study process. As it is happening, the
traffic congestion problem become complex and simple solution such as readjusting the traffic
signal timing and widening of the intersection are not effective anymore. A more costly solution
such as constructing an interchange or constructing additional lane are more effective but is yet
to be the best solution. The best solution would be the implementation of a comprehensive
public transport system that require a long term planning right from the inception of an isolated
development within the town since in the future, the developers are not around and they are
also not liable anymore to contribute in any form for the upgrading of the proposed
infrastructure.
At present, traffic impact assessment procedure in the country is not well established so that the
approach to the study is not uniform among the traffic consultants even though for studies
conducted within the same study area. Often, the study is tailored to suit the development
needs rather than in the first place to ensure the compliance of the proposed development to
the prevailing traffic management and transportation system of the study area as specified in
the transportation master plan.
The lack of a standardized procedure to conduct traffic impact assessment, contributes to the
deterioration of prevailing transportation system and the inefficiency of the transportation master
plan. Moreover, the proposed traffic mitigation measures of certain developments might not be
streamlined with other developments due to lack of systematic coordination by the governing
authority despite its spatial homogeneity such as its relative location. Thus, the final destination
of having transportation system that contribute to energy-cost-time savings and reduction of the
green effect will never be a reality.
Under a working group committee set up by REAM to produce guidelines for traffic safety and
traffic congestion measures, a draft national traffic impact assessment guideline was prepared
as shown in figure 2. The draft guidelines which adopt similar approach as of the prevailing
traffic impact assessment procedures will ensure standard practices by all traffic consultants
which are one of the vital elements for building up transportation system GIS data base
(Zulkiple, et. al. 2004).
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
Assessment of:
Accessibility
Circulation & Parking
Pedestrian & Public Transport
DEVELOPMENT OF AN
ASSESSMENT MODEL
INTERACTIVE
TRAFFIC
IMPACT
General approach to develop the proposed model is outlined in figure 5. Essentially, having a
regional traffic model in possession will be a great advantage to the assessor of the TIA of a site
development. Therefore, the first step required in standardizing the traffic impact study
approach is to develop a regional traffic model that contains the required elements for validation
purposes such as permanent traffic census station and well updated socio-economic
parameters. Operational parameters of the traffic model such as congestion level, road density
and travel speed are other elements to be monitored and updated depending on the scope and
needs of the study. If possible generalized elements such as network total time saving and total
distance travel should be included to the list of the validation parameters.
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
Regional traffic
model/data base
TIA of proposed
development site
by standardized
procedure
Prepare and review study plan to suit budget and the condition of the study area.
Compile all submitted TIA reports for all committed developments and categorized them
into new, on-going and completed developments. Take note for projects developed in
phases. There is also the possibility that too much data is collected. These are both
waste of resources and hindrance to an understanding of the problem. The data
collected from an adequate survey suppose to contain a lot of information regarding
travel behavior. Analyses of these data are very useful for designing the existing
facilities such as traffic system management or arrangements of public transport
system. Besides, it provides an understanding of the relationship between travel
behavior and the environment so that the relationships can be established and
synthesized quantitatively using modeling techniques.
2.
Locate the site of the proposed development on the regional road network and
determine the accessibility of the development to the trunk road. Manual trip forecasting
is limited to development with single access. Developments with multiple accesses
have to make use of one of the macroscopic traffic models. The zoning and coding
system however must be consistent to that of the regional traffic model (the microscopic
model). The latest regional traffic model available for the study area is provided by the
2nd Highway Network Development Plan Study for Malaysia by Highway Planning Unit
Ministry of Works Malaysia (HNDP, 2005).
3.
For the completed development projects, devise a procedure on how to determine the
overall occupancy rate and generated trips as compared to those of the TIA reports.
This is the main aspect to be resolved because it is the cause of inconsistency for the
assumptions of the generated traffic from the particular developments. Trip generation
can be considered as a decision to make a journey. It examines the relationship
between the number of trips made and certain quantifiable parameters such as trip
purpose, household income, vehicle-ownership and land use. Published trip generation
rates for all types of land use are updated bi-annually by Highway Planning Unit,
Ministry of Works Malaysia (Trip Generation Manual, 2005).
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
5.
The next stage in TIA is trip distribution-trip assignment-modal split exercises which can
be undertaken manually for a simple two way split that is for distributing trips to two
directions. If there are more that two directions, the trip distribution-trip assignmentmodal split exercise have to be undertaken through systematic (computerised)
modelling techniques such as applying one of those macroscopic or microscopic
software depending on the scope of the study. As a completed transport model has
been assembled, data consistency checks should be followed. Actual traffic counts at
certain location are checked with the volumes from the synthetic model. If there is
discrepancy, the mathematical relationship formed earlier has to be adjusted and this
process is so call calibration. Then, finally the model can be used to forecast future
travel demands. In order to forecast the future travel demands, it is necessary to obtain
as much information affecting travel behaviour as possible such as population,
employment and income distribution. A transport model that satisfactory explains the
present use of the existing transportation system is mandatory guide for future planning
any other transportation system. Forecasting normally involves prediction of the future
demand for travel, the future availability of transport and use of the available transport.
When conducting TIA for certain development, identify and list all affected junctions
(existing and new) on the trunk roads. Compare and code them as per regional road
network nodes and links ID. The new nodes and links created in the local traffic model
can be streamlined with those of the regional traffic model. This procedure will help to
reduce nodes and links redundancies while adding new one and of deleting the less
important one to and from the regional traffic model.
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
Figure 7: Include all affected nodes and links in the regional traffic model
For every node and link, traffic data and travel pattern characteristics should be
obtained from the updated regional traffic volume database. This should include also all
necessary traffic safety aspects which can be based on the grouping of the regional
road accident data base. Information on the major cause of accidents and the proposed
mitigation measures should also be specified by area-wide or route wise basis. The
compilation of traffic accident data in GIS system that is presently limited to the federal
road can now be expanded to the state and local road network. Published traffic volume
counting data at strategic census stations along federal and major state and town
routes are updated annually by Highway Planning Unit, Ministry of Works Malaysia
(Traffic Volume Malaysia, 2005).
Legend
tC
Eas
l Route
Federa
Ex
oast
sw
pres
N
By ew
pa
ss
6.
ay
New
Interchange
State
R
Jalan oad C4
Sunga
i Lem
bing
Polisas
tan e
an ng
Ku c ha
r
e
t
In
Telok
Cempedak
Airport
tre
TUDM
ute 2
To
Federal Ro
3
te
ou
Route 12
lR
ra
de
Fe
Federal
KL, Maran
& North West
of Pahang
3)
(F R
UIAM
wn
bang
Gam ange
terch
In
y
wa
t Express
East Coas
UMP
ass
Byp
Ce
n
Sg. Lembing
Port
Federal Route 2
Note:
Strategic traffic survey stations are located along
Federal Route and major State Road
Kuala
Pahang
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
7.
After the completion of traffic forecasting process, the results need to be evaluated.
Firstly, the computation process and output must be reconfirmed. It is mainly numerical
evaluation to ensure that the model is mathematically correct. Following that, the
apparent accuracy of the forecasts should be examined. Other than evaluation of the
model itself, operational and economic evaluations also need to be carried out. The
purpose of operational evaluation is to check whether a new proposed system or
network is able to satisfy the forecast travel patterns whereas, economic evaluation is to
study the cost-benefit so that to choose the best network proposal which falls within a
given budget constraint, but with maximum benefit to the community by minimizing the
cost of travel. This can be done by using traffic analysis software such as HCS, SIDRA
or other equivalent procedures. The prevailing Level of Service (LoS) can be set as the
benchmarks to determine the severity of future developments to the existing road
network system.
23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
The relevant data and results of the TIA study should be updated into the custodian GIS
portal. From time to time, the custodian should transfer the latest version of the regional
traffic model into the main portal for website application. With the Local Authority
functioning as the custodian of the GIS system, all new developments can be imposed
to be subjected to the proposed TIA procedures.
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
Figure 13: Relationship between land use and transportation activities (Source:
Rosenbaum and Koenig 1997)
The modelling strategy for this study was based upon empirically solving these two separate but
interrelated land use dynamics g() and transport dynamic f() functions sequentially as shown
in figure 14.
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
2.
Percentage of occupied area for roads within a grid cell (the road density).
Distance from the centre of grid cell to the nearest major highways or arterial
roads.
In preparing the above datasets, a number of analytical functions including map overlay,
distance measurement and attribute data manipulation are applied to extract the
required information using the GIS.
3.
Land use
Road network
1 km x 1 km grid map
To complement the map as the basic source document to extract the land uses, aerial
photographs and remote sensing images are also used. The processing procedures for
these image data are mainly the coordinate transformation and image interpretation.
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
4.
Feature clipping
Since UrbanSim requires the entry of the parameters to be made according to grid cell
location, all features contained in a particular map layer have to be clipped in a 1 km x 1
km square. This layer is used to clip whatever feature, from which statistical information
related to that features within any particular grid cell boundary can be extracted (e.g. the
total length of a road network and the percentage of households).
5.
6.
7.
8.
Model calibration
The predicted road density for a base year is compared to the actual road development
density for the same year as to determine the prediction error in term of the mean errors
followed by the t-test.
9.
The major outcome of the study as expected is the establishment of a road development
density model in relation to the variation of land uses as follows:
Road development density = 1.721E-5*P5 + 8.555E-7*P8 + 3.788E-3*H3
ARRB Group Ltd and Authors 2008
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
where:
P5 = Commercial area
P8 = Industrial area
H3 = Average household income
Figure 15 shows the actual and modelled road development density for Kuantan in the year
2000 which gives an error of 5.06 when compared. Figure 16 shows the predicted road
development density for Kuantan in year 2010 using the simulated land use changes given by
UrbanSim model.
(a) Actual
(b) Modelled
Figure 15: Actual and modelled road development density of Kuantan in year 2000
(Source: Mohamad and Muhammad 2006)
Figure 16: Predicted road development density of Kuantan in year 2010 (Source:
Mohamad and Muhammad 2006)
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23rd ARRB Conference Research Partnering with Practitioners, Adelaide Australia, 2008
is a need to conduct a new site traffic impact assessment study, the GIS-T database can be
referred for gathering prevailing traffic and land use data of the study area. The TIA can then be
carried out and the process to store and update the GIS-T database will be continuous as 2-way
system. Having the GIS-T database will also serve the need of the approving authorities in their
day-to-day planning needs and as a decision-support mechanism for verification purposes.
Hence, the approach in the development of the GIS-T model will be needs driven rather than
adopting a pre-conceived plan. In addressing this factor, a key issue, data standardization
needs particular attention from both the consultants and the approving authorities. This is to
ensure that the common database is truly a compilation of common data that is usable by every
party involved. Technology transfer or training, which once was critical issues of GIS
implementation in governmental departments in the early 90s, will be tackled by developing a
user-friendly procedure for traffic impact studies.
REFERENCES
Abdullah, MR 2004, Current status of GIS implementation in JKR, 1st national GIS conference
and exhibition 2004, PWTC, Kuala Lumpur.
Highway Planning Unit 2005, Trip Generation Study Report, Public Works Department, Ministry
of Works Malaysia.
Kuantan
2006,
Goggle
Search,
http://www.malaysiasite.nl/kuantaneng.htm.
viewed
30
October
2007,
Mohamad NS & Muhammad ZS 2006, GIS as a supporting tool in the Establishment of land use
road
density
model,
GISdevelopment.net,
viewed
6
August
2007,
http://www.gisdevelopment.net/application/urban/agglomeration/mm026pf.htm.
REAM 2005, Draft Manual of REAM Traffic Impact Assessment (TIA) Guidelines. Road
Engineering Association Malaysia. (Not published).
Rosenbaum, AS and Koenig, BE 1997, Evaluation of Modelling Tools for Assessing Land Use
Policies and Strategies, Report EPA420-R-97-007, Ann Arbour, MI: Office of Mobile Sources,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
UrbanSim 2006, University of Washington, Seattle, USA, viewed 7 August 2007,
http://cuspa.washington.edu/people/.
Zulkiple, A, OK Rahmat, RAA & Ismail, A 2004, Developing interactive traffic model with GIS
capabilities, 3rd national technical post graduate symposium (Techpos04), Universiti Malaya,
Malaysia, 5pp.
Zulkiple, A, OK Rahmat, RAA & Ismail, A 2005, National traffic impact assessment (TIA)
guidelines for Malaysia a step forward for sustainable development, 23rd conference of
ASEAN Federation of Engineering Organizations (CAFEO 23), 9pp.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
My sincere appreciation to Department of Education, Science and Training (DEST) of the
Australian Government for sponsoring my Endeavour Malaysia Research Fellowship
attachment at University of South Australia. My special thanks to Professor MAP Taylor and
colleagues at Transport System Centre, UniSA for making my stay in Adelaide a memorable
one.
AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES
Adnan Zulkiple is an associate professor at Universiti Malaysia Pahang and the current
chairman of Highway and Transportation Engineering Technical Division of Institution of
Engineers Malaysia.
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