Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Assignment 2
School of Management
Professor Dr. Igor Gvozdanovic
Assignment 2
Assignment 2
Table of Contents
Abstract............................................................................................................................................4
What is the essence of preliminary risk assessment in project finance?.........................................5
Feasibility studies.........................................................................................................................5
Due diligence...............................................................................................................................6
What are the typical project risks at start-up and how can these risks be mitigated?......................8
Engineering and construction risks..............................................................................................9
Start-up risks..............................................................................................................................10
Operational risks........................................................................................................................11
Why is it important to understand the financial and political risks surrounding a project?..........11
Financial risks............................................................................................................................11
Political risks..............................................................................................................................12
Is negative pledge adequate to protect a lenders position? If not what else should be considered?
.......................................................................................................................................................15
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................16
References......................................................................................................................................17
Assignment 2
Abstract
The assignment examines the essence of preliminary risk assessment in
project finance; identifies the typical project risk at start-up and strategies
for its mitigation, analysis financial and political risks surrounding a project
and explains if is negative pledge adequate to protect a lenders position? If
not what else should be considered?
The main purpose of conducting a preliminary risk assessment is to identify
and allocate risk among the players of project and describe the project
feasibility.
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Feasibility studies
Feasibility studies describes the project, the goals of the project sponsor,
sensitivities of the project to various construction, start-up and operating
risks, an analysis of financing alternatives and credit enhancement playing a
particular attention to capital needs, debt service capabilities, revenue
projections from output sales, operating costs, market projections, and
macroeconomics variables such as interest rates, currency exchange rates
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and others. The feasibility study is useful in that it can be analysed by
various legal, financial and technical experts to establish the viability of the
project. (Fight, 2006).
Due diligence
Due
diligence
in
project
financing
encompasses
legal,
technical,
budget?
Environmental risks: does the project face any environmental
events?
Contract mismatch: do the Project Contracts fit together properly?
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(Fight, 2006)
explains that the view of risk moreover is subjective and based not only on
economic factors but on characteristics relating to the financial condition of
the participant so that a particular risk, event or condition that is
unacceptable to one party may be considered manageable and routine by
another. (Fight, 2006) concludes by writing that the identification of risks
and knowledge of the participants is therefore essential if a project financing
is to be assembled successfully (p. 45) .
Assignment 2
Assignment 2
While for (Yescombe, 2002) project finance risks are grouped into three main
categories:
The assignment takes on the classification of (Fight, 2006) and exposes the
three main risk phases in a project financing, namely, (i) engineering and
construction, (ii) start-up and (iii) operational
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road) to several years (for example, the construction of the Channel Tunnel).
The lenders become more exposed as funds are drawn down but cash flows
have yet to be generated. Risks associated with the project during the
construction phase include; sponsor risk, pre-completion risk, siting and
permitting, completion risks, experience and resources of contractor,
building materials, facility site, construction of related facilities, cost
overruns, completion delays (Fight, 2006)
Start-up risks
According to (Gatti, 2008) a start-up phase refers to the point when the
testing phase begins, followed by operations once the plant construction is
complete.
In this phase commercial risks such as operating risks pop up
particularly when the banks need to be satisfied that the project will operate
at the costs and according to the specifications agreed at the outset given
that they are providing non-recourse funding (Fight, 2006). According to
(Gatti, 2008) operating risks can be mitigated by entering in to put or pay
agreements, O&M agreements and Offtake agreements (whenever possible).
There are concerns voiced over the construction risk namely the duration
of the start-up phase and the evaluation of the facilitys acceptance
testing and start-up procedures (Fight, 2006). (Gatti, 2008) states that
construction risk is rarely allotted to the SPV or its lenders. As a result, it is
the contractor or even the sponsors themselves who must assume this risk.
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Another source of start-up risks emanates from a potential conflict of
interest in sense that risk arises from the need to start commercial
operations versus the need to get the project to pass its long term reliability
test (Fight, 2006). The start-up risk arising from potential conflict of
interest can be mitigated by requiring that the engineer who engineer
witnesses, verifies and signs off on all testing before releasing the contractor
be fully (Fight, 2006). They will also be financial pressures and bribery
pressure, which often occur near the end of the construction phase, to get
the job done
Operational risks
(United Nations Capital Development Fund, 2014) argues that operational
risks should address the issues like
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place and (iii) requesting a Maintenance Reserve Account (MRA) (United
Nations Capital Development Fund, 2014).
floating interest rate and fixed interest rate over debt service project
capacity. The project financial advisers should be able to produce resilient
cash flow projections in case of inputs price raise otherwise the income will
be eroded by inflation. The project should foresee an appropriate working
capital to avoid liquidity risk and ensure that sales will generate enough
funds for long term commitments. Therefore, with these risks in mind, the
project financial advisers should look at the possibility of using appropriate
hedging instruments such as a) futures contracts (interest rate futures can
be used to protect against funding costs and currency future to protect
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against foreign exchange rate fluctuations) (Fight, 2006), b) Forward
contract on foreign exchange for hedging existing or anticipated currency
exposures (Fight, 2006), c) Options for protecting the price of the underlying
asset (Fight, 2006), and d) currency swaps,
Political risks
(Fight, 2006, p. 58) defines country risk as the exposure to a loss in crossborder lending due to events more or less under the control of the
government and gives the following typical examples of political risk:
permit;
imposition of increased taxes and tariffs;
withdrawal of valuable tax holidays and/or concessions;
imposition of exchange controls, restricting the transfer of funds to
permits.
Tariffs, quotas or prohibitions might be imposed on exports of the
projects production.
The host government might introduce controls to restrict the rate of
production or depletion of the projects reserves.
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exempt
from
customs
duties,
streamlined
bureaucratic
processes, service provision for the SPV, concessions for the use of public
lands, or provisions for accepting international arbitration outside the host
country to resolve legal disputes)
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The second way to cover against political risks is through the insurance
market. Insurance policies are available offering total or partial coverage
against political risks. These policies are offered by multilateral development
banks and export credit agencies as well as by private insurance companies
(Gatti, 2008)
(Fight, 2006) asserts that it is impossible to mitigate all risks pertaining to a
specific project. One way to avoid entering into potentially high risk lending
situations, reducing political risk, is to lend through, or in conjunction with,
multilateral agencies such as the World Bank, the
government
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Conclusion
The assignment found out that during preliminary risk assessment a) due
diligence in project financing is an important process for risk identification and
allocation, and b) feasibility study is a useful mechanism for setting forth a
description of the project, the goals of the project sponsor, sensitivities of the
project to various construction, start-up and operating risks, an analysis of
financing alternatives and credit enhancement (Fight, 2006).
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Assignment 2
References
Banal-Estaol, A. (n.d.). Project Finance. Retrieved June 30, 2016, from
http://albertbanalestanol.com/wp-content/uploads/cfmsc-chapter-8.pdf
Bjerre, C. S. (1999). Secured Transactions Inside Out: Negative Pledge Covenants Property and
Perfection. Cornell Law Review, 84(2), 305-393.
Fight, A. (2006). Introduction to Project Finance. Great Britain: Elsevier.
Gatti, S. (2008). Project Finance in Theory and Practice Designing, Structuring, and Financing
Private and Public Projects. London: Elsevier Inc.
McPherson, S. L. (2012). Advanced Project Finance Modeling. Africagrowth Institute.
Merna, A., Chu, Y., & Al-Thani, F. F. (2012). Project Finance in Construction A Structured
Guide to Assessment. New Delhi: Blackwell Publishing.
United Nations Capital Development Fund. (2014, October). PROJECT FINANCE. Retrieved
July 15, 2016, from UNCDF:
http://www.uncdf.org/sites/default/files/Documents/uncdf_lfi_project_workshop21.10.2014daressalaam.pdf
Yescombe, E. R. (2002). Principles of Project Finance. Amsterdam: Academic Press.
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