Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
N=1200 National Likely 2016 Voters (850 LAND LINE / 350 CELL) / (N=400
Battleground) / (N=800 Iowa Democratic Caucus-Goers)
Respondent Code
ii
Date (mm/dd/yy)
iii
Phone Number
iiv
iiiv
READ: Hello, my name is _______________ calling on behalf of ________ Research. We are conducting an
opinion poll on national issues and this number was selected at random. I assure you that your opinions are
completely confidential and this is not a sales call.
A
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
Know ..........................
[VOL] Don't
TERMINATE
Do you primarily
make and receive calls on your cell phone, on your landline phone, or would you say you make and
receive calls on both about equally?
TERMINATE
Both equally..................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
Page:1
Are you at least 18 years of age and registered to vote in [STATE FROM
SAMPLE]?
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
Q1
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND] In
November two thousand twelve there was an election for President of the
United States. Did you vote in the election for President of the United States?
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
Q2
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND] Regardless
Weak Democrat..........................................................................................................
Independent ...............................................................................................................
.................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
Q3
Which of the following statements would you say best describes you? [ROTATE]
You almost always vote for Democratic candidates..................................................
You vote for Democrats more often than you vote for Republicans ..........................
You vote for Republicans more often than you vote for Democrats .........................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] You
[VOL] Don't
Page:2
Q4
In November two thousand sixteen, there will be an election for the next
President of the United States. How likely will you be to vote in that election?
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND]
Almost certain...............................
Probably vote................................
50-50.............................................
Know ..........................
[VOL] Don't
at 54
Q5
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
at 55
Q6
No .................................................
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[IOWA CAUCUS] [IF CELL PHONE SAMPLE AND OWN LANDLINE TELEPHONE]
TERMINATE
Both equally..................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
Page:3
Yes.................................................
[VOL] Don't
at 56
Q7
at 57
Q8
Are you at least 18 years of age and registered to vote in [STATE FROM
SAMPLE]?
Yes.................................................
No .................................................
TERMINATE
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
[VOL] Don't
at 58
Q9
Iowa holds its Presidential caucuses [KAW-kus-siss], do you usually caucus [KAWkus] with the Democrats, the Republicans, or do you usually wait until the general election to vote?
Democratic caucus .......................
Republican caucus........................
TERMINATE
TERMINATE
Depends ...............................
Know ..........................
[VOL]
[VOL] Don't
at 59
Q10
[IOWA CAUCUS] Next year there will be Democratic presidential caucuses in Iowa. How likely are
you to vote in the Democratic presidential caucus -- almost certain, probably, are the chances 50, 50,
or will you not vote?
Almost certain...............................
Probably .......................................
50-50.............................................
[VOL] Don't
Page:4
Know ..........................
TERMINATE
TERMINATE IF THEY HAVE 0-1 CAUCUS
HISTORY
Q11
I'm going to read you the names of several people. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a
very favorable view, somewhat favorable view, somewhat unfavorable view, or very unfavorable
view of them. If you haven't heard of them or are unfamiliar with them, just tell me that.
[RANDOMIZE; ALWAYS OBAMA FIRST / BILL CLINTON LAST]
Very Fav
S'What
Unfav
S'What Fav
[VOL]
Recognize,
can't rate
Very Unfav
[VOL] Don't
Recognize
Q11a
Barack Obama
Q11b
Hillary Clinton
Q11c
[NATIONWIDE/
BGROUND] Scott Walker
Q11d
[NATIONWIDE/
BGROUND] Jeb Bush
Q11e
Elizabeth Warren
Q11f
Bill Clinton
Q12
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND] If
Q13
Q14
the election for President was held today and the candidates were [ROTATE]
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote?
Democrat Hillary Clinton .........................................................................................
[VOL]
Other.................................................................................................................
[VOL]
Undecided.........................................................................................................
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND] If
the election for President was held today and the candidates were [ROTATE]
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
Democrat Hillary Clinton .........................................................................................
[VOL]
Other.................................................................................................................
[VOL]
Undecided.........................................................................................................
Would you say you are definitely voting for [CHOICE] or could you still change your mind?
Definitely voting for...................................................................................................
Undecided.........................................................................................................
[VOL]
Page:5
at (67 to 68)
Q15
[IA CAUCUS] If next year's Democratic Presidential caucus were held today and the candidates
were [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Jim Webb, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie
Sanders, for whom would you vote?
Even though you say you are [undecided / wouldn't vote] -- which
candidate do you lean towards at this time?
Page:6
01
02
03
Lean Biden.................................................................................................................
04
Jim Webb....................................................................................................................
05
06
07
08
09
10
Bernie Sanders...........................................................................................................
11
12
[VOL]
13
[VOL]
14
at (69 to 70)
Q16
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
[ROTATE Q17/18]
at 71
Q17
Do you strongly approve of the job Hillary Clinton did as Secretary of State, somewhat approve,
somewhat disapprove or do you strongly disapprove of the job she did?
Strongly approve........................................................................................................
Somewhat approve.....................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Page:7
at 72
Q18
Do you strongly approve of the job the Republicans in Congress are doing, somewhat approve,
somewhat disapprove or do you strongly disapprove of the job the Republicans in Congress are
doing?
Strongly approve........................................................................................................
Somewhat approve.....................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Q19
Regardless of your overall opinion of Hillary Clinton, what bothers or concerns you most about her?
[OPEN ENDED; PROBE FOR SPECIFICS]
Q20
Now I'm going to read you some of the qualities someone could use to describe a president. For each
of the qualities that I read, please tell me how well it describes Hillary Clinton on a 1 to 7 scale,
where 7 means it describes Hillary Clinton extremely well and 1 means that it does not describe
Hillary Clinton at all. You may use any number from 1 to 7. [RANDOMIZE}
[vol]
Don't
Know
Q20a
Q20b
Is a strong leader
Q20c
Q20d
Q20e
Is ethical
Q20f
Q20g
Q20h
Page:8
Q20i
Q20j
at 237
Q21
Next I'm going to read you a few criticisms of President Obama. Regardless of your overall opinion
of President Obama, please tell me which one bothers or concerns you most? [ROTATE; IF ALL / NONE,
ASK:] Well, if you had to choose one which would it be?
President Obama's agenda of big government and big spending drove up the
national debt to thirteen trillion dollars....................................................................
President Obamas job killing policies and regulations have held back our
economic recovery and hurt working families...........................................................
President Obama weakened America's standing around the world with his
indecisive and failed foreign policy...........................................................................
[VOL] All......................................................................................................................
[VOL] None..................................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
at 238
Q22
Next I'd like to ask you about the terrorist attack that killed U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens in
Benghazi, Libya.
Which of the following is closer to your view? [ROTATE]
Criticisms of Hillary Clinton's role in Benghazi are mostly fair and have merit in
the facts......................................................................................................................
Criticisms of Hillary Clinton's role in Benghazi are mostly political attacks
without merit in the facts ...........................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Page:9
Know .......................................................................................................
1
2
3
at 239
Q23
Next, I'm going to read you a list of things critics might say about Hillary Clinton. For each item,
please tell me whether it makes you much less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, somewhat less
likely to vote for her, a little less likely, or if it makes no difference in how you would vote. Here's
the first one:. [RANDOMIZE; AFTER EACH RESPONSE, ASK:]
And how believable did you find that argument -- very believable, somewhat believable, not too
believable, or not believable at all?
Much less
likely
[OUT OF TOUCH] Hillary Clinton
Swht less
likely
Q23a
at 240
Q23b
says she
fights for working people but has been a
defender and benefactor of Wall Street her
entire career. She supported taxpayer funded
bailouts for Wall Street and didnt support
holding them accountable afterwards. The
Clintons have taken over thirty five million
dollars from Wall Street in paid speaking
fees and contributions to the Clinton
Foundation and she defended Wall Street
and said quotebanker bashing was foolish
and had to stop" unquote.
at 241
Q23c
Page:10
at 242
Q23d
Clinton
Foundation is one of the worst managed
charities in the country, wasting money on
high salaries, gala parties, and luxury travel
while delivering few results. The Clinton
foundation spent over fifty million dollars
on luxury travel - more than ten percent of
their total budget. And while Clinton and so
-called donors announce major pledges so
they can get press, the foundation never
collects on sixty percent of commitments
and very little money gets to needed
programs.
at 243
Q23e
Page:11
failed
leadership as Secretary of State was
responsible for the loss of American lives in
the terrorist attack on the U.S. diplomatic
compound in Benghazi, Libya. Clinton
admits she saw reports about serious threats
in Benghazi, but claims she never knew that
the Ambassador repeatedly asked for more
security before he was killed. The regional
security officer for Libya disputed Clintons
claims in congressional hearings, and
Clinton's response was quote "what
difference does it make?" unquote
at 245
Q23g
Page:12
at 248
Q23j
[MISMANAGEMENT] An
internal State
Department investigation found major fiscal
mismanagement under Hillary Clinton. The
Inspector General said there was a, quote,
lack of internal control, unquote, and found
that Clinton's State Department couldn't
properly account for over six billion dollars
in spending. Hillary Clinton's State
Department gave out six hundred forty
million dollars in contracts without proper
review and gave tens of millions on
contracts for her campaign contributors
at 249
Q23k
portrays
herself as a champion of working women,
but Clinton only paid women in her own
Senate office seventy two cents on the
dollar compared to men. Women in
Clintons office made fifteen thousand
dollars a year less than men. And at the Bill
and Hillary Clinton Foundation, men on the
senior staff get paid an average of over a
hundred thousand dollars a year more than
women on the senior staff
at 250
Q23l
Page:13
at 251
Q23m
Next, I am going to read you a list of positions Hillary Clinton has taken, and things she has done.
For each one, please tell me whether it makes you more likely or less likely to vote for Hillary
Clinton. Here is the first one Hillary Clinton... [READ; RANDOMIZE; IF MORE/LESS, ASK:] Much
[MORE/LESS] likely, or somewhat?
Much more
likely
Q24a
Page:14
[SPLIT A] Supports
Obamacare
Somewhat
more likely
1
Somewhat less
likely
2
Much less
likely
3
[VOL] Don't
Know
4
Q24b
[SPLIT B] Supported
Obama's
seven hundred billion dollar
stimulus program
Q24c
[SPLIT A] Voted
Iraq
Q24d
[SPLIT B] Supported
new wars
[SPLIT A] Didn't
Q24f
[SPLIT B] Didn't
recognize
major terrorist threats until it
was too late when she was
Secretary of State, like ISIS in
Iraq and Boko Haram in
Nigeria.
Q24g
[SPLIT A] Says
she supports
equal pay for women, but in
her own Senate office only
paid women seventy two cents
on the dollar compared to men
Q24h
[SPLIT B] Says
Q24i
[SPLIT A] Started
a charitable
foundation that doesn't collect
on sixty percent of its pledges
Q24j
[SPLIT B] Supports
Barack
Obama's policy of amnesty for
illegal immigrants
Q24k
[SPLIT A] Wasn't
Page:15
able to account
for six billion dollars in
taxpayer money when she was
Secretary of State
Q24l
[SPLIT B] Billed
taxpayers for
first class travel, including a
fifteen thousand dollar hotel
upgrade for a three bedroom
suite in Hawaii
Q24m
[SPLIT A] Used
her position as
Secretary of State to reward
companies like Boeing that
gave to the Clinton Foundation
with foreign contracts
Q24n
[SPLIT B] Gave
taxpayer funded
no bid contracts to her
campaign contributors when
she was Secretary of State
Q24o
[SPLIT A] Charges
state
universities two hundred
thousand dollars per speech
Q24p
[SPLIT B] Supported
NAFTA
and now supports new free
trade agreements with Asia
Q24q
[SPLIT A] Took
thirty million
dollars for the Clinton
Foundation from Middle
Eastern governments that have
been linked to terrorism
Q24r
[SPLIT B] has
Q24s
[SPLIT A] Supported
the
taxpayer funded bailouts for
Wall Street
Q24t
[SPLIT B] Has
Page:16
Q24u
[SPLIT A] Allowed
Iran's nuclear
program to triple its uranium
enrichment while she was
Secretary of State
Q24v
[SPLIT B] Offered
major
concessions to Vladimir Putin
in Eastern Europe before he
invaded Ukraine
Q24w
[SPLIT A] Has
a thirty year
history of ethics and corruption
investigations like Whitewater
and Travelgate
Q24x
[SPLIT B] Was
caught
exaggerating her story about
landing under sniper fire in
Bosnia
Q24y
to
stand up against the Keystone
XL pipeline
Q24z
to end
ethanol subsidies that support
sixty two thousand Iowa jobs
Q24aa
What bothered you the most in what you just heard about Hillary Clinton? [OPEN-ENDED; PROBE FOR
SPECIFICS]
Page:17
at 381
Q26
And after hearing this, would you say your view of Hillary Clinton is very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable?
Very favorable............................................................................................................
Very unfavorable........................................................................................................
[VOL]
at 382
Q27
Do you strongly approve of the job Hillary Clinton did as Secretary of State, somewhat approve,
somewhat disapprove or do you strongly disapprove of the job she did?
Strongly approve........................................................................................................
Somewhat approve.....................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Q28
Next I'm going to read you some of the qualities someone could use to describe a president. For each
of the qualities that I read, please tell me how well it describes Hillary Clinton on a 1 to 7 scale,
where 7 means it describes Hillary Clinton extremely well and 1 means that it does not describe
Hillary Clinton at all. You may use any number from 1 to 7. [RANDOMIZE}
[vol]
Don't
Know
Q28a
Q28b
Is a strong leader
Q28c
Q28d
Q28e
Is ethical
Q28f
Page:18
Q28g
Q28h
Q28i
Q28j
Q29
[NATIONWIDE/BGROUND] And
[ROTATE] Democrat
if the election for President was held today and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott Walker for whom would you vote?
[VOL]
Other.................................................................................................................
[VOL]
Undecided.........................................................................................................
Q31
Page:19
Female .......................................................................................................................
Q32
Q33
Q34
What is the last grade or level of school you have completed? [Only read list if necessary]
Less than High School degree ...................................................................................
01
02
Some college..............................................................................................................
03
04
05
06
Master's degree..........................................................................................................
07
08
PhD/ MD ...................................................................................................................
09
10
Do you have children age 18 or under living with you at home? [CODE PART TIME CHILDREN
AS "YES"]
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Are you married, single but living with a partner, separated, divorced, widowed, or have you never
been married?
Married......................................................................................................................
Widowed ....................................................................................................................
[VOL]
Q35
No ..............................................................................................................................
[VOL]
Page:20
Q36
Moderate....................................................................................................................
Very conservative.......................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
at 399
Q37
[IA CAUCUS] In the 2008 Presidential Caucus, did you caucus for [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton, Barack
Obama, or John Edwards?
Hillary Clinton ..........................................................................................................
Barack Obama...........................................................................................................
[VOL]
[VOL]
at (400 to 401)
Q38
Switching gears
slightly, which of the following sources do you use to get news? Please list all that
Page:21
01
Cable TV....................................................................................................................
02
03
Newspapers in print...................................................................................................
04
05
06
Internet news sites like Yahoo News and Google News ............................................
07
Radio .........................................................................................................................
08
[VOL]
Other.................................................................................................................
09
[VOL]
Don't Know.......................................................................................................
10
at 402
Q39
And when you watch news on television, which network are you most likely to watch?
[OPEN-ENDED; CODE RESPONSES; ONE RESPONSE ONLY]
NBC ...........................................................................................................................
ABC ...........................................................................................................................
CBS ............................................................................................................................
MSNBC ......................................................................................................................
Al Jazeera ..................................................................................................................
Don't Know.......................................................................................................
[VOL]
at 403
Q40
And just to make sure we have a representative sample, which of the following best describes your
ethnic heritage or background? [Read list if necessary]
Non-Hispanic White or Caucasian ..........................................................................
at 404
Q41
Page:22
No ..............................................................................................................................
Q42
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Q43
Both equally...............................................................................................................
Know .......................................................................................................
[VOL] Don't
Q44
Q45
Q46
Q47
Page:23
Eastern.......................................................................................................................
Southern.....................................................................................................................
Western ......................................................................................................................
Black ..........................................................................................................................
Hispanic.....................................................................................................................
Asian ..........................................................................................................................
Other..........................................................................................................................
Urban ........................................................................................................................
Suburban ...................................................................................................................
Sample Type
Landline.....................................................................................................................
Cell ............................................................................................................................
Q48
Q49
Q50
Q51
Q52
Page:24
Q14-17 Rotation
Q14-15 read first .......................................................................................................
Sample Type I
Nationwide - Non-Battleground states ......................................................................
Iowa Oversample.......................................................................................................
Battleground (400N)..................................................................................................
Iowa (800N)...............................................................................................................
B.................................................................................................................................
Rep.............................................................................................................................
Ind..............................................................................................................................
Other..........................................................................................................................
Unknown....................................................................................................................
Q53
Q54
Q55
Q56
Q57
Page:25
01
DAVENPORT ............................................................................................................
02
03
OMAHA .....................................................................................................................
04
OTTUMWA ................................................................................................................
05
QUINCY ....................................................................................................................
06
ROCHESTER.............................................................................................................
07
08
SIOUX FALLS............................................................................................................
09
10
11
2 .................................................................................................................................
3 .................................................................................................................................
4 .................................................................................................................................
Voted 2014 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Voted 2012 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Voted 2010 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Q58
Q59
Q60
Page:26
Voted 2008 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Voted 2006 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Voted 2004 GE
Yes..............................................................................................................................
No ..............................................................................................................................
Q61
Page:27
01
AK ..............................................................................................................................
02
AZ ..............................................................................................................................
03
AR ..............................................................................................................................
04
CA ..............................................................................................................................
05
CO .............................................................................................................................
06
CT ..............................................................................................................................
07
DE..............................................................................................................................
08
District of Columbia..................................................................................................
09
FL ..............................................................................................................................
10
GA..............................................................................................................................
11
HI...............................................................................................................................
12
ID...............................................................................................................................
13
IL ...............................................................................................................................
14
IN ...............................................................................................................................
15
IA ...............................................................................................................................
16
KS ..............................................................................................................................
17
KY ..............................................................................................................................
18
LA ..............................................................................................................................
19
ME .............................................................................................................................
20
MD.............................................................................................................................
21
MA .............................................................................................................................
22
MI ..............................................................................................................................
23
MN .............................................................................................................................
24
MS..............................................................................................................................
25
MO.............................................................................................................................
26
MT .............................................................................................................................
27
NE ..............................................................................................................................
28
NV ..............................................................................................................................
29
NH .............................................................................................................................
30
NJ...............................................................................................................................
31
NM .............................................................................................................................
32
NY ..............................................................................................................................
33
NC..............................................................................................................................
34
N.D. ...........................................................................................................................
35
Q61
36
OK .............................................................................................................................
37
OR..............................................................................................................................
38
PA...............................................................................................................................
39
RI ...............................................................................................................................
40
SC ..............................................................................................................................
41
SD ..............................................................................................................................
42
TN ..............................................................................................................................
43
TX ..............................................................................................................................
44
UT ..............................................................................................................................
45
VT ..............................................................................................................................
46
VA ..............................................................................................................................
47
WA..............................................................................................................................
48
WV .............................................................................................................................
49
WI ..............................................................................................................................
50
WY..............................................................................................................................
51
Page:28