Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Abstract
March 2015
Table of contents
1
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
2.10
Overview of F/S
(Objective of the study)
In order to effectively address the issue of climate change, Government of Japan
intends to achieve low-carbon growth all around the world by fully mobilizing
technology, markets and finance which leads to mitigation of Greenhouse Gas (GHG)
emission. Government of Japan addresses the utility of advanced low-carbon
technologies and products in various fields as well as a scheme of Joint Crediting
Mechanism (JCM) to candidate countries to build partnership under the scheme and
promotes to increase the number of partner counties.
On the other hand, Thailand, which is a target country of this feasibility study
(F/S), has been participating actively to worldwide activities to mitigate GHG
emissions since it signed to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) in June 1992. Government of Thailand has not yet signed on
bilateral agreement for JCM, but they recently have shown proactive attitude for the
cooperation, and further progress is expected. It is also assumed that steel
consumption would be increasing in a mid to long term in Thailand, and mitigation
actions toward iron and steel industry, which is generally recognized as energy
consuming industry, would play a major role for the country to achieve their target
on GHG emission reductions.
Considering current status and future prospect of these governments, the plan for
actual introduction of specific energy saving technologies has been developed in the
field of iron and steel industry whose energy saving potential is said to be high. The
study was conducted in order to assess feasibility of introduction of the technologies
under the JCM scheme and to come up with recommendations for the future JCM
projects between Thailand and Japan.
7. Technology
Feasibility study of JCM project for energy saving technologies for iron and
steel industry in Thailand
Thailand
Energy Saving Technology for Iron and Steel Industry
Deloitte Tohmatsu Consulting Co., Ltd. (DTC)
Nippon Steel & Sumikin Research Institute Corporation (NSRI)
This F/S was conducted from September 2014 to March 2015.
a. Proposal of energy saving technology introduction plan
Business plan under the JCM was proposed to the target steel plant as the
result of F/S;
Selection of energy saving technologies by conducting steel plant
diagnosis
Examination of detailed technologies specs
Estimation of energy saving effects and CO2 reduction effects
Rough estimation of initial and maintenance cost and payback period
Drafting of JCM Monitoring, Report and Verification (MRV)
methodology
b. Recommendations for the future JCM scheme for government of Thailand
Issues were identified, and recommendations for the solution were reported
to public stakeholders of Thailand;
Estimated effects of energy saving and CO2 reductions at national level
Drafting of MRV methodology which is adoptable after signing of
bilateral agreement
Examination of regulatory issues when executing business plan under
the JCM framework
Design of business execution plan for energy saving technology
introductions into a target steel plant under the JCM framework
Feasibility study was conducted for four candidate technologies as below;
1. EAF Shell Revamping for Energy Saving Type
2. Regenerative Burner for Ladle Preheater
3. Upgraded Recuperator for Reheating Furnace
4. Absorption Type Chiller Using Waste Heat
2
2.1
in this F/S.
1.
2.
3.
4.
2.2
Simple payback period of the initial cost was calculated as follows. See Annex.1
Calculation of payback period for formula.
Simple payback period = Total initial cost / Annual economic effect
= 545,000,000 JPY / 247,608,000 JPY = 2.2 years
Table 2: Analysis on payback period for EAF Revamping for Energy Saving Type
Nikko Industry
Unit
Value
Initial cost
JPY
545,000,000
kWh
20,000,000
JPY
247,608,000
tCO2
10,226
JPY
10,226,000
Year
2.2
Year
2.5
Year
2.6
Year
2.6
(@7.5%)
Discounted payback period
(@8.75%)
Discounted payback period (@10%)
2.3
Annual economic effect = Annual energy saving effect * Price of diesel * Exchange
rate
Table 3: Analysis on payback period for Regenerative burner for ladle preheater
Regenerative burner for ladle preheater
Equipment Manufacturer
Item
Chugai Ro
Unit
Initial cost
Value
JPY
127,320,000
499,306
JPY
27,925,685
tCO2
1,320
JPY
1,320,000
Year
4.6
Year
5.8
Year
6.1
Year
6.4
(@7.5%)
Discounted payback period
(@8.75%)
Discounted payback period (@10%)
2.4
Annual economic effect = Annual energy saving effect * Price of banker oil *
Exchange rate
Table 4: Analysis on payback period for Upgraded recuperator for reheating furnace
Upgraded recuperator for reheating furnace
Equipment Manufacturer
Item
Chugai Ro
Unit
Initial cost
Value
JPY
60,000,000
167,709
JPY
10,411,878
tCO2
656
JPY
656,000
Year
5.8
Year
8.0
Year
8.6
Year
9.3
(@7.5%)
Discounted payback period
(@8.75%)
Discounted payback period (@10%)
2.5
Annual economic effect = Annual energy saving effect * Price of grid electricity *
Exchange rate
10
Table 5: Analysis on payback period for Absorption type chiller using waste heat
Absorption type chiller using waste heat
Equipment Manufacturer
Item
Unit
Value
Initial cost
JPY
98,125,000
kWh
1,474,200
JPY
18,251,186
tCO2
754
JPY
754,000
Year
5.4
Year
7.1
Year
7.6
Year
8.1
(@7.5%)
Discounted payback period
(@8.75%)
Discounted payback period (@10%)
11
2.6
Definitions
Eccentric Bottom
Tapping: EBT
Summary
GHG emission
reduction measures
Calculation of reference
emissions
Calculation of project
emissions
Monitoring parameters
D. Eligibility Criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria.
Criterion 1
Criterion 2
Criterion 3
Purchase electricity from grid for both reference and project scenario
12
Emission sources
GHG types
Reference emissions
CO2
Project emissions
CO2
RECI
EFe
PM
PEC
EFe
PM
13
Where,
ER
RE
PE
Description of data
Source
Measurement at site
[tCO2 / MWh]
IPCC
Regenerative burner
Definitions
Burner system which has two individual burners which
absorb exhaust gas heat to reservoir and preheat
combustion air by regenerator to improve energy efficiency.
Two burners switch roles as absorber and preheater
mutually
Summary
GHG emission
reduction measures
Calculation of reference
emissions
Calculation of project
emissions
Monitoring parameters
14
D. Eligibility Criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria.
Criterion 1
Criterion 2
E.
Emission sources
Combustion of fossil fuel in ladle
GHG types
CO2
preheating
Project emissions
CO2
preheating
F.
RFCIg
EF
PM
15
Where,
RE
RFCIex,re
EF
PM
PFC
NCV
EF
PM
RE
PE
16
I.
Parameter
Description of data
Source
NCV
EF
GJ]
RFCIg
Measurement at site
Measurement at site
Recuperator
Definitions
A heat exchanger which absorbs heat from waste gas to
reservoir and preheats combustion air to improve energy
efficiency of the furnace.
Summary
GHG emission
reduction measures
Calculation of reference
emissions
Calculation of project
emissions
Monitoring parameters
17
D. Eligibility Criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria.
Criterion 1
Criterion 2
E.
Emission sources
Combustion of fossil fuel at
GHG types
CO2
reheating furnace
Project emissions
CO2
reheating furnace
F.
RFCIg
EF
PM
18
Where,
RE
RFCIex,re
EF
PM
PFC
NCV
EF
PM
RE
PE
19
I.
Parameter
NCV
Description of data
Source
EF
RFCIg
Measurement at site
Measurement at site
Definitions
A chiller which has a 2-stage evaporation and absorption
cycle with agent, which leads to high efficiency
20
Summary
GHG emission
reduction measures
Calculation of reference
emissions
Calculation of project
emissions
Monitoring parameters
D. Eligibility Criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria.
Criterion 1
Criterion 2
Absorption type chiller collects energy from waste heat of furnace and
utilizes all of its energy but for heat recovery blower for chilling
Criterion 3
E.
Purchase electricity from grid for both reference and project scenario
Emission sources
GHG types
CO2
N/A
N/A
emissions
Project emissions
F.
21
EG
EFe
EGsup
ECaux
ECcap
OH
22
PE = 0 (2)
H. Calculation of emission reductions
Emission reductions are calculated as the difference between the reference
emissions and project emissions, as follows:
ER = RE PE (3)
Where,
I.
ER
RE
PE
Parameter
EFe
ECcap
Description of data
Source
[kgCO2 / kWh]
IPCC
Measurement at site
23
2.7
Upgraded
Recuperator for
Reheating Furnace
Steel 104,167t
10,932 [tCO2]
= 1.39 * 0.0755 *
104,167
10,444 [tCO2]
= 3,478,136 / 104,167
* 0.03977 * 0.0755 *
104,167
488 [tCO2]
(RE - PE)
= 14,692 14,036
Net heating value of
fuel (DEDE):
0.03977 [GJ/liter]
CO2 of emission
factor of fuel (IPCC):
0.0755 [tCO2/GJ]
Fuel intensity of
RHF (Site) *1:
1.39 [GJ/t]
Fuel consumption:
3,478,136 [liter]
Steel production:
104,167 [t]
Absorption Type
Chiller Using Waste
Heat
(Steel 104,167t)
754 [tCO2]
= (1,890,000
415,800) * 0.5113
0 [tCO2]
754 [tCO2]
(RE - PE)
= 754 - 0
Electricity
consumption of heat
recovery blower
(Manuf.):
415,800 [kWh]
CO2 emission factor
of grid (TGO)*2:
0. 5113 [kgCO2/kWh]
Energy recovered
from waste heat:
1,890,000 [kWh]
*1 Actual value measured at a target plant was utilized as reference value for estimation in order to make sure the
methodology is applicable to the plant
*2 Average value of build margin factor (0.4231) and operating factor (0.5996) is adopted as CO 2 emission factor of
grid in Thailand
2.8
plant, introduction of absorption type chiller using waste heat into the steel plant
was difficult to realize due to operating situation of the steel plant and lack of
necessary space for placement. While it was concluded that EAF shell revamping for
energy saving type is highly feasible to be introduced into the steel plant considering
its high energy saving performance and high economic value brought by the
introduction, and payback period with two years. The other two technologies namely
regenerative burner for ladle preheating and upgraded recuperator are difficult to be
introduced because of their expensive initial cost and small economic value, and so as
to its payback period within two years although there are no technical issues for
introduction of both technologies.
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2.9
Thailand, it has been found that (1) Expansion of public finance support/incentives
by the government and (2) Storage and management of information required for
operation of JCM are especially important issues in order to promote JCM projects in
Thailand.
2.9.1 Financial supporting mechanism for initial investment
Regarding the issue of (1), it is identified that economic value brought by
technology introduction cannot pay back its initial cost within two years without use
of subsidy. In Thailand, funding schemes have been stopped due to regime change,
namely Energy Efficiency Revolving Fund, ESCO Revolving Fund and 20% subsidy
program provided by DEDE. In addition, budget proposal for those funding scheme is
being prepared at this moment. Considering acceleration of introduction of energy
saving technologies for various fields in the future, study for expansion of funding
scheme in Thailand would be necessary. At the same time, participants of the F/S
from Thailand expect Japanese financing support for introduction of energy saving
technologies. As mentioned earlier, it is concluded that only financial support from
Thailand cannot cover expensive initial cost of energy saving technologies
introduction, and therefore it is crucial to consider possibilities to apply existing
Japanese financial supporting scheme such as NEDOs JCM demonstration project,
MoEs JCM model project, financial support of JBIC and so on, toward energy saving
technologies introduction projects in Thailand.
2.9.2 Financial supporting mechanism for initial investment
Regarding issue of (2), it is found to be difficult to validate reference value which
is necessary to calculate reference emission objectively. Therefore, it is important to
prepare system and scheme to store and manage reference value for possible JCM
subject technologies and to make it available to possible participants in JCM in order
to establish MRV methodology for iron and steel technologies in the future. For
example, ISIT could be an administrator of such information and lead preparation.
2.10 Step forward
In case bilateral document would be signed in the future, the first tasks will be
launch of Joint Committee (JC) and creation of rules and guidelines spearheaded by
JC. Detailed roadmap will be clearly defined after signage to the bilateral document
25
by both governments. More detailed examination would be necessary for the project
scheme and MRV methodology to operate JCM correctly, and therefore it is expected
to make the most of opportunities of F/S, JCM demonstration project and JCM model
project provided by government.
Further, it is required to accelerate concrete and detailed planning and
demonstration of JCM scheme paying due regard to progress of governments
consultation considering provided information that Government of Thailand agreed
to cooperate with Government of Japan to realize JCM in January 2015.
26
27
CF
log CF I
I c
log 1 + c
I:
c:
Discount rate
In this F/S, following three patterns of discount rate are considered in calculation
for DPP
Discount rate (c) 7.5 % : Loan interest in Thailand
Discount rate (c) 8.75 % : Weighted average of loan interest and market risk
premium in Thailand
Discount rate (c) 10.0 % : Market risk premium in Thailand
28