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Rev. Jun. 21, 2012This spreadsheet was prepared by Profe
This spreadsheet supports ST&(*+T analysis of the case A'ictoria "he-icals PB" /)CD
The Merseyside ProEect3 /"ase 24C.
ssor Michael J. Schill and Robert @. !runer. "opyri#ht $ 200% by the &niversity
of 'ir#inia (arden School @oundation,
Exhibit 2
'6"T7R6) "8*M6")BS /)C
Frank Greystock's DCF Analysis of Merseyside Project
/financial values in -illions of !ritish poundsC
Assum@tions
)nnual 7utput /-etric tonsC290,000 (iscount rate10.0:7utput ;ain<7ri#inal 7utput=
.0:Ta> Rate?0:Price<ton /pounds sterlin#C@=96nvest-ent 7utlay /-ill.C12.06nflation
Rate /prices and costsC0.0:(epreciable Bife /yearsC19;ross Mar#in /e>. (eprec.C12.9
0:Salva#e 'alue07ld ;ross Mar#in11.9:A6P 6nventory<"ost of ;oods?.0: *ner#y Savi
n#s<SalesBr. 1C91.29:Months (ownti-e, "onstruction1.9 Br. @C100.=9:Preli-inary *
n#ineerin# "osts0.9Br. 11C190.0:7verhead<6nvest-ent?.9:12?49@=%D1011121?1419Bear
+ow200%200D201020112012201?20142019201@201=201%201D2020202120221. *sti-ate of 6n
cre-ental ;ross Profit +ew 7utput /tonsC2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2
@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 2@=,900 Bo
st 7utputCC"onstruction/??,4?%C +ew Sales /MillionsC19=.DD 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%
0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ 1%0.9@ +ew
;ross Mar#in1?.%:1?.%:1?.%:1?.%:1?.%:1?.?:1?.?:1?.?:1?.?:1?.?:12.9:12.9:12.9:12.
9:12.9: +ew ;ross Profit21.=2 24.%? 24.%? 24.%? 24.%? 2?.D2 2?.D2 2?.D2 2?.D2 2?
.D2 22.9= 22.9= 22.9= 22.9= 22.9= 7ld 7utput290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,
000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,000 290,
000 7ld Sales1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.
=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 1@%.=9 7ld ;ross Profit1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D
.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 1D.41 6ncre-ental ;ros
s Profit2.?2 9.42 9.42 9.42 9.42 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 ?.1@ ?.1@ ?.1@ ?.1@ ?.
1@ 2. *sti-ate of 6ncre-ental A6P inventory +ew A6P inventory4.0D 4.@= 4.@= 4.@=
4.@= 4.=0 4.=0 4.=0 4.=0 4.=0 4.=4 4.=4 4.=4 4.=4 4.=4 7ld A6P inventory4.4% 4.
4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 6ncre-ental
A6P inventoryC0.?D 0.1D 0.1D 0.1D 0.1D 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.2@ 0.2@ 0.2@ 0
.2@ 0.2@ ?. *sti-ate of 6ncre-ental (epreciation +ew (epreciation1.@0 1.?D 1.20
1.04 0.D0 0.=% 0.@% 0.9D 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 4. 7verhead0.42 0.42
0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 9. Preli-. *n#
ineerin# "osts0.90 Preta> 6ncre-ental ProfitC0.20 ?.@1 ?.%0 ?.D@ 4.10 ?.?2 ?.42
?.91 ?.99 ?.99 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 @. "ash @low )dEust-ents Bess "apital *>pen
C12.00 )dd bacE (epreciation1.@0 1.?D 1.20 1.04 0.D0 0.=% 0.@% 0.9D 0.99 0.99 0.
99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Bess )dded A6P inventory0.?D C0.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 C0.0? 0.
00 0.00 0.00 0.00 C0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.2@ =. @ree "ash @lowC12.00 1.%9 ?.?? ?.%@
?.%1 ?.== ?.0% ?.0= ?.09 ?.0? ?.0? 2.04 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.?4 +P' F
!"#$%
6RR F24.?:
Case 24 Victoria Chemicals Plc a the Merseyside Project

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