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Market Report

Northern Virginia | 3rd Quarter 2016

cushmanwakefield.com

Contents

DC Metropolitan Area Overview..............................................................................3


Northern Virginia & Map........................................................................................4-6
Alexandria.........................................................................................................................7
RB Corridor.......................................................................................................................8
Crystal City/Pentagon City........................................................................................9
Tysons Corner....................... .......................................................................................10
Reston/Herndon............................................................................................................11
50-66.................................................................................................................................12
Route 28 South/Chantilly..........................................................................................13
Loudoun County...........................................................................................................14
Appendix..........................................................................................................................15
Tables..........................................................................................................................15-24
Methodology & Definitions......................................................................................25
About Cushman & Wakefield.................................................................................26

Cushman & Wakefield | 2

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area

While the narrative about job growthas well as the midterm


forecast for continued strong employment growthis compelling,
the headline may be that office market statistics are mixed. On the
one hand, vacancy appears to have peaked and is slowly declining
in the Washington, DC metro jurisdictions: the District of Columbia,
Northern Virginia, and Suburban Maryland. Regionally, vacancy was
17.8% at the end of the third quarter of 2016, down ever so slightly
from 17.9 % a year ago. But absorption is facing challenges. Current
space requirements per each job created in the Washington, DC
metro office market are much less than in previous cycles, and that
is having an impact on absorption levels. From 2002 to 2008, an
average 270 square feet (SF) of office space was absorbed for every
office job created regionally; from 2009 through 2016, that figure
declined to 60 SF. Furthermore, the contentious election season
seems to have put a damper on new leasing activity. Tenants have
taken a wait and see approach before executing new leases; that
has resulted in activity falling regionally to a year-to-date total
of 9.4 million square feet (MSF)below the 10-year average of
11.2 MSF typically registered in the first three quarters of a year.
The good news is that there are some signs that the pendulum is
swinging back from the extreme efficiency demands that caused
absorption to shrink in recent quarters, particularly in newer, highquality product in amenitized, transit-served locations. In the urban
core markets, two large law firmsVenable LLP and Arnold &
Porterboth exercised expansion rights shortly after or in advance
of occupying their newly constructed spaces. There is also evidence
that federal contractors are behaving similarly in suburban markets:
CSC has opted for another floor at 1775 Tysons Boulevard, adding
an additional 30,000 SF to its new Americas headquarters.
With continued growth in the economy, the improving (albeit
slowly) market conditions continue to keep investors bullish on the
outlook for the DC Metro region. Office sales activity surged in
the third quarter of 2016 by $2.1 billion, bringing the year-to-date
total to $4.9 billion. As has been the case throughout 2016, the
core downtown assets that brought downtown pricing to historic
highs in 2014 and 2015 remain scarce as longer term holders are
keeping these projects off the market. In turn, overall sales volume
has declined, with more suburban and value-add projects in the
pipeline for sale.

WASHINGTON, DC METRO

Economic Indicators
Q3 15

Q3 16

DC Metro Employment

3.18M

3.26M

DC Metro Unemployment

4.3%

3.9%

U.S. Unemployment

5.1%

5.0%

Q3 15

Q3 16

Overall Vacancy

17.9%

17.8%

Net Absorption

289K

544K

Under Construction

5.1M

8.4M

Deliveries

1.2M

2.5M

$35.03

$38.13

12-Month
Forecast

Market Indicators

Average Asking Rent (FS)

12-Month
Forecast

Net Absorption/Asking Rent


4Q TRAILING AVERAGE
$39.00

2.0

$38.50
$38.00
$37.50

1.0

$37.00
$36.50
$36.00

0.0

$35.50
$35.00
$34.50

-1.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

Net Absorption, MSF

2014

2015

2016

$34.00

Asking Rent, $ PSF

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area


NET ABSORPTION - DELIVERIES - VACANCY

10.0

20%

8.0

16%

6.0
4.0

12%

2.0
8%

0.0
-2.0

4%

-4.0
-6.0

Vacancy Rate

The Washington, DC metropolitan regions (DC Metro) economy


continued to register a staggering level of job growth through
the third quarter of 2016. As of September 2016, year-over-year
employment growth remained well above historical averages, with
the DC Metro economy creating 85,200 net new nonfarm payrolls.
That is the fourth highest job creation figure in the nation after
the New York, Dallas and Los Angeles metropolitan regions. On
a year-over-year percentage basis, job growth in the DC Metro
area is growing faster than in the New York, Los Angeles, Chicago,
San Francisco and Boston metropolitan regions. Moreover, officeusing employment has continued to expand, with over 35,000 jobs
created in office-using sectors since September of 2015, a level
only slightly below the typical combined annual office and nonoffice-using job creation figures in the Washington, DC region.
Indeed, one has to look back to mid-2010, prior to the time when
devastating effects of sequestration took hold in the region, to find
similar levels of office-using job creation. As has been the case
throughout 2016, Professional and Business Services employment
is leading job growth among all industry sectors, with 29,000 jobs
added to payrolls from September 2015 to September 2016. In
addition, positive job growththe likes of which the region hasnt
seen since early 2011has been particularly evident in the federal
government sector which added nearly 6,400 new payrolls from
September 2015 to September 2016.

MSF

We have the jobs...Now where is the Absorption?

05

06 07 08 09
Net Absorption

10 11 12 13 14 15
Deliveries
Vacancy Rate

16

0%

cushmanwakefield.com | 3

Northern Virginia
Economy

Market Indicators

Metropolitan Washington, DC continued to post strong job


growth, with the region adding 85,200 net new jobs in the last 12
months as of September 2016. This figure is more than double the
historical average, with the region registering the eighth-lowest
unemployment rate of the 50 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S.
Northern Virginia (NoVA) accounted for 32,100 of the regional total
led by the Professional and Business Services sector adding 17,860
jobs year-over-year.

Market Overview

3Q 15

3Q 16

Overall Vacancy

21.1%

21.1%

Net Absorption

401K

495K

Under Construction

3.2M

4.1M

Deliveries
Average Asking Rent

404K

636K

$33.21

$31.88

12-Month
Forecast

Net Absorption/Asking Rent

Job growth, typically a leading economic indicator, finally

4Q TRAILING AVERAGE

appeared to be having an impact on the Northern Virginia real

400

$35.00

estate market, as office space has experienced 494,676 square

200

$33.00

feet (SF) of positive year-to-date absorption. Class A product has


done particularly well, accounting for 1.1 million square feet (MSF)
of office-space absorption. The largest move of the quarter was
that of the U.S. Marshals Service, which vacated 1750 Crystal

$31.00

-200

$29.00

-400

Drive (due to undergo extensive renovations) to occupy 370,000

-600

SF at 1215 South Clark Street. Overall vacancy closed the third

-800

quarter of 2016 at 21.1%, unchanged from one year ago. Direct

$27.00
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Net Absorption, MSF

asking rental rates in NoVA stood at $32.24 per square foot, a

2016 Q3

$25.00

Asking Rent, $ PSF

4.0% decline from the third quarter 2015. This decline is due to
both strong leasing of premium space, and lowering of rents in
commodity buildings in an environment of elevated vacancy.
Proximity to transit and amenities continues to drive decision
making for the largest users in the NoVA market.

Applied

Predictive Technologies signed the largest lease of third quarter


2016, taking 98,800 SF at 4250 North Fairfax Drive in Ballston.
Tysons was home to the next two largest deals, with WeWork
committing to 92,500 SF at 1775 Tysons Boulevard, and M.C.
Dean signing for 85,600 SF at 1765 Greensboro Station Drive.
Four office buildings broke ground in the third quarter, each with
one prelease in tow: 2311 Wilson Boulevard (Opower), 8350 Broad
Street (TEGNA), 1041 Electric Avenue (Navy Federal Credit Union
[NFCU]), and 4097 Monument Corner Drive (Apple Federal Credit

Overall Vacancy
24%
22%
20%
Historical Average = 17%

18%
16%
14%
12%
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016 Q3

Union). Opower signed a 44,900-SF prelease in the first quarter


and TEGNA a 70,063-SF prelease in the second quarter. NFCU,
the largest credit union in the nation, will occupy the entirety of
its 235,000-SF campus expansion building in Vienna.

Outlook
Buoyed by a handful of massive projects such as the CEB
Tower and the National Science Foundation headquarters, new
construction is at its highest point in almost 10 years. However,
continued growth in high-wage professional jobs and companies
that continue to show a preference for new and high-quality office
options should continue to drive demand into new construction.
With a stabilizing federal spending environment and strong
growth in the private sector, the Northern Virginia market is
poised to continue tracking away from historically high vacancy.

Large Blocks of Contiguous Space


25-50k SF
Loudoun County

50-100k SF

Route 28 South

100-150k SF

Springfield/Newington

150-200k SF
200k+ SF

50/66
Reston/Herndon
Tysons Corner
Arlington
Alexandria
0

20

40

60

80

# of Blocks

Cushman & Wakefield | 4

Northern Virginia Office Submarkets


Northern Virginia Office Submarkets

LOUDOUN
LOUDOUN
PHASE II
2016

267

MARYLAND
metro

ROUTE
772

metro

ROUTE
606

metro

RESTON
RESTON

267

INNOVATION
CENTER

WASHINGTON
DULLES
INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT

PHASE I

metro

HERNDON

metro

RESTON TOWN
CENTER

metro

267

WIEHLE - RESTON
EAST
TY
UN

TY

CO

UN

CO
X

SPRING
HILL

FA

OU

WASHINGTON, DC
metro

IR

UD

123

28

Y
NT TY
OU UN
X C CO
FA N
IR TO
FA ING
L
R
A

FA

LO

DI
ST

DULLES
AIRPORT

D
AN
YL IA
AR IN
M IRG
V

metro

RI MA
RY
CT
OF LA
N
D
CO
LU
M
BI
A

HERNDON
HERNDON

LOUDOUN COUNTY

50

FAIRFAX COUNTY

GREENSBORO

metro

metro

metro

MCLEAN

TYSONS
CORNER

286

ARLINGTON COUNTY

TYSONS

metro

495

WEST FALLS
CHURCH

metro

EAST FALLS
CHURCH

VIR
metro

29
66

66
metro

metro
metro

BALLSTON
ALGONKIAN P

50

FAIRFAX CENTER
metro

IA

CLARENDON

VIRGINIA SQUARE - GMU

R-B CORRIDOR

495

VIENNA

66

AR

28

29

GIN

ROSSLYN

COURT HOUSE

metro

DUNN LORING/
MERRIFIELD

123

ROUTE 28 SOUTH

metro

50

50

metro

PENTAGON

CRYSTAL CITY

MERRIFIELD

AY
KW

29

395

RONALD
REAGAN
WASHINGTON
NATIONAL
NATIONAL
AIRPORT
AIRPORT
metro

236

I-395 CORRIDOR
286

FAIR FAX COUN


TY

PRINCE WILLIAM C
O

POTOMAC
RIVER

metro

VAN DORN
STREET

UNT Y

EISENHOWER
AVENUE

metro

KING STREET

metro

OLD TOWN
ALEXANDRIA

EISENHOWER
AVENUE
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY

95

metro

FRANCONIA/
SPRINGFIELD

SPRINGFIELD/
NEWINGTON

cushmanwakefield.com | 5

Top Transactions
Key Lease Transactions 3Q 2016
PROPERTY

SF

TENANT

TRANSACTION TYPE

SUBMARKET

4250 North Fairfax Drive

98,800

Applied Predictive Technologies

Relocation

Ballston

1775 Tysons Boulevard

92,517

WeWork

New Lease

Tysons

1765 Greensboro Place

85,859

M.C. Dean

Relocation

Tysons

Key Sales Transactions 3Q 2016


PROPERTY

SF

SELLER/BUYER

PRICE

SUBMARKET

Republic Park #1-8

532,041

Liberty Property Trust/MRP Realty

$97,000,000 / $183

Reston/Herndon

1 Dulles Corridor

215,000

Westbrook Partners/Rosenthal Properties & Wafra

$67,600,000 / $314

Reston/Herndon

Independence Center

275,000

Carr Properties/Tritower Financial

$60,500,000 / $221

Route 28 South/Chantilly

Northern Virginia Office Market

Northern Virginia Office Market

Net Absorption - Deliveries - Vacancy, Third Quarter 2016

Inventory and Vacancy by Submarket, Third Quarter 2016


30

25%

25%

25
20%
15%

10%

-1

-3

5%

2003

2004

2005

New Deliveries

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Net Absorption

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Vacancy Rate

2016

0%

20
MSF

20%
15%

15
10%

10

5%

5
0

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy Rate

Square Feet (Millions)

AlexandriaRB CorridorCrystal City TysonsReston/Herndon50/66


Route 28 S/Chantilly
Loudoun

Leased

Vacant

0%

Vacancy Rate

Cushman & Wakefield | 6

Alexandria
Market Indicators
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
23.4%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

52,900 SF

720,000 SF

Deliveries

Asking Rent

0 SF

$31.05 FS

The Old Town market continued to improve in the third quarter,

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

years. As a whole, Alexandria has registered 124,100 SF of positive


Rental rates in the I-395 corridor and Huntington/Eisenhower
submarkets have remained largely unchanged over the past
several years, while rental rates in Old Town have increased 6%
over the past four quarters, ending the third quarter at $35.91
PSF, as this submarket continues to tighten.

Square Feet, 000s

year-to-date absorption, mainly due to demand from Old Town.

800

30%

600

25%

400

20%

200

15%

10%

-200

5%

-400

Alexandria posted a large win in the third quarter, convincing

-600

(with the help of incentives) The Motley Fool to renew for 113,000
SF at 2000 Duke Street. The media and finance company had

Vacancy Rate

as vacancy hit 8.4%, the submarkets lowest vacancy in over five

06

conducted a multi-jurisdictional search before deciding to stay

07

08

09

Net Absorption

10

11

Deliveries

12

13

14

15 YTD
16

Vacancy Rate

0%

Old Town Vacancy Rate

in the building it has occupied since 2005. A condition of the


incentives grant includes a provision for the company to add an
extra 60 employees on top of its existing 280. Other significant

New Leasing Activity

leases of the third quarter included Virginia Hospital Centers

1.20

17,784-SF new lease at 2800 Shirlington Road and Cotton &


Companys 8,346-SF sublease at 635 Slaters Lane.

1.00
0.80

renovations, as it seeks to reposition itself to better compete in a

MSF

The 335,000-SF Carlyle Tower is in the throes of comprehensive


competitive Class A market.

0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$39

The only building currently under construction in


Alexandria is the National Science Foundations (NSF)
future 700,000-SF headquarters at 2415 Eisenhower
Avenue. With construction due to wrap up in early 2017,
the market should soon discover how many contractors
will be tailing the agency and its large grants. Some firms
working on moonshot technologies may have an extra
incentive being near both the Patent and Trademark Office
and the NSF.

Full Service PSF

$37

Outlook

$35
$33
$31
$29
$27
$25

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 7

RB Corridor
Vacancy
22.5%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

97,800 SF

862,800 SF

Vacancy in the RB Corridor decreased to 22.5% at the end of the


third quarter of 2016, its lowest point since the second quarter of
2014. However, this rate is still above the 5-year average of 19.4%
and the 10-year average of 13.6%.
The RB Corridor recorded 97,800 SF of absorption in the
third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to 156,000 SF.
Ballston accounted for all of the corridors positive absorption,
as Amazon moved into 50,000 SF at 4250 North Fairfax Drive,
CliftonLarsonAllen moved into 24,000 SF at 901 North Glebe
Road, Accenture occupied a 20,000 SF sublet at 4075 Wilson
Boulevard, and the Department of Homeland Security took
possession of 21,000 SF at 1525 Wilson Boulevard.

$40.87 FS

0 SF

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,000

25%

800

20%

600
400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-400

5%

-600
-800

Direct rental rates declined to $40.86 PSF at the end of the third
quarter, their lowest rate in five years. High-end space was taken
off the market in Ballston and owners of commodity buildings
decreased rents in this extended period of high vacancy.

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

15 YTD
16
Vacancy Rate

Deliveries

14

0%

New Leasing Activity


1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
MSF

The largest new lease of the quarter was in Ballston: Applied


Predictive Technologies signed for 98,800 SF at 4250 North
Fairfax Drive. A slate of large- and medium-sized deals in the
third quarter included Regus Spaces concept signing of 45,000
SF in the Artisphere at 1101 Wilson Boulevard, technology
company Snagajob taking 31,200 SF of sublease space at 1919
North Lynn Street, and the National Association of Chemical
Distributors relocating into 31,000 SF on the top floors of 1515
North Courthouse Road. The largest renewal of the quarter was
Sinclair Television Groups 15-year lease extension (to commence
in 2019) of 100,000 SF at 1100 and 1000 Wilson Boulevard.

Asking Rent

Deliveries

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20

The only significant trade of the quarter occurred in Ballston.


Clark Enterprises sold 4001 North Fairfax Drives 190,000 SF to
Penzance for $62,500,000 ($329/SF). 2311 Wilson Boulevard
has entered into construction, as each of the Corridors three
submarkets now has one building being built.

0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$50

Outlook
Year-to-date leasing activity in the RB Corridor ended
the third quarter of 2016 at 1.01 MSF, 22% higher than
2015s annual total, and equal to 2014s total. This is not
a large jump in leasing activity, but is a positive sign for
the corridor which has faced headwinds for several years.
Look for association and non-profit leasing to increase
in the medium term, as a new administration begins to
establish its policies and budget.

Full Service PSF

$48
$46
$44
$42
$40
$38
$36
$34
$32

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 8

Crystal City/Pentagon City


Vacancy

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

22.3%

140,300 SF

0 SF

0 SF

$37.43 FS

Move-ins and move-outs in the Crystal City submarket continue


to offset one another. Vacancy has hovered in the 20%-23%
range over the past four years and ended the third quarter at
21.5%. Direct average asking rents continue to contract from
the high of $41.00 PSF in 2013 to the current $37.43 PSF. Rents
have declined 2.5% over the past four quarters, due primarily to
lowering of rents in Class B buildings.
The largest move of the quarter was that of the U.S. Marshals
Service, which vacated 1750 Crystal Drive (due to undergo
extensive renovations) to occupy 370,000 SF at 1215 South
Clark Street. Other positive absorption resulted from Chemonics
International and NaAliI Consulting moving into 54,000 SF and

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


30%

500

25%

20%

-500

15%

-1,000

10%

-1,500

5%

-2,000

9,000 SF, respectively, at 251 18th Street. Negative absorption


in both the first and second quarters of 2016 slowed as a result
of the US Marshalls expansion this quarter, making year-to-date
absorption a slightly negative 16,738 SF.

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

15 YTD
16
Vacancy Rate

Deliveries

14

0%

New Leasing Activity


2.50

2.00

1.50
MSF

The largest new lease of the third quarter was that of the
Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority which signed for
74,248 SF of former Environmental Protection Agency space
at 2733 Crystal Drive, as the agency relocated out of Reagan
National Airport. Contractor signings in the third quarter
included Lockheed Martins renewal of 141,761 SF at 2121 Crystal
Drive, American Systems renewal for 21,880 SF at 1401 S Clark
Street, and C3 Systems sublease of 18,322 SF at 2900 Crystal
Drive. Leasing activity, at 329,473 SF year-to-date, is on track to
outpace the 2014 figure of 387,748 SF but total below the 2015
figure of 787,968 SF.

1,000

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

1.00

0.50

0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2011

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$44

Outlook
The potential merger between Vornado Realty Trust and
JBG would bring fresh eyes and seasoned development
professionals to a recovering market with an aging
inventory. Recently delivered multifamily buildings such as
The Bartlett and m.Flats bring the submarket closer to its
mixed-use vision.

Full Service PSF

$42
$40
$38
$36
$34
$32

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 9

Tysons Corner
Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

118,500 SF

1,751,800 SF

475,800 SF

$31.93 FS

Tysons continues to be a hub of activity as the submarket


registered 1.0 MSF of leasing activity during the first three
quarters of 2016, accounting for 25% of the total activity in
Northern Virginia (NoVA) and more than any other submarket.
Tysons also claimed three of NoVAs top four leases in the third
quarter: WeWork for 92,517 SF at 1775 Tysons Boulevard, the U.S.
Customs and Border Protection agency for 89,834 SF at 7799
Leesburg Pike, and M.C. Dean for 85,859 SF at 1765 Greensboro
Station Place. The largest renewals of the quarter were those of
NetApp for 66,877 SF at 1921 Gallows Road and Smith Pachter &
McWhorter for 15,742 SF at 8000 Towers Crescent Drive.
Tysons was home to a number of large move-ins in the third
quarter, resulting in 118,512 SF of net positive absorption. The
largest move-outs were those of Morgan Lewis and Regus
vacating 42,000 SF and 23,000 SF, respectively, at 1600 Tysons
Boulevard; Watt Tieder leaving 65,000 SF at 8405 Greensboro
Drive; and Palantir vacating a floor at 1660 International Drive.
These large move-outs were offset by significant move-ins:
Capital One occupied 137,000 SF at Silverline Center, Watt
Tieder moved into 33,000 SF at 1765 Greensboro Station Place,
Columbia College occupied 26,000 SF at 8620 Westwood Drive,
and Alarm.com again expanded by 23,000 SF at 8281 Greensboro
Drive.
8350 Broad Street, along with accompanying multifamily and
retail aspects of the Boros first phase, started construction in
the third quarter. TEGNA signed a prelease for 70,000 SF on
the top floors of the 20-story building, accounting for 16% of the
buildings eventual 436,800-SF footprint.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,000

25%

800
20%

600
400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-400

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy
20.7%

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

5%

-600
-800

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

14

15 YTD
16
Vacancy Rate

2012

2013

Deliveries

0%

New Leasing Activity


3.50
3.00
2.50

MSF

Market Indicators

2.00
1.50
1.00

Beacon Capital Partners sold American Center East and West


(8300/8330 Boone Boulevard) to Banyan Street Capital, based
in Miami. The combined 333,000 SF sold for $68.5M ($206/SF)

0.50
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$50

There is currently 1.75 MSF under construction in Tysons,


42% of the total in Northern Virginia. Two of the buildings
under constructionCapital One Tower and MITRE IVare
build-to-suit projects which will be fully occupied upon
delivery. The market has successfully absorbed a handful
of new and renovated speculative buildings over the past
several years: 7900 Tysons Boulevard, 7900 Westpark
Drive, 7940 Jones Branch Drive, and 1775 Tysons Boulevard
which is now 65% leased after signing WeWork. With over
two years to go before delivery of The Boros 8350 Broad
Street, the small amount of remaining new space in these
delivered buildings have a buffer before competing new
product comes online.

Full Service PSF

Outlook

$45
$40
$35
$30
$25

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 10

Reston/Herndon
Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(31,500) SF

354,900 SF

0 SF

$28.88 FS

Vacancy in the Reston/Herndon submarket was 16.6% at the end


of the third quarter, down 10 basis points (BP) from the second
quarter and remains below the 5-year average of 17.1%. After
hitting a 5-year high in the second quarter, direct asking rental
rates also ticked downward to settle at $28.88 PSF at the end of
the third quarter.
The market experienced low occupier activity in the third
quarter, as negative absorption of 31,500 SF pushed year-to-date
absorption to a negative 130,518 SF. Comcast vacated 29,000 SF
at 12801 Worldgate Drive, Qinetiq/Vencore moved out of 25,000
SF at 11091 Sunset Hills Road, National Rural Telecommunications
Cooperative gave back one 24,000 SF floor at 2121 Cooperative
Way, and Software AG vacated 24,000 SF at 11700 Plaza America
Drive. The only significant move-in of the quarter was that of DPR
Construction into 21,000 SF at 11109 Sunset Hills Road, followed
by a slate of smaller occupancies.
Northern Virginias largest renewal of the third quarter took place
in Reston/Herndon as Boeing recommitted to 168,200 SF at
460 Herndon Parkway. The Federal Home Loan Banks (Office of
Finance) renewed for 26,000 SF at Reston Town Centers 1818
Library Street. The largest new leases included CDW signing for
32,500 SF at 2001 Edmund Halley Drive, followed by Personify
for 13,900 SF at 13450 Sunrise Valley Drive and V-Brick for 13,300
SF at 607 Herndon Parkway. The submarket experienced its
lowest quarterly leasing volume in over three years, but year-todate leasing activity, at 0.8 MSF, puts the submarket in second
place behind Tysons 1.0 MSF of activity.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


2,500

25%

2,000

20%

1,500

10%

500

5%

0
-500

06

07

08

09

10

11

Net Absorption

12

13

Deliveries

14

15 YTD
16

0%

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00

Comstock Partners 1900 Reston Metro Plaza, to be the


submarkets newest office building since 2009, does not yet have
any leases signed midpoint in its construction. If its 368,000
SF were to deliver fully vacant in Q3 2017, this would increase
Reston/Herndons vacancy rate by 150 BP.
The largest portfolio sale of the quarter was that of Liberty Park,
consisting of eight properties on Dulles Technology Drive in
Herndon. Liberty Property Trust sold the combined 532,041 SF
for $97M ($182/SF) to Walton Street Capital. Westbrook Partners
sold 10740 Parkridge Boulevard to Rosenthal Properties and
Wafra Investment Advisory Group. The 215,716-SF building, along
with an adjacent land parcel, sold for $68.1M ($316/SF).

15%

1,000

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy
16.6%

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

MSF

Market Indicators

0.50
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$32

Outlook
Several redevelopment plans moving through the pipeline
will further increase the large number of approved and
pending developments along the Toll Road. General
Dynamics 357,000 SF secure campus has received
approval from the Fairfax Board of Supervisors, Vornados
1.43 MSF of proposed mixed use development at Commerce
Executive Center gained planning commission support,
and NVRs plan to construct a mix of 383 multi-family units
and townhomes at Woodland Park also obtained planning
commission support.

Full Service PSF

$30
$28
$26
$24
$22
$20

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 11

50/66
Vacancy
21.4%

Under Construction

Net Absorption

385,000 SF

(201,300) SF

Merrifield/Route 50
Leasing activity in the Merrifield/Route 50 submarket has
been steady over the past two years, averaging 58,500 SF per
quarter. The most significant deal of the third quarter was Inova
Healthcare Services signing of a 52,200-SF renewal and 41,900SF expansion at 8111 Gatehouse Road. Vacancy ticked upward
from 17.1% in the second quarter of the year to 19.0% in the third,
as two large tenants vacated the submarket for Class A buildings
in Tysons: CSC moved out of 80,000 SF at 8613 Lee Highway and
Reed Smith vacated 61,000 SF at 3110 Fairview Park Drive. Apple
Federal Credit Union has begun construction of its new 150,000SF headquarters expansion at 4097 Monument Corner Drive.
It plans on occupying a majority of the building, with Peterson
Companies agreeing to take about half of the remaining space.
Direct asking rental rates currently stand at $30.31 PSF, and have
remained largely unchanged over the past several years.

Asking Rent

0 SF

$24.83 FS

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


400

25%

200

20%

15%

-200
10%

-400

5%

-600
-800

06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15

Q1
16

0%

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


2.00

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
MSF

Vacancy in the Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna submarket rose to its


highest level in over 15 years, ending the third quarter at 23.1%,
as the submarket has become largely reliant on renewals of small
professional services firms. Rental rates in the submarket, at
$25.20 PSF, trail behind only those of the Loudoun County and
Annandale submarkets.

Deliveries

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

1.00
0.80
0.60

Navy Federal Credit Union (NFCU), the largest credit union in


the country, broke ground on its 235,000-SF campus expansion
at 1041 Electric Avenue. Although the owner-occupied campus
does not have a direct impact on the competitive office market,
expansion by this financial firm positively affects talent makeup
and income in the vicinity. This building will be an addition to the
existing 901,000-SF headquarters building across the street.

0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Asking Rent
$34

Outlook

$32
Full Service PSF

Although ridership is down and SafeTrack work this


year has been largely focused on the orange line, tenant
preference for Metro-accessible buildings and other
associated amenities continues strong. As several buildings
along Prosperity Avenue and the Gallows Road corridor
between the Mosaic District and Dunn Loring-Merrifield
Metro stop approach full occupancy, building parks such
as WillowWood Plaza and Fairview Park may begin to
attract tenants in tertiary submarkets such as Fair Lakes
and the I-395 Corridor.

$30
$28
$26
$24
$22

2011

2012

2013

Merrifield/Route 50

2014

2015

2016

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Cushman & Wakefield | 12

Route 28 South/Chantilly
Vacancy
21.6%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

247,000 SF

0 SF

150,000 SF

$25.91 FS

The Route 28 South submarket experienced a large quarterover-quarter drop in vacancy, from 24.1% in the second quarter
to 21.6% at the third quarter, as the GSA occupied its second
160,000-SF built-to-suit building on Stonecroft Boulevard, and
Deloitte and the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN)
moved into 27,000 SF and 24,000 SF, respectively, at 15049
Conference Center Drive. Class A vacancy declined to 19.7%, its
lowest point since the third quarter of 2014. After declining from
the $28 PSF range to the $26 PSF range between 2012 and 2014,
direct asking rental rates have remained relatively steady over the
past two years.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,200

600

20%

400

15%

200
0

10%

-200
-600

5%
06

07

08

09

10

Net Absorption

11

12

13

Deliveries

14

15 YTD
16

0%

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


1.20
1.00
0.80
MSF

Capital markets transactions in the third quarter included Carr


Properties sale of its 274,223-SF property at 15036 Conference
Center Drive for $60.5M ($221/SF) to Tritower Financial Group,
based in Boston. The building is greater than 80% leased to a
variety of federal contractors. The 146,444-SF property at
4795 Meadow Wood Lane sold for $9.0M ($62/SF) from LNR
Partners to the American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association,
a member-owned life insurance company based in Reston.

25%

800

-400

Absorption in the third quarter was 246,981 SF, bringing the


year-to-date total to 464,081 SF, double that of the next-highest
submarket, Tysons. Absorption should slow moving forward, as
the submarket experienced almost no new leasing activity this
quarter. However, a stabilizing federal spending environment,
strong private-sector job growth, and no new construction starts
should keep an upward cap on vacancy rates. Renewals included
American Systems Corporations 57,600 SF lease extension at
14151 Park Meadow Drive and Aetnas 24,800 SF lease extension
at 14155 Newbrook Drive.

30%

1,000

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Asking Rent
$30

Outlook
For a submarket with a heavy presence of government
contractors and civil engineering firms, a new
administration may prove beneficial to tenants in Route 28
South. Promises from both major parties to vastly increase
funding for big-ticket items such as infrastructure and
cybersecurity gives established government contractors
the ability to further pivot toward these future areas of
growth.

Full Service PSF

$28
$26
$24
$22
$20
$18

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 13

Loudoun County
Vacancy
18.2%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

9,900 SF

64,800 SF

0 SF

$24.37 FS

Loudoun County continues to offer perhaps the best value of any


submarket in NoVA, as tenants can find attractive rental rates in
high-quality, newer buildings. The submarkets 5.1 MSF of office
space currently posts a vacancy rate of 18.2%, its lowest in over
ten years. Absorption has been positive in eight of the last nine
quarters, causing vacancy to fall 560 BP over the period.
The market experienced high leasing volume in the third quarter,
including a new 24,677 SF lease from Unanet at 22970 Indian
Creek Drive, and a new 20,854 SF lease from Truestone at 21355
Ridgetop Circle. New leasing has been consistent over the past
two years, averaging 43,000 SF of new leasing activity per
quarter. The submarket is on track to surpass 200,000 SF of new

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


600
500

300

15%

200

10%

100

5%

0
-100

06

07

08

09

10

11

Net Absorption

12

13

Deliveries

14

15 YTD
16

0%

Vacancy Rate

New Leasing Activity


0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
MSF

In the third quarter, Retail Properties of America announced


its intention to purchase the downtown of One Loudoun for
$161 million. This retail-heavy area contains a variety of bars,
restaurants, a cinema, and a grocer. Miller & Smith plans to further
develop the rest of the town center (which it will continue to own)
with multifamily units.

20%

400

leasing in 2016, which would be the highest annual leasing figure


since 2009.
The only building currently under construction is the 15,000-SF
19320 Diamond Lake Drive. This property is described as a live/
work building and is being constructed in the heart of Lansdowne
Town Center.

25%

Vacancy Rate

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Square Feet, 000s

Market Indicators

0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00

2006

2007

2008

2009

Q1

2010

2011

Q2

Q3

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Q4

Asking Rent
$28

Outlook
Loudoun Countys office market should continue to benefit
as development continues to shift westward along the Toll
Road and as tenants widen their search for space along
the length of the built and under construction portions of
the Silver Line. Proximity to executive housing, new and
affordable building product, and an increasing amount of
retail options will continue to benefit the submarket.

Full Service PSF

$26
$24
$22
$20
$18
$16

2011

2012

2013
Class A

2014

2015

2016

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 14

Appendix

Table Summaries
Metro Washington Office
Market Summary
15
Employment Data
15
Office Availability, Vacancy,
and Net Absorption
16

Metro Washington Office Market Summary: Third Quarter 2016p


Inventory

Total Vacant
Space

Vacancy
Rate

Q22016 Absorption

Year to Date
Absorption

Washington, DC

108,620,109

12,919,188

11.9%

108,557

580,677

Northern Virginia

130,524,599

27,572,227

21.1%

442,988

442,988

Suburban Maryland

56,596,533

12,005,453

21.2%

-7,974

232,508

Regional Totals

295,741,241

52,496,868

17.8%

543,571

1,256,173

Trailing 12-Month Data


17
Historical Year-End Data
18

Metro Washington Current Employment Data


Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Sep 2015)

Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Sep 2016p)

Jobs Added/
Lost*

Percent Change

Washington, DC

765,856

776,911

11,055

1.4%

Northern Virginia

1,399,311

1,430,522

31,211

2.2%

973,522

996,444

22,922

2.4%

3,161,722

3,235,644

73,922

2.3%

Market Statistics by Class


19-20
Survey of New Office Space
by Submarket
21-24
Methodology & Definitions
25

Suburban Maryland
Regional Totals

SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not seasonally adjusted)


* Average per year to date
p - preliminary

cushmanwakefield.com | 15

3,779,328
10,762,437

868,376
15,423,648

7,095,248
10,945,402
32,211,020
21,265,618
7,991,666
6,058,050
2,423,709
16,473,425
48,684,445
1,369,626
6,608,194
9,509,467
23,055,893
24,230,837
8,675,922
3,268,420
76,718,359
16,117,661
5,121,795
81,840,154
130,524,599

Ballston

Crystal City/Pentagon City

Arlington County

RB Corridor

Old Town

I-395 Corridor

Huntingon/Eisenhower

City of Alexandria

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66 Corridor

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

Northern Virginia

1,386,142

1,070,506

62,787

164,970

1,007,719

16,733

186,500

403,671

222,531

62,829

102,141

13,314

315,636

77,564

20,822

8,262

48,480

153,505

238,072

84,567

33,593

55,946

63,966

Sublet Space
Available

27,572,227

16,494,154

931,163

3,445,591

15,562,991

1,055,704

1,873,568

4,020,370

4,763,899

2,192,657

1,252,934

403,859

11,078,073

3,856,892

837,928

2,347,297

671,667

4,778,321

7,221,181

2,442,860

1,374,984

1,003,992

2,399,345

Total Space
Available

21.1%

20.2%

18.2%

21.4%

20.3%

32.3%

21.6%

16.6%

20.7%

23.1%

19.0%

29.5%

22.8%

23.4%

34.6%

38.7%

8.4%

22.5%

22.4%

22.3%

19.4%

18.1%

27.8%

Vacancy
Rate

411,825

122,142

21,860

(184,777)

100,282

20,417

241,446

(120,311)

150,548

(88,009)

(96,768)

(7,041)

289,683

46,032

(5,196)

3,048

48,180

96,825

243,651

146,826

90,506

17,680

(11,361)

New/Relet
Absorption

31,163

29,791

(11,925)

(16,553)

41,716

(3,311)

5,535

88,811

(32,036)

(8,703)

(7,850)

(730)

1,372

6,899

(8,945)

(3,100)

18,944

1,010

(5,527)

(6,537)

15,576

(15,377)

811

Sublet
Absorption

442,988

P - Preliminary

151,933

9,935

(201,330)

141,998

17,106

246,981

(31,500)

118,512

(96,712)

(104,618)

(7,771)

291,055

52,931

(14,141)

(52)

67,124

97,835

238,124

140,289

106,082

2,303

(10,550)

Total Net
Absorption

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

****New Space Available and New Space Absorption based on buildings delivered 2005 to present

26,186,085

3,280,621

14,555,272

1,038,971

1,687,068

3,616,699

4,541,368

2,129,828

1,150,793

390,545

817,106

2,339,035

623,187

4,624,816

6,983,109

2,358,293

1,341,391

948,046

5,531,747

Courthouse/
Clarendon/Virginia Square

2,335,379

8,638,623

New/Relet Space
Available

Rosslyn

Total Inventory

Office Availability, Vacancy, and Net Absorption, Third Quarter 2016p

Appendix

Cushman & Wakefield | 16

8,638,623

8,613,043

5,531,747

7,076,618

10,945,402

32,166,810

21,221,408

8,191,666

6,058,050

2,742,707

16,992,423

49,159,233

1,358,705

6,608,194

9,505,603

23,240,699

24,690,837

9,242,182

3,268,420

77,914,640

16,113,797

5,121,795

83,036,435

132,195,668

Rosslyn

Courthouse/
Clarendon/
Virginia Square

Ballston

Crystal City/
Pentagon City

Arlington County

RB Corridor

Old Town

I-395 Corridor

Huntington/
Eisenhower

City of Alexandria

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66 Corridor

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

Northern Virginia

130,922,599

81,900,154

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,778,359

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,290,837

23,055,893

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

49,022,445

16,811,425

2,761,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

8,638,623

2nd Qtr 2016

130,524,599

81,840,154

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,718,359

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,230,837

23,055,893

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

48,684,445

16,473,425

2,423,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

8,638,623

3rd Qtr 2016

21.2%

19.7%

20.3%

18.5%

19.7%

35.1%

24.8%

16.4%

19.1%

17.4%

20.2%

30.4%

23.6%

25.0%

42.3%

37.3%

10.2%

23.7%

22.9%

21.3%

18.9%

21.7%

29.1%

4th Qtr
2015

21.4%

20.2%

19.7%

19.9%

20.2%

33.2%

25.0%

17.1%

19.3%

21.6%

17.4%

31.5%

23.5%

24.7%

41.4%

37.5%

9.1%

23.3%

22.9%

22.2%

21.1%

18.6%

28.1%

1st Qtr
2016

21.6%

20.2%

18.4%

20.2%

20.3%

34.5%

24.1%

16.7%

20.3%

22.3%

17.1%

28.9%

23.9%

25.2%

41.4%

38.7%

9.2%

23.1%

23.2%

23.6%

21.7%

17.6%

27.7%

2nd Qtr
2016

Office Vacancy Rate

21.1%

20.2%

18.2%

21.4%

20.3%

32.3%

21.6%

16.6%

20.7%

23.1%

19.0%

29.5%

22.8%

23.4%

34.6%

38.7%

8.4%

22.5%

22.4%

22.3%

19.4%

18.1%

27.8%

3rd Qtr
2016

150,018

125,945

18,110

7,300

107,835

111,018

(8,266)

(109,727)

160,384

33,223

(25,923)

(52,874)

24,073

(132,450)

(4,877)

(99,645)

(27,928)

159

156,523

156,364

46,270

(89,724)

43,613

4th Qtr 2015

(319,132)

(299,410)

33,198

(220,679)

(332,608)

63,345

136,827

(195,888)

(97,668)

(406,138)

185,459

(18,545)

(19,722)

35,511

17,713

14,386

3,412

38,501

(55,233)

(93,734)

(209,841)

172,148

76,194

1st Qtr 2016

370,820

378,712

37,123

(42,342)

341,589

(41,660)

80,273

96,870

212,913

(66,305)

23,963

35,535

(7,892)

35,702

(551)

43,842

(7,589)

19,699

(43,594)

(63,293)

(42,416)

54,119

7,996

2nd Qtr 2016

Total Office Absorption

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

p- preliminary

130,440,659

81,418,214

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,296,419

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,290,837

22,573,953

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

49,022,445

16,811,425

2,761,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

1st Qtr 2016

Total Office Inventory

4th Qtr 2015

Trailing 12-Month Data

442,988

151,933

9,935

(201,330)

141,998

17,106

246,981

(31,500)

118,512

(96,712)

(104,618)

(7,771)

291,055

52,931

(14,141)

(52)

67,124

97,835

238,124

140,289

106,082

2,303

(10,550)

3rd Qtr 2016

Appendix

cushmanwakefield.com | 17

23,240,699
24,690,837

1,358,705
6,746,835
9,505,603
23,638,285
24,690,837
9,092,182
3,268,420
78,300,867
16,252,438

Merrifield/Route 50

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Tysons Corner

Reston/Herndon

Rt 28 S/Chantilly

Springfield

Fairfax County

50-66

132,781,417

Northern Virginia

130,524,599

81,840,154

5,121,795

16,117,661

76,718,359

3,268,420

8,675,922

24,230,837

23,055,893

9,509,467

6,608,194

1,369,626

48,684,445

16,473,425

2,423,709

6,058,050

7,991,666

21,265,618

32,211,020

10,945,402

7,095,248

5,531,747

8,638,623

2016 p

21.1%

18.8%

21.0%

18.0%

18.7%

38.1%

22.4%

15.7%

20.1%

17.1%

19.3%

23.2%

23.9%

24.1%

41.6%

35.9%

9.2%

23.8%

23.7%

23.7%

20.9%

16.5%

30.6%

2014

21.2%

19.7%

20.3%

18.5%

19.7%

35.1%

24.8%

16.4%

19.1%

17.4%

20.2%

30.4%

23.6%

25.0%

42.3%

37.3%

10.2%

23.7%

22.9%

21.3%

18.9%

21.7%

29.1%

2015

21.1%

20.2%

18.2%

21.4%

20.3%

32.3%

21.6%

16.6%

20.7%

23.1%

19.0%

29.5%

22.8%

23.4%

34.6%

38.7%

8.4%

22.5%

22.4%

22.3%

19.4%

18.1%

27.8%

2016 p

Office Vacancy Rate

(905,638)

(615,383)

88,059

15,030

(703,442)

(151,859)

(378,965)

64,288

(274,063)

(86,554)

101,584

22,127

(290,255)

65,115

61,173

(85,665)

89,607

(492,443)

(355,370)

137,073

(308,316)

194,219

(378,346)

2014

551,239

327,546

74,754

(100,526)

252,792

73,408

41,794

268,104

67,379

5,921

(106,447)

(97,367)

223,693

(327,466)

(17,885)

(227,461)

(82,120)

204,931

551,159

346,228

127,316

(81,594)

159,209

2015

73,640

2016 p

494,676

231,235

80,256

(464,351)

150,979

38,791

464,081

(130,518)

233,757

(569,155)

104,804

9,219

263,441

124,144

3,021

58,176

62,947

156,035

139,297

(16,738)

(146,175)

228,570

Total Annual Absorption

1 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

2 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

132,195,668

5,121,795
83,036,435

5,072,696
83,373,563

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway

16,113,797

77,914,640

3,268,420

9,242,182

9,505,603

6,608,194

1,358,705

49,159,233

49,407,854

Inside the Beltway

Annandale/Baileys

2,742,707
16,992,423

6,058,050

2,742,707

6,293,050

I-395 Corridor

8,191,666

21,221,408

17,227,423

8,191,666

Old Town

City of Alexandria

21,048,500

RB Corridor

32,166,810

10,945,402

7,076,618

Huntingon/Eisenhower

11,131,931
32,180,431

6,820,962

Ballston

Arlington County

5,531,747

Crystal City/Pentagon City

8,613,043

8,695,791

Rosslyn

Courthouse/Clarendon/
Virginia Square
5,531,747

2015

Total Office Inventory


2014

Historical Year-End Data

Appendix

Cushman & Wakefield | 18

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 3rd Quarter 2016 Market Statistics

Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New/Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average
Asking Rent
(FS)

47

7,855,196

18.7%

0.6%

19.3%

27,936

720,000

$35.10

64

6,746,020

31.6%

0.3%

31.8%

13,981

$29.99

27

1,872,209

9.7%

0.6%

10.2%

11,014

$24.68

TOTAL

138

16,473,425

22.9%

0.5%

23.4%

52,931

720,000

$31.14

49

12,757,247

20.2%

0.8%

21.0%

88,859

862,729

$43.14

35

9,378,602

25.2%

0.3%

25.5%

10,446

$40.81

19

2,280,849

29.5%

2.0%

31.5%

(1,470)

$34.97

TOTAL

103

21,265,618

21.7%

0.7%

22.5%

97,835

862,729

$40.87

Alexandria
Class

RB Corridor
Class

Crystal City/Pentagon City


Class
A

25

7,794,322

17.5%

0.9%

18.4%

391,584

$39.33

14

3,151,080

31.5%

0.5%

31.9%

(251,295)

$34.86

39

10,945,402

21.5%

0.8%

22.3%

140,289

$37.43

51

13,126,289

19.5%

0.9%

20.4%

76,142

1,751,813

$37.44

61

7,751,416

20.7%

1.3%

21.9%

8,667

$29.47

30

2,178,188

17.7%

0.2%

17.9%

33,703

$24.93

TOTAL

142

23,055,893

19.7%

1.0%

20.7%

118,512

1,751,813

$31.93

106

17,967,174

14.9%

1.8%

16.7%

(42,662)

354,913

$31.06

64

5,589,260

13.7%

1.5%

15.2%

26,300

$25.51

15

674,403

25.9%

0.0%

25.9%

(15,138)

$21.27

TOTAL

185

24,230,837

14.9%

1.7%

16.6%

(31,500)

354,913

$28.88

TOTAL
Tysons
Class

Reston/Herndon
Class

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.

cushmanwakefield.com | 19

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 3rd Quarter 2016 Market Statistics
Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New/Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average
Asking Rent
(FS)

Merriield/Route 50
Class
A

20

3,616,798

21.2%

2.3%

23.5%

(58,704)

$31.93

15

1,566,456

19.2%

1.1%

20.3%

(43,809)

$25.78

20

1,424,940

5.9%

0.0%

5.9%

(2,105)

$22.02

TOTAL

55

6,608,194

17.4%

1.5%

19.0%

(104,618)

$30.31

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna
Class
A

25

4,365,706

18.9%

0.0%

18.9%

(17,560)

385,000

$29.65

47

4,410,647

25.4%

1.4%

26.8%

(60,202)

$24.33

12

733,114

25.4%

0.2%

25.6%

(18,950)

$23.54

TOTAL

84

9,509,467

22.4%

0.7%

23.1%

(96,712)

385,000

$25.20

48

6,127,730

18.8%

0.9%

19.7%

232,450

$27.36

27

2,548,192

21.1%

5.1%

26.2%

14,531

$23.13

75

8,675,922

19.4%

2.1%

21.6%

246,981

$25.91

Route 28 South
Class

TOTAL

Loudoun County
Class
A

40

3,658,941

14.6%

1.1%

15.7%

8,322

64,800

$25.83

18

1,462,854

22.9%

1.5%

24.5%

1,613

$21.19

58

5,121,795

17.0%

1.2%

18.2%

9,935

64,800

$24.37

TOTAL

Northern Virginia
Class
A

426

79,581,628

18.5%

1.1%

19.6%

733,876

4,139,255

$34.83

352

40,064,494

23.2%

1.1%

24.4%

(282,326)

$30.50

144

10,878,477

19.9%

0.6%

20.5%

(8,562)

$26.92

TOTAL

922

130,524,599

20.1%

1.1%

21.1%

442,988

4,139,255

$32.24

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.
Cushman & Wakefield | 20

cushmanwakefield.com | 21

JBG

Carr Properties

Marymount University

1201 Wilson Boulevard

2311 Wilson Boulevard

1000 North Glebe Road

Lowe Enterprises

2401 Eisenhower Avenue

Navy Federal Credit Union

Peterson Companies

1041 Electric Avenue

4097 Monument Corner Drive

U/R = Under Renovation

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

FS

Status

N/A

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

N/A

N/A

RENTAL RATE

U/C = Under Construction

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Fairfax/Oakton/Vienna

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Alexandria

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

RB Corridor

3Q17

2Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

1Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

2Q17

3Q17

3Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

U/C

U/C

STATUS

131,172
56,631

174,962
166,767

150,000

235,000

235,000

AVAILABLE
SPACE

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

720,000
720,000

AVAILABLE
SPACE

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

383,503

195,700

521,000

862,729

AVAILABLE
SPACE

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

100%

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

56%

64%

25%

62%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

Apple Federal Credit Union

Navy Federal Credit Union

MAJOR TENANTS

National Science Foundation

MAJOR TENANTS

Marymount University

Opower

CEB

MAJOR TENANTS

Cushman & Wakefield | 22

Capital One

Meridian Group

MITRE

Capital One Tower

8350 Broad Street

Colshire Drive / MITRE IV

Comstock Partners

1900 Reston Metro Plaza

Oaklawn Development Partners

309 Kellys Ford Plaza SE

4Q16

DELIVERY
DATE

2Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

4Q16

1Q18

3Q18

DELIVERY
DATE

U/R = Under Renovation

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

FS

Status

U/C = Under Construction

0
738,416

738,416

AVAILABLE
SPACE

3,702,442

975,000

2018 DELIVERIES

2019 DELIVERIES
TOTAL CURRENTLY UNDER CONSTRUCTION/RENOVATION

404,800

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

64,800
64,800

AVAILABLE
SPACE

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

354,913

354,913

354,913
354,913

AVAILABLE
SPACE

352,371

352,371

AVAILABLE
SPACE

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

1,751,813

340,000

436,813

975,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

2,322,642

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

U/C

U/C

STATUS

2017 DELIVERIES

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

N/A

N/A

RENTAL RATE

2016 DELIVERIES

Northern Virginia
Summary

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Leesburg

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Reston/Herndon

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Tysons Corner

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

80%

0%

100%

68%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

0%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

80%

100%

100%

100%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

EIT, LLC

MAJOR TENANTS

N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

MITRE

Tegna

Capital One

MAJOR TENANTS

cushmanwakefield.com | 23

Lerner Enterprises

The Alter Group

1775 Tysons Boulevard / The


Corporate Office Centre @ Tyssons
II

4850 Stonecroft Boulevard / The


Crossroads at Westfields II

Merritt Properties, LLC

LGV Group

Comstock Holding Companies, Inc

Corporate Office Properties Trust

20193 Ashbrook Pl

22365 Broderick Dr

43777 Central Station Dr

4870 Stonecroft Blvd

FS = Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char


N = Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes
NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2015 Deliveries

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2016 Deliveries

N/A

$28.50

$22.75

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

N/A

RENTAL RATE

Route 28 South

Loudoun

Loudoun

Loudoun

SUBMARKET

Route 28 South/Chantilly

Tysons Corner

SUBMARKET

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available
N/A = No Space Available

Delivered 3Q15

Delivered 1Q15

Delivered 1Q15

Delivered 1Q15

STATUS

Delivered 1Q16

Delivered 2Q16

STATUS

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

13,045
32,690
0

35,368
99,099
159,300

45,735

32,675

326,442

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

282,212

160,000

122,212

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

635,809

160,000

475,809

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

14%

0%

33%

37%

0%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

44%

0%

26%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

77%

100%

50%

26%

100%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

56%

100%

39%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Cushman & Wakefield | 24

Pentagon Federal Credit Union

KBS Realty Advisors

Macerich

7940 Jones Branch Dr

3001-3003 Washington Blvd

7900 Tysons One Pl

Monday Properties

Lowe Enterprises

Monument Enterprises

Rubenstein Partners, LP

Halle Enterprises

Beulah Street LLC II

Zumot Real Estate Management

Duke Realty

1812 North Moore Street

1400 Crystal Drive

901 South Clark Street

7951-7961 Loisdale Road

5680 King Center Drive

6400 Beulah Street Office II

14399 Penrose Place

4801 Stonecroft Boulevard

60,244

528,290

N/A = No Space Available

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available

Route 28 South

Route 28 South

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Pentagon City

Crystal City

Rosslyn

SUBMARKET

230,401
0
221,316
70,447
2,353
26,952
0

308,898
332,084
242,272
110,047
35,000
104,000
254,578

1,086,850

535,381

535,381

1,922,260

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

126,170

65,926

306,007

Clarendon/Courthouse/VA
Square

1,130,554

296,257

Tysons

Tysons

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

RENTABLE
BUILDING
AREA

SUBMARKET

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

N/A

$29.50 FS

$32.00 FS

$34.50-$37.50

Withheld

N/A

$44.00-$52.00 FS

$50.00-$65.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

$55.00-$65.00

Withheld

N/A

RENTAL RATE

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

STATUS

Delivered 2Q14

Delivered 1Q14

Delivered 4Q14

STATUS

FS

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2013 Deliveries

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2014 Deliveries

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

57%

0%

26%

23%

64%

100%

0%

75%

100%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

11%

11%

22%

0%

VACANCY RATE (AS


OF CURRENT
QUARTER)*

33%

100%

25%

67%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

47%

44%

48%

53%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Methodology & Definitions


Methodology

Explanation of Terms

Market statistics are calculated


from a base building inventory
made up of office properties
deemed to be competitive in the
typical Washington, DC office
market. Single-tenant buildings and
privately-owned buildings in which
the federal government leases space
are included.
Generally, owneroccupied
and
federally-owned
buildings are not included. Older
buildings unfit for occupancy or ones
that require substantial renovation
before
tenancy
are
generally
not included in the competitive
inventory. Vacant space is defined
as space that is physically vacant and
available immediately. Sublet space
still occupied by the tenant is not
counted as vacant space.

Total Inventory: The total amount


of office space (in buildings greater
than 10,000 square feet) that can be
rented by a Fourth party.
New Space Vacant: First generation,
never-occupied office space in
newly constructed or substantially
renovated buildings, being actively
marketed by a landlord.
Relet
Space
Vacant:
Secondgeneration,
unoccupied
office
space being actively marketed by a
landlord. (Space that is marketed but
largely occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Sublet Space Vacant: Secondgeneration, unoccupied space being
actively marketed by a tenant.
(Sublet space that is marketed but
still occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Total Space Vacant: The sum of
new, relet, and sublet space that
is unoccupied and being actively
marketed.
Vacancy Rate: The amount of
unoccupied space (new, relet, and
sublet) expressed as a percentage of
total inventory. (Total Space Vacant
divided by Total Inventory.)

Total Space Available: The total


amount of space, both vacant and
occupied, being actively marketed
for lease by a tenant or landlord.
(This includes space that is currently
occupied but marketed for future
availability.)
Availability Rate: The total amount
of space being actively marketed for
lease (both vacant and occupied)
expressed as a percentage of total
inventory. (Total Space Available
divided by Total Inventory.)
Absorption: The net change in
occupied space between two points
in time. (Total occupied space in the
previous quarter minus total occupied
space in the current quarter, quoted
on a net, not gross, basis.)
New/Relet/Sublet Absorption: The
net change in occupied new, relet,
and sublet space between two
quarters.
Total Absorption: The net change
in total occupied (new, relet, and
sublet) space between two quarters.
New Leasing Activity: The sum of
all square footage underlying any
leases between two quarters. This
includes pre-leasing activity as well
as expansion. It does not include
renewals.

Disclaimer
This report and other research materials may be found on our website at www.cushmanwakefield.com. This is a research
document of Cushman & Wakefield in Washington, DC. Questions related to information herein should be directed to the
Research Department at +1 202 463 2100. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable and
no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof.
About Cushman & Wakefield
Cushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients transform the way people work, shop, and
live. Our 43,000 employees in more than 60 countries help investors and occupiers optimize the value of their real estate by
combining our global perspective and deep local knowledge with an impressive platform of real estate solutions. Cushman
& Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms with revenue of $5 billion across core services of
agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facility services (C&W Services), global occupier services, investment & asset
management (DTZ Investors), project & development services, tenant representation, and valuation & advisory. To learn more,
visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

cushmanwakefield.com | 25

Visit cushmanwakefield.com for more information on the full range of


Cushman & Wakefield commercial real estate services or contact:
Nathan Edwards
Regional Director
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Sam Prendergast
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Joseph Wood
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100

About Cushman & Wakefield


Cushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients
transform the way people work, shop, and live. Our 43,000 employees in more than
60 countries help investors and occupiers optimize the value of their real estate by
combining our global perspective and deep local knowledge with an impressive
platform of real estate solutions. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest
commercial real estate services firms with revenue of $5 billion across core services
of agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facility services (C&W Services),
global occupier services, investment & asset management (DTZ Investors), project &
development services, tenant representation, and valuation & advisory. To learn more,
visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

Publication date: 6.2.16


Copyright 2016 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved.

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