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Vannevar Bush:
Science has a simple faith (belief), which transcends utility. It is the faith
that it is the privilege of man to learn to understand, and that this is his
mission
If scientific reasoning were limited to the logical processes of arithmetic,
we should not get very far in our understanding of the physical world. One
might as well attempt to grasp the game of poker entirely by the use of the
mathematics of probability
The Manhattan Project
Lecture 2
Climate Change: The Physics of Global Warming
Modern Day Global Warming Rate of Change
Is it really happening?
Global temperature has risen
Thermometers say yes data clear trend
Arctic Sea is melting
However, sea levels would not rise ice cube in a glass
If Greenland were to melt then yes sea levels would rise
Land ice is a better proxy
Covers the whole planet
Glacier thickness change drop
Yes, glaciers need to melt because we are going out of an ice age
the rate is too fast
Sea levels are rising
Stratosphere is at a lower temperature
Absorbing heat like putting a blanket over the earth, keeping the
heat in
But what is causing it?
Natural variability (El Nino, the Ice Age)
El Nino
Huge amount of warm precipitation
Ocean oscillations warm and cold phases in the water
Pacific - Warm phase with increased storms and rain
Atlantic Associated with huge hurricanes
Volcanoes
Blast ash and gas to the stratosphere
However they cool the earth because they block sunlight
People
Lecture 3:
The Science of Science Communication
The Two-Climate Changes Thesis
One that affects people
Another that you identify with, it tells about your party
Measurement problem
How do you measure belief?
Main idea: Our beliefs or the party we choose to identify with
decides what our knowledge on climate change is
Lecture 4:
The Paris Agreement from Breakdown to Breakthrough
June 1992 Earth summit Rio
Signed agreement convention on climate change
Developed countries were to reduce emissions however it was an aim
softened the commitment
Only 3 countries hit the target, USSR, Germany, Britain
Britain - Shut coal mines and brought in natural gas
USSR collapsed economy
Germany Both
Nobody else hit the targets because their economies were growing and
they didnt take the agreement seriously
2008-9 emissions went down because of the collapse of the economy
2009 there was a push to try to fix it
Copenhagen Conference of the Parties
Get serious about climate change
Failed
Conference of the Parties Paris last December
Lecture 6:
The Himalayas: What is so big about them?
Eco zone: Species of a specific type and live only there
Because of the formation of Himalayas
o A new Eco zone was formed
Hindu Kush-Himalayas are a dynamic landscape with a rich and remarkable
biodiversity 1995
o High relative relief and steep slopes, mountains are remarkably diverse
and globally important as centers of biological diversity 2004
Eastern Himalayas
Ecosystem Services