Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Tracking
Report
Dates
Jan-2007
Feb-2007
Mar-2007
Apr-2007
May-2007
Jun-2007
Jul-2007
Aug-2007
Sep-2007
Oct-2007
Nov-2007
Dec-2007
Jan-2008
Feb-2008
Mar-2008
Apr-2008
May-2008
Jun-2008
Jul-2008
Aug-2008
Sep-2008
Oct-2008
Nov-2008
Dec-2008
Jan-2009
Feb-2009
Mar-2009
Apr-2009
May-2009
Jun-2009
Jul-2009
Aug-2009
Sep-2009
Oct-2009
Nov-2009
Dec-2009
Jan-2010
Feb-2010
Mar-2010
Apr-2010
May-2010
Jun-2010
Actual
Forecast
130,587.00
145,872.00
159,035.00
128,270.00
168,367.00
154,220.00
161,061.00
167,208.00
162,639.00
146,908.00
174,086.00
136,998.00
185,900.00
188,047.00
186,286.00
221,016.00
217,867.00
204,735.00
214,136.00
223,222.00
212,012.00
207,671.00
210,231.00
194,423.00
162,135.00
180,723.00
196,695.00
189,082.00
206,992.00
218,614.00
250,483.00
279,054.00
187,904.00
279,049.00
249,364.00
250,897.00
Yamaha (VD)
300,000.00
250,000.00
200,000.00
150,000.00
100,000.00
50,000.00
0.00
Jan-2007
Apr-2007
Jul-2007
Oct-2007
Jan-2008
Apr-2008
Actual
Jul-2008
Forecast
Monthly
206,479.97
206,479.97
206,479.97
206,479.97
206,479.97
206,479.97
1,238,879.80
206,479.97
206,479.97
206,479.97
Forecast
Quarterly
Annual
619,439.90
619,439.90
619,439.90
619,439.90
619,439.90
Oct-2008
#DIV/0!
0.00
0.00
Jan-2009
Apr-2009
Fitted Values
Jul-2009
Oct-2009
Jan-2010
Apr-2010
12.27%
38,672.90
43.28%
Original Data
130,587.00
145,872.00
159,035.00
128,270.00
168,367.00
154,220.00
161,061.00
167,208.00
162,639.00
146,908.00
174,086.00
136,998.00
185,900.00
188,047.00
186,286.00
221,016.00
217,867.00
204,735.00
214,136.00
223,222.00
212,012.00
207,671.00
210,231.00
194,423.00
162,135.00
180,723.00
196,695.00
189,082.00
206,992.00
218,614.00
250,483.00
279,054.00
187,904.00
279,049.00
Fitted Data
165,344.68
161,034.38
161,943.53
153,556.11
163,429.86
167,147.76
161,253.70
187,392.09
212,555.76
194,570.70
211,843.76
185,715.07
199,962.84
195,150.17
207,027.40
215,926.89
217,085.39
224,327.25
235,267.61
246,898.27
227,881.69
209,332.38
197,121.79
163,562.84
162,304.15
175,354.18
177,811.54
158,216.87
183,108.57
190,451.09
203,285.03
227,731.16
175,289.08
222,019.95
Error
-34,757.68
-15,162.38
-2,908.53
-25,286.11
4,937.14
-12,927.76
-192.70
-20,184.09
-49,916.76
-47,662.70
-37,757.76
-48,717.07
-14,062.84
-7,103.17
-20,741.40
5,089.11
781.61
-19,592.25
-21,131.61
-23,676.27
-15,869.69
-1,661.38
13,109.21
30,860.16
-169.15
5,368.82
18,883.46
30,865.13
23,883.43
28,162.91
47,197.97
51,322.84
12,614.92
57,029.05
Series % Change
11.70%
9.02%
-19.34%
31.26%
-8.40%
4.44%
3.82%
-2.73%
-9.67%
18.50%
-21.30%
35.70%
1.15%
-0.94%
18.64%
-1.42%
-6.03%
4.59%
4.24%
-5.02%
-2.05%
1.23%
-7.52%
-16.61%
11.46%
8.84%
-3.87%
9.47%
5.61%
14.58%
11.41%
-32.66%
48.51%
Forecast % Change
-2.61%
0.56%
-5.18%
6.43%
2.27%
-3.53%
16.21%
13.43%
-8.46%
8.88%
-12.33%
7.67%
-2.41%
6.09%
4.30%
0.54%
3.34%
4.88%
4.94%
-7.70%
-8.14%
-5.83%
-17.02%
-0.77%
8.04%
1.40%
-11.02%
15.73%
4.01%
6.74%
12.03%
-23.03%
26.66%
Cumulative Error
-34,757.68
-24,960.03
-17,609.53
-19,528.67
-14,635.51
-14,350.89
-12,328.29
-13,310.26
-17,377.65
-20,406.16
-21,983.58
-24,211.37
-23,430.71
-22,264.46
-22,162.92
-20,459.67
-19,210.18
-19,231.41
-19,331.42
-19,548.66
-19,373.47
-18,568.38
-17,191.09
-15,188.96
-14,588.16
-13,820.59
-12,609.33
-11,056.67
-9,851.84
-8,584.68
-6,785.24
-4,969.36
-4,436.50
-2,628.69
Nov-2009
Dec-2009
Avg
Max
Min
StDev
Var
Median
249,364.00
250,897.00
193,105.25
279,054.00
128,270.00
38,672.90
1,495,592,910.42
188,564.50
204,500.78
206,384.66
193,105.25
246,898.27
153,556.11
25,441.81
647,285,700.05
194,860.44
44,863.22
44,512.34
0.00
57,029.05
-49,916.76
29,125.71
848,307,210.37
-927.04
-10.64%
0.61%
3.05%
48.51%
-32.66%
15.84%
2.51%
1.23%
-7.89%
0.92%
1.12%
26.66%
-23.03%
9.96%
0.99%
1.40%
-1,271.78
0.00
-15,611.77
0.00
-34,757.68
7,437.14
55,311,035.77
-17,284.37
SS
22,654,999,501.88
29,690,752,362.87
52,345,751,864.75
df
1
34
35
MS
22,654,999,501.88
873,257,422.44
SEE
29,550.93
Included in model
Dependent
Yes
Coefficient
67,370.85
0.46
Standard error
25,172.10
0.09
T-test
P-value
2.68
5.09
Elasticity
0.01
0.00
Included in model
Dependent
Yes
Yamaha (VD)
Merek Lain
1.00
0.66
0.66
1.00
Value
12.27%
43.28%
Forecast Statistics
Mean
Standard Deviation
Value
Multiple Regression
Value
[Pertemuan 6.xlsx]Regresi Sederhana'!$A$17:$C$53
Monthly
6.00
No
0.65
No
No
No
No
No
Multiple Regression
009
Jan-2010
Apr-2010
Cumulative MAPE
26.62%
15.91%
10.81%
9.34%
7.59%
6.56%
5.62%
5.11%
4.92%
4.75%
4.50%
4.37%
4.08%
3.81%
3.60%
3.39%
3.19%
3.04%
2.91%
2.79%
2.67%
2.55%
2.45%
2.38%
2.28%
2.20%
2.13%
2.08%
2.02%
1.97%
1.92%
1.88%
1.83%
1.79%
1.76%
1.72%
4.63%
26.62%
1.72%
4.79%
0.23%
2.97%
Overall F-test
25.94
Value
193,105.25
38,672.90