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Sathye, M., Bartle, J., Vincent, M., Boffey, R. (2003) Credit Analysis & Lending
Management , John Wiley & Sons, Milton, Australia.

First published 2003 by


John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd
33 Park Road, Milton, Qld 4064
Offices also in Sydney and Melbourne
Typeset iilll/13 Berkeley
Milind Sathye, James Bartle, Michael Vincent,
Ray Boffey 2003

National Library of Australia


Cataloguing-in-Publication data
Credit analysis and lending management.
Includes index.
ISBN 0470800410.
1. Credit. 2. Credit - Management. 3. Loans.
4. Risk management. 1. Sathye, Milind.

332.7
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10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Part 6
Current issues

Part 1
Overview
1. The principles of lending and lending
basics 3

Part 2
Analysis and interpretation 01
credit risk
2. Financial statements analysis
3. Credit scoring techniques

45

88

4. Credit risk analysis - an introduction 108

15. Marketing of loans 442


16. Future directions 479

Part 7
Case studies
Case study 1 - Boat Builders Pty Ltd

499

Case study 2 - Financial analysis of Boat


Builders Pty Ltd 507

Case study 4 - Veterinary Clinic Pty Ltd

5. Consumer lending

137

6. Real estate lending

174

Part 4
Corporate and business lending
241

9. Small business lending

516

Case study 5 - Credit risk of major Australian


banks 522

7. Security, consumer credit legislation and


legal aspects of lending 205

10. International lending

413

Case study 3 - Orbital Engine Corporation


Ltd 512

Part 3
Consumer lending

8. Corporate lending

14. Electronic banking and lending

266
311

Part 5
Assessment and management
01 risk
11. Credit risk measurement and management
of the loan portfolio 335
12. Credit risk from the regulator's
perspective 370
13. Problem loan management 389

Glossary

525

Index 533

The principles of lending and


lending basics
learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. identify the basic principles governing bank
lending and explain their importance

2. understand the framework within which credit and


lending decisions are taken
3. understand the lending process
4. explain the characteristics of various types of bank
advance
5. distinguish different types of borrowers and the
special considerations that apply to them when
giving loans
6. explain how advances are structured
7. explain the importance of credit culture in a
lending institution
8. undersjandhow an advances portfolio is designed.

proposals. Even if the credit analysis is done by modem methods, however, it


rests on the foundation provided by traditional analysis. One cannot exclude
traditional credit analysis altogether; it must be taken into account. Traditional
approaches comprise three methods of credit assessment: the judgemental
method (also called the expert systems method), the rating method and the
credit scoring method. We will explain the traditional approaches to credit
analysis and then the modem approaches.

Traditional methods of credit analysis


The purpose of any credit assessment or analysis is the measurement of credit
risk. According to De Lucia and Peters (1993), borrowers' credit assessment is
done using the following criteria, popularly known as the five Cs of lending:
collateral
character
conditions_
capacity
capital
Some ,au'thors combine capacity and capital, a,nd conditions and collateral
to have just three Cs of lending. The fact remains that credit assessment
'considers all the above ,actors; combining some of the Cs does not exclude'
them from consideration. Also remember that these five Cs of lending are
applicable whether the loan is made to a personal borrower or business borrower. We will refer to these Cs of credit assessment throughout this book.
Weerasooriya (1998) suggests adding one more C to the list: compliance.
This means compliance with various'statutes and regulations, particularly
the Uniform Consumer Credit Code. We support Weerasooriya's observation
because it puts the credit analysis in its proper perspective. The ,details' of
.legal aspects with which lenders have to comply can be found in chapter 7.
We will now explain each of the traditional five Cs and how their analysis
helps a financial institution in judging the safety, suitability and profitability of
a loan.

Character
Character is perhaps the most important and, at the same time, the most difficult criterion to assess. The famous American banker, Pierpoint Morgan, once
said: 'the first thing '1 look for is the borrower's character. 1 consider that more
important than m~ney or property Ol' even before money or property or, anything else. M~:mey Cannor buy character. A person 1 do not trust could not get
money from me on -all the bonds in Christendom ... 1 have known a man to
come into my offiqe and 1 have given him a cheque for a million dollars when 1
knew he had not a cent in the world' (Weerasooriya 1998, p. 99). There is no
more powerful,statemenuthan this, which highlights the importance of character in the assessment of credit. What is character? Character is the sum total'
of human qualities of honesty;, integrity, morality and so on. The Macquarie
Dictionary defines charaner as 'the ag'gregate of qualities that distinguishes one
person or thing fromotherso'. Lenders 'Yant to know 'whether borrowers are
morally honest or tricky, industrious or )azy, prudent or speculative, thrifty Or

Part 1: Overview

,I

~ .

spendthrift, and whether they have other such qualities. These qualities
combined constitute the character of the borrower. A person who is not honest
represents a risky proposition for a !ender, who will not know whether the
money borrowed has been put to the stated use. This author, while working as
a lending banker, encountered a borrower who borrowed money for farm
improvement but used it to construct a farmhouse. The loan was to be repaid
out of excess income to be generated by the farm improvement, but it was
diverted for unproductive use. The borrower repeatedly promised that he would
soon repay the loan used for' the farmhouse, but which banker would believe
such a promise?
Character is like glass. Ouce it is broken, it cannot be repaired. Even if
repaired, the' mark~ of s~ch a ,epair are always present. Some people with high
positions in.public lite have had to leave the position when their d:jaracter came
into question. Dishonesty can lead to disgrace. For this reasop., preserving one's
character is vital.
.
Given the importance of character in general and in' a.lending situatiqn in
particular, how should one assess character? Character.is subjecti;'e; further, it
represents different notions in different cultures. What is considered as good'
character in one culture may not be so regarded in other cultures. A lender
needs to account for these aspects while assessing character. The lending
banker is concerned with the financial character of the borrower - that is, does'
the borrower exhibit honesty and moral integrity in matters of finance? Many
, times, it is hard to draw a line between financial character and general character. It is hard to believe that a person who is dishonest ip. general life would
be honest in financial matters, so the total character of a person does matter for
a lender. A lender must judge which of the information received about a borrower's character is material and which can be ignored. Given this subjectivity,
how do lenders .assess character?
Character assessment involves collecting information about the borrower's
track record of integrity, repayment ability and spending habits. Such information is collected not only in personal loans, but also in business loans. In
personal loans, character assessment may seem quite straightforward because
information .iscollected on only one or maybe two individuals. For business
ioans, character assessment involves analysis of the character' of all the owners
, and ma'nagers of th~ business, In the case of a partnership, it involves assessing
thd character of all the partners of the firm, In the case of joint stock companies
(called public companies in Australia), tl.te character of the directors of the
company is assessed, and in the case of a charit~ble trust, that of the trustees is
assessed.
Assessment of a borrower's track record should not be a problem if tlie borrower is an existing customeJ; of the bank. If the customer has been a previous
borrower, then hislher performance in loan repayment could be a good indication of the ~character of the' borrower. Wa~ the customer prompt in repayment? Or was the mank required to follow up to get repayment? If a corporation
has taken an ~,:,~rdraft, were all the proceeds of the busiuess routed through the
="'."

,,<p

'l'Y-:;;!'?f.;l?:,:.;-~~~:

Chapter 1: The prinCiples of lending and lending basics

overdraft account? If not, why not? These and other such questions can help
the lender in assessing the character of the prospective borrower. Throughout
this book, you will find various types of character-related question asked by
lenders of prospective borrowers. Lending is all about asking the right questions and finding the true answers. The character questions that need to be
asked for personal loans are fairly simple compared with those for business
loans, for which many more issues need to be considered.
Assessment of character for personal loans is not hard. Personal loans such as credit cards, home loans and car loans - are granted to individuals, so
character assessment centres around the honesty and integrity of that individual
or group of individuals. Assessment is generally undertaken by one or more of
.
the following means:

If the individual is a customer of the bank; then infor:mation about himlher i?


already with the bank. The credit history and dealings provide an indiuition
of the individual's character. Has the customer previously borrowed from the
bank? If so, did he/she 'repay the loan in time? Was the lender required to
follow up to ensure repayment? How were the customer's dealings "vith the
bank generally? If the information received in response to these questions is
p~sitive, then the lender will conclude that the character of the party is good.
Where the borrower is new and not a previous client of the bank, the lending
officer should collect information from the customer's existing bankers.
In the case of an applicant who is a salaried employee, the lender contacts
the applicant'S employers and seeks confidential information about the
employee, particularly anything adverse. The bank must be careful while
making such a contact and should not reveal any details about the customer,
which could constitute a breach of confidentiality and secrecy obligations.
The lending officer should collect information in a more general manner.
The bank may contact fri.ends and relatives of the prospective borrower to
ascertain the character of the borrower. Similarly, lenders often require
. borrowers to indicate referees, who can be contacted by the lender for a
character reference.
Co'nfidentialreports from credit rating agencies are another sou~ce.ln
Australia,-Credit Advantage (formerly, the Credit Rating Agency of Australia),
for example, provides confidential reports about the character of the borrower.
An individual'can seek a report on hislher own credit rating from this 'agency,
free of q,arge.
Lenders often obtain documentary evidence s1,1ch as salal;)' statements, group
certificates and a driver's licence so as to establish the identity of the borrow~r.
When the borrower holds a valid driving licence, it establishes that he/she has
not been involved in any offence and thus confirms good character. Similarly,
a salary statement shows that the customer has a job and obviously is of good
character, or no-one would have employed himlher. Australian banks usually
require the follOwing documents as an identity check: a driver's licence, a birth
certificate, a credit card, a passport or a rates notice.
.

Pari 1: Overview

For business borrowers, character assessment involves assessing the character of the business owners or, in the case of companies, the members of the
board. Sources of information that help lender's conduct a character assessment
include:
Dun & Bradstreet journals and their company reporting service.
bank opinion. If the prospective borrower is a customer of another bank,
then a report is usually obtained from that bank. Such a report is called 'bank
opinion'. It is carefully worded and general in nature. It can reveal whether
the party (prospective borrower) is financially sound, not so sound or weak.
the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), which can
provide company info~mation for a fee
reports frdm maiketllocal knowledge. Information about the prospective
borrower can be obtained fr9m suppliers' and customers of the borrower.
Simiiarly, market inquirie~ can be made.
credit reports from Credit Advantage
the relevant industry association.
Integrity is another quality that is included in the concept of character.
The Macquarie Dictionary defines integrity as a ~oundness of moral. principle
and character, uprightness or honesty. People often say 'take my word for
it', which means he/she will do all that is necessary to keep the word. This
is integrity, which is an important attribute that banks expect to find in a
borrower. If the borrower has integrity, then the lender can be certain that
the promise of repayment will be honoured. Lenders judge integrity by the
track record of the borrower. In the context of businesses, the integrity of
management (the board of directors) is assessed. In the much-publicised
corporate collapse cases of HIlI and One.Tel, the integrity of the companies'
management was questioned.
Another attribute of character is the ability of the borrower. 'Ability' refers to
the technical and management skill of the owners. It is quite common to find
that a borrower has strength in one area but a weakness in another. A motor
mechanic, for .example, may possess excellent technical skills but lack business
management skills. In such cases, the borrower has to demonstrate how he/she
proposes to address the skill that is lacking. Hire suitable p~rsons? Admit a
partner with su.itable skills? The lender is also interested in knowing whether a
successor is being groomed to take over from present owners when they retire.
A final aspect of char~cter is whether the borrower is spendthrift. .Company
managements are often criticise~. by ordinaty .shareholders for extravagant
spending. High salaries, high business expenses, the use of expensive company
cars and business class travel are some of the indications of extravagant spending.
Capacity
Capacity is. the ability to repay the loan together with interest as per the predetermined schedule. (Here 'capacity' refers to financial capacity to repay loan.
It is different from"legal capacity, which refers to capacity or eligibility to enter
into a. loan contract. You will come across this concept in later chapters.) It

.'7

sufficient het income to service the loan repayment.. To assess whether the
borrower's,financ~al
position is sound, lenders
"ften seek financial data from the'
, \ . , ,",'r,'
, .
custolJler., jn .the 'case of p~rsona\ loans, borrowers are often required to give
details of In'come' andexpertc\iture',. and the net surplus available for repayment.
The lender' also seeks' :details ,D( the existing' assets and . liabilities of the
borrower. Assets may consistof.pi(,perty,:ji\~?stment in stocks, managed funds
and/or term deposits.'Liabilitiesmay consist of outstanding balances on loans
and credit cards.
In the case of businesses, lenders usually ask for audited financial statements
and projected cashflow to determine the financial soundness or creditworthiness of the business borrower. The lender considers the profitability of the new
venture proposed by the business, as well as the risks involved. Capacity is
about the pjimary source from which repayment is expected to .take place. It is
important to assess the primary sources ofloan repayment at theoutset.
In the past, banks lent money on the strength of security that the party could
offer for the proposed loan. Over the years, however, lenders have shifted to
!ending against cashflow rather than lending against security. There are many
reasons fonhis shift. If a loan is granted purely on the strength of security, then
the recovery of the loan may involve selling the security. This is a risky proposition, first, because the market value of security may have depleted in the
meantime and, second, because taking possession of security involves a long
!egal process, which is often expensive. Further, bank staff have to spend a considerable amount of time and money to realise the security in satisfaction of the
. outstanding loan. As a result, lenders have shifted their emphasis from lending
against security to lending on the basis of cashflow. Borrowers are usually
required to submit projected cashflows from which the lender can assess when
repayment will occur and the sources from which it will come. This process
presupposes a realistic construction of cashflow.

Capital
Capital refers to the capital contribution that the borrower proposes to make
in the total investment. An investment is usually financed partly by bank loan
and partly by the capital contribution of the owner. The owner's contTibution
is also wiled the 'owner's margin'. Such a capital contribution is important
from lender's poiilt of view. It establishes the owner's stake in the project;
. the greater the stake of the owner, the greater is the owner's (and thus the
!ender's) confidence' in the project. Such a project has a high probability of
success, so a lender feels confident about lending for the project. Lending
institution~ insist on at least some contribution from owners. Even in personal
loans such as home loans, banks usually require the owner to contribute at
Ieast 20 per cent of the total investment. Where the owner's contribution falls
below this share, lenders usually insist on mortgage insurance. Mortgage
insurance protects the lender in cases where the owner's financial condition is
not strong and the owner is contributing less to the total investment than
required.

10

Part 1: Overview

Collateral
Collateral is also known as the secondary sonrce of repayment. When a loan
cannocbe repaid au t of the primary sonrce, lenders usually take possession of
collateral, dispose of it and use the proceeds to set off the outstanding loan
amount. The literal meaning of the word 'collateral' is 'along side'. A security
exists
alongside a loan. When' a bank grants an overdraft against inventory, then
;
the inventory is collateraL
In corporate loans, lending institutions are generally reluctant to lend against
a general charge on assets of a limited company, because unforeseen events
could drastically reduce the market value of the company and thus endanger
the;recovery of the outstanding loan amount. Lenders therefore 'generally lend
against a particular asset. It is less complicated to value such a specific secnrity
than to attempt the general valuation of the company This issue does not arise
with other fonns of business such as a sale proprietorship or a partnership,
where the owners are personally responsible for all debt and their personal
assets are also liable for loan repayment.
Lenderslook for the following qualities in a secnrity:
The price of the security should be stable, or not subject to wide fluctuations.
Lenders may not be prepared to lend against highly speculative secnrities.
Homes, machinery and easily saleable inyentorie~ are examples of secnrities
for which prices can be expected to remain reasonably stable.
o The marketability of the secnrity is another aspect that lenders consider. If
the advance is not repaid, then the s",cnrity can be sold quickly and the
proceeds set off against the outstanding loan amount. Lenders would be
prepared to lend against blue-chip secnrities (company shares that can be
sold quickly, such as the shares of Qantas and the Commonwealth Bank).
Lenders like a secnrity with a quickly ascertainable price. If the value of a
security is difficult to ascertain, then lenders may be sceptical about its true
value and may cQnsider it too risky It may be hard for a lending institution
to determine the true value of an antique, for example, because valuation of
such a security may widely differ,
., Dnrability is another. quality that le~ders look for in a secnrity' The secnrity
should not deteriorate over time; for example, perishable goods .such as
vegetables could easily deteriorate in a few days and may not hold any value
thereafter. Lenders need to be extremely cautious when lending against such
a secnrity..
ApotheEpreferred quality is.portabili~y.lf the $ecnrityis'qlllckly trans,Portable
or portable, then the lender cap.selLit in another market, If the secuptyis nOt
portable, then, ~he lender may'find it liard t6 seli'that sec\Jtity.
the' lo~al
market. Land and buildings are examples of secnrities that are not portable.
It is hard to find a secnrity that possesses all the above qualities, and a lender
is often required to judge an acceptable compromise. Land, for example, may
have stable value over time but it lacks the qualities ofportability, ease of valuation and so on. Given the difficulty in determining the value of a secnrity,
financial institutions usually hire the services of an approved valuer.

in

Conditions
According to Weerasooriya (1998), an analysis of conditions covers external
and internal factors. In our view, it also covers the conditions and terms of the
loan. The riskier the advance, the stricter are the terms and conditions.
Analysis of external and internal factiJrs is important. The external conditions
- the condition of the economy, the condition of the relevant industry, the
, threat of war and so on - do affect the repayment of a loan and need to be
. considered wben a loan is granted. A proposal may be sound and the party may
be creditworthy, but the business may not be profitable if external conditions
are not favourable. External events that may affect business success include a
downturn in the economy, industry-specific problems and international events .
.The tourism and airline industry in the United States, for example, experienced
a slump in demand due to general reluctance to travel following attacks on
11 September 200 1.
Credit analysis must also account for internal conditions, which may include
lending policies, the lending budget and the availability of expert staff to
monitor the loan. A financial institution may decide to follow a restrictive
lending policy, as a result of a funds constraint, or to expand lending business
in particular segments of the market. Credit analysis should take such aspects
into account

soften the impact


A,Ustnllia (REA) to tighten

'

;;;~;2!'~~~~~~~~~~~~~~'~~~;1
to

50-basis-point increase in
lenders to business are
they will have little scoP.". to

shopa~()~nd for a loan than ever before, '~.... ,.,

bt:'~~,t:~~r~~~~~ie~~ .. margins to reflect higher bad-debt risk may find ... '.'~ ./, ," ,.
have had to share more and more of the comthe regional banks, and in the past year several
no.nqank lerldet~~h.iiY'/'lt~,:keh steps to make their long-heralded move into the
t:J;qrilpetitor'S have certainly improved their skills in the
p'eter Coleman, general'manager of business finanBank (NAB), . the country's bigg~st l~nder to
by the banking industry research group LM
says the big banks have lost market share in the

I 12

Part 1: Overview

Financial statements analysis


learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. explain the key financial statements
2. explain the importance of analysis of financial
statements in lending decisions
3. describe the various methods of analysis where
project finance is involved
4. describe the special techniques of analysis where
project finance is involved
5. describe how window dressing of financial
statements can take place
6. explain which of the financial ratios are preferred
by loan officers
7. outli'ne the limitations of financial statements
analysis.

Lenders invariably obtain financial statements from prospective borrowers


and analyse them. They may not, however, conduct a detailed analysis (as discussed in this chapter) for every borrower. The financial statements analysis for
a sole proprietor may be fairly basic compared with that for a public limited
company. The analysis is a time-consuming process that requires considerable
skill, yet a financial institution will do some basic financial statement analysis
for all business loans, big or small. Why do lenders place so much importance
on this analysis?

Why lenders analyse financial statements


Lenders analyse financial statements because they help answer the following
three important questions, which are the subject of any credit analysis:
1. Should the bank give the requested loan 7
2. If the loan is given, will it be repaid together with interest?
3. What is the financial institution's remedy if the assumptions about the loan
turn out to be wrong?
It is less risky for a lender to give a loan to a business that is finanCially
sound. But how can a lender know whether a particular business is financially
sound? A sound business possesses the following characteristics:
The business has adequate liquidity so it can honour short-term obligations
easily.
The business is run efficiently.
The business is run profitably.
The proprietor's stake in the business is high; alternatively, the business is
not burdened with too much debt.
By appropriately analysing financial statements (for example, ratio analysis),
the lender can know whether the above characteristics are present. If they are
present, then the business will be considered to be finanCially sound and loan
approval will not be a problem.
The second question of whether the loan will be repaid together with
interest is a bit tricky. Financial statements analysis is essentially a post
mortem and cannot provide an answer to this question. The financial statements belong to a period that has already elapsed, but the loan is to be
repaid in the future and no-one knows what the future holds. How can a
lender find an answer to the s<'cond question? How can the lender predict
what will happen?
While a lender cannot predict the future with absolute certainty, a reasonable
guess can be made by analysing the following factors:
1. Trend (time series) analysis. If the business was run profitably for some
years, then it may not be unreasonable to assume the trend will continue.
The past trend and the projected surplus, the past trend and the projected
cash surplus, the trend of various ratios and the likelihood of continuing of
that trend are some factors that need to be examined.

"

I 48

2. Safety buffer. If the business has a large margin of safety (between actual
sales and break-eveu sales), then some fluctuations in business conditions in
the future may not be a cause for worry.
3. Stress testing. The business can be subjected to sensitivity testing. If the
business continues to remain profitable, then the lender can be reasonably
certain that the business can withstand shocks in the future.
4. Industry analysis. What are trends and prospects for the firm's industry? If
the industry is growing, then the lender can expect that the firm will also
grow.
5. Econ01nic analysis. The lender can analyse trends in the domestic and international economies to gauge the possible impact on the business.
The techniques thilt help the lender in analysing the above factors include: a
projected income and expenditure account, a projected cashflow, margin of
safety analysis, sensitivity analysis, trend analysis, interfirm comparison,
industry analysis and economic analysis. Predicting the future of the business is
just, a 'best
, guess' by the lender; no-one can predict the future with absolute
, certainty.
Given that some amount of risk is always involved, the bank needs some
form of insurance. Such an insurance and thus an answer' to the third
question - what is the financial institution's remedy if the assumptions
made while giving the loan turn out to be wrong? - are provided by the
following:
1. Collateral. If everything goes wrong, then the banker can faU back on the
security obtained while granting the loan. The bank will sell the security and
use the proceeds to satisfy the outstanding debt.
' :
2. Charge on' assets. The lender sometimes prescribes a condition that there will
be a floating charge on all the assets ofthe business. If the proceeds froin the
collateral are ihsufficient, then the financial institution can stake a claim
over the other assets of the business.
3. Guarantees. The lender will insist on personal guarantees of company directors so in the case of default the financial institution can recover dues from
the personal property of the directors. Such a guarantee also acts to deter the
company directors from taking actions that are detrimental to business
interests. In sole proprietorships and partnerships, the owners are personally
liable anyway, so the guarantees may be taken from friends or relatives of
the owners.
4. Conditions. The financial institution may place conditions on a loan, such as
a negative pledge (as explained in chapter 1), to ensure the business remains
disciplined and does not take any action that may be detrimental to the
lender's interest.
Financial statements may show what kinds of assets are available, their book
value, whether they are unencumbered: (that is, not given as security for other
loans), and the likelihood 'of these assets being used, as security for. the
proposed loan. '
'

Part 2: Anal~is and interpretation of credit risk

It should be clear to you now that financial statements analysis and other
types of analysis are used to find answers to the earlier three questions that are
repeated here for ready reference:
1. Should the bank give the requested loan?
2. If the loan is given, will it be repaid together with interest?
3. What is the financial institution's remedy if the assumptions about the loan
turn out to be wrong?
Financial statements contain a wealth of information, but it takes skill and
experience to unearth that information. If properly analysed, the financial statements can provide valuable insights into a firm's performance and financial condition. In the following section, we will discuss how financial statements are
analysed to unearth their hidden information content.

Analysis of financial statements


Financial statements analysis is the principal tool of the lending banker in
assessing the financial performance and condition of any business. Foster
(3.986) distinguishes three broad types of analysis technique:
cross-sectional techniques
time series techniques
.0
a combination of financial statement information and nonfinancial statement
information.
We will use the same classification in the following discussion.

Cross-sectional techniques
Cross-sectional analysis techniques analyse financial statements at a 'point in
time'. Two commonly used techniqnes ar~ financial ratio analysis and
common-size statements.

Ratio analysis
A ratio is an arithmetical relationship between two figures. When the figures are
taken from the financial statements, we call it financial ratio analysis, which is
the most widely used cross-sectional technique (Foster 1986). Two financial
statements are generally used for calculating ratios: the statement of financial
position and the statement of financial performance. From these two principal
financial statements, several ratios can be calculated.
The various ratios that lenders generally use can be grouped into the
following categories:
liquidity ratios
o efficiency ratios
profitability r~tios
leverage r,atios.
Here, we will discuss each of these ratio categories. To facilitate the
discussion, the following statement of financial performance and statement
of financial.position will be used.

"'/-

City First Saddlery Limited


Statement of financial performance for the year ending 31 March ($'000)

.<

Net sales
Cost of goods so1d
Inventory
Salary and wages
Other manufacturing expenses
Gross profit
Operating expenses
Depreciation
General administration
Selling
Operating profit
Nonoperating surplus/deficit
Earnings before interest and tax
Interest
Profit before tax
Tax
Profit after tax
Dividends
Retained earnings

2003
_

-.

2002'
1
~

70.1
55.2

47.5

14.9
5.6

14.8
4.9

9.3
(0.4)
8.9
2.1
6.8
3.5
3.3
2.7
0.6

9.9
0.6
10.5

2.2
1.8
21.0
17.46

28
1.8
20.0
17.07

62.3

42.1
6.8
6.3

3.0
1.2
1.4

2.2

8.3
4.1
4.2
2.7
1.5

Per share data

Earning per share


Dividend per share
Market price per share
Book value per share

Source: Data adapted from P. Chandra 1993, Fundamentals of Financial Management, Tata
McGraw-Hill, New Delhi, India, p.115.
City First Saddlery Limited
Statement of financial position as at 31 March ($'000)

I 50

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

Liquidity ratios
Liquidity refers to the ability of a firm to meet its short-term obligations - that
is, whether the business is in a position to pay financial obligations that will
arise in, say, the next year. Liquidity is an important aspect to be watched in any
business. The failure of many businesses has been due to lack of adequate
liqUidity: Liquidity can be described as the lubricant that helps the business run
smoothly: just as a car needs to have sufficient lubricating oil (engine oil,
breaking oil and so on), a business needs to have adequate liquidity at all times.
To check whether a firm has adequate liqUidity, financial institutions compute
liquidity ratios. Two principal ratios that are commonly used to judge the
liquidity position of any business are:
the current ratio
the quick ratio.

The current ratio


The current ratio is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. Current
assets include cash, marketable securities, debtors, closing stock (ending inventory), loans and prepaid expenses. Current liabilities are borrowings for the
short term, trade creditors, accrued expenses and provisions.
Formula

The current ratio is calculated by the following formula:


Current assets
Current liabilities .
.for City Saddlery Ltd, the current ratio was:
2002

2003
23.4

= 1.34

17.4

15.60 = 147.
10.60
.

The denominators 17.4 and 10.60 are arrived at.by adding unsecured loans
and current liabilities and provisions - that is, 6.90 - 10.50 and 2.50 + 8.10
respectively:
Benchmark

Generally, the benchmark current ratio is 2. Clemens and Dyer (1986) have
recommended a ratio of 2 to 1. If the ratio is 1.5-2, then it is considered to be
satisfactory: If it/ails below 1, then it is indicative of liquidity problems. If it is
over 2, then it indicates excess liquidity: These benchmarks are just rules of
thumb and need not be given undue importance. Factors such as industry practice and past trends of .the firm are more important and should be the deciding
factors over the rules of thump. This is true for all types of ratio. What is the
assumption behind this benchmark of 21 The assumption is that even if the business were shut dowu today and cu~rent assets sold at half price (fire sale), the
business would still have sufficient funds to pay current obligations. The current
ratio of 2 is like an insurance against shorHerm insolvency of the firm.

-/

Interpretation

A ratio of 2 is regarded as ideal yet seldom does a business have the ratio
exactly at 2. The ratio could fluctuate between 1.5 and 2, which is not a concern. A ratio that is too high or too low, however, should be a concern. A very
high ratio may arise due to one or more of the follOwing reasons:
A very high ratio indicates excess liquidity. The business may be losing
opportunities to make profitable use of current assets.
The high ratio could also be because the party (borrower) is holding excessive
debtors or perhaps because debtors have not been collected. As a result, the
figure of current assets - that is, the nominator - will be very high, as will
be the ratio. Check for these possibilities: check, for example, the average
collection period or the debtor turnover ratio (discussed later). If thest ratios
are not excessive - that is, the collection period is normal (according to
industry practice or the past trend of the party) - then we have nullified the
possibility that excessive current ratio is due to high trade debtors.
The party might have sold some goods just before the date on which
financial statements were prepared, so tlie figure of trade debtors may be
liigh, raising the current ratio. In sucli cases, calculation sliould be based on
average debtors during the year. To find tlie average debtors, add the debtors
at the end of each month in the year and divide the resultant figure by
twelve.
A high current ratio may arise due to excessive inventory build-up. For this
reason, the average inventory (ca!culated using the same procedure as
indicated earlier for debtors) level should be checked and used in the
., calculation of current ratio.
As in the case of debtors, the ending inventory figure may be excessive
because some goods were sold just after the date of the statement of financial
position. Check for such possibilities and use average figures rather than.
year-end figures to arrive at the current ratio.
..
Inventory valuation is another grey area. Overvaluing of the inventory can
artificially raise the figure of stock held and thus also the current ratio. The
. party may change the basis of inventory valuation and thus obtain a higher
value for the same quantity of stock. The Australian Accounting Standards
Board recommends the use of the 'first in, first out' (FIFO) method for
inventory valuation, not 'last in, first out' (LIFO). You may corne across these
concepts in your study of cost accounting. Overvaluation of stock will not
only raise the current ratio, but also will overstate profits.
A low current ratio is indicative of liqUidity (working capital) shortage and is
a cause for concern. In sum, both low and high current ratios need to be
watched carefully.

The quick ratio


Another measure of liquidity is the quick ratio, also called the acid test ratio. It
is much the same as the current ratio except that inventory is excluded from its
calculation.

52

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk I

The quick ratio is a ratio of quick assets to current liabilities. QUick assets
include all current assets except inventory (raw material, work in process and
finished goods).

Formula
The quick ratio is calculated by the following formula:
QUick assets
Current liabilities'
For City First Saddlery Limited, the acid test ratio for 2003 and 2002 was:
2003

12.8 = 0.74
17.4

200,2
" 7.0
-1
6 ' =0.66.
O. 0

(Please note that the figure of inventory for 2002 is assumed at 8.60, so the
nominator will be 15.60 - 8.60 = 7.)

Benchmark and interpretation


The quick ratio is a fairly stringent measure of liquidity. It is based on those
current assets that are considered to be highly liquid. Inventories are excluded
from the numerator of this ratio because they are considered to be the least
liquid component of current assets. The rule of thumb for quick ratio is 1:
'many firms like it (acid test ratio) at 1:1 or better' (Argenti 1976, p. 139).
This means that quick assets should be eql.!al to current liabilities. Selling of
inventory may be a difficult process and the lender wants to ensure the business can meet current liabilities out of qUick assets alone (current assets other
than inventory). If the ratio is unity (equal to 1), then the business can easily
meet the CUrrent liabilities out of its quick assets.
Efficiency ratios
We stated earlier that one of'the characteristics of a financially sound business is that it is run efficiently. To measure efficiency, financial analysts cal-'
culate the efficiency ratios. The efficiency ratios measure how efficiently the
business has employed its assets. These ratios are based on the relationship
between the level of activity (represented by sales or the cost of goods sold)
and the levels of various assets. Efficiency ratios are also called turnover
ratios, activity ratios or asset management ratios. The important efficiency
ratios are:
the inventory turnover ratio
the average collection period.

The inventory turnover ratio


The inventory turnover ratio shows the effiCiency of management of inventory. The ratio of net sales to inventory is called the inventory turnover
ratio.

Formula

The inventory turnover ratio is calculated by the following formula:


Net sales
Inventory
For City First Saddlery Limited, the inventory turnover ratio was:
2003

70.1
10.6

= 6.11

2002
62.3
9.12

= 6.83.
.

(The inventory for 2002 has been assumed at 9.12.)


The number of days for which inventory is tied up can be calculated by the
following formula:
Days in year
Inventory turnover ratio
For our example, the days for which money was tied up in inventory in 2002
equalled 365 divided by 6.11, or 59 days. For 2003, the number of days
equalled 365 divided by 6.83, or 54 days.
Benchmark

There is no benchmark for this ratio because the type of inventory determines what the ratio should be. Where items are fast moving, the ratio could
be as high as 12; in other cases, it could be as low as 3 or 4. If the business is
producing and selling daily necessities (perishable goods) - say, wholemeal
bread - then the ratio will be very high. On the other hand, if the business
is producing and selling durable goods - say, refrigerators - then the movement of inventory will not be that fast. A rnle of thumb could be that the
ratio is equal to 4.
Interpretation

A high ratio would indicate that the inventory is fast moving and that the products of the business are in high demand. The higher the ratio, the better it is. It
means that the inventory management of the business is very efficient. Caution
needs to be exercised, however, in interpretation of the ratio. A higher ratio may
result in frequent stock-outs and a consequent loss of sale and customers.
While calculating inventory turnover ratio, note the following points:
The ratio can easily be manipulated by a change to the basis of the inventory
valuation.
Sales should always be gross sales minus sales returns - that is, net sales.
Instead of net sales being used as the nominator, the cost of goods sold is
sometimes taken as the nominator. This seems reasonable because both the
nominator and denominator are then at cost.

54

Part 2: AnaJysis and interpretation of credit risk I

The year-end inventory figure may be misleading, so the average inventory


figure needs to be taken as the denominator. The average inventory can be
calculated by taking the average of month-end inventory figures; for
example, add the figures of inventory at the end of each month QanuaryDecember) and divide the sum by twelve to arrive at the average iuventory.
The ratio should be compared. with the ratio of competitor firms or the
average ratio for the industry

The average collection period


This ratio shows the efficiency in collection of receivables. A business that is
efficient in debt collection will face fewer liquidity problems. The average collection period is the ratio of receivables to average sales per day.
Formula

The average collection period is calculated by the following formula:


Receivables
Average sales per day'
For City First Saddlery Limited, the average collection period was:
2003
11.80
70.1 -;- 36S = 61 days

2002
9.76
S6 d
ays.
62.3 -;- 365 =

(The figure of 9.76 for 2002 has been assumed.)


Benchmark

The average collection period should be equal to or less than the firm's credit
terms for its customers. If it is the policy of City First Saddlery Limited to
allow up to one month's credit only, then the ratio as above is unsatisfactory.
The firm's credit policy is usually determined according to the general market
practice. New firms generally allow a longer credit period to penetrate the
market. Similarly, firms may allow a longer credit period when introduCing
new products.
Interpretation

If the average collection period calculated by the above formula is less than
the credit term generally allowed by the firm, then the debt collection of the
firm can be regarded as efficient. On the other hand, if it exceeds the credit
term, then the collection cannot be regarded as efficient. Note the follOwing
points:
The nominator should be average receivables instead of year-end receivables.
As in the case of inventory, the average receivables can be calculated by
averaging the month-end receivables.
Similarly, average sales can be calculated by averaging the month-end sales
figures.

The average collection period ratio hides the age-wise distribution of


receivables, so it should always be read in conjunction with the summary
of age-wise (days collection in arrears) receivables. For thi.s purpose, the
receivables can be classified into three categories:
receivables pending collection for more than three months
- receivables pending collection between one and three months
- receivables pending collection for less than one month.
If most of the receivables are in the last category, then there is no cause for
worry If most of the receivables are in the first two categories, however, then
receivables management is slack This situation may lead to liquidity problems.
Profitability ratios
A financially sound business is likely to be a profitable business. The two popular
profitability ratios are the gross profit-sales ratio and the net profit-sales ratio.

'D1e gross profit-sales ratio


This is the ratio of gross profit to net sales, where gross profit is defined as the
. difference between net sales and the cost of goods sold.
Formula

The gross profile-sales ratio is calculated by the following:


Gross profit
Net sales .
For City First Saddlery Limited, the ratio was:

2003

~~:i

= 0.21, or 21 %

2002

~~:~ = 0.23, or 23%.

Benchmark
There is no benchmark for this ratio, but the ratio is expected to be at least
equal to the industry average or more.
Interpretation
The higher the ratio, the better it is. The ratio measures the pricing and production cost control aspect. The firm may have less control over pricing,
because the market decides price, bnt it Can control the costs. The ratio should
be compared with the ratio of other firms in the industry

The net profit-sales ratio


This ratio captures the profitability of the firm when all the costs (including the
administrative costs) are considered.
Formula

The net profit-sales ratio is calculated by the following formula:


Net profit
Net sales

I 56

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

For City First Saddlery Limited, the ratio was:


2003
3.3
7 0.1

2002

6~~ = 0.067, or 6.7%.

= 0.047, or 4.7%

The ratio can be calculated by taking either net profit after tax (as in the
above case) or net profit before tax as the nominator.
Benchmark

Again, there is. no benchmark for this ratio. The ratio should be equal to or
more than the industry average.
Interpretation

The higher the ratio, the better it is. The ratio provides a valuable understanding of the cost-and-profit structure of the firm.
Leverage ratios
Financial leverage means the use of debt finance. Leverage ratios help us assess
the risk arising from the use of debt capital. It has been found that if a positive
financial leverage could be established, then debt capital is a preferred source of
finance. Analysis of financial leverage generally uses two types of ratio: structural ratios and coverage ratios. The structural ratios are the debt-equity ratio,
the proprietary ratio and the debt-assets ratio, while the coverage ratios are the
interest coverage ratio and the fixed charges coverage ratio.

The debt~equity ratio


This ratio -~hows the proportion of amount borrowed by the firm compared
with the proprietor's own investment in the business. It is a ratio of debt to the
equity of the firm. The debt consists of all liabilities of the firm, whether short
term or long term, and the equity consists of capital and reserves.
Formula

The debt-equity ratio is calculated by the following formula:


Debt
Equity
For City First Saddlery Limited, the ratio was:
2003
31.7 = 1 21
26.2
.

2002
23.70
25.60

= 0 93.
.

Benchmark

Generally, the ratio should not exceed 2. This means that at least 33 cents in a
dollar should come from the firm's own funds. In some firms, the debt-equity
ratio could be much higher as a result of the nature of the business. Mining,
fertiliser, shipping and cement companies, for example, may have a much larger
ratio.

--If --

Interpretation
The lower the ratio, the better it is. A lower ratio, as in the case of City First
Saddlery Limited, indicates that creditors enjoy a higher degree of protection
because the proprietors' stake in the business is large. Note the follOwing points:
The book value of equity may be understated, where equity is shown at
historical (book) value in the statement of financial position yet the true
worth of the company is much higher.
Some long-term debts, such as debentures, may already be secured by a
charge on assets of the firm.
A lower debt-equity ratio is not necessarily a good sign. It may mean that the
firm is not making use of the leverage to its advantage.
Two other ratios that give information similar to the debt-equity ratio are the
proprietary ratio and the debt-assets ratio. The former is the ratio of the
proprietor's funds to total assets, while the latter is the ratio of debt to total
assets. The debt-equity ratio is the ratio of these two ratios: that is, the ratio
of the proprietary ratio to the debt-assets ratio is equal to the debt-equity
ratio. The proprietary ratio indiCates the stake of the proprietor in the
business. The higher the stake, the better it is. Australian banks generally
require a proprietary ratio of 40 per cent.

The interest coverage ratio


The interest coverage ratio is the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes on
debt interest. It shows whether the firm has sufficient resources to cover the
interest portion of the debt. In the case of a firm having financial difficulties, the
. bank may postpone the repayment instalment but would insist on, at least, payment of the interest on the debt. If a fum is unable to pay even the interest,
then it is in serious financial difficulty.
Fonnula
The interest coverage ratio is calculated by the following formula:
Earnings before interest and taxes
Interest payable on loans
For City First Saddlery Limited, the ratio was:
2003

8.9
2.1

= 4.23

2002

10.5
2.2

= 4 77

..

Benchmark
There is no benchmark for this ratio, but the ratio should be at least 2 to give
the firm sufficient buffer to pay interest on the debt.
Interpretation
The higher the ratio, the better it is. Earnings before interest and taxes are
considered as the nominator because interest is usually paid before taxes.

58

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk I

Further, interest on the debt is a tax-deductible expense. Lenders commonly


use this ratio. Note, however, that payment of interest comes from cashflow
and not from earnings, so the lender must carefully examine the cashflow
statement in addition to this ratio. This ratio is sometimes calculated by
adding depreciation to the nominator.

The fixed charges coverage ratio


This ratio is the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes plus depreciation to
interest on the loan and the loan repayment instalment It is used to measure
the debt servicing capacity of the firm.
Formula

The fixed charges coverage ratio is calculated by the following formula:


Earnings before interest and taxes + Depreciation
Interest on loan + [Repayment ofloan + (1 - Tax rate) 1.
For City First Saddlery Ltd, the ratio was:
2003
11.9
= 3.27
2.1 + 1.0 + 0.65

2002

13.5
2.2 + 1.0 + 0.65

= 3.52.

(Depreciation has been assumed at 3.0 for 2002, and the repayment instalment
has been assumed at 1.0 for both years. The tax rate has been assumed at 35 per
cent.)
Please note that only the repayment of the loan is adjusted upwards for the
tax factor, because the loan repayment amount (unlike interest) is not tax
deductible.
Benchmark

There is no benchmark for this ratio. The higher the ratio, the better it is.
Interpretation

The ratio measures the debt servicing ability because, besides interest on the
loan, it also includes the repayment instalment. This ratio is partici:Ilarly important in project financing.
Here ends our discussion of ratio analysis. We will now turn to the other
cross-sectional technique: common-size statements.

Common-size statements
Common-size analysis came into vogue because interfirm comparisons were
needed. When firms are of different sizes, it is hard to compare them unless
their financial statements are expressed in a common form. This common form
is created by expressing the components of the statement of financial position
and statement of financial performance as a percentage of total assets and total
revenue respectively Table 2.1 (page 60) illustrates a common-size statement of
financial position.

Credit scoring techniques


Learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. list the development of credit scoring techniques
2. discuss the behavioural aspects of credit scoring
3. explain the imperative for credit scoring
4. discuss the application of credii scoring
techniques
5. list the various modelling techniques used for
credit scoring
6. discuss the steps to take in implementing a credit
scoring process.

Introduction
In chapter 1, it was indicated that credit scoring techniques are increasingly being
used by lending institutions for credit assessment In this chapter we will look at the
evolution and application of various statistical credit scoring techniques. Statistical
credit scoring allows for rigorous and disciplined decision-making. Other chapters
discuss the techniques and products available to a modern financial institution; this
chapter discusses analysis within a centralised model that can be overlaid across the
whole organisation to reduce the potential for error in credit scoring.
Statistical credit scoring has been a popular analytical tool of financial institutions since the mid-1980s, fuelled by the exploSion of technology and the
ability to apply computer solutions to human problems. It is important to
realise, however, that the concept of credit scoring has been around for as long
as credit has been extended. There have always been criteria on which credit
decisions have been made and loans have been extended or rejected. These criteria were based on comparison and lending to the best risk. What separates the
scoring techniques of today from those of yesterday are the reliance on technology and statistical analysis, and the downgrading of the loan officer (in the
consumer market) to a sales rep~esentative.

Overview
Since the early 1950s, per person outstanding credit in developed countries has
risen exponentially and has continued to increase in velocity. The old systems of
manual scoring are no longer affordable. The increase in credit applications coincided with the evolution of computer technology. This change not only offered
a way to speed up the process of credit scoring but also provided organisations
with a tool that could be used to expand business. As demand continues to
increase and the need for timely credit decisions creates pressures for performance within a highly competitive system, statistical credit scoring will become
increasingly important because it allows a lower cost structure to be overlaid on
the pricing of the loan. This pricing aspect can ultimately mean the difference
between survival or failure within the financial institutions defined markets.
Credit scoring as used today is a statistical method of ranking the probability
of an unknown outcome (that is, a loan paid or a loan defaulted) by allocating
a points system to known variables. The credit information of an applicant is
assessed and graded numerically to gain a total score, which is then ranked
according to the expectations of the financial institution. A critical aspect of
scoring is that it should not discriminate on the grounds of sex, race or religion,
and credit should not be refused on the sole basis of location. Ultimately, a valid
statistical credit scoring system exhibits the follOwing three basic characteristics.
1. It must not rely on prohibited information, and the information used must
be statistically justified.
2. The information used should contribute positively to a client's creditworthiness.
3. The credit extended should contribute to the credit health and quality of the
lending institution.

The ultimate aim of any credit scoring technique is to improve the quality of
the loan book that a financial institution maintains. Statistical credit scoring is
widely used in the consumer and small business areas, and is progressively
being implemented across the larger business and corporate sectors. Changes to
credit scoring methods are being progressively introduced as financial institutions continually re-engineer processes and practices for the ultimate aims of
efficiency and productivity:
Credit scoring techniques, as statistical measures, can forecast a probable
result, depending on the accuracy of the data on which the system is based.
There is still a real need for active management and timely intervention if the
true state of the loan diverges from the statistical prediction.

The development of statistical credit scoring


Credit scoring as a measure of loan success in its modern form began about
thirty years ago, and it has evolved and matured alongside the evolntion of
computer technology: The development of scoring systems continues to parallel
the increase in per person outstanding credit, the expansion of the credit
industry and the drive for cost reduction and productivity:
The evolution of credit scoring reflects not only the growth of credit, but also
a reaction to the need to differentiate and recognise population subsets where
only related characteristics are immediately apparent (in other words, where the
characteristics that separate the population are not obvious). Durand (1941)
was the first person to recognise that the ideaof discriminating among population groups (first introduced by Fisher in 1936) as a pure statistical tool could
be used to identify good loans and bad loans (Thomas 2000). Consumer credit
expanded rapidly in the 1960s with the introduction of credit cards and the
ability to use future money or earnings for small consumer purchases. Financial
institutions realised the advantage of an effective scoring system, initially based
on manual completion and certification. Technology supplied the missing link
in the 1980s as the volume of applications outstripped both economic and
staffing resources within institutions. The scene was set for even more rapid
expansion of credit and, in turn, the further development and sophistication of
the credit scoring techniques.
The implementation and acceptance of scoring was not an easy transition
because many traditionalists opposed the idea of a statistical measure applied
arbitrarily across the whole population. Capon (1982) argued that 'the brute
force empiricism of credit scoring offends against the traditions of our society'.
He felt that there should be more dependence on credit history and that it
should be possible to explain why a scoring system needs certain characteristics and not others. This view was more than offset by evidence that the
default rate would drop by more than 50 per cent. Reports from Myers and
Forgy (1963) and Churchill, Nevin and Watson (1977) cleared the way for
wholesale implementation of the process within a large range of financial
institutions. They were able to demonstrate that statistical credit scoring

90

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credi't risk I

models would not only add value to the credit analysis process, but also add
rigour through the application of probabilities and measurable outcomes. Most
of the developed world has introduced legislation that makes it illegal to discriminate in the granting of credit unless the reason for credit refusal can be
statistically proved or supported.
The success of the application of statistical credit scoring techniques in the
credit card market made it inevitable in the 1980s that financial institutions
would expand their use into other areas, including personal loans, housing
loans and small business loans. The techniques are now used for the full range
of lending products, from individual to larger corporate loans.
There are many reasons for the success of statistical credit scoring. Once the
system has been tested and put in place, it ensures more accurate risk identification and significant cost reductions. There is also a substantial reduction in
the interaction between the lender and the applicant, allowing for more time to
be spent on developing the relationship and less time on number crunching or
negative activities. Successful application of a statistical credit scoring process
also allows a financial institution to restructure its staff profile, with more
emphasiS on sales. This leads to an increase in the availability of credit because
resources are released to deal with the increases in application volume. The
lowering of the staff experience level and profile can lead to the potential for
loan pricing to be discounted, with a proportion of the savings passed onto the
consumer.
Not all borrowers face a price reduction. Some will face a price rise because
credit scoring models are able to distinguish good loans from bad loans in a
non-emotional way This ability to make non-emotional decisions will improve
in the financial arena. Historically, banks in particular have performed poorly in
their pricing decisions because they have had a 'one size fits all' mentality
Advances in the field of credit scoring have allowed accurate forecasting of
portfolio values and, consequently, an increase in the securitisation of lower
level financial products.
With the success in the consumer market, it was inevitable that the same processes and procedures would be re-engineered for the small business market.
N ow, the same degree of savings and efficiency gains are being reaped in this
important area of lending.

The behavioural aspects of credit scoring


The financial environment has been in constant change for the past twenty
years, as old methods are replaced with new ones. The new methods are usually
technology based t6 ensure an adequate return of shareholders' funds can be
achieved economically Judgemental decision-making versus credit scoring has
been a source of tension within banking circles since the latter's full introduction. Traditionally; banking has been about judgement and contact, with the
relationship between the banker and the customer a paramount business concept. The bank manager used to be the human face of the bank and also the
decision-maker in the majority of contacts.

Times change. The old-fashioned way of banking has ceased in the face of the
techniques that evolved from the 1980s. The concept of a fully fledged bauk
manager waiting to service the needs of the client were too expensive in the
brave new world of finance. Technology was used to replace expensive finance
managers with new sales-focused staff. These sales staff use analysis techniques
to score a proposition that can be passed up the line for approval. The link
between the manager, as the decision-maker, and the client has become redundant as new methods evolve to ensure financial institutions remain profitable,
and as technology and process replace judgement and relationships. Today's
sales force can enter into many more transactions than were possible under the
old regime, simply as a result of the application of credit scoring techniques.
Credit analYSis is about risk management. The judgemental approach built
very sophisticated techniques for analysis, with many checks and balances built
into the system. The successful functioning of that system depended on the
individual lender being a highly trained individual who supported the network.
Credit scoring has supplanted this individual. It is risk management by design,
allowing costs to be reduced and businesses to expand at a previously impossible rate. Other behavioural reasons for the implementation of credit scoring
included the breakdown of the judgemental system during the 1980s due to the
frantic drive for market share and the worldwide deregulation of the' financial
system. The 1980s were a watershed in the development of the modern financial system. Banking and the environment of banking had changed little in the
previous fifty years; processes and procedures had remained constant. Deregulation was also an irresistible force, as countries across the globe removed
restrictions on capital movements and exchange rates.
Australia was one of the leading proponents of deregulation. We were faced
with a choice: deregulate and modernise or place higher barriers to market
entry. Australia chose to deregulate and modernise, which was the right
decision because our economy has grown rapidly in the intervening years to be
about twenty times larger today than it was in 1981. This environment of
change and the entry of new competition in financial markets forced the
existing players in Australia to respond, first in the drive for market share and
second in the maintenance and growth of value for shareholders.
.

The imperative for credit scoring


A major problem in Australia in the search for the perfect credit scoring system
is the small size of the population for analysis. Implementation of credit scoring
within financial institutions in the 1990s nevertheless led to a Significant reduction in the v~lume of bad debts within the consumer market. Banks realised
that credit scoring enabled them, for the first time, to have a true measure of
risk in a given loan portfolio. Once a true measure could be set, then the next
step waS to implement a standardised form of control and monitoring by senior
management. In other words, losses within a given loan portfolio can now be
predicted with a certain degree of accuracy Competitive advantage, beyond just

I 92

Pari 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk I

the individual safety of the loan, is derived from the cost savings and efficiency
gains that credit scoring techniques can generate.
Dun & Bradstreet developed a set of criteria that justify the imperative for
statistical credit scoring (Thomas, Crook & Edelman 1992). The application
of strong statistical tools helps reduce the cost of credit analysis and, in
standardising the process, apply more rigour to the overall loan portfolio. The
process extends to allow for market segmentation of the total loan book, such
that cross-subsidisation can be identified and eliminated. First, a test score
result is compared with actual operator analysis, to identify and verify statistically the accuracy of the system. Once this verification has been conducted
and validated, the system becomes an operational tool with little human
input. The process is updated on a needs basis. The cost of credit analysis is
thus reduced.
Correct application of statistical credit scoring techniques also allows for an
increase in revenue through the increased volume of credit applications. Faster
credit decisions allow for increased volume within scarce or existing resources,
which means the portfolio creation process is more productive and ultimately
more profitable. The consequent change to the staffing profile allows for the
loan book to grow without a subsequent growth in the cost of maintenance.
Statistical credit scoring models thus help lending institutions to cut costs
and increase their volume of new customers. Importantly, they can also be used
to check existing clients. The sale of products to existing customers can be
better monitored and expanded, and new client segments can be targeted with
. applicable products. By applying better methods of credit analysis to new clients, statistical credit scoring techniques allow for quick and accurate segmentatiOll of customer groups and quick reaction to competitor action. They also
proVide the potential to prioritise future collections or identified cashflows,
allowing for improved collection methods and cashflow management. Once this
potential is released, a financial institution can grow its portfolio by more effectively using recurrent cashflow. Clients nominally share in the process and benefits where a financial institution's continual improvement and cost reduction
lead to pricing discounts.
Given that the above principles represent the functions of a statistical credit
scoring system for a financial institution, a strong statistical scoring system has
the follOWing advantages for an institution:
Credit scoring can increase returns by identifying good versus bad
propositions based on the preferences and inputs of the financial institution.
An accurate credit scoring system reduces credit risk to a significant degree,
or at least to a statistically accurate percentage of an outstanding loan book.
Credit scoring saves time in considering new credit applications, which
allows for volume increases without necessitating personnel increases.
Credit scoring allows increased flexibility and expansion in the area of small
and medium enterprises (SMEs). Again, this is based on the volume versus
resources argument.

, .

Where a poor credit score is calculated, the lender can take corrective action
in the case of existing customers or refuse new business from a potential
client.
A stronger lender/customer relationship can develop from the ability of the
financial institution to predict performance. This feature can allow a modern
financial institution to service customers' needs, not their wants.
Brill (2001) noted:
They say past performance does not guarantee future results, but in the world of
credit decisions history often proves to be a reliable indicator. Credit scoring

models that measure the likelihood of delinquent payments using actual payment
history along with other financial and demographic statistics are familiar to most
credit managers as useful tools for pre-qualifying sales prospects and making
informed credit decisions. These days, however, credit managers are discovering
that the disciplined use of sophisticated statistical credit scoring models can also
create a significant bottom line impact by improving cashflow and collections.

Statistical credit scoring techniques versus


traditional judgemental methods
In implementing and monitoring credit scoring techniques, it is important to
measure and ensure the validity and application of the assessment. When
applying a credit scoring system, the financial institution must clearly define
and understand the outcome. Statistical measures to be used must be verified as
to their applicability and alignment with traditional judgemental measures. It is
wise to compare a statistical system to a judgemental system to ensure the
credit scoring system adds value to the organisation. Any comparison between
the two systems will be in the eye of the beholder. Statistical systems score
highly when dealing with inexperienced staff and organisations. Experienced
lenders place a high value on judgemental methods, but the sales focus of the
modern financial institution mitigates against the development of experience.
Table 3.1 summarises the differences between statistical and judgemental c~edit
scoring techniques.
TABLE 3.1

94

Statistical versus judgemental credit scoring

1. Population difference

Impractical' or unsound
mixtures of population are
not sampled.

Credit officers make an


unspecified _adjustment

2. Definition of
creditworthiness

Precise corporate rules are


defined and agreed.

The system relies on


individual interpretation of
what is good and bad.

3. Use bf credit rules

Credit rules are avoided


because th~ system will
generat~ its own 'best' rules.

Credit rules are often based


on limited data that dwell on
the past.

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

,TopiC',
,

0,

,",'

",:,,:

-;"'4-:

,'o ,'SI~liSlic8lSCO!ing~

"

",

,Jud~m~nta(sillring"

'

Less information is needed


because redundant
information is ignored.

Wide use is made of data that


are sometimes conflicting.

Analysis reveals distinctive


and objective patterns of
good and bad behaviour.

Rarely is a precise or accurate


analysis produced to gUide
the future.

6. Validity of characteristics
and interrelationships

The impact and validtty of


individual bits of information
can be assessed.

Decisions are made without


knowing the true value of
items of information.

7.

Scoring formulations call be


tested against a variety of
samples for consistency and
prediction.

It is not practical to measure


the precise effect.

8.' Operational impact!


flexibility

The system is based on high


volume versus low cost.

The system can be time


consuming and accordingly
expensive.

9. Improved calculations
and,expected results

Calculations can be made for


decisions' on-good, b,,!-d or
reject behaviour.

It is difficult to estimate the


value bf a model to measure
performance.

10. Management control.

Management sets and defines


policy by the ability to vary
the cut-off score. according to
conditions.

tt is difficult to tighten or
ease credit policy withou t
causing an overreaction or
underreaction.

11. Monitoring and wider


use

Measures can be monitored


against current practice and
developmental models.

The level of performance can


be measured bu t the financial
institution has no ability to
easily pinpoint scope. for
improvement.

Use of applicant
- -informarion

!.';

':,

-:-5. Analysis of account


behaviour

Validation of system used

Source: Adapted from L C. Thomas, J. N. Crook & D. B. Edelman 1992, Credit Scoring and Credit
Control, Oxford Press, Oxford.

Several schools of thought exist in the development of techniques and


methods. Based on table 3.1, however, two broad categories of scoring can be
identified:
1. In aCCQunting,based systems, credit analysis forms the basis for the model
and ratios are used as the base for analysis of data. Information can be gathered independently or by access to prepared data from organisations such as
Dun & Bradstreet, Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Australian Ratings. The
basis of the analysis is to seek deviations from the average (or mean) that
generates questions or comparisons that the borrower must answer before
the lender commits to giving an advance. These models are univariate (one
variable) and have generated much debate about the continuing relevance of
analysis based on single factor analysis .

-"I"

Although univariate models are still in use today, many practitioners seem
to disapprove of simple ratio analysis as a means of assessing the perfor-

mance of a business entity. Many respected theorists downgrade the arbitrary rules of thumb (such as company ratio analysis comparisons) that are
widely used by practitioners; instead, they favour the the application of more
rigorous statistical techniques (Caouette, Altman & Narayanan 1998). Some
examples are Altman's Z score model and its variants, the emerging market
score (EMS), the ZETA credit risk model Can evolution of the original Z
score) and the seven-variable model.
2.' In quantitative credit screening, two broad streams have emerged:
Ca) credit approval models, which use decision-reaching analYSis
(b) behavioural scoring models, which are used to improve the profitability
of accounts and products.
Both categories rely on the use of statistical measures. The major difference is
the predictive nature of the accounting-based models as opposed to the
rear-view analysis of the quantitative models. In both cases, however, the aim is
to predict an outcome based on available information. We will now discuss this
second set of statistical credit scoring.

Statistical deCision-making methods used in


credit scoring models
Scoring models are designed to measure risk so the exposure of the lender can
be managed. The first stage of statistical analysis is the gathering of data. Consider how much personal and financial information the average financial institution gathers from its customers. More often than not, the data are collected for
an administrative requirement; imagine if that information could be galvanised
and used for the safety of the institution. The real skill in any model is to identify
the information that is needed and to source data in a timely and productive
manner. Management information systems have been built progressively over
the past two decades to ensure the data are available and accessible. This information retrieval aspect is one of the reasons that credit scoring has mushroomed
from retail to corporate use in sophisticated credit risk analysis.
The development of credit scoring hastened when the financial community
accepted the concept of uncertainty in the early 1980s. The sector preViously
assumed that risk was predictable given the regulated environment that existed
in the developed world. In the context of a deregulated environment, the risk
of a loan is the probability of the borrower making the repayment and the.
uncertainty is the actual predictability of the borrower's future cashflows.
Credit modelling provides a statistical base to the predictive models. In other
words, risk and uncertainty are modelled to give a picture of future probabilities. Different methods were developed to meet the various demands of the
end users (lending institutions), including the following thirteen main methods
described by Hoyland (1997).

I 96

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

There is a body of literature, beyond the scope of this text, that defines the
characteristics of a 'good' lending contract. In summary, the contract should
protect the interests of the lender without discouraging the performance of the
borrower. Our main interest is in whether the borrower makes payments in
accordance with the contract. There are three stages to this:
1. the credit risk analysiS applied to the borrower's application for a loan (topic
of this chapter)
2, the assessment of the credit risk profile during the term of the loan (a topic

started in this chapter but expanded in chapter 11)


3. the credit risk profile when a loan becomes a problem (a topic discussed in
chapter 13).
Point 2 reminds us of a very important issue. It has long been assumed that
credit risk is static, but both academic and practical experience has shown that
credit risk can vary during the life of a loan. This phenomenon is known as
credit migration and can be best explained by a simple illustration.
If a bank extends a ten-year loan to a company, then it is unreasonable to
expect the company to remain the same over the term of the loan. If it is a good
company, then its credit risk profile will improve; if the company performs
badly, then its credit risk profile will deteriorate. It is important that these
changes are encapsulated over the term of the loan.

How do we analyse credit risk?


This chapter will survey credit risk analysis over the recent period. Keep in
mind that some of the tools discussed in this chapter are complex and some
financial institutions still use the most basic of tools. In other words, every one
of these tools are still used in one form or another. The tools can be grouped
under the following four broad categories:
1. Expert systems are defined as essentially labour-based systems that depend
on human judgement. The main technique used is five Cs analysis (see
chapter 1) or a variant of this method (as in this chapter).
2. 'Some methods, called risk premium analysis, infer credit risk from financial
market-based premiums.
3. Econometrics are systems that use more and more extensive and complex
statistical methods. These methods include regression analysis and multidiscriminant analysis. In particular, we will examine risk premium-based
and multidiscriminant models.
4. Hybrid systems build on financial theory and use these understandings to
predict credit risk. The best example is the method that is used by KMV
Corporatipn (see chapter 11, page 341).

Expert systems
Expert systems are a misnomer, given that we should not infer that the methods
used under this heading are superior to other categories. In the overall context

I 110

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

of lending, they are probably the worst performers, These systems are characterised by the lending officer usiug predetermined credit criteria to make a
decision on a loan application,
The problem with this method, other than the obvious issues of time, is that
the performance of such systems is very uneven, The performance problem reflects
the experience of the lending officer and the application of the credit criteria,
The success and failure of expert systems relies on the experience and performance of the lending officer. Many lending officers have the 'instincts' to make
good lending decisions and effectively analyse lending applications; many,
however, unfortunately do not have those instincts, In many instances,
decision-making processes are clouded by the lender's relationship with the borroweL This is a reason for the rise of unambiguous statistical tools,
The issue of the lending criteria is somewhat bound up with the previous
point. Unless carefully written, credit criteria can be ambiguously interpreted as
the lending officer desires, Again, the lender's relationship with the client can
pollute the interpretation of the criteria,
It is also worth mentioning that these methods were developed before the
development of sophisticated computers and statistical tools, Many simple
lending organisations, such as small credit unions, nevertheless would still base
their decisions on such models, with limited support from other methods,
In summary, these systems tend to be manually based, with some computer
assistance for the calculation of simple financial ratios, In essence, the whole
procedure is based on paper, from credit application to approval and funding,
The follOwing stages are an example of this process:
On receiving application from the prospective borrower, the lending
institution attaches a checklist to a file and follows the steps,
The lender analyses and assesses each element of the checklist.
The loan is granted or declined,
In the event of loan approval, documentation is completed and the loan is
funded,
The most common procedure of this type is five Cs analysiS,

The live Cs
As mentioned, financial institutions use a number of 'expert systems', of which
five Cs analysis (or derivations) is the most common, In essence, these systems
seek to cover the most basic of risk issues for the lender, including questions
such as whether the borrower is allowed to enter into the contract and whether
they have the means to pay back the loan under most circumstances, Expert
systems seek to set a framework that helps lenders ask the right questions, This
is the aim of five Cs analysis, which will now be examined in turn:
character

capacity,
cash
collateral
conditions.

Note that this discussion is different from that in earlier chapters. It is based
on Rose's (1993) derivation of the five Cs and is designed to highlight that there
are different approaches.
Character almost equates to the moral fibre of the borrower. Is the purpose of
the loan well defined? Does the potential borrower appear to be truthful in
answering the questions? This issue can be vexing if the borrower is new to the
financial institution and has no established track record.
Capacity is a legal question. Does the borrower have the legal capacity to
borrow? Court proceedings throughout the world have judged the position of
persons signing loan documentation. The follOwing issues need to be considered here, depending on the loan.
For retail loans, a minor cannot execute loan documentation.
The situation for business loans is a little more difficult. A company
representative who has a title that appears to confer authority does not
necessarily have that authority The position of 'manager', for exampk, has
caused problems in the past, as in a case relating to AWA Limited. For
business loans, it is suggested that the lending institution seek board minutes
on the delegation of financial management, to ensure management can sign
the binding documentation.
It is no surprise that the most important C is cash, because that is what
repays the loan. Much of the financial statements analysis in this chapter is conducted to ensure the borrower can generate sufficient cashflow Cas opposed to
accounting earnings) to repay the loan. The following ratios are used most
often:
Current ratio
.
Inventory turnover ratIo

Current assets
Current liabilities

~ -:;----c-:-;-c;-:-;--

Net sales
:------Inventory

.
Net profit
Net profit-sales ratIo ~
1
Net sa es
'b"

O e t-eqmty ratIo

Debt
- - .- .
Eqmty

The importance of cashflow should not be subordinated to collateral, which


can be considered only a secondary source of assuranCe of repayment. Whether
for a business requesting project funds or an individual needing a home loan,
the primary source of repayment should come from the project's earilings Cas
opposed to the liquidation value of the project) or the individual's income'
respectively
This brings up the problematic matter of collateral. Collateral is the securing
of a loan with an underlying asset. The most common example of collateral is
the home from a home loan. Twenty years ago, banks often would rely on collateral rather than cashflow as comfort that the loan would be repaid. Tight
financial conditions often produce difficulties in accessing collateral, however,

I 112

Part 2: Analysis and interpretation of credit risk

Consumer lending
Learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. explain what consumer loans are
2. outline the major types of consumer loan
3. explain how different types of consumer loan
application are evaluated
4. explain, with the help of specimen consumer loan
applications, how the principles of lending are
applied in practice
5. enumerate the precautions to be taken in
assessing consumer loan applications
6. discuss how credit scoring of consumer loan
applications is done
7. briefly explain the laws and regulations affecting
consumer loans
8. outline the trends in consumer credit
9. explain the pricing aspect of consumer loans.

institutions pay to one another are called interchange fees (Reserve Bank of
Australia and Australian Competition and Consumer Commission 2000). The
card-issuing bank also charges the customer (a) an annual fee for issuing a
credit card and (b) interest on the outstanding balance.
Having discussed the different types of consumer loan, we will now explain
how consumer loan applications are evaluated.

Evaluating consumer loan applications


Here, we will present the general principles of credit assessment of consumer
loans, followed by a step-by-step approach used by one of the financial institutions in Australia.

General principles
Like all other evaluations of loans, the assessment of a consumer loan application follows the three fundamental Cs of lending: character, capacity and
collateral (Bock 1994). Some authors (Weaver & Kingsley 2001, for example)
add capital and conditions, and thus have the five Cs of lending. According to
Caouette, Altman and Narayanan (1998), the three Cs of lending are character, capacity and capital. 'Capital', however, is usually included under
'capacity to repay' and 'conditions' are usually included under 'collateral'.
According to Rose (1999), there are only two Cs: character and ability (or
capacity) to repay: In this chapter, for convenience, we will follow the three
Cs of character, capacity and collateral, incorporating the other two Cs
(capital and conditions) therein.

Character
The character of the prospective borrower is the single most important factor
that influences a lender's decision whether to approve or reject a loan. Character is the most important and, at the same time, the most difficult factor to
assess. As quoted by Weerasooriya (1998, p. 99), the famous American banker
Pierpoint Morgan told a Senate inquiry that 'the first thing that I look for is the
borrower's character'. (We include the full quote on page 6.) Nothing can be
more powerful than this statement to adequately emphasise the importance of
character in bank lending. Although assessment of character is a subjective
issue, the following factors can assist:
Track record of the individual. If the intending borrower is already a customer
of the bank, then it is easy for the banker to assess the track record because
the borrower's complete financial history is available. The longer the
relationship, the better it is. If the borrower is a customer of another bank,
then bank verbals (opinions) are requested from that bank. Banks sometimes
also refer to credit reference agencies and make enquiries with the borrower's
friends and relatives. Before making such enquiries, the bank must obtain
written consent from the borrower to this effect, as required under the
Privacy Act 1988.

I 146

Part 3: Consumer lending

Ability. The ability of the borrower can be judged from the formal education
that he/she possesses in the area of activity that he/she wishes to undertake.
In addition to a formal trade or other qualification, the borrower's experience
in the particular area of activity is also an important consideration. These
aspects become particularly important in the case of business loans.
Purpose oj loan. The third important factor to be studied is the purpose for
which the borrower wants finance. The lending banker must ensure that the
purpose is lawful, and is consistent with the loan policy of the bank.
The integrity oj the borrower. The client must have both the ability and
willingness to repay tbe loan. The ability to repay can be judged from the
capacity to repay, but willingness to repay is a question of character. The
borrower may have sufficient surplus to repay the loan but may still try to
avoid repayment of the loan in time. Borrowers often do not realise the
importance of timely repayment and are lax in making payments to the bank.
In the case of existing borrowers, their track record proves useful for forming
an opinion of this aspect of character. In case of new borrowers, the bank bas
to be more circumspect.
Spending habits. The borrower's spending habits are important. Some
borrowers are 'Big Spenders' - that is, they spend far beyond their capacity
to repay from their earnings. The likely result of such habits will be the
borrower defaulting on a loan sooner or later. The bank must take adequate
precaution at the time of granting the loan. Large outstanding balances on a
credit card, multiple debts and a lifestyle inconsistent with earnings are some
of the symptoms that give rise to suspicion. Borrowers who have a known
history of gambling need to be handled with more caution.

Capacity 10 repay
If satisfied that the purpose of the loan is genuine aud if the character checks on
the prospective borrower are all encouraging, then the lender will start taking a
serious interest in the loan applicatiou. The lender cau judge the repayment
capacity of the borrower iu several ways.
Net income. The first and foremost consideration is the level of net earnings
of the borrower. Net income is the income remaining after payment of all
expenses.. The application form for consumer loans normally seeks details of
the sources of income and expenditure. Income includes income from
employment, receipts by way of dividends and so on. If the spouse of the
borrower is earning, then the spouse income needs to be taken into account.
Expenditure includes items such as rent, the living expenses of the family,
and repayment of any other debts.
Deposit balances with the bank. Another way to check the creditworthiness of
the borrower is to check the average balance maintained in his/her accounts
with the bank.
Stability oj job. Job stability and continuity are other indicators of capacity to
repay. Borrowers that have contractual jobs need to be assessed with care.

Stability of residence. This is another factor taken into account in personal


loans. It is generally believed that a borrower who has a stable residence has
a more stable personal situation. Home ownership is often viewed as solid
evidence of a stable financial situation. Having one's own telephone, house
and household furniture is an indicator of a stable financial position.
Borrowers margin. The larger the borrower's contribution relative to the
bank's contribution, the better it is. The borrower's margin is the borrower's
capital in the total investment.

Collateral
Collateral literally means 'along side'. Something that go'es 'along side' the loan
is called collateraL In banking circles, the term 'collateral' is used as synonymous to 'security'. It .is often said that a prudent banker never gives a loan
against security alone, which means that security should not be the prime consideration in giving a loan. The main consideration should always be the viability of the venture. This is especially true in the case of business loans. Loans
should be given if the borrower has capacity to repay. Collateralis something to
fall back on if the circumstances of the borrower change and he/she finds it
hard to repay the loan out of normal sources of income. Invoking collateral is
the last resort when all other means to secure repayment of the loan have failed.
It is a legal process that is both time consuming and expensive for the banker.
It may also create bad feeling between the borrower and the bank. If no avenues
are left to recover the loan; however, a banker should use the right to dispose of
the collateral and use the proceeds in repayment of the loan. Finally, general
economic conditions should also be taken into account. In recessions, financial
institutions may be less confident about lending.
The above principles guide all lending decisions. We will now present a
step-by-step approach that is generally followed while assessing a personal loan
(for example, a vehicle loan). This will help you grasp the essentials of evaluating consumer loans. Many steps are common to all types of loan, although
some of the details may vary.

Step-by-step assessment of personal loans


The steps used in evaluating personal loans are discussed below.

Step 1: obtaining a prescribed application form


Applications can be received by telephone or mail or at the branch. Applicants
must be residents of Australia and preferably are residents of the service area of
the branch. The lender should ensure the application is fully completed. In particular, the full name and address of all the borrowers, information about
employment of the borrowers (such as designation, contract term, salary tax
and other deductions) and living expenses should be obtained. The lender also
should ensure to take authorisation for the disclosure of the applicant's information to Baycorp Advantage/Credit Advantage (formerly the Credit Reference
Association of Australia). The authorisation should be signed by all applicants/

148 Part 3: Consumer lending

guarantors. Dependents noted on the application must include children from a


previous relationship for whom the applicant pays child support. If the applicant is not an existing customer of the bank, then it may be appropriate to open
a savings account first, after following the usual precautions. It is important to
obtain documentary evidence to support all the information given in the application. In Australia, financial institutions mostly use the credit scoring models
(discussed in subsequent sections) where certain points (scores) are allotted for
each piece of information that the borrower provides. The sum of all these
points is compared with a cut-off score.

Step 2: conducting a preliminary assessment


Credit Advantage should conduct a check on all applicants, including guarantors. All information obtained and its source should be recorded in writing. The
bank official doing the credit check should sign and date the record. Check the
applicant's capacity to repay by calculating hislher net income. To calculate net
income, minus all deductions from gross income. The total commitments of the
applicant should not exceed 50 per cent of the applicant's net income. Total
commitments are equal to the repayment instalment of the loan applied plus
other commitments (such as payment of other loans). In the case of joint applicants, the income of both applicants should be added. Allowances and overtime
payments should be added to income. Allowances on which tax is levied should
be added to gross income, while others should be added to net income. Income
from other sources could be added to gross income if received on a regular
basis. In the case of self-employed applicants, the lender should refer to their
tax returns for the previous two or three years or audited statements of financial
performance. Maintenance payments received by divorced persons are not to be
treated as income.
Proof of income - pay slips, group certificates, verification from employers
and so on - used in calculating the borrower's repayment capacity should be
held on file. An applicant's current employment, together with the term of current employment, must be verified. If the current employment is for less than
two years, then the lender should make checks about the applicant's previous
employment. An' employment check involves contacting employers or, in the
case of self-employed applicants, contacting accountants.
The address of the applicant can be verified by telephoning the landlord or
sighting rent receipts, mortgage documents, council rates notices, a house
insurance policy or confirmation from employers.

Step 3: accepting and loading applications


Applications that are accepted and loaded on the bank's computer system would
be given to customers for signing. An application can be cancelled anytime
before disbursement, but a letter to this effect must be obtained from the customer and held on record. Customers also must be informed in writing. Even
where applications are not sanctioned, the reasons for rejection should be noted
in detail on the application. This is useful if there are subsequent complaints,
disputes or enquiries.

Step 4: taking securities


Securities that will be taken for personal loans consist of one or more of the
following documents: a registered bill of sale over a motor vehicle, boat, caravan
and so on; a charge over banklbuilding society deposits (that is, term and savings
accounts); and a charge over the surrender value of a life insurance policy.
All vehicles secured by a registered bill of sale should have comprehensive
insurance registered in the name of the banklbuilding society as mortgagee. In
the case of vehicles purchased from a licensed dealer, details such as the full price
of the vehicle, the registration number, the engine number, the chassis number,
the make and model, the year of manufacture, the dealer's registration number,
the deposit paid and the amount ofloan should be recorded on the invoice. Where
vehicles are purchased privately; various searches should be conducted to establish title, nonencumbrance and, in some cases, bankruptcy. The vehicle should
be registered in the State where the banklbuilding society is located. The present
owners of the yehicle are required to sign a certificate that they are not bankrupt
and that the vehicle is not subject to any encumbrance. All vehicles used as
security should be registered with the State Motor Vehicle Securities Registry.
Boats are registered with the Department of Consumer Affairs Bill of Sale Registry
The full cost of the vehicle is never financed. The borrower is required to contribute a margin (that is, hislher own share) to the cost of the vehicle. In the case
of new vehicles, generally 80 per cent of the invoice price and, in the case of
used vehicles, 70 per cent of the invoice price or the price as per the dealer guide
(whichever is lower) is financed. Financial institutions generally insist that the
value of the vehicle should be at least $10000. The norms of valuation in respect
of different types of vehicle are generally indicated in the loan manual of the
bank. The disbursement of the loan is generally made directly to the seller of the
vehicle. A bill of sale registration fee is also charged to the borrower's account.
Funds held in the account of the borrowers or guarantors may be frozen automatically at the time of approval. This is known as the creation of a charge over
deposits. All the parties in whose name the deposit account stands are required
to sign such a charge. Banks sometimes obtain a charge over the surrender value
of the life insurance policy of the borrower. The surrender value should be ascertained from the insurance company and 75 per cent of the value may be reckoned
as security. An assignment form and memorandum of transfer are completed and
registered with the insurance company.
A guarantee usually cannot be used for a personal loan, except perhaps where
security is falling short. The relationship between the borrower and guarantor
should be studied. The guarantor should be given full particulars of the loan contract, which should not be altered without the knowledge of the guarantor. An
alternative to guarantee is co-borrowing. Here, the co-borrower's name appears
on all the loan documents and he/she signs all the documents.

Step 5: determining interest, lees and charges


To calculate the interest to be charged on the loan, the lender deducts some percentage (for credit score concession and security) from the standard rate. The

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Part 3: Consumer lending

fees and charges that are generally levied include: an application fee, loan contract stamp duty, a bill of sale registration fee, an encumbrance search fee, a
bankruptcy search fee and a registered owner search fee.

Step 6: approving/rejecting applications


Applications are approved as per sanctioning powers given to managers
working at various levels of the bank. Where an application is rejected as a
result of the Credit Advantage report, the borrower may be advised accordingly:
In all other cases, the borrower may be advised that the application did not
meet the guidelines of the bank; there is no need to give any specific reason. If
a loan is approved, then at the time of disbursement, a senior officer should be
present to verify all the documents, ensure the borrower and guarantor sign in
hislher presence and certify that this has been done.

Step 7: supervising the loan and following up


Personal loan accounts do not require much supervision, just a regular follow-up
to ensure the repayment of loan instalments are made in time. Reminder letters
may be sent to the borrowers whose instalments are in arrears. The first reminder
is generally sent within one week of the instalment falling in arrears, and a
second is sent a week later if the payment still has not been received. Every effort
should be made to assist borrowers who are in arrears. This could involve temporarily extending the repayment period or accepting available payment now
and the remainder at the time of the next instalment. The credit/kgal department
of the controllinglhead office generally takes legal action when the borrower fails
to pay despite follow-up. Where security is to be repossessed due to nonpayment
of dues, banks generally appoint a mercantile agent. Borrowers should be
informed in advance about the action and given sufficient time to bring the
goods to the bank themselves. If this warning fails, then the mercantile agent
may be asked to possess the goods and bring them to the yard of the bank. The
loans department reports loan defaults to Credit Advantage.

Step-by-step assessment of credit card loans


The assessment of credit card loans is similar to that of personal loans. It is even
simpler, involVing fewer steps than those needed for personal loans.
Step 1: obtain the duly filled-in prescribed credit card application form and
ensure all details have been completed. Applications can be received by
telephone or mail, over the Internet or at branches.
Step 2: conduct credit checks via Credit Advantage, employers and from
other banks where the customer holds accounts.
Step 3: if the checks are satisfactory, then load the details of the application
. on the computer system. The computer system will automatically work out
the points and give a decision against a set cut-off as to whether the
application can be accepted or rejected.
Step 4: where the application is approved, request that a credit card be made
ready, indicating the name of the card holder and the date to which the card
is valid. An approval letter and a detailed book of instructions about using the

credit card will be sent to the applicant. The card need not be sent directly to
the applicant, who instead may be advised that the credit card is ready for
collection at a local branch. The branch will hand over the credit card when
the applicant produces this letter and signs the card issue register. Where the
application is not approved, the applicant may be suitably advised.

Example of a consumer loan application


Referring to the Commonwealth Bank's personal loan application form and
credit card loan application form as examples, we will explain how the information sought on the forms ultimately helps the lending banker to assess the
quality of the loan proposal. We have tried to relate the questions on the application forms to the three Cs of lending explained earlier.

Personal loans
An application form for a personal loan is downloadable from the Commonwealth Bank's website (wwwcommbank.com.au). It will help to have the form
handy while reading the follOwing discussion.

Character
On the loan application, the bank obtains the authority of the prospective
borrower to collect information from a credit reporting agency and to exchange
that information with other credit providers. Such an authority helps the bank
to carry out credit checks. The information that the bank will receive will throw
light on the character of the borrower. The bank may ask whether the applicant
has any other debts. Some applicants may not disclose this information, which
may not serve them well because the bank will come to know from other sources
whether there are prior debts. If an applicant hides information, the banker does
not form a good opinion about the applicant. In short, the applicant becomes
an 'at risk' party and the bank may not view him!her favourably.
Some questions on the application form relate to the particulars and contact
details of the applicant. The bank will verify these details. Evidence that will
be used by the bank includes a driver's licence, proof of age card, a citizenship
certificate and an overseas or Australian passport. The bank can verify the
applicant's residential address by telephoning or visiting the residence. The
bank will also send letters to the residential address and request the client to
come to the bank with those !etters. This confirms that the applicant is
actually residing at the address indicated. The bank also seeks the applicant's
length of residence at the address provided. Changing residence frequently
may not be viewed favourably by the bank. It shows that the applicant is not
stable at one place. As indicated in the discussion of credit scoring models
(see pages 155-8), a longer period of stay at a residence earns more points.
One question on the loan application seeks details about the applicant's
previous employment. The banker may contact the previous employer to check
the applicant's character.

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Part 3: Consumer lending

The loan application contains a further qnestion about character assessment.


From the status of an applicant's friends, a banker can obtain an idea of the
social strata to which the applicant belongs. Influential friends are a positive
in this assessment process.

Capacity
Some questions on the loan application are about employment. The banker is
trying to assess the stability of the applicant's employment. If the employment
is stahle, then there will be a stable source of income from which the bank
can expect repayment. The banker wants to ensure the prospective borrower
is able to service the debt (both the instalment and interest) on time. The bank
seeks the tenure of the applicant's employment. Casual or part-time employees
may not find favour with a banker. Again, the banker will also make inquiries
with employers about the status of the applicant's employment.
Some questions on the loan application seek to assess the repayment capacity
of the applicant in one way or the other. The banker also seeks to know
whether the purpose for which the loan is sought is an approved purpose
under the bank's loan policy Details such as the items to be purchased and
their prices are sought by the bank to know how the loan is going to be used.
The bank may also require a quotation.
Some questions on the loan application seek information about the amount
the applicant wants to borrow and the approximate monthly repayment that
the applicant proposes to make. The amount that the applicant wants to .
borrow reveals the applicant's own margin or contribution (recall the C of
capital). The bank will compare these details with the net income of the
applicant to judge whether the applicant can service the loan together with
interest. The bank asks whether the applicant is a new customer of the bank
or an existing customer. If the applicant is an existing customer, then the
. bank probably already knows hislher financial dealings and has a good idea
about hislher character. If the applicant is new, then the bahk will be more
circumspect. Some questions seek details about the income and expenditure
of the applicant, so as to arrive at the net surplus available to service the loan.

Collateral
The purpose of some questions on the loan application is to know the financial
standing or creditworthiness of the applicant. If the applicant has property and
investments, then the risk .in giving a loan is much less. A further purpose is to
know what collateral (security) the applicant can offer. One question has a
similar purpose, requesting details of the applicant's friend/relative. The bank
can suggest that the friend/relative stand as a guarantee for the loan if needed.

Credit card loans


An application form for a credit card is downloadable from the Commonwealth
Bank website Cwww.commbank.com.au).The information requested by the bank
is much the same as that requested on a personal loan application. This is
because the purpose of s,eeking the,information is the same in both cases. Some

additional questions have been included, however, and here we will explain
why this information is required.
The relevance of some of the additional questions is obvious. The bank wants
to know the applicant's requirements of the credit card: that is, the type of card,
the interest-free purchase period required and whether the applicant is a
member of the bank's 'rewards' program. The interest rate that the bank will
charge on outstanding balances and the card fee will vary, depending on the
type of card option chosen by the applicant.
One question on the credit card application seeks information about the
applicant's reSidency status. If the applicant is not a permanent resident, then
the bank may be circumspect in issuing the card. It may be hard for tbe bank to
chase up credit card holders residing overseas if there are any outstanding dues.

Precautions to be taken in granting consumer


loans
Consumer loans are rar simpler to assess and monitor than, say, corporate loans
or farm loans, but it is still important to take adequate care to avoid problems
down the track. A banker may face some of the following challenges:
1. Individuals may withhold information that is crucial to decision-making.
There could be issues relating to health or continuity of employment.
2. The applicant may provide inconsistent information. The inconsistencies
may be intentional or due to lack-of knowledge of bank procedures.
3. Verifying some of the information provided could be a problem. On many
occasions, employers may not be williug to disclose details about their
employees to tbe bank. Tbe bauker also needs to be more cautious in disclosing information about a prospective or existing borrower. In the case of
Toumier v. National Provincial and Union Bank of England (1924), the
banker, in the absence of Mr Toumier, told Mr Toumier's employer of his
gambling habit and the state of his bank account. Mr Toumier's contract
was not renewed; he lost his job and successfully sued the bank for slander
and breach of confidentiality.
4. The applicant may have a good character otherwise but not realise the
importance of making repayments on the due date.
5. Individuals are susceptible to sickness, injury, loss of employment and
other such issues that may affect their ability to repay. Even family dispu tes can affect the repayment performance of a borrower.
6. Individuals tend to overcommit through nondisClosure of other debt.
7. The individual must have a capacity to enter into a loan contract. A loan
contract, like any other contract, requires that the person should not be a
minor (less than 18 years of age), someone of unsound mind or an insolvent.
8. The personal loan borrower should be encouraged to maintain a savings
account with the bank.
9. Borrowers must sign loan documents in the presence of an authorised bank
officer and preferably at the branch of the bank.

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Pari 3: Consumer lending

10. Loans should normally be not given to repay an existing loan from another
source.
11. In the case of salaried borrowers, their salary should be credited by the
employers directly to a savings acconnt with the bank.
12. If the terms of the loan are changed, then all the documents (including
guarantees) need to be re-executed.
13. Interest is calculated on a daily basis from the date of advance and debited
to the loan account on the last day of each month.
14. Many banks follow a credit scoring system for assessing personal loans.
The system serves as a gUide, with approval decisions to be based on
income capacity, length of time in residence, length of time in employment,
association with the bank and previous credit history.
15. In the case of fixed interest loans, if payment is received in advance, an
early repayment penalty applies. The penalty applies where the current
fixed interest rate is lower than the contracted fixed interest rate. The penalty is equal to this difference.
16. The Privacy Act (Commonwealth Government legislation) applies to all
consumer loans. It requires that credit checks cannot be done without
written permission from the prospective borrowers. All parties to the loan
contract, including guarantors, have to sign the authorisation to carry out
credit checks. In case of applications over the telephone, verbal authority
should be obtained and then written authority should be taken before loan
approval and kept on record.
17. The bank is legally bound to give information relating to borrowers' accounts
to the Australian Taxation Office, the Department of Social Security (via
CentreLink) and the Public Trustee. In all other cases, no information can be
passed on to any third party without the express written authority of the
borrower.
18. A bankruptcy search is conducted through the Bankruptcy Registry in the
nearest capital city. An encumbrance search is conducted through the State
Motor Vehicles Security Registry, while a registered owner search is conducted through the State Department of Transport.
19. The loan officer should carefully read the loan policy manual of the bank
and meticulously observe the procedures indicated therein, the documentation required and other such details.
20. The bank's head office advises the branches and offices of changes to the
loan policy from time to time. It is necessary to ensure loan officers are up
to date with all the changes.

Credit scoring consumer loan applications


As already explained, banks assess the applicant'S character, capacity to repay and
collateral before approving or rejecting an application. For credit assessment,
banks traditionally used judgemental procedures. As per these procedures, the
lending officer of the bank subjectively interpreted the information provided by

the applicant, keeping in view the bank's lending policy, and decided to accept
or reject a loan. Banks thus 'relied on the judgement of their officers, who were
usually given adequate training before they started as lending officers. Judge.
mentallending was not only subjective but also time consuming. The cost of
credit assessment was considerably high, given that the number of applications
one could assess in a day was limited. In more recent years, banks have developed
a more efficient and cost-effective system of assessment of consumer loans. Many
banks today use credit scoring to evaluate the consumer loan applications. The
major credit card companies such as MasterCard and Visa use the credit scoring
system to evaluate credit card applications. Similarly, a growing number of banks
and nonbanks are using credit scoring models to evaluate motor vehicles loans,
home loans and other types of consumer loan.
Credi t scoring systems have many advantages over the judgemental systems,
including the following:
a large volume of credit applications Can be handled
applications can be processed speedily
the operating cost of using credit scoring models is low compared with that
of judgemental models
there is no need for elaborate training of loan officers, and training time and
costs can be saved
customers like the convenience and speed with which applications are
processed and decisions are reached.
Many consumer loan applications can now be lodged over the Internet; for
example, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and many other Australian
banks accept online consumer loan applications. The decisions regarding
approval or rejection are often given within a short time, either online or by
telephone, after the bank makes credit checks.
Credit scoring models are developed using statistical models (equations). In
these models, several variables are simultaneously used to arrive at a credit score
or ranking for each applicant. If the score exceeds the pre-determined cut-off
score, then the application is automatically approved. The variables that are used
in the credit scoring models include age, marital status, number of dependents,
home ownership, income. bracket, credit rating, time in current employment,
number of bank accounts held, the type of accounts held and telephone ownership. The credit scoring models attempt to segregate the good loans from bad
(risky) loans based on the past experience of the bank. The bank collects data
of loans that have proved to be sound and those that have proved to be risky
against each of the above parameters, then runs a statistical model (like a
regression or discriminant function) that gives the relative weights (points) for
each of the above variables. These weights are then used for constructing a credit
scoring model against which all applications are evaluated. The scoring models
are dyuamic; that is, they are tested and re-tested periodically, and revised if
necessary. If a drastic change in auy of the variables is found to influence the
model differently, then the model would be adjusted for that change.
/

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Part 3: Consumer leiiiling

The following table 5.1 shows the variables (factors) that are used in a typical
credit scoring model and the cut-off points for decision-making.
TABLE 5.1

Points value of factors in credit scoring models

1. CustoH'Iers occupation,

or line ofworh

, Professional or business executive


Skilled worker
- Clerical worker
Student

10
8
7
5

Unskilled wOlker
Part-time employee'
2. Housing status
Owns home
Rents home or ap'art:rrlent
Lives with friend or relative
. 3. Credit rating
Excellent
Average
No record
Poor
4:' Length 'of time in ~urrel1t fob
More than o~e_-year
One year or .less .
5. Length of time at current address
More than one year
One year or less
6. Telephone in home or aparlinent

2
6

4
2

10
5
2

o
5
2

2
1

Yes

No
7. Number of dependants reported by customer
None
One

3
3

Two

Three
More than three
8. Bank aaounts held
Both cheque and savings
Savings account only
Cheque account only
None

Point score value or range

Credit decision

4
3

Reject application
Extend credit up to
Extend credit up to
Extend credit up to
Extend credit up [0
Extend credit up to
Extend credit up to

28 points or less
29-30 points
31-33 points
34-36 points
37-38 points
39--40 points
41-43 points

$500
$1000
$2500
$3500
$5000
$8000

Source: P. Rose 1999, Commercial Bank Management, Irwin McGraw-HiH, Boston, pp. 610-11 .

. ;r

Security, consumer credit


legislation and legal aspects
of lending
Learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. understand the legal framework tha't governs
consumer and real estate lending
2. explain the various lending documents that need to
be obtained in consumer ard real estate lending,
and their purpose
3. understand the special legal rights of lending
bankers
4. explain the legal requirements that are specific to
home loans
5. explain other relevant legal aspects (such as
banker's lien, the right to set-off and appropriation
of payments) in bank lending
6. prepare a checklist that lending officers can use to
ensure they have satisfied fundamental legal
requirements of lending.

Warning: TllB following


outline of the workings
relating to lending. It is
should not be used as,
proper textbook on law
competent solicitors.

material is a bare
of the legislation
not intended as, and
a substitute for a
or the advice of

legislation dealing with contracts and consumers


The Contracts Review Act 1980, the Fair Trading Acts and the ConSUl11er
Transactions Act 1972 are State-level statutes, which have the object of
protecting consumers and striking down unfair and unjust contracts. The
Contracts Review Act is New South Wales legislation, while the COnSUDler
Transactions Act is South Australian legislation. The Fair Trading Act of
each State is similar to the Commonwealth's Trade Practices Act. According
to Blay and Clark (1993, p. 599), 'The [fair trading] legislation was largely
designed to overcome the constitutional limitations of the Trade Practices
Act 1974 which applies largely to corporations'. Fair Trading Acts apply to
individuals.
The second phase of lending is concerned with the legal aspects of pre-loan
approval: loan documentation, the rights and obligations of bankers and CUs.
tomers,actions in the case of default and other relevant issues. In the following
sections, we will discuss each of these aspects.

loan documentation
Lenders require borrowers to sign many documents before the disbursement of
a loan can take place. Lending officers are often warned not to disburse a loan
until the necessary legal documentation is completed. The loan documents are
elaborate and carefully drafted by the lender's legal advisors. It is often said that
the documents are deSigned to protect the lender in all situations and may not
be in the best interests of the borrower. Staff are often advised to adhere to the
standard documentation prepared by the head office and not to make anyalter.
ations without express authority. This is necessary because the legal advisors of
the lender consider past cases and incorporate suitable clauses to protect the
lender from an eventuality. The complexity of documentation has resulted in
several court cases in Australia and overseas, prompting moves towards drafting
the documents in plain and commonly understandable English (see Weera
sooriya 1998 for a detailed discussion of these issues). There is still a long way
to go, however, and the documentation remains quite complicated. As a result,
lenders often take an undertaking from the borrower that he/she has consulted
legal experts and understands hislher obligations by signing the documents.
Lending officers should be cautious about offering any.interpretation of the
clauses in the documentation; a safer alternative is to advise the client to consult a solicitor.
Having understood the common difficulties faced by borrowers and the precautions that lending officers should take, we will now turn to other details
about documentation. From the loan application form of the Commonwealth
Ba).1k of Australia (see the bank's website, as instructed on page 186, chapter 6),
we know that lenders obtain the following types of document before advancing
consumer/real estate loans.

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Part 3: Consumer lending I

Promissory note
A contract of loan arises when one person lends or agrees to lend money to
another person in consideration of a promise (express or implied) to repay the
loan with or without iuterest. Such a promise is made in the form of a
promissory note. It is a basic loan document and is invariably obtaiued by
banks in all types of loan, whether for personal or business purposes. It is a
simple promise to pay the interest and repay the loan amount borrowed.

Mortgage deed
A mortgage is the transfer of an interest ina specific immovable property to
secure a loan. The party transfering such an interest is called a mortgagor, the
transferee is called a mortgagee, and the transfer instrument is called a mortgage deed. Various forms of mortgages are recognised by law. The forms commonly found in Australia are legal mortgages, statutory Torrens mortgages and
equitable mortgages. Weerasooriya (1998) lucidly explains the difference
between a legal mortgage and a statutory Torrens mortgage. A legal mortgage is
the conveyauce or assignment of the legal estate of the mortgagor in property
(real or personal) to the mortgagee. Under the Torrens system, the mortgage
takes the form of a statutory instrument which, when registered, confers on the
mortgagee an interest in the land. In a legal mortgage, the legal interest in the
property is transferred to the mortgagee. In the Torrens system, the legal
interest remains with the mortgagor and only equitable interest is transferred to
the mortgagee. As opposed to legal mortgages, in an equitable mortgage, the
mortgagor does not make a legal transfer of a proprietary interest, but merely a
binding undertaking to confer such an interest. The mortgagor has a right to
payoff the debt and redeem property. Banks use standard forms to obtain a
mortgage. Specimens. of a promissory note and a mortgage deed can be found in
Sirota (1994); specimens oflending documents can be found in Francis (1987).

Guarantees
A guarantee is one of the simplest forms of security taken by lenders. A
contract of guarantee is a contract to perform the promise or discharge the
liability of a third person in the case of default. The principal debtor or the
borrower is a person for whom the guarantee is provided. The person who
provides the guarantee is called the guarantor and the person for whom the
guarahtee is provided is called the creditor. A guarantee covering a single
transaction is called a specific guarantee, while a guarantee covering a series
of transactions is called a continuing guarantee. The liability of the surety
(the guarautor) depends on the default of the third party (the principal
debtor). Given that all the parties to a guarantee - that is, the guarantor,
the principal debtor and the creditor - subscribe to the contract, any
changes to the terms of the original credit cOntract must be made with the
consent of the guarantor. The guarantor is discharged from liability if the
terms of the contract between the principal debtor and. the creditor are

changed without his/her consent. In the case of a con tinning guarantee, on


the death of the guarantor, his/her estate will not be liable for future trans.
actions. The guarantor can revoke a contract of continuing guarantee bl'
giving suitable notice. If the principal debtor is released, then the guaranl~r
is automatically released. Lenders usually obtain a continuing guarantee and
use standard forms to obtain guarantees.

Bill of sale
Hire purchase companies use this type of security when lending for motor
vehicles. It is important to ensure the bill of sale is properly drawn. II
should be prepared on the usual stationery of the vendor (the vendor's
printed forms), bear a current date (not be a stale bill) and be signed with
the seal of the vendor. It should be ensured that the bill of sale indicates
the registration .number of the vendor and is drawn in the name of the borrower, indicating the borrower's full address. When such a bill of sale is furnished by the borrower, the lender should confirm its veracity Lenders
usually make payment directly to the vendor against delivery of the goods
specified under the bill of sale. The bill of sale is a primary document of
evidence of the sale contract.

An assignment of shares or life policies


Assignment means a transfer of a right, property or debt by one person
(assignor) to another person (assignee). The borrower gives an irrevocable
order that the proceeds from life policies may be paid directly to the lender
In the event of default, the creditor has. a right to enforce the assignment and
use the proceeds towards the satisfaction of the debt. Lenders consider
assignment of life policies to be one of the most satisfactory forms of
security This is because the value of the security (assignment) can be readily
ascertained, it is stable and it can be eaSily realised. Lenders often prefer
assignments to guarantees. According to Weerasooriya (1998), a life policy is
considered to be a much more tangible, reliable and acceptable banking
security than the average guarantee. Another security that lenders may
accept is the company shares that are listed on the stock exchange. Lenders
normally accept only those shares that are quoted and marketed in recognised stock exchanges. They prefer shares of blue-chip companies such as
BHP Billiton, Lend Lease and Amcor. Although value of shares may fluctuate
(and even sharply at times), the prices can be readily ascertained and the
shares can be readily sold. Lenders normally insist on legal mortgage 0 f
shares. This means the debtor assigns it in favour of the bank by filling in
the share transfer form, which can be obtained from the relevant company
Snch a transfer usually takes place subject to an agreement that the security
will be transferred back to the borrower when the loan is repaid. Transfer of
the shares in the name of the lender 'incurs a transfer fee. Once the fee is
paid, the share registry of the company issues a holding certificate (called a
share certificate overseas) in the name of the bank. To save the transfer fee,

I 214

Part 3: Consumer lending

Corporate lending
Learning objectilles
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1, apply the principles of corporate lending
2, explain the application of lending criteria
3, list the contents of the loan structuring proposal
4, discuss the importance of financial information
5, explain the importance of managing the loan
portfolio
6, demonstrate awareness of available loan products,

Intm d1.1 eli 0 n


C01porate lending is an intuitive process that is more an art than a science at
this stage of its evolution. Credit scoring techniques are fast being developed
and applied to corporate lending, however, and are set to add a layer of protection over the approval process. The side effect of credit scoring is the acceptance that a percentage of loans will go bad; in the past, loans did go bad but
would not have been approved unless the analysis indicated the ability to repay.
. In this chapter, we will examine the principles of corporate lending and their
application in the construction of corporate loans. In addition, we will examine
the actions of the loan officers in line with the success or failure of the loan process. Within this process, we will examine the lifecycle of a loan to demonstrate
the difference between the products of a financial institution and those of other
corporate entities.

An overview of corporate lending


Corporate lending represents the high end of the loan portfolio mix for a
modern bank or financial institution. It is also a fiercely competitive arena
where margins can be small and the risks can be great; a successful lender
understands the overall market and its niche in that market. Careful consideration needs to be given to the type of client, and their reputation and
standing; the selection of a carefully balanced book ensures prosperity in the
good times and survival in the bad times.
The correct mix and share of various industries is essential to overall success.
Too much market share in one segment of the economy makes the institution
vulnerable to movements in the economy; in other words, a snccessful bank
sometimes declines good business so as not to be overexposed in a particular
market segInent.
A good lender needs to balance the requirement to meet their target against
the quality of the business they write. The hallmark of a successful lender is the
ability to say 'no' to a bad or suspect proposition. One of the most important of
the many rules of lending is not to lend for the sake of lending. The approval
process should be in line .with the lending criteria of the institution and the
individual's common sense.' Loan quality is the essence of good management of
the loan portfolio.
The importance of loan generation and the credit competence of the
approving officers cannot be overemphasised. The structural changes and the
reliance on technology in the finance indnstry conld send a signal of the relative
unimportance of credit approval, but the growth of a loan book involves risk,
which involves acconntability, which introduces the need for education. A successful loan officer understands the principles of lending and that segmentation in the marketplace allows for an expertise to be gained - in this case, in
the area of corporate lending.
Nobody can get it right all the time. A lender who claims to never have been
involved in a loss has probably never effectively and profitably lent money The

I 242

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

major reason for this risk is timing: lenders are using today's iuformation to predict behaviour into the future. It is an inexact science at best; at worst, it is
about a most unpredictable form of human activity. The lender assesses the viability of a particular borrower for a set amount for a given purpose over a
pre-determined period of time at a particular cost or interest rate, accounting
for known facts and predicting those facts into the future or making decisions
in a context of uncertainty.
Two major methods are used to facilitate the approval process in corporate
lending: (1) the traditional or knowledge-based approach and (2) the credit
scoring or statistical method. The skill of lending is to know when to accept
the risk; but first the able banker must be able to evaluate, assess and trust
that risk (Mather 1972). Flexibility is a key ingredient for success. To apply
basic principles as inviolate rules will mean good business is declined or the
special needs of an existing customer are ignored, to the detriment of both
the loan book and the success of the financial institution in the medium to
long tenn.

The purpose of corporate lending


Success is based on the premise that each party to the transaction has confidence that the other will honour the tenns of the agreement. The lender's primary purpose is to ensure the growth of the loan book in a quality way, so as to
make profits that ensure shareholder value .is maximised in the long term.
Given that financial institutions deal in intangible assets, it is important to
recognise the hidden costs of loan approval and management so true value is
obtained via a properly researched and constructed loan policy.

The loan portfolio


The creation of the loan portfolio is a key success factor for a successful financial institution. Lenders need to ensure the structure of their loan portfolio
demonstrates assets with varying interest rates, cashflows and maturities that is, a mixture of fixed, floating, interest only and at-call. The major considerations in the construction of the loan portfolio are:
asset mix and loan types
diversification, to ensure the management of loan runoffs and therefore
protect the institution's internal cashflows
geographiC limits, which must be within the capability of the institution and
sufficiently diverse to allow a good balance of business
expertise. To enter a defined market segment, a financial institution must
have staff that understands the market segment. Failure to address this issue
will result in an inability to generate positive income from the business.
policy formulation, involving a correctly documented and articulated loan
policy to ensure direction is maintained
environmental issues, focusing ou economic activity, demographic infonnation,
income and spending/expense profiles
.

a competitive environment, which the lender recognises by giving its loan


officers information about competitors and their structures, pricing policies
and management. This information will allow loan officers to predict
competitor reactions to initiatives.
delegation, which must be clearly articulated so lending officers know the
limits of sustainable activity and the likely reaction time
audit and review, which are key success factors in providing the hindsight
necessary to grow and develop corporate memory and culture.
Finally, in assessing the worth and sustainability of the loan portfolio, it lllUSt
be remembered that risk is the basis of return and must be considered in the
construction of the portfolio., Risk is a function of the cashflow relationship
between a portfolio's assets and its liabilities; that relationship is the key to the
profitability in relation to exposure of the loan book.

The principles of corporate lending


There is an element of risk with every corporate loan application. Some risks are
apparent at the start of the transaction, while some underlying risks may occur
later and are not immediately obvious. Business development can become a key
driver as long as there is a conscious acceptance of increased risk. Unfortunately,
there are no rules for risk-free' or trouble-free corporate lending, although
adherence to well-researched principles and practice will lessen the potential for
disaster and ensure, as a minimum, a disciplined approach to corporate lending
growth. A successful lender is, able to identify the risks involved in a lending
transaction and assess th()se risks to decide whether they are acceptable and
they contribute to statement of financial position quality and growth. A lending
officer must ensure the safety and security of the financial institutions; at the
same time, he/she must manage uncertainty. The future is unknown and the risk
of the portfolio needs to be managed. A safe loan book is potentially an unprofitable loan bool< in a corporate sense. The one unalterable rule of lending to the
corporate sector is known as hurt money. This rule states that the resources of
the borrower are the first tranche of funding; the lender advances funds only
after the first tranche is fully committed or spent. This funding sequence
ensures the borrower has an investment in the business or project and thus is
committed to the success of the venture, An examination Qf project failures will
demonstrate to the loan officer the peril incurred in ignoring this rule.
The following are the three overarching principles of corporate lending:
1. Safety. This principle looks at the ability to repay the loan - that is,
whether acceptable security, a satisfactory financial position and essential
personal elements exist.
2. Suitability. This principle looks at the lending policy of the institution, the
purpose of the loan, the amount of the loan, the amount of hurt money (or
the contribution by the borrower), and the repayment schedule.
3. Profitability. This principle looks at the collateral advantage to the institution and the return on investment.

I 244

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

By adhering to the above principles, the financial institution ensures, as far as


possible, the loan is in accordance with the doctrine, can be repaid and contributes to the overall growth iu line with expectations.
A corporate loan is given on the expectation of repayment in full over the
agreed period of time. A wise lender, however, will ensure there are at least
three ways out of a loan.
1. The only true repayment of a loan is where the borrower fully complies with
the loan agreement and fully repays the loan.
1. If the loan is not repaid and is in breach of the covenants, then the lender
can activate liens over physical security and initiate the recovery process.
3. If the loan defaults and the physical security is either exhausted or does not
exist, then the lender targets the intangible assets of the business to realise
their value.
'
It is important to note here that only the first way guarantees that the financial institution will recover its investment along with its return. The second and
third ways mey result in substantial losses if the security valuations are problematic or out of date.

Methods of lending assessment


There are many differing methods of assessing the extension of corporate facilities. Different lending institutions use different methods and require adherence
to set criteria that reflect the corporate culture of the institution. Chief amongst
these criteria are the five Cs - a method of remembering the five key factors of
loan approval- and PARSER (a made-up word that reflects a slightly different
method for analysis and approval of corporate loans - see page ll5). It is
important to realise, whatever the method chosen, that the aim is to confirm the
safety, suitability and profitability of the applicant and whether the proposal fits
the risk profile of the institution.
The five Cs approach seeks to direct the enquirer to the key aspects of the
loan proposaL (It has several variants, including the three Cs.) The major weakness -of this method is that it does not formally point the analyst to the reason
for the loan.
Character. The importance of assessing the character of a corporate cannot be
overstated. Specific attention should be paid to the history of the company,
how was it set up and by whom, the stakeholders, the organisation's
structure and accountability through the organisation. What a,e the products
that the company manufactures or accesses? Have they changed over time?
If so, what effect have the changes had on the organisation? What is the
reputation of the entity? (Reputation is a significant goodwill factor in the
valuation of companies. It is seen as the greatest risk faced by a modem
corporate.) How does the company manage the value of its reputation and is
it growing over time? What is the record of management? What is their
combined expertise? Does management foster a good relationship with the
financial institution? All these factors allow for detailed analysis of a
potential borrower and its character. A company builds a personality over

time. The question is whether the identified personalty is one that the
financial institution would deal with as a lender.
Capacity. A lender should be interested in not just the ability of the
corporation to repay a loan but also the ability of the corporation to borrow
Company records or incorporation deeds are essential to ensure the
corporate entity has the ability to commit to any future transactions.
Collateral. This refers to anything that is promised or deposited in support of
a loan and that the lender has taken a charge over - that is, security:
Security fulfils two basic needs for a lender: first, to ensure the borrower's full
commitment to the project and, second, to provide a second or third way out
fat the lender in time of need (as discussed on page 245).
Conditions. These indicate the future potential problems that may have an
impact on the business. Conditions can be external (those over which the
corporate has little or no control) or internal (those over which the business
has full control).
Capital. An indicator of financial strength, capital can be demonstrated by
careful analysis of the company's financials. The capital contribution from the
corporate comes from its shareholder equity (the hurt money). In lending
terms, hurt money represents the borrower's contribution before the lender
makes a contribution. Care should be taken ifthe tax component of the loan
is necessary for approval of the faCility.
The PARSER method allows a staged approach to the analysis of six areas of
interest. Importantly, it identifies the purpose of the loan.
Personal element. The characteristics of the corporate are analysed from a
cultural and ethical viewpoint. Prime areas for consideration are the
determination of the company to repay the debt, as shown by the integrity of
the board/senior management and its reflection in the corporate culture. The
asset position of the company and its track record in managing events for
positive outcomes will demonstrate the company's business ability in line
with its experience and spread of business. Lastly, the personal element
identifies the borrower's position and standing in the business community.
Amount required. What is the purpose of the loan? Is the amount requested
sufficient for the achievement of the purpose? Correct analysis ensures the
suffiCiency of the advance in relationship to the turnover, and identifies links
of need within the business.
Repayment. The repayment of the loan cannot be problematic; in other
words, it should not be based solely on the cashflows of the transaction.
Consideration needs to be given to how much is required, when the money
will be needed, and from what source the lender can expect to be repaid. The
lender must hold current financials that demonstrate the effect of the loan on
the entity. This will involve trend analysis, detailed cashflow projections and
the determination of repayment options available to the lender. Finally, the
lender needs to be comfortable with the amount of the advance in relation to
the total turnover of the company.

I 246

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

Security. This represents the second and third ways out for a lender. It is
important to accept, however, that security does not guarantee the ability to
repay but rather the ability to support. A strong understanding of the type of
security, either tangible or intangible, and the suffiCiency of cover ensures the
strong management of the facility Total security may depend on the
saleability of specialised security and the recording of second mortgages,
especially over vacant or undeveloped land.
Expedience. This represents the business opportunity for the lending
institutidn. What is the SUitability of the transaction for the lender? What is
the lender's capacity to allocate funds from the available pool. Is the loan
being provided in a target market segment where the lender has capacity in
the portfolio for growth? Can other corporate business, credit facilities and
international business be gained from the provision of this particular
request?
Remrmeration. How profitable is the loan? Is it good for the institution and
does it fit the loan criteria as laid down by the credit committee? Has the
loan been correctly priced in terms of the interest rate, application fee and
commitment fees? Does the acceptance fee and customer profitability
analysis demonstrate the viability of the transaction?

The lending cycle


The lending cycle (figure 8.1, page 248) follows a loan from birth to death
- that is, from approval to repayment. Personnel involved in lending must
understand that the moment a loan is approved is the beginning of the
transaction, not the end. This is the key differentiating factor of a financial
institution from other forms of corporate entities. In most cases, the sale by
a corporate is the end of the transaction and the asset is converted into cash
or, at worst, a debtor's list for a short period of time and then into cash. At
the moment of asset creation by a financial institution, however, a series of
cashflows is created over the life of the loan.
Ina strong marketing environment with a strnctured segmentation of
duties, the asset creation process and lifecycle can be overlooked. The sale of
the loan is seen as the end of the process, with the management of a loan
being an entirely separate issue. This lack of transferred ownership can lead
to a lowering of loan quality in the corporate book if not formally managed
by policy. A loan consists of three fundamentally different activities which
can be managed separately or collectively. In today's financial arena, there is
a strong separation of duties at the functional level. A successful corporate
lender, however, manages the activities collectively in at least a policy sense.
The three activities are:
1. origination
2. funding
3. managing.

than that needed to expunge the loan. The difference is the profit gained by the
risk taken by the borrowing entity. Loan structuring is about creating the
optimum terms and conditions from both the lender's and the borrower's viewpoint, and must account for issues such as loan amount, maturity and repayment. It is vital to realise that the basic methods of assessment are the same for
a large corporate and a small enterprise; lending to the larger corporates, however, has its own distinct features and pitfalls.
The successful lender ensures answers to certain questions are obtained and
analysed before the actual advance takes place. The following are examples of
these questions:
Is the loan amount sufficient to accomplish the task?
Is the cash available and is it identifiable for repayment?
What is the term of the debt: is it long term (that is, over twelve months) or
short term (under twelve months)?
If it is long term, do the future projections of cashflow demonstrate
sustainability and does the purpose of the loan match the term (that is, fixed
asset acquisition)?
If it is short term, does the asset conversion cycle, along with the working
capital efficiency, generate sufficient cash for repayment?
Does the borrower demonstrate a seasonal need and conform to peaks? Or, is
the corporate a revolving borrower that is bordering on hard-core debt?
Finally, great care needs to be exercised to avoid double dipping of
security - that is, taking the assets of the company as security, along with a
shareholding of a director or owner. In other words, the lender should avoid
taking security over both the assets and the liabilities of the borrowing
entity.

Small corporate entities


Banks and financial institutions automatically divide clients into categories:
personal clients, small businesses, medium-sized enterprises, small corporate
entities and large corporate entities. Different institutions undertake the segmentation process differently, depending on the strategic thrust of the bank or
financial institution. The segmentation methods are similar in that they are
based on turnover, employee base, client book and so on. Small corporate entities as discussed here are at the medium to upper end of the sector of small
and medium-sized business. They are not limited to listed companies, because
some of the largest entities in a modern economy are privately owned or
strong family businesses .. The lender faces significant pitf'l]ls in this segment of
the loan market because the borrower can vary from a solid organisation to
one that initially appears strong and vibrant but is actually fundamentally
flawed.
A characteristic of this segment is the suspect nature of some of the financial
statements. They are presented to give comfort to the investors and do not
necessarily reflect the true nature of the firm.

Large corporate entities


Some financial institutions structure their corporate lending into a separate discrete activity, allowing efficiencies and a concentration of highly trained staff.
The basic methods used in assessing larger companies are the sanie as for other
segments; there are some discrete differences, however, because this end of the
market does not need the banking system to the same extent that other segments do, owing to its ability to interact directly with the money markets. In
other words, large companies do not always need the banks or financial institutions for funding or treasury services.
Large corporate entities can obtain funds directly from the market by issue of
their own paper. They usually have their own treasury function and obtain
advice and services from a range of advisers, some of whom may have resources
in excess of those available to a lending institution. Because their paper is tradeable, there is intense scrutiny by the investment community. Transparency of
information is a key success factor for long-term survival. Not all public companies or large corporates are well managed, as history tells us, but audited
accounts generally make their financial statements more reliable than those of
other segments in the loan portfolio. In the case of listed companies, the constant scrutiny of their share price and the involvement of rating agencies militates against bad performance.
Successful !ending institutions at the high end of the market in the future
will be those that develop and supply new and innovative lending solutions
together with traditional lending products that allow for diversification across
product and industry segments. Paramount among this new generation of financiers will be those financial institutions that supply and enhance the financial
risk management functions of the corporate entity.

Product structure and application


Products available to the corporate sector are essentially the same as for the
market in general: term loans, term loans with bill conversion, bill facilities,
overdrafts - in other words, intermediated funding. It is important to read
other books that go into much more detail about the specific characteristics of
loan products, because a loan officer has a particular duty of care to offer the
best available mix of loan products to their clients. This duty of care is both
moral and legal.
Larger corp orates have access to a wider variety of products and providers
than normal. Some are large enough to access the market themselves and obtain
funding from the capital market directly; in some cases, their strength may be
equal to or greater than that of a financial institution. Distinctive features of a
modern large corporate are its high degree of bargaining power, access to alternative financial resources, and legal and financial advice of a high quality.
Large corporations often diversify their banking sources, which may have
some benefits for the borrower but can lead to problems if renegotiation or
restructuring is reqUired. All of the lending institutions involved may have to
agree to the amendments before they can take affect.

I 252 Part 4: Corporate and business lending

Small business lending


learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. define what a small business is and provide an
overview of the main characteristics of the market
for small business lending in Australia
2. explain the theory underlying small business
finance, using the concepts of asymmetric
information, credit rationing, adverse selection
and moral hazard
3. describe the distinctive risks of lending to small
business
4. outline the main characteristics of a relationship
managed approach to small business lending
5. outline tile main characteristics of a credit scored
approach to small business lending (using recent
experiences in the United States)
6. comment on how lending to small business in
Australia is likely to change over the next decade.

Small business in the economy


Using the Australian Bureau of Statistics definition, there were 1175000 smal!
businesses operating in Australia in 1998-99. Collectively, these small businesses
represent 95 per cent of the total number of businesses and produce 30 percent
of all private sector output. Data quoted later in this chapter indicate that Over
half of all small businesses consist of only one owner (and no employees). By
way of contrast, the average small business has three employees. In aggregate
terms, employment by small business represents 40 per cent of the total workforce and 50 per cent of the private sector workforce.
TABLE 9.1

Small business in the economy, 1999-2000

.'

_
~_

, E~pjoyment - - Sha;e ~I induslry


Number 01 smaiL - - - - - - - - - ' - - Share 01 industry operating prolit
. businesses (a)
Number
;Share ofjndustry
sales (b)
belolll tax (b)
('000).
('000)
" _ (%)
,

(%j

(%).

Agriculture (c)
Mining (e)
Manufacturing
Construction

Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Al2commodation, cafes and
restaurants

100
2
86
209
64
165

249
9
275
474

74
12
29
82

244

43

590

48

31
64
24

183
163
58

52
20

207
25
69
38

584
65
230
91
184
3430

55
31
43
47
71
49

Transport and storage


Finance and insurance

44

na

na

12

36
28
68
24
69

13

55
31
43
40
21
30

44

47

57

19
40

Property and business


services
Education
Community services
Culture and recreation
Personal and other services

Total private sector Cd)

77

1175

na

na

46
15
52
30

71
18
43
39

(a) Excludes public sector.


(b) Data are for 1997-98 and exclude agriculture and nonemploying businesses.
(c) Number of businesses and employment data are for 1998-99.
Cd) Includes utilities and cominunications.
na Not available.
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, cited in Reserve Bank of Australia 2001, Reserve Bank of Australia Bufletin,
May, p.29.

As indicated in table 9.1, small businesses operate over a variety of different


sectors of the economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia (2001) notes that small
business is most commonly found in the property and business services, con
struction and retail sectors. Half of small business employment is found in these
sectors. The sales and output of small business are only 30 per cent of total
sales and output, even though small businesses account for 50 per cent of total
employment in the private sector. This reflects the labour intensive nature of
many small businesses, particularly those in the construction and retail sectors.

268 Part 4: Corporate and business lending

collateral. They concluded that relationship lending generates important information about the quality of the borrower.
Another interesting conclusion from this research concerns the unique
structure of the US banking system. By way of background, the US banking
system' is not horhogenous. Thousands of smaller banks have operations that
tend to be confined to a particular localised area or community, while some
very large banks have national operations. Researchers have noted that the
smaller community banks are most active in the small business lending
market. These smaller banks. also tend to use a relationship lending model. In
many ways, this makes sense: a smaller bank operating in a local community is
ideally positioned to develop a relationship with its small business borrowers
and thus collect the 'soft' information that is a feature of relationship lending.
The larger national banks tend to use a different style of lending. Researchers
such as Frame, Srinivasan and Woosley (2001) have found that these banks are
more likely to employ a more objective approach, which uses, for example,
standard financial statement criteria in making loan decisions. Again, this also
makes sense: the larger banks are often based in major population centres and,
as a result, probably lack the community links of the smaller banks. For the
larger banks, effective implementation of a relationship lending model is more
difficult.
Here, we have used the theory underlying small business lending to explain
why the use of a relationship lending model for small business is reasonably
widespread. In the next section of the chapter, we will provide more detailed
coverage of what a relationship lending model involves. We will also cover the
credit scoring approach. In covering credit scoring, we will again use the theory
of small business lending to explain the implication of credit scoring for the
lender-borrower relationship.

The decision to lend to small business


Certain principles of lending are universal, including the ideas that:
the first way out of any loan should bevia cashflow from operations
th~ second way out should be from security
the lender needs to understand all the key risks associated with the first and
second ways out, and mitigate them wherever possible.
While these principles do apply to small business lending, a small business
lender must understand the distinctive nature of the risks involved. Here we
will look at these distinctive risks and consider two different approaches to
making a small business lending decision: a relationship management approach
versus a centralised management approach.

SpeCialised risks associated with lending to sma Ii business


Lending to small business generally involves more risk than lending to mediumsized and larger business, for a number of reasons. One reason relates to the small
size 'of th~ business. We noted earlier that the Australian Bureau of Statistics

288 Part 4: Corporate and business lending I

defines a small business as any business with fewer than twenty employees. Table
9.5 contains information on the numbers of small businesses classified according
to number of employees. The table shows that one-half of all Australian small
businesses are owner-operated without any employees. An additional one-third
of small businesses have between one and four employees. That leaves 16 per
cent of small businesses with between five and nineteen employees.
TABLE 9.5

Total numbers of small businesses classified by number of employees per business,

1999-2000

Number of businesses ('000)

542.2

365.7

167.1

1075.0

(a) The owner works in the business without any employees

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2001, Small Business in Australia, cat. no. 1321.0.55.001,
Canberra.

Key person risk


From a lender's point of view, there are risks in lending to such small entities. A
major risk is the so-called key person risk. This is almost certainly going to be
a significant risk for those 50 per cent of small businesses where there are no
employees and the owner is the key person in the business. Consider a situation where the owner of the business dies or is incapacitated through injury or
sickness. In such cases, the continuing operation of the business may become
doubtful, as would the cashflow on which the lender is relying as the first way
out for repayment of the loan.
While the size of the key person risk can be very high for one-person operations, it can also be very high for larger small businesses. It depends on how
much the owner has involved other persons in the running of the business. Consider the hypothetical business of an Asian food importer. Fifteen persons are
employed in the business: seven in the warehouse, four to deliver product to
restaurants and shops, and four in sales and office management. The owner
spends one week out of every three travelling through Asia to source product.
He has excellent connections throughou t Asia and has been able to negotiate low
prices for a lot of his product lines. The key p. ;on risk is high for this business
because the owner has been relatively secretive about his contacts in Asia. No-one
in the business has ever accompanied him on any of his trips and he has not.
kept written details of his contacts and agreed pricing over the year ahead.

The lack of capital


Small businesses are widely recognised ashavi.ng a lack of capital (Weaver &:
Kingsley 2001), for a number of reasons. Often, lack of capitalsirnply reflects
the limited financial resources of the owner. Establishing a business can be
expensive and the owner may haveto ~ely on a lender.to prOvide the bulk of the
.
.
funding for either the purchase or ~et-llp of -the busineSs.

./ -

A second reason is that the net worlh of the owner may be tied up in the family".
home. This means the owner may be trying a deliberate strategy to maximise the
.amount of busil;1ess debt because he/she can claim tax deductibility on the'
interest Private debt, in the form of the loan for the family hoihe;"dues not have
tax deduc"tibility 0):1 the-interest, so the owner may look to minimise Ihis debt.
'. A third reason for a lack of capital is that the owner may be fundi~g the busi'ness 'Via loans to thebusiness rather thimthrough.capital. This approach can be
attractive for the owner in thatit allows the loans funds to be withdrawn. Capital,
in contrast, generally cannot be withdrawn from the business. Most lenders
would prefer the owner to fund the business via capital rather than ioans.
A fourth reason is that the owner may be using a business structure that typi'cally involves only a smal(amoimt of capital. The.entity may be'structtired as a
trust,with only a ~mall settled sum Csimilarto capital in a company), for
example. Alternatively, the business may be structured as a two-dollar company
Again, the amount of capital is negligible
in this
case. . ,
.
.
A final reason for lack of capital is that the owner inay be drawing all the profits
out of the business. This would mean that the level of retained profi.ts is minimal
and makes no significant contribution to the capital funding of the business.
Whatever the reason for a lack of capital, it means a high level of gearing for
the business. In conceptual terms, this means that the business is exposed to a
high level of financial risk.
..
A lack of capital often has an impact on a small business when the business
rapidly grows. Not having a significant capital base to fund its expansion, the
business uses short-term working capital to fund expansion. A typical scenario
would be that the business uses its overdraft to fund the growth of various current assets such as stock and debtors. In extreme cases, the short-term working
capital can be used to fund longer term assets. Whatever the sequence of
events, a common symptom of overtrading is extreme pressure on the liquidity
of the business.

Lack of a IraGk record


Lenders are usually at their most comfortable when they are lending to
well-established businesses. A history of the business gives the lender the confidence to predict cashflow from operations and, in turn, loan repayments in the
future. Also' important is evidence that the ownerlborrower can be relied on to
repay borrowings. This is the important 'character' consideration from the five
Cs of lending: character, capacity, collateral, capital and conditions.
For many small business borrowers, lenders do not have this level of comfort
The ownerlborrower may be a first-time business borrower without a track record
of haVing repaid debts. Further, the concept behind the'business may be relatively
new and untested in the locil market. If the borrower is purchasing an established
business, then there may bedoubts about the ability of the borrower to run that
particular type of-business. In this situation, the lender cannot analyse three years
of historical financials foithe business, so the cashflow budget projections are
best guesses rather than an extrapolation of a trading history.
\'-

.<, ...

. i\

(290 Part 4: Corporate and business lending

The following examples show when a lack of track ~ecord may cause a
problem with repayment of the borrowing.
A police officer retires a;'d purchases a lunch bar. ,
,
A person returns from a 'holiday in Canada with an idea to stan a .business
based on a new retaili';g concept that l;!as recently been successful in Canada. '
The concept involves selling supermarket products (for example,.flou~; sugar,
cereals and so on) in'an unpackaged, form. I Customers, weigh ~ut the.
quantities lheY'.~eq)1ire and save on the cost of packaging.
A recently qual;fi~d.mechani~ is looking to import damaged Cadillac cars.
from the 'United States, repair them' and sell them in Australia.

The poor quality of Ih~ accounting information

The poor quality ~\ the accouhtin~ information ~upplied by sl)1all business is a


common theme ,.mentioned by Writers on .small business lending (see Rouse
1"994). Anyone v:tith 'xperi~nce in lending io mediur;i-sized to large businesses
would expect mo$fbusinessesito prepare the follOWing:
annual statem,ents,ol finanCIal ppSltlOn, statements of financial performance and
casbflow statehients,pr~pared in accQrdance with the ,elevant aq:ounting standards
'. monthly actual 'statements of financial position and statements of financial
performance
monthly budgeted statements of financial position and statements of financial
performancl' f9r comparison against actual figures
a yearly cashflow budget
monthly cashflow statements.
In comparison, much less accounting information is regularly prepared by
smalt,businesses. Typically, a small business prepares onlY,an annual statement
of financial position and statement of financial performance.
Whereas most medium-sized to large busines~es have an in-house accountant
to prepare'accounting reports, such an employee is more the exception than the
rule with most s;"'all businesses. Often the owner of the small business prepares
the financial statements. Given that he/she has' many jobs to,do, the accounting
information may be prioritised down the list of things to do.
Almost all small businesses. have access to an external accountant who can produce
financial statements. This can be expensive, however, so a typical proprietor looks to
minimise the use of an accountant beyond the preparation of annual taxation retums
and annual statements of financial position and statements of financial performance.
As Hey-Cunningham (1998) notes and we will discuss later, the,focus in these
tax-driven financials may not match the information in which the lender is interested.
The overall quality Of the accounting information supplied by small businesses is' thus generally jaw. Here, we will explain why this is the case.
Delays in the pre'pa!.ation of financial statements
One reason,for poor quality results from delays in the preparation of the financials. The longei? the time period that elapses between the balance date (30 June)
", and the delivery of the financials to the lender, the less will be the likely valne
.of those financials to the lender. This is particularly the case when the financials

,iilli.

are being used for an assessment of the business's liquidity The quantities of current assets and current liabilities are 'likely to have changed Significantly since
the balance date. Unfortunately, many lenders to small business experience long
delays in receiving financial statements, so the value of those financials is questionable as an up-to-date assessment of the business's financial position.
Emphasis on taxation
A second reason for poor quality accounts is the heavy emphasis on taxation in
the preparation of the accouuts. Hey-Cunningham (1998) suggests :that many
small businesses border on being obse,>sed with minimising their tax rather than
on maximising the performan~e ~f their business. This foc]lg' c'an'lead to a variety.of transaction',; that act to reduce'l:irofit sathe amomit o(tax paid is minimised.' The owner' of a business "may decide, for pcample, to make large
contributions to hislher superannuation, account, ,which acts as a charge on the
profit of the business. This can make thebljsmess seem less profitable than it
really is. Another example would be where the business proprietor does not disclose certain cash sales, to avoid having to pay tax on tho~e sales.
Reporting freedoms for a small proprietary company
It is common tor Australian' small businesses to use a company structure. As a
company, a small business has considerable flexibility in the way in which it
must prepare and present its financial accounts. To be more specific, most small
businesses qualify as a small proprietary company under the provisions of the
Corporate Simplification Act 1995. Section 45 A(2) of the Act defines a small
proprietary company as having at least two of the following three requirements:
for the company and entities it controls, consolidated gross operating
revenue for the financial year of less than $10 million
for the company and entities it controls, a value of consolidated gross assets
at the end of the financial year ofless than $5 million,
for the company and entities it controls, fewer than fifty employees at the
end of a financial year.
Based on discussion on page 267, nearly all small businesses Cas the term is
used in this chapter) would be likely to be classed as 'small proprietary companies'. The Australian Bureau of Statistics definition of a small business
involves having a maximum of only twenty employees, which is well under the
fifty employees nsed to define a small proprietary company: The Reserve Bank'
of Australia definition of a small business is based on a maximum borrowing of
$500000, which is argued to roughly corresp~nd with a turnover of $5 inillion.
Again, this is well short of the $10 million gross operating revenue for a small
proprietary company: In general terms, therefore, nearly all small businesses
operating as a company are also small proprietary companies. Wherever a reference is made to a small proprietary company in the following discussion, this
should be taken also as a reference to a small business.
The definition of a small proprietary company becomes importa)lt in terms of
the' accounting information that small proprietary companies are required - or,
perhaps more importantly, not required - .to provide. In general terms, small

1 292

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

'I"

proprietary companies have considerable freedom in the pieparation and presentation of their accounting information. They do not have to have their annual
statements of financial position and statements of financial performance audited.
The absence of compulsion and also the expense involved mean thaI most small
businesses choose not to have their accounts audited. Lenders thus almost
always, except where they require otherwise, receive un-audited financial statements from their small business c)ls\omers.
.
, .
A second area of freedom is that slmill proprietary companies are not required
to prepare annual financia~'statem~nts. This is a freedom 'in duplicate' for small
prop~ietary companies 'bec~)lse other larger companies that do have to prepare
annual financial st;J.tements must also present them in a comprehensive format .
. , 'Broadly speakin'g, the fbrmat includes:
financial statements, including:
a statemertt,of financial performance for the year
a statement of financial position as at the end of the year
a statement of cashflows for the year
a consolidated version of the preceding statements
detailed notes to the financial statements
directors' declaration.
Additionally, larger companies are required to ensure their financial statements conform to the accounting standards published by the Australian
Accounting Standards Board.
So ,what do all these ,reporting freedoms mean for the lender 'to the small
business (that is, small proprietary company)? The answer is that the small
business lender needs to be very careful in how he/she reads and analyses any
financial statements received. Some small business lenders use the phrase
'habitually sc~ptical' to describe their perception of financial statements. This
seems a reasqnable 'starting point given that these financial statements are typically.not audited,i'do not necessarily conform to all the accounting standards
and are not, in a 'comprehensive form that includes a cashflow statement,
detailed notes to the accounts and a consolidated set of accounts.

, Deception
,'. '
,
A foutth and final reason for poor quality financial accounts is deception on the
pa~t oLthe owner and/or the accountant. Borrowers will inevitably look to present their business in the most positive way, but at some point this changes
from being positive to being deceptive. If freedom in the preparation and presentation of financial statements is combined with a desire to deceive the lender,
then ,the consequences can be disastrous. The financial statements will end up
presenting a picture of the business that is very different from the reality.

Risks and small business failure


A consequenc,e of the high risks as~ociated with small business is a high failure
rate for small bnsiness, Hey-Cunningham (1998) gives a thorough overview of
the numbers of small busine~s' failures and the reasons for. these failures.
Q~oting research from within Australia, he provides the statistics on page 294,

Over 30 000 small busin~_sses fail -each year-. _


, One-third of all small businesses f~il within the first year.
Almost another one-third fail in the second and third years combined:
, Three-quarters of all small busineSses have failed after' five years ..
Reasons for failure include:
the inexperience and incompetence of managemEmt .
poor quality accounting and other records
p~oblems with financial management and liquidity
lack of expert advice
too much reliance on debt funding.
Any lender faced with these statistics would be justifiably cautious about
lending to small business. A lender can mitigate. these. risks, however. One way
involves having a strong second way out (that is, security), which explains the
preference ~f many small business lenders to lend agalrrstland~d security This
has been an area of intense competition over the past few years. The other way
of mitigating risk~ involves spending more time in both the initial assessment
and the ongoing management of the loan. The problem for the lender is that
this effort is laboudntensive, which means it is expensive. Loans to small business are typically small, so' the ability to spread these ~xpenses over a small loan
i~ limited. The move by the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and the National
Australia Bank to centralise and automate their small business lending may be
evidence that they are wanting to focus their lending on small businesses with
the most straightforward and lowest risk.

Two approaches to small business lending


We have mentioned the significant changes that are occurring in small business
lending in Australia. Central to these changes is the push by a number of small
business lenders to increase the proportion of small business customers that are
centrally managed via the use of credit scoring models. This means reducing the
proportion of small business customers that are relationship managed. In the discussion that follows, we will provide more detail on what these two approaches
to business lending - relationship management and credit scoring - involve.

The relatio_nship management approach


During the 1990s, relationship management was Widely used with small business accounts. According to the National Australia Bank, the' model has beeri
very successfully used by the bank' and was a key factor in the bank's strong
growth over 2000-01. Thebank has claimed that the strength of the relation-.
ship management approach is that it allows the lender:
.. : to develqp an understanding of their customers' business, in all phases of the
economic cycle, and .to offer appropriate ?olutions to their needs. The relationship
manager draws on the expertise of National specialists in a range of areas such as
treasury, payments, leasing and superannuation to provide business customers
with a fully integrated financial service. (National Australia Bank 2001, p.26)

.1

294 Part 4: Corporate and business lending

The relationship Ulanager can develop an understanding of the husiness by


carefully analysing the business's financials. SOUle of the financials analysed are
historical in nature. These are 'the standard statement of financial position,
statement of financial perform'!llce and cashflow statement for past accounting
periods. For small business, projections usually involve only cashflow projections (or cashflow budgets as ihey are sometimes known).

Analysis of historicaifinancials
There are two broad stages in the analy~is of historical financials. The first stage
involves preparing the. financial statements for analysis. The second stage
.involves conducting the a~alysis ,,:sing tools such as ratios.
Stage 1: Avoiding garbagi> in, garbage ;'ut
The first stage is important becau'se it is essential that the financial statements
reflect the current state of the business. If they do not, then the second stage of
detailed financial analysis can end up being 'a case of garbage in, garbage out
(GIGO): The following are examplesof'GIGO in financial analysis:
A menswear business has ahigh level o{st~ck due to'a quantity of old stock
being inchided in the overall stock figure. On the face of it, the liquidity ratio
(that is, the current ratio) for the business is quite strong. In reality, however,
the'business has a limited ability to sell this old stock for anything close to its
historical cost. Consequently, the liquidity of the business is far worse than it
appears from a superfiCial calculation and analysis of the liquidity ratio.
A transport business has sold one of its trucks, The income generated from
the sale has been included as 'other income' in the statement of financial
performance. The lender has ignorantly included this other income along
with the transport income in calculating the gross margin forthe business,
thus Significantly overestimating the gross margin of the business.
The directors of a small technology company have increased the valuation of
the company's technology as shown on the statement of financial position.
This revaluation has resulted, as the other part of the double entry, in an
increased amount of shareholders' funds on the statement of financial
position. SuperfiCially, the gearing of the business appears strong. Given that
the revaluation of the technology is really not justifiable on commercial
grounds, the gearing of the company would remain a major concern,
So how does the lender go about avoiding the possibility of GIG07 It is not
easy to set a strict set of rules to follow, but the follOWing are some thoughts:
Maintain a c'ritical mindset when considering the financials. The ABC of
criminology - accept nothing, believe no-one and confirm everything - is
too extreme for 'use, with most borrowers, but its value is that it signals the
need for the lender to have an inquiring mind.
Continually ask whether the financial statements accurately reflect what you
already know about the business. Look at the wages expense, for example.
How many people are employed by this business? Is the wages expense about
right for the number of people employed?
.

\
"

I 296

Get to know the business. One way of doing this is through discussions with
both the owner of the busin'ess and the accountant. These discussions should
involve questions, some of which will relate to the financial statements. Ask,
for example, how they arrived at the stock level on the statement of financial
position and whether they did a_full stocktake ,or just roughly Estimated
stock at 30 June, .
A second way of getting to know the bysiness is to visit it. Ask yourself
whether what you see matches what is being ilresented in figures in the
financial statements. How many defivery vanS does the business have in its
carpark? Are these vans owned or leased? Are lhese vans shown on the
statement of finaIlci~1 position? Some lenders describe site visits as a chance
to 'ki'ck the tyres'. Just as a picture says" thousand words, a site visit can
leave a lender with a comprehensive impression about the business.
A final way of, getting to know the business is by researching the
characteristics of similar businesses in that industry
Coming up with the right questions is a skill that develops with experience,
The best leriders have an impressive ability to read a set of financials and
quickly identify the key questions to ask the owner or accountant. They also
tend to make very inSightful observations during a site visit. Case study 1 on
Boat Builders Pty Ltd (page 499) provides an opportunity to develop these
important skills,
Financial'ratio~ can be grouped under the following headings:
short-term liquidity
business performance
longer term solvency.
It is useful to consider some of the GIGO issues that arise in using these
ratios. For a small business, GIGO issues are often crUcially important in inter
. preting the shortterm liquidity ratios, Debtors, creditors and stock are the
major current asset and current liability categories, but they are also often
referred to as traditional soft spots in the statement of financial position. These
numbers can be very 'soft' if they have not been accurately estimated. Take the
case of the stock figure, For many small businesses, the proprietor of tire business calculates this figure. The accountant will not be directly involved and will
generaliy take the figure as it is supplied by the proprietor. The quality of this
figure depends on how much work the proprietor has put into hislher esti
mation at the time of stocktake, Also relevant for the lender is whether the
overall st~ck figure includes any damaged or old stock.
Similar comments can be made about debtors and creditors. An additional
consideration with debtors and creditors is that of ageing, If a debtor is out to
180 days, then there is a reasonable doubt about whether the business will ever
be able to collect this debtor. For this reason, it may be best to not include this
debtor in the calCulation of the business's liquidity.
Business performance ratios need to be carefully calculated, A key issue
revolves around how profit is defined (Hey-Cunningham 1998). Does it include
abnormal items? Is it before or after tax? To what extent has the profit for the

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

business been 'homogenised'? To illustrate, consider the statement of fi~ancial


performance for a service station. There are three potential main sources of
income: fuel sales, shop sales and workshop repairs. If all. three sources of
income ~re grouped together in the statement of financial performance and a
gross margin is calculated, then what does this homogenised gross margin ratio
mean? The ideal way to answer this que.stion would be to have financial performance information for each of the three profit centres of the business. This
approach' would allow the lender to better understand the underlying profit~bility of the business.
Longer term solyency ratios for small business are not usually that affected
by GIGO considerations. Their main problem is in their interpretation, which
we will cover in the next section.
Stage 2:'Detailed analysis of historical financials
. Once the financials are in a form where they reflect the true state of the business,
the next stage involves their detailed analysis. Ratios usually form a major part of
this analysiS. We noted earlier that fin~ndal ratios are typically grouped as shorHerm
liquidity ratios, longer term solvency ratios and business performance ratios .

.ShorHenn liquidity ratios


Once GIGO issues are dealt with, the calculation and analysis of short-term
liquidity ratios is reasonably straightforward. A word of caution, however: it is.
probably not useful to place too much emphasis on the short-term liquidity
ratios by themselves as a source of information about the business's liquidity.
The inevitable delay between the balance date and the time of receipt of the
financials by the lender plays a big part in reducing the value of the liquidity
ratios. Perhaps more importantly, the point of these ratios - particularly in the
case of the current and quick ratios - is to provide information about how the
business is managing its overall liquidity position. Where the borr,ower has provided cashflow projections to the lender, these will probably be a better way of
assessing the overall liquidity position of the business, particularly where the
prOjected figures are reconciled against actual figures on a monthly basis.
Similar caveatS can be attached to more specific short-term liqUidity ratios
such as the two turnover ratios (debtors and creditors). Rather than spending a
lot of time calculating and analysing these two ratios, it is likely to be more
useful. to obtain an aged listing for each of them. Most small businesses are in a
position to generate such a listing from a standard accounting package that they
use. The advantage of the listing is that it is hopefully up-to-date. It will give
more insight into the ageing of individual debtors and creditors.
Longer tenn solvency ratios
These ratios can be tricky to interpret in the case of small business customers, which
frequently have low levels of paid-up capitaL The result is that the standard longer
term solvency ratios end up taking extremely large values (for example, fixed assets!
shareholders' funds) or extremely small values (for example, shareholders' funds!
total assets).

-.'/

Capital is generally recognised as having four key properties: it provides a


permanent and "unrestricted commitment of funds; it is freely available to
absorb losses;"it does not imposeany,unavoidable sei:viciug charge against earnings; and it ranks below tpe claims of depositors and other creditors in the
event of wind-up (Australian Prudential Regulation Authority 200l}
Discussion earlier in this chapter higl,lighted that small businesses are short
of capital for two main reasons: (1) they ar~ ;;hort of capital due to limited
)inancial resources or because they do not leav,e any,profits in the bnsiness, or
/ (2) they are using other proxies for capital (such as providing loans to the busine~s or using equity in the family home as security for the loan)"
If a borrower has no capital, then the lender wouldcondude that there are no
funds" that:
pr6vide a permanent and unrestricted commitment of funds '
are freely available to absorb losses
do not impose any unavoidable servicing charge against earnings
rank below the claims of depositors and ,other creditors in the event of
wind"up"
The lender would then need to assess the risks resulting from this lack of capitat
If a borrower is using other proxies for capital, then the lender would need to
ask how well these proxies substitute for capitaL Loans to the business are
likely to have the four key properties of capitat These loans are likely to be
withdrawable," for example, whereas capital is a permanent commitment of
funds" The lender may choose to attach various conditions to the borrowing so
these directors' loans behave more like capitaL Table 9"6 provides a summary of
some of the main conditions that can be used"
TABLE 9.6

Conditions imposed on a borrower where the borrower is funding the business with loans
rather than with capital

1. Provides a permanent and unrestricted


commitment of funds.

Owner is not allowed to withdraw the loan


without the prior approval of the lender.

2.15 freely available to absorb losses.

Not applicable

3. Does not impose any unavoidable serVicing

A limit is set on the interest rate that the


owner can be paid on the loan.

charge against earnings.

4. Ranks below the claims of depositors and


other creditors in the event of vvind-up.

The owner's loan is subordinated to other


depositors and creditors in the event of
wind-up"

Equity in the family home is sometimes used as a proxy for business capital,
through being provided as security A house provided as security is clearly not a
form of funding for a business, so the business still needs to borrow The difference is that the lender now has some security to be used against that borrowing"
The family home does not satisfy the first and third properties of capital; it just

298 Part 4: Co"rporate and business lending

provides a mechanism to meet losses if the business experiences difficulties ..


The lender thus needs to carefully assess the financial risk faced by the bor. rower. The existence of security in the form of the family home does nothing to
limit that financial risk.

Business perfofY!1ance ratios


Business performance ratios. are an important source of information about small
business: The gross margin'latio is of particular interest because it is relatively
uncontaminated by outside influences. To be of most use, however, gross marginS should be 'calculated for the relevant profit centre rather than globally for
the business. The, net,margin ratio, in contrast, is often less useful to the extent
that it is influenced by various expenses that may be linked to tax-based strategies (such as superannuation contributions).

Analysis 01 cashllow projections


One approach to the perceived problems with the historical financials of small
businesses is to focus more on the business's cashflow projections (sometimes
also called cashflow budgets, although the former term will be used here). It is
important to stress that cashflow projections are very different from cashflow
statements.

There are a nurhber of advantages of relying on cashflow projections in small


bUSiness lending:
A cashflow projection is based entirely on cash movements, so it clearly
indicates the financing requirements of the business. A cashflow projection is
typically used to indicate a peak level of debt that a business will have in its
overdraft account over a year. This can be an important role for the cashflow
projection, given that overdraft lending makes up around half of all small
business lending (Reserve Bank of Australia 1994).
Cashflow projections can be a tangible way of monitoring the progress of a
business, for both the proprietor and the lender. In simple terms, a cashflow
occurs when there is a movement of funds into or out of an account. In most
cases, the major cashflows will be in or out of the business's overdraft
account Both the lender and the borrower are typically in a good position to
follow these movements via electronic access to overdraft account
information. In addition, these cashflows are relatively straightforward to
understand because they are simple movements of funds in and out of an
account. profit is an alternative to cashflow as a measure of business
performance, but it has the disadvantage of not being as easy to understand.,
As an accounting concept, profit is based on a number of accounting
assumptions. Its calculation can involve noncash items such as depreciation.
These assumptions can mean that profit is a more difficult and less tangible
measUre of a business to track, for both the proprietor and the lender.
Cashflow projections have a particular advantage where the lender wants to
tightly manage the account given the possibility of further deterioration in
the account and ultimately default. The goal of the tight management may be
to enforce an upper limit on the exposure of the lender to the borrower.

Baseej on available security, the lender may want to limit the exposure to the
business to $500 000, for example. A typical cashfiow projection would be
divided into units of months over a calendar or financial year. It is a
reasonably straightforward matter for the lender to compare monthly actuals
'
against budgeted figures as a way of tightly controlling the account:
Relying heavily on cashflow projections also has its disadvantages. The
assumptions underlying a cashflow projection can be very unrealistic, possibly
as the result of deliberate manipulation of the assumptions by the borrower.
Alternatively, the borrower might have been overly optimistic - a problem that
often CClmbines with a lack of commercial experience. In some instances, unrealistic cashflow projections have been unflatteringly referred to as 'dream
sheets'. The proprietor is so optimistic that the cashflow projections resemble a
dream more than reality.
Establishing the reality. of the assumptions underlying the cashflow projections can be a particular problem where the business is new. A new business
means that there is no track record on which to judge the assumptions underlying the cashflow. In such cases, it is advisable to use a checklist to analyse the
cashflow in detail. An example of such a checklist follows in table 9.7.
TABLE 9.7

A five-stage checklist for analysing cashflow projections

Who prepared the cashflow?


Why was it prepared?

1. The origins of
the cashflow

What were the relative inputs of the customer and the accountant in

generating the cashflow?


2. The starting

point of the
cashflow
3. Internal
numerical

consistency
4. Validity of the
und~;lying
assumptions

What is the opening bank balance? It call be the subject of


manipulation. It can easily be confirmed, however, by, reference to
account balance information.
Mlstak:s ,,~th $pre.adshe'et fonnul~s can' e'asHy be made, so it is essential
to always check numerical consistency._A cross,-check of total~ is a good
_ov.erall guide to nu'merical consistency:
i\ cashflo"\j\T is alm6stmea~ingless Without knowledge of the assumptions

on which it has been based.


.
Has the accountant (~r ~ustom:er) written down the key assumptions
tha! hive been made?
How-does the accountarit (or- ~ust6:rher) feel <ibout t~e' unde!lying
cashflow? Is it seen' as opdmi.stic; pessimistIc-'or realistic?
Haye past fimindalS,been used as ~a.basis for generating the-cashflow?
In particular; how do sales figu-res.-.re1ate to past ye,ars?_
.. '
.
Apply selected ratios (fat example, gross marg-iri and,net margin) to the
cashflow figures and compar~ With previous years ratios. C;heck-th"e
validity of-the fixed costs. Deterinine whether any extraordinary-items
have been left out.

5. Critical
consideration Of .
senSitivity

analysis

300

Part 4: Corporate and business lending)

Has the accountant (customer) undertaken any sensitiVity analysis7


Has this sensitivity analYSis been thorough enough to- identify the
critical assumptions of the cashflow?
What other sensitiVIty analysis should be undertaken?

Assessment of risks
Lending to small business is very risky. High rates of small busiuess failure are
the tangible evidence of these risks. The lender needs to underst~nd all the risks
involved in a small business deal and mitigate them where possible. Earlier in
the chapter, we identified the following distihctive risks associated with lending
to small business:
key person risk
lack of capital
lack of a track record
poor quality of accounting information:
delays in the preparation of financial statements
an overemphasis on taxation
reporting freedoms for a small proprietary company
deception.

The importance of security


Some types of lending, such as project finance, do not greatly rely on security.
In small business finance, however, security can be a very important consideration in deciding whether to approve a deal. Over the past five years, lenders
have shown a strong and increasing preference for small business borrowers
who are able to offer residential security. This security is seen as a way of offsetting the other risks associated with lending to small business. It also has the
added advantage of minimising the time required to make a decision on the
deal: if the second way out is strong, then relatively less time needs to be put
into analysing and ultimately feeling confident with the first way out.

Problems with the relationship management approach


For the relationship manager to make a decision on a small business deal can
take time: lots of questions get asked of the proprietor/accountant; the financials (historical and projected) are analysed in detail; and risks and risk mitigants are carefully detailed. Once the loan is approved, the ongOing
management can be quite labour intensive.
Another problem with relationship lending relates to credit quality: As dis. cussed previously, an important feature of relationship lending is the role played
by 'soft' information that is collected by the loan officer. Berger and Udell
(2002) suggest that use of a relationship lending model should involve a greater
delegation of lending authority to an institution's loan officers. A consequence
can be that the institution will be exposed to greater credit risks because 'soft' .
information, as discussed previously, is notoriously difficult to quantify, substantiate and communicate within a lending organisation. The institution often
responds to this risk by allocating more of its resources to reviewing the work
of its loan officers and measuring loan quality. This can be quite expensive for
the institution.
These various problems lead to a key question: does the use of a relationship
lending model in small business lending generate the maximum return for

shareholders? Judging by what a number of small business lenders are doing,


the answer is 'no'. In comparison, a credit scoring approach offers a way of cutting costs and increasing returns.

The credit scoring approach


What exactly does a credit scoring approach to the management of small business accounts involve? Typically at its centre is a mathematical model, which is
the credit scoring modeL Various pieces of information about the borrower are
inputs into the mathematical modeL This information can include the credit
history of the borrower, various financial information/ratios, the current level of
borrowing and years of experience in the industry. The output from the model
is a single number that measures the likely future loan performance of the borrower (Feldman 1997).
.
The lender can use this credit score in a number of different ways. Some
lenders may use credit scores in an automated process that approves or rejects
loan applications; others may use credit scores as extra information to be
included as part of the overall credit assessment.
The major US banks began experimenting with credit scoring of small business loans in the early 1990s. Now, almost ten years later, some Australian
banks are starting to credit score their small business loans. This gap of a
decade roughly corresponds with other estimates of how far Australia lags
behind the US financial system. Battelino (2000), for example, has calculated
that the Australian financial system is fifteen years behind that of the United
States. Given this ten-year gap, the US experience with credit scoring of small
business loans is used here as an important indicator of how things are likely to
develop in Australia.

A background 10 small business lending in Ihe United Slales


What constitutes a small business in the United States is slightly different from
the definitions used in Australia (and discussed earlier in this chapter). A small
business is defined in the United States by the Small Business Administration as
an enterprise employing fewer than five hundred employees (compared with
the cut-off of twenty employees used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics). By
the US definition, small businesses comprise 99 per cent of the twenty-three
million nonfarm US firms. Despite the potentially large size of a small business
in the United States, a small business loan is consistently defined by researchers
as a loan of up to $100 000. For this reason, Frame, Srinivasan and Woosley
(2001) note that a $100 000 business loan is probably better described as a
small loan to a business rather than a small business loan. The classification of
small business loans being less than $100 000 nevertheless remains in widespread use in the United States and will be continued here.
A clear point of difference between the US and Australian banking systems is
the number of banks. At 30 September 2001, there were 8149 insured commercial banks in the United States, contrasting rather dramatically with the
fifty-one banks that operated in Australia around the same time. Making up the

I 302

Part 4: Corporate and business lending

large numbers of US banks have been those banks with a small number of
branches (in some cases, only one) and a distinctive focus on their local community. Hempel and Simonson (1999) suggest that these local banks may now
be on the endangered species list as their number continues to decline. At the
same time, there have been increases in the size of larger multiple-office
banking institutions.
The significance of the local banks is that they have traditionally been the
main source of finance for small business (Frame, Srinivasan & Woosley 2001).
Moreover, they have provided this finance through the use of a relationship
management approach. As we will discuss later in this section, however, the
role of these local banks is now changing quickly with the larger banks'
increasing use of a credit scoring approach.

The past and present Lise of credit scoring in the United States
Credit scoring has been widely used in decision-making on US consumer loans
since the early 1990s. The current industry standard is for credit scoring of consumer loans to be fully automated (Eisenbeis 1996). Despite the initial success
with credit scoring of consumer loans, there was a feeling among some participants in the industry that it would not be possible to extend credit scoring to
business loans. Business loans were fdt to be too complex, heterogeneous and
varied in terms of documentation. A number of factors nevertheless collectively
created a push to develop credit scoring of small business loans (Eisenbeis
1996).
Cost savings. Competition in the banking industry leading to shrinking
margins increased the pressure to reduce costs. The manual credit analysis of
business loans is a labour-intensive, time-consuming and, consequently,
expensive proc~ss. Mester (1997) reports that a typical loan approval process
takes about two weeks and involves around 12.5 working hours per small
blisiuess loan. Credit scoring offered the potential of reducing this time to
under an hour.
Availability of databases, Commercial entities such as Dunn & Bradstreet
provided large-scale databases on which credit scoring models could be
tested.
Political reasons. There was a desire in the United States to increase lending
to small business. One way of doing this involved securitisation, but a
precondition for securitisation was a better measure of risk among business
borrowers. Credit scoring offered a way of quantifying this risk.
Changes in govemment regulations. The US Government relaxed some of the
regulations relating to securitisation of small business loans, making
securitisation and the associated use of credit scoring techniques more
attractive. to lenders.
The push to develop credit scoring of small business loans in the United
States over the past decade seems to have been a success. In 1997, two hundred of the largest banking organisations in the United States were given a
survey (Mester 1997). Sixty-one of the ninety-nine institutions that responded

to that survey indicated that they were credit scoring their small business
loans - a significant rise from the 23 per cent in 1995. While more recent
figures are not available, it would seem that the growth in the take-up of small
business credit scoring has continued. Authors such as Frame, Srinivasan and
Woosley (2001) and Mester (1997) suggest that credit scoring is causing a
transformation in small business lending. Before looking at what this transformation involves, we will examine the structure of these credit scoring
models.

The structure of US credit scoring models


While the structure of credit scoring models is in the process of ongoing development, something can be said about the recent structures and possible future
. developments. One of the first points to make is that many financial institutions
lack the in-house expertise and data to develop a model themselves. Eisenbeis
(1996) identified four companies as being the key players - Fair Isaac,
CCN-MDS, TRW and Dunn & Bradstreet - and examined each of the four
models. Mester (1997), in providing information on some of the different credit
scoring models in use, makes the following points:
At least 30000 applications are needed to develop a model for small business
loans.
Fair Isaacs typically starts with fifty variables and, from these, attempts to
find the combination that most accurately predicts loan repayment.
The final combination usually involves ten variables.
The statistical method used in a credit scoring model ranges from the more
traditional linear probability, logit, probit and discriminant analysis models,
through to options pricing theory and neural networks.
What are the ten key variables which typically feature in Fair Isaacs' credit
scoring model? This is where the story becomes very interesting, as the
following quote indicates:
FICO [Fair Isaac] asserts that augmenting data on the owner of the firm with very
basic information obtained from a loan application and a business credit bureau,
such as past credit repayment experience collected by Dun '& Bradstreet, produces

a reliable credit score. Perhaps more importantly, FlCO claims that data which had
heretofore received much scrutiny in the traditional underwriting process, such as
ratios from financial statements, are not crucial in determining the repayment

prospects of the small firm. In fact, FICO's most popular small business scoring
system does not require the small firm to provide financial statements. (Feldman
1997, p. 4.)

For anyone with practical experience in small business lending, this is likely
to be a perplexing if not a shocking finding. To suggest that detailed analysis of
financial statements may not be that relevant to assessing credit risk is to turn
the existing approach to small business lending on its head. But is this such a
surprising finding? Earlier in this chapter we mentioned the poor-quality
accounting information typically supplied by small business to lenders. Perhaps
Fair Isaac's findings reflect these information quality problems. This would seem
likely, given that Fair Isaac have also found that the quality of the accounting

I 304

Part 4: Corporate and business Jending

information is directly correlated to the size of the company (Eisenbeis 1996).


To be mOre precise, 'the smaller the company; the lower is the predictive content
of company financials as compared with the principal's financials' (Eisenbeis
1996, p. 275).
This finding also tallies with a more recent and substantive piece of research
by Kallberg and Udell (2002). They found that if you were keen to know how
likely a creditor company was to repay money owed, then analysis of the borrower's financial statements would not be the best place to start. How regularly
the borrower has been paying its creditors over the last year is likely to give you
a much better predictive variable.

Changes in credit scoring and some predictions


. A number of 'researchers have reported some fascinating findings associated
with the move in the United States to credit scoring of small business lending.
These findings have a strong link to the theoretical framework of small business
lending covered' earlier in the chapter. Remember that this framework involves
concepts of information asymmetries, credit rationing, moral hazard 'and
adverse selection.
The following is a summary of the major findings to date, starting with a
paper by Frame, Srinivasan and Woosley (2001). These authors examined
the use of credit scoring by the top two hundred commercial banks. They
found that when one of these banks changed over to credit scoring of its
small business loans, on average it was able to increase its small business
lending by $4 billion. Their conclusion was that credit scoring seems to
achieve this by reducing the information asymmetries between the lender
and the borrower. This means that the extent of any credit rationing should
be reduced.
Akhavein, Frame and White (2001) established that the first users of credit
scoring were the larger national banks (rather than the smaller community
banks) and also those banks located in New York. This finding seems to be consistent with the economies of scale associated with the adoption of the credit
scoring technology
In an innovative study, Frame, Padhi and Woosley (2001) found that while
the adoption of a credit scoring method has led to increased levels of small
business lending overall, the effect is more pronounced in lower to medium
income levels. The use of credit scoring in a low to medium iucome area has
resulted, on average, in an increase of $16.4 billion in small business Iendingtwo and a half times the effect in a high income area. The authors suggest that
credit scoring achieves this by reducing information asymmetries, which seem
to be most pronounced iu lower to medium income areas. These areas have
been 'historically bypassed because of their questionable economic health'
(Frame, Padhi &: Woosley 2001, p. I).
On a more pragmatic note, Mester (1997) notes the reduced cost of lending
resulting from the use of credit scoring. For a commercially supplied credit
scoring system, the cost per loan can be as high as $10 but will reduce to $1.50

per loan if volumes are large. This would seem to be much less than the cost
inherent in twelve and a half hours of relationship manager time required in a
typical loan approvaL
Given these changes so far, what is the likely future for small business
lending in the United States' In attempting to predict the future, it is best to
start with a caveat. Credit scoring of small business loans is still a relatively new
phenomenon. Some time will need to elapse before it is possible to claim it as a
success over the long term.
One prediction is that the small business lending market in the United States
will end up being like the credit card market (Feldman 1997), eventually characterised by the following:
a lack of any face-to-face contact between lender and borrower
simple online application forms and very short approval times
the possibility of large geographic separations between lender and borrower
mail-outs of pre-approved facilities to prospective customers who have been
identified through processing commercial databases using a credit scoring
model
cost reductions leading to increased competition and consequent price
reductions
the dominance of the lending market by a few large lenders (similar to the
top ten credit card lenders accounting. for over half of that market) who
operate nationally and are able to exploit economies of scale from the
technology
From the perspective of the smaller community-oriented banks, which have
traditionally dominated the small business lending market, this is a sobering
prediction. Small business lending using a relationship lending model has been
a strength of these banks over the larger national banks. The concern is the
extent of the change that will be forced on the smaller community banks as
they lose market share to the larger national banks.
For the large national banks, which are likely to end up as major players in
the small business lending market, there will be a number of advantages.
Credit scoring models provide much greater accuracy in the measurement of
small business ci:edit risk, which should flow on to the pricing of this risk.
Feldman (1997) reported that Wells Fargo, since implementing credit scoring,
has moved"to price its small business customers anywhere betwe~n the reference rate plus 1 per cent to the reference rate plus 8 per cent. Lenders .using
a relationship lending approach do not usually differentiate pricing to this
degree.
The larger national banks are unlikely, however, to have this market all to
themselves. Feldman (1997) suggests that already there are signs that nonbanks
such as American Express, AT&T and the Money Store are moving to "target
small business borrowers using credit scoring technology
vVhichever large institutions end up dominating this market, they are
likely to have a better understanding and pricing of credit risk. This should
make securitisation of their small business debt relatively more straight-

306 Part 4: Corporate and business lending)

forward. Already there appears to be a significant growth in securitisation


of small business debt linked to the introduction of credit scoring models
(Feldman 1997).
Implications for Australia
Small business lending in Australia appears to be on the verge of significant
change. A number of major banks, which are the dominant lenders in this
market, have moved to centralise their lending to some small business borrowers. While credit scoring is not in widespread use by the major banks, it is
not difficult to imagine it becoming a standard feature in the near future. All the
reasons given for the rapid growth of credit scoring in the United States also
seem to apply to Australia. Further, some banks in Australia, such as Citibank,
will be able to leverage off their US experience with credit scoring; plus, the
commercial vendors such as Dun & Bradstreet and Fair Isaac are already
looking to market their product into Australia. Credit scoring of small business
loans may be the norm in five years.

Summary
1. What is a small business? What are some of the main characteristics of the
market for small business lending in Australia?
A small business is usually defined as a business with total loans of less than
$500000. Lending to small business in Australia is dominated by the major
banks who provide three main types of finance: floating rate finance, fixed
tate finance and bill finance. Competition among the major banks and other
financial institutions is intense. In an attempt to reduce costs, the major
banks are increasing the proportion of small business customers that they
manage centrally (rather than through face-to-face contact). Perhaps as a
result of these changes, surveys indicate deteriorating attitudes of small businesses towards their lenders. There is evidence of increasing political interest
in small business lending issues.
2. How do the concepts of asymmetric infonnation, credit rationing, adverse
selection and moral hazard relate to the theory underlying small business
finance?
In lending to small business, there is asymmetric information because typically the borrower has much better information about the business than has
the lender. This asymmetry, combined with adverse selection and moral
hazard effects, can lead to credit rationing - that is, a situation where not
every business that wants to borrow at the current price can do so.
3. What are the distinctive risks associated with lending to small business?
The wide range of different risks include key person risk, lack of capital; lack
of a track record and the poor quality of the accounting information. These
risks are often linked to the high rate of failure of small businesses.

Problem loan management


Learning objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1. outline why loans default
2. highlight the extent of problem loans
3. explain why the business cycle is important for
problem loans
4. define problem loans, provisions and regulatory
issues
5. discuss the capital issues of problem loans
6. define 'structure dynamic provisioning'
7. restructure problem loans
8. illustrate a case from law.

Introduction
For most of this book, our focus has been on the assessment and approval of
loans. Lending is clearly a risky activity, however, and lending institutions
occasionally grant loans that incur a loss. The loss may occur as a result of
many factors, from poor management of the borrower to the timing of the busi.
ness cycle.
The primary issue of problem loans is that they can impair the value of a finan.
cial institution. Too many impaired loans on the statement of financial position
of a lending institution may threaten its solvency. It is expected that some loans
will become problem, but the aim of a financial institution is to manage the
problem in such a way as to reduce the loss of value to shareholders. The first
course of action, therefore, is not to foreclose, but to manage the asset or firm.

Causes of default
A default is defined here as a loan for which the repayments are overdue.
Lending institutions may experience defaults and problem loans for the
following reasons (Galin 2001):
lack of compliance with loan policies
lack of clear standards and excessively lax loan terms
inadequate controls over loan officers
overconcentration of bank lending
loan growth in excess of the bank's ability to manage
inadequate systems for identifying loan problems
insufficient knowledge about customers' finance
lending outside the market with which the bank is familiar.
All these reasons for default are found within a lending institution. Many
problem loans could be avoided by better lending procedures and poliCies.
Credit risk is never static, however, and many loans that were validly granted
can become bad for many different reasons. Two examples are when a recession
affects firms that rely on cashflow or when firms wind up because their prod
ucts have become outdated. The issue then becomes how best to monitor these
situations. MOllitoring is easier said than done.
While it may be easy to monitor a small portfolio of loans, the situation
becomes more complex as the financial institution becomes larger. This complexity introduces higher and higher costs for monitoring. To ensure effiCiency,
indicators (such as consecutive missed payments) are normally implemented.
These indicators are normally 'noisy', however, which means that they do not
present a clear picture of the situation or indicate remedial action. In many
cases, these indicators highlight a problem loan when it is too hite,resulting in
a less than optimal situation for the lending institution.
In chapter 11, we noted that one function of default models is that they can
provide early warnings of developing problem loans. This"can be helpful for
monitoring purposes.

art 5: Assessment and management of risk

Case study 1 -

Boat Builders Pty Ud*

Learning objectives
After completing this case study, you should be able to:
1. critically examine a set of financial statelnents for a borrower, from the perspective of how well those financial statements represent the real position of
the business
2. develop a set of questions about the financial statements to ask the owner(s)1
accountant of the business before unde~taking a detailed financial analysis
3. modify the financial statements on the basis of the answers that you find to
your questions.

Introduction
The detailed analysis of financial statements is an important task for any lender.
Chapter 2 deals with how ratios are calculated and analysed, how projections
are sensitised and how risks are identified. Another important step is required,
however, before this detailed financial analysis. It involves a critical examination of the financial statements of the borrower. The purpose of this step is to
ensure the financial statem.ents accurately reflect the real state of the business.
If they do not, then the detailed financial analysis is likely to end up being a
case of 'garbage in, garbage out' (GIGO).
Consider the follOWing illustrations of GIGO in financial analysis:
calculation and analysis of liquidity (Yia a current ratio) when a proportion
of the debtors shown on the balance sheet are bad debts
calculation and analysis 'of a gross margin using a level of sales for the
business that has been deliberatdy understated
calculation and analysis Df the gearing of a business when the capital level
has been inflated by an artificially high land valuation on the balance sheet.
How does the lender eliminate the possibility of GIGO? It is not easy to set
strict rules to follow, but the following are some ideas:
Maintain a criticalmindset when considering the financials.
Continually ask whether the financial statements accurately reflect what you
know about the business.
Get "to know the business by' asking questions of the proprietor or
a~countant) by making site .visits and by researching the characteristics of
similar businesses in that industry.'
Chapter 9 elaborates on these ideas in the context of lending to small
business. In chapter 9, the point is made that Goming up with the right questions is. a skill that lenders develop with experierce. The best lenders have
." Disclaimer: This case study is hypothetical. Any resemblance to actual events, locales, entities or persons is
entirely coincidental.

Case study 1: Boat Builders pty Ltd 499

an impressive ability to read a set of financials and quickly identify the key
questions to ask the owner/accountant. They also tend to make insightful
observations during a site visit.
For the following case study on Boat Builders Pty Ltd, a site visit and a dialogue with the owner/accountant is obviously not possible. For this reason, you
are required only to develop a set of questions to ask the owner/accountant
about the financials. Make sure that you read and analyse the information contained in the case study thoroughly, because your understanding of this information will determine the quality of the questions that you are able to develop.

Baal Builders Ply Ltd


Date: 1 September 2003
Background

Boat Builders Pty Ltd hasbeen a customer of Excel Bank since 1991. It is based
in Sunshine, which is a regional centre and the port for a thriving fishing industry.
The business has developed into the largest aluminium boat building business
in Sunshine and one of the larger aluminium boat builders in the State.
Reg and Judith Gibb own Boat Builders. The structure is a standard
two-dollar company, with the Gibbs owning one share each. Reg is a qualified
boat builder and Judith is experienced in office management. Both are aged in
their late 40s.
They started the company in 1991. Trading conditions were extremely difficult during the first two years due to high interest rates and depressed economic conditions, but the company has since become well established. Reg is
well respected in the industry as a boat builder.
Reg and Judith have three children: Jack, Ruby and Charles. Jack is 30 years
old and has worked in the business since leaving schooL Ruby and Charles are
both studying at university and have no plans to work in the business.
Boat Builders recently completed building two 20-metre boats for Deep Sea
Fishing Enterprises Ltd (DSFE), which is headquartered in Sunshine but also has
fishing operations elsewhere in Australia. DSFE bas plans to expand its operations
over the next three years and has indipted to Boat Builders that it will be lodging
further orders for fishing vessels over the next three years. Over the past year,
DSFE has accounted for 65 per cent oUhe turnover of Boat Builders.
Boat Builders currently leases premises in the port area. These premises have
proven unsatisfactory because they are quite small, given the size and number
of boats that have been built over the past year. Space limitations prevented
Boat Builders from participating in tenders to build tWo large boats during the
previous financial year.
The ongoing demand for boats from customers, particularly from DSFE,
led Boat Builders to decide during 2002 to build a large factory unit on land
that it purchased two years ago for $94000. Construction of the factory unit
commenced in January 2003 and is now close to completion. Boat Builders is

I 500

Part 7: Case studies

scheduled to move into the factory unit in November 2003. This coordinates
well with the expiry of the lease on the existing factory unit at the end of
October 2003.
So far, construction expenses have totalled $230 000. A bill facility has been
used to finance these expenses, with a top-up coming from the owners of Boat
Builders. The builder of the factory unit recently provided a detailed conservative estimate of the remaining costs: $220 000 over October and November.
Once completed, the factory unit and associated land will have an estimated
value of $650 000.
The existing borrowings for Boat Builders are as follows.

'Working capital

Overdraft

$110000

-$82000

Fixed term loan no. 1

Factory equipment

n/a

-$21841

Fixed term loan no. 2

Land

nla

-$58778

$220000

-$220000

Bill facility

Construction costs

nla Not applicable

Recent account balance information for the overdraft is as follows.

July 02

-18142

46061

190520

41395

August 02

-22 578

33843

121240

28085

September 02

-24183

83221

242480

27 921

October 02

-27 581

29277

144276

18092

November 02

-30207

-4936

69280

-5092

December 02

-43155

51687

121240

46895

January 03

-19990

27146

103920

22170

February 03

-20402

-9671

144276

-14062

MaTch 03

-78648

-4575

69280

-8145

April 03

-80575

-12194

185231

-66423

May 03

-89058

-16166

156519

-50494

June 03

, -102050

12000

144276

-88322

Current balance 4 000

Annual credit turnover I 692538


Notes
1. The total value of deposits into the cheque aG.count in a month. Normally, this would tally with the

monthly sales of the business.


2. The average of each of the daily closing balances for the month.

Gase study 1: Boat Builders Ply Ltd 501

Request for increased funding

Reg and Judith Gibb have approached you with a request for the following
increases in the facilities for Boat Builders.

Overdraft

$1]0 000

$300 000

Increase in base limit (see


disclIssion below)

Bill facility

$220 000

$220000

Bill facility malures in October


2003. FaCility is to'be
refinanced on an interest-only
basis for three years.

Lease for boat lifter

nJa

$60000

Lease [or metal


fabrication
machinery

nJa

$140000

To be purchased in October
2003
To be installed in the new
factory (October 2003)

n/a Not applicable

According to the directors of Boat Builders, the increase in the overdraft limit
. to $300 000 will be required only until June 2004. At that point, the limit will
be reduced to $11 a 000. Tlie increase in the overdraft limit is to cover the
following cash outflows: a taxation payment of $95 000 due on October 2003;
constructi()n costs of $220 000 which will be payable during October and
November 2003; superannuation payments due in December 2003; and the cost
of increasing stock levels following their reduction before the move to the new
factory.
Since May 2003, DSFE has owed $280 000 to Boat Builders. This debt relates
to a boat that was built for use in a joint venture between DSFE and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). Reg Gibb
believes that Boat Builders will receive this money by January 2004. This would
allow the increase in the overdraft limit to be removed, returning the overdraft
to its previous level of $110 000.
The Gibbs have offered the following security for the borrowing:
1. a first mortgage over the soon-to-be-completed factory unit (valued at
$650000)
2. unlimited guarantees by the directors, Reg and Judith Gibb
3. a fixed and floating charge over the assets of Boat Builders
4. a registered first mortgage over the residence of Reg and Judith Gibb (valued
at $260 000).
Financial statements

The following financial statements for Boat Builders (pages 503-5) were prepared
by Accountiug Partners.

I 5D2

Pari 7: Case studies

Accounting Partners
Certified Practising Accountants
15 Marine Parade
Sunshine
Boat Builders Pty Ltd
Disclaimer
For the year ended 30 June 2003
We have prepared the accompanying statement of financial position as at 30 June
2003 and statement of financial peiJormance for the year then ended ('the Accounts')
from the books and record.s of the Company and other infonnation provided by the
officers of that Company an.d at the request of and exclusively for the use and benefit
of the Company.
Under the terms of our engagement we have not audited the acco.unting records of
the Company or the Accounts. Accordingly, we express no opinion on whether they
present a true and fair view of the position or of the year's trading and no warranty of
accuracy or reliability is given.
In accordance with our firm policy we advise that neither the firm nor any member
or employee of the firm undertakes responsibility arising in any way whatsoever to
any person (other than the owners) in respect of the Accounts including any errors or
omissions therein arising through negligence or otherwise however caused.
Accounting Partners
Certified Practising Accountants
15 July 2003

$1692 538

SALES

$418829

LESS COSTS OF SALES


67734

Consumables (welding)

37261

Drafting services

257229

Direct wages

17481

123424

2502

Electricity

2670

Freight

10646

Painting and sand blasting

40275

53828
637
2176

Repairs ~ plant and equipment


Replacement tools

879402

Aluminium purchases

101861

Subcontractors

1405299.
287239

2188

509
54877
8114

TOTAL COST OF SALES

257514

GROSS PROFIT FROM TRADING

161314

These accounts have not been audited and constitute special-purpose financial statements. This statement must be read in
conjunction with tlH!"attached disclaimer of Accounting Partners.

Case study 1: Boat Builders Ply Ltd 503

CURRENT ASSETS

Debtors

$ 35168

$ 35530

S[Ock

30000

30000

4978

Cash

1545

Director's loan '(:1 Gibb)

36026

Director's lmin(R Gibb)

600

CURR~NT

107717

TOTAL

103000

Factory unit land

1545
66410

ASSETS

134085

NONCURRENT ASSETS

140803
(44469)

103000

Plant_.and equip'11e"u -

at cost

Less Provision for depreciation

40450
(23062)

vVrilten-down value

,96334

66756
(19601)

47155

Motor vehides -

17388
31147

at cost

Less Provision for depreciation

(17098)

Written-clown valUE

4353
(! 572)

2781

Office equipment -

14049
2964

at cost

Less Provision for depreciation

(!

1m

Written-down value

480
(288)

1836

Capitalised borrowing costs


Less Provision [or amortisation

Amortised value

191

480
(19])
287

249461

TOTAL NONCURRENT ASSETS

136560

357178

TOTAL ASSETS

270645

CURRENT UABILITIES

(4000)

Overdraft

66875

7001

Creditors

35156

216780 '

Bank bill

219781

TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES

102031

NONCURRENT LIABILITIES

40916

Loan - R &J Gibb

43671

Loan -

19931

Boat Bl.lilders Ply Ltd superannuation fund

Loan-Bank

13832

22496

Fixed tenn loan 1 -

fa~tory

60048

Fixed term loan 2 -

land

equipment

7869

83205

123460

TOTAL NONCURRENT LIABILITIES

168509

343241

TOTAL LIABILITIES

270540

SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS

Paid-up capital

13935

Retained earnings

103

13937

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS

105

357178

TOTAL LJA81UTIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS

270645

These accounts have not been audited and constitute special-purpose fmandal statements. This statement must be read in
conjunction with the attached disclaimer of Accounting Partners.

'j

504 Part 7: Case stUdies

EXPENDITURE
$

6298

Accounting

1438

Advertising

3677

Ba-r;k charges

96
21408
5432
444
2060

4723
719

1067

BOIiowing costs

96

Conference fees

345

Depreciation on plant and equipment

4140

Depreciation on motor vehicles

5002

Depreciation on office equipment

414

Donations

157

179

Fines

335

:H:ire of plant and equipment

3556

General insurance

4001

9340
11198,
3289
838
12224

WorkCare insurance
.'.

Bank interest -.......


Inlerest -

Boat Builders Ply Ltd superannuation fund

28186
3289

Interest- fixed term loan 2 (land)


Leasing payments

U500

1018

Legal costs

1134

Loss on sale of fixed assets

lil03

Petrol and oH
\
\BEpairs and maintenance]

9.JI31

7358
2923

Registration and insurance

1415

(7181)
57
1605
887
79
3706
11021
, 53
1043
35922

1646

Less Employee contribution


Permits, licences and fees

583

Postage
Printing and stationery

293

Protective clothing and safety gear

1085

Rates and taxes

3032

Rent

9899

'.' Repairs and maintenance


Staff training
Superannuation contributions

845
21

202

5025

Telephone

4941

1931

Travelling expenses

1468

828

Union fees

156775

TOTAL EXPENDITURE

93670

130464

NET PROFIT

67644

OTHER INCOME
13832
369
14201
144665

. Capital gain on"sale of fixed assets

35681

Net property income


TOTAL OTHER INCOME
OPERATING PROFIT (BEFORE TAX)

35681
103325

Th~se accounts have not been audited and constitute special-purpose financial statements, This statement must be read in
conjunction with the attached disclaimer of Accounting Partners.

Casesludy 1: Baal Builders Ply Ltd 505

Discussion questions
In the following discussion questions, you are not being asked to conduct
detailed financial analysis of the statement of financial position and the statement of financial performance. This financial analysis, which includes ratio
analysis of the the statement of financial position and the statement of financial
performance, will be done in case study 2. In this case study, you only need to
consider the financial statements in terms of how accurately you feel they
depict the true state of the business.
1. The accountant has stated in the footnote to these financial statements that
the accounts 'constitute special-purpose financial statements'.
Ca) What are special-purpose financial statements and how are they different
from general-p>'lIpose financial statements 7
'i
(b) What is the significance to you, as a lender, of these being special-purpose
financial statelnents?
CMost introductory accounting textbooks contain information on both
special-purpose and general-purpose financial statements. Chapter 9 also discusses these two types of statement.)
2. Identify any concerns that you have about the financial statements supplied
for Boat Builders in terms of them not accurately depicting the true position.
of the business Cfor reasons of error, accounting assumptions, creativity or
dishonesty) .
3. Rank all of your concerns in terms of their Significance to you as a lender to
this business. Justify your rankings.
4. Based on your concerns, identify five key questions that you would ask the
proprietors of the business about their financial statements.
5. In a practical lending situation, the proprietors/accountant would answer the
questions that you have identified. Potentially, this could lead to the financial statements being modified before your detailed financial analysis commences. In the context of this case study, there is no proprietor or
accountant to provide answers to your questions, so you are asked to modify
the financial statements based on your best guess of what the answers to
your five key questions would be. Explain and justify each modification that
you would make.

I 506

Part 7: Cassstudies

Case study 2 - financial analysis of Boat


Builders Ply Ud*
Learning objectives
After completing this case study, you should be able to:
1. complete a detailed financial ratio analysis of a series of statements of financial
position and a statement of financial performance
2. complete a detailed financial analysis of a cashflow budget using a five-stage
checklist
3. generate conclusions from this analysis about the risks you face as a lender to
this business.

Introduction
You need to complete case study I (Boat Builders Pty Ltd) before commencing
this case study. The focus in case study I was on identifying any concerns that
you had about the balance sheets and profit and loss statements for Boat
.Builders, to ensure there was limited scope for garbage-in, garbage-out (GIGO)
in the financial analysis stage. In this second case study, the focus is on the subsequent financial analysis stage.
Based on the concerns that you identified in case study I, you were asked to
make adjustments to the financial statements. These are the adjusted financial
statements that you will analyse in this second case study.

Boat Builders Pty LId


Date: I July 2003
Background

Case study I provided a detailed background on Boat Builders. Here, you are
asked to conduct a detailed financial ratio analysis of the balance sheets and the
profit and loss statements that the directors of Boat Builders have supplied.
Many different financial ratios could be used as part of this analysis, but we
recommend that you use the following ratios (and ratio groups).

Current ratio

~urrent

Quick ratio

(Current assets - stock) divided by (current liabilities - overdraft)

Debtors turnover

Trade debtors divided by average daily sales

assets divided by current liabilities

(continued)

"* Disclaimer: This case study is hypothetical. Any resemblance to actual evenLS, locales, entities or persons is
entirely coincidenlal.

I Case study 2: Financial analysis of Boat Builders Pty Ltd

507

Stock turnover

Average stock divided by daily cost of goods sold

Creditors turnover

Trade creditors divided by average daily purchases

Shareholders' funds divided by total assets


Shareholders' funds divided by outside liabilities
Fixed assets divided by shareholders' funds

Gross margin

(Sales - cost of goods sold) divided by sales

Net margin

Net profit divided by sales


Operating expenses divided by sales

A potential trap with ratio analysiS is that it can end up being superfiCial if it
focuses on the ratio values without going into what lies behind those values.
Here are some ways in which to make your ratio analysis more in depth.
1. Refer to the source data

Relate your analysis of each ratio back to the underlying figures in the balance
sheet or profit and loss statement used in the calculation of the ratio. Consider
a longer term solvency ratio: shareholders' funds divided by total assets, for
example, which has changed from 47 per cent to 40 per cent to 37 per cent over
a three-year period. Why has this change in the ratio value occurred? Has it been
due to a growth in total assets while shareholders' funds remain constant? Or,
to some other combination of change in total assets and shareholders' funds?
2. Relate comments to the type of business concerned

Ratio analysis .should be nsed to say something about the business concerned.
If the business is a boat builder, then the comments about stock turnover
should relate to the stock typically held by a boat building business. As an
example, what proportion of work-in-progress is contained in Boat Builders'
stock figure 7
3. Make some conclusions about risks

Lenders are ultimately interested abont risks, 50 ratio analysis should be used to
make conclusions about the risks that the lender to this business faces. If the
liqnidity position of the business is poor, then what are risks to the lender?

Request for increased funding


The directors of Boat Builders have requested the following increase in bank
funding.

508 Part. 7: Case studies

Overdraft

$110000

$300000

Increase in base limit (see discussion


belo,,\")

Bill facility

$220000

$220000

Bill facility matures in Octobel- 2003.


Facility is to be refinanced on an
interest-only basis for three years.

Lease for boat lifter

nJa

$60000

To be purchased in October ~003

Lease faT metal


fabrication machinery

nJa

$140000

To be installed in the new factory


(October 2003)

nia Not applicable

The directors have provided a cashflow budget, with the following notes, to
support their request for an increase in the overdraft limit in particular:
1. The $300 000 overdraft limit will be required only until June 2004. At that
point, the limit will be returned back to $110 000.
2. The increase in the overdraft limit is to cover:
t a taxation payment of $95 000 due in October 2003
construction costs of $220 000 which will be payable during October and
November 2003
superannuation payments due in December 2003
the purchase of additional stock following a reduction in stock before the
move to the new factory.
3. Since May 2003, Deep Sea Fishing Enterprises Ltd (DSFE) has owed
$280 000 to Boat Builders. This debt relates to a boat that was built for use in
a joint venture between DSFE and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). DSFE is waiting for payment from its
government partner. According to documents provided by DSFE, this payment will be made in four tranches as follows: October ($100000),
November ($100000), December ($40000) and January ($40000).
4. The figure of $1615 000 for 'Sales' is made up of contracts with both DSFE
(65 per cent) and other customers (35 per cent). Boat Builders expects that
these sales will be paid within thirty days.
You are asked to analyse the cashflow using the five-stage cashflow checklist
outlined in table 9.7 (page 300). In particular, you are asked to concentrate on
parts 4 and 5 of the checklist: analysing the validity of the underlying assmnptions and critically considering the issue of sensitivity analysis.

I Case study 2: Financial analysis of Boat Builders Ply Ltd

509

.."
~

,.,'"
co

iii
ro

=
co
~

Opening overdraft balance


CASH INFLOWS
DSFE Ltd Payments
Sales
TOTAL CASH INFLOWS
COST OF SALES

ConsumabJes (welding)
Drafting services
Direct wages
Eleclrici.ty
Freight
Repairs - plant
Tools
M~Jerial purchases

(mainly aluminium)
Subcomractors
CASH EXPENSES
Accountant fees

Advertising
Bank charges

Hire of equlinnent
. Interest - overdraft
.' Interest - term loan
Motor vehide expenses
Licences
Postage
Printing

Protective clolhing
Ra tes and La;"{es
Rent
Staff training
Superannu<!'l-i:811

10 000 -126870 -120416 -240175 -226845 -280191 -299155 -294510 -259014


100000

-54839 -107907 -1545957

100000

100 000
40000
140000

40000
110000
150 000

40000
130000
170000

120000
120 000

165 000
165 000

190000
190000

1545

1545

4918
20600
180
194
39
155

7869
4511
20600
288
309
62
247

8656
4963
20600
317
340
68
272

9050
5 IB8
20600
332
355
71
284

9050
5188
20600
332
355
71
284

20600
346
371
74
297

169 950
7725

106 605
12 360

117420
13 390

123600
14420

123 600
14 420

127720
14 420

31930

133
275
412
6180
511
1988

133
440
412

133
484
412

7571
133
506
412

133
528
412

511
1 988

511
1988

133
506
412
6180
511
1988

5ll
1988

5ll
1988

133
132
412
6180
5ll
1988

149
248
258

149

149

149
248

149

149
248
258

149

149

918

918

2820

13 596
103

2060

13 596
103

2060

5923

133
22
412

133
33
412

511
1988
206
149

511
1988

4120
918

149

258

220000
220 000

235000
235000

110 000
110000

105 000
105000

190000
190000

9443

2361
1353
20600
87
93
19
74

2754

7869

9443

1579

4511

5414

20600
101
108
22
87

20600
288
309.
62
247

20600
346
371
74
297

36050
4120

106090
12 360

127720
14 420

133
155
412

133
440
412

5ll
1988

511
1988

133
528
412
6 lS0
5ll
1988

149

149

5414

1545

no

248
258

1545

51500

Telephone
Travel expenses
Union fees
OTHER CASH OUTFLOWS
Taxation
Construction costs
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOWS
Closing overdraft balance

-95885

185

1407
185

185
927

185

1407
185

185

185

1407
185

185

110 000
133 546

236870
269759 156670 173 346 183964 185355 184504
-126870 -120416 -240175 -226845 -280191 -299155 -294510 -259014

1407
185

185

74503
40941
233 192
2823
2805
56]
2243

1074 805
Hl 755
13493
1594
4048
4944
24720
6131
23 855
206
1792
993
1030
4 no
2753'
3090
51500
562B
2225

927

95000\
110 000

185

280000
1615 000
1895000

71871
-95885

95000
220000
68953 158068 188771 2 Oll 678
-54839 -107907 -106678 -1662635

Discussion questions
1. Comment on the short-term liquidity, longer term solvency and business
performance of Boat Builders based on your analysis of tlie ratios. Remember
that you should be analysing the modified financial statements that you generated as part of case study 1.
2. Comment on what your analysis of the cashflow budget has revealed.
Overall, do you see the cashflow budget as being pessimistic, optimistic or
realistic? Do you think that Boat Builders' request for an increase in borrowing facilities is justified? In your opinion, will tbe business be able to
reduce its overdraft to below $110 000 by July 2004?
3. Based on your ratio analysis of the statement of financial position and statement of financial performance, plus your analysis of the cashflow budget, do
you consider that Boat Builders is in a strong position as a borrower? As the
lender to Boat Builders, what are the major risks that you face?

[ Case study 2: Financial analysis of Boat Builders Pty Ltd 511 [

Case study 3 - Orbital Engine Corporation Ud*


Learning objectives
After completing this case study, you should be able to:
1. demoustrate a familiarity of the format of general-purpose financial accounts
for a listed company
2. demonstrate an understanding of the impact of company structures (that is,
company accounts versus consolidated accounts) on the analysis of first and
second ways out of the proposed loan
3. conduct a detailed analysis of the first and second ways out for a loan to a
listed company
4. produce a lending submission for the proposed loan (according to the
pro-forma provided) which clearly identifies the risks and risk mitigants
associated with the deaL

Introduction
This case study on Orbital Engine Corporation Ltd poses interesting challenges
for a lender. As a listed company on the Australian Stock Exchange, Orbital
produces detailed financials as part of its annual reports. Compared with Veterinary Clinic Pty Ltd (case study 4), Orbital offers an abundance of information.
For those relatively new to the experience of lending, it is easy to become
swamped by all this information. We suggest that if you start to feel overwhelmed by the quantity of information, you should go back to basics and ask
the question: what are the first and second ways out for this loan?
This case study on Orbital Engine Corporation Ltd is different from other
case studies in this book in that it involves an actual business. The request for
funding, however, is hypotheticaL

Orbital Engine Corporation ltd


Date: Tuesday, 30 October 2001
Background

Your are working as a corporate lending manager in a major bank The board of the
bank decided at the start of the year that it wanted to increase the amount of corporate lending business on its balance sheet (that is, its statement of financial position). As part of the implementation of that decision, you and the other corporate
lending managers have been given ambitious monthly lending targets to meet.
You have been directed to meet your monthly targets by increasing both your
lending to your existing customers and your lending to new corporte customers.
Part of your typical week involves trying to identify existing and new companies
* Disclaimer: The lending proposition [or Orbital in this case study is entirely hypothetical.

I 512

Part 7: Casestudies

to which you can make new laons. Orbital is one of the new companies that you
have identified as prospective customers.
A school friend, who went on to do study engineering, is currently working
with Orbital. Through him, you have learned that Orbital has successfully
granted licence rights to manufacture products incorporating Orbital technology to some of the major automotive, marine and motorcycle manufacturers
in the world. Manufacturers that currently sell products with Orbital technology include Mercury Marine, Tohatsu, Bombardier and Aprilia.
Orbital Engine Corporation Ltd is a company that was first listed Cas Sarich
Technologies) on the Australian Stock Exchange in 1984. Orbital has described
itself as:
... an intellectual property company that has developed world leading direct fuel
injection, combustion and control system technologies collectively termed the
Orbital Combustion Process (OCPTM). When applied to either 2-stroke or 4-stroke
internal combustion engines, OCPTM achieves a superior combination of fuel
economy impt9vement and emissions reduction and is suitable for automotive,
marine, recreational, motorcycle and scooter applications ... (www.orbeng.com.au/

orbitaVaboutOrbitaVaboutOrbital.htm, 19 October 2001)

lending proposition
Your brief reading of the Orbital annual report has identified that Orbital is
effectively 100 per cent equity funded. AVOiding debt funding has been a deliberate decision of the Orbital board. Your thinking, however, is that while pure
equity funding might have been appropriate while Orbital developed its technology, it rriay not be as appropriate now, given the company's new phase of
granting licence rights to major manufacturers.
You have decided to expolore the possibility of putting a proposal to Orbital
to take on some debt funding. You have in mind that a $5 million five-year
multi-option facility may be appropriate. This facility would allow Orbital to
drawdown up to $5 million in different forms (including commercial bills, cash
advances and so on).
Before you put the proposal to Orbital, you need to do some detailed credit
analysis of the posposed $5 million exposure. You know'ihere will be both
strengths and weaknesses associated with the proposed Orbital exposures, as
with any lending. Your task is to see whether there is a way of structuring the
deal to ensure the bank mitigates against the deal's weaknesses (or risks). You
may not be able to find such a way, but at least you should do as much thinking
and analysis as you can to see whether a viable loan can be structured.
The following information is relevant to your analysis of the proposed
Orbital exposure:
The Orbital website (http://www.orbeng.com.aulorbitallhomelhome.htm) has
a copy of the recently released 2001 Annual Report. The format of this annual
report is typical for a listed company, in that it provides an overview of the
company's operations, then detailed financial statements.
A cashflow budget for 2002 is not available to you as part of your analysis.

Case study 3: Orbital Engine Corporation Ltd 513

The only assets available for security are those listed on the company's
statement of financial position. Some of these assets have already been
provided elsewhese as security. Details are provided in the notes to the
financial statements.
For the purpose of this case study, you are asked to structure your analysis in
the form of a written lending submission. The submission will end with a
recommendation on whether you wish to proceed with this proposed exposure.
The format you will use for your lending submission is the standard format
used by Excel Bank. This structure has a number of attractive features. One is
that the analysis of the financials is done in the appendixes to the submission.
This allows you to conduct this analysis before writing the submission. As a
result, the submission tends to benefit from a sense of 'hindsight'. It also means
less of a tendency for the submission to be clogged with numerical analysis,
which is relegated to the appendixes.
Your aim is for .the s,"bmission to contain, in the case of the financial
analysis, only those issues that are absolutely central to the deaL Another
attractive feature of the Excel Bank submission format is the clear focus on
identifying the deal's key risks and how these key risks relate to the ultimate
decision.
Excel Bank format for a -lending submission

Backgr<:mnd detail

What is the name of the borrower? What is their address? Who are the
major shareh~lders/unit holderslbeneficiaries?

What is the deal? How much is being borrol-ved? For what particular.Brief overview of
.
the facts of the deal purpose? Over what period of time?
Overview of the
borrower

. 'What ~re the current borrowings (if an existing borrower)? What is the
hiStory of this borrower? If the borrower is not an indiviclu<ll, then who

. are the individuals behind the borrower? What does the borrower do to
generate income? vVhat are some of the lzey characteristics of the
business (number of employees, proqucts, location, number of
competitors, management, -marketing and so on)? How has the "business
changed over time?
Industry analysis

A commentary on the industT)', ending with a 'statement abOllt the key


success factors and key sensitivities of this industry

Financial analysis

The key credit issues to come out of the financial analysis in appencliX-es
2 and 3

Security

Identification of the key credit issues that corne out of the existing
security structure, as per the analysis in appendix 1. A concluding
comment should be made about the strength of the second way out.

Key strengths and


weaknesses
(risks) afthe deal

This section will draw on the analysis provided in the preceding sections
and appendixes. Ways of mitigating risks should be identified where
pOSSible. In both this section and the next, the strength of both the first
and second ways out for the proposed bon:mving should be clearly noted
as either a strength or weakness.

Recommendation

A clearly justified recomp:tendation, including a list of relevant

covenants

I 514

Part 7: Gasestudies

Appendix 1

The security position. This appendix should detail the different items of
security and the lending margin that is available overall on this security.

Appendix 2

Analysis of the historical financials '(statement of financial position,


statement of financial performance and cashflow statement). This
analysis should always focus on the ultimate identification of risks
(rather than on detailed quoting of numbers). Comments on the
statement of financial position and statement o(financial performance
should be made under the broad headings of 'short-term liquidity' >
'longer term solvency' and 'business perfonnance'. A cashflow statement,
if not provided by the customer, may be generated by the lender and
discussed in this appendix.

Appendix 3

Analysis of the projected financials (cashflow budget projections andlor


statement of financial position and statement of financial performance).
Two key issues that need to be addressed in this section include whether
the amount sought is sufficient for the business's likely needs and
whether the business has the capacity to service/repay the proposed
borrowings. The five-stage cash flow checklist should be used in
analysing the cashflow budget.

Note: Orbital calls its statement of financial position a balance sheet, and it calls its statement of financial per-

formance a profit and loss statement.

In researching information for your assignment, your main source should be


Orbital's website at www.orbeng.com.au. There is also likely to be other information available on the web that provides analysis of the operations of OrbitaL
For the purpose of this case study, your working date is Tuesday 30 October
2001. If you are searching for information on Orbital (particularly from the
web), then you will need to restrict yourself to information that was publicly
available as at Tuesday 30 October 2001. You are not to contact Orbital directly
with any queries.

Discussion questions
1. Two sets of accounts are provided in Orbital's 2001 Annual Report: accounts
for the company and accounts for the consolidated entity. In conceptual
terms, why are there differences between these two sets of accounts? In practical terms, what are some of the major differences between the consolidated
entit)' and the company? In analysing the proposed exposure to Orbital,
which set of financials would you analyse?
2. Distinguish between the concepts of business risk and financial risk. Comment on the respective levels of business risk and financial risk. faced by
Orbital. How do these two risk concepts relate to the board decision to be
purely equity funded?

Case study 3: Orbital Engine Corporation Ltd 515