Ao

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39

1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

Caudal
25100
32400
16300
24800
903

LOG NORMAL
ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

LNQ(cfs)
(XI-X)^2/n
Z
1935
7.0041
0.0120
1936
8.5408
0.1164
1937
6.1983
0.0001
1938
6.5882
0.0022
1939
4.9508
0.0400
1940
7.3770
0.0275
1941
7.4139
0.0293
1942
7.3788
0.0276
1943
5.3959
0.0177
1944
5.8630
0.0039
1945
6.4444
0.0006
1946
6.2382
0.0000
1947
7.1820
0.0186
1948
5.2950
0.0219
1949
6.3787
0.0002
1950
5.9412
0.0026
1951
5.8630
0.0039
1952
6.5643
0.0019
1953
5.8044
0.0051
1954
5.5005
0.0137
1955
4.9528
0.0399
1956
3.9015
0.1283
1958
7.4190
0.0296
1959
5.6659
0.0085
1960
6.5189
0.0013
1961
7.3752
0.0274
1962
5.7330
0.0067
1963
4.7644
0.0520
1964
5.0974
0.0317
1965
6.0615
0.0011
1966
5.6348
0.0094
1967
7.6019
0.0399
1968
7.1444
0.0171
1969
6.0747
0.0009
1970
5.5715
0.0113
1971
5.6296
0.0095
1972
7.4224
0.0298
1973
6.8529
0.0075
1974
6.5803
0.0021
1975
6.7612
0.0053
1976
5.9996
0.0018

0.7947
2.4755
-0.0866
0.3398
-1.4511
1.2025
1.2429
1.2045
-0.9642
-0.4533
0.1826
-0.0430
0.9893
-1.0746
0.1107
-0.3678
-0.4533
0.3136
-0.5174
-0.8498
-1.4489
-2.5987
1.2485
-0.6689
0.2640
1.2006
-0.5956
-1.6549
-1.2907
-0.2363
-0.7030
1.4486
0.9482
-0.2218
-0.7721
-0.7086
1.2523
0.6294
0.3311
0.5291
-0.3040

42
43

1977
1978
total

7.3516
5.8950
43.0000

DESVIACION

0.0262
0.0033
6.2775
0.9358
0.9143

1.1748
-0.4183

LOG NORMAL
T
P (Qx)
P (Qx)
K
X (m^3/s)

5.0000
0.2000
0.8000
0.8415
1149.2105

10.0000
0.1000
0.9000
1.2817
1718.7820

20.0000
0.0500
0.9500
1.6452
2396.3534

50.0000
0.0200
0.9800
2.0542
3482.9372

100.0000
0.0100
0.9900
2.3268
4468.7609

NORMAL

ao

Q(cfs)
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971

Q(m3/s)
Q*1.01
((x-x)^3/n)/s^3
25100
710.753
717.860
0.007
32400
917.466
926.640
0.043
16300
461.565
466.180
0.000
24800
702.258
709.280
0.006
903
25.570
25.826
-0.040
34500
976.931
986.701
0.063
30000
849.505
858.000
0.027
18600
526.693
531.960
0.000
7800
220.871
223.080
-0.007
37500
1061.882
1072.501
0.100
10300
291.664
294.580
-0.002
8000
226.535
228.800
-0.006
21000
594.654
600.600
0.001
14000
396.436
400.400
0.000
6600
186.891
188.760
-0.010
5080
143.850
145.288
-0.016
5350
151.495
153.010
-0.014
11000
311.485
314.600
-0.002
14300
404.931
408.980
0.000
24200
685.268
692.120
0.005
12400
351.129
354.640
-0.001
5660
160.273
161.876
-0.013
21800
617.307
623.480
0.002
3080
87.216
88.088
-0.025
71500
2024.655
2044.901
1.779
22800
645.624
652.080
0.003
4040
114.400
115.544
-0.020
858
24.296
24.539
-0.040
13800
390.772
394.680
0.000
26700
756.060
763.620
0.012
5480
155.176
156.728
-0.014
1900
53.802
54.340
-0.033
21800
617.307
623.480
0.002
20700
586.159
592.020
0.001
11200
317.149
320.320
-0.002
9640
272.974
275.704
-0.003

1972
1973
total

4790
18100
38

135.638
512.535

136.994
517.660

-0.017
0.000

LOG NORMAL
LOG NORMAL
ao

LogQ(m3/s) (XI-X)^2/n
Z
1935
2.856
0.003
1936
2.967
0.005
1937
2.669
0.001
1938
2.851
0.003
1939
1.412
0.032
1940
2.994
0.006
1941
2.933
0.005
1942
2.726
0.001
1943
2.348
0.001
1944
3.030
0.007
1945
2.469
0.000
1946
2.359
0.001
1947
2.779
0.002
1948
2.602
0.000
1949
2.276
0.001
1950
2.162
0.003
1951
2.185
0.003
1952
2.498
0.000
1953
2.612
0.000
1954
2.840
0.003
1955
2.550
0.000
1956
2.209
0.002
1958
2.795
0.002
1959
1.945
0.008
1960
3.311
0.017
1961
2.814
0.002
1962
2.063
0.005
1963
1.390
0.033
1964
2.596
0.000
1965
2.883
0.004
1966
2.195
0.003
1967
1.735
0.016
1968
2.795
0.002
1969
2.772
0.002
1970
2.506
0.000
1971
2.440
0.000

0.816
1.078
0.372
0.803
-2.598
1.142
0.999
0.508
-0.384
1.228
-0.099
-0.358
0.632
0.216
-0.556
-0.824
-0.771
-0.031
0.238
0.778
0.092
-0.713
0.671
-1.338
1.890
0.717
-1.060
-2.650
0.201
0.879
-0.747
-1.834
0.671
0.618
-0.013
-0.167

T
P (Qx)
P (Qx)
K
X (m^3/s)

NORMAL

T
P (Qx)
P (Qx)
W
K
Xt (m^3/s)

1972
1973
total

2.137
2.714
38

0.004
0.001

-0.885
0.480

G NORMAL
5.000
0.200
0.800
0.841
17.584

10.000
0.100
0.900
1.282
21.185

DESVIACION

5.000
0.200
0.800
1.794
0.841
795.014

10.000
0.100
0.900
2.146
1.282
965.265

media
desviacion

20.000
0.050
0.950
1.645
24.706

50.000
0.020
0.980
2.054
29.373

100.0000
0.0100
0.9900
2.3268
32.9635

2.511
0.429
0.423

20.000
0.050
0.950
2.448
1.645
1105.821

469.628
386.694

50.000
0.020
0.980
2.797
2.054
1263.970

100.000
0.010
0.990
3.035
2.327
1369.382

1.784

1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

4433.002
2044.901
1072.501
986.701
926.64
858
763.62
717.86
709.28
692.12
652.08
623.48
623.48
600.6
592.02
531.96
517.66
466.18
408.98
400.4
394.68
354.64
314.6
294.58
275.704
228.8
223.08
188.76
161.876
156.728
153.01
145.288
136.994
115.544
88.088
54.34
25.826
24.539
749.299186
577.856368

3.64669793
3.31067229
3.03039771
2.99418557
2.96691104
2.93348729
2.88287729
2.85603975
2.85081771
2.8401814
2.81430088
2.79482253
2.79482253
2.77858533
2.77233638
2.72587898
2.71404461
2.66855364
2.61170207
2.60249407
2.59624512
2.54978772
2.49775872
2.46920326
2.44044307
2.35945602
2.34846064
2.27590997
2.20918246
2.19514659
2.18471982
2.16222975
2.13670155
2.0627474
1.94491675
1.73511963
1.41205715
1.38985686
0.46664063 desest
2.54104609 media

720.3
7

24.539

Intervalos
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

inf
24.539
744.839
1465.139
2185.439
2905.739
3626.039
4346.339

Intervalos
sup
744.839
1465.139
2185.439
2905.739
3626.039
4346.339
4433.002

ni

fs(xi)

32
5
1
0
0
0
1
39

0.821
0.128
0.026
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.026

Fs(xi)

0.821
0.949
0.974
0.974
0.974
0.974
1.000

744.839
1465.139
2185.439
2905.739
3626.039
4346.339
4433.002

Fo(x)

-17.621
-35.628
-53.636
-71.643
-89.651
-107.658
-109.825

Log-normal
F(x)

0.986
0.963
0.951
0.935
0.913
0.885
0.849

lFo(x)-F(x)l

18.607
36.592
54.587
72.578
90.564
108.543
110.674

LogX

2.87206241
3.16587883
3.33953869
3.4632566
3.55943247
3.6381236
3.64669793

Zi

f(xi)

0.709
1.339
1.711
1.976
2.182
2.351
2.369

0.239
0.090
0.043
0.024
0.014
0.009
0.991
SUMA

p(xi)

0.239
-0.149
-0.047
-0.019
-0.009
-0.005
0.982
0.991

X^2

55.184
-20.109
-4.380
-0.758
-0.367
-0.197
36.310
65.682

n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

DISTRIBUCIN
T
Qmx
47.00
4433.002
23.50
2044.901
15.67
1072.501
11.75
986.701
9.40
926.64
7.83
858
6.71
763.62
5.88
717.86
5.22
709.28
4.70
692.12
4.27
652.08
3.92
623.48
3.62
623.48
3.36
600.6
3.13
592.02
2.94
531.96
2.76
517.66
2.61
466.18
2.47
408.98
2.35
400.4
2.24
394.68
2.14
354.64
1.96
314.6
1.88
294.58
1.81
275.704
1.74
228.8
1.68
223.08
1.62
188.76
1.57
161.876
1.52
156.728
1.47
153.01
1.42
145.288
1.38
136.994
1.34
115.544
1.31
88.088
1.27
54.34
1.24
25.826
1.21
24.539

DISTRIBUCIONES DE PROBABILIDAD - ERROR CUADRTICO M

NORMAL
LOG NORMAL
XT
(XT-Qmx)
XT
4044.901 150622.386 714.833689
517.64
###
611.35
490.97
338179.878
552.44
470.55
266412.484
511.21
453.67
223699.609
479.46
439.08
175490.200
453.62
426.10
113916.671
431.79
414.31
92141.203
412.87
403.43
93543.357
396.16
393.27
89311.819
381.15
383.69
72035.789
367.53
374.57
61954.479
355.02
365.85
66372.382
343.45
357.45
59119.948
332.67
349.33
58899.795
322.55
341.43
36303.029
313.02
333.71
33836.127
303.98
326.16
19606.401
295.38
318.73
8145.592
287.16
311.40
7921.358
279.27
304.15
8196.338
271.68
296.95
3328.097
264.36
282.64
1021.334
250.37
275.48
364.790
243.65
268.28
55.049
237.08
261.03
1038.959
230.64
253.70
937.817
224.30
246.27
3307.829
218.06
238.72
5904.518
211.89
231.00
5516.985
205.77
223.10
4913.122
199.69
214.98
4856.530
193.62
206.58
4842.107
187.54
197.86
6775.502
181.43
188.75
10131.974
175.25
179.16
15580.457
168.99
169.00
20498.638
162.59
158.12
17843.500
156.00
###
2101.22697

IDAD - ERROR CUADRTICO MNIMO

LOG NORMAL
GUMBEL
PEARSON
(XT-Qmx)
XT
(XT-Qmx)
XT
(XT-Qmx)
13824775.6 628.012064 14477948.4 674.755237 14124418.7
###
554.24
###
592.37
###
270458.762
510.59
315739.654
545.56
277661.899
226090.939
479.26
257493.018
509.81
227426.820
199968.975
454.67
222754.217
479.78
199682.982
163526.932
434.33
179493.980
463.12
155928.261
110110.967
416.92
120200.774
446.46
100587.951
93016.515
401.64
99994.084
429.81
82975.420
98046.981
387.99
103230.229
413.15
87694.785
96700.393
375.60
100183.787
396.49
87398.020
80971.325
364.24
82851.410
379.83
74120.101
72070.081
353.72
72771.869
365.21
66701.504
78416.261
343.89
78170.270
356.72
71158.716
71787.957
334.65
70729.341
348.23
63688.334
72612.106
325.91
70815.433
339.74
63642.698
47936.338
317.59
45952.885
331.26
40282.340
45659.861
309.65
43269.186
322.77
37983.740
29174.069
302.02
26948.442
314.28
23074.747
14841.320
294.67
13066.851
305.79
10648.859
14672.429
287.56
12732.939
297.30
10630.203
15128.559
280.66
13000.914
288.81
11208.974
8151.310
273.94
6512.839
280.32
5523.761
4125.580
260.94
2879.460
264.57
2502.744
2593.872
254.62
1597.039
258.55
1298.131
1491.854
248.39
746.315
252.53
537.115
3.376
242.22
180.220
246.51
313.506
1.499
236.12
169.944
240.48
302.897
858.594
230.04
1704.137
234.46
2088.653
2501.469
223.98
3856.932
228.44
4430.717
2405.371
217.91
3743.625
222.42
4315.107
2178.858
211.82
3458.454
216.40
4017.699
2335.733
205.67
3646.363
210.37
4236.079
2554.716
199.45
3900.797
204.35
4536.967
4340.469
193.12
6018.052
198.33
6853.332
7597.854
186.65
9713.805
192.33
10865.896
13144.085
179.99
15787.070
186.33
17422.240
18703.880
173.09
21685.428
180.34
23874.285
17283.169
165.87
19975.519
174.34
22441.773
17771302.5
18734985.6
18042315.6
4215.60227
4328.39296
4247.62471