Sie sind auf Seite 1von 38

Internship Project Report on

Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Banking and


NBFC Sector

Submitted By:
Mehal Dhongade
PGDM (e-business) 2014-16
Roll No. PG14061

Under the guidance of,


Mr. Nikesh Ruparel
Senior Business Mentor
ACADEMIC YEAR 2015-2016

DECLARATION
I, Mehal Dhongade, student of Mumbai Educational Trust (MET), hereby declare that this
project report titled Fundamental and Technical analysis of Banking and NBFC sector at
Aditya Birla Financial Services Group, carried out under the guidance of Mr. Nikesh Ruparel
at Aditya Birla Financial Services Group, is the record of authentic work carried out by me
during the period from 4th May 2015 to 4th of July 2015.

Sign:

Mehal Dhongade
PGD 14061
MET ICS, Mumbai

CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Mr. Mehal Dhongade has successfully completed the project work titled
Fundamental and Technical analysis of Banking and NBFC sector in partial fulfilment of
requirement for the completion of Post-Graduation Course as prescribed by the College of
Management.

This project report is the record of authentic work carried out by him during the period from
4thMay, 2015 to 4th July, 2015. He has worked under my guidance.

Sign:

(Mr. Nikesh Ruparel,


Senior Business Mentor,
ABFSG, Mumbai)

INDEX
Sr no.

Particulars

Introduction to Banking

Evolution of Indian Banking sector

Prospects of Banking sector

Fundamental Analysis of Banking Sector

Banking company vs Benchmark

Hedging

Technical Analysis of Banking Sector

Trend continuation pattern

Trend reversal pattern

10

Candlesticks

11

Introduction to NBFC

12

NBFC vs BANKS

13

Prospects of NBFC

14

Fundamental Analysis of NBFC

15

NBFC vs Benchmark

16

Technical Analysis of NBFC

17

MET Large Cap Fund

18

Fund performance vs Benchmark

19

Conclusion

20

Webliography

Page no

Banking Sector
Introduction
According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the banking sector in India is sound,
adequately capitalised and well-regulated. Indian financial and economic conditions are much
better than in many other countries of the world. Credit, market and liquidity risk studies
show that Indian banks are generally resilient and have withstood the global downturn well.
With a sense of optimism slowly creeping in, the banking industry expects that 2015 will
bring better growth prospects. This optimism stems from factors such as the Government
working hard to revitalise the industrial growth in the country and the RBI initiating a
number of measures that would go a long way in helping the banks to restructure. The recent
announcements of RBI, it is felt, are a clear pointer to the future of the restructured domestic
banking industry.

The Structure of Indian Banking Sector

Evolution of Indian Banking Sector

Growth of Indian Banking Sector

Deposits have grown at a CAGR of 19.7 per cent during FY0714 to an estimated USD 1.31
trillion

Deposit growth has been mainly driven by strong growth in savings amid rising disposable
income levels
Access to the banking system has also improved over the years due to persistent government
efforts to promote banking-technology, and promote expansion in unbanked and nonmetropolitan regions

Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM)

Financial Year 2014


India's underlying economic growth trends remained weak during FY14. High and persistent
inflation remained a key macroeconomic challenge facing India throughout the FY14. During
the year, the operating environment for the banking system continued to be challenging with
persistent high inflation, muted growth, and slowdown in credit off-take, concerns over
higher non-performing assets and a high incidence of restructured assets. Against the
backdrop of a slowdown in the domestic economy and tepid global recovery, the growth of
Indian banking sector too remained under pressure in FY14. That said, the deposit and credit
growth was marginally better than that in FY13. The growth in deposits of scheduled
commercial banks (SCBs) at 14.6% in FY14 was marginally better than the growth at 14.2%
in the previous financial year. However, this growth came on the back of the liberal policy
adopted by the RBI towards non-resident Indian deposits. The credit growth at 14.3% in
FY14 too was marginally better than that at 14.1% in FY13. As a part of monetary
transmission, base rate of major banks inched up from 9.70%-10.25% in April 2013 to 10.0%
-10.25% in March 2014, while deposit rates were readjusted from 7.5%-9.00% to 8.0%9.25% in the same period.
In FY14, private sector lenders experienced significant growth in credit cards and personal
loan businesses. Owing to elevated inflation levels, the banks were compelled to offer
attractive interest rates on their term deposits so as to protect their liability franchise. The
higher deposit rates coupled with lower credit offtake impacted the net interest income and
thereby the earnings profile of commercial banks. Additionally, the macroeconomic
challenges and poor repayment capacity of borrower's deteriorated the banks' asset quality
further in FY14. Consequently, the restructured assets moved north during the year.
However, despite the challenging environment, few banks with prudent risk management
systems and the ones with robust cash recovery delivered a sound performance during FY14.
The aggregated profit after tax (PAT) of PSBs declined by 27% YoY during FY14. The gross
NPAs of banks (PSBs + private) increased over the last one year from 3.3% to 3.9% as on
March 2014. Restructured advances of the PSBs remain at elevated levels of 6.2% as on
March 31, 2014. Private sector banks were able to hold on good asset quality as reflected in
their gross NPAs of 1.8% as on March 2014. Banks started reporting capital adequacy as per
Basel III norms since June 2013. The Tier 1 capital of PSBs stood at around 8.6% as on
March 31, 2014 as against the required Tier 1 capital of 6.5%, while that of private sector

banks was well above the norms around 12.8%. Return on net worth for PSBs dropped to
single digit in FY14.

Prospects
The Indian economy is now on the threshold of a major transformation, with expectations of
policy initiatives being implemented. Positive business sentiments, improved consumer
confidence and more controlled inflation should help boost the economic growth. Higher
spending on infrastructure, speedy implementation of projects and continuation of reforms
will provide further impetus to growth. All this translates into a strong growth for the banking
sector too, as rapidly growing business turn to banks for their credit needs, thus helping them
grow.
Also, with the advancements in technology, mobile and internet banking services have come
to the fore. Banks in India are focusing more and more to provide better services to their
clients and have also started upgrading their technology infrastructure, which can help
improve customer experience as well as give banks a competitive edge.
Many banks, including HDFC, ICICI and AXIS are exploring the option to launch contactless credit and debit cards in the market soon. The cards, which use near field communication
(NFC) mechanism, will allow customers to transact without having to insert or swipe.

Fundamental Analysis of Banking Sector


In the fundamental analysis of private sector I have taken mostly large sector banks. I have
got 10 companies on which I have done the analysis. Firstly I have found out the Earnings per
share (EPS) then P/E ratio of all the companies. Formula of EPS is Profit / Number of
outstanding shares and P/E ratio is Market value per share / Earnings per share. After finding
P/E ratio I have founded the Sector P/E which is average of all the P/E ratio.
If P/E of company is less than Sector P/E then its a Value pick so out of 10 companies I have
got 4 Value pick companies, name of those banks are Karur Vysya Bank, Yes Bank, ICICI
Bank, City Union Bank. For remaining banks I have founded PEG ratio formula for the same
is P/E / EPS growth. If the PEG is less than 1 then its a Growth pick. I have got one Growth
pick that is IndusInd Bank. For all the 5 companies I have computed Long Term Price Target
(LTPT) which is calculated by multiplying Sector P/E and EPS, LTPT is the target which is
likely to be achieved by the companies in the near future. Net Interest Income (NII), Net
Interest Margin (NIM), CASA ratio and Return on Asset (ROA) is computed and based on
comparison of this four I have invested in the five banks.
Based on the Value and the Growth picks I have decided to invest 6 Cr. out of 10 Cr. in
private banking sector. Out of 6 Cr. I have kept some of fund as cash in hand which will be
utilized for hedging of some of the companies the same is explained in the further part.

Allocation of Fund

Banks
Market price (11th June) No. of Shares Total value
1 Karur Vysya

453.45

39695

17999697.75

812

17734

14400008

3 ICICI Bank

287.6

41724

11999822.4

4 City Union Bank

101.5

59113

5999969.5

5 IndusInd Bank

807.2

11149

8999472.8

2 Yes Bank

59398970.45

Weightage of Banking Companies

Banking companies weightage


25.00%
20.00%

Karur Vysya
Yes Bank

15.00%

ICICI Bank
10.00%

21.77%

City Union Bank

18.00%

5.00%

IndusInd Bank

10.00%
5.24%

5.00%

0.00%
KARUR
VYSYA

YES BANK

ICICI BANK CITY UNION


BANK

INDUSIND
BANK

From 11th june I have started monitoring fund till 9th july, in this time period there was
various ups and downs in the market and the price of all the stock were moving accordingly.
The position of the fund on 9th july was as follows

BUY

Karur Vysya
Yes Bank
ICICI Bank
City Union Bank
IndusInd Bank

Total

Price at Inception Units Value in Rupees


%
Latest Market Price Value in Rupees Gain or Loss Gain or Loss
%
Per Share
Purchased at Inception Weightage
As on
As on
In Rupees Percentage wise Weightage
11-Jun-15
11-Jun-15
11-Jun-15
11-Jun-15
09-Jul-15
09-Jul-15
09-Jul-15
09-Jul-15
09-Jul-15
Banking Companies
453.45
39695 179,99,697.75
18.00%
490.90 194,86,275.50 14,86,577.75
8.26%
18.16%
812.00
17734 144,00,008.00
14.40%
799.80 141,83,653.20 -2,16,354.80
-1.50%
13.22%
287.60
41724 119,99,822.40
12.00%
309.50 129,13,578.00 9,13,755.60
7.61%
12.03%
101.50
59113 59,99,969.50
6.00%
100.95 59,67,457.35 -32,512.15
-0.54%
5.56%
807.20
11149 89,99,472.80
9.00%
893.00 99,56,057.00 9,56,584.20
10.63%
9.28%
593,98,970.45
59.40%
625,07,021.05 31,08,050.60
5.23%
58.25%

Gain of Banking companies


16,00,000.00

14,86,577.75

14,00,000.00
12,00,000.00
9,56,584.20

9,13,755.60

10,00,000.00
8,00,000.00
6,00,000.00
4,00,000.00
(2,04,717.30)

2,00,000.00

(32,512.15)

0.00
(2,00,000.00)
(4,00,000.00)

KARUR
VYSYA

YES BANK

ICICI BANK

CITY UNION
BANK

INDUSIND
BANK

Gain in percentages

12.00%
10.00%
8.00%

Karur Vysya

6.00%
4.00%

10.63%

8.26%

2.00%

7.61%
-1.50%

-2.00%

KARUR
VYSYA

YES BANK

ICICI Bank
City Union Bank

-0.54%

0.00%

Yes Bank

ICICI BANK CITY UNION


BANK

INDUSIND
BANK

IndusInd Bank

-4.00%

Banking Co' vs Benchmark


Banking Co' vs Bank Nifty
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
FUND

BankNifty

As you can see that the returns of Banking sector fund is more than that of the Benchmark
BankNifty. The returns given by the Banking sector is 7.25% where as the return given by the
BankNifty is 4.95%.

Hedging
What is Hedging?
Making an investment to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in an asset. Normally, a
hedge consists of taking an offsetting position in a related security, such as a futures contract.
An example of a hedge would be if you owned a stock, then sold a futures contract stating that
you will sell your stock at a set price, therefore avoiding market fluctuations.
Investors use this strategy when they are unsure of what the market will do. A perfect hedge
reduces your risk to nothing (except for the cost of the hedge).
Hedging in Fund
In the Banking fund I was not sure about the Yes Bank so I decided to hedge it. I hedged 10%
of the Yes Bank stock which was in the equity market so I sold (i.e. I went short) 10% of it in
the Future market. Now in the Future market you need not to pay all the money, the margin
amount has to be paid. This margin differs from stock to stock, for Yes Bank indicative span
margin is 8% and gross exposure margin is 5%, so the total margin is 13%. Only 13% of
amount of the total amount has to be paid. In the Futures market you cant take single share
you have to take it in lot so the lot for Yes Bank is 250 and I have shorted 7 such lots.
After hedging total portfolio of the banks is as follows

Banks
Market price
1
2
3
4

Karur Vysya
Yes Bank
ICICI Bank
City Union Bank

5 IndusInd Bank

Hedging
Cash in hand

453.45
812
287.6
101.5
807.2

No. of Shares
Total value
39695
17999697.75
17734
14400008
41724
11999822.4
59113
5999969.5
11149

8999472.8
59398970.45
184422.88
416606.67
60000000

The performance of the Banking sector after hedging is as follows

Banking Co' Vs Bank Nifty


12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
-2.00
FUND(with hedging)

BankNifty

As you can clearly see that without hedging the percentage return is 7.25% and with hedging
is 7.34% so it clearly shows that when market goes in the opposite direction of what you need
and if you have used hedging then it will give more returns.

Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use of charts, for the
purpose of future price trends. The term market action includes the three principal sources
of information available to the technician price, volume and open interest.
Technical analysis depends on DOW THEORY and its principles are as follows
1. The Averages Discount Everything
2. The Market Has Three Trends
3. Major Trends Have Three Phases
4. The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
5. Volume Must Confirm the Trend
6. A Trend Is Assumed to Be Continuous Until Definite Signals of Its Reversal
Technical Analysis is based on the following 3 principles:
Price Discounts Everything
According to technical analysts, price reflects everything that can affect the market. Factors,
affecting the market, are economic, political, psychological and fundamental. Technical
analysis is mainly concerned with the price movements going up or going down, and it does
not take into consideration the factors that affect the price changes.
Prices Move in Trends
In technical analysis it is accepted to say that price movements follow the trend. That is to say
after the trend has been established it is more likely that the future price movement will be in
the same direction as the trend.
History Repeats Itself
History tends to repeat itself mostly in terms of price movements. Technical analysis uses
chart patterns for analyzing the historical data of price movements for forecasting the future
movements. The repetition of the price movements is closely connected to market
psychology, and the market participants are expected to react the same way to the similar
events which are likely to occur in future.

Trend continuation pattern


Trend continuation patterns are formed during a pause in the trend, and they are quite easily
recognized on the charts. Continuation patterns are usually shorter in their duration than the
reversal patterns, and in contrast to reversal patterns, continuation patterns indicate trend
consolidations, and continuations and not trend reversals. Continuation patterns include the
following formations:
1. Ascending Triangle
2. Descending Triangle
3. Symmetric Triangle
4. Bullish Rectangle
5. Rectangle (Bearish)
6. Forex Flag
7. Pennant
8. Wedge

Trend reversal pattern


Trend reversal patterns indicate the end of a previous trend and show that the market is ready
to begin a new trend. The most well-known reversal patterns are the following:
1. Head and Shoulders
2. Inverse Head and Shoulders
3. Double Top
4. Double Bottom
5. Triple Top
6. Triple Bottom

Candlesticks
The Japanese began using technical analysis to trade rice in the 17th century. While this early
version of technical analysis was different from the US version initiated by Charles
Dow around 1900, many of the guiding principles were very similar:

The what (price action) is more important than the why (news, earnings, and so on).

All known information is reflected in the price.

Buyers and sellers move markets based on expectations and emotions (fear and greed).

Markets fluctuate.

The actual price may not reflect the underlying value.

Formation
In order to create a candlestick chart, you must have a data set that contains open, high, low
and close values for each time period you want to display. The hollow or filled portion of the
candlestick is called the body (also referred to as the real body). The long thin lines
above and below the body represent the high/low range and are called shadows (also
referred to as wicks and tails). The high is marked by the top of the upper shadow and
the low by the bottom of the lower shadow. If the stock closes higher than its opening price, a
hollow candlestick is drawn with the bottom of the body representing the opening price and
the top of the body representing the closing price. If the stock closes lower than its opening
price, a filled candlestick is drawn with the top of the body representing the opening price
and the bottom of the body representing the closing price.

Doji
Doji are important candlesticks that provide information on their own and as components of
in a number of important patterns. Doji form when a security's open and close are virtually
equal. The length of the upper and lower shadows can vary and the resulting candlestick
looks like a cross, inverted cross or plus sign. Alone, doji are neutral patterns. Any bullish or
bearish bias is based on preceding price action and future confirmation. The word Doji
refers to both the singular and plural form.

Star Position
A candlestick that gaps away from the previous candlestick is said to be in star position. The
first candlestick usually has a large real body, but not always, and the second candlestick in
star position has a small real body. Depending on the previous candlestick, the star position
candlestick gaps up or down and appears isolated from previous price action. The two
candlesticks can be any combination of white and black. Doji,hammers, shooting stars and
spinning tops have small real bodies, and can form in the star position. Later we will examine
2- and 3-candlestick patterns that utilize the star position.

Harami Position
A candlestick that forms within the real body of the previous candlestick is in Harami
position. Harami means pregnant in Japanese and the second candlestick is nestled inside the
first. The first candlestick usually has a large real body and the second a smaller real body
than the first. The shadows (high/low) of the second candlestick do not have to be contained
within the first, though it's preferable if they are. Doji and spinning tops have small real
bodies, and can form in the harami position as well. Later we will examine candlestick
patterns that utilize the harami position.

Hammer and Hanging Man


The Hammer and Hanging Man look exactly alike, but have different implications based on
the preceding price action. Both have small real bodies (black or white), long lower shadows
and short or non-existent upper shadows. As with most single and double candlestick
formations, the Hammer and Hanging Man require confirmation before action. The Hammer
is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a decline. In addition to a potential trend reversal,
hammers can mark bottoms or support levels. After a decline, hammers signal a bullish
revival. The low of the long lower shadow implies that sellers drove prices lower during the
session. However, the strong finish indicates that buyers regained their footing to end the
session on a strong note. While this may seem enough to act on, hammers require further
bullish confirmation. The low of the hammer shows that plenty of sellers remain. Further
buying pressure, and preferably on expanding volume, is needed before acting. Such
confirmation could come from a gap up or long white candlestick. Hammers are similar to
selling climaxes, and heavy volume can serve to reinforce the validity of the reversal.

Inverted Hammer and Shooting Star


The Inverted Hammer and Shooting Star look exactly alike, but have different implications
based on previous price action. Both candlesticks have small real bodies (black or white),
long upper shadows and small or nonexistent lower shadows. These candlesticks mark
potential trend reversals, but require confirmation before action.
The Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an advance and in the star
position, hence its name. A Shooting Star can mark a potential trend reversal or resistance
level. The candlestick forms when prices gap higher on the open, advance during the session
and close well off their highs. The resulting candlestick has a long upper shadow and small
black or white body. After a large advance (the upper shadow), the ability of the bears to
force prices down raises the yellow flag. To indicate a substantial reversal, the upper shadow
should relatively long and at least 2 times the length of the body. Bearish confirmation is
required after the Shooting Star and can take the form of a gap down or long black
candlestick on heavy volume.
The Inverted Hammer looks exactly like a Shooting Star, but forms after a decline or
downtrend. Inverted Hammers represent a potential trend reversal or support levels. After a
decline, the long upper shadow indicates buying pressure during the session. However, the
bulls were not able to sustain this buying pressure and prices closed well off of their highs to
create the long upper shadow. Because of this failure, bullish confirmation is required before
action. An Inverted Hammer followed by a gap up or long white candlestick with heavy
volume could act as bullish confirmation.

Parabolic SAR

MACD

EMA (Exponential Moving Average)

SMA (Simple Moving Average)

Bearish Harami

NBFC
Introduction
The Indian economy is currently recovering from the phase of sluggish growth and is
characterized by tangible progress towards fiscal consolidation and strong macro-economic
fundamentals. The Make in India campaign, governments initiative on bringing regulatory
reforms to facilitate ease of doing business in India, thrust towards growth of infrastructure
sector and financial inclusion will also demand NBFCs to shoulder the growth and
development phase, India is seemingly walking into.
NBFCs in India have been complimenting the banks in rendering financial services and over
the last few years have also been instrumental in bringing about financial inclusion in the
country. NBFCs have a critical role playing in infrastructure financing, micro lending, asset
backed lending, factoring and have a network which is far wider and granular than banks in
some cases. NBFCs accounted for 13% of the banks assets as on 31st March, 2013. While the
NBFCs assets as a percentage to GDP has increased from 8.4 per cent in 2006 to 12.5 per
cent in 2013, the NBFC sector has a share of 8% in the total financial sector assets of the
Indian economy.

NBFCs versus Banks


The financial sector in India consists of two main players Banks and NBFCs. Primarily,
banks are highly regulated; they are covered by directed lending requirements where they
have to lend 40% of their assets into so-called priority sector. NBFCs, on the contrary, have
no similar requirements. It is quite difficult to get a banking license; however, there are
nearly 11000 NBFCs in the country, and many of them are available for acquisitions too.
Therefore, many people feel that the NBFC-route is the easiest way to enter the financial
sector of India. Most of the leading banks also have affiliated NBFCs.

Performance of major NBFC in 2013-14


Similar to previous year NBFCs have been pioneering with respect loan against property,
retail asset backed lending, lending against securities, microfinance etc and have been
extending credit to retail customers in under-served areas and to unbanked customers.
Subdued economy, weak business outlook and high delinquency levels had created

challenging period for the NBFCs in 2013-14 but the economic conditions are expected to
improve in the coming financial year and so is the expectation of credit growth and
performance of NBFCs expected to improve. The operating environment has been
challenging for businesses putting constraints on credit recoveries for NBFCs as well.
However, in the financial year 13-14 the retail credit growth rate deteriorated due to a slow
economy and high interest rates unfavourably affecting demand for credit, mainly in the asset
financing segments. In the financial year 13-14 only 8% growth in retail credit was achieved
as compared to a growth of 19% in the previous year.

Prospects

The economy has been seeing early signs of improvement in various macroeconomic
parameters. These events are expected to give further boost to the economic growth of
the nation.

Factors like higher industrial growth and clearance of stalled projects are likely to
reduce cyclical pressure on major non-bank finance companies from the second half
of the next fiscal.

Fundamental Analysis of NBFC Sector


Fundamental analysis of NBFC sector is done in the same manner of that of Banking sector
first finding the P/E ratio and then comparing it with the sector P/E and if individual P/E is
less than Sector P/E then its a value pick otherwise it is a growth pick
The illustration of the same is as follows

P/E

EPS
2015

Sector P/E

LTPT

EPS growth PEG

NPA gross

Net Profit profit growth

21.31

Muthoot Finance

L&T Finance

Bajaj Holding

Reliance Capital

Sks Microfinance

IIFL Holding

Hdfc

India Bulls Housing

Lic Housing Finance

Gruh finance

Dewan housing

Bajaj Finance

Shiram Transport

Sundaram Finance

M&M Finance

Shriram City

Cholamandalam

Powar finance

REC

IDFC

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

10.96

16.77

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

39.67

1.52

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

17.14

78.17

1665.72

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

12.11

30.06

640.55

1.57%
1.88%

357.35

32.39 117.142857 0.338646 Growth

3.18%
3.01%

180.94
165.19

-8.70

0.96
190.08

19700.00

72.94
41.76

Value

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

28.92

14.79

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

55.32

3.12

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

31.31

38.16

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

10.41

55.7

1186.91

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

14.61

27.45

584.93

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

40.05

5.68

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

9.26

42.83

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

25.4

179.23

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

15.27

54.42

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

35.37

41.03

874.31 3.01280442 11.73989

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

16.62

14.73

313.88

-42.75

165
481

191.52

27.11

315.16 129.302326 0.223662 Growth

40.54

49.54

66.48 -5.4545455
1,723.10

813.15 9.46643718 3.307475

1,862.43

8.09

458.52

Value

526.93

14.92

370.02
378.18

2.21

35.24

121.04 -0.1757469

74.06

110.16

141.17

912.66

Value

162.28

14.95

3819.21 24.9947695 1.016213


294.96

1159.64

316.73

7.38

310.7

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

18.92

85.52

1822.35

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

19.69

30.14

642.25

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

5.87

45.14

961.89

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

5.36

53.27

1135.13

Q4 2014
Q4 2015

13.92

10.58

225.45

333.4

7.31

147.44
149.6

1.47

90.73

Value

135.64

49.50

1,534.31
1,560.75

1.72

1,191.70
1,096.50

-7.99

213.04

Value

365.47

71.55

In the above Cholamandalam, Reliance capital, Dewan Housing, India Bulls, IDFC are the
value picks and L&T finance and SKS microfinance are Growth picks.

NBFC companies weightage


9.00%

8.00%
7.00%
6.00%

L&T Finance

5.00%
4.00%

7.80%

8.50%

Reliance Capital
7.70%

3.00%

6.00%

IDFC
4.00%

2.00%

3.00%

3.00%

Sks Microfinance

1.00%

Cholamandalam

0.00%

Dewan housing
India Bulls Housing

Gain of NBFC companies


14,00,000.00

13,77,854.40

12,00,000.00
10,00,000.00

9,15,370.75

8,00,000.00
6,00,000.00
4,00,000.00
2,00,000.00

0.00

4,83,516.80
2,88,585.00

5,64,135.00
3,66,157.55
1,93,376.80

Gain in Percentage
17.66%
15.26%

14.10%
12.21%
6.45%

5.69%

3.75%

NBFC Fund Vs Benchmark

NBFC Fund Vs Sensex


14
12

10
8
6
4

NBFC Fund

09-Jul-15

08-Jul-15

07-Jul-15

06-Jul-15

05-Jul-15

04-Jul-15

03-Jul-15

02-Jul-15

01-Jul-15

30-Jun-15

29-Jun-15

28-Jun-15

27-Jun-15

26-Jun-15

25-Jun-15

24-Jun-15

23-Jun-15

22-Jun-15

21-Jun-15

20-Jun-15

19-Jun-15

18-Jun-15

17-Jun-15

16-Jun-15

15-Jun-15

14-Jun-15

13-Jun-15

-2

12-Jun-15

Sensex

As you can see that the returns of NBFC fund is more than that of the Benchmark Sensex. The returns
given by the NBFC sector is 10.2% where as the return given by the Sensex is 4.8%.

Technical Analysis
SMA (Simple Moving Average)

EMA (Exponential Moving Average)

MACD

Bearish Engulfing

Bollinger Bands

Parabolic SAR

MET Large Cap Fund


Objective: This fund seeks to invest in large, profitable and well-known companies, and
aims to benefit from the long term investments that the market has to offer in the large-cap
space. The investments are spread across sectors to ensure risk diversification, and stocks are
selected through fundamental analysis
Key Benefits

It allows you to invest in a portfolio targeted at large-cap stocks which are the
preferred picks in their respective sectors.

It offers a mitigated risk through diversification across sectors.

Scheme Name
MET Large Cap Fund
Particulars

Scheme
Benchmark*
S&P BSE Sensex

Latest NAV (Rs.)


10.73
June 11, 2015 to
July 15, 2015

Since Inception
July 15th, 2015

Current Value of
Investment of
Rs.
Absolute Returns (%)
10,00,000
7.32%
10,73,200.00
7.18%
10,71,800.00
6.93%
10,69,300.00
*S&P BSE 100
Portfolio as on July 15, 2015

Company Name
Infrastructure Companies
EngineersInd
Larsen
NBCC
Siemens

% to
NAV
8.85%
3.27%
2.60%
2.45%
0.53%

Automobile Companies
Hero Motocorp
Ashok Leyland

2.02%
1.38%
0.63%

Pharma Companies
Aurobindo Pharma
Piramal Enterprises
Wockhardt
Strides Acrolab
Glenmark

10.47%
1.00%
2.17%
0.78%
4.60%
1.07%

Company Name
Banking Companies
Karur Vysya
Yes Bank
ICICI Bank
City Union Bank
IndusInd Bank

% to
NAV
5.82%
2.12%
1.66%
1.02%
0.49%
0.54%

NBFC Companies
L&T Finance
Reliance Capital
IDFC
Sks Microfinance
Cholamandalam
Dewan housing
India Bulls Housing

4.20%
0.87%
0.84%
0.76%
0.68%
0.43%
0.32%
0.30%

Biocon

0.86%

Oil And Shipping


ONGC
RELIANCE
GAIL

10.40%
1.34%
1.60%
0.88%

Essar Oil
HPCL
BPCL
Gujarat Pipavav
Adani Port

1.51%
1.14%
1.01%
1.46%
1.45%

Capital Goods Companies


Larsen
Crompton Greaves
AIA Engineering
Bharat Elect
BHEL
Thermax

4.79%
0.82%
1.62%
0.59%
0.55%
0.60%
0.61%

Power Sector Companies


NTPC
Neyveli Lignite
SJVN
Reliance Infra
CESC
Torrent Power
JSW Energy
Tata Power
Inox Wind

4.71%
0.30%
0.30%
0.83%
0.58%
0.26%
0.53%
1.04%
0.62%
0.24%

Steel and Aluminium


TATA Steel
JSW Steel
Ratnamani Metal
NALCO
Cement
KCP
Birla Corp
Orient Cement
JK Lakshmi Cement
ACC

8.70%
2.61%
0.87%
0.97%
4.26%
10.08%
1.07%
2.08%
2.52%
3.42%
0.98%

FMCG
ITC
HUL
Colgate Palmolive
Jyothi Laboratories
GlaxoSmithKline Consumer
Healthcare
Tata Global Beverage
Relaxo Footwear
Britannia Industries
Bajaj Corp

8.61%
1.39%
0.74%
0.50%
1.05%
0.48%

Retail
Bata India
Arvind
Raymond
Trent
V-mart

1.63%
0.45%
0.47%
0.31%
0.19%
0.21%

IT Companies
Persistent Systems
Cyient
HCL Tech
Infosys
Wipro

6.14%
0.80%
0.99%
2.42%
0.46%
1.48%

Media and Entertainment


Jagranprakashan
Shemaroo
INOX Leisure
TV Today Network
Entertainment Network India

3.94%
0.55%
0.55%
0.58%
1.14%
1.12%

Telecommunication
Bharti Airtel
Idea Cellular
Tata Communication
Paints
Kansai Nerolac paints
Akzo Nobel India

5.24%
2.33%
1.97%
0.94%
4.41%
0.45%
3.96%

1.01%
1.18%
1.06%
1.19%

Fund Performance VS S&P BSE 100


8.00%

7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
MET FUND

3.00%

S&P BSE 100

2.00%
1.00%

15-Jul-15

13-Jul-15

11-Jul-15

09-Jul-15

07-Jul-15

05-Jul-15

03-Jul-15

01-Jul-15

29-Jun-15

27-Jun-15

25-Jun-15

23-Jun-15

21-Jun-15

19-Jun-15

17-Jun-15

15-Jun-15

13-Jun-15

-1.00%

11-Jun-15

0.00%

Fund Performance VS S&P BSE 100


8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%

MET FUND

3.00%

S&P BSE SENSEX

2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
11-Jun-15 18-Jun-15 25-Jun-15
-1.00%

02-Jul-15

09-Jul-15

Conclusion
Banking companies
ICICI Bank, Yes Bank, Karur Vysya, City Union Bank are fundamentally strong as their
NIM and Casa ratio is increasing and P/E is less which is good from investors point of view.
IndusInd Banks NIM has decreased and P/E is more than Sector P/E but it is a growth pick
and this bank has given good returns in the past.
Technically ICICI is in sideways, Yes Bank is in downtrend, Karur Vysya, City Union Bank,
and IndusInd bank are in uptrend.
NBFC companies
Reliance Capital, India Bulls Housing Finance, Dewan Housing, Cholamandalam investment
and finance, IDFC, L&T Finance Holding, SKS Microfinance are fundamentally strong.
Technically Reliance Capital is in downtrend, Dewan Housing and IDFC are in sideways,
and India Bulls Housing Finance, Cholamandalam investment and finance, L&T Finance
Holding, SKS Microfinance are in uptrend.

WEBLIOGRAPHY
www.india-financing.com/overview-of-the-indian-nbfc-sector.html
www.equitymaster.com/detail.asp?date=9/13/2003&story=5&title=Identifying-an-FIstock-Dos-and-Donts
http://stockshastra.moneyworks4me.com/economic-outlook/indian-banking-industryindian-banks-structure-business-model/
www.equitymaster.com/research-it/sector-info/bank/Banking-Sector-AnalysisReport.asp
http://www.india-financing.com/images/Articles/NBFC_Sector_Report_2014.pdf
www.equitymaster.com/research-it/sector-info/finance/Investment-Finance-SectorAnalysis-Report.asp
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/financeinvestments/ltfinanceholdings/LFH
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/financeinvestments/cholamandalam
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/finance-investments/dewanhousing
www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hedge.asp

http://www.yourarticlelibrary.com/banking/indian-banking-system-structure-andother-details-with-diagrams/23495/
http://www.ibef.org/industry/financial-services-india/showcase

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen