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Thus the ALM functions includes the tools adopted to mitigating liquidly risk,
management of interest rate risk / market risk and trading risk management.
In short, ALM is the sum of the financial risk management of any financial
institution.
Assets
Cash
Investments
Loans & Advances
2.
Why is the performance of this bank at variance with that of the peer
group? This performance could be in respect of costs, business
composition, sectoral distribution, etc.
Is the bank dependent on some unique or local factors for its market
share or advances focus?
between the major items. The income statements bring out the sources of
income and items on which expenditure has been incurred.
3.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.
The standard ratios used for bank financial statement analysis are given
below. A bank can compare these ratios with a peer group norm, or its own
past record, or target ratios, to judge its performance. The ratios are grouped
into various performance categories.
i)
Liquidity Ratios
Govt securities / Total Assets
Govt securities such as Treasury Bills are among the most liquid of assets,
mainly on account of the low level of risk associated with them. Further, these
are short-term securities and there is always a market for them on account of
the SLR requirements that banks and financial institutions have to fulfill.
Market value of Securities / Book value of
Securities
The market value of any security represents the amount that can be realized
by sale of the security. A value higher than 1 suggests that the bank has
greater liquidity than that suggested by the banks financial statements. Banks
are now required to mark to market on a regular basis, i.e. they are
supposed to value their investments in their books at market value, in which
case the book value and market value of securities will not differ greatly and
the value of these ratios will be close to 1.
Short-term loans & other cash credit a/c due in
These are loans and advances that are of short-term duration and are the
most liquid of bank loans and advances. The greater the proportion of these
loans in total advances, the greater will be the banks liquidity position.
These 3 ratios measure the liquidity of the assets of a bank how easily can
the assets be liquidated in case of need. The higher the value of these ratios,
the more liquid is the banks asset position.
Similarly there are ratios that measure the liquidity of a banks liabilities
Liability liquidity
Large Deposits / total liabilities
liabilities
Borrowed funds are usually a sign that a bank does not have adequate
liquidity. Thus a higher ratio is a sign of lower liquidity.
ii)
These ratios measure the level and distribution of earning asset portfolio. The
advances-to-assets ratio indicates the trade-off between earnings and
liquidity. A higher ratio indicates greater earning potential, but lower liquidity.
By studying these ratios one can get considerable insight into the portfolio
strategy of the bank.
iii)
These ratios measure the level and distribution of total operating costs.
The first ratio indicates the expenditure incurred to earn 1 rupee of income. A
higher ratio is clearly undesirable as it indicates that a greater portion of
revenue is absorbed by costs, resulting in lower profitability.
The second ratio reflects upon the ability of management to control costs.
The last ratio shows how much of a banks expenses are accounted for by
interest payments on deposits. A higher ratio here would in a sense be
acceptable, as it would show that most of a banks expenses are on account
of acquisition of funds for the purpose of lending and investment.
v)
Net Interest Margin Ratios measure the rate of return on earning assets and
the sensitivity of return to market yields
vi)
Profitability Ratios
4.
5.
Return on Equity
Return on Assets
Interest Margin/
Average Assets
Equity Multiplier
Non-Interest Margin/
Non-Operating Margin/
Average Assets
Average Assets
Taxes
Average Assets
Interest Margin/
Earning Assets
Spread
6.
Uses
Net Income
Depreciation & other items
Increase in liabilities
Deposits & other liabilities
Decease in assets
Disposal of securities & funds
Total sources of cash reserves
Increase in assets
Interest bearing deposits
Premises & equipment
Decease in liabilities
Securities sold
Funds purchased
Debentures
Dividends
8.
(b)
Asset Quality: One of the indicators for asset quality is the ratio
of non-performing loans to total loans (GNPA). The gross non-performing
loans to gross advances ratio is indicative of the quality of credit decisions
made by bankers. Higher GNPA is indicative of poor credit decisionmaking.
(c)
(e)
(f)
Each of the above six parameters are weighted on a scale of 1 to 100 and
contains number of sub-parameters with individual weightages.
Rating
Symbol
9.
Interpretation
Trend Analysis: Trend analysis shows the level of growth a bank has
achieved on each component of the banks financial statements. Suppose a
bank shows a growth in income of 40% over a 3-year period, but its costs
have increased by 45% over the same period, its profitability is clearly
adversely affected.
PROCESS OF ALM
Improving Bank Balance Sheets
In the above section we have discussed how to analyze and understand the
strengths and weaknesses of a bank based upon an analysis of its balance
sheet. It is, however, more important to now how to improve the balance
sheet. This is possible through ALM.
Experts have identified a 3-stage approach to improving bank balance sheets
through ALM
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Step 1: General
Asset Management
Liability Management
o Capital Mgmt
o Loan Position Mgmt
o Long-term Debt Mgmt
Step 2: Specific
Liquidity Mgmt
Investment Mgmt
Loan Mgmt
Interest Costs
Overhead Costs
Interest earnings
Non-Interest Income
Taxes
2.
3.
4.
Coming to the cost of funds, the higher the ratio of interestbearing funds to average assets, the higher would be the level of expenses
and the lower would be the level of net income. Banks that are heavily
capitalized or have higher volumes of current accounts would have lower
levels of interest expenditure and higher levels of net income.
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5.
6.
7.
8.
TREASURY OPERATIONS
Treasury management or treasury operations includes management of a
bank's investments, i.e. its holdings in and trading in government and
corporate bonds, currencies, financial futures, options and derivatives,
payment systems and the associated financial risk management.
All banks have departments devoted to treasury management, as do larger
corporations.
There are two reasons why treasury operations and treasury management are
important in banks.
First, in the current highly competitive environment, banks are facing
tremendous competition for loans and advances and consequently a
downward pressure on their profits. Management of investments has
therefore come to occupy a prominent position in banks operations.
Second, a banks liabilities are of short-term nature, while its major assets
loans are long-term. This mismatch can be corrected by appropriate
investments, which is what treasury operations is all about.
It is important for banks to have an investment policy. The major objectives of
any banks investment policy are to ensure that investments are managed
well so that
Right amounts of cash resources are available in the right place at the
right time
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5) In the forex market, forex dealings are carried out involving the
conversion of rupees into foreign currencies and vice versa. In addition to
currencies, the other instruments traded in this market include short-term
notes and bills, medium and long-term bonds, forward currencies,
currency derivatives, etc.
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Through ALM banks try to match the assets and liabilities in terms of Maturities and
Interest Rates Sensitivities so as to minimize the interest rate risk and liquidity risk.
Reserve Bank of India issued its first ALM Guidelines in February 1999, which was
made effective from 1 st April 1999. These guidelines covered, inter alia, interest rate
risk and liquidity risk measurement/ reporting framework and prudential limits. Gap
statements were required to be prepared by scheduling all assets and liabilities
according to the stated or anticipated re-pricing date or maturity date. The Assets and
Liabilities at this stage were required to be divided into 8 maturity buckets (1-14 days;
15-28 days; 29-90 days; 91-180 days; 181-365 days, 1-3 years and 3-5 years and
above 5 years), based on the remaining period to their maturity (also called residual
maturity).. All the liability figures were to be considered as outflows while the asset
figures were considered as inflows.
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It was in September, 2007, in response to the international practices and to meet the
need for a sharper assessment of the efficacy of liquidity management and with a view
to providing a stimulus for development of the term-money market, RBI fine tuned
these guidelines and it was provided that the banks may adopt a more granular
approach to measurement of liquidity risk by splitting the first time bucket (1-14 days
at present) in the Statement of Structural Liquidity into three time buckets viz., 1 day
(called next day) , 2-7 days and 8-14 days. Thus, banks were asked to put their
maturing asset and liabilities in 10 time buckets.
Thus as per October 2007 RBI guidelines, banks were advised that the net cumulative
negative mismatches during the next day, 2-7 days, 8-14 days and 15-28 days should
not exceed 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% of the cumulative outflows, respectively, in order
to recognize the cumulative impact on liquidity. Banks were also advised to undertake
dynamic liquidity management and prepare the statement of structural liquidity on a
daily basis. In the absence of a fully networked environment, banks were allowed to
compile the statement on best available data coverage initially but were advised to
make conscious efforts to attain 100 per cent data coverage in a timely manner.
Similarly, the statement of structural liquidity was to be reported to the Reserve
Bank, once a month, as on the third Wednesday of every month. The frequency of
supervisory reporting of the structural liquidity position was increased to fortnightly,
with effect from April 1, 2008. Banks are now required to submit the statement of
structural liquidity as on the first and third Wednesday of every month to the Reserve
Bank.
Boards of the Banks were entrusted with the overall responsibility for the
management of risks and required to decide the risk management policy and set limits
for liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and equity price risks.
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Gap analysis was widely used by financial institutions during late 1990s and early
years of present century in India. The table below gives you idea who does a positive
or negative gap would impact on NII in case there is upward or downward movement
of interest rates:
Gap
Impact on NII
Positive
Increases
Positive
Positive
Decreases
Negative
Negative
Increases
Negative
Negative
Decreases
Positive
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Duration analysis summarises with a single number exposure to parallel shifts in the
term structure of interest rates.
It can be noticed that both gap and duration approaches worked well if assets and
liabilities comprised fixed cash flows. However options such as those embedded in
mortgages or callable debt posed problems that gap analysis could not address.
Duration analysis could address these in theory, but implementing sufficiently
sophisticated duration measures was problematic.
Scenario Analysis :
Under the scenario analysis of ALM several interest rate scenarios are created during
next 5 to 10 years . Such scenarios might specify declining interest rates , rising
interests rates, a gradual decrease in rates followed by sudden rise etc. Different
scenarios may specify the behavior of the entire yield curve, so there could be
scenarios with flattening yield curve, inverted yield curves etc. Ten to twenty
scenarios might be specified to have a holistic view of the scnario analysis. Next
assumptions would be made about the performances of assets and liabilities under
each scenario. Assumptions might include prepayment rates on mortgages and
surrender rates on insurance products. Assumptions may also be made about the firms
performance . Based upon these assumptions the performance of the firms balance
sheet could be projected under each scenario. If projected performance was poor
under specific scenario the ALCO might adjust assets or liabilities to address the
indicated exposure . A short coming of scenario analysis is the fact that it is highly
dependent on the choice of scenario. It also requires that many assumptions be made
about how specific assets or liabilities will perform under specific scenario.
Value at Risk
VaR or Value ar Risk refers to the maximum expected loss that a bank can suffer over
a target horizon, given a certain confidence interval. It enables the calculation of
market risk of a portfolio for which no historical data exists. It enables one to
calculate the net worth of the organization at any particular point of time so that it is
possible to focus on long term risk implications of decisions that have already been
taken or that are going to be taken. It is used extensively for measuring the market
risk of a portfolio of assets and/or liabilities.
Conclusion:
We can conclude to say that ALM is an important tool for monitoring, measuring and
managing the interest rate risk, liquidity risk and foreign currency risk of a bank. With
the deregulation of interest regime in India , the banking industry has been exposed to
interest rate risk / market risk . Hence to manage such risk, ALM needs to be used so
that the management is able to assess the risks and cover some of these by taking
appropriate decisions.
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Definition of ALM:
ALM is defined as, the process of decision making to control risks of existence,
stability and growth of a system through the dynamic balances of its assets and
liabilities.
The text book definition of ALM :
It is a risk management technique designed to earn an adequate return while
maintaining a comfortable surplus of assets beyond liabilities. It takes into
consideration interest rates, earning power and degree of willingness to take on debt.
It is also called surplus- management.
International scenes:
Over the last few years the financial markets worldwide have witnessed wide ranging
changes at fast pace. Intense competition for business involving both the assets and
liabilities, together with increasing volatility in the domestic interest rates as well as
foreign exchange rates, has brought pressure on the management of banks to maintain
a good balance among spreads, profitability and long-term viability.
These pressures call for structured and comprehensive measures and not just ad hoc
action. The Management of banks has to base their business decisions on a dynamic
and integrated risk management system and process, driven by corporate strategy.
Banks are exposed to several major risks in the course of their business credit risk,
interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, equity / commodity price risk, liquidity risk
and operational risks.
The ALM process rests on three pillars:
1) ALM information systems
2) Management Information System
3) Information availability, accuracy, adequacy and expediency
ALM involves identification of Risk parameters, Risk identification, Risk
measurement and Risk management and framing of Risk policies and tolerance levels.
ALM information systems;
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Information is the key to the ALM process. Considering the large network of branches
and the lack of an adequate system to collect information required for ALM which
analyses information on the basis of residual maturity and behavioral pattern it will
take time for banks in the present state to get the requisite information.
Measuring and managing liquidity needs are vital activities of commercial banks. By
assuring a banks ability to meet its liabilities as they become due, liquidity
management can reduce the probability of an adverse situation developing.
The importance of liquidity:
It transcends individual institutions, as liquidity shortfall in one institution can have
repercussions on the entire system. Bank management should measure not only the
liquidity positions of banks on an ongoing basis but also examine how liquidity
requirements are likely to evolve under crisis scenarios.
Experience shows that assets commonly considered as liquid like Government
securities and other money market instruments could also become illiquid when the
market and players are Unidirectional. Therefore liquidity has to be tracked through
maturity or cash flow mismatches.
Various types of risks with assets:
Currency Risk;
Floating exchange rate arrangement has brought in its wake pronounced volatility
adding a new dimension to the risk profile of banks balance sheets. The increased
capital flows across free economies following deregulation have contributed to
increase in the volume of transactions.
Large cross border flows together with the volatility has rendered the banks balance
sheets vulnerable to exchange rate movements.
Dealing in different currencies;
It brings opportunities as also risks. If the liabilities in one currency exceed the level
of assets in the same currency, then the currency mismatch can add value or erode
value depending upon the currency movements. The simplest way to avoid currency
risk is to ensure that mismatches, if any, are reduced to zero or near zero.
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Banks undertake operations in foreign exchange like accepting deposits, making loans
and advances and quoting prices for foreign exchange transactions. Irrespective of the
strategies adopted, it may not
be possible to eliminate currency mismatches altogether. Besides, some of the
institutions may take proprietary trading positions as a conscious business strategy.
Managing Currency Risk is one more dimension of Asset- Liability Management.
Mismatched currency position besides exposing the balance sheet to movements in
exchange rate also exposes it to country risk and settlement risk. Ever since the RBI
(Exchange Control Department) introduced the concept of end of the day near square
position in 1978, banks have been setting up overnight limits and selectively
undertaking active day time trading.
Interest Rate Risk (IRR);
The phased deregulation of interest rates and the operational flexibility given to banks
in pricing most of the assets and liabilities have exposed the banking system to
Interest Rate Risk.
Interest rate risk is the risk where changes in market interest rates might adversely
affect a banks financial condition. Changes in interest rates affect both the current
earnings (earnings perspective) as also the net worth of the bank (economic value
perspective). The risk from the earnings perspective can be measured as changes in
the Net Interest Income (Nil) or Net Interest
Margin (NIM).
Problem with poor Management Information systems;
In the context of poor MIS, slow pace of computerisation in banks and the absence of
total deregulation, the traditional Gap analysis is considered as a suitable method to
measure the Interest Rate Risk. It is the intention of RBI to move over to modern
techniques of Interest Rate Risk measurement like Duration Gap Analysis, Simulation
and Value at Risk at a later date when banks acquire sufficient expertise and
sophistication in MIS.
The Gap or mismatch risk can be measured by calculating Gaps over different time
intervals as at a givendate. Gap analysis measures mismatches between rate sensitive
liabilities and rate sensitive assets(including off-balance sheet positions). An asset or
liability is normally classified as rate sensitive
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if: The Gap Report should be generated by grouping rate sensitive liabilities, assets
and off balance sheet positions into time buckets according to residual maturity or
next reprising period, whichever is earlier. The difficult task in Gap analysis is
determining rate sensitivity. All investments, advances, deposits, borrowings,
purchased funds etc. that mature/reprice within a specified timeframe are interest rate
sensitive. Similarly, any principal repayment of loan is also rate sensitive if the bank
expects to receive it within the time horizon. This includes final principal payment
and interim instalments. Certain assets and liabilities receive/pay rates that vary with a
reference rate. These assets and liabilities are repriced at pre-determined intervals and
are rate sensitive at the time of repricing. While the interest rates on term deposits are
fixed during their currency, the advances portfolio of the banking system is basically
floating. The interest rates on advances could be repriced any number of occasions,
corresponding to the changes in PLR.
Risks in ALM :
It is the risk of having a negative impact on a banks future earnings and on the
market value of its equity due to changes in interest rates. Liquidity Risk: It is the risk
of having insufficient liquid assets to meet the liabilities at a given time.
Forex Risk: It is the risk of having losses in foreign exchange assets and liabilities due
to exchanges in exchange rates among multi-currencies under consideration.
Conclusion; thus ALM is a continuous and day to day matter which has to be
carefully managed and preventive steps taken to mitigate the problems associated
with it. It may cause irreparable damage to the banks in terms of liquidity, profitability
and solvency, if not monitored properly.
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