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Abstract...................................................................................................................... 3
Chapter One................................................................................................................ 3
1.1
INTRODUCTION.........................................................................................3
1.2
PROBLEM STATEMENT.............................................................................4
1
3.5.1 LV:............................................................................................................. 15
3.5.2 TG:............................................................................................................ 15
3.5.3 PR:............................................................................................................ 16
3.5.4 SZ of Firm:................................................................................................16
3.5.5 GR:............................................................................................................ 16
3.5.6 NDTS:........................................................................................................17
3.5.7 LQ:............................................................................................................ 17
3.6 Hypothesis........................................................................................................18
Chapter Four............................................................................................................ 18
4.1 Data Analysis and Interpretation.......................................................................18
4.1.1 Descriptive Analysis....................................................................................18
4.1.2 Correlation Analysis...................................................................................19
4.1.3 Regression Analysis....................................................................................20
4.1.4 ANOVA Analysis.........................................................................................20
4.1.5 Regression Results of Constant Coefficient Model.......................................21
Chapter Five............................................................................................................. 23
5.1 CONCLUSION................................................................................................23
5.2 Limitations and Future Implications.................................................................24
References.................................................................................................................. 25
Abstract
The study was aimed at identifying the determinants that impact the C.S of a firm.
The study utilized the convenient sampling technique and collected data from the
annual reports of the selected companies of automobile sector of Pakistan. Overall,
there were 13 automotive firms listed in a Pakistan Stock Exchange. Among those, 5
automotive firms were selected i.e. Pak Suzuki, Hino Pak, Atlas Honda, Honda Cars,
Indus Motors. Moreover, descriptive analysis, coefficient of correlations, regression
and ANNOVA analysis were carried out to determine the impact of independent
variables i.e. TG, PR, LQ, GR, SZ and NDTSs on the dependent variable i.e. financial
LV of a firm. Overall, six hypothesis were developed, out which four hypothesis were
supported and accepted by the analysed data. However, two hypothesis were rejected.
According to the findings of this research, TG, PR, LQ were found to be negatively
related to the financial LV of a firm. On the contrary, GR of a firm was found to be
positively related to the financial LV of a firm. However, SZ of a firm and NDTSs do
not have a Negative relation(indirectly proportional) with financial LV of a firm.
Chapter One
1.1 INTRODUCTION
C.S has many different meanings according to individual, hence we have several
answers to it when it comes to finance. The C.S is said to be the mixture of both
equity and debt in any form of business. It is believed that it is the duty of a manager
to form a perfect mix of equity and debt by looking on the characteristic which
includes advantages and disadvantages when forming a capital of the firm. It is said
that primary focus of any firm is to maximize the shareholder equity and it can only
be done by making a perfect mix. They play a key role when any financial decision
are taken. There is many factors of country which also effects the decision making
and directly alters the results of C.S like political decision. The focus should be on
potential benefits which a firm can earn by in its own sector or multiple sectors
depending upon their own capacity. In any automobile industry, debt capital is offered
by banks and mutual funds, leasing firms and insurance company. The manger needs
to monitor all the factors in order to make a perfect mix of C.S.
Numerous studies have identified various factors which affects the decision of C.S.
Previous researchers identified the firms SZ, PR and TG as very crucial determinants
of C.S choice (Rajan & Zingales, 1995; Graham & Harvey, 2001; Ahmad et al.,
2011). Whereas there are a number other internal and external factors that influence
the choice of C.S. The research on determinants of C.S in Pakistan was initially
started with the work of Shah& Hijazi, (2004), then developed by Shah& Khan,
(2007). Thereafter, it is further extended by the Hijazi & Tariq, (2006) by conducting
research on the cement industry of Pakistan. Then further work was done by Rafiq,
Iqbal, & Atiq, (2008) by targeting the data on the chemical industry. Then by
Waliullah & Nishat, (2008) and Ahmad et al (2011).This study takes in account to
identify the potential factors affecting the financing decision of the firms in
automobile sector of Pakistan and to evaluate relative impact of these factors on
determining the C.S. Various studies have been conducted on different industries but
no any study has been conducted specifically to Automobile sector of Pakistan. So
this study will fill that gap which will give clear insights regarding factors which are
crucial for determining C.S in automobile sector.
Objectives:
RO1: To determine various factors for determining C.S in automobile sector of
Pakistan?
RQ2: To determine effect of TG on LV for determining C.S?
RQ3: To determine effect of SZ on LV for determining C.S?
RQ4: To determine effect of PR on LV for determining C.S?
RQ5: To determine effect of GR on LV for determining C.S?
RQ6: To determine effect of NDTS on LV for determining C.S?
RQ7: To determine effect of LQ on LV for determining C.S?
1.4 JUSTIFICATION
Basically, this study is aimed at identifying the crucial determinants of C.S in the
automobile industry of Pakistan. After studying the determinants of C.S, the
inferences of this research may assist the finance managers in deciding the best mix of
debt and equity called best possible combination of C.S for the companies functioning
in the automobile industry of Pakistan.
1.5 LIMITATIONS
The variables which have been taken to study the effect of each variable on the LV to
decide about the optimal C.S may not be sufficient enough. There can be many other
factors which can affect the LV level of firm and play crucial part in deciding the best
mix of equity and debt. Further, the study has been conducted in the short time period
of 4 months, therefore, the results obtained from this study cannot be generalized
since the fact that this study in only limited to the automobile industry of Pakistan.
However, the results may vary from country to country.
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1.6 SCOPE
This study has been conducted in Pakistan by collecting and analysing the financial
data of automotive companies of Pakistan for last 10 years, therefore, whatever the
results are obtained can only be generalized within the Pakistan because determinants
of C.S vary greatly from economy to economy. Moreover, the findings of this study
may assist the finance managers in deciding the best mix of equity and debt.
1.7 ASSUMPTION
Prior to this study it has been assumed that economic indicators will remain same.
Moreover, since that fact that companies have been taken from automobile industry of
Pakistan, researchers have assumed the same nature of manufacturing process within
the selected companies.
Chapter Two
2.1 Literature Review
C.S is the core element of any company in the making of suitable concept of
company's C.Ss. Various definitions have been used in the literature related to C.S
.Brealey, Myers, & Marcus (2009, p. 366) describes C.S as the mixture of long-term
debt and equity financing. However, as C.S relates to the way that companies finance
their assets it is not enough only to include LTD and equity in the C.S definition, as
they can just as eagerly issue STD or convertible debt to provide financing. The
choice is fully on discretion related to company preferences, as well as the
characteristics of the asset being financed. Similarly, Welch (2011) challenges the use
of only including financial debt and equity into the C.S measure and advances instead
a measure including total liabilities to T.A.
2.1.1 Concept of Capital Structure
The word C.S can be define as the way firms finance their overall assets that are being
used and/or will be used in current as well future operations by using various sources
of funds. (Yamini Agarwal 2013). The C.S is comprises of debt and equity where debt
is obtained by issuing the bonds or the long term notes payable, while equity is
categorized common stocks, retained earnings and the preferred stocks. However, the
STD, for example, working capital requirements can be considered as the part of the
firms C.S (Harold bieman Jr 2012). According to the Sundaresan, Wang and Yang
(2015), the C.S of any firm is the mixture of common stocks, preferred stocks, LTD
and short debt. A firms ratio of long term and STD is considered widely by the
investors at the time of analyzing the C.S. Wicaksono (2016) asserts that when
analysts discuss the C.S, most of the times they refer to the companys debt-to-equity
ratio, which provides the best insight into the extent up to what the company is risky.
Most often, a firm that has finance its assets more by debt is considered as a firm
having aggressive C.S. Therefore, the firms like this poses the higher risk to its
investors. However, the risk can be considered as the main source of the firms GR
(Eugene F. Brigham, Joel Houston, 2016).
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That study suggests that there are two main theories i.e. static trade off theory and
pecking order theory, which affect the attributes of C.S in two ways, either positively
or negatively. The Financing decision of firms like automobiles, cable firms,
electrical goods and engineering related sectors depends heavily on the tax provision ,
LQ, NDTS, SZ and PR of the firm. Another study by Mohammad A. Qureshi &
Toseef Azid (2006) on the comparison between the financing decision of public sector
and private sector of Pakistan. They proposed that there is large difference of
Governance Structure in both sectors of Pakistan. The public sector has more
privileged access to financing sources, having got favorable tax treatment with less
accountability what so ever as compare to the private sector. Therefore, public sector
is preferring debt more than equity due to its different governance structure.
Furthermore, another study related to cement industry of Pakistan was carried out by
Hina Agha (2015), in which she declares that due to capital intensive nature of the
industry, this industry shows some different features. The study determined the
relationship of the 7 variables i.e. taxability, LQ cost of debt, GR, TG, dividend and
PR with the debt ratio and came up with the conclusion that 3 variables i.e. LQ, PR
and cost of debt have Negative relation(indirectly proportional)ship with debt ratio.
Which means that if LQ, PR and cost of debt increase the debt ratio will decrease. On
the contrary, tax and GR have positive relationship with debt ratio. However, TG and
dividend had no any significant impact on the debt ratio.
Moreover, Ahmed Arif & Bilal Aslam (2014) conducted study in Pakistan by taking
214 non-financial firms of Pakistan. In this study, they used debt ratio as dependent
variable and seven other variables out of which five variables i.e. TG, Dividend
Payout Ratio, Tax, LQ, and NDTSs were analyzed as independent variables. In
addition to above variables, one variable i.e. SZ was taken as control variable and Age
was taken as categorical variable to find out the relationship between the determinants
of C.S. The study came up with a conclusion that six variables i.e. TG, Dividend
Payout Ratio, Tax, LQ, NDTSs and SZ are positively related to debt ratio whereas
remaining four variables are insignificantly related to debt ratio. Consequently, it can
be asserted that determinants of C.S vary from country to country and industry to
industry.
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Another study being done in UAE based companies i.e. financial institutions and
insurance companies excluding banks (Manuel Fernandez, 2012) with a sample of 51
firms came with results that financial LV and PR has Negative relation(indirectly
proportional)ship whereas SZ and financial LV has positive relationship with each
other. Addition to that study also concluded that lower profitable firms in UAE
generally use more debt in C.S and as firms grow bigger they tend to use more debt in
their C.S.
Another study conducted on Australian multinational and domestic corporations
(Shumi Akhtar, 2005) suggests that level of LV doesnt differ significantly between
multinational and domestic corporations. For both type of corporations GR, PR and
SZ are important determinants of LV. For domestic corporations bankruptcy cost are
not significant whereas for multinationals it is. Study conducted on Turkish nonfinancial firms which includes manufacturing, non-manufacturing, small, large listed
and unlisted firms for having accurate picture of C.S choices came to the results that
trade-off theory is better framework than the pecking order. Turkish non-financial
firms appear to trade-off tax benefits of debt against bankruptcy cost in order to attain
optimal C.S. Trade-off theory seems to be successfully in financing decisions of large
private firms not related to manufacturing, when the economic environment is stable
whereas for small public firms in manufacturing sector pecking order theory appears
to be good when the economic environment is relatively unstable.
2.2.4 The relationship between Tangibility and Capital Structure
It has been observed that the companies having higher PR experience the lower debt
ratio, irrespective of how the debt ratio was explained. Moreover, it has also been
observed that the company having more tangible assets is more likely to have the
higher long-term debt ratio but lower total debt ratio. According to the Olakunle &
Oni (2014), the TG of the assets is described by the effect of security (guarantee)
values of the company assets on the level of LV of the firm. The fundamental
argument about the use of the F.A as security (guarantee) for LV (debt) is the greater
insolvency value of tangible assets at the time of bankruptcy . Therefore, while
studying the C.S, the research of Olakunle & Oni (2014) have revealed that TG of the
firm has positive relationship with the C.S of the firm.
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Chapter Three
3.1 Theoretical Framework
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SZ and the NDTSs over the dependent variable i.e. financial LV. Therefore, the IBM
SPSS statistics software (version 20.0) has been used to analyze the data.
3.4 Variables
Overall, the study has incorporated 7 variables. Among those 6 are independent and
the remaining one is dependent variable. The independent variables include TG, LQ,
PR, GR, Company SZ and the NDTSs. However, the financial LV is the only
dependent variable. The following model has been demonstrated below.
LVG=0+1(PRF)+2(SZ)+3(TGB)+4(GR)+5(NDTS)+6(LQD)+
Where:
0=constant co-efficient
1- 6= coefficients for variables
PRF= PR
SZ= SZ
TGB= TG
GR= GR
NDTS= NDTS
LQD= LQ
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3.6 Hypothesis
H1: TG has a negative impact on financial LV.
H2: PR has a negative impact on financial LV.
H3: SZ of the firm has a negative impact on financial LV.
H4: GR of the firm has a negative impact on financial LV.
H5: NDTS has a negative impact on financial LV.
H6: LQ has a negative impact on financial LV.
Chapter Four
4.1 Data Analysis and Interpretation
4.1.1 Descriptive Analysis
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sector of Pakistan is 16.33 times which can reach maximum at 17.74 times and
minimum at 15.24 times with the possible deviation of 0.60458 times from its mean.
Likewise, the average GR of automobile firms has been found as 12.22% with
maximum level of 86% and minimum level of -34% and can be deviated by 28.95%
from its mean. In addition to from the figures of above mentioned table it can be
determined that companies are having 3.65% of NDTS with the maximum level of
8.4% to the minimum value of .24% and can be deviated by 1.8% from its mean.
Lastly, the average LQ of automobile firms has been found as 1.71 times with the
maximum value of 4.44 times to minimum value of .06 and that can be deviated by .
875 from its mean (Refer Table 1).
4.1.2 Correlation Analysis
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depicts that TG has positive correlation with the financial LV of a firm with
correlation value of 0.302 and thus, disagrees with the pecking order theory. Similarly,
GR also shows positive correlation with LV and its value of coefficient of correlation
is .090. Likewise, LQ of a firm has proved to have negative correlation with LV with
the value of coefficient of correlation as -0.464. In last, NDTS also had a positive
correlation with LV with a coefficient value of correlation as 0.436 and hence, rejects
the pecking order theory.
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Table-4 represents the test results of ANOVA, which explains that whether the model
as a whole is significantly better at predicting the outcome than using the mean as a
best predictor. From the data it can be demonstrated that the P-value of 0.000 is less
than the alpha level of 0.05, which provides an enough evidence to conclude that this
analysis is significant.
4.1.5 Regression Results of Constant Coefficient Model
From the above table, following regression equation has been developed;
LV= -3.881 -.343(PRO) +.071(SIZ) -.103(TANG) +.065(GRO) +.354(NDTS) 0.332(LIQ)
Regression analysis is used to determine the relationship between the firm-level
variables and LV. Table- 5 shows the correlation coefficients estimates, which
describes the relationship between the independent variables and dependent variables
along with the impact of independent variable over independent variable. From the
above table, it can be noted that Beta coefficient of TG is -0.103, which shows that
TG is negatively associated with the LV. The P-value of .594 which is greater than
0.05 shows that the relationship between both the variables is insignificant. Therefore,
it can be concluded that this finding is in contrast with the previous study of Olakunle
& Oni (2014). Moreover, the beta coefficient shows that one unit increase in TG of
F.A will decrease the level of LV by .103. Hence, this Negative relation(indirectly
proportional)ship between both variables provides an enough evidence to accept the
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alternate hypothesis 1 which is also consistent with the pecking order theory, and
shows that firms with more TG use less LV.
Additionally, the beta coefficient of PR is -0.343 which shows that PR is negatively
associated with the LV which is also in line with pecking order theory. Moreover, the
P-value of PR is .010 which is less than 0.05. Therefore, it can be illustrated that there
is significant relationship between both the variables. The Negative relation(indirectly
proportional)ship shows that one unit increase in PR will decrease the LV by .343.
Hence, there is strong evidence to accept the alternate hypothesis 2, which is in line
with the previous research of Shubita & Alsawalhah (2012). Consequently, findings
suggest that profitable Automobile firms in Pakistan prefer to finance new
investments using internal source of financing like retained earnings, surplus etc.
instead of debt.
Further, the beta coefficient of Firm SZ is .071 which shows that firm SZ is positively
associated with LV. However, the P-value is noticed as .671 which is greater than
0.05, therefore, it can be asserted that there is insignificant relation between both the
variables. The positive relation between these variables depicts that one unit increase
in firms SZ will increase the LV by .071. Based on this result, the alternate
hypothesis 3 cannot be accepted and which is inconsistent with pecking order theory.
In addition, this finding is contrary to the results of previous study of Harc (2015).
Thus, it can be explained that the firms with large SZ use more LV in their C.S.
Furthermore, the relationship between LV and GR is found to be positive and
insignificant with the beta coefficient value of .065 and the P-value of .623 which is
greater than 0.05, which indicates that one unit increase in firms GR will increase the
LV by .065. The positive relationship between GR and LV provides an enough
evidence to accept the alternate hypothesis 4, which is found to be in contrast to the
findings of Arasteh, Nourbakhsh & Pourali (2013). However, this result shows that
growing Automobile companies in Pakistan rely more on LV.
The NDTSs (NDTS) are positively associated with the LV having a coefficient value
of .354 significant with the P-Value as .039. The beta coefficient shows that one unit
increase in NDTS will increase the LV by .354. Thus, based on these findings the
alternate hypothesis 5 cannot be accepted and which is also inconsistent with the
pecking order theory and previous research finding of Gao (2016). The discussed
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relationship between NDTS and LV indicates that Automobile firms with high level
tax Shield will tend to use high debt instead of internal financing.
In last, LQ has found to be negatively related to LV with coefficient value of -.332
and is significant with P-value of .036. The beta coefficient value shows that one unit
increase in LQ will decrease LV by .332. Such relationship between LQ and LV
provides a strong evidence to accept the alternate hypothesis 6 which also supports
the pecking order theory. Moreover, these findings are found to be in line with
previous research findings of Sarlija & Harc (2012). Such relationship between LQ
and LV depicts that Automobile firms of Pakistan having more LQ will tend to opt
less debt financing in their C.S.
Chapter Five
5.1 CONCLUSION
In this study the main objective was to determine the factors that leads to changes in
C.S of an Automobile sector of Pakistan. Being a primary objective of any company
to maximize shareholders wealth, top management of every company is very much
worried about capital mixture of debt and financing which can reap maximum
benefits for the company. In simple words each and every Board and top level
management wants to have optimal C.S which would be beneficial for company.
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In order to find out such determinants which determines the C.S, we have taken five
companies from Automobile industry of Pakistan (Hino Pak, Indus Motors, PakSuzuki Motors, Atlas Honda, Honda Cars) and Ten years data of each company has
been taken i.e. from 2006 to 2015. To extract out the data for six variables i.e. TG,
PR, SZ, GR, NDTS and LQ, the annual reports of each company have been reviewed.
Furthermore descriptive analysis, correlation and ordinary least square regression
were the tools of statistics used in this study to find the results.
From the results obtained it can be concluded that out of six hypothesis two
hypothesis were rejected whereas four of them were accepted. Four hypothesis related
to TG, PR, GR and LQ were accepted whereas remaining two hypothesis related to
SZ and NDTS have been rejected. The findings of this study may vary from previous
researches. The main reason behind this variation can be socio-economic factors that
may affect the companies decision of financing. Moreover, in Pakistan perspective,
political networks of company owners also play an important role in raising the funds.
These type of networks help the company owners to have an easy access to credit
market which results in greater level of debt.
From the findings of this research it can be concluded that most often, automobile
firms of Pakistan follows pecking order theory for their financing decision. Out of six
variables only three variables (PR, NDTS and LQ) were found to be significant
whereas the remaining variables i.e. TG, SZ and GR were found to be insignificant,
which depicts that these variables do not play any significant role in the determination
of LV in Automobile industry of Pakistan.
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the financial LV of a firm. Furthermore, this study has been conducted in a short time
period of just 4 months. Although, this type of study requires sufficient time to obtain
the fair and justifiable results. Therefore, future research can be conducted by taking
variables other than those used in this study and with an enough time period to
achieve insights and better understandings of the variables that impact the financial
LV of a firm and help companies decide to decide the best mix of equity and debt.
Additionally, this study was purely based on the automotive companies of Pakistan
that were listed in Pakistan stock exchange. In future, the research can be carried out
by taking other sectors like cement industry, FMCG, Oil industry etc. in order to
know how variables other than those used in this research really impacts the C.S.