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Company Background
Organized in 1919 as a manufacturer of heavy machinery and equipment
A leading producer of engines and massive compressors in mid-1950s
Heavy dependence on sales to the gas and oil industries
Financial strength is attractive
Acquisition made by Cooper Ind. Inc
Between 1959 and 1966 it acquired
(1)A supplier of portable industrial power tools
(2)A manufacturer of small industrial air and process compressors
(3)A maker of small pumps and compressors for oil field operations and
(4)A producer of tire-changing tools for the automotive market
In 1969
The Crescent Niagara Corporation( It has high quality wrenches, pliers, and screwdrivers
Acquisition Strategy in 1966
Cooper played a major role in any acquisition
The industry should be fairly stable, with a broad market for the products and a product
line of largely small-ticket items
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H.K.Porter Company
A conglomerate with wide ranging interests in electrical equipment, tools, nonferrous
metals, and rubber products
It had acquired 44000 shares of Nicholson in 1967
Porter offer $ 42 per share in cash for 437000(out of 584000) to Nicholson
Porter offer $ 50 per share in cash for 177000(out of 584000) to Cooper
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VLN
VLN was broadly diversified company with major- interests in original placement
automotive equipment and in publishing
Under the VLN merger term one share of VLN new cumulative convertible preferred
stock would be exchanged for each share of Nicholson
Preferred dividend $1.60
Critical issues for making merger between VLN & Nicholson
1. The exchange would be a tax free transaction
2. $1.60 preferred dividend equaled the rate then on the Nicolson Common Stock
3. A preferred share was worth a minimum $53.10
1. If you were Mr. Cizik of Cooper Industries, Inc., would you try to gain control of
Nicholson File Company in May 1972?
Mr.Cizik could try to gain control of Nicholson in May 1972 due to their opportunities
Potential profits from every market segments
Cost of goods sold could be reduced from 69% to 65%
Selling, general and administrative expenses from 22% to 19% due to the elimination of
sales and advertising duplications
Currently, Sales were made to industrial market and consumer market same
proportionately (50:50) which can be offset through Nicholsons sales ratios (75:25) in
this market
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2. What is the maximum price that Cooper can afford to pay for Nicholson and still
keep the acquisition attractive from the standpoint of Cooper?
The maximum price that Cooper would be able to pay Nicholson, in the form of cash or
common stock, would depend on the intrinsic value of Nicholson, based on which, Cooper
can make the decision to acquire Nicholson. If the synergistic value of acquisition for Cooper
exceeds the premium that Cooper has to pay to Nicholson, only then they can go for the
merger. Otherwise, Cooper needs to forecast the long term future of Nicholsons performance
to predict the prospect of their merger.
Synergy is the value that the two firms gain after the merger i.e. the difference between the
summation of value of the two firms before the merger and the combined value of the two
firm in the form of surviving firm after the merger.
If we can derive the market value of Nicholson, then this would be the maximum value that
Cooper could afford to pay, because if Cooper pays more than that value, then Coopers
shareholders would not be better off from the merger.
Therefore, in order to estimate the value of Nicholson, we used the free cash flow method to
valuating the firm and also consequently to determine their value of each share of stock.
The data given for Nicholson in the case is for the year of 1967 to 1971 in Income Statement
and the Balance Sheet is given only for the year 1971. We estimated the free cash flow of
Nicholson based on forecasting from 1972 till 1976, including considering their survival of
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business forever.
During estimating the free cash flow from Nicholson after the merger, the necessary changes
due to the synergistic effect has been incorporated in the assumptions.
We are providing here the breakdown of our assumptions along with calculation to determine
the cash flow to Cooper and thereafter the value of Nicholson.
Particulars
Assumptions
Net Sales
1972
57.2
1973
1974
59.1
62.7
Particulars
2
Gross Profit
Selling &
Administrative
Expenses
Depreciation
Interest Expense
5
6
Other deductions
Income before
Taxes
1975
66.4
1976
70.4
Assumptions
Goes down to 65% from
69%
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
37.2
20.0
38.4
20.7
40.7
21.9
43.2
23.2
45.8
24.6
10.9
2.1
11.2
2.1
11.9
2.1
12.6
2.1
13.4
2.1
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
6.8
7.2
7.7
8.3
9.0
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.6
9
10
Taxes
Net Taxes
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Net Income
2.5
4.1
2.7
4.3
2.9
4.6
3.1
5.0
3.3
5.4
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Add back:
Depreciation
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
at 40%
After adjusting for i)
investment tax credit and
ii) income of equity in net
income of partially owned
foreign companies.
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Cash Flow
14
Less: Retention
needed for growth
To finance asset
replacement and growth;
assumed 20% retention of
cash inflow
6.2
6.4
6.7
7.1
7.5
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
Notes:
i) Interest Expense:
Since we are calculating the free cash flow from Nicholson, we ignored the interest expense
in calculating Income before tax (EBT) (which would be actually the Earnings before Interest
& Tax, EBIT) and we considered the cost of debt during discounting the cash flow to get the
present value of the cash flow.
ii) Retention needed for growth:
Some of the cash flow generated from Nicholson is need to be retained back in the company
if in case they need fund to finance replacements of assets. The fund could be used for cooper
to pay dividend on their stock and for redeployment within the firm. The particular fund is
basically require to retain considering the growth of the company. We assumed 20% of cash
flow to be retained for the above purpose.
Particulars
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Working Capital:
Accounts Receivables
Inventories
Assumptions
Using the Constant
Growth Model:
g=2.00%
conservatively,
Discount
rate=9.16%;
Nicholson's Cash
Flow is expected to
grow @ 2.00% after
1976
Accounts
Receivables to
sales ratio in 1971
Inventories to sales
ratio in 1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
85.3
8.3
8.6
9.1
9.6
10.2
18.6
19.2
20.4
21.6
22.9
Accounts Payable
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18
19
Accounts Payable
to sales ratio in
1971
2.1
2.1
2.3
2.4
2.5
0.3
0.6
0.3
0.6
0.5
1.2
0.5
1.2
0.6
1.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.9
1.0
1.8
1.9
2.0
16.5
17.1
18.1
19.2
20.4
Change in Capital
Expenditure
0.5
0.6
1.0
1.1
1.2
3.5
3.6
2.6
2.7
88.1
This is the cash flow to Cooper from Nicholson after the merger.
Notes:
iii) Terminal Value:
Considering that after 1976, Nicholson will operate forever after getting merge with Cooper,
and grow at constant rate. In this case, our conservative assumption is 2.00% of growth rate
keeping in view their present performance.
Now, in order to find the appropriate discount rate, we determine the Weighted Average Cost
of Capital.
2) Calculation of Cost of Capital / discounting rate:
a
Cost of Debt:
Long Term Debt (as on 31-Dec-1971)
Calculation
$ 12 Million
$ 0.8 Million
6.67%
Cost of Debt is calculated assuming no new debt has been availed by the company.
B
Cost of Equity:
market price per share (average that of
1971)
p
Dividend per share = D1
d
Growth rate (industry rate)
g
Cost of Equity
ke = (d/p)+g
$ 27.5
$ 1.6
6.00%
11.82%
The cost of equity has been determining based on the Constant Growth Model.
Nicholson has been paying fixed dividend of $1.6 over the years. We assumed that the cash flow
in the form of dividend would be $1.6 which we consider D*(1+g) = D1 = $1.6. The dividend is
expected to grow at 6% in align with the industry =growth rate if Nicholson can achieve this
growth rate after receiving the synergistic effect during the post merger period.
c
Weight of Debt
Weight of Equity
Tax Rate
WACC
wd
we
t
wd*kd*(1-t)+we*ke
0.34
0.66
40%
9.16%
1971
66.9
12.0
54.9
1972
3.5
1973
3.6
Forecasted
1974
1975
2.6
2.7
1976
88.1
93.99
This implies that, if Cooper has to pay more than $66.90 million to Nicholson, then the
shareholders of Cooper will loose. On the other hand, if Cooper can pay less than this value,
their shareholders will gain.
Now, if we consider the no. of shares of Nicholson to be 584,000 and the market price of
share of stock to be $44, then the total market value of Nicholson appears to be $25.69
million. Now, if the shareholders of Nicholson receive more than this value from Cooper for
acquisition, then they will be better off.
The gap between the market value of $25.96 million and $66.90 million is the Bargaining
Range which equals to the synergy.
3. What are the concerns and what is the bargaining position of each group of
Nicholson stockholders? What must Cooper offer each group in order to acquire its
shares?
The different stockholders of Nicholson offered different offer in different form. Their
bargaining position is as below:
H. K. Porter Companys Offer:
On March 03, 1972, Porter tendered 437,000 out of 584,000 shares of Nicholson at $42 per
share in cash, reflecting $12 premium over the most recent price of stock of Nicholson.
Moreover, Porter would support the merger between Cooper and Nicholson if they receive
Coopers convertible securities in a tax free exchange worth at least $50 for each share of
Nicholson
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Cooper would be able to acquire majority of the outstanding shares of Nicholson. Now, since
the market value of Nicholson as derived from the calculation is quite high than any other
offer made in the market, Cooper can just offer $50 to these shareholders keeping in mind the
offer made by Porter that supports the Cooper-Nicholson merger.
Over valuation: If the acquiring companys stock is overvalued, then using shares of
stock is less costly than using cash.
ii)
Taxes: Acquisition by cash is a taxable transaction whereas that with stock is tax free.
iii)
Sharing Gains: Using stock for acquisition can help the shareholders of the acquiring
company to gain as well as to incur loss depending on the companys performance.
On the other hand, acquisition with cash lead the shareholders to get fixed price.
In order to acquire the 80% of shares of Nicholson, Cooper do not need to offer VLN
considering the factors pointed out by Porter. Therefore, to attract the speculators and the
shareholders of shares unaccounted for, Cooper can offer a price that satisfies these shareholders
along with the management of Nicholson. Cooper also need top consider the offer made by the
Porter of $50 per hare of stock.
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Assumption:
If Cooper offer price of
Particulars
Present Earnings
$50
Before Merger as on 1972
Cooper
Nicholson
$5,600,000
Exchange
ratio
$1,350,000
After
Merger
Cooper
$6,950,000
0.88
Shares Outstanding
Earnings per Share
Price per Share
Price/Earnings Ratio
4,218,691
$1.12
$28
$25
584,000
$2.32
$44
$12
4,732,611
$1.47
5. What should Mr. Cizik recommend that the Cooper management do?
From our calculation based on free cash flow method, the estimated value of each share of
Nicholson came to be $114.53. It obviously exceeds any offer made in the market to acquire the
Nicholsons shareholder. Since valuation has been determined considering the synergistic effect
along with several conservative assumptions, though which the value came to be quite higher, it
implies that if Nicholsons business survive in the form of merging with Cooper from 1976
afterwards, the market value of Nicholson is undervalued and the acquisition of their shares
should benefit the shareholders of Cooper for taking the decision to get merge with Nicholson.
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