HOW WELL IS WISCONSIN

PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,
CAREERS AND LIFE
Why College- and Career-Ready
Expectations for All?

A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good

job requires some education beyond high school – such as an
associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion of
an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

Currently, far too many students drop out or graduate from high
school without the knowledge and skills required for success,
closing doors and limiting their post-high school options and
opportunities.

The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to align
K-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-
class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

2
A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NO
LONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS
The changing economy is accelerating the
expectations gap, as careers increasingly require
some education/training beyond high school,
and more developed knowledge and skills.
Jobs in Today’s Workforce Require More
Education & Training

Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers, Standards for What? The Economic
4
Roots of K–16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

High-skill jobs
Occupations in the professional/ technical and managerial categories.
Often require four-year degrees and above

Middle-skill jobs
Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,
production, and transportation/material moving.

Low-skill jobs
Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

Often require some education and training beyond high school (but
typically less than a bachelor’s degree), including associate’s degrees,
vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings
5
Institution, February 2009.
Employment Shares by Occupational Skill
Level, 2006

Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings
6
Institution, February 2009.
 Demand for Middle-Skill Workers Outpaces
Wisconsin’s Supply

 In 1950, 60% of jobs were classified as unskilled, attainable by young

people with high school diplomas or less. Today, less than 20% of jobs
are considered to be unskilled.

 One result: In Wisconsin, the demand for middle- and high-skilled

workers is outpacing the state’s supply of workers educated and
experienced at that level.

80% of Wisconsin’s jobs are middle- or high-skill (jobs that require some
postsecondary education or training).
Yet only 38% of Wisconsin adults have some postsecondary degree
(associate’s or higher).

Sources: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna Desrochers (2003). “Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K-12 Reform,” Education
Testing Services. http://www.learndoearn.org/For-Educators/Standards-for-What.pdf; Skills to Compete. http://www.skills2compete.org; 7
Measuring Up (2008), “The National Report Card on Higher Education. “ http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

Wisconsin should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow, not

the jobs of yesterday – or even today.
A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the
Census Bureau’s occupation codes in 1967.
Given the growth of new job sectors – most notably “green jobs” – it is
common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that keeps
all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

Source: Milano, Jessica, Bruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A Matter of Degrees:
Tomorrow’s Fastest Growing Jobs and Why Community College Graduates Will Get Them. The 8
New Democratic Leadership Council
 Wisconsin’s Middle-Skill Jobs

% By Education Level Number of Total Jobs

Median
(ages 25-44), 2007 (in thousands)
Occupation Income
(2007)
High School Some College 2006 2016 % Change
Computer Support
$40,400 13% 44% 9.0 10.0 11%
Specialists
Electrical & Electronic
Engineering $46,700 27% 54% 3.6 3.7 3%
Technicians
Radiologic
Technicians & $50,700 7% 68% 4.6 5.6 22%
Technologists
First-line Supervisors
/ Managers of $62,000 60% 30% 10.3 11.2 8%
Construction Trades

Civil Engineering
$44,400 27% 54% 1.8 1.9 6%
Technicians

Registered Nurses $58,700 1% 43% 51.1 65.0 27%

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Career One Stop. http://www.careerinfonet.org 9

America’s International Edge is Slipping

0 10 20 30 40 50 60
% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported) 10

America’s International Edge is Slipping

% of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2006)
55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 ALL (25-64)
1 U.S. (38%) Canada (43%) Canada (51%) Canada (55%) Canada (47%)
2 Canada (37%) U.S. (40%) Japan (46%) Japan (54%) Japan (40%)
3 N.Z. (30%) Japan (39%) Finland (41%) Korea (53%) U.S. (39%)
4 Denmark (28%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (41%) N.Z. (44%) N.Z. (38%)
5 Finland (27%) Finland (34%) N.Z. (39%) Ireland (42%) Finland (35%)
6 Australia (26%) Denmark (33%) Korea (37%) Belgium (42%) Denmark (35%)
7 Sweden (25%) Australia (32%) Denmark (36%) Norway (42%) Australia (33%)
8 Norway (25%) Norway (30%) Belgium (35%) France (41%) Korea (33%)
9 Neth. (25%) Neth. (30%) Norway (35%) Denmark (41%) Norway (33%)
10 U.K. (24%) Switz. (29%) Iceland (34%) U.S. (39%) Belgium (32%)
11 Switz. (24%) Iceland (29%) Australia (33%) Spain (39%) Ireland (31%)
12 Japan (23%) U.K. (29%) Switz. (33%) Sweden (39%) Sweden (31%)
13 Germany (23%) Sweden (29%) Ireland (33%) Australia (39%) U.K. (30%)

14 Belgium (22%) Belgium (27%) Spain (31%) Finland (38%) Neth. (30%)
15 Iceland (21%) Germany (25%) U.K. (31%) U.K. (37%) Switz. (30%)
Wisconsin (36%) WI (40%) WI (39%) WI (38%)

Source: OECD Education at a Glance, 2007; National Center for Higher Education Management
11
Systems analysis of 2007 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org
FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP
OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH
SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REAL
WORLD CHALLENGES
 Of Every 100 9th Graders in Wisconsin…

100
100 81
90
80
70 50
60
50 36
40 26
30
20
10
0
9th Graders Graduate Enroll in Still Enrolled Earn a
High School College In Sophomore College
in 4 Years the Fall Year Degree

Source: NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis. Student Pipeline - Transition and
Completion Rates from 9th Grade to College. 13
www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=119&year=2006&level=nation&mode=data&state=0
Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade
Achievement Over Time

% at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

8th Grade Math 1992 2009

Wisconsin 27% 39%

U.S. 21% 32%

8th Grade Reading 1998 2009

Wisconsin 33% 34%

U.S. 33% 30%

8th Grade Science 1996 2005

Wisconsin 39% 39%

U.S. 29% 29%

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from

14
www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/
And Gaps Persist: Wisconsin’s 8th Grade
Achievement Gap

% at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

8th Grade Math 8th Grade 8th Grade Science

Subgroup
(2009) Reading (2009) (2005)
All Students 39% 34% 23%

White 45% 39% 24%

Black 11% 9% 11%

Hispanic 20% 15% n/a

Asian 40% 34% n/a

Native American n/a n/a n/a

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from

15
www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/
Graduation Rates Remain Inequitable

79% 90%
86% 78%
82% 76% 80%
69% 50%
55% 54% 70%
51% 54% 60%
49% 50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Asian American
Black Hispanic Indian
White
All

Source: Education Week, Education Counts. Developed through the Custom Table Builder,
16
http://www.edweek.org/rc/2007/06/07/edcounts.html
America’s International Edge is Slipping

Wisconsin
U.S.
Korea
Norway
Japan
Canada
Israel
Denmark
Germany
Netherlands
Ireland
U.K.
Iceland

0 20 40 60 80 100
% Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported) 17

Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal
College Readiness

Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year

institutions requiring remediation

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting

18
Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.
Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More
Likely to Require Remediation

42%
45%
34% 40%
35%
23% 24% 30%
19%
25%
20%
15%
13% 8% 6% 10%
5%
0%
Reading, Writing
Reading
Writing or Math
Math

2-Year Colleges 4-Year Colleges

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting

19
Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.
Most U.S. College Students Who Take
Remedial Courses Fail to Earn Degrees

Percentage earning degree by type of remedial coursework

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2004:
20
% of 1992 12th graders who entered postsecondary education.
How Many College Students Return Their
Sophomore Year – and Go On To Earn
Degrees?

76%
78%
56% 80%
53% 58% 70%
53% 60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Completion (4-Year)
Persistence (4-Year)
Persistence (2-Year)

Source: Measuring Up (2008). The National Report Card on Higher Education.

http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics 21
(2003), Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000.
Many College Students in Wisconsin
Fail to Earn a Degree

Percent of students earning a bachelors’

degree within six years, 2006

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, analyzed by National Center for Management of
22
Higher Education Systems.
 The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken
Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work …

Would have taken

more challenging
courses in at least
one area

Math

Science

English

Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. (2005) Rising to the
Challenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work? Washington, DC: 23
Achieve.
A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT
HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL
OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS –
AND KEEP THEM OPEN
Personal Benefits of Education in Wisconsin

While there may be jobs available to high school drop outs and
graduates, they often pay less and offer less security than jobs
held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

The link between educational attainment and gainful employment

is clear:

More education is associated with higher

earnings and higher rates of employment.

25
Personal Benefits of Education in Wisconsin

UNEMPLOYMENT LEVEL OF MEAN

RATE EDUCATION INCOME
5% TOTAL $41,701

11% HS Dropout $13,439

5% HS Graduate $31,946

5% Some College $36,049

2% Bachelor’s & Above $66,513

Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2008). “Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic
26
Supplement.” Figures are based on total person within the civilian labor force
The Importance of Rigorous Course-Taking
in Closing Gaps

Students who take challenging courses and meet high standards are
much more likely to enter college ready to succeed.

87% of first-generation college-going students – who took a highly rigorous

course of study in high school – persisted in college or earned a degree after
18 months.
Only 55% of first-generation students who took just a general curriculum
persisted that long.

High school students who take advanced math double their chances of
earning a postsecondary degree:

59% of low-income students who took advanced math in high school earned
a bachelor’s degree.
36% of low-income students who did not complete the rigorous high school
course of study earned a bachelor’s degree.

Source: Horn, L. and A.M. Nuñez (2000). Mapping the Road to College: First-generation Students' Math Track,
Planning Strategies, and Context of Support. U.S. Department of Education.
27
http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2001/2001153.pdf; Adelman, C. (2006). The Toolbox Revisited: Paths to Degree Completion
8th Graders Taking Algebra I

Source: Measuring Up, 2008:NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)

28
2003, 2005 Mathematics Assessments.
Students Participating in Advanced
Placement

Percent of all 11th/12th Graders

Participating in Advanced
Placement (2008)

Source: College Board, “National Summary Reports, 2008.”

29
http://www.collegeboard.com/student/testing/ap/exgrd_sum/2008.html
Wisconsin’s Students Taking College
Admissions Exams

2009 Wisconsin U.S.

Participation in ACT 67% 45%

Average ACT Score 22.3 21.1

Participation in SAT 5% 46%

Average SAT Score 1784 1509

Source: ACT (2009), ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html; College Board,

Mean SAT Critical Reading, Mathematics and Writing Scores by State.
30
http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/cbs-2009-Table-3_Mean-SAT-CR-MATH-and-Writing-
THE SOLUTION:
STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE
THE EXPECTATIONS GAP
All students deserve a world-class education that
prepares them for college, careers and life.
The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

Align high school standards with the demands of college

and careers.

Require students to take a college- and career-ready

curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

Build college-and career-ready measures into statewide

high school assessment systems.

Develop reporting and accountability systems that

promote college and career readiness.

32
Wisconsin’s Commitment to Closing the
Expectations Gap

Wisconsin’s longitudinal data system satisfies seven out

of the Data Quality Campaign’s ten essential elements

33
HOW WELL IS WISCONSIN
PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,
CAREERS AND LIFE