Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Consulting Casebook
Table of Contents
LEVEL I p.2
LEVEL II p.27
VireTire p.28
Le Seine p.30
Super Pens p. 37
H Hotel p.128
S Software p.49
CanadaCo p.151
Giant Bank p.156
H Health p.52
Acme Packaging p.164
Maine Apples p.55
PCB Manufacturer p.171
Orrington Office Supp p.63
FormCo p. 76
Food Wholesaling p.80
GOTONet p.90
HBS as a Business p.102
Magna Health p. 104
Syzygy Supercomputers
p.175
LEVEL I
Retail Bank - profit
Coffee Shop - profit
Travel Agency profit
Butcher Shop - market sizing
Car Tires market sizing
Juice Producer - conceptual
Chemical Manufacturer - conceptual
Beer Brew conceptual
Wheeler Dealer conceptual
Fast Food Chain math-heavy
Automobile Producer strategy
3
Case 7: Coffee Shop
Bain, 1st Round
The Problem
A friend asked me if I wanted to buy his coffee shop for $100,000. Do you think I should
do it?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Share this information in each bullet
only if the candidate asks for it in a clear and deliberate way.
Location: The coffee shop is in Vail, Colorado
Products/Prices:
Cup of coffee, $4.00
Bottled Water, $2.00
Pastries, $3.00
Variable Cost:
All products have a 50% margin
Customers:
The shop serves mostly locals, not tourists, so demand is consistent throughout the year
Other Costs:
Rent was $500 per month
Wages (for 2 employees) were $8.00 per hour.
The shop is open 12 hours a day, six days a week
Tell the candidate that he can assume that the coffee shop will bring in consistent profits.
Analysis
This is a valuation question. So to get the value of the coffee shop we need first to get the
profitability.
Revenues
Estimate market size.
Assume that the coffee shop gets 10 customers per hour in slow hour and 20 customers
per hour in a busy hour. The first and last 2 hours of the day are busy hours. So the coffee
shop gets 20x4 + 10x8 = 160 customers/day.
If we assume all the hours as busy hours on Saturday, then we have 20x12=240 hours on
Saturday.
Number of customers / week = 160 x 5 + 240 x 1 = 1040
Number of customers / year = 1040 x 50 = 50,200
Assume 60% of customers order coffee, 30% order pastry, and 10% order a bottle of
water, then the spend is:
50,000 x 60% x 4 + 50,000 x 30% x 3 + 50,000 x 10% x 2 = $175,000
Fixed Costs
Rent = 500 x 12 = $6,000
Wages = $8 x 12 x 6 x 50 = $30,000
We can also make assumptions about utilities and insurance.
Profits
Profits = 175,000 x 50% - 36,000 = $52,500
Assume a 40% tax rate:
Profits after tax = 52,500 x (1-40%) = $31,500
Valuation
If we assume that the coffee shop is in operation for 5 years and we use a 10% WACC,
then its value would be:
Value = 31,500 + 31,500/ 1.1 + 31,500/1.1^2 + 31,500/1.1^3 + 31,500/1.1^4 = $131,000
Conclusion
As long as the sales would be consistent for the rest of the 5 years, it would be profitable
to buy the coffee shop. Further analysis could be done on the management experience
and the competition to ensure that sales would be consistent.
5
Case 6: Retail Bank
Accenture, 2nd Round
The Problem
Our client is the private division of a retail bank that has 100,000 clients, $500,000,000 in
revenues, and $150,000,000 in net income. Our clients goal is to double the revenues
and profits of the business in 5 years. Assess the feasibility of the goal. Prioritize the two
or three most important steps they should take in their action plan.
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Share this information in each bullet
only if the candidate asks for it in a clear and deliberate way.
Pricing: they make their revenues from interest and fees
Costs: transaction costs, salaries. The nature of the sale is one-on-one pitch between the
bank sales person and the customer. So the salary cost and the transaction costs tend to be
high.
Geography: They have a large presence in the North East and a moderate presence in the
South East
Products: They have 4 product lines, with the following ranks in revenue and profit
generation:
Private banking:
o deposits
o loans
Investment management:
o brokerage
o advice
o access
Trust:
o State planning and trust
o Transferred death
Insurance:
Revenues
1
Profits
1
Number of Customers
6
Ultra High:
High Net:
Affluent:
Mass Affluent:
Mass:
$10M+
$1M-$10M
$0.5M-$1M
$100,000-$500,000
$0-$100,000
5%
10%
20%
25%
40%
The Ultra High, High Net, and Affluent segments generate 60-70% of the revenues, while
the Mass Affluent and Mass segments generate 30-40% of the revenues.
Analysis
At this point the candidate should start analyzing the numbers to make fact based
recommendations.
Buyer selection: Since transaction costs tend to be the same for the different customer
segments, it makes sense to grow the number of the higher revenue generating customers
and decrease the number of the lower revenue generating customers. We can attract the
top 3 segments by marketing more selectively and doing promotions for higher income
customer groups. We can discourage less affluent customers by raising the prices on
them, giving them the option to add more profits, or switch to a competitor.
Cross sell: Since 75% of customers purchase only one product. Theres an opportunity
for cross-sell between the different product lines. Assuming that we will only serve the
top 3 customer segments:
Revenue generated by customers in top 3 customer segments = $500M x 70% = $350M
Revenue generated by customers who only have one product = $350M x 75% = $262.5M
If we assume that the 4 types of products generate comparable revenues, then if we crosssell each customer 3 other products then the new revenue will be = $262.5 x 4 = $1,050M
Conclusion
It is feasible to double revenues and profits if we can only cross-sell our current
customers the other products in our business. The next steps Private Retail Bank should
take are:
Give incentives to the banks sales force to cross sell different products to its existing
customers.
Increase its prices in its bottom 2 mass market segments to fire its unprofitable
market segments.
7
Practice Case 10 (Travel Agency)
Question
A travel agency makes a 10% commission on all of its travel bookings. Their current profit before taxes is $1MM, while the industry
average ranges from $2MM to $3.5MM. Why are they making less than the industry average?
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
We need to understand the revenue stream and cost structure of the travel agency and conceptualize how each transaction contributes to the bottom
line.
Focus on the types of customers the agency services and how each type relates to profitability.
Use the Profitability Framework, with a focus on the cost side of the equation.
Break your analysis down to the two types of customers: business and leisure.
What is the total gross revenue for the agency per annum, on average? $10 million.
How does the revenue compare to other agencies with similar size? They are about the same.
What about the product line? Does the agency handle any bookings other than travel tickets? No. They just book tickets for their customers.
What are the different customer segments that the agency services? There's the business traveler segment, which comprises about 40% of total
revenue, and the leisure traveler segment with the remaining 60%.
How many total transactions does the agency process and what is the break down for each customer segment? The total number of transactions is
around one million per year. On average, about 300K go to the business segment, and 700K to the leisure.
Is there a cost associated with each transaction? Yes, each transaction, regardless of which segment, costs $9.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 53
8
o
[Now you have all the necessary information to calculate the profitability of transactions for each segment. If you run the numbers, you
will find the following information.]
Segment
Business
Leisure
Share
60%
40%
Volume
300,000
700,000
Total
Revenue
$ 6,000,000
$ 4,000,000
$ 10,000,000
Revenue /
Cost /
Profit /
Transaction Transaction Transaction
$
20.00
$
9.00
$
11.00
$
5.71
$
9.00
$
(3.29)
Gain
$ 3,300,000
$ (2,300,000)
$ 1,000,000
Key Findings
The leisure travelers are draining your profitability. Either the cost per transaction is too high or the revenue per transaction made on the leisure is
too low.
Recommendations
Negotiate with the airlines on the possibility of charging a premium for leisure tickets or capture a larger commission through cost charged to the
customer.
Look into the possibility of reducing cost per transaction for the leisure travelers.
Offer the leisure traveler other products to increase revenue per transaction such as hotel bookings and travel packages.
9
Practice Case 2 (Butcher Shop)
Question
A fast food chain recently bought a bovine meat-processing outlet to supply it with fresh hamburgers and other meets. The shop process is: cows enter
from one end of the shop, meat gets processed in the middle, and then the meat gets packaged and delivered at the other end.
Cows
Enter
Meat
Processed
Meat
Delivered
The manager of the butcher shop however could not decide whether to have the cows walk or run into the meat processing room. Can you help him?
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
The first thing you want to do is to understand how much meat can be processed (the capacity) when the cows walk versus run.
Then analyze the cost implications of the cows walking versus running.
Next, calculate the size of the market and demand for the product.
Finally, match demand with supply.
This is a market sizing, operations cost analysis question. Try to lay your plan of attack on paper in a logical sequence of steps to take.
10
Dig Deeper: Gather Facts & Make Calculations
Shop Capacity
Lets assume that only fresh hamburger meat is processed at the shop. Lets also assume that from each cow, you can make 20 hamburgers.
How many hours per day is the shop open for? 10 hours, 5 days a week.
Now, if the cows walk in, 10 cows can be processed in one hour, given current labor.
This gives us an estimated 2000 hamburgers that can be processed in one day if the cows were to walk (20 hamburgers/cow x 10 cows/hour x 10
hours/day).
If the cows were to run in, let's assume that 25 cows can be processed in one hour. This gives us 5000 hamburgers per day.
Costs
Next, we must calculate the costs associated with the two different capacities. Let us assume that labor cost increases proportionally to the increase
in processed meats, and overhead increases, but not proportionally due to some sunk costs, for more equipment and other expenses. Here is the
breakdown:
Walk
Overhead
Labor
Total Cost
Burgers/Week
Cost per Burger
$5000
1,000
6,000
10,000
$0.60
Run
$10,000
2,500
12,500
25,000
$0.50
Let's assume that the fast food chain has 10 outlets, and the meat-processing factory serves all 10. Each outlet serves a vicinity of about 30,000
people. Now, let's also assume that there are about 3 other competitors in each vicinity, leaving it with a market share of about 25% of the
customers in each area, for a total of 75,000 potential customers.
Of those 75,000, about 40% of them fall within the demographic target, leaving 30,000 desired customer.
Given the trends in healthy foods, out of the 30,000 desired customers, about a third will be allowed by their parents to frequent any one of the
establishment on a regular basis - leaving 10,000.
Of the 10,000 customers, each will frequent the establishment about twice a week on average - 20,000 visits. Out of these visits, about half order a
burger over another item on the menu - for a total of 10,000 burgers a week.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 37
11
Key Findings/Recommendations
Even though its cheaper to produce more burgers, theres no demand to support it.
Have the cows walk. This meets demand and ensures fresh hamburgers.
12
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Quick
Quick Brainteaser
Brainteaser Case
Case
Additional Information to
Provide Upon Request
About 10M new cars are
sold each year
Cars last about 7 years
before needing replacement
Tires last 45K miles
People drive 15K miles/ yr
Assume people purchase
new tires when needed
Assume no growth in
installed cars
BONUS: New cars get 5 tires
(includes spare), old cars
get 4 new tires
- 11 -
13
Practice Case 3 (Juice Producer)
Question
A major producer of juice is in the business of processing and packaging fruit juice for retail outlets. Traditionally, the producer has packaged the juice in
18-ounce carton containers. Recently, in response to demand from the market, the producer purchased a machine that packages the juice in plastic gallons
(36 ounces). Over the next couple of years, sales continued to grow on average of 20% per year. Yet, as sales continued to increase, profits steadily
decreased. The owner cannot understand why. He hires you to help out.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
We know that sales have been increasing, so revenue is not an issue. The problem must be costs.
Because of the change in packaging, the producer has incurred additional costs that are not accounted for, causing profits to decline.
Use the profitability framework. Gather information on the revenue side, but focus mostly on the cost side.
Looking at the revenue side, how much did the producer charge for the 18 oz. carton? $2.00 per container.
For the 36 oz. plastic gallons? For twice the size, the producer figured he would provide an incentive to buy by selling them at $3.50 per gallon.
How was the cost of the new equipment accounted for in the price? The producer ended up raising prices across the board by $.50 on all
packages, both cartons and gallons, selling at $2.50 and $4.00, respectively.
What about cost of packaging? Does it cost the same to package the juice in cartons as it does in gallons? Well, I guess not. Plastic is more
expensive than the paper carton we have traditionally used. Also, we had to hire more experienced labor to operate the machine because it is a
little more complicated than the carton machine. We figured that because the demand was higher for the gallons we would cover our costs
through increased volume.
What about overhead costs? All costs for the factory are added together and divided by the number of units produced.
o
This should raise alarm bells. This is now clearly an issue of cost allocation. The price on the plastic gallons should be higher due to
higher costs. Now you need to see to what extent this is affecting the bottom line.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 39
14
Let's try to understand the trend in sales. What percentage of gallons versus cartons is sold? The more our customers notice the gallons, the more
they like them. As the overall volume is increasing, plastic gallons have comprised 60% of the sales. The owner has been very pleased about that.
It seems to me that it costs more to package in the gallons, yet the price is not higher on a per ounce basis. In fact, it's lower. Have you done any
proper cost allocation to determine which type of product should carry which costs? No, we havent.
Key Findings
The major finding in this case is the additional costs associated with the plastic gallons were averaged out over all units, including cartons. This
resulted in a misallocation of costs and inappropriate pricing.
The plastic gallon products have been priced at a lower rate than they should have been. Result: the more gallons the juice producer sold, the more
profit the company lost out on.
Recommendations
This firm should conduct a thorough analysis of activity based costing to determine the overhead costs and direct costs associated with each item
in the product line. They should then use this data to price accordingly.
15
Practice Case 4 (Chemical Manufacturer)
Question
A major chemical manufacturer produces a chemical product used to preserve foods in containers. Despite an increase in market share, the manufacturer
has experienced a decline in profits. The CEO of the company is worried about this trend and hires you to investigate.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
The first thing we need to figure out is what does "an increase in market share" mean? Remember, the term "market share" is a percentage, and not
an absolute number. It could imply that the company has increased its share of the market by beating out the competition, or the competition
exiting the market. It could also mean that the market is actually shrinking, but the sales of the company are decreasing by less than those of its
competitors.
Use the Profitability Framework. Lay out factors that you feel would help from the Value Chain analysis, 4Cs, and 4Ps.
Has the company experienced any significant increase in cost in the last couple of years related to any additional fixed or variable cost? No, costs
have been steady.
On the revenue side, has there been an increase in the volume of output? Slightly, a little bit higher than the industry average.
What about the competition. Have there been any new entrants on the scene? Actually, competition has decreased. A number of players have
exited the industry.
Why has that been the case? They were losing money. They felt that the industry had gotten saturated, so they left.
Has sales decreased for the industry overall? Yes, there has been a general negative trend in the last few years. There certainly has been less
demand for the product.
Are substitute products being used? Not really. Preservatives in general are being used less in foods. Fresh food is now the preferred choice for
many consumers.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 41
16
What about the makers of food? Are they experiencing decreased volume? Yes, the entire industry has been slowing.
Are they forced to lower their prices to survive? They certainly are. Additionally, to lower costs, they are using their leverage to renegotiate price
structures of raw materials.
So is the company in question forced to lower its prices? Yes. They are gaining market share, but it's because of a number of competitor fallouts.
Key Findings
The industry overall is shrinking. To survive, the company in question has been competing on price. It has gained market share at the expense of it
competition, forcing some to exit the industry.
The decrease in price has caused the company to lower its profits, despite the increase in market share.
Recommendations
Focus on cost reduction. If price is the only way to compete, then costs must decrease.
Diversify into other chemicals that are in demand. Reduce the risk of market trends via a portfolio of products.
17
Practice Case 8 (Beer Brew)
Question
A major US beer company, Beer Brew, recently entered the UK market. Two years after entry, the company is still losing money. Despite
a high per capita consumption of beer in the UK market, sales have been very disappointing. What explains this phenomenon?
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
Evaluate the product mix of the company and compare it to what is selling well in the UK.
Understand the consumer behavior and tastes, and determine the effect on sales.
Use the profitability framework. Understand which factor under revenue or costs is driving the decline in profitability.
Let's begin with the product mix. What kind of beer has Beer Brew been trying to sell? Currently, Beer Brew is selling two kinds of beer, a strong
tasting and a light beer.
How have the sales of both been doing? The strong tasting beer is selling slightly below average and the light beer is not selling at all.
What about marketing? The company has spent more on marketing than the industry average for that region.
Is it a highly competitive industry? It's about average. The industry is fairly fragmented. There are no dominant players.
What about pricing and placement of the product? To be competitive, Beer Brew undercut its price significantly to try to capture customers. Their
beer is sold just about everywhere other brands are sold.
What are the current best sellers of beers in the UK? Guinness, Toby, and a few others.
What kind common characteristics do they have? They are all moderate in alcohol level, dark, and strong tasting.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 49
18
How does that compare to Beer Brew's products? Beer Brew's strong tasting brand is higher in alcohol, and market tests show that it tastes better.
The light beer is low in alcohol and calories, and again tastes great.
Are there any light beers on the market? Very few. Mostly locally produced. Beer Brew saw this as an opportunity to cash in on the light beer
industry that has taken the US market by storm.
What about color? Are Beer Brew's two products dark beer? No, they are fairly light in color.
Since most of the beer consumed in the UK is dark, and dark signifies strong beer, does the light color of the beer signal to the consumer that
somehow the beer is weak? Perhaps, but the company figured that once the consumer tried it, the color wouldn't make any difference.
Key Findings
It seems that the consumer in the UK has unique drinking habits. After further inquiry, we find that the average British drinker values dark beer
over any other factor. It seems that the dark color has a psychological impact on the consumer, relating it to strength, masculinity, getting their
money's worth, etc.
The light beer industry is undeveloped in the UK because the health movement in the US has not mobilized in Europe yet.
Also, because the price of Beer Brew's products is much cheaper than other brands on the market, it is portrayed as a low quality "American beer."
There has been a dilution of the brand equity.
Recommendations
Change the color of the stronger tasting beer. Make it darker and advertise it as the better tasting darker beer, with more alcohol.
Match the price to other premium beers that focus on the same market segment.
Drop the light beer product line. The UK is not ready for it yet.
19
Practice Case 9 (Wheeler Dealer)
Question
A major auto service chain, Wheeler Dealer, has enjoyed healthy returns on its 30-store operation for the past 10 years. However,
management feels that the chain needs to expand, as the current geographical areas in which they are based have become saturated.
For the past couple of years, they have aggressively pursued a growth strategy, opening an additional 15 stores. However, it seems that this
approach has had negative returns. For the first time in over a decade, the chain's profits dropped into the negative zone. You were hired to
figure out why.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
You need to understand the nature of the business. What does the auto service entail?
Focus on the customer segmentation. Are they serving more than one customer? Any differences?
Where did they move? Are the newly formed stores operating differently or serving different markets than before?
Use the Profitability Framework. Focus on how revenue has changed given the environment.
What type of services has Wheeler Dealer traditionally provided for its customers? There are two main businesses under each roof: off-the-shelf
car parts and the garage mechanical services.
Are these services provided as well in the newly developed chains? Yes.
Have competitors entered the market stealing market share? A few competitors have entered the market, but not too many. The expansion was
planned to explore new markets and prevent the competition from growing.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 51
20
What about price? Have prices gone up to help defray some of the costs associated with growth? No, they have stayed the same.
Given the two types of businesses for each chain, do they have the same profit margin? No. In fact, because the garage services cost the business a
great deal more and the mechanics are very well trained, we charge a premium. Profit margin on servicing cars has twice the profit margin of offthe-shelf products.
Are the customers the same for both businesses? No. The customer that uses the garage service tends to come from a mid-to-high income bracket.
Those that use the off the-shelf auto parts tend to be of the lower-income bracket. They fix their cars on their own.
Where has Wheeler Dealer traditionally been located? Mostly in, or very close to the suburbs.
Has the geographical location changed as they expanded? Yes, They saw certain urban areas as very inexpensive. They located more in inner cities
where there are a lot of used car sales.
So, would it be fair to assume that the more profitable business, the garage service, has deteriorated and the sale of off-the-shelf parts has
increased, causing overall profitability to go down? Yes.
Key Findings
The garage service is the major revenue generator for the business. As they expanded into the inner cities, they began to attract the wrong
customer. Profit margin on the off- the-shelf products is not enough to cover costs and make a healthy return for Wheeler Dealer. A price increase
is unlikely given price sensitivity.
Recommendations
Scale back from the urban areas. Focus on geographical areas where you can attract the suburban customers who will use the service aspect of the
business. Maintain a healthy return on the car product market from the inner city dwellers.
Where possible, drop the garage service in under-performing areas to reduce costs and focus on the retail end.
21
Raw material
Packaging
Variable costs are a function of price and volume. Therefore, the client needs to reduce
volumes purchased or negotiate lower prices.
Raw material:
We could negotiate lower food prices with our suppliers (consolidate our purchasing,
etc.).
We could look for cheaper ingredients. This sounds risky because it could lower the
quality of the food that we sell.
We could reduce the volume used. For the same reason, this sounds risky because it
would change our recipes, one of our competitive advantages in producing winning
recipes.
Packaging:
We could negotiate lower prices with our suppliers or look for cheaper alternatives.
We could reduce the volume used.
Some good creative answers here include (but are in no way limited to):
72
22
A case of 6,000 napkins cost his client $28. Thus, a reasonable price per napkin is
about $0.005.
The client is similar to McDonald's in terms of the number of outlets.
73
23
Other approaches:
-
One might take this a step further during a case interview and attempt to segment
these customers. For example, one might assume 50% of the restaurants customers
are drive-through and 25% of the remaining take their food "to go." Drive-through
customers do not take, but are given napkins. "To go" customers may be more likely
to "hoard napkins" as they can not go back to the counter for more.
Note: This would influence potential answers to the next question - but for now,
assume you did not take this step and all customers are the same.
74
Recommended answer:
120,000 * cost of dispenser + 2 napkins * .$01 per napkin * 1,500 customers * 365 days *
12,000 stores = 5 napkins * .005 per napkin * 1,500 customers * 365 days * 12,000 stores
120,000 * cost of dispenser = $32.85M
The most you would be willing to pay per dispenser would be $273.
Note: In an actual case interview you can use round number estimates so that mental math is
easier.
Interviewer: The actual cost of these dispensers is around $50.
Can you see any other factors your client should consider before making a
decision?
What other advantages and disadvantages might there be to this switch?
(Impact on costs and customers.)
How might you evaluate the impact of the extraneous factors?
Some potential ideas include:
Advantages:
Fewer napkins used per day leads to less restocking which may mean better customer
service or lower labor cost.
Better relationship with paper manufacturer (potential for better pricing).
Disadvantages:
With the new dispenser locking you into a paper provider you may lose buyer power.
There is the potential for additional napkin price increases in the future.
Customer reaction: Will a customer find this to be poor service? What if he or she
needs to grab a handful of napkins after a spill?
Implementation:
Management will need to negotiate a contract that includes limits on future pricing.
Bain will need to do customer research and pilot programs to evaluate customer
reaction.
And many, many more! As you can see, the keys to a good case interview are logical
assumptions, creative thinking, and basic quantitative ability. Take time to think through
problems and share your thought process with your interviewer and you will do great.
75
24
25
Practice Case 24 (Automobile Producer)
Question and Background Information:
The director of marketing at an automobile manufacturer suggests changing the current design, where two separate keys operate the ignition and
the doors to a design where one key operates all lock mechanisms.
How do you think about whether this a good idea or not?
Suggested Sample Response:
The goal of any business including automobiles is profit throughput that can be measured by the Net Present Value impact of the proposed change.
For the proposed change to have a positive impact on profit throughput, the change must be a net positive of change in cost structure or product
demand weighed against the investment needed to implement the change. An expanding of demand in this case must come from the product
meeting customer needs better than the direct competition or substitutes. Customer needs that this product may address are simplicity, security,
and cost of ownership (related to security). One should also consider if the improvement is defensible or would be easily copied.
For cost structure, the relative expense of using what is assumed to be the more complex locking mechanism of the ignition on the door and trunk
(assumed 5 locks that would be more complex) would have to be weighed against the reduced cost of developing or purchasing separate key and
lock mechanisms. As most automobile manufacturers are very large, it is assumed that the simpler locking mechanism needed for the doors could
be reused across many product lines or purchased from large parts suppliers who supply the industry as whole and the development cost of a
separate locking mechanism would be low. Therefore, the change in cost structure will be driven by the relative cost difference of buying 6
complex locking mechanisms vs. 5 simple locking mechanisms and l complex mechanism. It is assumed that a more complex locking mechanism
is needed for the ignition. Therefore, the hypothesis is that the net change of cost position is negative. It is also assumed that the market power of
buying more complex locking mechanism would not significantly impact the price charged by suppliers or cost basis if developed internally. This
hypothesis would be easy to check by looking at the relative cost position of the different locking mechanisms and the discount structure available
for mass purchasing the various locking mechanisms.
On the demand generation side, the product would have to create a net positive in demand across the customer needs of simplicity, security, and
cost of ownership. The fact that the marketing director suggested this change hints at the fact that customers may demand the increased simplicity
of only carrying one key. This does not seem intuitively true as the two keys are almost always carried on the same key ring so the relative
improvement to simplicity is probably minimal.
For security, there are two factors to consider, the theft of valuables in the car and the car itself. If more complex locking systems were to improve
the security to valuables, then the value of going with the more complex locking system on the doors of the car may be a positive. The assumption,
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 109
26
however, is this is not the case as door locks are typically compromised not by picking the lock but by compromising the areas around the lock
(i.e. Slim Jim). Also, security systems, which are becoming more common on cars, mute the affect of a more complex locking mechanism, as the
key lock mechanism becomes the non-primary mode of defense. I do not see how moving to one key would impact the chance of theft of the entire
car, as in either case the same locking mechanism would have to be beaten. This also means the cost of ownership, which could have increased if
the change of car theft increased due to insurance premiums, would exhibit no affect.
The customer reaction to a single key mechanism could be tested through surveying or product pilots where a sample set of customers are given
actual cars with one key and asked to gauge their reaction. Or larger regional pilots could be run and the change in demand affect measured.
The investment required to implement the change of eliminating a separate key and lock for the doors and ignition is assumed to be minimal as
key locking mechanisms are fairly standardized and the ignition key lock, which is probably more complex, could be transferred to the doors and
trunk with minimal amount of rework of the parts assembly infrastructure for building the auto. The primary investment cost would then be the
cost of piloting or surveying for the increase in customer demand by implementing the change. Surveying and piloting costs can be significant, but
it is assumed a cheaper survey would suffice in this case to gauge demand so investment costs would be minimal.
Three final possible points to consider on demand generation. One, an increase in demand is necessary but not sufficient to improve profit
throughput, as the company also needs to be able to meet the new demand generated. As auto manufactures almost always have an excess of
capacity, this is not an issue. Two, even if this change was beneficial it could be easily copied by competitors and it is assumed that the change
would not provide any lasting brand advantage in the customers mind or raise the demand of the sector as a whole. Therefore, in the long run, the
cost reduction benefits would override the decision to go forward and we have already argued the affect would be negative. A final factor that
should be considered is the assumption that the majority of cars sold in the US in the past have included two keys and the two keys have most
likely generated a lot of unanticipated use that may be hard to anticipate that might cause customers to reject the change. So, from a customer
perspective, I would want to see the demand for this from customers to be strong and the benefits large before implementing a change.
Because it does not appear the proposed change would positively impact cost position or increase demand significantly, the recommendation is
against the proposed change. I recommend even against investing to gauge customer demand as the long run benefit would be in cost position and
the assumption here is that the affect is negative.
Summary Comments
This candidate starts with a framework and works through to a hypothesis and how the answer might be tested. All the customer factors or cost
impact that could be considered are obviously not included, the interviewer should look for a structured presentation that arrives at a hypothesis
with ideas how to test and a proposed answer.
27
LEVEL II
VieTire - Profit
Le Seine Conceptual
Formula Producer Unconventional
HVAC Service provider - Profit
Super Pens Unconventional
Multi-Purpose Tool Profit
HardHead Helmets Hypothesis and Testing
ABC Conglomerate Unconventional
Artificial Turf Market Sizing
S Software Strategy
H Health Conceptual
Maine Apples Math Heavy
Orrington Office Supplies - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
FormCo Math Heavy
Food Wholesaling - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
GOTONet Math Heavy
HBS as a Business Unconventional
Magna Health Hypothesis and Testing
28
Practice Case 5 (VieTire)
Question
A tire manufacturer in Vietnam, VieTire, has been the only player in that market due to high tariffs on imports. They dominate the tire industry. As it
stands, the tariff is 50% of the total cost to produce and ship a tire to Vietnam. Because of the forces of globalization and lower consumer prices, the
Vietnamese government decided to lower the tariff by 5% a year for the next ten years. VieTire is very concerned about this change, as it will radically
alter the landscape of the industry in Vietnam. They hire you to assess the situation and advise them on what steps to take.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
The first thing we need to understand is the current cost structure of VieTire's product.
Finally, recommend specific steps that VieTire can take to protect themselves from increased competition.
Specify what steps we must take to understand the cost differences now, and in the future, of VieTire and its competitors
What would you say are the major costs associated with making a tire? Raw material comprise about 20% of the cost, labor 40%, and all other
costs such as overhead 40%. The average tire cost about $40 to make.
It seems that labor is a major cost, $16 per tire. Why? Things are done more manually. Most of technological advances in the industry have not yet
been implemented in Vietnam. What about the cost structure of the competition? An average tire manufacturer in the US produces tires at a cost of
$30 each.
29
o
Assuming shipping cost to Vietnam of $4 each tire, and a tariff of 50%, the average cost of an imported tire in Vietnam amounts to $51.
So currently, even though the cost to produce a tire in the U.S. is much cheaper due to technological advances, foreign competitors are out
of luck because of the tariff.
Year
Now
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tariff
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
Cost
$50.00
$47.90
$46.00
$44.50
$43.00
$41.30
$39.60
$38.00
Result of Competition
Will not enter
Will not enter
Will not enter
Will not enter
Consideration of entrance if willing to take a cut on price
Preparing to enter
Entered the market
Competing on the market
Key Findings
Depending on what price they are willing to set, the competition will start to think about entering the market in year four. In year six, the
competition will surely enter as their prices become lower than domestically produced tires.
This analysis assumes that the cost structure for the competition will remain constant. It is important to note that because of the rapid advances in
technology, chances are that the costs of producing tires will decrease resulting in competitors entering the market even sooner.
Recommendations
VieTire needs to benchmark against word class tire manufacturers and reengineer production methods and cost structures.
They must invest in the latest advances in order to reduce their labor/operations costs.
The company should focus on increasing the skills of labor while at the same time contain their hourly wage.
Need to develop loyalty from their customers/consumers in order to lock in a certain percentage of the market share.
30
Practice Case 7 (Le Seine)
Question
A French soft drink company, Le Seine, is looking to diversify its holdings by investing in a new fast food chain in the US. You are hired to determine
whether they should pursue this path and, if so, how they should go about execution.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
Understand the company's logic for entering into the fast food industry.
Examine the overall trends in the fast food industry, and determine which segment is the most promising.
Assess the overall demographic changes and major trends in eating habits.
Determine what competencies the company can provide that will help it enter this business and be successful.
What are some of the high level strategies that the company should consider when entering?
Use some elements of the 4Cs, 4Ps, and Porter's Five Forces. Identify which factors you need to address and list them in a logical sequence.
Why is the company thinking of investing in the fast food industry and not another? The fast food industry has been experiencing sustainable
growth for the last few years, and we believe that it will continue to grow.
Why in the US market and not the French? The US is more attractive economically and Le Seine has been present in the country for a few years.
Does the company know much about the fast food industry and its consumers? Not very much. They're not sure where to enter.
The industry as a whole might be growing, but let's think about which segment is growing the most and where it would make sense for the
company to enter. If we look at the traditional burger outfits, that segment is pretty much dominated by three players: McDonalds, Burger King,
and Wendy's. I would think that the barriers to entry are pretty high for this segment. You also have pizza, Mexican, chicken, cold cut sandwiches,
prepared meals (Boston Market).
31
Has the company thought about which to enter? No. But what do you think, at a high level, which segment should they enter?
o
[Quickly run through the pros and cons of the various segments]
Well, if we take a look at the company itself, it is more inclined to be in the prepared meals segment, given that it is French and has a European
appeal. If we look at the trends, the population is getting older and more families have two working parents. Also, there seems to be a move
towards eating more healthy foods. If we consider the competition, the segment seems to be at the growing stages, with only one or two known
players. The barriers to entry are certainly not as high as some of the other segments.
To distinguish itself from the competition, it can make food with a French theme, priced competitively. The company can also set up shop in major
grocery stores, as more people are purchasing prepared foods as part of the their grocery shopping.
It would be a fair assumption to say that Le Seine can capitalize on its distribution and marketing experience in the US.
Key Findings
There seems to be potential in the prepared food segment (players like Boston Market).
Le Seine seems to be a good candidate to enter and take advantage of the present opportunity.
Recommendations
Based on this assessment, Le Seine should enter on a large scale. To offer competitive pricing, they must have economies of scale.
Quickly develop strong brand equity. Look at the franchising option. Examine in detail how the most successful fast food outlets operate.
Location is extremely important. Know your customers in every region, and focus on convenience.
32
Practice Case 13 (Formula Producer)
Question
The client is a manufacturer and distributor of infant formula. They sell their product nationwide, and are in the middle of the pack in terms of market
share. They are currently trying to boost their market share while maintaining profitability.
There is a government welfare program called WIC (Women, Infants, Children) that allows individuals living below the poverty level to receive vouchers
for infant formula for their children. Unlike most welfare programs, this one is subsidized by the actual producers of infant formula. On a state-by-state
basis, infant formula producers bid for the right to be the sole supplier of infant formula to welfare recipients in that state.
In addition to paying the government for the WIC contract, the client also provides rebates to retailers for WIC sales. As a result, income received from
WIC sales is substantially less than that received from normal formula sales. In fact, sales to mothers that remain in the WIC program for more than 12
months result in a net loss.
In trying to determine how much to bid on a WIC contract for a given state, what factors should you consider?
Background
This case is fairly wide open, and presents an issue that is most likely unfamiliar and ambiguous. One challenge will be for the interviewee to find one or
more issues that they can explore more in-depth. The basic focus of their analysis should deal with the relative profitability of a WIC contract.
Response
Candidate:
I think for this case I would first look at who the typical WIC customer is, and the dynamic of the relationship, meaning how long are they
a customer, and what kind of loyalty is there. Since I dont have any children, could you tell me more about a typical WIC customer, in
regards to buying formula?
33
Interviewer:
Sure. Obviously the typical WIC customer is poor, since this is a form of welfare. But some things you might not know are that 1) the
average WIC recipient stays in the program for less than 12 months, 2) mothers typically remain loyal to a brand through infancy for their
first child, but for subsequent children recipients often switch back and forth between brands, and 3) infants typically require formula the
first 22 months of their life.
Candidate:
Thanks. With that knowledge, I can start to think about the issues facing this company. In trying to decide the terms for the contract,
profitability is the primary driver. There's obviously some issue of social-enterprise here, but even so, I think profitability will drive much
of the decision. Since the WIC recipient gets rebates in addition to the subsidized cost of the product, we need to quantify that rebate in
order to understand what the profitability per recipient is. Can you tell me that?
Interviewer:
For the purposes of this interview, let's assume that the rebates average an additional 10% (off of the retail price).
Candidate:
OK. So the profit per customer might be determined by (WIC revenue - rebates - COGS). So if the revenue is $100/customer/year, and the
rebates are $10, and COGS are $75, we make $15 per customer per year. As long as we're paying less per customer for these rights to be
the sole-supplier, we're in the black.
Interviewer:
For the most part, your logic is correct. But is there anything else that might be a factor in determining profit?
Candidate:
Well, related to the actual profitability of the WIC product I'm not sure. But maybe there are some hidden costs or revenues that I'm not
thinking about. In fact, maybe there are some synergistic revenues that the company can achieve. If they get the contract, that gets them
additional shelf-space in the stores. And not just WIC recipients shop in the stores. So maybe they will be able to increase market-share,
just by being on the shelf. Of course, they are getting full retail price for those sales. So I might add in an additional sales minus COGS to
the equation. But to try and get an idea of that figure might be tough. How long to these contracts last?
34
Candidate:
Ok, so knowing that a contract is several years, say 5, we can begin to get a total dollar value for the contract. If we know how many WIC
recipients there are in this state that we're bidding, we can calculate expected revenues. Also, if we can get an idea of how much shelf
space we would have, we can quantify the synergistic sales.
Interviewer:
Good. I'm not going to make you go through the math on it, because we're about out of time, but you're right. There are 1.2 million WIC
recipients in the state, and shelf-space is awarded based on volume sales. So for this company to get the contract, it can help them have
more sales volume, and thus more shelf-space, and hopefully then more market share.
35
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 14 -
36
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
And suggest
improvements for
break-even.
Cost Center
Cost (% rev)
Cost ($)
Savings (% cost)
Savings $
Labor
Equipment
Administrative
Profits
50%
25%
20%
5%
$5M
$2.5M
$2M
$500K
5%
5%
1%
$250K
$125K
$20K
$4.75M
$2.375M
$1.98M
$895K PROFIT
Current profit
Interest rate
Cost of firm
Expected profit
$500M
10%
(CoC growth)
$5M
$895K
Undiscounted Break-even
5.58 years
(stating: over 5 yrs is fine)
TOO LONG = NO GO
No industry experience
Cultural issues (small operations purchased by large company)
National entrants overpowering effort
Reducing purchase price
Seek further cost improvements (IT systems, warranty costs, etc)
Improve revenues through advertising efficiency, brand name, referrals, etc.
- 15 -
37
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 12 -
38
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
39
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 16 -
40
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
Drill to increased
competition.
Increased competition?
Yes!
Competitors competing
on price ($30 vs. $50)
Price elasticity of
demand is 0.5
Substitute products?
Yes!
Competitors in different
channel
Decline in market
demand? No, demand is
higher than ever with doit-yourself work (our
market) increasing
Marketing budget
reduction? No, been
very stable.
Decline in distribution
channels? No- one
stable contract.
Follow-up question:
Why not increase price
by 40%? To further
increase revenues?
A: Demand may be nonlinear, and unpredictable
at large price changes
- 17 -
41
Case 2: HardHead Helmets
Bain, 2nd Round
The Problem
Our client is private equity firm considering taking private a leading manufacturer of
bicycle helmets. Should they?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Share this information in each bullet
only if the candidate asks for it in a clear and deliberate way. For bullets with Explore
with candidate sub-points, make the candidate answer the associated question
completely.
Market Share The company is the clear market leader with 60% share.
Competition Existing competitors have small share. However, there are some new
entrants that are still small but growing quickly, including Nike and Reebok.
Channels Historically, HardHead has sold primarily through the Mom-and-Pop
specialty bike retailer channel. Channel mix has recently moved to 50% discounters (e.g.
Wal*Mart) and it looks like discounters will dominate in future.
Explore with candidate: How are these changes in distribution channel going to
effect the companys future prospects?
Good Answer: Margins will come under pressure from discounters. But more
importantly, competitors such as Nike will have a tremendous advantage in the
discounter channel due to greater scale and leverage in distributor relationship. Also,
a recognizable consumer brand (especially with the sports image of Nike) creates
competitive advantage in discounter channel where an expert bike-shop salesperson is
not there to push the HardHead product.
Cost Position HardHead and all competitors are manufacturing in Asia, so costs are
very low. No competitor is likely to be able to realize any greater cost advantage.
Dont let the candidate get distracted in finding cost savings this is not that kind of
case.
Regulatory Issues In the last 5 years, most states passed helmet laws.
Explore with candidate: What impact does this fact have? Draw a graph of revenue
over the past five years and projecting into the next five years.
42
Good Answer: This drove a significant increase in sales as helmets were purchased
for the first time. This event will not be repeated, so sales will level off.
Customer Segments The customer segments that HardHead sells to primarily are the
Adult Cycling Enthusiast segment, the Casual Biker segment, and the Under 18 segment.
Explore with candidate: How would you expect the purchase behavior to differ
between these segments? What does each segment want in a helmet?
Good Answer: Adults purchase a new helmet infrequently (only after a crash or
significant wear) while children must have new helmets every few years as their head
size grows. Adult Cycling Enthusiasts are more concerned about having the coolest
gear and tend toward more fashion-forward designs. The Casual Biker is more
conservative in their fashion but still wants something that looks cool. Childrens
helmets are purchased by their parents who care about safety but influenced by the
kids who care about cool.
For strong candidate, explore: What would you expect the size of each of these
segments to be? What are the implications for HardHeads future earnings?
Good Answer: Let the candidate come up with all of the assumptions and then work
the math. Actual numbers dont matter much as long as the assumptions are
reasonable and the math is done correctly. Note that 100M households is the
standard assumption in consulting. Assume 100M households, 50% have children
with 2 children per household, 75% of children ride bicycles, therefore: 75M Under
18 customers. Assume 2% of adults are Cycling Enthusiasts, or 2M. Assume 20% of
adults are Casual Bikers, or 20M. Since the helmet laws created a large number of
one-time purchases, we need to rely on the Under 18 market and new entrants to the
adult segments for ongoing sales.
Product From a safety standpoint, there is no new innovation in design. From a
fashion standpoint, there is much innovation, especially by the new entrants.
If the candidate is having trouble exploring all of the above topics, provide some
direction to help them along (e.g. ask Do you think that there might be any government
regulation that would impact past or future sales?)
43
Conclusion
A star candidate will see that his/her time is nearly up and will present a
recommendation for the PE firm without prompting. If the interview is within 3 minutes
of the end, ask:
The partner from the PE firm just walked into the room and wants to know if he
should do the deal.
Good Answer: The short answer is No.
New market entrants by Nike, Reebok and others will quickly steal share as
consumers gravitate toward the general sports-affiliation of these well-known
brands.
Bike helmets have been largely utilitarian, but the sports brands are likely to
quickly move helmets into the fashion arena, putting HardHead at a
significant disadvantage.
Furthermore, with the channel shifting strongly away from the specialty bike
retailers and toward the mass discounters, the national sports fashion brands
will have more leverage with the retailers, possibly commanding better
margins, placement, assortment, and advertising support.
The only scenario in which the firm might consider the acquisition is if they
have interest in another fashion brand that might be combined with HardHead
to allow it to compete against the new fashion helmet brands such as Nike.
44
Case 4: ABC Conglomerate
Bain, 1st Round
About This Case
This was a first-round Bain case. It is fairly straightforward in the analysis, but the
difficulty lies in keeping the information straight between the three divisions. Give out
the information freely, but make the candidate ask for each piece of information for each
company. In order to crack this case, they will need to have neat and orderly notes and
be able to quickly form a mental picture of each of these different divisions.
Note that this case is also difficult because there is no information about the products or
industries. This is not important to the case, so dont make anything up just tell the
candidate that they should focus on the information they have.
The Problem
The CEO of a major conglomerate is dealing with poor profitability in each of his three
divisions: A, B, and C. What should he do to maximize value for his shareholders?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. The same information is available
for each of the divisions, but make the candidate ask for each divisions information
separately rather than summarizing the data for them. Do not offer any information
without being asked specifically and concisely for it.
Division A
Competition The firm is the clear market leader with 60% share.
Cost Structure Manufacturing is done in Asia by all firms and is largely considered to
be as low-cost as possible.
Revenues This division generates over 60% of the firms revenues but gross margins
have been declining in recent years. The high fixed costs maintained by this division
have moved net income into the red as gross margins have declined.
Pricing Prices have been becoming increasingly competitive. Division A has had to
price aggressively to maintain sales volume, even with its strong market leadership
position.
Market Trends The overall market for division As product has been shrinking in the
last few years and looks like it may continue to do so.
45
Customer Preferences Customers are moving to an entirely new product category as a
substitute, and prefer the product category of Division A less and less.
Threat of Substitutes A new product category is filling the customer need previously
served by Division As product. Division A is not well positioned to enter this new
category.
Division B
Competition The firm has only 5% and is one of many players in the market.
Cost Structure This market is relatively new and it is believed that costs can be
reduced significantly from their current position.
Revenues Revenues have been low but growing. The division is running a negative net
cash flow as it is currently investing in marketing, R&D, and plant capacity.
Pricing A wide range of prices exist in the market currently with margins generally
high.
Market Trends The overall market is growing at 10% a year and is expected to
experience significant growth in the near future.
Customer Preferences This is a relatively new product category and consumers are
not yet sure what they want or like.
Division C
Competition The firm has 50% share with only one other major competitor and a few
minor ones.
Cost Structure The firm has significant economies of scale and has the lowest variable
cost in the market. Significant expenditures are being made in marketing, R&D, and
plant capacity in an attempt to grow revenues.
Revenues Revenues have been strong with good operating margins, but have been flat
for the past few years.
Pricing Division C has a price leadership position in the market.
Market Trends The overall market is not growing and expected to remain flat for the
foreseeable future.
Conclusion
46
A star candidate will see that his/her time is nearly up and will present a
recommendation for the client without prompting. If the interview is within 3 minutes of
the end, ask:
The CEO just called and wants to know what he should do.
Good Answer: Clearly the conglomerate needs to rationalize its company portfolio
to maximize shareholder return. Each of the three divisions is in a different stage of
the market lifecycle and needs to be treated accordingly.
Division A finds itself in a declining industry with no apparent way to move into a
new product category. As the incumbent firms struggle to maintain volume in a
shrinking market, prices have fallen along with volume. Operating income is no
longer enough to cover a high fixed cost base and the company is bleeding with little
chance to recover. Division A should be divested immediately.
Division B is in an emerging growth market. While it is not making money today, it
is in a favorable industry and represents a strong investment opportunity. The
division should invest aggressively in R&D, marketing, and production capacity in an
attempt to become the market leader by developing differentiated, branded products.
Division C is the leader in a mature industry and has the ability to generate a steady
stream of cash for use in other investments namely Division B. Division C should
streamline operations by eliminating all expenditures not directly needed to maintain
profitability and should be managed as a cash cow.
47
Case 5: Artificial Turf
1st Round
The Problem
Our client would like us to estimate the market for artificial turf. How would you
approach this question?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Share this information in each bullet
only if the candidate asks for it in a clear and deliberate way.
This is a market sizing problem, so rarely is any more information provided. It tests the
candidates comfort with ambiguity. The candidate should lead the discussion and start
brainstorming on the uses of artificial turf:
Sports fields
o Football
o Soccer
o Rugby
o Golf
Commercial businesses
Residential
Airports
Schools
o High schools
o colleges
After the candidate has identified some uses for artificial turf, prompt him to estimate the
number of schools in the US. (or any of the places where artificial turf is used)
Analysis
To estimate the market size of turf in high schools in the US we have to estimate the
following:
Number of schools
Number of sq feet of turf that is bought each year / high school
Price of turf / sq foot
We start by estimating the number of schools:
Number of schools in the US = Number of high schools + number of colleges + number
of community colleges
Number of High schools:
48
49
Case 8: S SOFTWARE
BCG, 2nd Round
The Problem
An US software company wants to offshore its engineering/designing unit to India, as
well as to penetrate into the India software engineering market. Should they do it?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. The candidate is supposed to figure
our following information by asking appropriate questions. The interview style is
pleasant but reserved.
Since its a two-fold question, a strong candidate will begin with laying out a clear scope
and then gather relevant information to analyze the situation.
Other benefits
of off-shoring
Significant
Minor
Market Share the company is the industry leader in US with close followers chasing
behind.
Profitability declining (unknown reason, but increasing labor costs can be a reasonable
assumption).
Capability strong engineering department in the US.
Cost R&D is the major cost and Indian engineers are estimated to be 1/4 of the cost of
the US engineers with the same technical capability.
Customer
Has a strong existing customer base in the US.
Customers care about the quality of service, but are also considering lowering
cost in the long run.
A strong candidate should follow up with questions about customer segmentation.
50
Competition US
Key US competitors are all off-shoring in order to lower the cost.
Competition International
The growth of the international market is impressive compared to the more
mature and stable US market.
Key competitors are expanding their international business aggressively.
India is one of the fastest growing international markets as well as the one with
the largest market size.
A strong candidate will get the hint that entering the international market, especially the
India market, is critical for the company to both fulfill current customers emerging
needs of cost saving and grow its future business. He/she should then start to compare
the competitive advantages between large US companies off-shoring and local Indian
players.
US companies
O
O
O
Indian players
O
O
O
O
Conclusion
The short answer is Yes. The situation falls into the upper left corner of the matrix
because
In the long-run, even current customers with established relationship will need to
look for cheaper alternatives. S Software can offshore its R&D to lower the cost
but still keeps its customer service team in the US to maintain the high service
quality.
Although clients in the developed country are more profitable, the actual growth
of the market is limited. Developing markets like India might not be as profitable
as the US, but with the huge and growing market size, even capturing a small
percentage of the market can provide substantial profits.
51
S Software might lack knowledge of the Indian market, but its strong customer
relationship management skills, large existing customer bass, and the understating
of unique customer needs can be further leveraged in India. In addition, hiring
local talent or partnering with local companies can help solve the concern of the
lack of local knowledge.
The legal risk as well as the political risk in India can be considered low.
52
Case 9: H HEALTH
McKinsey, 1st Round
The Problem
A US health care provider suffered a profit decline last year. You are hired to solve this
problem.
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Basic information should be given
as the candidate asks for it, but the rest of the interview is very directive. The candidate
is supposed to follow the direction and do the math confidently. The interview style is
pleasant and helpful.
Background Information
The key revenues come from commissions.
H Health signs contracts with patients and provides medical services.
H Health has 300 contracted physicians.
A referral is necessary if certain medical treatment/service cant be provided by
H Healths contracted physicians.
Question 1: How would you approach this problem?
Answer:
Profit = Revenue Cost
= No. of patients * (unit price variable cost) fixed cost
The candidate can be creative to come up with possible reasons for revenue decrease and
cost increase. Some examples
Revenue declined:
- number of patients dropped
- unit price dropped
- competition grew their market share
Cost increased:
- VC: number of visits increased (e.g. major flu), per person cost increased (e.g. cost of
the medicine), referral cost increased
- FC: physicians salary increased
Question 2: Competitor analysis why is our referral cost higher than the
competitor?
Sunshine
H Health
Number of patients 300,000
500,000
Referral cost
$20 (per member, per month)
$15 (same)
53
Answer: (again, the candidate is encouraged to be creative)
- Economies of scale
- Lower administration costs
- More contracted physicians
Question 3: Assuming none of the contracted physicians have the specialty of
cardiology, estimate the number of referrals per year for cardiology based on the
following information:
Number of patients: 300,000
20% of the total population is > 65 years old, and 30% of them need treatment
For the rest of the population, theres a 10% chance for them to require the
treatment
The treatment usually requires 5 visits to the doctor per year.
Answer:
>65 years = 300,000*0.2*0.3 = 18,000
<65 years = 300,000*0.8*0.1 = 24,000
42,000*5 times/year = 210,000 (times/year)
Question 4: The actual number of referrals is 300,000. Why is it higher than the
estimate?
Answer:
- H Healths clients do not have the same weight between different ages as the total
population
- They underestimated the number of visits per year
- More demanding patients ask to be referred even if they dont have such issues
- Physicians refer non-cardiology patients because they dont want to take the risk and
are not motivated to provide services even if they are capable
Question 5: How much does the number of referrals have to decrease in order to
justify following incentive plan to encourage contracted physicians to be more
responsible?
Incentive plan:
Bonus: $100,000 / year to top 10 physicians with the lowest referral rate
Training: $1,000,000
Referral cost: $200 per referral
Current no. of referral: 300,000
Answer:
Total cost = 2,000,000
2,000,000/200 = 10,000
54
Question 6: If the incentive plan can reduce the number of referrals by 5% for year
one and 2% for year two, what is the total saving?
Answer:
Y1 = 300,000*5% = 15,000
Y2 = (300,000 15,000)*2% = 5,700
Total saving = (15,000 + 5,700)*$200 - $2,000,000*2 = $140,000
Question 7: Apart from Cardiology, how can H Health improve the number of
referrals in general?
Answer:
- Increase training to improve physicians capability
- Extend the incentive program to other departments
- Improve the quality of relationship with the patients and build up the trust
- Improve/remove physicians who are outliers with extremely high referral rate
- Increase the no. of contracted physicians
- Partner with other health care provider to lower referral cost
Conclusion
According to the example of cardiology, H Health should improve its profitability by
lowering the referral cost. H Health can
reduce the number of referrals, and/or
reduce the cost per referral
55
F-;$@'/&+.",$I;(=-@.$I;(K/=&,$.>;&&$0&+&7/.,$.($(;@>1;=$
(G+&;,B$.>&$,&@(+= (7$G>/@>$/,$0&..&;$@(+,/,.&+@H
! F;@>1;=,$,I'/.$.>&/;$>1;K&,.$0&.G&&+$.>&$G>('&41II'&$
A1;3&.$1+=$.>&$b-/@&$A1;3&.
4
4
F+$1K&;1)&B$!Qa$(7$.>&$.(.1'$;&K&+-&$@(A&,$7;(A$G>('&$
1II'&,
J>&$(.>&;$]Qa$(7$.>&$.(.1'$;&K&+-&$@(A&,$7;(A$1II'&$b-/@&
! <(;$.>&$G>('&41II'&$A1;3&.B$.>&$71;A&;,$A-,.$,(;.$
.>;(-)>$.>&$>1;K&,.&=$1II'&,$1+=$,&I1;1.&$(-.$1+H$
1II'&,$.>1.$1;&$+(.$;&=$1+=$;/I&
! F-;$@'/&+.",$I;(=-@.$/AI;(K&,$.>&$@(+,/,.&+@H$(7$;&=$
1II'&,$1+=$/AI;(K&,$.>/,$H/&'=$0H$1+$&,./A1.&=$6"aL
:>1.$/,$.>&$&,./A1.&=$/+@;&A&+.1'$;&K&+-&$.($.>&$
71;A&;$I&;$1@;&$I&;$H&1;P
a
V*;9(VF(*9
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 S1/+&$[II'&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
]f
78
56
F-;$@'/&+.",$I;(=-@.$I;(K/=&,$.>;&&$0&+&7/.,$.($(;@>1;=$
(G+&;,B$.>&$.>/;= (7$G>/@>$/,$/+@;&1,&=$,G&&.+&,,
! <(;$1II'&,$=&=/@1.&=$.($.>&$b-/@&$A1;3&.B$.>/,$
I;(=-@.$/AI;(K&,$.>&$(K&;1''$,G&&.+&,,$(7$1II'&,
4
4
J>-,B$/.$.13&,$7&G&;$1II'&,$.($A13&$1II'&$b-/@&
W1/=$1+(.>&;$G1HB$.>&$,1A&$+-A0&;$(7$1II'&,$G/''$A13&$
A(;&$b-/@&
! E.$/,$&,./A1.&=$.>1.$.>&$,G&&.+&,,$71@.(;$/AI;(K&,$
b-/@&$H/&'=$0H$QaL
:>1.$/,$.>&$&,./A1.&=$/+@;&A&+.1'$;&K&+-&$.($.>&$
71;A&;$I&;$1@;&$I&;$H&1;P
a
V*;9(VF(*9
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 S1/+&$[II'&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
]8
79
57
F-;$I;/@/+)$G/''$=&I&+=$(+$.>&$.(.1'$0&+&7/.$=&'/K&;&=$1+=$(+$1+
1,,-AI./(+$10(-.$>(G$A-@>$(7$.>1.$0&+&7/.$G&$@1+$@1I.-;&
:>1.$/,$.>&$&,./A1.&=$/+@;&A&+.1'$I;(7/.$.($.>&$
71;A&;$I&;$1@;&$I&;$H&1;P
a
V*;9(VF(*9
D(G$A-@>$(7$.>1.$0&+&7/.$@1+$G&$@1I.-;&$/+$(-;$
I;/@/+)P
a
V*;9(VF(*9
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 S1/+&$[II'&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
f"
80
58
J($I;(b&@.$I;(7/.10/'/.HB$G&$1',($+&&=$.($
@1'@-'1.&$G>1.$(-;$@(,.,$G/''$0&
! E.$/,$&,./A1.&=$.>1.$.>&$I;(=-@.$G/''$@(,.$d6""B"""R$
>&@.('/.&;$.($I;(=-@&
4
J>/,$/,$1$7-''H4'(1=&=$@(,.B$/+@'-=/+)$'10(;B$;1G$A1.&;/1',B$
.;1+,I(;.1./(+B$G1;&>(-,/+)B$,1'&,$1+=$A1;3&./+)B$=&'/K&;HB$&.@L
! J&,.,$/+=/@1.&$.>1.$6$>&@.('/.&;$(7$.>&$I;(=-@.$@1+$
,-II(;.$!""$1@;&,$(7$1II'&$@;(IL
W(B$/+$@(+@'-,/(+O
6L :/''$G&$A13&$1$I;(7/.P$
!L E7$,(B$G>1.$G/''$(-;$);(,,$A1;)/+$0&P$
CL E7$+(.B$G>1.$/,$(-;$+&)1./K&$A1;)/+P$
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 S1/+&$[II'&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
f6
81
59
J>&;&$1;&$(.>&;$I(.&+./1'$/,,-&,$.($&MI'(;&$1,$G&''
! ?/77&;&+./1./(+O$:>1.$/,$(-;$I(,/./(+/+)P$E,$/.$-+/N-&P$E,$/.$=&7&+,/0'&P
! T+K/;(+A&+.1'$E,,-&,O$E,$.>&;&$1+H$;/,3$(7$1$01@3'1,>$1+=R(;$0(H@(..$7;(A$
.>&$)&+&;1'$I-0'/@P$$*(-'=$.>&$`LWL$)(K&;+A&+.$1..&AI.$.($;&)-'1.&$(-;$
I;(=-@.P
! FI&;1./(+1'$;&1'/.H$@>&@3O$?(&, .>& @(AI1+H >1K&$.>&$;&,(-;@&, .($=($.>/,P
! V1.&+./+)O$?($G&$1';&1=H$>1K&$1$I1.&+.$(+$.>/,$I;(=-@.P$$E7$H&,B$G>&+$=(&,$
/.$&MI/;&P$$E7$+(B$/,$/.$I(,,/0'&$.($)&.$1$I1.&+.P$$E7$+(.B$@1+$G&$1.$'&1,.$I1.&+.$
.>&$A1+-71@.-;/+)$I;(@&,,P
! 9&I;&,&+.1./K&+&,, (7$S1/+&$1,$1$.&,.$A1;3&.O$$:>1.$/,$.>&$,&+,/./K/.H$(7$.>&$
3&H$1,,-AI./(+,P$$?(&,$/.$@(,.$'&,,$.($@(K&;$1II'&,$/+$S/@>/)1+$(;$
:/,@(+,/+P
! W.;1.&)/@$</.O$E,$.>/, (II(;.-+/.H$.(($,A1'' ;&'1./K&$.($.>&$,/c&$(7$.>&$@'/&+.P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 S1/+&$[II'&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
f!
82
60
Maine Apples Case - Solutions and De-Brief
Origins
This case initially appeared as a text case, without slides, in the 1999-2000 Case Book at
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College. It has been adapted, turned into slides, and
further modified by the team that wrote this case book. We$>",A?*"(-"()34?"()*";80?"/0)--,"34>"
their 2003-2004 Consulting Club co-chairs, Adam Borchert and Joep Knijn (both from the Tuck
Class of 2004), for allowing us to modify and to use this case.
General Comments
This case also has a lot of number crunching!! As such, it is a little bit more quantitative
and less qualitative than the average case. However, like the GOTONet case, it is entirely
possible that you will see a case such as this one at some point during your interviews. Also, it is
not entirely quantitative, as there are some non-numerical insights that the candidate needs to
come up with as well.
Solutions/How to Give the Case
The person giving this case needs to give the interviewee the first slide (page 73) as
background before asking him or her to state the central question of the case. Based on the first
slide, the candidate should be able to come up with the question in slide #2 (page 74). Ideally,
the candidate should come up with both facets of the question: 1) the minimum necessary size of
the market, and 2) the need for profitability. Slide #3 (page 75) presents the prospect with
enough information to answer the two questions at the bottom of the slide. The answer to
question #1 is $30,000/acre x 200 orchards x 100 acres/orchard = $600 million. The answer to
question #2 is yes ! that is indeed large enough to continue.
83
61
The interviewer should then ask how the candidate should go about solving the problem.
The best answer is to focus on pricing, and the prospect will be doing well to identify the two
questions on slide #4 (page 76) before the slide is given to him or her. If (s)he is having trouble
getting to those questions, ask him or her about the components of profitability. (The answers
are revenues and costs.) Among those, which should be harder to estimate? Since the client
should have a decent idea of how much this stuff costs to produce, the answer is revenues. Then,
within revenues, there are pricing and volume components. Since we now know the market size,
we can at least estimate volume, leaving pricing as the unsolved question.
Pricing will be a function of how much money we make for the client, and how much of
that we can capture. Slides #5-7 (pages 77-79) break out this question into three separate
calculations. The interviewee should be given one slide at a time, asked to calculate incremental
profits on a per-acre, per-year basis, and then to write the answer in the blank space at the bottom
of the slide. The answers are as follows:
1. Slide #5 (page 77) - $1,500/day x 10 days / 100 acres = $150/acre/year
2. Slide #6 (page 78) - $30,000/acre x 25% x 10% = $750/acre/year
3. Slide #7 (page 79) - $30,000/acre x 75% x 5% = $1,125/acre/year
On slide #8 (page 80), the candidate should sum these numbers to a total benefit of
$2,025/acre/year. The second question on slide #8 is more subjective. Ask the candidate what a
reasonable percentage would be. This is a perennial question for many products. Working in our
client$6" 13G-7"A6"()*"5-4-@-,'"43(87*"-1"()*"@7->80(9"&8("H-7?A4."3.3A46("A("A6"()*"4*H4*66"34>"
resulting lack of social proof. The best answers will be between 25% and 50%. Anyone who
thinks that the client can capture all 100% of the orchard owner$6"@7-1A("A6"65-?A4."0730?B""V1(*7"
84
62
the interviewee gives you his or her percentage, say that we will use $1,000/acre/year as our
pricing for the sake of simplicity (this is just under 50%).
Using that pricing, and the information given at the top of slide #9 (page 81), the
candidate then calculates that our costs are $500/acre/year ($100,000 / 200). That gives us a
gross margin of $1,000/acre/year - $500/acre/year = $500/acre/year, or 50%. This is high, and
indicates that our client should proceed ahead with commercialization.
interviewee what other, non-financial factors should be considered. (S)he should be able to come
up with at least some of the issues on slide #10 (page 82).
In conclusion, this case tests a candidate$6" 3&A,A('" (-" >-" 3" ,-(" -1" 485&*7" 07840)A4." 34>"
come up with the right answers. It is best to do all calculations in terms of per acre per year, but
the candidate should figure that out on his or her own. If (s)he calculates the numbers in a
different way, (s)he can then normalize the units when it comes time to add. The key qualitative
insights relate to the nature of value-based pricing: the need to quantify how much money our
client$6"@7->80("HA,,"53?*"1-7"its clients, and a realistic estimate of how much of that money our
client can capture. Finally, common sense and a basic familiarity with new product introduction
should guide the successful candidate to some or all of the qualitative issues on the last slide.
85
63
F-;$@'/&+.B$F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,B$/,$1$'&1=/+)$$
A1+-71@.-;&;$(7$(77/@&$I;(=-@.,$/+$688!
! 099+,-3",$0==+;($6ACC'+()$8006<$+)$",($"=$3&($
'*9-()3$#+:(9)+=+(#$D*,A=*;3A9(9)$"=$"==+;($
C9"#A;3)4$G+3&$)*'()$"=$baKcY$D+''+",$+,$IddI
4
4
4
W.;(+)$0;1+=,
W/)+/7/@1+.$1=K&;./,/+)$1+=$A1;3&./+)$&MI&+,&$.($,-II(;.$.>&,&$
0;1+=,
D/,.(;/@1'$);(G.>$)&+&;1.&=$0H$I;(=-@.$'/+&$&M.&+,/(+,$1+=$7(-;$
3&H$1@N-/,/./(+,
! 006$+)$"9-*,+`(#$+,3"$Y$*A3","D"A)$"C(9*3+,-$
#+:+)+",)4$@A3$G+3&$)&*9(#$D*,A=*;3A9+,-$*,#$
D*9?(3+,-$=A,;3+",)
4
4
6&*9(#$;")3)$8WYS$"=$3"3*'<$*9($*''";*3(#$3"$C9"#A;3)$",$
*$S$"=$)*'()$D(3&"#
.A99(,3$D*,A=*;3A9+,-$;*C*;+3F$A3+'+`*3+",$+)$bYPS
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
f]
87
64
F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$/,$1$I(.&+./1'$1@N-/,/./(+$
.1;)&.
! FFW$/,$1$I-0'/@'H4.;1=&=$@(AI1+H$(+$.>&$
\[W?[g
! J>&$@(AI1+H",$@-;;&+.$VRT$;1./($/,$f
! E.$>1,$'/..'&$'(+)4.&;A$=&0.
! W(A&$/+=-,.;H$1+1'H,.,$1;&$I;&=/@./+)$.>1.$
FFW$G/''$0&@(A&$1+$1@N-/,/./(+$.1;)&.$/+$.>&$
+&1;$7-.-;&B$)/K&+$1$,.;(+)$01'1+@&$,>&&.$0-.$
G&13&+/+)$&1;+/+),
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
ff
88
65
FFW$&MI&;/&+@&=$@(+,/,.&+.$;&K&+-&$1+=$I;(7/.$
);(G.>$=-;/+)$.>&$68f",
d$S/''/(+,
d#""S
C""
68f"468f8
68f846886
*[U9
*[U9
W1'&,
6Qa
4fa
V;&4J1M
V;(7/.
6Qa
4#"a
!""
6""
"
68f" 68f6 68f! 68fC 68f# 68fQ 68f_ 68f] 68ff 68f8 688" 6886
h&1;,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
f8
89
66
FFW$(77&;,$1$0;(1=&;$I;(=-@.$'/+&$.>1+$/.,$
@(AI&./.(;,
\-A0&;$(7$?/77&;&+.
V;(=-@.,$XW%`,Y$S1+-71@.-;&=
6QB"""
6!BQ""
6"B"""
V;(=-@.,
QB"""
QB"""
"
CB#""
F;;/+).(+
*(AI&./.(;$[
*(AI&./.(;$2
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8"
90
67
J>&;&$1;&$,(A&$)&+&;1'$A1;3&.$.;&+=,$.>1.$177&@.$
.>&$@'/&+.$/+$.>/,$@1,&
6L J>&$`LWL$(77/@&$,-II'/&,$A1;3&.$);&G$1.$1$Qa$*[U9$=-;/+)$.>&$
68f",
4
E+$688"$1+=$6886B$>(G&K&;B$.>&$A1;3&.$=&@'/+&=$1.$Qa$I&;$H&1;
!L J>&$,-I&;,.(;&$@>1++&'$/,$0&@(A/+)$/+@;&1,/+)'H$@;/./@1'
4
4
W-I&;,.(;&,$>1K&$)1/+&=$6"$,>1;&$I(/+.,$/+$.>&$I1,.$.G($H&1;,
W-I&;,.(;&,$.HI/@1''H$(77&;$I;(=-@.,$1.$1$C"a$=/,@(-+.$.($,A1''$
;&.1/'&;,R=&1'&;,
CL W-I&;,.(;&,$1;&$1));&,,/K&'H$,-0,./.-./+)$I;/K1.&$'10&'$I;(=-@.,
7(;$.;1=/./(+1'$0;1+=$+1A&,
4
4
4
<(;$&M1AI'&B$W.1I'&,$E+@L$/,$@-;;&+.'H$+&)(./1./+)$G/.>$I;/K1.&4'10&'$,.1I'&;$
A1+-71@.-;&;,$/+$*>/+1
[@A&",$A(,.$I;(7/.10'&$I;(=-@.$/,$1$>/)>4&+=$0;1+=&=$,.1I'&;
W.1I'&,B$E+@L$/,$+(G$[@A&",$'1;)&,.$,/+)'&$@-,.(A&;
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
86
91
68
F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$>1,$,&K&;1'$,/A-'.1+&(-,$
=/,.;/0-./(+$@>1++&',
[@A&
]Qa
6Qa
6"a
:>('&,1'&;,
Q"a
!Qa
?&1'&;,R
WA1''$9&.1/'&;,
W-I&;,.(;&,
T+=$*-,.(A&;,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8!
92
69
F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$(I&;1.&,$.>;&&$I;(=-@./(+$
I'1+.,B$1''$/+$\(;.>$[A&;/@1
5$(7$W%`,$J>1.$*1+$2&$V;(=-@&=
6!BQ""
6!B"""
6"B"""
]BQ""
]BQ""
fBQ""
CBQ""
QB"""
!BQ""
"
QBQ""
!BQ""
#BQ""
QB"""
*>/>-1>-1B
STiE*F
U;1+=
91I/=,B$SE
CB"""
`+-,&=
*1I1@/.H
W%`
*1I1@/.H
`./'/c1./(+
W1H;&K/''&B$\j
:(;'=G/=&$V;(=-@./(+$V'1+.,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8C
93
70
T1@>$(7$.>&$@(AI1+HZ,$I'1+.,$71@&$1$=/77&;&+.$7/M&=$
1+=$K1;/10'&$@(,.$,.;-@.-;&
^1;/10'&$[++-1'
*(,.$V&;$W%`
d6"B"""
\&G
j&;,&H
d6fS
]B8""
fB"""
fBQ""
_B"""
S/@>/)1+
d6QS
#B"""
*>/>-1>-1
"
d!"S
Q
6"
6Q d!"S
</M&=$[++-1'$V'1+.
FI&;1./+)$*(,.
#B"""
!B"""
"
*>/>-1>-1 S/@>/)1+
\&G
j&;,&H
V'1+.,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8#
94
71
F+&$I(.&+./1'$,('-./(+$/,$.($=/,@(+./+-&$Q""$W%`,$
1+=$.($@(A0/+&$1''$I;(=-@./(+$/+$*>/>-1>-1
! D(G$G(-'=$.>/,$@>1+)&$;&K&+-&,B$G>/@>$1;&$
@-;;&+.'H$d!]Q$A/''/(+$I&;$H&1;P
! D(G$G(-'=$.>/,$@>1+)&$I;(=-@./(+$@(,.,P$$
:>1.$1;&$.>&H$+(GP
! D(G$G(-'=$.>/,$@>1+)&$I;&4.1M$I;(7/.,B$G>/@>$
1;&$@-;;&+.'H$d!Q$A/''/(+$I&;$H&1;P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8Q
95
72
J>&;&$1;&$(.>&;$I(.&+./1'$/,,-&,$.($&MI'(;&$1,$G&''
! EAI'&A&+.1./(+$J/A&7;1A&O$:/''$+(.$0&$=(+&$.(A(;;(GL
! 9&'1./(+,>/I,$G/.>$`+/(+O$E7$(;)1+/c&=$'10(;$/,$I1;.$(7$(-;$
I;(=-@./(+$&AI'(H&&$I(('$/+$.>&$.G($I'1+.,$.>1.$G&$1;&$)(/+)$
.($@'(,&B$G&$G/''$+&&=$.($1==;&,,$.>1.$,/.-1./(+L
! *>1+)&,$/+$?/,.;/0-./(+$1+=$:1;&>(-,/+)O$:&$G/''$+&&=$1$
@1;&7-''H4=&K&'(I&=$.;1+,/./(+$I'1+$.($1==;&,,$.>/,L
! V-;@>1,/+)O$:&$G/''$+&&=$.($.;1+,/./(+$.($1$,.;(+)$@&+.;1'$
I-;@>1,/+)$=&I1;.A&+.B$;1.>&;$.>1+$,A1''&;$'(@1'$(+&,L
! *-'.-;&O$*(AA-+/@1./+)$.>&$@>1+)&$I;(I&;'H$/,$3&HB$1+=$G&$
G/''$+&&=$.($&+,-;&$.>1.$A(;1'&$=(&,$+(.$.13&$1$$+(,&=/K&%L
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 F;;/+).(+$F77/@&$W-II'/&,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
8_
96
73
Orrington Office Supplies Case - Solutions and De-Brief
Origins
The Orrington Office Supplies case was adopted from a case in the Bain & Company
Chicago Office Practice Case Book in the fall of 2002. We$>",A?*"(-"()34?"()*"N)A03.-"O11A0*"-1"
Bain & Company, particularly Andy Grieve (Kellogg Class of 2001), for allowing us to modify
and to use this case.
General Comments
This case combines public math with the need to come up with some key qualitative
insights. More information than usual is presented up front, leaving the candidate to create the
structure and decide which are the most important issues to pursue. The candidate also will need
to ask for the information that they need, and interpret it once they have it. And the calculations
toward the end of the case will definitely provide a public math workout!
Solutions/How to Give the Case
The interviewer needs to give the interviewee the first two slides (pages 87-88) as
background before asking him or her how to structure the analysis. Hopefully the candidate will
realize that a recent profitability decline is the most urgent and important issue and ask for some
revenue and/or profitability trends. At that point, the interviewer can show slide #3 (page 89).
Ideally, the candidate should not only be able to interpret the data on this slide, but also to
come up with two insights about this slide: 1) the fact that profits have been declining more
steeply than sales reflects the fixed-cost nature of this business, and 2) the reason that sales did
not grow at a faster clip than profitability during the 1980s likely reflects a strategy to grow
through acquisitions, which prevented OOS from seeing the gains through economies of scale
that one would normally expect in a business such as this.
97
74
Slides #4-6 (pages 90-92) all contain additional background information about the
situation. The interviewer should then ask what should be done about the situation. While the
channel migration to superstores is interesting, it and other macroeconomic trends are beyond the
scope of the client to control. That piece of analysis, coupled with the fact that our client$6"
manufacturing capacity utilization is only 50%, should point the candidate in the direction of
plant consolidation. The interviewer can provide hints if necessary, but should not give slide #7
(page 93) until the candidate has been able to produce this insight.
Slide #7 reveals that only the Chihuahua plant is close to having the capacity to produce
the required number of different stock-keeping units (SKUs). Either OOS can close that plant
and move all production to the U.S. or it can close the two U.S. plants, discontinue 500 SKUs,
and consolidate all production in Chihuahua. Insightful candidates will ask to see fixed and
variable cost data from the different plants; the interviewer will then produce slide #8 (page 94).
The interviewee should realize without doing too many calculations that the latter option
(consolidating in Chihuahua) is preferable. To reality-test this hypothesis, slide #9 (page 95)
asks the candidate to make all of the relevant calculations, which are:
Revenues: Each SKU earns annual revenues of $22,000 ($275 million divided by 12,500
SKUs). Therefore, eliminating 500 SKUs will shave $11 million, or 4%, off of annual revenues.
Costs: Each plant currently has the following annual costs, totaling to $136 million:
Chihuahua: $20,000,000 + ($4,000 * 4,500 SKUs) = $20M + $18M = $38 million
Michigan: $15,000,000 + ($7,900 * 5,000 SKUs) = $15M + $39.5M = $54.5 M
New Jersey: $18,000,000 + ($8,500 * 3,000 SKUs) = $18M + $25.5M = $43.5 M
Consolidating production to Chihuahua will reduce annual costs by 50% to:
Chihuahua: $20,000,000 + ($4,000 * 12,000 SKUs) = $20M + $48M = $68 M
98
75
Profits: We have reduced costs by $68 million and lowered revenues by $11 million.
This will increase profits by $57 million, to $82 million, which more than triples them.
This slide may take up to 10 minutes, which is OK, because many of the earlier slides
take much less time than average.
Finally, common sense and a basic familiarity with manufacturing operations should
guide the successful candidate to some or all of the qualitative issues on the last slide (page 96).
99
76
68
77
Interviewee should be able to calculate that incremental revenue per order is $7.5
($600M/80M). Therefore, the incremental profit per order is $.2 and total annual profit is
$16M.
Once interviewee reaches the conclusion that the new channel strategy will bring in $16M in
annual profit, quickly direct interviewee to the following question.
FormCo implemented the phone-based Direct to Customer channel. However, they
didnt make the projected profit. What might have happened?
Interviewee should assess both revenue and costs:
It could be that we didnt reach projected revenue because of worse than expected market
demand, competition, changes in customer preference, ineffective sales/marketing, etc. It
could also be that costs are higher than projected due to increase in raw material cost,
process inefficiency, higher than expected labor costs, etc.
Interviewer: The # of orders and revenue are as projected. The overall costs are
higher than expected.
Show Exhibit 2 if interviewee asks about cost data. Tell interviewee that currently all inquiries
from the new channel are routed to Specialty reps.
Interviewee should conclude from Exhibit 2 that:
All call centers are under utilized with Phoenix call center having the lowest utilization.
We may look into consolidating call centers to reduce costs.
Only two call centers, Phoenix and Dallas, handle customers from the new channel. It
could be a result of the routing strategy (intended or unintended) or only those two
call centers can handle the new channel.
Interviewer: Lets look at the Phoenix call center cost structure to see if there is
anything we can do to improve profitability. Total annual cost of the new channel:
$313M
% of total cost:
COGS: 30%
(calculate: 94M)
Call center reps salary: 55%
(calculate: 172M)
(% is a lot higher than call centers that dont handle the new channel)
(Regular reps: 15%
Specialty reps: 40%)
Other: 15%
(calculate: 47M)
Interviewee needs to calculate Phoenix call center annual revenue and profit. The Phoenix call
center handles 53% of calls from the new channel. Assume its proportional to orders and
revenue. Therefore, the revenue is $320M and profit is $7M.
Direct interviewee to brainstorm ways to improve cost structure based on given data.
A good answer focuses on reducing reps salary cost since its the highest cost item, and
specifically focuses on reducing specialty reps costs:
-
Currently all inquiries from the new channel are routed to Specialty reps. Analyze
those inquiries to see if some simple ones can be routed to Regular reps.
If there are some common inquiries, FormCo can standardize answers and let Regular
reps handle them or have FAQs on internet or thru automated phone system.
Some of inquiries from bank customers might be mis-routed to Specialty reps. Needs
to have a better routing system.
69
78
Exhibit 1
Revenue ($M)
250
1,500
200
80
150
100
1,000
1,000
210
500
120
50
1,100
600
0
2003
Banks
2004 projected
Direct to Customers
2003
Banks
2004 projected
Direct to Customers
CHI 040908-BPB-CAS-case
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
70
79
Exhibit 2
1,500
350
1,000
575
125
440
400
320
500
700
450
0
Call
Capacity
525
480
Phoenix
Dallas
Charlotte
1,400
1,800
1,250
1,100
Other
Direct to
Customer
Bank Orders
Customer
Service
CHI 040908-BPB-CAS-case
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
71
80
F-;$@'/&+.$/,$1+$&,.10'/,>&=$7((=$G>('&,1'&;$.>1.$/,$
.;H/+)$.($/+@;&1,&$I;(7/.10/'/.H$
! J>&$,/.-1./(+ /,$.>1.$(-;$@'/&+.$/,$1$G>('&,1'&;$(7$1$
K1;/&.H$(7$=/77&;&+.$7((=$/.&A,L
! J>&$@'/&+.$>1,$1$,.&1=H$,.;&1A$(7$0-,/+&,,$1+=$/,$
1';&1=H$I;(7/.10'&B$0-.$/,$'((3/+)$.($-+'(@3$A(;&$$
I;(7/.10/'/.H$7;(A$/.,$&M/,./+)$'/+&,$(7$0-,/+&,,L$$
! J>&$N-&,./(+ /,O$>(G$@1+$.>&H$@1+$0&,.$/+@;&1,&$
I;(7/.10/'/.H$7;(A$.>&/;$&M/,./+)$0-,/+&,,&,P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
#8
49
81
J>&$@'/&+.$/,$1$'&1=&;$/+$1+$&,.10'/,>&=B$
A1.-;&$/+=-,.;H
! E+=-,.;H$*>1;1@.&;/,./@,RS1;3&.$T@(+(A/@,
4 U;(G/+)$1.$.>&$;1.&$(7$U?V
4 W/)+/7/@1+.$01;;/&;,$.($&+.;H
4 +($+&G$@(AI&./.(;,$>1K&$&+.&;&=$.>&$A1;3&.$/+$.>&$'1,.$,&K&;1'$H&1;,
! *'/&+.$*>1;1@.&;/,./@,
4
4
4
4
*'/&+.$/,$@-;;&+.'H$.>&$/+=-,.;H$A1;3&.$,>1;&$'&1=&;
S1;)/+,$1;&$)((=B$0-.$=&I&+=$(+$I;(=-@.$'/+&
F77&;,$1$;1+)&$(7$>/)>4&+=$1+=$'(G4&+=$7((=$I;(=-@.,
*(+,-A&;,$1;&$>/)>$1+=$'(G4&+=$>(.&',$1+=$;&,.1-;1+.,
! *(AI&././K&$?H+1A/@,
4 J>&$=H+1A/@,$X=-(I('H$K,L$7;1)A&+.&=$/+=-,.;HY$=&I&+=$(+$.>&$
;&)/(+B$0-.$.>&;&$1;&$3&H$@(AI&./.(;,$/+$&1@>$;&)/(+
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
Q"
50
82
J>&$@'/&+.Z,$I(,/./(+$/+$.>&$H&1;$!"""$G1,$.>1.$/.,$
,1'&,$@1A&$7;(A$[,/1B$T-;(I&B$1+=$\(;.>$[A&;/@1$
!"""$W>1;&$(7$W1'&,$0H$9&)/(+
5%
Asia
Europe
40%
North America
W>1;&$
(7$
W1'&,$
0H$
S1;3&.
55%
0%
25%
Our Client
50%
75%
Comp #1
Comp #2
100%
Comp #3
6L :>1.$(0,&;K1./(+,$@1+$0&$A1=&$7;(A$.>/,$);1I>P
!L :>1.$G(-'=$H(-$&MI&@.$.($>1II&+$/+$.>;&&$H&1;,P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
Q6
51
83
J>&$@'/&+.Z,$I(,/./(+$/+$.>&$H&1;$!"""$/,$+(G$,>(G+$
,/=&40H4,/=&$G/.>$/.,$!""C$I(,/./(+
688]
!"""
!"""
!"""
!"""
Asia
5%
!""C
Asia
15%
Europe
40%
Europe
35%
N.A.
55%
N.A.
50%
0%
25%
Our Client
50%
75%
Comp #1
100%
Comp #2 Comp #3
0%
25%
Our Client
50%
75%
Comp #1
100%
Comp #2 Comp #3
6L :>1.$>1,$>1II&+&=$/+$.>&$I1,.$.>;&&$H&1;,P$$:>HP
!L :>1.$1;&$.>&$/AI'/@1./(+,$7(;$I;/@&4@(,.$A1;)/+,P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
Q!
52
84
J>&$@'/&+.$/,$.;H/+)$.($7/)-;&$(-.$G>/@>$&M()&+(-,$71@.(;$/,$
=;/K/+)$.>&$);(,,$A1;)/+,$(7$/.,$/+=/K/=-1'$I;(=-@.,
E7$G&$>1K&$1$);1I>$G/.>$);(,,$A1;)/+$(+$.>&$H41M/,B$G>1.$G(-'=$
)($(+$.>&$M41M/,P
High
Gross
Margin
Low
Low
High
PPP
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
QC
53
85
J>&$@'/&+.$+(G$G1+.,$.($3+(G$>(G$=&A1+=$&'1,./@/.H$G/''$
177&@.$.>&$);(,,$A1;)/+,$(7$/.,$/+=/K/=-1'$I;(=-@.,
:>1.$,>(-'=$.>&$);1I>$'((3$'/3&P
High
Gross
Margin
Low
Low
High
Demand Elasticity
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
Q#
54
86
E.$.-;+,$(-.$.>1.$=&A1+=$&'1,./@/.H$1+=$);(,,$A1;)/+$=($+(.$
>1K&$.>&$/+K&;,&$'/+&1;$;&'1./(+,>/I$.>1.$G&$G(-'=$&MI&@.
40
High
35
30
Gross 25
Margin20
E EE
E^ EEE
15
10
5
Low
Low
0
High
Demand Elasticity
6L :>1.$(0,&;K1./(+,$@1+$H(-$A13&$7;(A$.>/,$);1I>P
!L :>1.$,>(-'=$.>&$@'/&+.",$+&G$,.;1.&)H$0&$/+$&1@>$
(7$.>&$7(-;$);1I>$N-1=;1+.,P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 <((=$:>('&,1'/+)$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
55
87
Food Wholesaling Case - Solutions and De-Brief
Origins
This case was initially given to Colby Maher (Kellogg Class of 2003) in an interview that
she had with consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton. It was later adopted by Kellogg Prof. David
Besanko for his use in his Microeconomics primer for the Consulting Club in both the fall of
2002 and in the fall of 2003. It was then slightly further adapted and modified by the team that
wrote this case book. We$>",A?*"(-"()34?"M--S"V,,*4"[35A,(-49"N-,&'"23)*79"34>"L7-1B"M*634?-"
for allowing us to modify and to use this case.
General Comments
The case primarily tests an understanding of microeconomic concepts. As such, it is a
little bit more qualitative and less quantitative than the average case. However, it is entirely
possible that you will see a case such as this one at some point during your interviews.
Solutions/How to Give the Case
The person giving this case needs to give the interviewee the first two slides (pages 49
and 50) as background before asking him or her any questions. At slide #3 (page 51), the
prospect is presented with a chart and asked to interpret it by answering two questions. The key
insights on question #1 are that the client is the leader in a two-company oligopoly in North
America, its biggest market. It is in a highly competitive situation in Europe, and an even more
competitive position in Asia where it has two competitors that are only slightly smaller, and a
third competitor with a decent market share as well. For question #2, the prospect should ideally
identify three major points: 1) given the economies of scale and distribution that are likely
prevalent in this business, we expect them to use these advantages and the "*R@*7A*40*"087G*#"(-"
56
88
increase their market share lead in North America; 2) conversely, we would expect them to lose
market share in Asia and Europe during this time, for the same reasons; and 3) given the high
growth rate in Asia relative to the other two continents, we would expect the Asian share of our
client$6" -G*73,," &86A4*66" 5AR" (-" A407*36*B (Note: The candidate can infer from the information
presented that the market in Asia is growing, since our client$6"537?*("6)37*"A4"V6A3"A6">*0,A4A4.9"
but at the same time Asian sales are accounting for more and more of its total. This means either
that the Asian market is growing or that our client$6"63,*6"37*">736(A03,,'">*0,A4A4.B"";)*"1-75*7"
explanation seems to be the more logical of the two.)
If the candidate produces these insights, slide #4 (page 52) should confirm their
hypotheses. If not, it will be necessary to tease these insights from him or her, or just say why if
(s)he is really stuck. As for question #2 on page 52, price competition should be softer in the
U.S. than in Asia due to our client$6"0-5534>A4."537?*("6)37*"34>"()*"130("()3("()*7*"37*"1*H*7"
competitors. For bonus points, the candidate could also mention that the U.S. market may be
more fertile ground for price leadership and that it may be easier to track competitor moves.
Slide #5 (page 53) presents the candidate with a graph and asks him or her to label the xaxis. The correct answer here is demand elasticity. That answer is revealed on slide #6 (page
54), which in turn asks the candidate to draw the most logical line on the graph, which is a
downward-sloping straight line from the upper left-hand corner to the lower right-hand corner.
Finally, at slide #7 (page 55), the actual graph appears and is different than what we expected.
The observation from the graph is that there is no apparent effect at all from demand
elasticity on gross margins. This leads us to the conclusion that profits will increase if we change
our pricing strategies in Quadrants II and IV. We should leave pricing alone in Quadrants I and
III, since points in those areas are behaving in the way that we would expect them to. In
57
89
Quadrant II, demand elasticity is high, yet we are still earning a high margin, indicating that there
is room to cut prices here and still increase profits. In Quadrant IV, demand elasticity is low, yet
margins are also low, meaning that we can raise prices to capture additional consumer surplus.
These insights regarding elasticity and profit-improving price changes will occur to the candidate
easily if (s)he invests some effort in understanding price elasticity of demand and its relationship
to changes in revenues as price is reduced 1%. These are the main concluding insights of this
case.
58
90
UFJF\&.$@-;;&+.'H$/,$1$'&1=/+)$EWV$/+$.>&$`W[
!
/0102(34$*,$567$85,3(9,(3$6(9:+;($79":+#(9<$"==(9+,-$
)(9:+;()$+,$3&($>,+3(# 63*3()4 +)$3&+,?+,-$*@"A3$(,3(9+,-$
3&($BA9"C(*,$D*9?(3$="9$567)E$1&A)$=*94$3&(F$&*:($
)A;;())=A''F$;*C3A9(#$3&($#"D+,*,3$C")+3+",$*,#$
)A)3*+,(# C9"=+3*@+'+3F$#"D()3+;*''F$G&+'( 9(;(+:+,-$
9(:(,A()$+,$3G"$)(C*9*3($G*F)H
IE ;&*9-+,-$* )A@);9+C3+", *;;())$=((J$*,#4
KE 9(;(+:+,-$*$C(9;(,3*-($"=$*''$(L;"DD(9;($39*,)*;3+",)$3&*3$3&(+9$
)A@);9+@(9)$A,#(93*?(E
/0102(3$&*)$*'9(*#F$C(9="9D(#$)"D($#A($#+'+-(,;($",$
3&($567$D*9?(3$+, BA9"C($*,#$&*)$'(*9,(#$3&*3$3&($
D*9?(3$+)$:(9F$=9*-D(,3(# *,#$D*F$@($9+C($="9$(,39F
M"A$*9($+,$*$D((3+,-$G+3&$3&($.B0$"=$/0102(3$*,#$&*:($
@((,$*)?(#$3" C(9="9D$)"D($NA+;?$!@*;?$"=$3&($(,:('"C($
;*';A'*3+",)"$",$G&*3$3&( C"3(,3+*'$C9"=+3*@+'+3F$"=$
(OC*,#+,-$+,3"$BA9"C( G"A'#$@(
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_"
60
91
UFJF\&.O$%&H$N-&,./(+
*1+$UFJF\&.$1@>/&K&$
I;(7/.10/'/.H$/+$T-;(I&$G/.>$/.,$
@-;;&+.$I;/@/+)$A(=&'P$
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_6
61
92
UFJF\&.$>1,$1';&1=H$A1=&$,(A&$1,,-AI./(+,$
10(-.$.>&$T-;(I&1+$S1;3&.
! /0102(3$&*)$#",($)"D($9()(*9;&$",$3&($BA9"C(*,$
D*9?(3$*,#$&*)$D*#($3&($="''"G+,-$*))ADC3+",)$*@"A3$
+3)$C9"C")(#$(,39F$3&(9(H
4 /0102(3$C'*,)$3"$;*C3A9($*$;A)3"D(9$@*)($"=$IP$D+''+",$
)A@);9+@(9)
4 /0102(3$)A@);9+@(9)$G+''$C*F$#KP$C(9$D",3&$="9$*;;())
4 1&($*:(9*-($/0102(3$)A@);9+@(9$CA9;&*)()$#I4QPP$
*,,A*''F$",$3&($5,3(9,(3
! 0=$3&()($CA9;&*)()4$/0102(3$9(;(+:()$*$RS$;"DD+))+",
4 !+O(#$;")3)$*9($#I$@+''+",$*,,A*''F
4 T*9+*@'($;")3)$*9($#IIP$C(9$)A@);9+@(9$*,,A*''F
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_!
62
93
J>&$UFJF\&.$*TF$>1,$,(A&$N-&,./(+,$.>1.$,>&$
G1+.,$H(-$.($1+,G&;
IE 7'(*)($#(3(9D+,($"A9$*,,A*'$,(3$
+,;"D($8@(="9($3*O()<$+,$BA9"C(4$-+:(,$
3&($;A99(,3$9(:(,A($D"#('$*,#$)(3$"=$
*))ADC3+",)E
[\W:T9O$#
KE /+:(,$3&($*@":(4$G&*3$+)$"A9$*,,A*'$
-9"))$D*9?LAC4$+,$C(9;(,3*-(U$
! [\W:T9O$
a
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_C
63
94
J>&;&$/,$+(G$1$+&G$G;/+3'&$/+$.>&$UFJF\&.$
,/.-1./(+
/0102(3$&*)$,"G$'(*9,(#$3&*3$9(;(,3'F$*$
,(G$(,39*,3$&*)$;*C3A9(#$*$&+-&$#(-9((
"=$D*9?(3$)&*9($@F$"==(9+,-$;",)AD(9)$
5,3(9,(3$*;;()) ="9$",'F$#IPVD",3&
RE$$1&($.B0$,"G$G*,3)$3"$?,"GH$;*,$G($
'"G(9$"A9$D",3&'F$)A@);9+C3+",$=(($+,$
BA9"C($3"$#IP$*,#$)3+''$D*?($D",(FU
MB6
20
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_#
64
95
J>&$UFJF\&.$*TF$+(G$>1,$,(A&$A(;&$N-&,./(+,$
.>1.$,>&$G1+.,$H(-$.($1+,G&;
WE$/+:(,$*,$*))ADC3+",$"=$&+-&$#(D*,#$('*)3+;+3F4$
G($;*,,"3$;&*9-($D"9($3&*,$#IPVD",3&$="9$
*;;())E$$X"G$DA;&$G"A'#$(*;&$)A@);9+@(9$&*:($3"$
@AF$",$3&($5,3(9,(3$(*;&$F(*9$3"$?((C$C9"=+3)$3&($
)*D(U
[\W:T9O$#
YE$X"G$DA;&$G"A'#$(*;&$)A@);9+@(9$&*:($3"$@AF$",$
3&($5,3(9,(3$(*;&$F(*9$3"$(,*@'($A)$3"$@9(*?$
(:(,U
! [\W:T9O$#
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_Q
65
96
J>&$UFJF\&.$*TF$+(G$>1,$(+&$A(;&$N-&,./(+$.>1.$
,>&$G1+.,$H(-$.($1+,G&;$0&7(;&$H(-$'&1K&
ZE$/+:(,$3&*3$G($;*,,"3$;&*9-($D"9($3&*,$
#IPVD",3&$="9$*;;())4$"9$-(3$(*;&$)A@);9+@(9$3"$
@AF$)+-,+=+;*,3'F$D"9($C9"#A;3)$",$3&($5,3(9,(3$
(*;&$F(*94$&"G$D*,F$)A@);9+@(9)$G"A'#$G($,((#$
3"$)+-,$AC$+,$"9#(9$3"$@9(*?$(:(,U
[\W:T9O$
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
__
66
97
UFJF\&.O$</+1'$N-&,./(+,
6L D(G$@(-'=$G&$;&=-@&$.>&$7/M&=$@(,.,$(7$
/+K&,.A&+.P
!L :(-'=$.>&;&$0&$1+H$;&1,(+$.($@(+./+-&$
G/.>$.>&$/+K&,.A&+.$&K&+$/7$/.$'((3,$'/3&$
/."''$'(,&$A(+&HP
CL D(G$G(-'=$H(-$,-A$-I$.>&$,/.-1./(+B$
1+=$G>1.$=($H(-$;&@(AA&+=P
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 UFJF\&.$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
_]
67
98
GOTONet Case - Solutions and De-Brief
Origins
This case initially appeared as a text case, without slides, in the 1999-2000 Case Book at
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College. It has been adapted, turned into slides, and
further modified by the team that wrote this case book. We$>",A?*"(-"()34?"()*";80?"/0)--,"34>"
their 2003-2004 Consulting Club co-chairs, Adam Borchert and Joep Knijn (both from the Tuck
Class of 2004), for allowing us to modify and to use this case.
General Comments
This case has a lot of number crunching!! As such, it is a little bit more quantitative and
less qualitative than the average case. However, it is entirely possible that you will see a case
such as this one at some point during your interviews. Also, it is not entirely quantitative, as
there are some non-numerical insights that the candidate needs to come up with as well.
Solutions/How to Give the Case
The person giving this case needs to give the interviewee the first slide (page 60) as
background before asking him or her to state the central question of the case. Based on the first
slide, the candidate should be able to come up with the question in slide #2 (page 61). Slide #3
(page 62) presents the prospect with more background information that (s)he will need to do the
calculations in slides #4-7 (pages 63 through 66).
On slide #4 (page 63), for question #1, annual subscription revenues are (#B<"&A,,A-4"D=$"
million subscribers x (#$T5-4()"R"=#"5-4()6T'*37EB""V4483,"0-55A66A-46"37*"(J<$"5A,,A-4"D=$"
million subscribers x (=9e$$T'*37"R"%_EB"";-(3,"34483,"7*G*48*6"37*"()*7*1-7*"(#B<"&A,,A-4"+ (J<$"
million = (#Bf<" &A,,A-4B" KAR*>" 0-6(6 are (=" &A,,A-4B" " g37A3&,*" 0-6(6" 37*" (=B=" &A,,A-4" D=$" 5A,,A-4"
68
99
subscribers x (==$T5-4()EB" ;-(3," 34483," 0-6(6" 37*" ()*7*1-7*" (#B=" &A,,A-4B"
69
100
represents more than a 50% increase from the current projection of (=9e$$Tyear.
Ask the
candidate if (s)he thinks that this is realistic. The answer should be no again.
On slide #7 (page 66), the trick is to understand that each incremental customer
contributes to variable costs as well as to revenues. A new customer adds (=#$"D(=$T5-4()"R"=#"
months/year) in annual subscription revenues and (J<" A4" 34483," 0-55A66A-46" D(=9e$$T'*37" R"
3%). This sums to (=h<T'*ar in incremental revenue, compared with (==$"A4"A407*5*4(3,"0-6(9"3"
total incremental profit of (i<T'*37B These profits have to cover total annual fixed costs of (="
billion, so the break-even point is (="&A,,A-4T(i<"a"=J9i#J9$$$"086(-5*76B Many candidates foul
up this part by forgetting about the variable costs that are incurred when new customers join.
Finally, slide #8 (page 67) asks the candidate some open-ended question to challenge him
or her qualitatively, now that the number-crunching is over. For question #1, our client could
reduce the fixed costs of investment by outsourcing capacity, leasing networks, working in
localized geographies only, etc. For questions #2, our client could continue with the investment
even if it looks like it will lose money, perhaps as a foothold for expansion of Internet retailing.
But that in turn raises questions or whether or not this will materialize, and whether or not the
competition will eliminate the ability to charge commissions.
The third and final question asks the candidate about the key points of the case, which
are:
1. We could theoretically make money in Europe by charging what we charge in North
America ((#$T5-4()E9"&8("()*"0-5@*(A(AG*",34>603@*"34>")A.)">*534>"*,36(A0A('"5*34"
that it will be difficult for us to win European subscribers with a (#0/month offering.
2. There are various ways around this, the most promising of which is to drop price to
(=$T5-4()" 34>" )-@*" (-" 0-4G*7(" -G*7" 3" )A.)*7" 485&*7" -1" 086(-5*76" ()34" H*" )3>"
70
101
initially budgeted. But we need to do some market research to see if this is practical
before we jump in to the market.
3. Other solutions, such as reducing fixed costs and/or using this project as a loss leader,
should also be considered, and may be desirable, depending on the situation.
71
102
Practice Case 22 (HBS as a Business)
Question and Background Information:
You are Dean Clark. A wealthy benefactor has come to you with the news that she will give HBS $100 million. The grant is contingent, however,
upon you using the money effectively. You have 1 week to propose to the benefactor where you would use the money before she will finalize the
transfer.
How would you, as Dean Clark, propose to use this money?
Suggested Sample Response:
First, as Dean Clark, I need to think through what does spending the money effectively mean? This is a not-for-profit learning institution, but that
does not mean that it is not a business. For Dean Clark to be successful, he needs to understand what drives his business and where he can achieve
the biggest return for his investment.
There are currently 4 major "business units" that provide a revenue stream for HBS. These include:
MBA program
Executive Education program
Publishing
Grants and donations
While there are many budding initiatives, including distance learning, these are the four largest sources of revenue.
If you rank the relative profitability of these revenue streams, you would likely find that the least profitable of the four is-the MBA program.
Publishing is a very profitable business but it seems to have high reliance on the education business. Executive Education is very profitable, as the
fees charged to the executives are quite large when compared to the length of program. Grants and donations are virtually pure profit.
At first glance one might conclude that HBS should focus their resources and efforts on the highest return areas of securing grants, publishing and
expanding the Executive Education program. It would follow then, that the MBA program would fall as the lowest priority for resource allocation.
That would be an incorrect conjecture, however. Consider what draws people to the executive education program, for example. The brand cache of
HBS drives the attendance and enables the price premium. Similarly for publishing, the value of the HBS brand provides the credibility behind the
content and drives sales. So what drives the HBS brand? Clearly it is the MBA program.
103
Dean Clark must focus on maintaining the reputation of HBS as the premier MBA program to attract the best and brightest professors and
students. It is then the academic and professional work of these people that contributes to the integrity and value of the brand. Obviously the
professors publish, hence enabling that revenue stream. The MBA students graduate and achieve notable success, further driving the brand.
Finally, the alumni are responsible, to a large extent, for the grants and donations that HBS receives.
In the end, the MBA program effectively ties in every other revenue stream both directly and via the resulting brand cache. Clearly the $100
million is best spent on the MBA program.
Summary Comments
This is not a particularly difficult case but it does assess the candidate's ability to think through the school as a business and reason through to the
underlying driver of that business. A superb candidate will need little to no prompting to think through this case in its entirety.
104
The interviewer will typically start the case by giving a brief overview of the context,
ending with a question that is the problem definition. At the end of the description
you will have an opportunity to ask any questions you might have to clarify the
information that has been provided to you.
Our client is Magna Health, a health care company in the
Midwest. It both insures patients and provides health care
services. Employers pay a fixed premium to Magna for each
of their employees in return for which Magna covers all
necessary health services of the employee (ranging from
physician care, and medications to hospitalization)
Magna currently has 300,000 patients enrolled in its plan. It
has 300 salaried physician employees who provide a broad
range of services to patients in 6 centers. These physicians
represent a wide range of specialty areas, but not all areas.
When a patient needs medical treatment in a specialty area
not covered by a Magna physician, they are referred outside
of the Magna network for care, and Magna pays all referral
costs on a fee-for-service basis. Magna doesnt own any
hospitals itself, instead contracting services from several
local hospitals.
Over the past six months, Magna has been experiencing
declining profitability. Magnas CEO has retained McKinsey
to help determine what is causing the problem and how
Magna might fix it.
How can Magna Health improve its financial situation?
Interviewer: How should Client determine how to improve its financial situation?
Some possible areas are given below. Great job if you identified several of these and perhaps
some others.
!
!
Magna's revenues
o Price paid by employer for employee health coverage.
o Number of employees covered by Magna.
Magna's costs (or fixed and variable costs)
o Magna's main cost components consist of administrative (non-medical) and
medical costs (e.g., hospital, drugs, outpatient care)
o Outpatient costs can be split into internal physician costs versus external
referral costs
Magna's patient base demographics/overall risk profile which may affect medical costs
Interviewer: The team discovers that the demographics of Magnas subscribers have
changed significantly in the past 5 years, from majority industrial workers/laborers
to majority office employees. Knowing this, are there any specific areas you would
investigate first?
We are looking for a few responses, similar to the ones below:
31
105
Claim costs, as the change in the subscriber base will change the profile of diseases
(e.g., more heart disease/stress and less work related injury)
External referral costs, due to the change in the disease profile for which they have inhouse competency
Interviewer: After reviewing the basics of Magna's business, your team believes that
one of the root causes of Magna's financial problems is how it manages medical
costs, particularly the cost of referrals to specialists outside of its physician network.
Your team has gathered the following information on Magna and its primary
competitor, Sunshine HMO:
Magna Health
Sunshine HMO
Number of
patients
300,000
500,000
What are the most likely reasons that the average cost of referral at Magna is higher
than at Sunshine? (At this point you should feel free to offer hypotheses, and you
could ask your interviewer questions to clarify the information)
A good answer would include some of the following suggestions:
!
!
!
!
Referral pricing: Magna might be paying more than Sunshine for specialist services
(e.g., its outside contracts with oncologists might be at higher rates than Sunshine's
contracts).
Number of referrals: Magna's physicians might have different practice patterns than
Sunshine physicians, i.e., they may be less comfortable treating heart disease patients
or have different training/protocols.
Mix of specialties: Magna's mix of specialties that requires referrals (cardiology and
neurosurgery) are probably more expensive specialties (than cardiology and
psychiatry, Sunshine's referral specialties).
Mix of patients: Magna has sicker or older (>65) patients (individuals over 65 are
more likely to need medical care in the specialty areas outside of Magna's network,
particularly cardiology).
Interviewer: What analyses would you do if the things you suggest were
contributing to this problem?
You might take the following approach, where weve outlined different areas of analysis:
Referral pricing:
o Gain data on prices currently being paid by Magna for a sample of common
specialties
o Gain similar data for a competitor if possible for an industry average (perhaps
through interviews with non-Magna specialists)
Number of referrals:
o Interview Magna physicians and non-Magna physicians to see if any obvious
behavioral differences exist
o Consult industry publications on this issue
Mix of specialties:
o Check number of referrals by specialty for Magna and estimate similar for
Sunshine
o Interviews with external specialties used by Sunshine may help again here
32
106
Mix of patients:
o Compare demographic data for Magna and Sunshine: should be easy to obtain
from Magna; a scan of the employee schemes covered by Sunshine should
give a good general picture of their demographic profile
o See if Magna's referral cost has increased in line with the change in
demographics of the subscribers
(Helpful Tip: In giving the answer, it's useful if you are clear about how the analysis you are
proposing would help to answer the question posed.)
Interviewer: Magna's CEO has a hypothesis that Magna is paying too much in
cardiology referral costs for its patient population. He asks the McKinsey team to
look at Magna's cardiac patient population more closely and tell him how many
referrals he should expect on an annual basis. Assume the following:
!
!
!
You should always feel free to ask your interviewer additional questions to help you
with your response. In this case, you should recognize the need to know the
prevalence rate of serious heart disease to complete this calculation. Once asked,
your interviewer would provide you with the following information:
!
!
Based on the correct calculations, your response should be as follows: Magna should expect
210,000 cardiac referrals annually based on its patient population. You should have
approached the calculations as follows to arrive at that answer:
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
Interviewer: When the team tells Magna's CEO that based on Magna's patient
population he should expect about 210,000 cardiology referrals a year he exclaims,
"We currently pay for 300,000 annual cardiology referrals for our patient
population!"
Why might Magna's annual cardiology referrals be significantly higher than U.S.
averages? What would you do to try to verify if any of these were a key cause of this
problem?
33
107
There are a number of answers to these questions, and you are on the right track if your
responses included some of the ones below:
!
!
!
The prevalence rate of heart disease in Magna's patient population is higher than
average. To see if this was a cause of the problem, McKinsey should audit the internal
data on heart disease prevalence and compare it to US National data.
Magna's primary care physicians are referring patients who do not have serious heart
disease to specialists. The team should interview specialists to get their opinion, or
follow through a sample of patients who were referred.
Primary care physicians are not comfortable (e.g., they are poorly trained or
inexperienced) treating cardiac patients, even those with minor problems; they want
to avoid malpractice suits. McKinsey should interview Magna physicians and institute
an external review.
Magna doesn't have clear guidelines on when physicians should be referring patients
to specialists (or if guidelines exist, physicians are not complying with them). The
team should gain an expert opinion on the current guidelines to see if this was a key
cause of the problem.
There are no incentives or penalties to prevent physicians from referring patients with
less serious problems to specialists. In order to verify this is a key cause of the
problem, the team should review incentive schemes if they exist. They should also
compare similar companies/situations (e.g., prescription control mechanisms, etc.).
Interviewer: At this point in the study, you bump into Magna's Head of Health
Services in the corridor. He is responsible for all matters related to the provision of
services to subscribers, both inside and outside the Magna Network. He asks you if
you have made any progress. How would you respond?
The ability to come to a logical, defensible synthesis based on the information available at any
point in an engagement is critical to the work we do. Even though we'd consider ourselves to
be early in the overall project at this point in the case, we do want to be able to share our
current perspective. One ideal answer would include the following points:
Findings
!
!
!
We have investigated all the drivers of profit for Magna. Although there is likely to be
room for improvement in a lot of areas, it seems the claims cost is a big area for
improvement.
Relative to the market and to competitors, Magna seems to have high claims cost per
patient. Our initial indication is that there may be highest room for improvements in
the cost of referrals outside the network.
There are a number of reasons as to why this may be happening (list as in previous
question).
Next Steps
!
!
We are working to pin down the most significant reasons why Magna has high claims
cost per patient.
We are going to be looking into other areas such as reduction potential in other costs,
as well as improvement potential in terms of premiums or other sources of revenue.
Interviewer: After some additional investigation, your team decides that changing
the behavior of Magna's primary care physicians has potential to reduce cardiac
referral costs while maintaining high quality care. The team believes that
introducing some sort of incentive plan for physicians might help reduce the referral
rate. You propose the following pilot plan:
34
108
Magna pays bonuses of $100,000 per year to each of the 10 primary care
physicians with the lowest cardiac referral rates consistent with good patient
outcomes.
Magna increases overall fees paid to primary care physicians to handle more
of their patients basic cardiology needs. Overall fee increases would total $1
million.
How many fewer cardiology referrals will Magna need to have in order to recoup the
cost of the pilot incentive plan? For simplicitys sake assume:
!
!
If the incentive plan reduces cardiology referrals by 3.3 percent or 10,000 referrals, Magna will
recoup the cost of the incentive plan. One potential approach to the calculation:
!
!
!
Interviewer: Your team projects that the incentive plan has the potential to reduce
referrals by 5 percent in its first year, and an additional 2 percent in its second year.
If these projections are correct, by how much would Magna's referral costs be
reduced over a two-year period with this program?
Referral costs would be $4.14 million lower in the second year. Over the two years Magna
would save $7.14 million. One potential approach to the calculation:
Year 1 Savings with Program
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
Therefore, total cumulative savings over the 2 years = Year 1 savings + Year 2 savings =
$3.0m + $4.14m = $7.14m.
Interviewer: Your team presents its physician incentive proposal to Magnas CEO.
The CEO, in consultation with his Medical Director, agrees that this is feasible and
says that they will pilot it for cardiac referrals.
At the end of the meeting the CEO says, "I like the work youve done, but it's not
enough to address our current financial situation. Physicians are professionals who
care deeply about patient care and I think there's a limit to how much cost we can
expect to reduce utilizing financial incentives exclusively. Besides cardiac financial
incentive programs, what other ideas should we consider to reduce the cost of
Magna's specialist referrals?"
35
109
Based on what we have discussed today, and any other ideas you might have, how
would you respond to the CEO?
This question is a good one for demonstrating creativity because there's a long list of possible
ideas. You might give some of the following responses:
!
!
!
36
110
LEVEL III
United States Healthcare - Conceptual
Software Product - Conceptual
Sheep Auction - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
Maldovian Coffins Math Heavy
H Hotel - Hypothesis and Testing
Pharmaceutical company Unconventional
Scotch Manufacturer - Hypothesis and Testing
Children Clothes E-Retailer - Hypothesis and Testing
CanadaCo Several Topics
Giant Bank - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
Acme Packaging - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
PCB Manufacturer Unconventional
Syzygy Supercomputers - Graph/Chart/Table Heavy
111
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 18 -
112
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
Emerging
modular
Care
Profit
motive
Demand
No
proactive
presymptom
care
Doctors
ability to
induce
demand
Lack of
health
care for
lower
class
- 19 -
113
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 20 -
114
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Candidate
Candidate Handout
Handout
(upon
(upon request)
request)
400
Home
Business
Combined
300
200
100
0
0
10
15
20
25
30
Users (M)
Price
Business
Home
Combined
200
400
500
11 M
10 M
9M
15 M
5M
2M
26 M
15 M
11 M
- 21 -
115
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Additional
Additional
Questions
Questions
Solution guide
9M units x $500 = $4.5B revenues
Price
200
400
500
Home
200x15M = $3B
$2B
$1B
Business
Combined
200x11M=$2.2B
$4B
$4.5B
$5.2B
$6B
$5.5B
- 22 -
116
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
Licensing
Related to the product/market differentiation issue, the
firm could gain incremental revenue by either:
Establishing separate product sales/licensing costs for
business/ home users ($200 for 1-3 licenses, and $550
for additional, etc)
Approaching other vendors for bundling deals to attach
product with other products
Complimentary Products
Rather than separating current product into two separate
products Client could offer a series of complimentary products to
their core product, adding incremental revenue and
segmenting their customers based on how many
additional features they wanted (i.e.: adding interrelated
programs at a price)
- 23 -
117
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Establishing
Establishing the
the
Case
Case
- 43 -
118
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Candidate
Candidate handout
handout
(upon
(upon request)
request)
Lbs of Sheep
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
2006*
2007*
2008*
2009*
2010*
Year (*expected)
- 44 -
119
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Candidate
Candidate handout
handout
(upon
(upon request)
request)
$30
$25
$20
Profits
$15
Cost of Sales
$10
$5
$0
Online Auction Model
- 45 -
120
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Candidate
Candidate handout
handout
(upon
(upon request)
request)
Contract
40%
Auction
30%
20%
10%
0%
Sheep Sales
- 46 -
121
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Candidate
Candidate handout
handout
(upon
(upon request)
request)
Farmers Online
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2005
2006*
2007*
2008*
2009*
2010*
Year (*expected)
- 47 -
122
2005 Michigan Consulting Club
Sample
Sample Solution
Solution
Elements
Elements
Expected
Calculation
(Approximate)
**Use 2009 numbers to show 5-year maturity and steady-state for profitability- this
model assumes a 100% penetration- candidate should deduct that penetration is
irrelevant given overall industry profitability**
400M
lbs sheep
50%
auctioned
x
30%
online farmers
$10
per 100 lbs sold
$6.66M Profit
Less than $10M
- 48 -
123
Case 1: Maldovian Coffins
McKinsey, 1st Round
About This Case
This case was given by McKinsey in first-round interviews and is a command and
control case. In this style of case, the interviewer allows the candidate to drive the case
initially to explore possible routes to a solution. However, once the candidate has laid
out a plan, the interviewer takes control and asks the candidate to solve a few specific
problems before coming to the final conclusion.
When giving this case, allow for some initial planning and brainstorming by the
candidate, but then firmly take control of each of the modules described below. Try to
move the candidate along through each of them, since in the actual interview only those
candidates that complete all of the sections will be considered to have done well. This
case tests mental horsepower and the ability to move to conclusions quickly.
The Problem
Our client is a coffin maker in the Eastern European country of Maldovia. He has seen
substantial change in his market in recent years and is contemplating the future of his
business. Up until now, he has been in the business of building high-quality, handcrafted coffins largely by hand with a skilled labor force. Recently, however, he has
become aware of technology that would allow him to build machine-made coffins with
much less labor. Should he invest in this new technology, and should he even remain in
the coffin business in the first place?
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Note that this case requires you (the
interviewer) to drive key points in the discussion. Allow the candidate to formulate a
plan and then prompt him/her to consider each of the topics listed below.
Prompt: What strategic alternatives should the owner consider?
Good Answer: If the candidate doesnt get all of this, help them along since we need
to lay this foundation for the rest of the case - We need to decide firstly whether to
stay in business at all and if so, whether he uses the new technology:
Prompt: How would you figure out the current value of the business?
124
Provide the following information if the candidate asks for it clearly and directly.
Market Size If the candidate asks for the size of the market, first make him/her
brainstorm about different ways to determine market size. A good candidate should
come up with at least 4 different ways, such as:
Now make them calculate the market size, giving them the following data:
Population of Maldovia:
Population Growth:
Avg Life Expectancy:
Age Distribution:
Burial Customs:
4M
0%
75 years
assume a flat age distribution (i.e. same number of
people at every age)
75% of deaths are buried in coffins.
Right Answer: 40,000 coffins purchased / year. Note that the candidate needs to
quickly realize that every year, 1/75th of the population will turn 76 and therefore (on
average) will die.
Price Coffins are priced at $5,000 for a hand-made coffin.
Costs Material accounts for 10% of the direct cost, while labor accounts for the other
90%. COGS is $4,800 per coffin. Fixed costs for the business are $700,000 per year.
Assume all assets are fully depreciated and ignore taxes.
Competition Maldovian Coffins has a 10% market share and a relative market share of
about 1 (if asked, you may explain that relative market share is the ratio of the companys
market share to that of its nearest competitor.)
Market Trends, Regulation, etc. If asked about any exogenous factors, simply tell the
candidate to assume that the market is expected to continue as it currently is.
The candidate needs to calculate the value of the business now. This is a mathematical
exercise.
Correct Answer:
Contribution Margin
= $200 / coffin
x 40,000 coffins
x 10% market share
125
= $800,000
Profit
= CM Fixed Costs
= $800,000 - $700,000
= $100,000
Assuming a discount rate of 10% (candidate can assume anything reasonable here as
long as they are consistent later) a perpetuity with cash flows of $100k / year has a
PV of $100,000 / .1 = $1M. So the current business is worth $1M whether they keep
it or sell it.
Prompt: So now what is the value of the company if it were shut down and the
assets were sold?
Information to give if asked:
Assets Since the firm has been building coffins by hand, the fixed assets are essentially
only the land and improvements. These are owned outright by the company.
When the candidate asks for the value of the land, have them brainstorm ways that they
might determine this. They should come up with at least 3 good ways, such as:
Look for comparable real estate and determine recent selling price
Find comparable commercial real estate and determine the rent per square foot,
then discount the cash flows generated by renting the property
Determine rate of appreciation for property in the area and then apply to book
value of current land and improvements
Give the candidate the following information and have them calculate the value of the
property:
Book Value of Land:
$20,000
Book Value of Improvements: $80,000
Years Owned:
48
Avg. Real Estate Appreciation: 6% / year
Right Answer: Using the rule of 72, a 6% growth rate will double the investment every
72/6 = 12 years. Since the property was held for 48 years, the current value will be
$100k * (2 ^ 4) = $1.6M.
Since the assets ($1.6M) are higher than the value of the discounted cash flows ($1M),
then it would make more sense to liquidate the business and sell the assets.
Prompt: What would the value of the company be if he invests in the new
technology?
126
Provide the following information if asked:
Investment Investing in the new technology will cost the firm $1M.
Cost Savings Material costs remain the same, but labor costs are reduced by 50%.
Proprietary Nature of Technology The new coffin-making technology is being
offered for sale by a machine tool company, who holds the patent. They are not offering
exclusivity to any customers (i.e. they will sell to Maldovian Coffins competitors if
possible).
Competitive Threat It is not known whether the competitors have acquired or are
planning to acquire this technology.
Customer Preferences While the machine-made coffins are not hand made, the
quality perceived by the customer is the same or better. It is believed that the customer
will be indifferent between the quality and appearance of a hand-made and a machinemade coffin.
Brand Impact The candidate may argue that a machine-made coffin might negatively
impact Maldovian Coffins brand. If so, ask them how they would test this (e.g.
consumer research), but tell them to assume that it would have negligible impact.
Good Answer: Since Maldovian Coffins has no proprietary control over the technology,
it is likely that competitors will also acquire it, resulting in an overall lowering of the
industry cost structure. If this is the case, price will also fall as competition cuts price in
an attempt to gain share. If we assume that gross margins remain the same, since the
industry competitive structure has not changed we can calculate the new margin
contribution as follows:
Gross Margin = $200 / $5,000 = 4%
Labor Cost = (4800 x 90%) x 50% = $2,160
Material Cost = $480
COGS = $2,160 + $480 = $2,640
Price = $2,640 / (1 - 4%) = $2,718
Contribution Margin = $2,718 - $2,640 = $78
Loss = $78 * 4,000 - $700,000 = -$388,000
So the introduction of the technology to the market might be expected to reduce industry
profits, making this business completely unprofitable.
Candidates could argue other scenarios, by assuming that the industry would be able to
maintain higher margins than we have assumed here, so the answer may be different.
They should recognize, however, that the introduction of this non-proprietary technology
127
will significantly reduce industry pricing in the absence of some other form of price
support (such as branding, collusion between players, etc.)
Conclusion
A star candidate will see that his/her time is nearly up and will present a
recommendation for the client without prompting. If the interview is within 3 minutes of
the end, ask:
The owner just called and said he has an offer to buy his business. He needs to
know whether he should take it right now.
Good Answer: Given the credible threat of the industry becoming unprofitable due
to the introduction of this new technology, the owner should look to sell the company
as soon as possible. Taking into account the assets of the firm and the present value
of the expected cash flows of the business itself, he should attempt to liquidate the
business and to sell the assets for around $1.6M.
If unable to sell the business now, he can continue to operate the business as a cash
cow, but should not invest in the business above what is necessary to keep it
operating at its present level. He should expect the business to become less profitable
as the industry moves to mechanization, and should eventually look to sell the assets
of the company and close the firm.
128
Case 10: H HOTEL
Booz Allen Hamilton, 1st Round
The Problem
You are hired by H Hotel to advise whether they should raise their daily room rate from
$160 to $180.
Information Gathering
Read this information well before you give the case. Theres very limited information to
begin with, therefore the candidate is expected to ask questions, but in a structured way.
Allow 10-15 seconds for the candidate to layout his/her assumptions for each step of the
analysis before giving any clues. Certain level of stress should be created but the overall
interview style is pleasant.
Industry Overview
Overall market: stable.
Segmentation: the hotel industry can broadly be divided into two segments that
serve different customer needs one for business purposes and the other for
vacation.
Exploration: Let the candidate characterize each segment. For example: business
hotels usually locate in the center of metropolitan areas, are smaller in size
compare to the average vacation resorts, are better equipped with in-room business
services like internet/fax/printer, and are more flexible in booking. Vacation hotels
have to be in a touristy or scenery area but not necessary in the center of it, have a
wider range of price and facilities, and with more fluctuations in demand.
Competition: The client is the leader in the Business Hotel segment and an
average player in the Vacation Hotel segment.
129
3) Lower maintenance cost: business hotels tend to be smaller in size and need
less recreational facilities.
z
From an internal view of the company, why do you think they wanted to increase the
price?
Answer: To increase profitability.
Assuming H Hotel successfully increased the price, what can they do to the end
user to increase demand?
Answer: Let the candidate e creative here, but make sure they hit following points.
Differentiation: On the product side, H Hotel can improve its convenience (e.g.
provide transportation/get the hottest spot in the emerging area of a city), increase its
business friendliness (e.g. in-room fax/printer), and upgrade its rooms, etc. For the
service, H Hotel can create a more personalized experience for consumers by
keeping track of each travelers special demand, set the room differently, etc. One
step further, H Hotel can also lock consumers in by offering traveler specific
promotion (different from the ones for the corporate), such as offering free gifts to
the consumers (e.g. shopping coupons) or cross promotion between H Hotels
130
business hotels and vacation hotels (e.g. free stay at one of the vacation hotels when
the traveler takes his/her family on vacation next time).
Conclusion
A star candidate will see that his/her time is nearly up and will present a conclusion
without prompting. If the interview is within 3 minutes of the end, ask for the conclusion.
Answer: The short answer is Yes.
z
H Hotel has competitive advantage given its superior location, good service, and
trust worthy relationship with long term customers. Given such strong base, theres
room for H Hotel to increase its price with further differentiated product and service.
Even after the $20 increase, the price is still far below its customers ceiling and
remains competitive among its competitors. Furthermore, H Hotel can still grow its
sales quantity by locking travelers who have several business hotel choices in by
adopting traveler specific promotions.
From an internal point of view, cost saving has reached a limit. H Hotel has to
improve its profits by top line growth. As long as price doesnt effect quantity
(occupancy rate), total revenue will grow.
131
In helping the client decide which option they should choose, I will want to guide them to the option that will create the most
value. To understand main value drivers (i.e., profitability drivers), I will first explore the market attractiveness and our
competitive position within that market in order to determine revenue potential. After that, I will explore the major cost issues.
Starting with the revenue, I'll want to understand first what the overall market revenue opportunities are for this type of drug in
addition to our product specifically. Now, the client expressed concern over the market potential for this drug. How big is the
market and what is its potential growth rate?
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 64
132
Commentator: Here the Candidate has done several things. First, the Candidate has stated the overall objective, value creation. Next, the
candidate stated the method of walking through this problem, looking at revenue by using a market economics and competitive
position framework, then looking at costs.
The Candidate provided a roadmap. Now the interviewer understands the approach and expected direction of questioning. This
helps the interviewer understand the student's thought process - how he or she thinks through business problems.
Interviewer:
The overall antidepressant drug market is relatively attractive at $1.1 billion per year and is growing well in excess of the
population growth rate.
Candidate:
You mentioned that concerns over market potential center on whether the drug can gain adequate competitive advantage in a
market segment having "two dominant, patent-protected competitors and nearly 100 generic competitors." You also mentioned
that a higher technology drug had entered the market. Is the antidepressant market segmented by technology?
Interviewer:
Yes.
Candidate:
And the two patent-protected competitors along with the 100 generic competitors are within our technology segment?
Interviewer:
Correct.
Candidate:
So, the overall antidepressant market is attractive at $1.1 billion, but within that market, there are segments based on different
types of technology that may or may not be attractive.
Interviewer:
That's correct.
Candidate:
Interviewer:
Tricyclic antidepressants.
Candidate:
Interviewer:
As a matter of fact, substitution by the new technology may cause a decline in sales over the next 5 years. Additionally, the
existing competitive environment is very intense and will only increase if the market shrinks.
Candidate:
133
Interviewer:
Correct.
Candidate:
Interviewer:
In our own technology segment, the leader has approximately 10% and the number two player has about 4%. The rest of the 100
competitors each has less than a 2% market share. By comparison, the new technology has captured a 20% market share of the
total antidepressant market.
Candidate:
How much will our client's product be able to differentiate itself within our technology segment?
Interviewer:
Not much. In a market research study we commissioned, the product was seen as very similar to the number two product in our
technology segment, slightly inferior to the number one product, and slightly better than the generic products. The new technology
was viewed as far better due to a lower level of sedation.
Candidate:
So to summarize the market environment, although the anti-depressant market is attractive, the segment that we would be
participating in is relatively unattractive and runs the risk of becoming smaller and more competitive over time. Additionally,
within this unattractive segment, we have limited ability to differentiate ourselves relative to our competitors, and thus, will not
be able to charge a premium price.
I would think that this unattractive market and relatively undifferentiated position within that market would translate to a lower
market share. I would estimate that our share might be lower than either of the branded products given our new presence in the
market, say maybe a 2-4% share and this, like the rest of the segment, would probably decline over the next couple of years.
Interviewer:
Commentator: In understanding the revenue potential, the Candidate did several key things.
1) Disaggregated the antidepressant market.
2) Established the overall attractiveness of the relevant market segment.
3) Established the client's relative attractiveness to competitors within that segment.
This enabled the Candidate to come to the correct conclusion that an undifferentiated position within a relatively unattractive
market will limit the revenue potential.
Also, note that the Candidate is doing most of the talking. Use the interviewer to clarify questions or provide information, but the
Candidate must lead the discussion.
Candidate:
Knowing that our revenue potential is relatively low puts more pressure on minimizing the costs if we were to market the drug. I
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 66
134
want to see what area within the cost structure impacts profitability the most. What percent of net sales is COGS?
Interviewer:
About 20%
Candidate:
Interviewer:
Most of it is selling expense. There are some overhead/admin and advertising and promotional expenses, but most of it is selling
expenses.
Candidate:
So, selling expense is the largest portion of the cost structure, which means that whichever option we choose, launching alone vs.
with a partner will certainly impact the selling expense (in addition to the number of prescribers reached, thus revenue potential).
Commentator: You can pick up good tips here. Spend time on things having high impact and feel free to test and see how important they are.
Tests might include how large something is as a percentage of sales, how important it is to the customer, or how much of an
impact it has on manufacturing economies, etc.
Candidate:
In understanding the effect of the co-market agreement on number of prescribers reached, I think it would be helpful if I could get
an idea of who makes the purchasing decision.
Interviewer:
Well, there are four main parties involved. There are the manufacturers (such as our client), the doctors (who prescribe the drug),
the druggists (who fill the prescription) and the patient (who initiates the transaction). Selling is concentrated on the doctors, since
they are the group that determines if medication is needed and, if so, what type.
Candidate:
Interviewer:
Yes, but for the purposes of our work, lets not address that.
Candidate:
So, for the purposes of our work, the doctors make the purchasing decisions, this includes two groups of physicians, the
Psychiatric group and the Internal Medicine/General Practitioner group.
Interviewer:
Correct.
Candidate:
You noted that we dont currently have connections to psychiatrists. This group prescribes half of the antidepressants. Can we
launch the drug by only marketing to IMs and general practitioners and ignoring psychiatrists?
135
Interviewer:
No, they are at the top of the pyramid of influence and thus must endorse the drug before their colleagues in the IMP/GP will
endorse it.
Candidate:
So if we are to market this product, we cannot do so without the Psychiatric group. The weight of the decision then becomes a
matter of what is the most efficient and effective way to reach themeither through a newly hired sales force or with a comarketing agreement.
Interviewer:
Correct.
Candidate:
What are the advantages and disadvantages of marketing the drug ourselves?
Interviewer:
In terms of having our own sales force, the main benefit would be that we would be concentrating on our product only and this
may help sales. On the downside however, the cost of this focus is all attributed completely to our product, and having a
dedicated sales force representing only one product would be expensive.
Candidate:
Do you have any other psychotheraputic drugs in development or plans to expand this part of your portfolio through licensing?
Interviewer:
Candidate:
So by entering a co-marketing agreement, the costs of the sales force is spread across several products, and, if the co-marketer did
not have a competing product, then our product would get the appropriate selling attention warranted. Also, since this sales force
has existing relationships with the psychiatrists and doesnt need to take time to further establish these relationships, sales of our
product might peak sooner. So, all in all, I would think that if we were to market this product, it would be a less costly and higher
value option to enter into a co-marketing agreement rather than go it alone.
Commentator: Here, as with most case interviews, the Candidate has the opportunity to go deep into an issue. The Candidate has chosen to
do this here with one type of cost, the sales force. The Interviewer is looking to see if the Candidate can identify some of the key
value drivers of the function being explored. In the case of the sales force, the Candidate correctly identified the key value
drivers as being:
1) The ability to spread the cost of a sales call across multiple products.
2) The ability to choose a co-marketer that needs this product in their existing product line.
3) The ability to leverage an existing psychiatric sales force infrastructure to reach peak sales sooner.
Remember, there are many value drivers. We have touched on a few, but dont be concerned about identifying the right ones,
just try to identify what type of issues affect the situation the most.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 68
136
Interviewer:
OK, and what about the third option, to sell, license or swap the drug to a third party?
Candidate:
Again, the client would want to choose the option that was more value creating. There could be several reasons for going with the
third option:
1) We might sell our drug because the sum of the promotional or overhead costs may make it unprofitable for us to market
whereas a company having a similar product line might be able to carry this product at a very small incremental cost.
2) We might license it for the same reasons we would sell it.
3) We might swap it if we could find a company needing this type of drug while having a drug that might fit more with our
existing infrastructure.
In any case, for the options being considered, I would want to forecast cash flows and discount them back to see what option is
more value creating before making a final recommendation.
Interviewer:
OK, thank you for your input on how to approach this problem.
Commentator: Youll note here, that the Candidate doesnt actually make a final recommendation. This is fine. The Candidate has demonstrated
how he would approach the problem, and in doing so, has hit on many of the key issues you would find in a real client case
situation.
Recapping the steps the Candidate took into evaluating the clients options:
On the revenue side:
1) Segmented the market to the appropriate technology level.
2) Determined that the segment was unattractive .
3) Determined that the clients product was not significantly differentiated.
4) Concluded that for these reasons, the revenue potential was limited.
On the cost side:
1) Determined that selling expense was a key component to profitability.
2) Determined that the Psychiatric group needed to be included in the selling efforts.
3) Determined that it would be less expensive to co-market vs. go it alone.
4) Determined that there are other considerations to evaluate when comparing co-marketing vs. selling, licensing, or swapping
the product.
Interviewer:
137
Practice Case 15 (Scotch Manufacturer)
Background
We have been contacted by a large distilled spirits manufacturing and marketing company to develop a new strategy for one of their brands.
Before getting into the details on this particular case, how would you define strategy?
Participation
o
Geography
Customer
Offering
o
Product
Service
Pricing
o
Product
Service
Distribution
138
Business Profitability
Strategies
Market Economics
Competitive Position
Alternative Identification
Alternative Evaluation
Business Plan
In the first meeting with the client to "scope out" the potential project, what might be some of the things that you would like to know?
139
What might be some of the reasons that you would NOT want to accept this project?
Politics
Is the answer to slower growth explained by fewer people drinking scotch, or by drinking less overall, or both? (fewer people have been
drinking scotch)
What kind of information would you want to understand in order to determine why fewer people have been drinking scotch?
Demographics
o
Popularity
o
Substitute products
Health reasons
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 72
140
What kind of analysis would you complete to quantify the reduction in number of scotch drinkers?
Interview customers
40% of the volume in low-end, 50% in premium, and 10% in super premium.
There are three segments in the market, low-end (such as private label CVS whisky), premium (typically seen on the back bar in a
bar), and super-premium (including Chivas Regal and single malt scotches).
141
o
Taste (do people like the taste of the scotch -- either in blind taste tests or do they "think" one brand tastes better because it has a
darker color, or is a more thick liquid, etc.)
Would you think that the scotch industry is profitable? Explain structurally, and elaborate
High barriers to entry, takes a long time to establish a brand name in scotch
People think its bad for your health and its difficult to get them to start drinking
People think it tastes bad and its hard to acquire a taste for scotch
Competitor intensity is not that high (little price based competition, noticeable, but not outrageous investment in advertising)
As a result, overall, the industry is very profitable, but volume is declining, so profit is declining
Tied as the #2 brand with 25% market share of volume (#1 has 35%, #2 has 25%, we have 25%, #4 has 10%, others have 5%)
142
#1 has gained share from us, the #4 and other brands, but mostly from us
We all have same cost of goods, differences are in selling costs and advertising costs
#1 has highest selling costs and advertising costs, #2 has second, #3 has third, and so on
#1 and we have a price premium, #2 is priced at the industry average, #3 and all others are slightly below the industry average, but
no one is dramatically different than the industry average
#1 has a lower per unit profitability but has the most share of profit given its highest market share
What are your potential hypotheses that you would want to test to understand our relative performance?
Customers perceive our brand as having poorer rankings on the key attributes
o
True
Customers are not convinced to buy our product from our advertising (advertising effectiveness)
o
143
True, we spend a lot on billboards because they're cheap but they don't reach the right audiences
True, we spend a lot at Christmas to get the impulse buyers but we don't get the brand loyal buyers
True, we have had poor campaigns while the #1 brand has had very good campaigns
How would you determine how much money to spend on the advertising budget?
Set a target number of customers to reach and a frequency target, and then back out the required investment to achieve the targets, based
on the media used, time of year, quality of layout, etc.
Look at the competitors, index their advertising investment relative to the price premium they receive, and thus index our investment
relative to the price premium we receive (in other words, #1 brand has a 10% price premium and invests $10MM/year in advertising and
the industry average is $5MM/year. So they have 100% more advertising for a 10% price premium. We want a 0% price premium, so we'd
invest at the industry average of $5MM. Or, we want a 10% price discount, so we'd invest at of the industry average, or only $2.5MM
per year)
144
If our goal was to make money, and not necessarily to gain/maintain market share, what might be some alternatives?
Change pricing
Reduce costs
Change distribution
Which of these is likely to offer the greatest profit potential and why?
Because market volume is declining so much, we will never recover the advertising investment to turn around the brand (the best
strategy).
Because market volume is declining so much, we will never recover the advertising investment to turn around the brand, and the
value of the brand declines every year as the volume declines.
Convince other producers to spend on advertising so the entire industry convinces more people to drink scotch and all producers
win. We could also encourage people to switch from wine/vodka/other drinks to drink scotch (e.g., link with cigars to appear more
fashionable).
145
Which of these will be easiest for the company to implement and why?
Is this the largest brand for the company? (i.e., if this brand declines, will the entire company decline?)
o
Fit with other brand strategies (i.e., are all of the other brands in the portfolio growth brands so that this is the only declining brand?)
Fit with management time and attention (is there so much time focused on fixing this brand that other brands suffer and offset the potential
improvement in this brand)?
Because market volume is declining so much, we will never recover the advertising investment necessary to turn around the brand, and the
value of the brand declines every year as the volume declines
Convince other producers to spend on advertising so the entire industry convinces more people to drink scotch and all producers
win. We could also encourage people to switch from wine/vodka/other drinks to drink scotch (e.g., link with cigars to appear more
fashionable).
146
Practice Case 18 (Children Clothes E-Retailer)
Part 1:
Case Situation:
It's a Friday afternoon. You've just accepted an offer to join our consulting company as a Senior Associate in the Business Strategy Competency.
You've just called in to confirm your start time on your first day and find out you have an excellent opportunity to be the lead business strategist
on a high profile project. We have partnered with a leading bricks-and-mortar children's apparel retailer to help them analyze, design, and build
their Internet strategy. There will be a kick-off meeting for the project with the client (including the client's CEO) on Monday morning. The
Principal/Engagement Leader on this project has asked you to lead a discussion about how the client should think about opportunities on the
Internet. Right now, the client only has a marketing and informational presence on the web (a.k.a. "brochureware"). The Principal/ Engagement
Leader wants the client to think about the range of opportunities and challenges the Internet presents and whether the client should invest
aggressively in pursuing any initiatives.
Company Background:
The client's web site and some associated articles found on the Internet have provided the following information.
The client is a publicly traded company with a $3B market cap. The share price has risen from $15 to $45 in the past 12 months.
The client has 300 stores, mostly east of the Mississippi, and all stores are within the U.S.
Revenues are approximately $250M, and the firm has average profitability for its industry.
The client has been on a rapid store expansion program adding about 25 new stores each quarter for the past two years. They claim to
expect similar growth going forward.
The market for this client is clothing for children 12 and under. Sales are roughly split between boys and girls.
The company is vertically integrated: It designs all its own products, has deep relationships with contract manufacturers in Asia, and
distributes all of its products through company owned stores.
The company sells a high quality product that is priced about 25-30% lower than its chief competitors.
The company has done only limited marketing. The brand remains relatively unknown.
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 91
147
Your Challenge:
Plan for the client meeting. Structure the problem at hand. What questions would you ask?
Then, work with your interviewer to explore and broaden those questions and brainstorm the client's hypothetical responses.
Possible Approach:
To present the best solution, the candidate must have a better understanding of the customers, the competitors and the client. Some of the
important questions to ask are:
Market and Competitive Landscape:
What are the main trends and dynamics going on in the client's industry?
How are they using the Internet: Has there been a direct causal relationship to their revenues and/or expenses from their Internet
strategy and implementation?
148
Customers:
Client:
Are they capable of supporting an Internet initiative with the existing culture? Talent? IT infrastructure, legacy, processes?
Operational structure, processes, procedures, policies? Accounting processes?
[The goal of the interviewer is to assess the candidate's ability to analyze and develop questions for the client to answer. The interviewer will often
play the devil's advocate and challenge the hypothesis the candidate generates.]
149
Part 2:
Quantitative Analysis:
After spending part of the weekend preparing for your kick-off meeting and discussion facilitation, you check your voicemail from the airport
before hopping onto the shuttle on your way to the client's office for the meeting. The one new message is from your Principal/Engagement Leader
asking you to provide an estimate of the size of today's online component of domestic children's apparel sales and how large it might grow in the
next 5 years. As you step onto the plane, you realize that you'll have no access to the Internet or other research before the meeting starts. Instead,
you will need to create a "back-of-the-envelope" analysis on the plane.
Your Challenge:
Spend about 5 minutes creating an answer to these two questions:
1. What would you estimate the size of today's online component of domestic children's apparel sales today?
2. How large do you think it will grow in the next 5 years?
[The point of this scenario is to test the candidate's ability to do some real time analysis, to articulate a methodology, and to make reasonable and
explicit assumptions in order to arrive at a ballpark estimate.]
150
Possible Response
Assume the children's apparel category is dollars spent on clothes for kids ages 12 and under, as stated in the case facts.
There are approximately 275M people in the U.S., perhaps 15% are under 12.
275M x 15% = approximately 40M kids under the age of 12.
Assume the average parents spend $250 on each kid age 12 or under each year.
40M kids x $250 = $10B children's apparel industry for kids 12 and under.
Of the people who spend this $10B, assume 35% of them have Internet access and have the potential to shop online.
Therefore, the theoretical current maximum potential size of the market is $3.5B.
However, just because people use their online access to buy their kids' clothes doesn't mean they spent all $250 for each child online for their
apparel. In fact, only a small fraction of those dollars are spent online today, perhaps 5% (a.k.a. share of wallet).
5% x $3.5B = $175M (which is not too far off the actual estimate of $130M in 1999-Forrester Report)
In the next five years, let's assume the number of kids increases to 42M, average spending goes to $300 per kid age 12 and under, Internet access
rises to 55% and share of wallet rises to 20%.
The 5-year growth estimate would be:
42M kids x $300/kid x 55% x 20% = $1.4B (which is not too far off the Forrester estimate of $1.6B).
151
BCG
59
152
BCG
Interviewer: It actually has higher profits than the competition on a per-store basis.
Interviewee: Well, higher profits could be the result of lower costs or higher revenues. Are
the higher per-store profits due to lower costs than the competition's or the result of higher
per-store sales?
Interviewer: CanadaCo's cost structure isn't any lower than the competition's. Its
higher per-store profits are due to higher per-store sales.
Interviewee: Is that because it has bigger stores?
Interviewer: No. CanadaCo's average store size is approximately the same as that of
the competition.
Interviewee: If they're selling similar products at similar prices in similarly-sized stores in
similar locations, why are CanadaCo's per-store sales higher than the competition's?
Interviewer: It's your job to figure that out!
Interviewee: Is CanadaCo better managed than the competition?
Interviewer: I don't know that CanadaCo as a company is necessarily better
managed, but I can tell you that its management model for individual stores is
significantly different.
Interviewee: How so?
Interviewer: The competitor's stores are centrally owned by the company, while
CanadaCo uses a franchise model in which each individual store is owned and
managed by a franchisee who has invested in the store and retains part of the profit.
Interviewee: In that case, I would guess that the CanadaCo stores are probably better
managed, since the individual storeowners have a greater incentive to maximize profit.
Interviewer: You are exactly right. It turns out that CanadaCo's higher sales are due
primarily to a significantly higher level of customer service. The stores are cleaner,
more attractive, better stocked, and so on. The company discovered this through a
series of customer surveys last year. I think you've sufficiently covered the Canadian
marketlet's move now to a discussion of the United States market.
Interviewee: How many stores does USCo own in the United States, and how many does
the second-largest discount retailer own?
Interviewer: USCo owns 4,000 stores and the second-largest competitor owns
approximately 1,000 stores.
Interviewee: Are USCo stores bigger than those of the typical discount retailer in the United
States?
Interviewer: Yes. USCo stores average 200,000 square feet, whereas the typical
discount retail store is approximately 100,000 square feet.
Interviewee: Those numbers suggest that USCo should be selling roughly eight times the
volume of the nearest United States competitor!
60
153
BCG
Interviewer: Close. USCo's sales are approximately $5 billion, whereas the nearest
competitor sells about $1 billion worth of merchandise.
Interviewee: I would think that sales of that size give USCo significant clout with suppliers.
Does it have a lower cost of goods than the competition?
Interviewer: In fact, its cost of goods is approximately 15 percent less than that of
the competition.
Interviewee: So it probably has lower prices.
Interviewer: Right again. Its prices are on average about ten percent lower than
those of the competition.
Interviewee: So it seems that USCo has been so successful primarily because it has lower
prices than its competitors.
Interviewer: That's partly right. Its success probably also has something to do with
a larger selection of products, given the larger average store size.
Interviewee: How did USCo get so much bigger than the competition?
Interviewer: It started by building superstores in rural markets served mainly by
mom-and-pop stores and small discount retailers. USCo bet that people would be
willing to buy from it, and it was right. As it grew and developed more clout with
suppliers, it began to buy out other discount retailers and convert their stores to the
USCo format.
Interviewee: So whenever USCo buys out a competing store, it also physically expands it?
Interviewer: Not necessarily. Sometimes it does, but when I said it converts it to
the USCo format, I meant that it carries the same brands at prices that are on
average ten percent lower than the competition's.
Interviewee: What criteria does USCo use in deciding whether it should physically expand a
store it's just bought out?
Interviewer: It depends on a lot of factors, such as the size of the existing store,
local market competition, local real estate costs, and so on, but I don't think we
need to go into that here.
Interviewee: Well, I thought it might be relevant in terms of predicting what it will do with
the 300 stores that it bought in Canada.
Interviewer: Let's just assume that it doesn't plan to expand the Canadian stores
beyond their current size.
Interviewee: OK. I think I've learned enough about USCo. I'd like to ask a few questions
about USCo's ability to succeed in the Canadian market. Does USCo have a strong brand name
in Canada?
61
154
BCG
62
155
BCG
Although some consumers will remain loyal out of habit or because of your high level of
service, it is reasonable to expect the discount shopper to shop where prices are lowest.
Moreover, over time your brand-name advantage will erode as USCo becomes more familiar to
Canadian consumers. You certainly have to worry about losing significant share to USCo stores
in the long term. You should probably do something about it now, before it's too late.
Interviewer: Can you suggest possible strategies for CanadaCo?
Interviewee: Maybe it can find ways to cut costs and make the organization more efficient,
so it can keep prices low even if its cost of goods is higher.
Interviewer: Anything else?
Interviewee: It might consider instituting something like a frequent shopper program, where
consumers accumulate points that entitle them to future discounts on merchandise.
Interviewer: What might be a potential problem with that?
Interviewee: Well, it might not be that cost-effective, since it would be rewarding a
significant number of shoppers who would have continued to shop there anyway.
Interviewer: Any other suggestions?
Interviewee: CanadaCo might want to prepare a marketing or advertising campaign that
highlights its high level of service. It might even institute a CanadaCo Service Guarantee that
surpasses any guarantees offered by USCo.
Interviewer: Assuming the only way to keep customers is through competitive
pricing, is there anything CanadaCo can do to appear competitive to the consumer?
Interviewee: It might want to consider offering fewer product lines, so that it can consolidate
its buying power and negotiate prices with suppliers that are competitive with USCo's. It might
lose some customers who want the variety of products that USCo has, but it may be able to
retain the customer who is buying a limited array of items and is just looking for the best price.
Interviewer: All of your suggestions are interesting, and you would want to analyze
the advantages and disadvantages of each in more detail before making any
recommendations to the CEO.
63
156
Revenue source: interest revenue and fee revenue (see chart below)
Charts given upon request (Note: not all charts are needed to answer the questions):
76
77
157
78
158
79
159
80
160
81
161
162
Raise/Introduce fees
o Raising/introducing fees accomplishes two objectives a) increase revenue
from this customer segment and b) if done correctly, can influence
behavior positively e.g. reduce branch visits by charging for transactions.
o Giant Bank needs to be careful about how to do this however, to ensure
that it doesnt lose too many customers. While these customers are
negative profit, they are likely positive contribution given the bulk of the
costs are fixed. Thus, Giant Bank should raise/introduce fees that either
are in line with the market, or is likely something the other 3 banks will
follow.
Redirect customers to cheaper channels
o Channel costs vary significantly. Branch costs (the most expensive) can be
10x-100x more expensive than cheaper channels (e.g. internet
transactions can be < $0.01 fully costed).
o Many customers will migrate to cheaper channels if the appropriate mix of
positive and negative reinforcement are applied. Positive reinforcement
includes education and making the channel easy to use (e.g. secure and
easy login for internet access). Negative reinforcement usually comes in
the form of fees.
Has potential:
!
Shut down unprofitable branches
o At the end of the day, this is where the bulk of cost reduction is going to
come from. However, it is unlikely that Giant Bank has branches which are
predominately Youth customers. Thus, analysis across all segments need
to be conducted before an identification of specific branches to shut down
can be made.
o This analysis will likely be an overall footprint analysis of branches
quantifying profitability, contribution, and customer segments served.
!
Aggressively cross sell other products
o It is clear from the data that the number of products that this customer
segment owns is significantly less than other segments (except for
Community). One high potential is credit cards.
82
However, it is highly likely that this customer segment doesnt need any of
the other products that Giant Bank has to offer. Thus aggressively cross
selling may be futile. Further analysis will be required before this action
can be recommended. While cross selling has been a hot topic for financial
institutions, the results to date have been disappointing.
Attract more youth customers through marketing
o Giant Bank should not want any more of these customers, and certainly
shouldnt spend marketing dollars to acquire more of these customers.
However, there is an exception to selectively target older, educated
customers in this segment (e.g. 21/22 year old college graduates) who will
likely be profitable future customers for the bank.
o Timing is critical here howevertoo soon and Giant bank stands to lose
money for many years before being able to recoup its investment, and
there is no guarantee that the customer will not defect once he becomes
profitable.
o
163
83
164
Charts given upon request (Note: not all charts are needed to answer the questions):
84
85
165
86
166
87
167
88
168
89
169
170
90
171
(Source: Interview case from Booz Allen Operations Round I, RSB 2006 casebook #8)
Context
Our client is a Printed Circuit Board (PCB) manufacturer that has 3 plants - 1 in
Philippine, 1 in China, and 1 in the US. The client wants to invest money to expand
capacity in one or more plants. Which plant(s) should the client invest in?
Interviewee could ask some clarifying questions upfront or early in the process to understand:
!
What is PCB is for?
!
How does our client evaluate investment?
Given upon request
!
PCBs are used in TVs, radios, mobile phones etc.
!
The client wants the first year ROI on any investment to be no less than 10%.
Interviewee should lay down a structure that addresses all the key issues the client should
consider when evaluating the investment.
A sample framework could cover the following issues:
!
!
!
!
!
!
Interviewee should now realize that investing in the plant with the highest profit margin will
bring the highest return.
Interviewer should explore the complete value chain to understand cost components of every
part of the value chain across the three plants, and identify the plant that has the highest
profit margin.
Value chain Analysis
!
Sourcing:
How would the cost of raw material be different across plants?
Raw materials are made in East Asia (in places such as Taiwan). It is cheaper to
transport raw material from Taiwan to China/ Philippines than to US.
The cost of raw material is $1/unit for China and Philippines, and $2/unit for US
The other factors that affect raw materials purchasing: Supplier Quality and delivery;
supplier maturity.
93
172
Manufacturing:
What are the different costs in manufacturing? Neglect fixed costs for now (Plant,
property, equipment, Long-term agreements etc.)
We shall focus on variable costs.
o Direct Material Cost (its the cost of raw material)
o Labor Cost - $20/hr for US; $4/hr for China; $10/hr for Philippines
o Employee Productivity / efficiency
!
Productivity: 80% for China; 90% for US and Philippines
!
Efficiency: 75% for China; 90% for US; 80% for Philippines
o Overhead burden Assume $10/actual labor hour for all countries
o Scrap rate / rework rate cost of quality
o Tax rate
It takes 6 minutes to produce one unit in all three plants.
Warehousing:
Why would you need warehousing cost?
For long-distance transportation, the client would need to carry more inventory on its
shelf to compensate for the long lead-time and demand variability during the longer
lead-time. It is important to realize safety stock needed to maintain certain service
level and reduce stock out costs.
Warehousing costs are 25% of sales in China and Philippines and 10% of sales in the
US.
Transportation/Distribution:
The transportation cost would be higher when shipping products from country to
country.
Annual transportation costs are: $4M in China; $1.5M in US and $3M in Philippines
Docking Costs:
These costs include customs, tariffs, inbound taxation rates etc.
Marketing/Sales:
Ignore in this case
Customer Service:
Ignore in this case
Interviewer: Let interviewee calculate the unit profit margin in each plant
Variable Cost
China
US
Philippine
Raw Material
$1/unit
$2/unit
$1/unit
$4/hr
$20/Hr
$8/Hr
Theoretical Time
6 min/unit
6 min/unit
6 min/unit
Productivity
0.8
0.9
0.9
Efficiency
0.75
0.9
0.8
94
173
Scrap
NA
NA
Overhead
$10/Actual DL $10/Actual DL
Hour
Hour
$10/Actual DL
Hour
Warehousing
20% of sales
10% of sales
20% of sales
Transportation
4,000,000
1,500,000
3,000,000
China
US
Philippines
Raw Material
6,000,000
12,000,000
6,000,000
Theoretical Rate
10/Hr
10/Hr
10/Hr
Actual Rate
(Adjust for efficiency
and productivity)
6/hr
8/hr
7/hr
Total Hours
1,000,000
750,000
900,000
4,000,000
15,000,000
7,200,000
Overhead
5,000,000
7,500,000
9,000,000
Warehousing
12,000,000
6,000,000
12,000,000
Transportation
4,000,000
1,500,000
3,000,000
Total Cost
34,000,000
42,000,000
37,200,000
Cost / Unit
Price/Unit
$5.2
$7
$6.2
10
10
10
$4.8
$3
$3.8
Margin
Conclusion:
The plant in China has a higher profit margin due to lower cost structure and therefore
expanding capacity in that plant will bring the highest return.
Interviewer: If we decide to invest in a brand new facility in China and move all
manufacturing from the US plant to China as well, what are the things we should
consider?
Some of the things to consider:
!
US facility shutdown costs (severance, plant closures, machine sell-off etc.)
!
Union issue
!
Facility startup cost in China
!
Additional costs to transport products back to US, such as transportation, customs, etc
!
Currency risk
!
Chinese government regulations
!
Impact on brand image in US and US customer relations
Interviewer: Suppose the client decides to move manufacturing to China, what
would the client need to consider when deciding whether to invest in new
equipment?
95
174
Sample answer:
!
If the equipment has high value, and a specific asset to the client, the client should
consider shipping it overseas vs. selling off in the US and purchasing in China. Of
course, the client needs to compare the cost of both options. Leasing in China is
another option.
!
The equipment needs to have a physical useful life for the overhead allocation to be
low.
Interviewer: The client believes that the asset is specific. It is fully depreciated, and
has useful life of 10 years. Hence, the client decides to ship the equipment to China.
Uninstalling and shipping and then reinstalling will take about 2 months. How should
the client do in the interim to keep the business going?
Sample answer:
The client should focus on building a bridge inventory in order to satisfy the customer
demand during the timeline between uninstalling and shipping the machine to China; and
installing it and running the machine to production.
96
175
WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$W/.-1./(+
W/.-1./(+O
WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$/,$1$'1;)&$/+.&;+1./(+1'$7-''H4
/+.&);1.&=$@(AI-.&;,$1+=$@(AA-+/@1./(+,$@(AI1+H$
G/.>$1++-1'$;&K&+-&,$(7$1II;(M/A1.&'H$d!"$0/''/(+$`LWL
*(AI'/@1./(+O
WHcH)H",$I;(7/.,$>1K&$0&&+$=&@'/+/+)$,.&1=/'H$(K&;$.>&$
I1,.$,&K&;1'$H&1;,
[@./(+O
h(-;$@(+,-'./+)$7/;A$>1,$0&&+$>/;&=$.($&K1'-1.&$.>&$
@1-,&$(7$.>&$I;(0'&A$1+=$.($;&@(AA&+=$,('-./(+,$
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"6
101
176
WHcH)H",$>/,.(;/@1'$@(,.,B$;&K&+-&,B$1+=$I;(7/.,$1;&$,>(G+$
(+$.>/,$,'/=&
[++-1'$9&K&+-&,
*[U9$XaY
X+/+&$H&1;,Y
dC"2
68L]a
X;&K&+-&,Y
d!"L!2
!"
d6_L!2
CL_
d6_L_2
!L]
d6]Lf2
6]L8
d#L"2
6L"
"
CL"
dQL"2
6L#
CL_
d_L62
6Lf
#LC
d]L#2
!L!
QL!
CL"
_LQ
6QLC
CLC
6!L_
8L_a
!L_
d66L]2
d8LQ2
6"
!LC
!6L8a
6CL8
fL#
V;(7/.,
*(,.,
h&1;,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"!
102
177
:(;'=G/=&$.&'&@(AA-+/@1./(+,$@(AI-./+)$A1;3&.$
X.(=1HY
[++-1'$:(;'=G/=&$S1;3&.
X/+$0/''/(+,$(7$=(''1;,Y
6""a
f"
d!Q2
F.>&;,
d6_2
d_2
\1./(+ 1'
\1./(+1'
*;1H
9&,&1 ;@>
['1,31
D1.
_"
\1./(+1'
*;1H$9&,&1;@>
['1,31$D1.
W(+/@$:1K&
#"
E+'1+=
\1K/)1./(+
V'1+&.,(7.
!"
"
F;0/.
WHcH)H
*-,.(A
[II'/@1./(+,
V'1+&.,(7.
W(+/@ $:1K&
*;1H
9&,&1;@>
['1,31$D1.
d6_2
\1./(+1'
*;1H
9&,&1;@>
FI&;1./+)
W(7.G1;&
WHcH)H
W(+/@$:1K&
E+'1+=
\1K/)1./(+
F;0/.
WHcH)H
WHcH)H
W1.&''/.&,
*;1H$9&,&1;@>
V'1+&.,(7.
E+'1+=
\1K/)1./(+
F;0/.
WHcH)H
\1./(+1'
J(.1'$k
dff2
['1,31$D1.
W(+/@$:1K&
F;0/.
d!#2
W-I&;@(AI-.&;,
J&'&@(A
TN-/IA&+.
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"C
103
178
J>/,$);1I>$I'(.,$WHcH)H",$10,('-.&$A1;3&.$,>1;&$
X[SWY$K,L$/.,$;&'1./K&$A1;3&.$,>1;&$X9SWY
9&'1./K&$S1;3&.$W>1;&$X9SWY
!L"
V;(=-@.$56
6LQ
V;(=-@.
5C
6L"
V;(=-@.
5!
V;(=-@.
5#
"LQ
WHcH)H
9&K&+-&,
V;(=-@.$5Q
"L"
6"
!"
Q"
6""a
[0,('-.&$S1;3&.$W>1;&$X[SWY
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"#
104
179
J>/,$@>1;.$@(AI1;&,$@(AI1+/&,Z$9l?$G/.>$.>&/;$
=&);&&$(7$.&@>+/@1'$'&1=&;,>/I
J&@>+/@1'$m&1=&;,>/I
X21,&=$(+$*-,.(A&;$W-;K&H,Y
*;1H$9&,&1;@>
6"
W(+/@$:1K&
f
F;0/.
V'1+&.,(7.
E+'1+=$\1K/)1./(+
#
!
WHcH)H
['1,31$D1.
\1./(+1'
"
"L"
QL"
6"L"
6QL"a
9l?$TMI&+,&,$1,$1$a$(7$W1'&,
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"Q
105
180
WHcH)HZ,$9l?$&MI&+,&,$7(;$,-I&;@(AI-.&;,$1+=$
.>&/;$,&''/+)$I;/@&,$1;&$,>(G+$(K&;$./A&
d$A/''/(+,
d6!S
6"
d8L"S
d6"L6S
d]L6S
dQL"S
Q
!
688C
9l?R
`+/.$
d#LCS
688C
V;/@&R
`+/.
688Q
9l?R
`+/.$
688Q
V;/@&R
`+/.
688]
9l?R
`+/.$
d!L8S
d!LCS
d6LfS
d6LQS
d6L6S
"
d8LfS
d8L_S
688]
V;/@&R
`+/.
6888
9l?R
`+/.$
6888
V;/@&R
`+/.
!""6
9l?R
`+/.$
!""6
V;/@&R
`+/.
!""C
9l?R
`+/.$
!""C
V;/@&R
`+/.
*DE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
*(+,-'./+)$*'-0$*1,&$2((3$9&4:;/.&$4 WHcH)H$W-I&;@(AI-.&;,$*1,&$4 ?;17.$4 1,$(7$?&@&A0&;$8B$!""C
6"_
106
181
Syzygy Supercomputers Case - Solutions and De-Brief
Origins
The Syzygy Supercomputers case was created from scratch by the editorial team for the
Kellogg Consulting Club Case Book re-write, although the case does combine concepts from
various other cases.
General Comments
This is a challenging case that tests several relevant concepts, and is heavy on slide
interpretation. The candidate will need to use logical, inductive reasoning to discover and
highlight the relevant ideas and insights.
Solutions/How to Give the Case
Slide #1 (page 101) gives the relevant background information. Based on that, the
candidate should identify this as a profitability problem, and ask to see historical revenue and
cost information. Wanting to see this information over time, rather than just for the most recent
fiscal year, is important, indicating the candidate$6"84>*76(34>A4."-1"()*"4**>"(-"6**"(7*4>6"73()*7"
than just a snapshot at this moment in time.
Slide #2 (page 102) provides this profitability information. The correct interpretation is
that both costs and revenues have risen over time, but that profits peaked in 2000 and have fallen
ever since.
Slides #3 and #4 (pages 103-104) should be given in tandem. After presenting the
macroeconomic information about this industry (presented in the famed "537A5*??-#"1-753()7
Take some time to familiarize yourself with this chart, if you have never seen one before. You will probably
encounter a chart like this one if you interview with Bain. Marakon uses a similar data format in some of its studies.
The editorial team has also seen data laid out this way in cases used in the classroom, so it is a valuable type of chart
to be able to quickly interpret.
107
182
on slide #3 (page 103), the interviewer should then present slide #4 (page 104) and ask the
candidate which product on slide #4 is which.
108
183
So, now ! how do you interpret the graphs and what to do about them? Looking at slide
#4 (page 104), the bubble in the upper-left hand corner of an AMS vs. RMS slide (product #1, in
this case) indicates a position as the market leader in a very fragmented industry. The obvious
question, then, is what if any advantages accrue to such a leader. In this case, it is probably true
that there are little if any economies of scale in custom applications, so increasing either AMS or
RMS seems unlikely to lead to a competitive advantage. By contrast, the bubbles to the righthand side of a chart like this (product #2, in this case) indicate a duopoly market in which the
client company is in either first place or a close second. Finally, the bubble in the lower left-hand
corner of such a chart (product #5, in this case) indicates a weak position and begs the question !
are there economies of scale, network effects, and/or an experience curve at work here? Since
this product is operating software, the answer is probably going to be "yes# in all three cases.
The likely conclusion is that Syzygy$6" 3,7*3>'" 653,," 537?*(" 6)37*" A4" -@*73(A4." 6-1(H37*" HA,,"
continue to erode. Translation: Syzygy should probably exit this business.
Slides #5 and #6 (pages 105-106) conclude the case by looking at Syzygy$6"7*6*370)"34>"
development (R&D) spending. The key insight in slide #5 (page 105) is that Syzygy is the only
major competitor in this industry whose R&D spending is below the "4-753(AG* band#"D()*"&34>"
indicated by the area in between the two parallel lines). We would expect each company$6"
degree of technical leadership to go up as it invests in R&D. But Syzygy, with slightly more
R&D than Cray Research, enjoys less of a perception of technical leadership from its customers,
and is also dominated by Sonic Wave, which has a position to the north and west of Syzygy as
well.
Slide #6 (page 106) builds on this point by examining Syzygy$6" jkP" *R@*46*6" 36"
compared to its product prices over time. Although R&D as a % of the product price is clearly
109
184
increasing over time, the key insight here is the absolute expenses, not the % taken up by
expenses. Spending $4 million/unit on R&D for features that will allow a company to charge $6
million/unit more for its product is a good strategic move, even if it raises the overall % of a
product$6"63,*"@7A0*"()3("A6"6@*4("-4"jkPB""[-H*G*79"/'S'.'"A6"6@*4>A4."5-7*"5-4*'"-4"1*3(87*6"
than the customer$6" 0-77*6@-4>A4." "HA,,A4.4*66" (-" @3'#" ! for instance, from 2001 to 2003,
Syzygy$6"jkP"6@*4>A4."@*7"84A("A407*36*>"&'"^=B<"5A,,A-49"&8("()*"0-77*6@-4>A4."@7A0*"A407*36*"
was only $300,000/unit. Likely translation ! Syzygy is spending money to develop features that
consumers are not willing to pay for. That$6"3"&3d business practice.
In conclusion, this is a complex case with multiple possible interpretations. In light of
the information presented, the candidate should be able to produce the most important insight,
which is that Syzygy should either A) cut R&D to eliminate spending on unnecessary customer
features, or B) keep R&D spending the same, but switch the work to developing features that
consumers will be willing to pay for at a level that is higher than the R&D expense itself.
Syzygy$6"@-6A(A-4"36"()*"-verall market leader would argue for Option B, but either option could
be argued for successfully. A second-order insight from the case is that Syzygy should exit the
operating software business, since economies of scale, network economics, and the experience
curve are all working against it. By the same token, it should increase its focus in some of the
categories where it is the market leader, to get some or all of those economies to work for it and
against its competition.
110