Economic Intelligence Center (EIC)

February 2012

Houseview

Unit
(GDP) %YOY
-
%YOY
-
%YOY

%p.a.
( )
THB/USD
( )
THB/USD

2010
7.8
3.3
1.0
2.00
31.7
30.1

Actual
11 Q1 11 Q2
3.2
2.7
3.0
4.1
1.5
2.4
2.50
3.00
30.5
30.3
30.3
30.5

11 Q3
3.5
4.1
2.8
3.50
30.1
30.4

SCB EIC forecast

11 Q4
2011
2012
-(7-8)
0.3-0.5
4.5-4.7
4.0
3.8
3.5-4.0
2.8
2.4
2.5-3.0
3.25
3.25
3.00
31.0
30.5
30.8
31.2
31.2 30.0-31.0

: Consensus Economics, NESDB, Bank of Thailand; SCB EIC forecasts

(GDP)

2012 4.5-4.7%

2012 3.5-4.0%

0.7% 2012

8.3%


8% 9% 2011
2012

3.5

2013 2012




2012



2-3


(hair cut)

Pornthep Jubandhu pornthep.jubandhu@scb.co.th

3.5% .. 2011
3.4% .. 2012

-0.2%MOM ()

2012

2011
.. ..
2012

2012 7-8%YOY
19%YOY 2011

(.)

( 2.8% .. 2012)


2012 2.5-3.0%
.
0.5-3.0%

Economic Intelligence Center (EIC)

February 2012

3.00% 2012

. 25 bps 3.00% ..
2012 .




.

.. 2.8%
. .
3.00%

Pornthep Jubandhu pornthep.jubandhu@scb.co.th

2012
30.0-31.0

2012
2011
(
)