Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Semester 2 2016
Assignment 3 Solutions
14 + 22 + 7 + 13 + 10 + 15 = 81 marks
Question 1
Show your working. (SYW)
(a)
A and B are non-singular nn matrices, ie, A-1 and B-1 exist.
because BB-1 = I
because AA-1 = I
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because AA-1 = I
because BB-1 = I
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M is a 33 matrix. So is M-1.
Because M-1 is the inverse of M, MM-1 = I3
-1
MM =
5 2
1
8 10 8
2 4 4
] [ ] [ ]
a d g
b e h
c f i
1 0 0
0 1 0
0 0 1
-5a + 2b + c
=1
(1)
-8a + 10b 8c = 0
(2)
-2a + 4b 4c = 0
(3)
Note the ease of starting each elimination process with equations that have 0 on the RHS.
2(3) (2)
-4a + 8b - 8c (-8a + 10b 8c) = 0
4a 2b = 0
b = 2a
b = 2a
(2)
-8a + 20a - 8c = 0
12a 8c = 0
c = 1.5a
(1)
-5a + 4a + 1.5a = 1
0.5a = 1
a=2
a = 2 b = 2a = 4, c = 1.5a = 3
-1
MM =
5 2
1
8 10 8
2 4 4
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] [ ] [ ]
a d g
b e h
c f i
1 0 0
0 1 0
0 0 1
-5d + 2e + f
=0
(4)
-8d + 10e 8f = 1
(5)
-2d + 4e 4f = 0
(6)
4(4) + (6)
-20d + 8e + 4f + (-2d + 4e - 4f) = 0
-22d + 12e = 0
e = 11d/6
(4)
-5d + 22d/6 + f = 0
(5)
-8d + 10(11d/6) 8(4d/3) = 1
d = -3 e = 11d/6 = -5.5, f = 4d/3 = -4
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e = 11d/6
f = 4d/3
d = -3
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MM-1 =
5 2
1
8 10 8
2 4 4
] [ ] [ ]
-5g + 2h + i
-8g + 10h 8i
-2g + 4h 4i
8(7) + (8)
2(9) (8)
12(11) + (10)
(11)
(7)
a d g
b e h
c f i
1 0 0
0 1 0
0 0 1
=0
(7)
=0
(8)
=1
(9)
-40g + 16h + 8i - 8g + 10h 8i = 0
-48g + 26h = 0 (10)
-4g + 8h 8i (-8g + 10h 8i) = 2 - 0
-4g + 8h 8i + 8g - 10h + 8i = 2
4g - 2h = 2
(11)
48g - 24h - 48g + 26h = 24 + 0
2h = 24
h = 12
4g - 2h = 2 = 4g 212
4g 24 = 2
g = 6.5
-5g + 2h + i
=0
-56.5 + 212 + i = 0
-8.5 + i = 0
i = 8.5
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without using any electronic calculation device. Obtain, and solve algebraically by elimination, a
set of simultaneous equations for a, b and c; for d, e and f; for g, h and i.
Deduct 1 mark if the proof begins with (AB)-1 = B-1A-1. ie, stating that it is true BEFORE proving it.
(Marker may write assumed to indicate this.)
0 marks for using a particular numerical example or a particular n value, eg, n = 2 or 3.
BTW, AB is conformable as both are n n matrices. A-1 and B-1 are also n n matrices.
0 marks if an electronic calculation device was used to calculate the inverse.
Gaussian elimination is solving by elimination.
However, deduct 3 marks if its not clearly based on these 3 sets of simultaneous equations:
- for a, b and c; - for d, e and f; - for g, h and i.
Deduct a further 3 marks if Excel was used to do the Gaussian elimination.
DEDUCT 3 MARKS if solved instead for a, d & g; b, e & h; c, f & i.
DEDUCT 3 MARKS for using M-1 = adjoint(M)/det(M) instead of the requested equations.
(BTW, Adjoint was not on our syllabus.)
BTW, it is a good idea to check your M-1 by calculating MM-1 and M-1M.
(a)
MDETERM formula
(b)
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The augmented matrix (call it Augm) has dimensions 66. So, its maximum possible rank is 6.
This will be so if Augm has determinant 0.
=MDETERM(B2:G7)
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1.045031E-11 = 0.00000000001045031
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All elements of A and Augm are integers. So, the
determinant of any sub-matrix MUST have an integer
value because these integers are only being multiplied,
subtracted and added. There are no division calculations.
1.045031E-11 is the result of Excel rounding error.
Kaw p59:
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is consistent
because rank(A) = rank(augmented matrix) = 5.
has a unique solution
because rank(A) = number of unknowns, n, = 5.
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(d)
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Check
The question initially asked for a solution to the system of
equations AX = C. [65 51 61]
So, we must check that our solution vector X satisfies
AX = C. [65 51 61] (Lecture 9, Slides 4 & 8.)
(In particular, we must check that the calculated x values
satisfy the removed equation.)
Cells O2:O7 contain the formula =MMULT(B2:F7,L2:L6)
[65 51 61]
(e)
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Markers, remember that C is not a permissible Range Name in Excel. So, formulas using C are fictitious.
Is this system of equations ill-conditioned? Discuss. Provide suitable calculations
Maximum 1 mark for merely describing the procedure to check for ill-conditioning.
Make small (eg, +0.001)
changes to the elements
of C1.
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Results of calculating
X = A1-1C1
Formula: =MMULT(MINVERSE(B11:F15),I11:I15)
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=MMULT(MINVERSE(B20:F24),I20:I24)
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Changes to X are small.
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The system seems well-conditioned.
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An alternative approach to finding the unique solution in part (d) was to use Regression, with
the 65 coefficient matrix as the x values.
the 61 right-hand side vector as the y values.
the 5 unknowns (x1, x2, x3, x4 and x5) being treated as the regression coefficients which have to be
determined.
Question 3
[3 + 4 = 7 marks]
Show your working (SYW), including the formula(s) that you used. Do not use software.
A rocket travelled 0.5 km in its first minute of flight. Each minute thereafter, the distance
travelled was 40% more than the distance travelled in the previous minute.
(a)
Geometric sequence: a = 0.5, r = 1.4, n = 10. Tn = ?
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n1
Tn = ar
nth term of geometric sequence
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T10 = ar9 = 0.5 1.49
(b)
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0.5(1.4n 1)
1044
0.4
1044
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[3 + (3+6+1) = 13 marks]
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L = $50,000, R = 0.0995.
(i)
r = 2nR/(n + 1)
Monthly payments, t = 4 years, n = 412 = 48.
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n = 48, R = 0.0995. r = ?
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r = 2480.0995/(48 + 1)
= 0.1949387
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Approximate annual effective rate: 19.494%
[%, correct to 3 decimal places.]
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(ii)
A0 = $1,456.25 monthly.
m = 12, t = 4 years, n = 412 = 48.
EAR aka APR
= (1 + i/m)m - 1
To use this formula, we need to treat the monthly payment of $1,456.25 as if it
came from a
compound interest loan with interest of i per annum, compounded monthly.
This necessitates solving the equation A0 = L(i/m)/[1 (1 + i/m)-n] for i.
1,456.25 = 50,000(i/12)/[1 (1 + i/12)-48]
Because this is very difficult to solve algebraically, use Solver.
= (1 + i/m)m - 1
= (1 + 0.175204397777/12)12 - 1
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= 1.189981413743 - 1
= 0.189981413743
Annual effective rate: 18.998 %
[%, correct to 3 decimal places.]
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[Lecture 11, Slide 41.]
(iii)
i/m = 0.175204397777/12
Nominal rate = i/m m = i = 0.175204397777
Nominal rate: 17.520%
[%, correct to 3 decimal places.]
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Question 5
Show your working (SYW), including the formula(s) that you used.
(a)
(b)
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[2 + (3+1+2) + 2 = 10 marks]
P1 = $100, P0 = $50, t = 1, i = ?
Pt = P0(1 + i)t
100 = 50(1 + i)1
1 + i = 100/50 = 2
i=21=1
Answer: 100%
Not 100%.
Since the calculation is exact, this rate should be reported as a whole number. Reporting it as
100.000% implies, incorrectly, that the calculation has been rounded to 3 decimal places.
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(i)
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(iii)
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Part (c) is not about the Money magazine article in (a) and (b).
(c)
i/m is the interest rate per month. m = 12.
(ii)
Question 6
NPV
A:
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=IRR(values, guess)
values: all cash flows.
[Excel will calculate the values below if guess is left out of the formula.]
=IRR(B5:B20,$B$2)
29.370%
=IRR(C5:C20,$B$2)
16.958%
=IRR(D5:D20,$B$2)
31.805%
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(b)
Yes, because C has some very high returns early in the investment period,
whereas A and C have returns much more evenly spread through the term of the investment.
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(c)
We know that, if the IRR < the cost of capital, the project is ineffective and has a negative NPV.
The IRR for B (16.958%) is less than 21%.
So, for a cost of capital of 21%, the NPV for B would be negative.
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For cost of capital i,
NPV = initial outlay + return_1/(1 + i)1 + return_2/(1 + i)2 + return_3/(1 + i)3 +
B:
C:
(iii)
IRR
A:
B:
C:
Note: all 3 investments have the same initial outlay and are of similar scale.
The sum of returns can help to guide decisions, but can be misleading because it does not take into
account
the time value of money.
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the investors preferences for when to receive the returns. (eg, it might be important
for cash flow to receive returns early.)
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For example, B is quite inferior (much lower NPV & IRR) to C, despite B having a higher sum of
returns.
An important contributor to high values of NPV and IRR is to get large returns early.
Sum of
NPV
IRR
Returns
A
$450m
$67.264 29.370
m
%
B
$250m
$4.087 16.958
m
%
C
$240m
$42.545 31.805
m
%
(e)
(i)
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(ii)
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(iii)
0 marks for merely quoting the NPV and IRR values given in (a)(ii) & (iii).
Note
All 3 investments have the same outlay, have positive NPV and have an IRR > cost of
capital.
The investments are of similar scale. So, an oft-quoted disadvantage of IRR (that it does not
differentiate between the scales of competing projects) is inapplicable.
B has lowest NPV & IRR, but these measures give contradictory indications for A and C.
In this situation, given that both have IRR > the cost of capital, NPV is usually the preferred
measure because itreflectsthegrowthofthecompanysfinances.
The NPV method assumes that funds may be reinvested at the cost of capital, while the IRR
method assumes funds are reinvested at the IRR value (which may not be possible).
Reinvesting at the cost of capital is more realistic. So, NPV is preferred
The decision may be affected by
o stability of the workforce/work environment
o state of the economy
o the need for returns in the early years of the investment.
o long term rate of return
o the risk of the individual investments.
Arguments for A
Consistent returns.
Highest NPV; only slightly smaller IRR than C.
Arguments for B
?
Arguments for C
The relatively large early returns are advantageous if the investment turns bad. The initial
outlay is returned relatively quickly.
Highest IRR and relatively high NPV.
Although A has higher NPV, calculation of NPV is very sensitive to any change in the
discount rate. On the other hand, IRR reports the rate of return expected to be yielded by
the investment and doesnt depend on any assumed rate for cost of capital.
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Square brackets [ ] placed around your work by the marker indicate sections that are not contributing to
your marks tally. This is (a)
a convenience to help the marker in allocating marks
and
(b)
an indication to you of what is most relevant to the question that was asked.
(Often, such bracketed responses are correct statements, but do not address the question that was asked.)