The Great Calendar A Freemans Perspective Special Report

Paul Rosenberg

A Freemans Perspective Special Report

How to Be One
of the Good Guys
It started with an article of ours entitled, The Good Guys are NOT Coming to Save Us, in which I wrote
the following:
A lot of Americans know that the US government is out of control. Anyone who has cared
enough to study the US Constitution even a little knows this. Still, very few of these people
are taking any significant action, and largely because of one error: They are waiting for the
good guys to show up and fix things.
Some think that certain groups of politicians will pull it together and fix things, or that one
magnificent politician will ride in to fix things. Others think that certain members of the
military will step in and slap the politicians back into line. And, Im sure there are other
variations.
There are several problems with this. Ill start with the small issues:

It doesnt happen. A lot of good people have latched on to one grand possibility
after another, waiting for a good guy to save the day, and it just doesnt happen.
Thousands of hours of reading, writing and waiting are burned with each new
great light who comes along with a promise to run the system in the right way,
and give us liberty and truth. (Or whatever.) Lots of decent folks grab on to one
pleasant dream after another, only to end up right back where they started but
poorer in time, energy and finances.

Hope is a scam. Its a dream of someday, somehow, getting something for nothing.
People who hope do not act they wait for other people to act. Hope is a tool to
neuter a natural opposition: they sit and hope, and never act against you. Even the
biblical meaning of hope is something more like expectation (or sometimes waiting)
than the modern use of hope.

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Petitioning an abuser for compassion. The good guys are considered to be a few
people inside the abusive government. But if the good guys were really good,
wouldnt they have dissociated themselves with an abuser some time ago? By
pleading for the good guys to rise up, people are asking one sub-group of the abusers
to save them from the rest of the abusers. However, they all work for the same
operation; they all get paid out of the same offices; according to the same rulebook.
And if the good guys were so willing to turn against their employers, why would they
have waited until now?

Movies. We all grew up in the company of movie heroes who rode in at the last
minute to save the noble victims. From John Wayne to Star Trek to Bruce Willis, the
story line differs little. These are pleasant stories, of course, but cinema is not reality,
and hoping for it to become reality is something that we should get over prior to
adulthood. But, as I say, those are the smaller issues. Lets move on to the serious
ones.

The Magic System

A lot of Americans believe that the American Founders created a system that automatically
fixes itself. They talk about the balance of powers, and think that it will always save them
from a tyrant. The balanced powers of the US Constitution, however, were trashed within
fifteen years and doubly-trashed just a century ago.
In the Constitution, the states balanced the power of the national government (the one now
in Washington, DC.) Not only did the states control half of the legislature, but they decided if
and how they would implement the edicts of the national government. And that included
deciding whether a law was constitutional or not.
This changed in 1803 with the Marbury v. Madison ruling. This ruling taught as a work of
genius in American schools was a fraud against the US Constitution. In it, the Supreme Court
held that they understood the Constitution better than James Madison, the man who wrote
it!
But worse than even this, they held with no basis that it was they who would decide what
was constitutional or not. The states were tossed aside. Even the sitting President of the
United States, Thomas Jefferson, called it a very dangerous doctrine indeed, and one which
would place us under the despotism of an oligarchy.
Marburys Judicial review (the Supremes ruling on constitutionality) merely involves one
branch of the national government providing a check on the other branches of the national
government. After Marbury, the states could not restrain the national government.

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Washington DC was unleashed with Marbury v. Madison. What made it almighty was the
17th Amendment of 1913, which took the powers of the states and transferred them to
Washington, by mandating the popular election of senators.
With senators being elected directly by the populace, the states were entirely cut-out of the
equation. In their place, political parties gained massive power, and nearly all power was
consolidated in the city of Washington.
And so it is today. Washington is an unfettered beast. The system will NOT fix itself; the
mechanisms to do that were lost a long time ago.

The Easy Way Out

Standing up against a beast like Washington DC is scary, to be sure. Understandably, not
many people want to do such a thing. But if the beast is abusing you, what other choice do
you have? You can certainly avoid or evade the beast, but we all know that the beast hurts
people it catches avoiding it, so the risk of doing this isnt zero either.
So, whats a person to do? They hate their abuse, but outright disobedience would be scary.
Unfortunately, many people have come up with a third option: Get someone else to do it for
you.
Lots of writers have done this, for example: Write flamboyantly about the abuses people
face and stir them to rise up against the power. Fairly seldom does the writer take big risks
himself he just stirs up others to do the scary stuff.
Something very similar happens to basically moral people who dont want to risk pain and
suffering: they imagine good guys riding in to save them.
But, as I say, these are genuinely decent people, and they are willing to take smaller risks to
help the good guys: They will spend time and money promoting them, and they will even
accept name-calling in many cases. They just dont want to become full-blown rebels and
outcasts.
The result of this is predictable: abuse by the political class. If the politicians show them a
viable possibility every election cycle, theyll keep voting their way forever and the hero
never really has to show up.

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The Sad Truth

Lets just say it:
No one is going to ride in and save you.
If you want things to get better, then YOU will have to make them better. YOU will
have to stand up and take the arrows, yourself.
Liberty, at this stage of human development, requires risk and pain.
I trust that you will remember the end of Jesus famous Sermon on the Mount: That it is not
those who call upon his name who will be saved, but only those who DO the things he said.
Likewise in this situation, our only hope of salvation lies in DOING.

That message seemed to resonate with many people as more resources for free thinkers picked it up
from lewrockwell.com to alt-market.com, to fromthetrenchesworldreport.com to zerohedge.com.
And while it was gratifying to see my work spread throughout the Internet, it also raised a lot of
questions about the crucial follow-up about the DOING.
After all, if there are no Good Guys riding in to save us, then it falls to us to act on behalf of ourselves
and our families. And that is what we must do. But acting is of no value unless we act in ways that will
get us what we want. Not just any action will do. And in order to act correctly, we have to understand
our situation.
Unfortunately, the world we live in is very confusing. Even those people who try the hardest to figure it
all out come to wildly different conclusions. Their problem is not that they are lazy or stupid or ignorant
(usually they are none of the above), it's that they are focused on the daily outrages and the current
loud debates.
What we need most in a situation like this is perspective. It's very hard to understand the movement of a
hurricane while you are inside of it; you have to look at it from a great distance like a satellite view to
understand it.
And it precisely that type of satellite view that we can get from something that I call the Great
Calendar

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The Great Calendar

>> Load larger version <<

Imagine what life would be like if the seasons were each 400 years long, instead of a few months. We
might spend all of our lives in winter, following our parents and grandparents, eight generations deep,
who all lived the same way. We almost certainly would not have progressed into an informed, scientific
age.
In all likelihood, most people would consider stories of warm ages to be myths. We would also think that
our problems with shivering and frostbite were due to our own inadequacies, not being suited to nature.
People who said, its not our bodies that are maladapted, it's the world that's out of season would be
ridiculed and called crazy.

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With no great calendar to refer to, we would be living in a state of permanent confusion, unsure of why
we were unsuited to the world and tending to blame ourselves... until an effective calendar came along,
of course. Then we would be able to see where we were in the cycle, and to make sense of our lives in
this world.
The odd diagram you see above is that great calendar. The seasons are those of civilization, not of
weather, but the effects upon us are almost the same. The great value of this calendar is this:
Once you know where you are on the calendar,
the world around you finally makes sense.

How to Read this Calendar

The Great Calendar (click here to load large version) is actually simpler than it may first appear. It
contains three rings, each of which is related to the others.

The inner ring shows the dominating concerns or responses of individuals at the various stages
of the cycle.

The middle ring shows the changes in institutions (states, kingdoms, dominating religions) at the
various stages of the cycle.

The outer ring shows the stages of an entropy cycle (explained below) that correspond to the
stages of the other rings.

There's nothing new about cycles of civilization, by the way: The best historians almost always have
theories on the cycles of history. It's actually hard to avoid; the parallels jump out at you as you read the
histories of Rome, or Greece, or Sumer, or others.
The stages of civilizations that the historians have defined tend to be very similar, and the middle ring of
this chart is not terribly different from those.
By adding the other two rings, however, we can see the underlying mechanism that creates the pattern,
and that makes a big difference. Once you understand why history moves as it does, you know in
advance what is likely to occur; you can protect yourself and even profit from the changes.
If you understand, you can use history as a tool.
If you do not understand, history is a series of surprises that happen to you.

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The Example of Rome

To make this a bit clearer, the chart to
the right shows the progress of Roman
civilization over time, with the Entropy
Cycle (which drives it all) added in red.
The curves show the relationship
between production and plunder over
time. Rome's key events are noted. The
chart covers about a thousand years,
from the founding of Rome in 509 BC, to
the last Western emperor in 476 AD,
then continuing forward into the Middle
Ages.
A bit further in this report we will explain
how entropy drives this cycle a critical
thing to know but first we'll explain each stage in a bit more detail.

What Entropy Is
The real key to understanding this civilizational cycle is the fact that it is an entropy cycle,
operating like an engine that runs on heat.
Entropy is the dispersal of energy. It is not a loss
of energy; it's a dispersion of energy.
When ice is dropped into a glass of warm water,
the temperature difference between the water
and the ice can be used by a properly constructed motor to perform work. But as the ice
melts, the amount of work that can be extracted from the temperature difference
decreases, until the temperature evens out and no further work can be obtained. We then
say that entropy in the glass has increased.
The motor would work like this:
RECHARGE: Drop ice into the glass.
WORK: The motor turns.
ENTROPY: The ice melts, the temperature evens out and the motor slows down.
FAILURE: The motor stops and work stops.

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The Great Cycle

Since institutions are large, visible things, let's follow along with the orange, institutional ring of the long
calendar:
Devolution > Production > Growth & Unification > Decline & Adjustment > Systemic breakdown

Devolution & the long minima

Our usual images of this stage are of the dark ages that
followed the fall of Rome. (As unfair as that term may be.)
These were not the first dark ages, by the way. There was a dark
age from 1200 BC to 800 BC, usually called the dark age of the
Greeks. Dark ages are reset periods that follow the collapse of
civilizations.
During these periods governmental power devolves, going from
huge units like empires to tiny units like small towns and even
family groups, and remains that way for a long time.
During these period (moving now to the red, inner ring of the
chart), people are confused and feel abandoned. After all, they
had found their identity as members of the great empire and had
considered themselves partakers of the virtues of the empire. By
this stage, their empire their intellectual partner has
disintegrated.
As people begin to accept this loss, they develop a keen interest
in philosophy. That seems odd to us today, since so few people
care about philosophy at all. But in the devolution stage when
people have lost their sense of meaning it is normal for them to
take a deep interest in it.
That's how Pagan Europe changed almost completely to Christian
Europe in just a few centuries. It was the season for great
interest in philosophy and Christianity was a better set of ideas.
It was at the same phase of the Greek civilizational cycle that
they formed their philosophies.
During this stage, people reset. They find meaning for their lives
in new ways and learn to live without their old intellectual
partner. It is in dark ages that progress recharges and restarts.

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Production, first consolidations

Once people find fresh meaning in their lives, they naturally
produce and expand. They also develop personal virtue: strong
convictions on right and wrong that they demand in others and
themselves. This builds confidence, which leads to initiative,
intelligent work, and ultimately to material comfort.
During this stage of the great cycle, the first consolidations of
power occur. Tiny governmental units find their assets rising,
combine with other units, and begin conquests. Wealth is the
basis of war, and as wealth is built, justifications and wars tend
to follow.
The conquests of these periods don't spread very far, however,
because people have not yet identified themselves with a large
state and are unwilling to bleed for interests farther away than
their own towns.

Progressive growth & unification

A very interesting thing happens during this stage: People come
to accept the institution as an important part of their emotional
lives. What I call The Great Trade begins during these years and
continues until the civilization falls irreparably. The state (and/or
church) presents themselves to men as a superior entity higher
than men. This gives men approval from a higher source, and
allows them to trade away their insecurities by accepting a new
identity: of being joined to the higher power.
In our time, it is common to hear the Great Trade described like
this: People need to belong to something larger than themselves.
Sublimating your confusion and conflicts into a higher entity is a
lot easier than resolving them yourself. (At least it was before
psychology.) Thus, the trade can be very popular. This is when
the legitimacy of the state takes hold, allowing it to grow,
overtake smaller states, and consolidate. During these periods
conflicts with other states begin, caused by expansion into
territories that are claimed or desired by others.
Sadly, once people are emotionally tied to large states, large
wars follow.

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Decline & adjustments

What people think of as golden ages actually occur as a
civilization's production begins to decline. As power consolidates
in capital cities, great monuments and public works are built, but
the sources of production decline.
The more wealth that flows into a capital city, the more
impressive are the shows of state grandeur.
The great monuments of Rome were all built during the empire
(that is, in the middle-late stage), and not during the republic
(the early stage). The same thing happened in Greece, Egypt and
in essentially all of the others.
It is also during these stages that things begin to fall apart. With
people finding meaning in the state rather than themselves,
production falls, birth rates tend to fall, people start grasping
rather than creating, rules multiply, and regulations strangle
ventures that are not connected to the state. This leads to reorganization like that of Rome from republic to empire.
These reorganizations are often seen as moments of crisis, but
such a crisis is more of a surface event than a deep event: since
the legitimacy and honor of the state/civilization remains,
reorganization is easily accepted by the populace. Some rules will
change, but people continue to rely upon the state or civilization
for meaning in their lives.
The later parts of this stage feature widespread dependence.
These are the eras of bread and circuses, of welfare and 24/7
entertainment, of robotically following accepted paths, of
criticizing the few who do not, and of blindness toward
everything outside the approved mental framework.

Systemic breakdown
As the civilization approaches breakdown, corruption and rot are
clearly seen and a few defections from the shared schema of
meaning occur. But, these defections are few; most people hold
tightly to the self-esteem of identification with the empire. They
find reasons to claim that the old virtues still mean something.
Rather than facing the rot of the whole, people prefer to blame

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one party or faction, assuring themselves that things will improve

once that faction is defeated. Multiplied special interests
cleverly use the state's many structures to grab whatever they
can. Technologies of influence reach their peak. Keeping the
populace compliant results in foolish decisions, then to conquest.
A key feature of this moment is the inability to adapt. With
things rotting in place, the empire must protect its legitimacy
above all else, and that forbids things being done other than our
way.
The ancient Mediterranean empires, unable to adapt to very
simple changes in military technologies, were destroyed, almost
in an instant, at about 1200 BC. The forces of the Catholic Church
lost their crucial chance to crush the Hussites because of an
inability to adapt to gunpowder weapons. Rome fell to the
barbarians, the Greeks to several conquerors, the Sumerians to
surrounding groups, and so on.
The inhabitants of an empire during conquest and collapse forget
everything else and struggle to survive. This generally means to
hide, to accommodate a new ruler, or to flee. It is a miserable
state of existence, with one's sense of meaning evaporating,
then living in danger or in strange new places.
The Great Trade and the legitimacy of the state are brittle things:
they hold far longer than they should, but once they finally do
crack, they shatter irreparably. Once that point is passed, you
may call yourself the emperor of Rome but you will never
recapture the legitimacy of Augustus. This is very much like the
old story of Humpty-Dumpty: once he breaks, he cannot be put
back together again.

What Drives the Cycle

The forces that drive civilizations are simple and fundamental. (They'd have to be to drive civilizations
consistently.) What drives the cycle is a conflict between the two largest human forces on Earth: the
nature of humans and the nature of institutions. To state it simply:
1. Humans are creatures of individual will.
2. For all of recorded history, humans have been grouped into institutions.

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These two irrefutable facts lie at the heart of the entropy cycle, which arises from the interactions
between individuals and institutions.
Think of individual will as the proverbial square peg, and institutions as the proverbial round hole. The
two do not fit together naturally. Forcing the square peg into a round hole will always tend to damage
the square peg.
Insects, like bees, are naturally suited to institutional living; humans are not. The proof of this is found in
the things people complain about. While human complaints are massively varied, you will find, if you
examine them, that a high percentage are reactions to institutionally-ordered or institutionallyinfluenced things that people find insulting or irritating.
Individuals and institutions are not fully compatible. Forcing the two together causes problems, and
that's what drives the entropy cycle of civilizations. These are simple factors, but they play themselves
out in billions of lives every day. That gives them incredible power.
At the beginning of the great cycle (the Recharge phase), individual will is unrestrained and human
energy functions freely. This is followed by production. (The Work phase.) As institutions form and grow,
however, they limit human will and energy. (Entropy phase.) When institutions grow massive, they
choke human energy until the civilization grinds to a halt. (Failure phase.)
All productive energy in our world comes, ultimately, through humans. Certainly we have learned to use
animals and fuels to obtain raw power, but those sources are only of value when individual humans
decide to make use of them. Someone must train and feed the horse. Individuals must decide to get out
of bed in the morning and dig oil wells, build and maintain pipelines, run refineries, deliver gasoline, and
so on. Remove individual will from the equation and everything falls down.
People who run institutions like to see humans as groups, but in reality, all that exist are individuals.
These individuals may be convinced to act together, but each of them must make his or her choice,
every morning, as to what they will do.
Here are two very simple and very true statements about human energy. They cannot be ignored by any
accurate model of human life:
#1: All humans operate individually. I have an overflow of sensory input from my own body and
none from yours. The same happens to you. No amount of training, or guilt, or coercion will ever
change that we're supposed to be this way. We are individuals by structure.
#2: All creativity all goodness comes from the individual. I think my own set of thoughts and
compare them to my own mental database; you do the same. We may cooperate and
communicate with each other, but every valuable idea must form separately in each mind.
To this, we must add just one further statement:
If the production of individuals is reduced, the production of the whole is reduced.

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Output can never, ever, be greater than input. If we restrain or damage the output of individuals, the
output of the whole must fall also.

Creating Entropy
The situation we are describing is this:
All productive energy comes through individual humans, but those humans are forced to
operate inside of institutions, and this creates entropy.
Our hypothesis here is that human energy is dispersed and nullified by institutions. Let's see how that
happens, starting with this: Hierarchy non-local control always causes entropy.
Merely handing information and orders back and forth wastes enormous amounts of time and energy.
These losses are obvious, but there are more important types of entropy:
The entropy of will, via hierarchy. Inside any institution, our willful actions are restricted. But in
institutions, our wills are not limited by natural forces like gravity; they are limited by the wills of
other people. We all know what this is like; it's insulting and demoralizing. Most of us were
forced to accept this arrangement before we were able to object very much, but the effects
continue all the same: we are far more reluctant to use our will than we should be; it is
instinctively frightening to us.
The entropy of cooperation, via power structures. Humans interact exceedingly well as
individuals. We can consider each other's preferences, strengths and weaknesses, and each
other's current emotional states. By having an independent view of the goal, we can interpret
the words of our coworkers and fill in blanks. In other words, we enjoy very rich
communications. Within hierarchy, however, that communication is stripped, almost bare, every
time it passes from one level to another.
The entropy of discovery, via enforced memorization. There is a radical difference between the
person who discovers things and the one who has facts forced upon him or her. Discovery is
thrilling and encouraging, creating a virtuous cycle. Forced learning causes frustration, the
surrender of will, or both. By replacing the thrill of discovery, rigid systems drain human energy
and cause mass entropy.
The entropy of intellectual partnering. Since humans are thinking, willful beings, keeping them
together requires more than fences and orders it requires the institution to influence the
minds of its people. In particular, it needs those people to identify with the institution; to see it
as necessary and right. If the institution fails to do this, enforcing the collection of fees and other
forms of cooperation is too expensive to sustain. So, institutions always establish themselves as
intellectual partners with their people. This restrains more productive avenues of thought.

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The entropy of systemic rigidity. Because institutions must be considered legitimate by their
people, they are slow to adapt. Because their way, is held to be good, right, and inevitable
(why else would people sacrifice treasure and blood to protect it?), it cannot be changed.
Altering a sacred structure calls its sacredness into question. Important adaptations are
disallowed.

Is There A Way Out?

This entropy cycle has ruled life on Earth for all of recorded history. Civilizations are born in pain and loss;
they grow, expand, are corrupted and crash. Lather, rinse, repeat.
Does this ever end? This is an especially critical question to us now, with our civilization approaching
systemic breakdown. Is there no escape from the failure and darkness that lies in front of us? And even
aside from the imminent threat, I don't think many of us are interested in humanity repeating that same
cycle forever. Something inside of us demands progress.
The truth is that we should be living enlightened lives among the stars by now. Instead, we are mired in
an endless cycle of 'good' and 'bad' kingdoms. Much has changed in the last 5,000 years, but not the
cycle of civilizational entropy it continues unabated.
There is a deep reason why the observation of a 19th century essayist named Walter Bagehot is true:
All the best stories in the world are but one story in reality the story of escape.
It is the only thing which interests us all and at all times, how to escape.
But before I tell you what works, let me point out that reforming existing systems does not work in late
stages. Reforms can make a difference in middle stages, but not in end stages.
Hundreds of reformers came and went as Rome declined. Many of them were sincere, informed, decent
people, but they all failed to fix Rome. The same things happened in the late stages of other empires.
Late stage institutions are effective enough and complex enough to absorb almost any type of corrective
idea. Reformers end up wasting their energies, however noble their intentions may be.
A civilizational cycle carries the subconscious and emotional inertia of millions, which cannot be stopped
with mere words. People being carried along by the cycle ignore new messages, and if there should be
some supremely convincing message, they would scramble for reasons to call it evil.
What works is stepping out of the cycle, its institutions and its expectations, and living differently.
Become more self-reliant: It might be as simple as starting to grow some of your own food,
collecting rain water or installing solar panels on your roof to reduce reliance on the electricity
grid.

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Get to know your neighbors: A strong local group of neighbors to help you when needed (and
you providing help when needed) can pay huge dividends to everyone involved.
Get involved with the local community: Volunteer if needed and get to know the producers in
your community. In times of trouble, the stronger the local community, the greater the chances
youll come of it alright.
Invest locally: When possible, allocate a certain percentage of your portfolio to helping local
businesses that are already established and need a small amount of capital for expansion to
buy new machinery or other capital goods that can be used as collateral. Not only does it
strengthen your bond with local business owners (the producers), but it gives you some safety in
case the worlds major financial institutions start wobbling (remember MFGlobal?).
Mentally step out of the consumer culture we live in: Turn off the TV and go outside. Read
books and visit websites that support the bigger person inside of you not the ones that pander
to our animal-instinct emotions like fear and worry.
Mere talk, however impressive, will not work; you must live differently. That is how we break out of the
cycle. We must use our own energy, our own way. And you cannot do that inside the institutions.
The great examples of this were the early Christians. They didn't fight Rome; they simply stopped living
Rome's way. They didn't try to reform Rome; they ignored it and lived their own way, convincing other
men and women one at a time that there was a different and better way to live.
These people were not reforming anything except themselves. They endlessly repeated phrases like
our kingdom is not of this world. They were stepping outside of the cycle and living a new way.
This idea of separation is found throughout the entire Judeo-Christian tradition, by the way. Abraham,
for example, was ordered to leave everything he had ever known and to start a new way.
What really changes the world is active, individual will will that does not sacrifice itself to institutions.
To pull ourselves out of the civilizational cycle, we must withdraw and be different. If we do not do this,
we will be dragged down with the masses.
The Great Calendar is accurate, and the decline of our time will be no different than those which
preceded it, save for the details. The choice is either to remain inside the cycle or to step outside of it.
Whether or not that is pleasant, it is what history teaches.
I leave you with a thought from one of the great, unappreciated philosophers of our time:
The meaning of life is that it is to be lived, and it is not to be traded and conceptualized and
squeezed into a pattern of systems.
-- Bruce Lee

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heavily researched insights pulled from the pages of history. And by better understanding
history, philosophy, and politics, you can form a better personal foundation upon which to
build wealth in your life in a truly enlightened way. Its worth every penny.
Jeff Berwick, Founder, The Dollar Vigilante
Free-Man's Perspective is not only totally sound, but it's both entertaining and instructive. I
read every issue.
Doug Casey, Best-selling Author and International Speculator
I enjoy reading Free-Man's Perspective immensely. Paul Rosenberg has an encyclopedic
knowledge of history, along with the communication skills to apply historical lessons to
today's world.
Mark Nestmann, LL.M. International Tax Law,
President, The Nestmann Group, Ltd.

www.FreemansPerspective.com

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