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CRMProposal:ExtendedOWASPRiskRatingMethodology(ORRM)

OwaisAhmed,SantiagoAragn,
VladyslavCherednychenko,MohammedHabib
UniversityofTwente

WeaimtoanalyzetheOWASPRiskRatingMethodology(ORRM)proposedin[1].The
methodologypresentsaframeworktoestimateriskassociatedwithrunningwebapplication.
ORRMtriestostriketherightbalancebetweenusabilityanddetailnessinordertotoprovide
accurateriskestimateswhichaidsinmakinginformeddecisions.
TheORRMapproachisbasedonthetraditionalriskmodel:

Risk=Likelihood*Impact

Tocomputetheseverityoftheriskitestimatesthelikelihoodofthreatagentfactors(LTF)and
vulnerabilityfactors(LVF)andtheimpactoftechnicalfactors(ITF)andbusinessfactors(IBF)

Eachfactoranditslikelihoodconsistofdifferentfieldsthathelptodescribesucharea,i.e.LVF
isdescribedbyEaseofdiscovery,Easeofexploit,andIntrusiondetection.Eachofthese
fieldscanbegradedfrom0to9,Finallytocomputeagradefactor/likelihood,allthefieldsthat
describethefactors/likelihoodareaveragedandthenmappedtothesethreecategories:

LikelihoodandImpactLevels
0to<3

LOW

3to<6

MEDIUM

6to9

HIGH

WewouldliketohighlightthreepossibleenhancementsthatcanbeappliedtotheORRM
framework.
Thefieldsdescribingthelikelihoodandfactorscouldhavemorestandardizednames
anddescriptions,i.e.FAIRconceptscouldbeused[2].
Theaverageofallthefactorsdescribinglikelihoodandimpactproducesahuge
informationloss.Moreover,therearefactorsthatbyitsownnatureshouldcontribute
moretotheriskthanothers,i.e.forsomeapplicationtheLossofaccountabilityisnot
asimportantastheLossofavailability.Thus,weproposetoaddanimportance
coefficient(IC)toeachofthefields.
TocontributetotheOWASPcommunityweproposetocomputetheICofeachfield
basedonthefeedbackgivenbythecommunity,i.e.adatabasecontainingweb
applicationtypesandcoefficientsused.Moreover,ifacompanyXusedasetof
coefficientsSandafteranincidenttheestimatedriskdiffersfromthereality,Xcanbe
fedintothedatabasesystemwiththisinformationandusingbayesianprobabilityamore
accuratesetofcoefficientsScanbecomputed.
[1]OWASPRiskRatingMethodology.Availableat:
https://www.owasp.org/index.php/OWASP_Risk_Rating_Methodology

[2]JackA.Jones,(2005)AnIntroductiontoFactorAnalysisofInformationRisk(FAIR)RiskManagementInsight

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