Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Th t ti lRRegulatory
l t
Reform Agenda: Implementation
Issues and Implications for Asian
Countries
Katharine Seal
International Monetary Fund
Outline
Regulatory
R l R
Reform
f O
Overview
i
K
Key Elements
El off Regulatory
R l Reform
R f
Banking Basel III
SIFI framework
f k
Making Derivatives Markets Safer
T
Transparent t anddR
Resilient
ili t M
Market-
k t
based Financing
2
Main Tenets of the Agenda all affect banks
Basel III
SIFI Framework
OTC Derivatives
Data Gaps
Shadow Banking
Accounting
3
4
Evolution of the Capital Accord - content
Market
M k t risk
i k ttreatment
t t iin th
the ttrading
di b
book;
k standard
t d d and
d iinternal
t l model
d l
MRA approaches
Credit Risk, Operational Risk standard and internal model approaches
Basel II Pillar
Pill 2 (supervisory
( i review
i process)) and
d Pillar
Pill 3 (Market
(M k Discipline)
Di i li )
Definition of capital
Enhanced risk coverage
Basel III Leverage
Capital buffers: procyclicality and capital conservation; GSIB surcharge
Liquidity framework
Bank-level, or microprudential,
regulation, which will help raise
the resilience of individual
banking institutions to periods
of stress.
System-wide, or
macroprudential, risks that can
build up across the banking
sector as well as the procyclical
amplification
p of these risks
over time.
7
Consistency
Restore
Capital confidence - Transparency
quality &
quantity Leverage and buffers
Stress survival
First
Maturity
Liquidity international transformation
standard
Liquidity horizon
8
Raising quality, consistency and
transparency off capital
i l
9
Definition of capital strengthened
8
D d i
Deductions ffrom capital
i lh harmonized
i d 4% Total
7 capital/RWA
2%
unchanged
Quality of Tier 1 and Tier 2 enhanced
6
Ti 2
Tier
Tier 3 eliminated
5 Other Tier 1
New ratios with greater focus on higher 4 Common Equity
quality
li capital:
i l
4.5% common equity/RWAs 3
Equity or other
6 % Tier 1 capital/RWAs
Higher Quality of
2
Capital
Total capital/RWA unchanged at 8% 4.5%
1 2%
0
Basel II Basel III
9
Counter
C t
Cyclical
G-SIB/D-SIB
Capital
Conservation
CET1
10
Capital Conservation Buffer
application of deductions)
Rates:
7 0%
Conservation
20%
Buffer
6 40%
buffer during
g periods
p of stress (not
( 5 80%
and down
4
0
Tier 2
Other Tier 1
11
Common Equity
Illustrative
Ill t ti
To protect the banking system from Minimum
Profit
Buffer
Minimum 20%
Profit
Retention
Rates:
40%
er
Conservation Buffe
Conservation Buffe
40%
60% 80%
80%
Common Equity
2.5
00
0.0
1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
13
GSIB
Size
Identification Interconnectedness
Substitutability
15
DSIB
BCBS 2012 D-SIB
D SIB framework
- 12 principles covering assessment
and higher loss absorbency
Capital Surcharge:
-Commensurate with systemic
importance
-CET1
CET1 Only
Home-Host coordination:
- home authority calibrates at
consolidated level,
- host calibrates at local level
Disclosure
- authorities to publish methodology
used
16
Implementation the clock is ticking
17
Phase-in Arrangements
Phases 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Parallel run Jan 1, 2013 Jan 1, 2017 Migration to
Leverage Ratio
Disclosure starts Jan 1, 2015 Pillar 1
Minimum Common Equity Capital Ratio
3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 4.5%
2012 19 32 51
Basel III**
Implemented/in 2013 27 (all) 45 72
the process of
implementation
2014 27 (all) 77 104
__________________
Source: FSI 2014 survey on Basel II and III implementation, http://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.htm.
** A jurisdiction that has implemented at least one subsection of Basel III is deemed to be in the process of implementation.
19
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AM
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De
Country
SA
Co
Re
Re
P2
P3
Su
LR
TS
G-
D-
M
AI
C-
BI
Ri
FI
Angola
Botswana
Congo, D.R.
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea, Rep. of
Kenya
Lesotho
Africa
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mauritius
Mozambique
Namibia
Nigeria
Seychelles
South Africa
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
Australia
Bangladesh
Bhutan
China
Chinese Taipei
Cook Islands
Fiji
Asia-
Hong Kong SAR
India
Indonesia
Japan
Pacific
Korea
Macao
Malaysia
Nepal
New Zeland
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Singapore
S i Lanka
Sri k
Thailand
Vietnam
Albania
Belarus
Belgium
Bosnia and Herzegovina
France
Germany
Gibraltor
Guernsey
Iceland
Isle of Man
Italy
Europe
Jersey
Kosovo
Liechtenstein
Luxembourg
Macedonia
Moldova
Montenegro
Norway
Russia
Serbia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
The Netherlands
United Kingdom
Argentina
Bahamas
Barbados
Belize
Bermuda
Bolivia
Brazil
British Virgin Islands
Canada
Cayman Islands
Chile
Western
Colombia
Costa Rica
Curaao and Sint Maarten
Dominican Republic
e sp e e
Hemisphere
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Guyana
Haiti
Honduras
Jamaica
Mexico
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands
United States
Uruguay
Armenia
Middle East
Bahrain
Egypt
Georgia
Jordan
& Central
Kuwait
Kyrgyz Republic
Lebanon
Morocco
Asia
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Tunisia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
20
Basel Framework Implementation in
Asia & Pacific
indicates no implementation to-date indicates implementation in-progress indicates implementation complete / final rule in-force
)
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De
SA
Re
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Co
P2
P3
Su
LR
G-
TS
D-
AI
C-
BI
Ri
FI
Australia
Bangladesh
Bhutan
China
Chinese Taipei
Cook Islands
Fiji
Hong Kong SAR
India
Indonesia
Japan
Korea
Macao
Malaysia
Nepal
New Zeland
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Singapore
Sri Lanka
Thailand
Vietnam
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
21
Capital Shortfall (1) Large Banks Leverage Ratio (2) Large Banks
in Billions In Percent
6.0
400 384
5.0 4.4 4.6
4.0
300 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.7
3.4
Capital 200
198 3.0
115 2.0
100 58 1.0
15 4 0.0
0
June Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June
Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June
2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014
2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (3) Large Banks Net Stable Funding Ratio (3) Large Banks
In Percent 200
1,800
In Percent
400
100% minimum (2019) 100%
60% minimum (2015)
Stock of HQLA Available Stable Funding
300 150 minimum
Liquidity 200
_____ 100 ____
net cash out over 30d Required
50
Stable Funding
100
0 0
14.0%
12 3%
12.3%
11 7%
11.7%
12.0% 10.8%
10.2%
10.0% 9.5%
8.7%
8 1%
8.1%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2 0%
2.0%
0.0%
June Dec.
Dec June Dec.
Dec June Dec.
Dec June
2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014
__________________
Source: BCBS Basel III Monitoring Report, March 2015. Data as of June 2014.
23
24
Outcomes of RCAP for capital framework
Key components of the Basel framework Japan Singapore Switzerland China Brazil Australia Canada Hong Kong Mexico South Africa India USA EU
Oct-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Mar-15 Mar-15 Jun-15 Jun-15 Dec-14 Dec-14
Overall Grade C C C C C C C C C C C LC MNC
Capital requirements
Scope of application C C C C C C C C C C C C C
Transitional arrangements C C C C C C C C C C C C C
Definition of capital (LC) C LC C C LC LC C C C C LC LC
Pillar 1: Minimum capital requirements
Credit Risk: Standardised Approach C LC C LC LC C C C C C C LC LC
Credit risk: Internal Ratings-Based approach C LC LC C C LC C C C C C LC MNC
Credit risk: securitisation framework LC C C C C C C C C C C MNC LC
Counterparty credit risk rules C C C C C C C C C C C LC NC
Market risk: standardised measurement method LC C C C C C C C C C C MNC LC
Market risk: internal models approach C C C C C C C C N/A C C C C
Operational risk: BIA and Standardised Approach C C C C C C C C C C C N/A C
Operational risk: Advanced Measurement Approaches C C C C C C C N/A C C C C C
Capital buffers (conservation and countercyclical) N/A C C C LC C C C LC C C C C
Pillar 2: Supervisory Review Process
Leg and reg framework for the Supervisory Review Process C C C C LC C C C C C C C C
and for supervisory actions
Pillar 3: Market Discipline
Disclosure requirements C C LC LC C C C LC LC C C C C
Compliant
Largely Compliant
Materially Non Compliant
Non Compliant
25
Impact of reforms
28
Basel III impact: social costs and benefits
Capital
p &
Liquidity Benefits Costs
Requirements
Better
B tt systemic
t i
Higher cost/lower
Capital resilience
efficiency of
Better quality
intermediation (?)
Better risk
recognition Better RM incentives
Floor on risk
Less procyclical Lower credit supply
Higher K/RWA &
leverage and credit (?)
buffers
Lower likelihood of
Liquidity
crises Slower (short-term)
Liquid assets
buffer output growth (?)
Higher
g (long-term)
( g )
Lower maturity output growth
mismatch
29
Increased
buffers
Regulatory Regulatory
Cause? Success
Reduced
leverage
Better funding
structures
30
Banks business models are adjusting
32
Profitability decreased due to various factors
5% 5% 5%
0% 0% 0%
RoE 2006 Increased Other RoE 2013 RoE 2006 Increased Other RoE 2013 RoE 2006 Increased Other RoE 2013
Capital Factors Capital Factors Capital Factors
Requirements Requirements Requirements
Note: Other operating income includes Commission income, Trading income and Impairments on securities portfolios
Sources: SNL; and IMF staff calculations; Sample defined as having min. 175 bn in assets total 87 banks. 33
12.0 13.3
10.0
8.0 9.2
8.5
7.5
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2007 2013 2007 2013
C
Cross-Border
B d Claims
Cl i L
Local
l Cl
Claims
i
Sources: Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Consolidated Banking Statistics; IMF, International Financial Statistics database; and IMF staff
calculations. Note: Claims include deposits and balances placed with other banks, loans and advances to banks and nonbanks, and holdings of
securities and participations. International claims include cross-border claims and local claims in foreign currency. 34
and retrenched from market making & trading
100% 7 11
90%
21
80% 18
70%
17
60%
36
50%
40%
0
30% 55
20% 35
10%
0%
2007 2014
Sources: Company filings and annual reports; Bloomberg, L.P.; and IMF staff calculations.
Note: Includes reported business line-level asset allocations of 22 GSIBs. Securities category includes all securities-related businesses, with
share decline primarily resulting decline in trading book. Corporate & commercial and retail categories include predominantly lending
businesses. 35
70% 70%
60% 80 60%
86
50% 50% Non-Banks
20% 20%
10% 20 10%
14
0% 0%
2008 2014 2008 2014
Source: IMF
36
Market Liquidity increased risks?
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0 0 0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: IMF
37
i k
is key
38
General principles
Sound Typically a work-in-progress
regulations
Pre-conditions need to be in place or regulatory reforms are
undermined
Capacity Regulatory
l reform
f is a trade-off
d ff from
f other
h competing priorities
constraints
Financial analysis and risk assessment are essential and may
39
need to come before regulatory reform
Common Challenges
Capacity Building
C lt
Cultural
l Ch
Change
Data
ata Availability
a ab ty a and
d Reliability
e ab ty
40
EMDE implementation challenges
Data intensive
Liquidity HQLA
approaches
shortages
(CCyB)
BCBS
Direct impact Different
on non i
implementation
l t ti
members phases
41
42
Questions?
43
Background slides
44
Basel Framework Implementation in
Africa
indicates no implementation to-date indicates implementation in-progress indicates implementation complete / final rule in-force
)
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Liq
Country
De
SA
Re
Re
Co
P2
P3
Su
LR
TS
G-
D-
AI
C-
BI
Ri
FI
Angola
Botswana
Congo, D.R.
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea, Rep. of
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mauritius
Mozambique
Namibia
Nigeria
Seychelles
South Africa
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
45
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AM
f
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Liq
Country
De
SA
Re
Re
Co
P2
P3
Su
LR
G-
TS
D-
AI
C-
BI
Ri
FI
Albania
Belarus
Belgium
Bosnia and Herzegovina
France
Germany
Gibraltor
Guernsey
Iceland
Isle of Man
Italy
Jersey
Kosovo
Liechtenstein
Luxembourg
Macedonia
Moldova
Montenegro
Norway
Russia
Serbia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
The Netherlands
United Kingdom
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
46
Basel Framework Implementation in
the Western Hemisphere
p
indicates no implementation to-date indicates implementation in-progress indicates implementation complete / final rule in-force
)
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Argentina
Bahamas
Barbados
Belize
B
Bermudad
Bolivia
Brazil
British Virgin Islands
Canada
Cayman Islands
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Curaao and Sint Maarten
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Guyana
Haiti
Honduras
Jamaica
Mexico
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands
United States
Uruguay
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
47
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P2
P3
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LR
TS
G-
D-
AI
C-
BI
Ri
FI
Armenia
Bahrain
Egypt
Georgia
Jordan
Kuwait
Kyrgyz Republic
Lebanon
Morocco
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Tunisia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
______________________
Sources: Bank for International Settlements, 2014, FSI Survey: Basel II, 2.5 and III Implementation: ttp://www.bis.org/fsi/fsiop2014.pdf; Bank for
International Settlements, 2014, Progress Report on Implementation of the Basel Regulatory Framework: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs281.pdf.
48
FSB/G20: Key references
htt
http://www.financialstabilityboard.org/about/or
// fi i l t bilit b d / b t/
ganisation-and-governance/
http://www.financialstabilityboard.org/2015/02
/fsb chairs letter to g20 on financial
/fsb-chairs-letter-to-g20-on-financial-
reforms-finishing-the-post-crisis-agenda-and-
moving-forward/(February 2015)
http://g20.org/
https://g20.org/wp-
https://g20 org/wp
content/uploads/2014/12/2015-TURKEY-G-
20-PRESIDENCY-FINAL.pdf
p
49
Emerging
E i and d smaller
ll Practical
P i l
economies: recommendations
Li
Limited
i d availability
il bili off Hi
High
hQQuality
li Li
Limited
i d benefits
b fi ffrom expansion
i
Liquid Assets (HQLA) of level 2 assets and Basel ALA
options
Run-off assumptions for deposits
A cautious approach is important
Complexity QIS
51