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Original Contribution

Efficacy of Antiplatelet Therapy in Secondary


Prevention Following Lacunar Stroke
Pooled Analysis of Randomized Trials
Chun Shing Kwok, MBBS*; Ashkan Shoamanesh, MD*; Hannah Charlotte Copley, MBBChir;
Phyo Kyaw Myint, MD; Yoon K. Loke, MD; Oscar R. Benavente, MD

Background and PurposeLacunar stroke accounts for 25% of ischemic stroke, but optimal antiplatelet regimen to
prevent stroke recurrence remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of antiplatelet agents in secondary stroke
prevention after a lacunar stroke.
MethodsWe searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane library for randomized controlled trials that reported risk of
recurrent stroke or death with antiplatelet therapy in patients with lacunar stroke. We used random effects meta-analysis
and evaluated heterogeneity with I2.
ResultsWe included 17 trials with 42234 participants (mean age 64.4 years, 65% male) and follow up ranging from 4
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weeks to 3.5 years. Compared with placebo, any single antiplatelet agent was associated with a significant reduction in
recurrence of any stroke (risk ratio [RR] 0.77, 0.620.97, 2 studies) and ischemic stroke (RR 0.48, 0.300.78, 2 studies),
but not for the composite outcome of any stroke, myocardial infarction, or death (RR 0.89, 0.751.05, 2 studies). When
other antiplatelet agents (ticlodipine, cilostazol, and dipyridamole) were compared with aspirin, there was no consistent
reduction in stroke recurrence (RR 0.91, 0.751.10, 3 studies). Dual antiplatelet therapy did not confer clear benefit
over monotherapy (any stroke RR 0.83, 0.681.00, 3 studies; ischemic stroke RR 0.80, 0.621.02, 3 studies; composite
outcome RR 0.90, 0.801.02, 3 studies).
ConclusionsOur results suggest that any of the single antiplatelet agents compared with placebo in the included trials is
adequate for secondary stroke prevention after lacunar stroke. Dual antiplatelet therapy should not be used for long-term
stroke prevention in this stroke subtype.(Stroke. 2015;46:00-00. DOI: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.008422.)
Key Words: antiplatelet agent aspirin lacunar stroke mortality stroke

L acunar stroke or small vessel ischemic stroke represents


25% of all ischemic strokes.1 Although the functional
prognosis of single episode of lacunar stroke is generally good,
trials designed to assess the efficacy of these agents in all isch-
emic stroke subtypes. However, these subgroups generally
have small sample sizes. The Secondary Prevention of Small
recurrence is not uncommon.2,3 The underlying pathogenesis Subcortical Strokes (SPS3) trial was the first to address the
is believed to be cerebral small vessel disease in the form of question at hand in a randomized controlled trial with a large
arteriolosclerosis of deep penetrating arteries. This mechanism (n=3020) well-defined population of magnetic resonance
is thought to be the most frequent cause of vascular cognitive imaging-confirmed lacunar stroke, comparing aspirin mono-
impairment.4 Therefore, preventing progression of cerebral therapy to dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and
small vessel disease is extremely important. Current therapeutic clopidogrel. This trial was, however, terminated early because
options are, however, limited, and the comparative efficacy of of lack of efficacy and increased mortality among participants
available antiplatelet agents remains uncertain. randomized to DAPT.3 In view of the paucity of data, differing
Until recently, all of the evidence supporting the use of anti- vascular pathology underlying lacunar stroke, and the recent
platelet agents as secondary prevention after lacunar stroke SPS3 trial results, the utility of antiplatelet monotherapy has
came from subgroup analysis from randomized controlled been questioned in this population.5

Received December 19, 2014; final revision received January 26, 2015; accepted February 2, 2015.
From the Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK (C.S.K.); Institute of Applied Health Sciences, School of
Medicine and Dentistry, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK (C.S.K., P.K.M.); Department of Medicine, McMaster University/Population
Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada (A.S.); Department of Surgery, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK (H.C.C.); Department of
Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, UK (Y.K.L.); and Department of
Medicine, Brain Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver Stroke Program, Vancouver, Canada (O.R.B.).
*Drs Kwok and Shoamanesh are joint first authors.
The online-only Data Supplement is available with this article at http://stroke.ahajournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.
008422/-/DC1.
Correspondence to Chun Shing Kwok, MBBS, C/o Room 4:013 Polwarth Bldg, School of Medicine and Dentistry, Division of Applied Health Sciences,
Foresterhill, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB25 2ZD, Scotland, UK. E-mail shingkwok@doctors.org.uk
2015 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://stroke.ahajournals.org DOI: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.008422

1
2StrokeApril 2015

Table. Study Design and Participant Characteristics


No. of Patients
Midyear of With Lacunar
Study Study Years of Study Design; Country Stroke (%) Intervention
AICLA8 1976 Oct 1975 to Dec 1978 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 98 (16%) ASA/ASA+dipyridamole/
4 centers in France. placebo

CATS9 Before Before 1989 Double blind, multicenter randomized 274 (26%) Ticlopidine/placebo
1989 controlled trial; 25 centers in Canada.

ESPS-219 1992 Feb 1989 to Mar 1995 Double blind, multicenter randomized 2600 (59%) ASA/dipyridamole/
controlled trial; 16 centers, 6 countries. ASA+dipyridamole/placebo
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IST11 1993 Jan 1991 to May 1996 Open randomized trial; international 467 4616 (24%) ASA/control
hospital from 36 countries.

Matsumoto 200514 1994 Apr 1992 to Mar 1996 Double blind randomized control trial; 183 794 (74%) Cilostazol/placebo
institutes in Japan.

CAST10 1995 Nov 1993 to Mar 1997 Multicenter randomized controlled trial; 6263 (30%) ASA/placebo
413 hospitals in China.

Uchiyama 200923 1999 July 1996 to Nov 2003 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 1341 (73%) Clopidogrel/ticlopidine
Japan.
MATCH13 2001 Dec 2000 to Apr 2002 Double blind, multicenter randomized 3148 (53%) ASA+clopdiogrel/clopidogrel
controlled trial; International 507 centers in
28 countries.

ESPRIT15 2001 Jul 1997 to Dec 2005 Multicenter randomized controlled trial; 1377 (50%) ASA+dipyridamole/ASA
International 79 hospital from 14 countries.

S-ACCESS17 2002 Apr 2001 to Nov 2003 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 963 (64%) Sarpogrelate/ASA
113 institutes in Japan.
PRoFESS16 2005 Sept 2003 to Feb 2008 Double blind, multicenter randomized 10578 (52%) ASA+dipyridamole/
controlled trial; International, 695 centers clopidogrel
in 35 countries.

CSPS218 2005 Dec 2003 to Oct 2006 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 1743 (65%) Cilostazol/ASA
278 sites in Japan.

AAASPS12 2006 Dec 1992 to Oct 2001 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 1221 (68%) Ticlodipine/ASA
62 centers in the United States

SPS33 2007 2003 to 2011 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 3020 (100%) ASA+clopidogrel/ASA
international, 8 countries.
Kwok et al Antiplatelet Therapy in Lacunar Stroke 3

Definition of Lacunar Stroke


Mean Age % Male Participant Selection Stroke Ascertainment Specified
63 70% Participants had 1 cerebral or retinal Neurological assessment with history and No
atherothrombotic ischemic event whether CT scan and cerebral angiography was
transient or complete. optional.
65 62% Patients with thromboembolic stroke no <1 week Diagnosis was based on a neurological No
or >4 months before entry to the study. evaluation and assessment of clinical
course and required a sudden onset of a
new neurological deficit with demonstrable
residual effects at time of randomization.
66 61% Participants with minor ischemic stroke or TIA. Ischemic vascular accident is defined as Yes. Small vessel disease had
neurological deficit because of involvement signs and symptoms of 1 of the
of the brain or brain stem without classical lacunar syndromes
symptoms or signs of hemorrhage or tumor. (pure motor stroke, pure sensory
stroke, ataxic hemiparesis
or dysarthria clumsy hand
syndrome).
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61% >70 54% Participants with acute stroke with onset <48 All patients were CT scanned and eligibility No
years h previously and no evidence of intracranial was based on view of responsible
hemorrhage. physician. Classification of stroke type was
based on neurological deficits.
65 66% Participants aged <80 years with onset of Diagnosis confirmed on CT or MRI imaging. No
cerebral infarction between 1 and 6 months
confirmed on CT or MRI scan and no serious
complications were present.
63 64% Participants were within 48 h of onset of Patient judged to be within 48 h of onset No
symptoms of suspected acute ischemic of symptoms of suspected acute ischemic
stroke and had no clear indication for or stroke and had CT scan.
contraindications to aspirin.
65 71% Participants had recent ischemic stroke (must Brain infarcts were documented by No
have occurred > 8 days before enrollment). computed tomography or MRI.
66 63% Participants had ischemic stroke or TIA in the Diagnosis and stroke type according to Yes. Small vessel occlusion
previous 3 months with 1 of 5 additional risk TOAST criteria with MRI or CT imaging. defined as one of the traditional
factors within 3 years. clinical lacunar syndromes and
should not have evidence of
cerebral cortical dysfunction.
63 65% Participants had TIA within 6 months or minor Data collected by checklist and Small vessel disease was
stroke of arterial origin. classification was on basis of CT or MR used as lacunar stroke but not
scan and clinical features. defined.
65 72% Participants with cerebral infarction based on Symptoms, signs, and evidence on CT or No
NINDS criteria. MR imaging.
66 64% Participants had recent ischemic stroke (within Symptoms of ischemic stroke with evidence No
90 days of randomization) with symptoms lasting of a recent brain infarction on CT or MRI
>24 h or evidence of cerebral infarction on CT or scan.
MRI scan, clinical and neurological stability before
randomization and age >55 years. Excluded were
those with contraindication for antiplatelet agents.
63 NA Participants with noncardioembolic cerebral NINDS-III classification with evidence on CT No
infarction (NINDS-III classification) with evidence or MRI scan of noncardioembolic cerebral
on CT or MRI scan and age 2079 years. infarction.
61 53% Participants were black race of age 2985 Cranial computed tomographic scan or No
years of age with noncardioembolic ischemic MRI of the brain consistent with cerebral
stroke with onset 7 days but not >90 days infarction.
with neurological imaging and measurable
neurological deficits consistent with cerebral
infarction.
63 63% Participants had recent lacunar stroke. Clinical diagnosis with investigations, Yes. Clinical lacunar syndrome
including an MRI, ECG, ECHO, standard that corresponded to an
blood tests, and imaging of cervical and ischemic lesion measuring 2.0
intracranial arteries. cm in diameter on MRI on DWI
or <1.5 cm on FLAIR/T1.
(Continued)
4StrokeApril 2015

Table.Continued
No. of Patients
Midyear of With Lacunar
Study Study Years of Study Design; Country Stroke (%) Intervention
PERFORM21 2007 Feb 2006 to Apr 2008 Double blind, multicenter randomized 1733 (9%) Tetroban/ASA
controlled trial; International 802 centers in
46 countries.

ECLIPse20 2007 Nov 2006 to Oct 2008 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 203 (100%) ASA+cilostazol/ASA
8 hospitals in Korea.

TRA 2P-TIMI 5022 2009 Sept 2007 to Dec 2011 Double blind, multicenter randomized trial; 2262 (47%) Vorapaxar/placebo and
international, 1032 sites, 32 countries. concomitant medications

AAASPS indicates African American Antiplatelet Stroke Prevention Study; AICLA, Accidents Ischemiques Cerebraux Lies a l'Atherosclerose; CAST, Chinese Acute
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Stroke Trial; CATS, Canadian American Ticlopidine Study; CSPS 2, Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study; CT, computed tomography; ECG, electrocardiogram; ECHO,
echocardiogram; ECLIPse, Effect of Cilostazol in Acute Lacunar Infarction Based on Pulsatility Index of Transcranial Doppler; ESPRIT, European/Australasian Stroke
Prevention in Reversible Ischaemia Trial; ESPS-2, European Stroke Prevention Study; IST, International Stroke Trial; MATCH, Management of Atherothrombosis
With Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; NINDS, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; PERFORM, Prevention of
Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Events of Ischaemic Origin With Terutroban in Patients With a History of Ischaemic Stroke or Transient Ischaemic Attack; PRoFESS,
Prevention Regimen for Effectively Avoiding Second Strokes; S-ACCESS, Sarpogrelate-Aspirin Comparative Clinical Study for Efficacy and Safety in Secondary Prevention
of Cerebral Infarction; SPS3, Secondary Prevention of Small Subcortical Strokes; and TRA 2P-TIMI 50, Trial to Assess the Effects of Vorapaxar (SCH 530348; MK-5348)
in Preventing Heart Attack and Stroke in Patients With Atherosclerosis.

The primary aim of this study is to evaluate the evidence for participant characteristics, types of interventions, outcomes, results,
antiplatelet therapy as secondary stroke prevention in patients and risk of bias onto a spreadsheet. The 2 extractions were compared
and differences were resolved by consensus. Where there was uncer-
with lacunar stroke. We performed a systematic review and
tainty, journal authors were contacted for clarification.
pooled meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.
Assessment of Risk of Bias
Methods Two reviewers (C.S. Kwok and H.C. Copley) independently assessed
Eligibility Criteria the individual studies risks of bias in accordance with the recom-
We included randomized controlled trials that evaluated the use of an- mendations of the Cochrane Collaboration, which included baseline
tiplatelet therapy as secondary prevention after acute stroke. Among differences, blinding, lost to follow up, exposure and outcome ascer-
these trials, only those which reported outcomes separate for lacunar tainment, and conflicts of interest. We planned to assess publication
stroke were included. For certain trials, additional data were obtained bias using funnel plots if there were >10 studies included in the meta-
via personal correspondence from the authors. analysis, and there was no significant statistical heterogeneity.6

Outcomes Statistical Analysis


Primary outcome of interest was any stroke recurrence (ischemic Fixed effects meta-analysis of dichotomous events was per-
or hemorrhagic). Secondary outcomes of interest were (1) recurrent formed using RevMan 5.3 (Nordic Cochrane Center, Kbenhavn,
ischemic stroke and (2) composite of any stroke, myocardial infarc- Denmark) to estimate pooled risk ratios (RRs). Statistical hetero-
tion, and death. We accepted composite outcomes as specified by trial geneity was assessed using I2 statistic, with values of 30% to 60%
investigators so long as strokes and deaths were captured in the com- representing a moderate level of heterogeneity.7 We performed
posite end point. secondary analysis considering only ischemic stroke as the out-
come. Annual event rates per 100 patient years of follow-up were
estimated by adjusting the studies event rate according to the trials
Search Strategy mean follow-up duration.
MEDLINE and Embase searches with no date limitations or lan-
guage restrictions were conducted in December 2013 using the broad
search terms as shown in Supplementary Data I in the online-only Results
Data Supplement. Furthermore, we reviewed the bibliography of in- We included a total of 17 randomized trials that included
cluded trials, Cochrane Reviews, and the most recent review by the 42234 participants with lacunar stroke treated with anti-
antithrombotic trialist collaboration for additional studies. platelet therapy (mono or dual) or placebo.3,823 We did not
include 4 trials (IST [International Stroke Trial],11 PERFORM
Study Selection and Data Extraction [Prevention of Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Events
Two reviewers (C.S. Kwok and A. Shoamanesh) considered all titles of Ischaemic Origin With Terutroban in Patients With a
and abstracts retrieved from the search for potential eligibility. Where
there was disagreement, study inclusion or exclusion was agreed upon
History of Ischaemic Stroke or Transient Ischaemic Attack],21
by consensus with the other authors. Two reviewers (C.S. Kwok and S-ACCESS [Sarpogrelate-Aspirin Comparative Clinical Study
H.C. Copley) independently extracted information on study design, for Efficacy and Safety in Secondary Prevention of Cerebral
Kwok et al Antiplatelet Therapy in Lacunar Stroke 5

Definition of Lacunar Stroke


Mean Age % Male Participant Selection Stroke Ascertainment Specified
67 63% Participants were aged 55 years, who had had Ischemic stroke was confirmed by brain Yes. Ischemic stroke was
an ischemic stroke or arterial retinal ischemic imaging. categorized into lacunar stroke
event >48 h and <3 months preceding inclusion based on prior defined criteria.
or a TIA in the previous 8 days.
65 75% Participants were eligible for the trial if they All registered patients had a brain CT and Yes. Lacunar infarction was
experienced their first lacunar infarction within MRI to exclude hemorrhages and other classified according the Trial of
the preceding 7 days and were 45 years of age. causes. Org 10 172 in the Acute Stroke
Treatment (TOAST) classification
system.
65 67% Patients had previous ischemic stroke who were Ischemic stroke based on history of Yes. Small artery occlusion
hospitalized or evaluated in an acute stroke clinic hospitalization with final diagnosis of defined by lacunar stroke
with a final diagnosis of ischemic stroke within 2 nonhemorrhagic stroke. generally <15 mm subcortical
weeks to 12 months before randomization. size according to TOAST criteria.
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Infarction],17 and TRA 2P-TIMI 50 [Trial to Assess the study had some form of outcome ascertainment, and 4 studies
Effects of Vorapaxar (SCH 530348; MK-5348) in Preventing had unclear participant lost to follow-up.
Heart Attack and Stroke in Patients With Atherosclerosis]22) The treatments received, crude events rate, outcomes,
in our pooled analysis. ISTs composite outcome of death and and results are shown in Table II in the online-only Data
dependency did not match our criteria, and TRA 2PTIMI50 Supplement. The follow-up of the studies ranged from 4
did not provide number of events. Novel less-established weeks to 3.5 years.
agents were excluded from the analysis in an attempt to
reduce the level heterogeneity between the different agents Any Single Antiplatelet Agent Versus Placebo
mechanisms of action, but their results are reported separately Overall, patients on antiplatelet monotherapy had signifi-
(Saprogelate [S-ACCESS]17 and Terutroban [PERFORM]21 cantly lower rates of any stroke as compared with placebo
trials). The process of study selection is shown in Figure I in (RR 0.77, 0.620.97, 2 trials, CATS,9 ESPS-2 [European
the online-only Data Supplement. Table shows the summary Stroke Prevention Study]19). There was a significant reduc-
characteristics of the study populations of included studies. tion in ischemic stroke (RR 0.48, 0.300.78, 2 trials, AICLA
Of these, 14 were double-blind randomized trials. The mean [Accidents Ischemiques Cerebraux Lies a l'Atherosclerose],8
age was 64 years, and 65% of participants were male across Matsumoto14) but not in the composite outcome (RR
16 studies; one study (IST) reported 61% of participants
0.89, 0.751.05, 2 trials CAST [Chinese Acute Stroke
>70 years of age and one study (CSPS2 [Cilostazol Stroke
Trial],10 ESPS-219). Results of these analyses are shown in
Prevention Study])18 did not report the number of male and
Figure1A1C.
female participants. All the studies included participants with
suspected ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, and
neuroimaging was performed to confirm diagnosis in all but Cilostazol, Ticlopidine, Dipyridamole, Terutobran,
one study (CATS [Canadian American Ticlopidine Study]),9 Sarpogrelate Versus Aspirin Alone
which relied on neurological evaluation for diagnosis. Only Overall, the meta-analysis shows no significant advantage
6 of the studies formally defined lacunar stroke using criteria, of other single agents above aspirin alone. These analyses
such as the TOAST Criteria, modified Fisher criteria, or other are shown in Figure2A and 2B. Two trials, PERFORM21
predefined criteria, and only 1 used magnetic resonance imag- and S-ACCESS,17 evaluating terutroban and sarpogrelate
ing to verify the diagnosis of lacunar stroke.3 also found no significant benefit above aspirin alone
Table I in the online-only Data Supplement shows the qual- (terutroban HR 0.90, 0.621.31; sarpogrelate HR 1.31,
ity assessment of the studies included. Sequence generation 0.842.04).
of randomization was described in 10 studies and allocation
concealment was described in 13 studies. Fourteen trials were Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Versus Aspirin Alone
double blind trials, and some means to assess treatment expo- The results of DAPT versus aspirin are shown in Figure3.
sure or compliance was considered in 8 trials. All but one Overall, DAPT may possibly have a modest advantage over
6StrokeApril 2015
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Figure 1. Risk of outcome with antiplatelet versus placebo. AICLA indicates Accidents Ischemiques Cerebraux Lies a l'Atherosclerose;
CAST, Chinese Acute Stroke Trial; CATS, Canadian American Ticlopidine Study; and ESPS-2, European Stroke Prevention Study.

aspirin, but this is driven mainly by the aspirin/dipyridamole data stroke, and the composite outcome were RR 0.83, 0.68 to 1.00;
from ESPS-2.19 The pooled risk ratio for any stroke, ischemic RR 0.80, 0.62 to 1.02; and RR 0.95,0.85 to 1.07, respectively.
Kwok et al Antiplatelet Therapy in Lacunar Stroke 7
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Figure 2. Risk of outcome with antiplatelet monotherapy versus aspirin. AAASPS indicates African American Antiplatelet Stroke Preven-
tion Study; CSPS 2, Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study; and ESPS-2, European Stroke Prevention Study.

Dipyridamole/Aspirin, Clopidogrel/Aspirin, and when compared with aspirin; however, further larger studies
Ticlopidine Versus Clopidogrel Alone are needed to validate these findings and ensure generalizabil-
We observed no significant advantage of DAPT versus clopido- ity to non-East Asian populations.
grel or ticlopidine versus clopidogrel. For this analysis, aspirin/ Unfortunately, in view of the limited number of studies
dipyridamole did not seem to be superior to clopidogrel alone. which evaluate the role of DAPT, we are unable to separate
Results are shown in Figure4. Finally, DAPT using vorapaxar out individual agents and maintain a meaningful pooled analy-
in addition to aspirin or clopidogrel use showed no significant sis. Accordingly, we identified substantial heterogeneity in the
benefit on vascular end points (HR 0.99,0.751.31).22 effects of DAPT, which vary depending on the choice of the com-
bination and the comparator drugs. Only one trial shows DAPT
to be favorable (ESPS-2), but the superiority of dipyridamole
Discussion and aspirin was not replicated when clopidogrel was used as
The current American Heart Association guidelines24 state
the control rather than aspirin. Moreover, long-term DAPT with
that 4 antiplatelet regimens (aspirin, clopidogrel, ticlopidine,
clopidogrel/aspirin led to significantly higher rates of major
or the combination of dipyridamole and aspirin) have been bleeding in MATCH (Management of Atherothrombosis With
shown to reduce the risk of ischemic stroke after stroke or Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients) and all-cause mortality in
TIA. The guidelines further suggest that several factors should SPS3. Therefore, current evidence does not justify the use of
be considered, such as patient comorbidities, side effects, and long-term DAPT in patient with lacunar stroke.
costs, when choosing an agent at an individual level. Suitably, Our results are in line with those of the SPS3 trial regard-
our findings suggest that antiplatelet monotherapy (ie, aspirin, ing the lack of benefit from clopidogrel and aspirin therapy
dipyridamole, clopidogrel, cilostazol, and ticlopidine) should in lacunar stroke patients. We, however, did not notice any
be recommended as secondary prevention of stroke among significant increase in our composite outcome of any stroke,
patients with lacunar stroke. Aspirin seems to be as good as myocardial infarction, and death. Limited by the available
any other antiplatelet agents and is likely the appropriate first published data, we were unable to consider mortality rates in
line in most because it is less expensive and generally well tol- isolation; however, long-term DAPT (mean 3.4 years) led to
erated, which may increase long-term adherence to therapy.24 increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.52, 1.142.04, P=0.004)
Cilostazol showed a nonsignificant trend in reducing strokes in comparison to monotherapy with aspirin within SPS3.3
8StrokeApril 2015
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Figure 3. Risk of outcome with dual antiplatelet therapy versus aspirin. AICLA indicates Accidents Ischemiques Cerebraux Lies a
l'Atherosclerose; ECLIPse, Effect of Cilostazol in Acute Lacunar Infarction Based on Pulsatility Index of Transcranial Doppler; ESPRIT,
European/Australasian Stroke Prevention in Reversible Ischaemia Trial; ESPS-2, European Stroke Prevention Study; and SPS3, Second-
ary Prevention of Small Subcortical Strokes.
Kwok et al Antiplatelet Therapy in Lacunar Stroke 9
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Figure 4. Risk of outcome with other antiplatelet regimens versus clopidogrel. MATCH indicates Management of Atherothrombosis With
Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients; and PRoFESS, Prevention Regimen for Effectively Avoiding Second Strokes.

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13. Diener HC, Bogousslavsky J, Brass LM, Cimminiello C, Csiba L, Kaste M, 20. Han SW, Lee SS, Kim SH, Lee JH, Kim GS, Kim OJ, et al. Effect of cilo-
et al; MATCH investigators. Aspirin and clopidogrel compared with clopi- stazol in acute lacunar infarction based on pulsatility index of transcranial
dogrel alone after recent ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack in Doppler (ECLIPse): a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-
high-risk patients (MATCH): randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled controlled trial. Eur Neurol. 2013;69:3340. doi: 10.1159/000338247.
trial. Lancet. 2004;364:331337. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(04)16721-4. 21. Bousser MG, Amarenco P, Chamorro A, Fisher M, Ford I, Fox KM, et
14. Matsumoto M. Cilostazol in secondary prevention of stroke: impact of al; PERFORM Study Investigators. Terutroban versus aspirin in patients
the Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study. Atheroscler Suppl. 2005;6:33 with cerebral ischaemic events (PERFORM): a randomised, double-
40. doi: 10.1016/j.atherosclerosissup.2005.09.003. blind, parallel-group trial. Lancet. 2011;377:20132022. doi: 10.1016/
15. The ESPRIT Study Group. Aspirin plus dipyridamole versus aspirin S0140-6736(11)60600-4.
alone after cerebral ischaemia of arterial origin (ESPRIT): randomised 22. Morrow DA, Alberts MJ, Mohr JP, Ameriso SF, Bonaca MP, Goto
controlled trial. Lancet. 2006;367:16651673. S, et al; Thrombin Receptor Antagonist in Secondary Prevention of
16. Sacco RL, Diener HC, Yusuf S, Cotton D, Ounpuu S, Lawton WA, et Atherothrombotic Ischemic EventsTIMI 50 Steering Committee
al; PRoFESS Study Group. Aspirin and extended-release dipyridamole and Investigators. Efficacy and safety of vorapaxar in patients with
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1251. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0805002. STROKEAHA.111.000433.
17. Shinohara Y, Nishimaru K, Sawada T, Terashi A, Handa S, Hirai S, et al; 23. Uchiyama S, Fukuuchi Y, Yamaguchi T. The safety and efficacy of
S-ACCESS Study Group. Sarpogrelate-Aspirin Comparative Clinical Study clopidogrel versus ticlopidine in Japanese stroke patients: combined
for Efficacy and Safety in Secondary Prevention of Cerebral Infarction results of two Phase III, multicenter, randomized clinical trials. J Neurol.
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prevention after stroke: differential efficacy in large versus small vessel STR.0b013e3181f7d043.
Efficacy of Antiplatelet Therapy in Secondary Prevention Following Lacunar Stroke:
Pooled Analysis of Randomized Trials
Chun Shing Kwok, Ashkan Shoamanesh, Hannah Charlotte Copley, Phyo Kyaw Myint, Yoon
K. Loke and Oscar R. Benavente
Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on February 12, 2017

Stroke. published online February 26, 2015;


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SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL

1
Supplementary Figure I: Flow diagram of study selection

2
Supplementary Table I: Quality of included trials

Study Sequence generation Allocation concealment Blinding Treatment; exposure; Outcome; outcome Follow up; lost to
ascertainment ascertainment follow up
AICLA [1] Patients were randomized using a Unclear. Double- 330 mg ASA, placebo, 330 mg Ischemic stroke; 3 years; 11%
established randomization blind. ASA and 75 mg dipyridamole, clinical diagnosis with withdrew from study
schedule, balanced for every 6 three times a day; exposure for CT scan. not related to health
patients. duration of study; at each follow problems, 41%
up patients were asked about drug discontinued
habits and urine salicylate treatment, and 8%
measurements were performed. withdrew from study.
CATS [2] Randomization code used for Unclear. Double- 500 mg ticlopidine, placebo; Any stroke; events 2 years; 4 patients
randomization. blind. ascertained by pill counting. were classified by loss to follow up.
steering committee.
ESPS-2 [3] Treatment group allocation was Unclear. Double- Aspirin 50 mg, modified-release Any stroke. Unclear Up to 2 years; unclear
determined by a randomization blind. dipyridamole 400 mg, aspirin and ascertainment. loss to follow up.
system based on the minimization dipyridamole combined and
technique and taking into account placebo; exposure for 2 years;
various factors. unclear ascertainment.
IST [4] Computer allocated the study Adequate allocation concealment Not fully 300 mg ASA or control (avoid Death or dependence; 6 months (0.5 years);
treatments using a minimization where patients were allocated by double- aspirin); exposure for study outpatient collection of 74 lost at 6 months.
algorithm which reduced any telephoning the central blind. duration; medication in hospital data, coordinating
imbalance in recorded prognostic randomization service at Clinical so compliance not an issue. centre mail a validated
features between treatment groups. Trial Service Unit, Oxford, UK. questionnaire, or
telephone call
interview (coordinated
centrally).
Matsumoto Randomization was performed by Adequate allocation concealment Double- 100 mg cilostazol twice daily vs. Ischemic stroke; 2 years (1.8 years in
2005 [5] the dynamic balancing method by central Registration and blind. placebo; exposure duration of Evaluation Committee cilostazol, 1.6 years in
adjusted for several variables. Analysis Center, an independent study; unclear ascertainment. classified all events. placebo); unclear lost
organization set up at Tokyo to follow up.
University for the present study.

CAST [6] Randomization was by prepacked, Adequate allocation concealment Unclear 160 mg ASA, placebo; exposure Death or non-fatal 4 weeks (0.08 years);
sequentially numbered trial with prepacked sealed envelopes blind. duration of study; compliance not stroke; clinical unclear loss to follow
envelopes. produced centrally. an issue because nurse diagnosis with CT up.
administered medication. scan.
Uchiyama Unclear. Unclear. Double- 75 mg clopidogrel or ticlopidine Combined ischemic 26 and 52 weeks; 7
2009 [7] blind. 200 mg; exposure for 26 weeks or stroke, MI and vascular excluded from

3
52 weeks; unclear ascertainment. death; follow up with analysis but 562
examination in clinic discontinued
visit or telephone call. treatment.
MATCH Sequence generation was based on Adequate allocation concealment Double- 75 mg clopidogrel daily with 75 Ischemic stroke; 1.5 years; 13
[8] a computer-generated list of which was done centrally, with an blind. mg of aspirin or placebo daily; follow-up visit and participants were lost
treatment numbers. interactive voice response system unclear ascertainment. telephone calls. to follow up.
(by phone).
ESPRIT Treatment allocation was by means Adequate allocation concealment Non- 30-325 mg ASA daily with or Ischemic stroke and all 3.5 years; 106
[9] of computer generated with randomization by means of a blinded. without 200 mg dipyridamole cardiac events (MI, participants were lost
randomization codes stratified by telephone call, fax, or email to the twice daily, exposure for duration sudden death and death to follow up, 554
hospital before the start of the trial. central trial office. of study; medication compliance from cardiac causes); 3 discontinued
asked a follow-up. member committee treatment.
audited outcome events
and independently
classified events.
S- Patients were randomly assigned Adequate allocation concealment Double- 100 mg sarpogrelate three times a Ischemic stroke; 1.59 years; 11 not
ACCESS according to an allocation table that with web-based randomization. blind. day vs. 81 mg ASA once daily; diagnosis by clinical included in efficacy
[10] was generated by using random exposure for duration of study; evaluation with analysis.
numbers by a person who was not unclear ascertainment. Efficacy End Point
part of this study. Committee.
PROFESS Unclear. Adequate allocation concealment Double- 25 mg aspirin and 200 mg Any stroke; ascertained 2.5 years; 0.6% were
[11] by a central telephone blind. extended release dipyridamole by central committee lost to follow up in
randomization system. twice daily or 75 mg clopidogrel using TOAST criteria each arm.
daily; exposure for duration of to classify event.
study; compliance was questioned
at follow up visits.
CSPS2 The randomization table was Adequate allocation concealment Double- 100 mg cilostazol twice daily vs. Any stroke; 2.42 years; 85 not
[12] generated with SAS and random with remote randomization by blind. 81 mg ASA daily; exposure study independent data included in analysis,
allocation was done with a contract research organisation at the duration, unclear ascertainment. monitoring committee. 793 discontinued drug
dynamic balancing method to registration centre. and 4 lost to follow
minimize differences in the up.
distribution of baseline variables
between the two groups.
AAASPS Patients were randomized using a Adequate allocation concealment Double- 650 mg ASA, 500 mg ticlopidine; Any stroke; blinded 1.54 years; 522
[13] algorithm using a length of block with automated phone registration. blind exposure duration of study; adjudication participants withdrew
varying from 2 to 8 with a ratio of ascertained by pill counting. committee. from study but all
patients receiving ticlopidine to were included in
aspirin of 1:1. analysis.
SPS3 [14] Randomization assignments were Adequate allocation concealment Double- 325 mg ASA daily with or Any stroke, ischemic 3.4 years; no loss to

4
generated using a permuted-block using central web-based system. blind. without 75 mg clopidogrel daily; stroke, death and MI; follow up.
design (variable block size). exposure for duration of study; ascertained by the
adherence measured by pill count. blinded Events
Adjudication
Committee.
PERFOR The allocation sequence was Adequate allocation concealment Double- 30 mg terutroban daily vs. 100 g Ischemic stroke, MI, 28.3 months; 20
M [15] generated by the sponsor through by a central interactive response blind. aspirin daily; unclear vascular death. excluded, 58 lost to
in-house application software. The system (telephone or internet). ascertainment. Independent Data follow up and 382
randomization was balanced, non- Monitoring Committee. withdrew consent.
adaptive, and stratified by country,
with blocks of size four.
ECLIPSE A blocked randomization Adequate allocation concealment Double- 100 mg cilostazol BD or placebo Any stroke (ischemic 90 days; no lost to
[16] procedure generated by a with randomization by central trial blind. and ASA 100 mg daily; study stroke data also follow up.
statistician was used by the central pharmacist who produced identical duration of 90 days; unclear provided); follow up
trial pharmacist randomized study kits. ascertainment. with transcranial
patients. doppler and
examination.
TRA 2P- Unclear. Adequate allocation concealment Double- 2.5 mg vorapaxar daily vs. Cardiovascular death, Median 24 months
TIMI 50 by a central computerized telephone blind. placebo added to standard MI or stroke; (up to 3 years). 32 lost
[17] system. antiplatelet therapy; unclear ascertained by a to follow up and 532
ascertainment. Clinical Events withdrew consent for
Committee blinded to follow up.
treatment allocation.

5
Supplementary Table II: Treatments, outcomes, crude events and follow up of studies included
Study Midyear Treatment Outcome Experi Total Adjusted to Control Total Adjusted to Trial follow-up Reported HRs
of study experimental/contr mental time events time duration (mean) (95% CI) for
ol events (outcome/yr) (outcome/yr) outcome
AICLA [1] 1976 ASA/placebo Ischemic stroke 3 30 3.33% 9 34 8.82% 3 years -
1976 ASA+dipyridamole/ Ischemic stroke 2 34 1.96% 3 30 3.33% 3 years -
ASA
CATS [2] Prior to Ticlopidine/placebo Any stroke 14 137 5% 27 137 10% 2 years
1989
ESPS-2 [3] 1992 ASA/placebo Any stroke 70 609 6.4% 93 681 7.9% 1.7-1.8 years 0.82 (0.60-1.11)
1992 Dipyridamole/place Any stroke 73 651 6.3% 93 681 7.9% 1.7 years 0.80 (0.59-1.08)
bo
1992 ASA+dipyridamole/ Any stroke 52 659 4.4% 93 681 7.9% 1.7-1.8 years 0.56 (0.40-0.78)
placebo
1992 ASA+dipyridamole/ Any stroke 52 659 4.4% 70 609 6.4% 1.8 years 0.68 (0.48-0.97)
ASA
1992 ASA/placebo Composite 101 609 9.4% 128 681 11.0% 1.7-1.8 years 0.86 (0.66-1.11)
vascular events*
1992 Dipyridamole/place Composite 108 651 9.5% 128 681 11.0% 1.7 years 0.86 (0.67-1.12)
bo vascular events*
1992 ASA+dipyridamole/ Composite 82 659 7.0% 128 681 11.0% 1.7-1.8 years 0.64 (0.48 0.84)
placebo vascular events*
1992 ASA+dipyridamole/ Composite 82 659 7.0% 101 609 9.4% 1.8 years 0.74 (0.55-0.99)
ASA vascular events*
IST [4] 1993 ASA/control Death or 1112 2308 - 1116 2308 - 6 months = 0.5 -
dependence years
Matsumoto 1994 Cilostazol/placebo Ischemic stroke 20 400 2.97% 39 394 5.25% 2 years (1.8 years -
2005 [5] in cilostazol, 1.6
years in placebo)
CAST [6] 1995 ASA/placebo Any (non-fatal) 78 3117 - 88 3146 - 4 weeks = 0.08
stroke or death years
Uchiyama 1999 Clopidogrel/ticlopid Ischemic stroke, 19 677 2.8% 22 664 3.3% Up to 1 year.
2009 [7] ine MI, vascular
death
MATCH [8] 2001 ASA+clopdiogrel/cl Ischemic stroke 160 1590 7.70% 161 1558 8.10% 18 months = 1.5
opidogrel years

6
ESPRIT [9] 2001 ASA+dipyridamole/ Ischemic stroke 96 687 3.99% 106 690 4.39% 3.5 years
ASA and all cardiac
events (MI,
sudden death
and death from
cardiac causes)
S-ACCESS 2002 Sarpogrelate/ASA Ischemic stroke 46 484 5.95% 35 479 4.53% 1.59 years HR 1.31 (0.84-
[10] 2.04)
PROFESS 2005 ASA+dipyridamole/ Any stroke 418 5292 3.16% 437 5286 3.31% 2.5 years
[11] clopidogrel
CSPS2 [12] 2005 cilostazol/ASA Any stroke 59 869 3.06% 85 874 4.07% 2.42 years HR 0.752 (0.542-
1.042)
AAASPS 2006 Ticlodipine/ASA Any stroke 55 600 6% 48 621 5% 1.54 years
[13]
SPS-3 [14] 2007 ASA+clopidogrel/A Ischemic stroke 100 1517 2.00% 124 1503 2.40% 3.4 years 0.82 (0.63-1.09)
SA
2007 ASA+clopidogrel/A Any stroke 125 1517 2.50% 138 1503 2.70% 3.4 years 0.92 (0.72-1.16)
SA
2007 ASA+clopidogrel/A Any stroke, MI, 269 1517 - 253 1503 - 3.4 years -
SA death.
PERFORM 2007 Tetroban/ASA. Ischemic stroke, 54 856 2.55% 61 877 2.98%% 28.3 months = 2.35 0.90 (0.62-1.13)
[15] MI and vascular years
death.
ECLIPSE 2007 ASA+cilostazol/AS Any stroke (all 1 100 - 1 103 - 0.25 years -
[16] A events
ischemic)
TRA 2P- 2009 Vorapaxar/placebo Any stroke, MI, - 2262 3.80% - 2262 3.77 % 3 years 0.99 (0.75-1.31)
TIMI 50 and concomitant cardiovascular (total) (total)
[17] medications death.

*Composite vascular events defined as nonfatal stroke, nonfatal MI, a nonfatal vascular events (DVT, PE, peripheral artery occlusion, venous retinal vascular event) or vascular death.

7
Supplementary Data I: Search Strategy

Database: Embase <1974 to 2013 Week 50>, Ovid MEDLINE(R) In-Process & Other Non-
Indexed Citations and Ovid MEDLINE(R) <1946 to Present>
Search Strategy:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 Aspirin or Clopidogrel or Ticlopidine or Dipyridamole or Prasugrel or Ticagrelor or
Cilostazol or Dipyridamole {No Related Terms} (6084)
2 Platelet aggregation inhibitors or Antiplatelet {No Related Terms} (69182)
3 Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors {No Related Terms} (5716)
4 Stroke or cerebrovascular disease or cerebrovascular accident {No Related Terms}
(8654)
5 Stroke/ (186298)
6 Brain Ischemia/ (112183)
7 Cerebrovascular Disorders/ (91210)
8 randomised controlled trial or randomized controlled trial or randomised controlled study
or randomized controlled study {No Related Terms} (9836)
9 Randomized Controlled Trial/ (755711)
10 1 or 2 or 3 (77570)
11 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 (355197)
12 8 or 9 (755716)
13 10 and 11 and 12 (536)
14 remove duplicates from 13 (431)

***************************

8
References

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[3] Ariesen MJ, Algra A, Kappelle LJ. Antiplatelet drugs in the secondary prevention of

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[4] International Stroke Trial Collaborative Group. The International Stroke Trial (IST): a

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[5] Matsumoto M. Cilostazol in secondary prevention of stroke: impact of the Cilostazol

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[7] Uchiyama S, Fukuuchi Y, Yamaguchi T. The safety and efficacy of clopidogrel versus

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Aspirin and clopidogrel compared with clopidogrel alone after recent ischaemic stroke or

transient ischaemic attack in high-risk patients (MATCH): randomised, double-blind,

placebo-controlled trial. Lancet 2004;364:331-7.

9
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cerebral ischaemia of arterial origin (ESPRIT): randomised controlled trial. Lancet

2006;367:1665-73.

[10] Shinohara Y, Nishimaru K, Sawada T, Terashi A, Handa S, Hayashi K, et al.

Sarpogrelate-Aspirin Comparative Clinical Study for Efficacy and Safety in Secondary

Prevention of Cerebral Infarction (S-ACCESS): A randomized, double-blind, aspirin-

controlled trial. Stroke 2008;39:1827-33.

[11] Sacco RL, Diener HC, Yusuf S, Cotton D, Ounpuu S, Lawton WA, et al. Aspirin and

extended-release dipyridamole versus clopidogrel for recurrent stroke. N Engl J Med 2008;

359: 1238-51.

[12] Shinohara Y, Katayama Y, Uchiyama S, Yamaguchi T, Handa S, Matsuoka K, et al.

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[13] Gorelick PB, Richardson D, Kelly M, Ruland S, Hung E, Harris Y, et al. Aspirin and

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[14] SPS3 Investigators. Effects of clopidogrel added to aspirin in patients with recent

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[15] Bousser MG, Amarenco P, Chamorro A, Fisher M, Ford I, Hennerici MG, et al.

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[16] Han SW, Lee SS, Kim SH, Lee JH, Kim GS, K OJ, et al. Effect of cilostazol in acute

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10
[17] Morrow DA, Alberts MJ, Mohr JP, Ameriso SF, Bonaca MP, Goto S, et al. Efficacy and

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11
26 Stroke Vol. 10, No. 2

Abstract



Efficacy of Antiplatelet Therapy in Secondary Prevention Following Lacunar Stroke
Pooled Analysis of Randomized Trials

Chun Shing Kwok, MBBS1,2; Ashkan Shoamanesh, MD3; Hannah Charlotte Copley, MBBChir4, et al.
1
Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; 2 Institute of Applied Health Sciences, School of Medicine
and Dentistry, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK; 3 Department of Medicine, McMaster University/Population Health Research
Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; and 4 Department of Surgery, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK.

25%
RR 0.890.75 1.052


RR 0.910.75 1.10
MEDLINEEmbase 3 2
RR 0.83
0.68 1.003 RR 0.800.62
I 2 1.023 RR 0.900.80 1.023

42,234 64.4
65% 4 3.5 17

RR 0.770.62 2
0.972 RR 0.480.30
0.782

Stroke 2015; 46: 1014-1023. DOI: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.008422.



M-H
M-H
95%CI
95% CI M-H
M-H 95%
95% CI

AAASPS 55 600 48 621 23.1% 1.19 [0.82, 1.72]
95% CI 600 621 23.1% 1.19 [0.82, 1.72]
55 48

Z 0.90 P 0.37


CSPS2 59 869 85 874 41.5% 0.70 [0.51, 0.96]
95% CI 869 874 41.5% 0.70 [0.51, 0.96]
59 85

Z 2.21 P 0.03


ESPS-2 73 651 70 609 35.4% 0.98 [0.72, 1.33]
95% CI 651 609 35.4% 0.98 [0.72, 1.33]
73 70

Z 0.16P 0.88

95% CI 2120 2104 100.0% 0.91 [0.75, 1.10]


187 203
Chi2 4.82df 2 P 0.09I2 58%
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Z = 0.99 ( P = 0.32)

Chi2 4.82df 2 P 0.09I2 58.5%

AAASPSAfrican American Antiplatelet Stroke Prevention Study


2 CSPS 2Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study
ESPS-2European Stroke Prevention StudyStroke

STR-J_10-2_ab4_main.indd
STR-J 10-2 ab4 main.indd 26 2015-8-25 14:53:31
24 Stroke Vol. 8, No. 3

Abstract 2

Efficacy of Antiplatelet Therapy in Secondary Prevention Following Lacunar Stroke


Pooled Analysis of Randomized Trials

Chun Shing Kwok, MBBS*; Ashkan Shoamanesh, MD*; Hannah Charlotte Copley, MBBChir;
Phyo Kyaw Myint, MD; Yoon K. Loke, MD; Oscar R. Benavente, MD
(Stroke. 2015;46:1014-1023.)
Key Words: antiplatelet agent aspirin lacunar stroke mortality stroke

(RR 0.77, 0.62-0.96, 2 ) (RR,


25% . , 0.48, 0.30-0.78, 2 ) ,
, (RR 0.89,
. 0.75-1.05, 2 ) .
. (, ,
) (RR
0.91, 0.75-1.10, 3 ).
MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane library (
RR 0.83, 0.68-1.00, 3 ; RR 0.80, 0.62-
. 1.02, 3 ; RR 0.90, 0.80-1.02, 3 ).
, I2 .


42234 ( 64.4, 65% ) 17 .
4 3.5 ,
. .

Abstract 3


Rates of Ischemic Stroke During Warfarin Treatment for Atrial Fibrillation
Jennifer M. Tung, PharmD; Muhammad M. Mamdani, PharmD; David N. Juurlink, PhD; J. Michael Paterson, MSc; Moira K. Kapral, MD; Tara Gomes, MHSc
(Stroke. 2015;46:1120-1122.)
Key Words: anticoagulants epidemiology


1997 4 1 2010 3 31 66
. (Ontario)
. . 30
Tung et al Warfarin Initiation and Ischemic Stroke 1121

Table 1. Baseline Characteristics (n=2,917) after 1 year, 2.7% (n=4067) after 2 years, and 4.0%
25
New Warfarin Users (%)
1122 (n=6006)Stroke April
after 5 years. The risk was2015
highest during the first 30
1122 Stroke April 2015 n=148 446 days of warfarin therapy: 6.0% PPY (95% confidence inter-
5 .Age,
y (median, IQR) 77 (7282)
, ,
val, 5.5%6.4%) PPY
versus 1.6% )interval,
(95% confidence .
1.5%1.6%) during the remainder of the 5-year follow-up
. Men 73 492 (49.5)
(Table 2; .
Figure).
Comorbidities
Crude 5-year rates of ischemic stroke increased significantly
Myocardial infarction 23 605 (15.9) as CHADS2 scores increased (P<0.0001; Table 2; Figure I in
Peripheral vascular disease 6257 (4.2)
the online-only Data Supplement) and among those with a
Valvular disease 8351 (5.6) history of stroke (P<0.001; Table 2; Figure II in the online-
5 ,
Hemorrhagic event (n=148446) 6632 (4.5)
only Data Supplement). analysis
A sensitivity ,
demonstrated
Thromboembolism 2395 (1.6) no difference in stroke rates according to timing of warfarin
4.0% (n=6006). 30
Medication use initiation after atrial fibrillation diagnosis (Table 2). Relative
30 acid
Acetylsalicylic (1 - 6.0%; 25 984 (17.5) .
to patients who did not a
experience stroke,
those who did
were less likely to have received an international normalized
95% CI 5.5%-6.4%), Ticlopidine
(1 1132 (0.8)
,
ratio test in the preceding 14 days (Table II in the online-only
Clopidogrel 6062 (4.1)
- 1.6%; 95% CI 1.5%-1.6%) . Data Supplement).
Few patients received heparin or antiplate-
Acetylsalicylic acid and dipyridamole 1289 (0.9)
let therapy (Table 1).
Heparins and anticoagulants as bridging therapy 2371 (1.6)
CHADS 2
(, , 75
Digoxin 46 252 (31.2)
1122 Stroke April 2015 Discussion
CHADS2 score components
In this population-based study, the rate of ischemic stroke in
Congestive heart failure 51 831 (34.9)
older patients with atrial fibrillation starting warfarin was sig-
Hypertension 113 713 (76.6) nificantly elevated during the first month of treatment. This
Age >75 y 93 770 (63.2) early elevated risk increased with previous stroke history and
Diabetes mellitus 38,077 (25.7) higher baseline CHADS2 score.
Stroke in past 5 y 9977 (6.7) The overall 5-year risk of stroke observed in our study
CHADS2 score (1.8% PPY) is comparable with the annual incidence rate
0 9555 (6.4) of 1.66% (95% confidence interval, 1.41%1.91%) reported
1 33 985 (22.9) in a meta-analysis of 8 randomized controlled trials and an
23 86 325 (58.9)
observational study by Azoulay et al,3,5 but higher than the
rate of 1.17% PPY reported in another observational study of
46 16 581 (11.3)
younger patients with lower CHADS2 scores.1 The explana-
CHADS2 indicates score comprised of congestive heart failure, hypertension,
tion for our findings is likely multifactorial. The results may
age 75 years, diabetes, previous stroke; and IQR, interquartile range.
reflect the high-risk period after a transient ischemic attack,6
and the time required to achieve therapeutic anticoagula-
the patients who experienced an event, 27.3% (n=1639) died
Figure.
tion.Rate of ischemic
Less frequent stroke
international among
normalized new
ratio warfarin
testing may users with atrial fibrillation.
in hospital or within 7 days of discharge.
Figure. Rate of ischemic stroke among new warfarin users with atrial have fibrillation.
been a contributor. More research is needed to elucidate
The 30-day cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke among whether a transient hypercoagulable state seen immediately
Figure. Rate of ischemic stroke among new warfarin users with atrial fibrillation.
new users of warfarin was 0.5% (n=721), increasing to 2.0% after warfarin initiation explains our findings.7 Our sensitivity
analysis stratifying patients by timing of warfarin initiation intended or should be inferred. Dr Kapral holds a career investigator
analysis stratifying patients by timing of warfarin initiation intended o
analysis stratifying patients by timing of warfarin initiation
Table 2.award
after atrial fibrillation diagnosis found similar stroke rates Rates of Stroke
from the Heart andby Duration
Stroke Foundationof of
Warfarin
Ontario. Therapy
after atrial intended or shoulddiagnosis
fibrillation be inferred. foundDr Kapral holds
similar a career
stroke investigator
rates award from
after atrial fibrillation diagnosis found similar stroke rates
in both groups. This suggests our findings are not simply award from the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario.
influenced by elevated rates of stroke after atrial fibrillation Disclosures
Ischemic Stroke During 5-y in both groups. This suggests our findings are not simply
Rate of Stroke, % per Person-Year (95% CI)

in both groups. This suggests our findings are not simply


diagnosis, as has been previously reported.8 Moreover, few
patients received heparins or antiplatelet agents before ini-
T. Gomes, M.M. Mamdani, J.M. Paterson,n and
Follow-Up, (%) D.N. Juurlink have re-
ceived grant funding from the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-
First 30 d Remainder of 5-y Follow-Up
influenced by elevated rates of stroke after atrial fibrillation
Overall
Overall Term Care (MOHLTC). J.M. Paterson
influenced by elevated rates of stroke after atrial fibrillation
tiating warfarin. Studies are needed to determine whether
6006 is an employee of Institute
for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, which is funded by the MOHLTC.
6.0 (5.56.4) 1.6 (1.51.6)
diagnosis, as has been previously reported.8 Moreover, few Disclosures
1.8 (1.71.8)
T. Gomes,
CHADS2 score
bridging therapy, antiplatelet therapy, or use of direct-acting M.M. Mamdani is a consultant for AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers
diagnosis, as has been previously reported. Moreover, few 8 T. Gomes, M.M. Mamdani, J.M. Paterson, and D.N. Juurlink have re-
ceived gra
anticoagulants mitigate this early increased stroke risk. 0 Squibb, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, Hoffmann-La Roche, Novartis,
146 (2.4) 2.7 (1.84.1) patients received heparins or antiplatelet
0.5 (0.50.6) 0.6 (0.50.7) agents before ini-
Strengths of this study include its large, population- Novo Nordisk and Pfizer. The other authors report no conflicts.
patients received heparins or antiplatelet agents before ini- ceived grant funding from the1.1Ontario Ministry of Health and Long- Term Car
based sample and long follow-up. Limitations include our1 874 (14.6) 3.8 (3.24.6) 0.9 (0.91.0)
tiating warfarin. Studies are needed (1.01.1)
to determine whether
inability to assess the quality of anticoagulation. We also23 References
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(1.61.7) J.M.1.8Paterson
(1.81.9) is an employee of Institute
for Clinica
tiating
could not capture warfarin.
stroke events that did notStudies
result in hos-are needed
1. Go AS, Hylek to determine
EM, Chang Y, Phillips KA, Henault whether bridging
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Strengths of Lilly,
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(1.31.4)
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its large, population- Novo Nor
Conclusions
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1106 (18.4) doi: 10.1503/cmaj.121218. Novo Nordisk
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4.2 (4.04.5) (4.65.2)authors report no conflicts.
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Timing of atrialoffibrillation
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based
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stroke in the based
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4. Gage BF, Waterman AD, Shannon Radford
this does not provide evidence of a causal link between war-
inability to assess the
farin initiation and stroke, the persistence of thromboembolic quality
>30 of anticoagulation. 76 061 (51.2) We
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MJ. Validation of clinical classification schemes for predicting stroke:
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2 that
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ofR,congestive
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We thank Broganas Inc,hypertension.
Ottawa for use of their Drug Product and
Therapeutic Class Database.
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2. Gomes T, Mamdani MM, Holbrook AM, Paterson JM, Hellings C, Juurli
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archinte.167.22.2417.
Sources of Funding 7. Vigan S, Mannucci PM, Solinas S, Bottasso B, Mariani G. Decrease in
Rates of hemorrhage during warfarin therapy for atrial fibrill
This study was supported by the Ontario Drug Policy Research Conclusions
Network which is funded by grants from the Ontario Ministry of population-based Abstract 4
protein C antigen and formation of an abnormal protein soon after start-
In this large,fibrillation. cohort study ofdoi:
ing oral anticoagulant therapy. Br J Haematol. 1984;57:213220.
CMAJ. 2013;185:E121E127.
8. Lehto M, Snapinn S, Dickstein K, Swedberg K, Nieminen MS;
older patients
10.1503/cmaj.121218. 3. Azoul
In this large, population-based cohort study of older patients
Health and Long-Term Care (MOHLTC), and supported by the
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES). Opinions, results, with atrial3.fibrillation,
Azoulay L, we observed
DellAniello S, the highest
Simon rate ofC,ischemic
TA, Renoux
OPTIMAAL investigators. Prognostic risk of atrial fibrillation in acute
myocardial infarction complicated by left ventricular dysfunction: the
Suissa S. Initiation of wa
with atrial fibrillation, we observed the highest rate of ischemic
and conclusions reported are those of the authors and independent
from funding sources. No endorsement by ICES or the MOHLTC is stroke in theoffirst
warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation: early effects on ischaemic
OPTIMAAL experience. Eur Heart J. 2005;26:350356. doi: 10.1093/
eurheartj/ehi064. 30 days after warfarin initiation. Although stroke
strokes. Eur Heart J. 2014;35:18811887. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/eht499. 4. Gage
stroke in the first 30 days after warfarin initiation. Although
, this does not provide evidence ofShannon
a causal
4. Gage BF, Waterman AD, W, link between
Boechler M, Richwar-MW, Radford MJ. V
this does not provide evidence of a causal link between war- farin initiationMJ.and stroke,ofthe
Validation persistence
clinical of thromboembolic
classification schemes for predicting stroke: result
farin initiation and stroke, the persistence of thromboembolic risk despite results from the National
anticoagulation highlightsRegistry
the ofneedAtrialforFibrillation.
future JAMA. 2001;
Long-Term Exposure to Fine Particulate Matter, Residential Proximity to Major Roads and Measures
risk despite anticoagulation highlights the need for future 2001;285:28642870.
research in5.this area.S, Hachamovitch R, Menon V. Current trial-associated out-
5. Agarw
Agarwal come
research in this area. of Brain Structure comes with warfarin in prevention of stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial
Elissa H. Wilker, ScD; Sarah R. Preis, ScD; Alexa S. Beiser, PhD; Philip A. Wolf, MD; Rhoda Au,atrial
PhD; Acknowledgments
fibrillation: a meta-analysis.
Itai Kloog, PhD; WenyuanArch Intern
Li, MS; Med.
Joel 2012;172:623631,
Schwartz, PhD; discus
Acknowledgments
Petros Koutrakis, PhD; Charles DeCarli, MD; Sudha Seshadri, MD;
We thank Brogan
discussion
Murray 631.
A. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2012.121.
Mittleman,
Inc,McLaughlin
Ottawa for MD, DrPH
use of their DrugMD, Product andGhali WA.
6. Wu C
6. Wu CM, K, Lorenzetti DL, Hill Manns BJ, Early
We thank Brogan Inc, Ottawa for use of their Drug Product and Therapeutic Class
(Stroke. 2015;46:1161-1166.) EarlyDatabase.
risk of stroke after transient ischemic attack: a systematic review and m
Therapeutic Class Database. and meta-analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:24172422. doi: 10.1001/ archin
Key Words: air pollution brain infarcts neuroimaging
archinte.167.22.2417.
Sources of Funding 7. Vigan
Sources of Funding 7. Vigan S, Mannucci PM, Solinas S, Bottasso B, Mariani G. Decrease in
This study was supported
protein C antigenbyandthe Ontarioof an
formation Drug Policyprotein
abnormal Research
soon after start-
protei
ing or
This study was supported by the Ontario Drug Policy Research Network which ingisoral
funded by grants
anticoagulant from
therapy. Br the Ontario1984;57:213220.
J Haematol. Ministry of 8. Lehto
Network
which is funded by grants from the Ontario Ministry of Health
and8.
Long-Term
Lehto . Care
,
M, Snapinn (MOHLTC),
S,
Dickstein and supported
K,
K, Swedberg byNieminen
the MS; OPTI
Health and Long-Term Care (MOHLTC), and supported by the
Institute for .
Clinical
OPTIMAAL Evaluative
Sciences
investigators. (ICES).
Prognostic
Opinions,
risk of atrial results,
fibrillation
in acute myoc
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES). Opinions, results, and conclusions reportedinfarction
myocardial are those of the authors
complicated by leftand independent
ventricular dysfunction: the OPTI
and conclusions reported are those of the authors and independent from funding sources.
OPTIMAAL No experience.
endorsement Eurby ICES
Heart or the MOHLTCdoi:
J. 2005;26:350356. is 10.1093/ eurhe
from funding sources. No endorsement by ICES or the MOHLTC is eurheartj/ehi064.

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