Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Introduction
by Jean Lamoure
During the past few years, HEP has made a large investment in the
preparation of these materials which have been designed from the
outset to meet the three objectives listed above. We are proud to be able
to launch this programme and we are convinced that the materials
will have a major impact on training in educational planning and
administration worldwide.
Jacques Hallak,
3
These materials contain the following modules:
Solutions to exercises:
the exercises are not very difficult, but full
indications are given to enable you to evaluate
your replies.
Trainer's guide
by Jean Lamoure
Iff
ll
\ \y International Institute for Educational Planning
TRAINER'S GUIDE
1
General comments
1
This chronological order is not rigid. Depending on the
It will be useful for the
supervisor to read in the
trainees' needs and expectations, the trainer can modify the
series 'Fundamentals of sequence of these modules.
Educational Planning',
Planning human T w o types of trainees can be considered, those w h o are mainly
resources: methods,
experiences and practices
'technicians' (those w h o would actually be carrying out surveys
by Olivier Bertrand, HEP,and studies) or 'decision-makers', for w h o m the methodolo-
Paris, 1992. gical or technical information in Modules 2,3 and 4 is less
1-4
TRAINER'S GUIDE
Exercices
Module 1: No exercise except for a short bibliographic report (Module 1, Chapter 6: 'In
conclusion, a short exercise').
Module 2: Exercise 1/Solution 1: Definition of operational objectives (see also
in Module 2, Chapter 5, two additional questions on assumptions and variables).
Module 3: N o exercise other than a short list (Module 3, Chapter 7: 'A short exercise to
check your knowledge').
Module 4: Exercise 2/Solution 2: Preparation of a questionnaire.
Module 5: N o exercise.
Module 6: Exercise 3/Solution 3: Analysis of results.
Module 7: No exercise.
1-5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Role of trainers
Although the trainees need not have special knowledge (see
above in General Comments, Section 1), the trainer should have
a very good knowledge of education systems and good k n o w -
ledge of employment problems. Quite obviously former H E P
trainees are ideal 'resource persons'; trainers can also be
recruited from a m o n g specialists in educational statistics,
researchers with practical experience of these types of surveys
and those with a demographic studies qualification.
At the end of the first module you will find a short bibliogra-
phy: try to obtain the publications and to have a m i n i m u m
knowledge of at least s o m e of them before the start of the
course, as the trainees might ask questions about them.
1-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
These are simply examples of the approach the trainer can take
to this introductory paper and he/she is free to include in it
anything he/she considers appropriate. The main point is to
give a personal touch to this paper (this is an old trick of the
trade to s h o w that the trainer is somebody w h o counts and to
prove his competence even before the start of the course) and
give the future trainees s o m e w o r k instructions; even if they
are followed by only a few trainees, the joint sessions will be all
the m o r e effective.
N o . of m o d u l e : Title of m o d u l e : A v e r a g e duration
(in hours)
Solution 2
Solution 2
Solution 1
Final assessment 2
TOTAL 31 hours
(i) Not including the time for the bibliographic exercise (Chapter 6: 'In conclusion, a short exercise'); it depends on the
organization of the course and on whether documentation sources are within easy reach,
(ii) Including 0.5 hour for Chapter 5: 'Two additional questions on assumptions and variables'.
(Hi) Including 0.5 hour for Chapter 7: 'A short exercise to check your knowledge'.
1-9
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Advantages Drawbacks
I ype of organization
(a) 'Directive': Even if your trainees have not If you d o not have an excellent
read the module before the knowledge of the module, your trainees
The trainer goes over
session, they will acquire a will soon realize the fact and your
almost the entire module
knowledge of its contents reputation will suffer.
orally, which is similar to the
enabling them to discuss it and If you have no experience of speaking,
conventional teaching
do the exercises. your trainees will fall asleep.
approach.
This type of organization does not
encourage the trainees to join in, and has
little in c o m m o n with the spirit of this
manual.
(b) 'Laissez-faire' T h e trainer has almost It is not sure that the trainees will ask
nothing to do and waits for the the trainer anything at all or that what
The trainees are in full
trainees' questions. they say will concern the contents of the
control, while the trainer is
T h e trainees are perfectly free module.
simply there to answer their
questions. to say what they like. Y o u m a y have s o m e difficulty in getting
back to the contents of the module.
1-10
TRAINER'S GUIDE
1-11
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Module 2: Replace the chart given as an example at the end of the module (chart entitled 'Another
example in the form of a chart to be completed) by one concerning the country in question.
Module 3: In the s a m e way replace the example given in Chapter 7 ('A short exercise to check your
knowledge).
Module 4: For each example of a question, ask the trainees to check whether the contents
and formulation are quite applicable to the country's characteristics; they will do the s a m e
for Exercise 2 {Preparation of a questionnaire).
Module 5: Obtain information from the specialized national bodies on the budget necessary for
a survey: rates of pay for field workers, travel expenses, etc. (see below Module 5 ,
Chapter 1).
Module 6: A s far as possible obtain tables from national surveys and have them analysed.
Module 7: Identify the national bodies which would be interested in receiving the results of follow-up
and tracer surveys.
These few examples are not exhaustive but simply give an idea
of what can be done.
1-12
TRAINER'S GUIDE
1-13
O Special comments on each module
Main points
o Chapter 1
1-14
TRAINER'S GUIDE
^Chapter 3
This chapter illustrates w h a t has been said previously
(see above Section 1 of the General Comments and Module 1,
Reminder of the objective); the trainer m u s t have n o compunction
about coming back to this example during the course so that
the trainees d o not lose sight of the objective of these studies.
<=> Chapter 6
W e have already discussed h o w this exercise can be carried out
(see above General comments, Sections (e) and (f)). It is extremely
instructive in that it enables trainees (and the trainer) to check
whether the concept of the study of transition from school to
w o r k has been well understood. T h e trainer can go further with
this exercise by asking the trainees to explain the methodology
of these studies by m e a n s of the characteristics stated in
chapter 5 of this module.
1-15
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Main points
o Chapter 1
A s an introduction to the module, the slide for the chart o n
the technical organization of a survey, which also appears in
at the end of M o d u l e 5, will s h o w h o w this phase precedes all
the others.
O Chapter 2
The necessity will be stressed of breaking d o w n the general
instructions received into m o r e limited, operational objectives
(in the example given, the m a n p o w e r study requested
by the Minister of Technical Education in fact included t w o
objectives). This is not a purely formal exercise, for the
objectives defined in this w a y affect the organization of the
survey and its cost: in practice, it is the objectives which are
very often adjusted to the organizational possibilities and
budget resources (see Module 3, Chapter 6 below). Exercise 1 in
this module will m a k e it possible to go back to this question.
^Chapter 3
The formulation of problems, and assumptions (see Chapter 4
below), is quite often glossed over: it is to be stressed that time
spent o n this phase is not time wasted: o n the contrary, it will
m a k e it easier to construct the questionnaire (Module 4) and
analyse the results (Module 6), since the frame of reference
provided will prevent any mistakes.
'The O Chapter 4
trainer will find it useful
to read one of the HEP
self-instructional modules:The academic logic which leads from the statement of problems
Livingstone, Ian D., to assumptions is to s o m e extent formal; the trainer will stress
Specifications of research
what is said in this important chapter of the module:
aims in the series
Quantitative research
You will note that under box [B] (objective), the lines run
methods for education
planning, published by towards box [C] (general problem formulation) as well as box [D]
K. Ross (to appear in 1996).
1-16
Chart of the technical organization of a survey
STAGE 1
I
INTERPRETATION
1.1 definition of objectives
3.1 implementation
STAGE 3
TRIAL SURVEY 3.2 processing of results
r,recruitment
tl
3.3 conclusions
3.4 Final shaping up
| of survey | || of questionnaire
personnelli U and coding plan
counting of questionnaires,
STAGE 4 FULL SCALE SURVEY & checking
" ~*\
5.1 coding
STAGE 5
"recruitment^,
DATA PROCESSING 5.2 data acquisition
5.3 corrections }
i of coders f 5.4 DATA-BANK 5.5 R E C O R D S FILE
RESEARCH
PROGRAMMES TABLES
5-8
TRAINER'S GUIDE
3
A s stated at the end of this chapter, a few w o r d s are said about
For more information on
the method of choosing a
quota samples simply to emphasize their disadvantages.
sample, see Ross, K.N.,
1992, Sample design
^Chapter 2
procedures for a national
survey of primary schools in
In surveys o n large populations, multi-stage sampling is
Zimbabwe, Issues and r e c o m m e n d e d all the m o r e since it reduces costs substantially
methodologies In if field workers are employed (unlike a postal survey in which
educational development,
HEP, Paris, No. 82 and this factor obviously does not count). T h e importance will be
Ross, K.N., Sample design stressed of having a representative sample of schools, so that,
for educational survey
for example, all schools have the s a m e chance of being selected.
research, a module to be
published in the
A stratified sample of schools (on the basis of criteria such as
self-instruction series on
Quantitative research urban/rural, public/private, etc.) as in the case of pupils will
methods for educational be r e c o m m e n d e d (see below Section 3) 3 .
planners (op.cit).
1-17
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
O Chapter 3
O Chapter 4
1-18
TRAINER'S GUIDE
^Chapter 5
=> Chapter 6
O Chapter 7
1-19
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Main points
^Chapter 1
^Chapter 3
1-20
TRAINER'S GUIDE
^Chapter 4
^Chapter 5
^Chapter 6
1-21
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
=> Chapter 7
1-22
TRAINER'S GUIDE
o Chapter 8
^Chapter 9
This module makes it possible to: (i) recapitulate the plan of the
preceding modules, (ii) discuss h o w the survey proper is
prepared and conducted, and (iii) prepare for the sixth module
on the analysis of results.
7-23
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Main points
<=> Chapter 1
the main costs are for the payment offieldworkers and their
travel expenses (4th phase), and for the payment of coding
staff (5th phase): they m a y account for over three-quarters of
the total budget.
the three preceding phases mainly involve office w o r k and
their cost is negligible since the trial survey (3rd phase) can
be based o n a very small sample population.
material costs (equipment and software) are another
important budget item, but they can be considerably limited
if the body responsible is already well equipped.
The trainer can list and study with the trainees the adminis-
trative authorizations required in the country to conduct a
survey (ministerial or Cabinet approval, authorizations by local
bodies, etc.).
^Chapter 2
7-24
TRAINER'S GUIDE
^Chapter 3
^Chapter 4
1-25
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
>=> Chapter 5
It is to be stressed that the coding of the questionnaires m u s t
absolutely be started as soon as possible after the first question-
naires are returned: this will s h o w whether any adjustments to
the instructions y o u have given the field workers or to the
coding scheme are necessary - if the latter is not indicated o n
the questionnaire.
=> Chapter 6
It is just as essential to conduct the survey in thefieldvery
quickly as it is to take all the time required for the methodo-
logical and technical preparation of the survey (see Chapter 2
above). T h e person in charge of the survey m u s t behave like a
good general: he will take time to define his strategy, but once
it is decided, the success of the battle depends o n h o w quickly
the strategy is implemented. W e can also take the example of
a top athlete: his physical and mental preparation is a lengthy
process whereas he spends little time actually competing.
1-26
TRAINER'S GUIDE
Main points
o Chapter 1
^Chapter 2
=> Chapter 3
1-27
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
This module is very short. Its purpose is to: (i) explain the
arrangements for publishing and disseminating the results of
follow-up and tracer studies; (u) consider h o w an initial study
can be used to set u p a permanent, institutionalized system to
examine the relationship between training and employment.
Main points
=> Chapter 1
=> Chapter 2
=> Chapter 3
^Chapter 4
The last chapter does not call for any special remarks.
1-28
Special comments on each exercise
General briefing.
Special comments on the exercise.
C o m m e n t s on the solution.
It should be remembered that these are not academic exercises
and, unless otherwise stated, the trainees must refer (see below
Exercise 2) to the self-instructional modules.
Question 1
1-29
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Question 2
Question 3
Here again the trainees must study all the documents provided.
A s stated in this question, the trainees m a y refer to Chapters 3
and 4 of Module 2. H o w e v e r they must s h o w a little
imagination and not simply reproduce the examples given.
1-30
TRAINER'S GUIDE
Solution to question 1
The examples proposed are for guidance only, the main point
being that the questions thought u p by the trainees should
m a k e it possible to have a better idea of the Minister's
objectives. It does not matter if the trainees have prepared only
one or two questions, provided that they are worded along the
lines suggested.
Solution to question 2
Solution to question 3
1-31
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Question 1
Question 2
1-32
TRAINER'S GUIDE
Solution to question 1
Solution to question 2
1-33
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
3. U D S (Sociology) 1.2.3 [ ]
4. U D P (Psychology) 1.2.4 [ ]
5. U D H (History/Geography) 1.2.5 [ ]
and each line (1 to 5) will be coded either [1] (no), or [2] (yes) after each student has been asked to
mark all the boxes corresponding to the UD obtained.
1-34
TRAINERS GUIDE
Exercise 3.1
Exercise 3.2
The trainer could point out that this exercise shows one
possible use of follow-up and tracer surveys, the external
assessment of an innovation (in this case the introduction of
industrial training) which m a y be extremely useful before the
innovation is introduced in all schools.
1-35
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Exercise 3.3
1-36
TRAINER'S GUIDE
Question 1: The trainer will point out that Table 4 does not
distinguish between the different categories. T h e tables will be
studied in their numerical order: first Table 2 (activity in 1994,
during the first run) and then the comparison with Table 3.
Although Table 4 does not distinguish between the categories,
which is a pity, it does s h o w the m a i n trends for the entire
population (a high proportion of 'looking for w o r k ' and quite a
high proportion still in training).
The total for Table 2 (882) is less than that for Table 1 (1,080). The
difference corresponds to the pupils w h o could not be traced
from one survey to another.
In Table 5 the percentage total in columns II (99 per cent) and III
(101 per cent) is not equal to 100 per cent; this is not a mistake
as the difference is due to the calculation method (rounding to
7-37
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Questions 1 and 2: they d o not call for any special remarks; the
solution states h o w the percentage for stop-gap employment
and unemployment is calculated. The trainer will point out that
the method of calculating unemployment m a y vary from one
country to another; he could recall the definition used in the
country or ask the trainees to find it.
1-38
TRAINERS GUIDE
| \ Final assessment
Organization
1-39
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
A final recommendation:
1-40
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
by Jean Lamoure
1-5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1-6
t\ The different forms of follow-up and
s tracer studies
A problem of definition
Follow-up studies and tracer studies, however, are used for
different purposes.
1-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1-9
3 The value of a data-base for the planning of
human resources and educational management
1-10
MODULE V 1 : THE DEFINITION AND VALUE OF FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1-11
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1-12
4 T w o sensitive sectors: higher education
and technical and vocational training
1-13
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Lastly, the choice of these two sectors for our present purposes
is justified by the experience which is beginning to be acquired
in thisfield.S o m e examples are given in the bibliography in
Chapter 7.
Characteristics of follow-up and
tracer studies
1-15
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
T h e situation of reference
This is what enables y o u to identify the subjects y o u are going
to question, and hence to establish your database. For instance,
it m a y be candidatures for a n examination if that enables you to
discover the subjects' addresses; in which case your target
population m a y be either all those w h o sat the examination, or
only those w h o passed. For a follow-up study, the situation of
reference m a y be the year of commencing a course (e.g. all
students enrolled in thefirstyear of university in 1989), and the
target population m a y be either all students (including those
repeating their first year) or only those newly enrolled.
T h e period of reference
This is the period covered b y questions concerning y o u n g
people's circumstances; for example, the questions put to those
w h o left school in September 1990 will relate to a period lying
between t w o precise dates: the date they left school a n d
another date, set empirically - for instance,l April 1991.
1-17
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
T h e point of entry
This is the place where the target population is identified and
questioned. B y definition, a follow-up survey or a tracer study
is focused o n individuals; the point of entry is therefore their
individual locality, in particular their h o m e address or that of
their family. But in m a n y countries this identification is
difficult if not impossible. In small countries, or those with a
small total population, employers can be chosen as the point of
entry; clearly, in this case, the survey will cover only young
people already in employment, and any estimation of
u n e m p l o y m e n t can only be m a d e indirectly. In other
circumstances, the point of entry m a y be a region or a locality
w h e r e there is a high concentration of people in employment,
but here again the survey will not be exhaustive.
1-18
MODULE N 1: THE DEFINITION AND VALUE OF FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Recapulative questions
1-1
oc
6
LU
I-
OL
<
In conclusion, a short exercice
X
o
Exercise
1-20
A short bibliography
1-21
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
MODULE 2
Defining the objectives of the survey
by Jean Lamoure
* M a k e corresponding assumptions
A n example, in the form of a chart, will help you in
your study of this module
2-2
Contents
Chapter 1 The problem in general terms 2-5
2-5
Interpreting the originator's request
2-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
2-9
3 From objectives to a formulation of
the problems to be solved
Your general statement of the problem can be broken down into many
ways, depending on the source of the request, the practical situation of
the education system and the labour market, and of course, your own
manner of approach and experience in this field.
2-10
MODULE N> 2: DEFINING THE OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
It is evident that this task will be all the easier if you have a
good knowledge of thefieldof investigation. Those w h o wish
to undertake follow-up studies are strongly advised to
familiarize themselves with educational statistics
(superfluous advice for educational planners) and statistics
relating to employment and m a n p o w e r .
2-11
ce
111
E x a m p l e 1: T h e job opportunities o p e n to y o u n g p e o p l e w h o
h a v e attended a higher educational establishment.
2-12
MODULE /V 2: DEFINING THE OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
In the first example given above, the study must include not
only questions concerning the jobs occupied by students but
also the nature of the employer (public, private, etc.); to verify
these assumptions the people questioned must be asked not
only what qualifications they have, but also at w h a t stage of
the course they left university.
2-13
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
REQUEST (A):
O B J E C T I V E (B):
Analyse
the circumstances of initial employment
of certificate holders trained in
Vocational Training Centres of the Building Industry (VTCB)
V A R I A B L E S T A K E N INTO A C C O U N T (E):
2-15
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
2-16
MODULE hf 2: DEFINING THE OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
When you have completed this exercise, you can tackle either Mod
3 or Module 4.
Go to them!
2-17
Answer to the two questions in Module 2
>> A n s w e r to Question 1:
2-18
>> Answer to Question 2:
Assumptions Variables
1. Those w h o hold a certificate find a job more Employment situation; certificate holders/non-
easily than those w h o d o not. certificate holders.
...additional assumptions could b e m a d e such as, for example, "non-certificate holders are engaged in
greater numbers in the informal sector"...
2-19
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
MODULE 3
Problems of sampling
by Jean Lamoure
3-5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
3-6
Random samples
3-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
If, for instance, you take the first 150 names out of a list of 1,000, the 151st
and those following it will have no chance at all of being selected. If you take
every alternate name (the first, third, etc.) the 301st and those following it will
have no chance of being selected.
3-8
MODULE W3: PROBLEMS OF SAMPLING
3-9
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Speciality:
TOTAL: 5 000
Note: The figures in brackets correspond to the real percentages of pupils w h o passed the exam in
each speciality, the general average being 30 per cent.
3-10
MODULE AM; PROBLEUS OF SAMPUNG
3-11
Quota sampling
3-12
MODULE hP3: PROBLEMS OF SAMPUNG
3-13
The adjustment of responses
3-14
MODULE AM: PROBLEMS OF SAMPUNG
Example
Let us take a simple example: you have a sample of 1 000 former pupils,
400 of them with an urban background and 600 with a rural background;
40 per cent and 6 0 per cent respectively. The 650 replies to your survey
c o m e from 350 urban respondents and 300 rural respondents (54 per
cent and 46 per cent respectively). In these replies, the rural individuals
are thus under-represented; to give them a representation conforming to
the sample, you must therefore give extra 'weight' to each rural
questionnaire and less 'weight to each urban questionnaire. This
weighting is calculated as follows:
The weighted ( and hence more accurate) employment rate will be:
3-15
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Specialized software for the processing of surveys can now calculate not
only the size of your samples but also the adjustment for non-responses;
even someone who is not a statistician can use such software after a little
practice. It makes things a lot easier.
3-16
5 The value of exhaustiveness in follow-up and
tracer studies
3-17
A pragmatic approach
3-18
MODULE ff 3: PROBLEMS OF SAMPUNG
3-19
ce
Exercise
3-20
TABLE FOR YOUR REPLY
CRITERIA REASONS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
3-21
Solution to exercise
This 'solution' makes no claim to be exhaustive. It is intended mainly to indicate the broad lines
of your discussion with the statistician. T h e exercise w a s intended to accustom you to making
choices motivated by your problem formulation and your assumptions (which is w h y you were
asked to state your reasons). This is one of the leitmotifs of this manual, and is developed in the
two preceding modules. It is the rigour of your intellectual approach which will determine the
quality of your study of transition from school to work. S o here are s o m e clues to possible replies:
CRITERIA REASONS
5. Locality of the Polytechnics Depending on the locality of the IUT Polytechnics (large
city or small town) employment opportunities m a y vary.
3-22
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
MODULE 4
The construction of the questionnaire
by Jean Lamoure
follow-up studies a n d
tracer studies.
A distinction is also m a d e b e t w e e n :
4-5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Parts (a) and (b) involve what are called independent variables,
whose impact o n the dependent variables involved in parts (c)
and (d) the survey will attempt to assess.
4-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
4-8
OC
Ol
o.
<
O Educational background
X
4-9
Educational characteristics Reserved for coding
1. N A M E and address of last educational establishment attended
Subsidiary questions:
NOD YES D
3 c: W h o advised you to train for that speciality? (put a cross in only one box)
I I Your parents.
Your school.
I I Y o u chose it yourself.
I I Y o u d o not remember.
Sociological background
4-11
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
4-12
Sociological characteristics Reserved for coding
- H o w m a n y of them work?
- H o w m a n y are at school? Q ]
Subsidiary questions:
General principle
4-14
MODULE N>4 : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
4-15
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1. I_l You are repeating your grade in the same school as in 1990 l_l
2. I _ I You are a pupil (or student) in another establishment I_I
2.1. What establishment? (name, address):
T h e filter question
This present ' A C T I V I T Y ' part of the questionnaire has a
practical value also; it enables y o u to m a k e a distinction
b e t w e e n the different categories of y o u n g people. T h e
subsequent questions o n e m p l o y m e n t concern only
respondents w h o have replied in the affirmative to o n e of the
Questions 5 to 9; for the others, the questionnaire isfinished.T o
specify this, y o u can introduce a n additional question (a 'filter'
question) like this:
Filter question:
4-19
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
You will note that questions about dates occur in all the sections of
the questionnaire (date of leaving school, date of commencement of
job-seeking, date of commencement of military service, date of
commencement of employment, and so on). This is an important
variable in tracer studies because the answers to these questions help
to evaluate how difficult it is to find a place in the labour market and
what happens to young people between unemployment and finding a
job, or between unemployment and under-employment. They can also
be useful subsequently if you question the same population again in
the course of a multi-visit survey.
4-20
Example 4: Questions for wage-earning employees
Subsidiary question:
1 b.: H o w did youfindyour job? (through your school, your family, etc.,)
Questions on employment: Further remarks
4-22
MODULE IT4 : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
4-23
Put two crosses (x) to indicate the period for which:
4-24
MODULE hP4 : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
But the coding of this table is tricky. You have to transform each
of the periods defined between two crosses [x x]. For
instance, the period in wage employment (Question 6) runs
from the fourth quarter of 1989 to the second quarter of 1990. If
you do not know the exact months, you adopt the convention
of taking the mid-month dates (15 November 1989 to 15
November 1990). The survey software will transform these
dates into a duration of six months. The calculation would
obviously be more precise if the time-sequence were expressed
in months instead of in quarters, but this is sometimes
materially difficult (in this example it would mean a 24-column
table). In practice, this type of table often serves mainly to
identify the different employment circumstances manually: the
total number of jobs held, those held for longest, etc.
After this preliminary phase, you are able to tell the respondent
(or thefieldworker) which circumstances you want to k n o w
more about. Of course, you cannot ask for a wealth of details on
each of them, but simply the information you consider most
relevant (e.g. the nature of the job, the sector of activity, the
number of hours worked per week). These questions, which
come under phase (b), can be as follows:
4-25
Using the table which you have just filled up, you are n o w going to precise your
activities during:
A . Y o u r first training period (line lof the above table; 1st period from the 1st trimester (1T)
in 1989):
4-26
MODULE tf 4 : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
4-27
Coding the questions
If, for example, you are going to question former students, your
nomenclature must be detailed for all high-level and middle-level
jobs, and relatively restricted for jobs requiring no qualifications
(e.g. unskilled labour), because it m a y be safely assumed that only
a small proportion of the respondents hold the latter kind of job. In
this context, a former student employed as an unskilled worker, in
whatever sector of activity, m a y be considered as under-employed.
4-29
Note on
IQ questions of opinion
4-30
MODULE N'A : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
Example 1
Instead of a question of the kind "does your job correspond to what you
were trained for?", try this:
In your present job, has your education (specify here in full the type of education
to which you refer) been useful from the point of view of:
- Not at all
- Not very
- Very
- Extremely
- Not at all
- Not very
- Very
- Extremely
- Not at all
- Not very
- Very
- Extremely
This will give you a more circumstantial reply, but you should m a k e use
of it only relatively, that is to say set it against the characteristics of the
job occupied and the sociological background of the respondent. In
short, treat it like an independent variable (see para.1) w h o s e
distribution you attempt to explain in the light of the respondent's
circumstances, and not as an indicator of maladjustment of the
education received to the job held. For instance, w e m a y a s s u m e that
the possession of a degree had little influence on being employed by a
parent or relative, but w a s 'very' or 'extremely' useful in securing
employment as a civil servant.
4-31
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
True, the analysis of employment over a long period (see Chapter 7) enables
you to m a k e this distinction (the first jobs, lasting a short time and requiring
low qualifications, m a y be considered as stop-gap jobs, especially if they are
followed by jobs of a very different kind). But this analysis is scarcely possible
if the ex-pupils are questioned less than a year after the completion of their
training. A question of opinion (or attitude) m a y then be of help; for example:
Y o u can also discover whether stop-gap jobs are not simply the least well-
paid jobs; one always hopes for a higher w a g e .
If you bear these points in mind (and others too) you will b e led to differentiate
these replies and assess the extent to which they involve value judgements.
MODULE AP 4 : THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE
Recapulative questions
After reading this module, you should be able to answer the
following questions:
4-33
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
MODULE 5
Implementing the survey
by Jean Lamoure
Recruiting thefieldworkers.
5-5
TRACER STUDIES
5-6
T h e different stages of the technical preparation
5-7
Chart of the technical organization of a survey
STAGE 1
I
INTERPRETATION
1.1 definition of objectives
3.1 implementation
STAGE 3
TRIAL SURVEY 3.2 processing of results
r,recruitment
tl
3.3 conclusions
3.4 Final shaping up
| of survey | || of questionnaire
personnelli U and coding plan
counting of questionnaires,
STAGE 4 FULL SCALE SURVEY & checking
" ~*\
5.1 coding
STAGE 5
"recruitment^,
DATA PROCESSING 5.2 data acquisition
5.3 corrections }
i of coders f 5.4 DATA-BANK 5.5 R E C O R D S FILE
RESEARCH
PROGRAMMES TABLES
5-8
MODULE W 5 : IMPLEMENTING THE SURVEY
Resist pressure from your superiors, or from those who asked the
study in the first place. They rarely appreciate these technical
constraints and always want results as quickly as possible. The time
you devote to this trial survey will be widely made up when you come
to conducting the full-scale survey (see stage 4 of the organisation
chart).
5-9
TRACER STUDIES
5-11
3 Heightening awareness of the survey
5-12
The problem of field workers
Recruitment.
5-13
TRACER STUDIES
Training
Control
Last recommendations
T o facilitate the follow-up and control offieldworkers,
establish an 'itinerary sheef for each of them. This should
comprise at least the full details of the n a m e s and addresses of
the persons to be questioned, the dates of their visits (including
fruitless visits), reports of w h a t steps they take to trace the
people they wish to interview, and travel expenses if these are
not included in their remuneration for the completed
questionnaire (see section 3).
5-15
CL
<
X
5 Coding
5-16
MODULE hP5 : IMPLEMENTING THE SURVEY
But your task is not finished. Y o u still have to 'dean u p ' the
data and cany out checksforcoherence for which provision w a s
m a d e w h e n you established your coding plan. For example, the
replies to the questions o n 'activity' must correspond to similar
information in other parts of the questionnaire. A person w h o
replied 'wage employmenf to one of the questions o n
employment must havetickedthe question 'activity'
accordingly. Y o u also have to m a k e the first computerized
counts to check that everything has been recorded. This is a
long and meticulous task that will oblige you to refer back to
the questionnaires m a n y times. Here again, foresee sufficient
time : you will widely gain from it w h e n the results c o m e out.
5-17
oc
6
ai
Recapulative question
After reading this Module, you should be able to answer the
following question:
5-18
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
MODULE 6
Analysis of results
by Jean Lamoure
Analysis of results
2 Initial counts
First you have to know the replies to each of your questions.
Computer specialists are familiar with this task, they perform it
spontaneously to check data entry. It is simply counting u p the
number of answers of each kind to each question:
6-7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Let us take another example: for the question "YJhat was your
activity on 15 December 1990?" (under ' A C T I V I T I E S ' , w h i c h y o u
examined in M o d u l e 4), y o u obtain the following frequency
distribution:
1. You are repeating your grade in the s a m e school as in 1989 421 13%
2 . You are a pupil (or student) in another establishment 118 4%
3. You are not working and you are looking for a job 1 253 40%
4 . You are doing your military service 0 0%
5. You help o n e of your family in his or her work, but you are
not paid for it 752 24%
6. You help one of your family and you are paid for it 430 14%
7 . You are apprenticed to an employer 18 0%
8. You are a wage-earning employee 129 4%
9. You work for yourself 4 0%
If you sum up the percentages, they come to less than 100 per cent,
because the computer programme takes no account of anything under
1 per cent (Codes 4,7 and 9); but there are indeed 100 per cent of
replies. This is of little importance; in a survey of this type, one
cannot hope for an accuracy to the nearest 1 per cent.
Table 1
Situation question
This table can be interpreted as follows: of the 1 253 unemployed school leavers (Total column, line 3),
631 are formally qualified (column 2, line 3). The last row gives the total for each column. It should
correspond to the figures obtained in the frequency distribution for that variable. This table does not give
percentages; these are automatically calculated by most specialised computer software. In this case, only
the column percentages are of interest; they enable you to examine the respective situations of formally
qualified and unqualified school leavers.
6-10
MODULE life: ANAL YSIS OF RESULTS
6-11
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Table 2 A - G r a d u a t e s only
-Arts
-Law
- Engineering
etc....
TOTAL:
Table 2 B - N o n - g r a d u a t e s only
-Arts
-Law
- Engineering
etc....
TOTAL:
6-12
MODULE APS: ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
Other solutions are possible; you can compile tables of the kind
s h o w n below, combining graduates and non-graduates in each
subject.
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
TOTAL:
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
TOTAL:
Arts:
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
Law:
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
Engineering:
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
etc....
TOTAL:
- Graduates
- Non-graduates
6-14
MODULE Wft ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
It is not possible to give an a priori list of all the tables you must
compile; it depends o n the particular objectives of your survey
and the analysis of your frequency distributions, which will
guide your choice of the most relevant tables.
Specific tables
These are tables giving m o r e detailed information either o n the
variables or o n a part of the population questioned, depending
here again o n your objectives and assumptions (see M o d u l e 2,
Chapter 4).
6-16
Further studies
3 The tables described above (see in particular Chapter 2, sections
2 and 3) are designed to meet the original request as soon as
possible; in many respects it is useful to accompany them by a
few comments in order to facilitate their interpretation. But
your task is not confined to producing tables, even annotated
ones; you have to verify your assumptions, and this is the most
rewarding stage of your work.
This analysis can take two different forms: it can give rise to
descriptive studies or specific studies, corresponding to two
different levels of approach.
Descriptive studies
6-17
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
C
minium
t#fflllllll
Specific studies
6-18
MODULE ff 6: ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
To s u m up, one could say that specific studies make up in depth for
what they lack in scope. You will therefore not confine yourself
solely to the results of your survey; you will try to make use of
the results of existing surveys, studies and statistics on the
same subject. Let us take the example of a study of
unemployment among school leavers; thanks to your survey,
you have been able to calculate the level of unemployment, but
to be properly interpreted it has to be placed in the more
general context of unemployment among the population of
working age. This information lies outside your survey and
must be sought from specialized sources: the Ministry of
Labour or of Planning, employment surveys or the population
census, etc. Only by seeking this information can you reach any
conclusion as to the specificity of unemployment among school
leavers.
However good a job you may have done, all the questions
or assumptions you formulated at the beginning of your
survey will not necessarily have been finally settled.
Your analyses will also lead you to formulate other, more
precise, questions and assumptions; the results of follow-
up surveys usually generate as m a n y questions as they
answer.
6-19
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
This is the inevitable price you have to pay for your work; in
the short-term or medium-term it will oblige you to establish a
research policy enabling you to undertake tracer studies on a
regular basis.
Recapulative questions
MODULE 7
Medium-term prospects
by Jean Lamoure
mm ,,
'" ^ International Institute for Educational Planning
MODULE
Medium-term prospects
The more use is made of follow-up and tracer studies, the less they
will appear to cost, and you will thus be in a more favourable position
to lay claim to new resources which will enable you to develop your
surveys in greater depth.
7-5
O The publication policy
* Articles in periodicals
7-
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
7-9
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
7-10
4 In conclusion: s o m e material and
h u m a n constraints
7-11
IIEP TEACHING MATERIALS
EXERCISE 1
Definition of operational objectives
and scope of the survey
by Jean Lamoure
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Now read the following six documents. They will familiarize you with the
context in which the Minister's request lies. To answer the questions, use the
sheets at the end of the documents.
Dear Sir,
Higher
Higher
technical
education '
institutes *
Document 1.3:
Numbers of pupils and graduates in 1990
AQWE Woodworking
Electricity
Surveying
Car mechanics
Secretarial work
Accountancy
PLOME Dressmaking
Building trades
Engineering production
Electricity
Secretarial work
Accountancy
SAEDE Agriculture
Woodworking
Car mechanics
Engineering production
Electricity
Note: there is only one technical secondary school in each Province, except in Saede, where agricultural
technicians are trained in a specialized establishment.
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
* School principals d o not keep their pupils' records after they have left secondary technical
schools, as to whether or not they have obtained a certificate.
T h e school principals have the addresses of the families or guardians of pupils currently
enrolled, and they also have a list of pupils holding the certificate of technical secondary
education.
EXERCISE 1
7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Replies:
Reply to Question 1 :
What preliminary questions are you going to ask the Minister? (list them in order of importance,
and justify them).
QUESTIONS JUSTIFICATION
1.
8
EXERCISE
Reply to Question 2:
Your Minister has confidence in you, a n d is liberal. W h a t operational objectives d o
you suggest to him? (Confine yourself to five objectives, and justify t h e m ) .
Objective 1:
Justification:
Objective 2 :
Justification:
Objective 3 :
Justification:
Objective 4 :
Justification:
Objective 5 :
Justification:
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Reply to Question 3:
For each objective, try to formulate s o m e assumptions, with the help of the preceding
documents and M O D U L E 2 .
1st objective:
2nd objective:
3rd objective:
4th objective:
5th objective:
W
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
EXERCISE 2
The construction of a questionnaire
by Jean Lamoure
To do so, you may refer to Module 4, but do not simply reproduce the
questions in that Module!
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Remember that the coding system is intended for the use of the
coding personnel, not the respondents. What you have to do is to
define how each reply can be quantified (i.e. expressed in terms of a
numerical value).
EXERCISE 2
For reasons of prudence (this is the first survey conducted by the Training and Employment Unit)
and also for reasons of policy (the University has very m a n y students, and has been accused
of swelling the ranks of the unemployed) it has been decided to confine the survey to the Arts
and Humanities Faculty (FAH for short in what follows).
F A H has five departments: Arts, Plastic Arts, Sociology, Psychology, and History/Geography.
During the four-year course, FAH awards only one certificate of qualification on successful
completion of the course: the university degree, specifying the subject area for which it is
granted.
4
EXERCISE 2
Graduates in the Arts, the Plastic Arts and History/Geography m a y sit the entrance examination
of the Higher Pedagogic Institute, which will train them as general secondary school teachers.
If they pass the examination, they are considered as trainee Civil Servants. After one year of
training, they are all assigned to a secondary school (there are no failures).
All students w h o have entered their second year in F A H can be recruited as primary school
teachers. After two years of intensive training during school holidays they are assigned to a
primary school.
The Q W E R T Y Restructuring Plan has suspended the recruitment of Civil Servants; theoretically
no Civil Servants or teachers have been recruited in the past year.
The survey covers all students w h o left F A H in 1990. In the light of the information
contained in A and B above, it has been decided to mail a questionnaire to all students w h o
left F A H in the course of the past year, whether or not they graduated, including those w h o
dropped out in the course of the 1990 academic year. Since the dropout ratio is particularly
high, it has been decided to question all students w h o left F A H before completing their
studies. T h e general secretariat of F A H is able to provide the n a m e s and addresses of all
these students.
The students are to be questioned in June 1991, i.e. at least six months after they left F A H
(the university year began in January and ended in November 1990).
6
EXERCISE 2
Replies:
QUESTIONNAIRE.
Important:
1. EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND
(Number the questions in each section; e.g. in this section
number them 1.1,1.2, etc.).
2. SOCIOLOGICAL B A C K G R O U N D
3. ACTIVITY
4. EMPLOYMENT
(Possibly including one or two questions relating to unemployment; see objectives ofthe survey
under heading A above).
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
This coding applies to the questions under these headings which you have formulated
in reply to Q U E S T I O N 1.
Indicate the codes assigned to these three items in your questionnaire, and in each
case state the coding instructions for the coding personnel.
9
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
EXERCISE 3
Analysis of the results of tracer studies
by Jean Lamoure
Table 1 w a s compiled in France o n the basis of the survey of the transition from school
to w o r k of secondary school leavers during the school year 1990-1991. T h e survey
covered a nation-wide sample of 4,500 schools (out of a total of 11,000), a n d w a s
conducted in February 1992, seven m o n t h s after the pupils in question left school.
T h e survey covered all schools, public a n d private, under the authority of the Ministry
of Education, and all pupils w h o left the education system between the second year of
secondary schooling (7th grade) a n d the final year (12th grade), with the exception of
pupils in theirfinalyear of general secondary education.
T h e survey w a s conducted m y mail, through the Principals of the schools which the
pupils in question h a d attended. T h e response rate ranged from 55 per cent to 75 per
cent, depending o n grades. T h e figures w e r e adjusted to allow for non-respondents.
The Vocational Certificate and the Technical Certificate are granted at the end of short
vocational secondary schooling; the Technical Certificate is the higher qualification of the two.
T h e ' A ' Level Technical Certificate and the ' A ' Level Vocational Certificate are granted
at the end of technical a n d vocational secondary schooling. T h e latter testifies to a
m o r e specialized level of training than the former.
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Table 1
U n e m p l o y m e n t rates o n 1st February 1992 of pupils w h o left
vocational secondary school at various levels in 1990-1991
Source: Note d'information 92.43, Ministre de l'Education Nationale et de la Culture, November 1992
2
EXERCISE 3
Tables 2,3 ande show the results of a repeat-run tracer study conducted by Anders Nrman
in Kenya in 1984 and 1986. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the results of the
introduction of industrial training in general secondary education. Thefirststudy covered
20 schools, 15 of which had introduced industrial subjects into their curricula. The pupils
are divided into three categories:
The second category comprises pupils w h o did not opt for these subjects,
although their school offered them the possibility of doing so. In the
course of their schooling, most of them had an opportunity of doing
practical work.
The pupils questioned sat the K C E examination in 1983. In an initial survey conducted one
year later (1984), 1,500 pupils were questioned by mail. The response rate was over 70 per
cent.
A second survey was conducted in 1986 among a sample of 1,503 pupils. The response rate
was 59 per cent. This second run m a d e it possible to discover what happened to these
pupils and what their circumstances were three years after the school leaving examination.
3
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Table 2
A break-down of activities for the respondents one year after the K C E e x a m s in 1983
(percentages)
School/training 50 50 55 51
Work 6 7 5 6
Looking 44 43 40 43
Total (100%) (320) (555) (205) (1 080)
Table 3
Occupational status three years after the K C E e x a m s
(in total n u m b e r a n d percentages)
N % N % N % N %
School/training 75 (27) 112 (26) 46 (26) 233 (26)
Work 106 (38) 140 (33) 70 (40) 316 (36)
Looking 95 (34) 178 (41) 59 (34) 332 (38)
Table 4
A comparison of activities in 1984 and 1986
(in absolute n u m b e r s a n d percentages)
N % N % N % N %
School/training 123 (27) 17 (24) 89 (26) 229 (27)
Work 156 (35) 43 (61) 108 (31) 307 (36)
'Looking' 171 (38) 10 (14) 147 (43) 328 (38)
4
EXERCISE 3
Table 5
Kind of w o r k for respondents - 1 9 8 6
(percentages)
Technical/practical 22 19 9 18
Office 16 22 15 18
Teacher 46 35 46 41
Business/service, etc. 15 23 31 22
Source (tables 2-5): A. Nrman, Practical Subjects in Kenyan Academic Secondary Schools: Tracer Study
II Industrial Education, Education Division Documents, No.39, SIDA, September 1988.
5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Exercise 3.3
Table 6 w a s obtained from a survey of former students of Tunisian Vocational Training
Centres. The survey w a s conducted in 1988 and covered students w h o left the Centres in
1985. T h e table contains a great deal of information, and m a k e s it possible to monitor the
situation of each cohort of former students from one three-month period to the next
(Tl = first three months, etc.).
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11
Unemployment rate:
6
Table 6
Transition from school to work: all centres
Sample: 184
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11
Studying or
in training 2 6 8 9 12 11 11 12 5 6 6
% 1 3 4 5 7 6 6 7 3 3 3
O n a course 54 56 20 8 6 7 4 2 3 1 1
% 29 30 11 4 3 4 12 2 1 2 1
O n military
service 3 6 10 13 16 20 24 24 20 17 11
% 2 3 5 7 9 11 13 13 11 9 6
Seeking
employment 106 91 91 83 84 76 66 60 68 72 66
% 58 49 50 45 46 41 36 33 37 39 36
In stop-gap
employment 11 19 52 60 55 58 57 58 59 52 54
% 6 10 28 33 30 32 31 32 32 28 29
In definitive
employment 5 8 13 16 18 29 32 34 40 6 50
% 3 4 7 9 10 16 17 18 22 25 27
Total
unemployment 16 27 65 76 73 87 89 92 99 98 104
% 9 15 35 41 40 47 48 50 54 53 57
SOLUTION T O EXERCISE
by Jean Lamoure
Strictly speaking, there is not one single solution to this exercise, but several, all of
them equally valid provided they are supported by reasoned argument. This is
particularly true of Questions 2 and 3. Each trainee's experience and his penchant for
one or more subjects of study or research can lead to the formulation of particular
operational objectives on the basis of the same data. Therefore the solutions which
follow are purely indicative; they are intended as a general framework in which you
can assess your o w n replies.
Though the Republic of QWERTY and the Minister's remarks are imaginary, the documents
relating to the education system and the population of working age correspond to real
situations.
c> REPLY:
There are m a n y questions you could ask the Minister, apart from
thefiveexamples given below. Their purpose is to establish the
limits and constraints on your assignment; h o w long you have to
carry it out, and the material and h u m a n resources allocated to
its implementation. These questions also have a pedagogic
aspect; you will show that a survey on training and employment
cannot be reduced to an 'information system'; at the very least, it
depends on a particular methodology.
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
3
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
This last remark can also give you the idea of widening your
survey to include former HTI students; this will give you
information on all the types of technical education available in
Q W E R T Y , and it only involves a few hundred extra
questionnaires.
4
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 1
Justifications:
The Minister is liberal, which means that you have the
possibility of creating a special survey unit possessing its o w n
data-processing resources - an opportunity not to be missed!
Justifications:
Justifications:
5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
- The value of these studies is that they can be used for both
the internal and external evaluation of the education system
(in this case, technical secondary schools). This type of survey
can produce a better response rate (see M O D U L E 5). For m o r e
rapid results, you can initially (in the months following the
Minister's authorization) conduct a survey a m o n g the latest
cohort of technical secondary school leavers: this will give you
time to 'run in' your survey techniques and methodology.
O REPLY:
7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 2
The construction of a questionnaire
by Jean Lamoure
^ REPLY:
There are m a n y possible questionnaires, all of them equally valid
provided they meet a certain number of conditions, such as
comprising four parts (as indicated on your reply sheet) and
being clearly formulated (see Module 4). The main difficulty in
this case was to take full cognizance of the information on F A H
and its context. Five essential points had to be borne in mind:
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
2
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 2
Why did you leave FAH? (You may give more than one reason):
-1 had no grant.
-1 found a job.
-etc.
These are just a few examples which far from cover all the
possible reasons for leaving (e.g. military service, parents'
wishes, family circumstances, marriage, etc.). The trial survey
(see chart, Module 5) will enable you to polish up this type of
question.
3
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
If you are working while following your course of study, tick the
two corresponding boxes.
4
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 2
(State the exact nature of your job, e.g. insurance broker, book-
keeper, airline office clerk, bank cashier, etc.).
7s your employer:
(3) A ministry?
5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
6
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 2
7
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
1st Q U E S T I O N O N S A L A R Y
2nd QUESTION O N S A L A R Y
9
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
10
HEP TEACHING MATERIALS
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 3
Analysis of the results of tracer studies
by Jean Lamoure
=* ANSWER
Disparities with reference to specializations.
Disparities with reference to specializations are marked.
U n e m p l o y m e n t rates range from 10.5 per cent (sheetmetal
working; A Level Voc.) to 43 per cent (Chemistry, physics,
Biology; A Level Tech.) a m o n g boys and from 24 per cent
(Hotel trade; Technical Cert.) to 51.2 per cent (Secretarial
work; Vocational Cert.) a m o n g girls. These results reflect very
contrasting conditions from one sector and from one
specialization to another. Nevertheless, the differences are just
as marked, within a given specialization, between one type of
certifcate and another.
- Vocational Certificate:
For boys, the greatest difficulty of insertion into the labour market
1
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
- Technical certificate:
T h e highest u n e m p l o y m e n t rates for boys occur in the
'Accountancy, Bookkeeping 7 section a n d for girls in the
' C o m m e r c e ' section.
H o w e v e r , for girls as well as boys, u n e m p l o y m e n t rates in the
s a m e speciality are systemically lower for those students with
a Technical Certificate rather than a Vocational Certificate.
T h e Technical Certificate seems to permit a quicker insertion
into the labour market.
2
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 3
ANSWER
Pupils with the highest levels of certification encounter the least
difficulties in finding work. This observation raises the question
of the expediency of measures to extend the duration of studies.
This should lead to reconsider the utility and the intake capacity
of the sectors in question (reduction of the n u m b e r of pupils taking
such courses, curricular reform, or even doing away with certain
certificates).
3
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
o ANSWER
Table 2 (1984)
Table 3 (1986)
- T w o years later, the activities of the respondents had changed
appreciably. M a n y of them had left school.
- 50 per cent of those w h o had left school had found work.
- The proportion w h o were still looking for work had dropped
markedly, except in category n , where it remained almost
unchanged.
- Here again, there are only slight disparities a m o n g the three
categories; the proportion of those w h o found work is slightly
lower in category II.
SOLUTION TO EXERCISE 3
Table 4 (1984/1986)
- A m o n g the pupils w h o were still attending school in 1984,
more than one quarter were still at school two years later, the
others being equally proportioned between working and looking
for work.
- A m o n g the pupils w h o were in work in 1984, only 61 per cent
were still in work in 1986; a significant proportion had resumed
their studies.
- It is worth noting that 43 per cent of those looking for work in
1984 were still looking in 1986.
In conclusion:
The differences between activities a m o n g the three categories were
marginal, and remained so three years after taking the K C E
examination. Category I, which is the subject of the evaluation, does
not show a higher rate of employment than the two others, either in
1984 or in 1986. Since the differences are not significant, the results
are indeterminate. This being so, it is not possible, on these bases, to
draw any categorical and definitive conclusion as to the effect of the
introduction of industrial subjects on the activities of school leavers.
In particular, the fact of having received instruction in technical
(industrial) subjects does not seem to have any significant bearing on
their likelihood of finding work, either as employees or as self-
employed persons.
* ANSWER
The majority of respondents in employment at the time of the
survey were teachers. This type of employment predominates in
all three categories.
5
FOLLOW-UP AND TRACER STUDIES
Exercise 3.3
Q U E S T I O N 1 was: For each three-month period
(T1 to T11), calculate the proportion of people in stop-
gap employment (line 5) a m o n g the total number in
employment (line 7), and add one or two sentences of
comments.
* ANSWER
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11
^ ANSWER
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11
Unemployment rate:
87% 77% 59%52% 54% 47% 43% 39% 41% 42% 39%