Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
AFRICA
Local investors joining in
AGRICULTURE
At the root of
food security
FIRE
Risks growing
MOBILE 3.0
m-commerce for Africa
STILL A GIANT! SA economy in review
CONTENTS
COVER FEBRUARY 2014
08
FEBRUARY 2014
SHORT-TERM
Industry intelligence to nancial professionals www.cover.co.za
RISK MANAGEMENT
SA ECONOMY IN A NUTSHELL 78
South African economics 101: What made it tick in 2013 and what slowed Evolution of a Risk Manager 68
us down? COFACE evaluates the fundamentals that drove the economy
and provides an opinion on what will be holding us back in 2014. Point by Tongaat building collapse 69
point, this article makes it understandable. Supply chain risk management 70
The views expressed in this magazine do not necessarily represent those of its
owners, publishers or editorial staff. Editorial contributions sent to COVER are
Subscription rate: R470 per annum in South Africa. subject to editorial change to suit the style of the magazine. All manuscripts,
Other rates on application. photographs and other similar matter are accepted on the understanding that no
loss or damage is borne by the publisher, the editor or their personnel.
2 COVER FEBRUARY 2014
EDITOR
Tony van Niekerk
ASSOCIATIONS tony@cover.co.za
Taryn Kerr
taryn@cover.co.za
Publisher
AFRICA RISING COVER Publications
Street address
South Africa in review step by step 78 80 Devilliers Way,
Sanlam moves into Africa 81 Glencairn, Cape Town
Proudly South African 82
SA investors choose Africa 84 Postal address
P O Box 2030
Sun Valley, 7985
Advisory Committee
Carel Nolte, Viviene Pearson, Kalim Rajab
() 2014
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic,
mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publishers. Any unauthorised reproduction of this work will constitute
a copyright infringement, rendering liability both under civil and criminal law.
4
ISN 1013-1507 COVER FEBRUARY 2014
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Agri Insurance is
Government is starting a land reform
programme that will see the birth
of an emerging farming community.
everybodys business
Government needs to recognise the
importance of agriculture for food
security and creating stability in the
socio-economic sphere. By working
COVER spoke to Lovemore with the farming community to
disseminating prudent agricultural create resilience, and the insurance
Forichi, Senior Underwriter: practices through extension services, industry to protect the farmers
Agriculture for Africa at Swiss Re, and participating in one form or capital, the government will create a
about Agricultural Insurance in another in the risk transfer framework. sustainable agricultural industry in the
The insurance sector then comes country, especially for small holder
South Africa. or emerging farmers who are by and
in and protects the farmers capital
through sustainable insurance product large underserviced today, and have no
With food security a global topical capital reserves.
offerings.
issue, there is need for all stakeholders
in the agricultural value chain to In the past three years South Africa Agricultural insurance providers played
play their part to ensure resilient and has experienced severe hail, drought, their part from a product offering
sustainable agricultural production, excessive rainfall, heat waves and point of view. By adopting a diagnostic
said Forichi. Farmers need to stay frost. Hail has been more widespread approach, Swiss Re identified the
on the farm and produce crops in compared to the past when these need to take steps to improve the
a sustainable manner by employing events would normally be more sustainability of the insurance and
risk mitigation measures that ensure localised. reinsurance market. This will involve
minimum production interruption. putting in place corrective measures
The government can do a lot in terms AGRI CONTRIBUTION and getting the market to revisit its
of promoting resilience in agriculture Agriculture contributes towards 2,6% approach to insurance products, terms,
through enabling policy frameworks, of South Africas GDP and around 10% conditions and practices, and how
investment in conservation agriculture, of the formal employment (FAOSTAT). business is conducted.
Farming remains important for Protecting this sector is critical to Growth opportunities for both
transforming the economy, increasing commercial and small scale farmers
the growth of South Africas
gross domestic product (GDP), and are increasing, along with capacity
economy and job creation. spurring growth, reducing poverty in the insurance industry to meet
and contributing to sustainability, the demand for niche cover. Global
Approximately 639 000 people are
eco-tourism and food security. insurers with a local footprint, such
formally employed in the sector
Collaboration between the insurance as Zurich South Africa, have access to
(Statistics SA, 2012 Q2), and an
sector and government therefore a network of experts with specialised
estimated 8,5 million people are directly
becomes essential regulation and knowledge in the field of agriculture
or indirectly dependent on agriculture
policies need to be structured to that are able to demonstrate a
for their employment and income. In
ensure a viable economic environment, deep understanding of the unique
addition, the agricultural sector features
while ensuring investment in critical challenges farmers face, responding
strongly in the governments New
areas like capacity building, risk with tailored solutions.
Growth Path (NGP), which aims to
create five million new jobs by 2020, management, skills development and
The insurance industry needs to
promote commercially oriented small- employment. Government must also be
establish propositions that work
scale farming and support smallholders able to assist through subsidising food
towards creating a sustainable
on land acquired through land reform. production costs, supporting farming
agricultural environment that
projects and driving development
benefits producers (small scale and
Food security remains critical to the programmes. At the same time,
commercial), the market in general and
country and the continent farmers agri-insurance must ensure that risks
the country as a whole.
will need to double their production associated with agriculture covering
efforts to ensure sufficient supply of everything from property, livestock, One way to achieve this is through
produce to meet growing demand. disease, equipment and irrigation a sustainable risk management
In fact, it was recently stated at the systems etc can be mitigated. This environment supported by a
Third Global Conference on Agriculture, type of insurance serves as an effective collaborative structure.
Food Security and Climate Change that transfer mechanism that can assist
sub-Saharan Africa will need 360% of farmers in achieving their farming and
2006s food production by 2050. business objectives.
the Solution:
Fulcrum Collections maximum IGF guarantee combined with its state of the
art systems allows it to collect premiums on behalf of our clients, disburse
commissions and fees to brokers, and pay the premium to insurers and any
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FulCRuM tREaSuRy
the Challenge:
Increasing yield on cash holdings without increasing your risk profile.
Matching your liquidity and cash flow requirements to the
operational needs of your business.
Finding a specialist in the field of insurance related investment
management.
the Solution:
Fulcrum is an approved Category II FSP, licensed to provide
discretionary investment management services. Fulcrum Treasury
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FulCRuM FINaNCE
the Challenge:
Finding a funding partner who focuses on the insurance market.
the Solution:
Fulcrum Finance is a specialist financier to the insurance market. Our
products are tailored to the circumstance and assist our clients with:
Premium finance
Solvency relief and working capital funding
Broker acquisition finance
Claims funding facilities
FulCRuM GRoup
Gross advances in excess of R500 million More than 1 745 active clients
In excess of R7 billion worth of annualized premium collections R3.8 billion of gross assets under management
Fulcrum Collections (Pty) Ltd is an Authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP 17795)
Fulcrum Treasury (Pty) Ltd is an Authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP 44128)
Agriculture sector
calls out for support
ROLE OF THE FARMER AND THE
IMPORTANCE OF RISK MITIGATION
Weather-related changes will affect the
pricing and terms on which insurance
cover can be provided. The extent of
such impact will be determined by
farmers response to adapting to and
mitigating their risks and exposures.
It is going to be important for farmers
and the agriculture community as a
whole, including insurers, to reassess
and develop risk management in the
sector. Sound underwriting is important
for ensuring the agriculture sector
remains sustainable.
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HOW DO WE ENSURE THE than the safekeeping of assets, most IN THE INTERIM, HOW DO WE
SUSTAINABILITY OF THE farmers need guidance on possible INVOLVE A BROADER SEGMENT
FARMING COMMUNITY THROUGH liabilities that could attach through OF THE FARMING COMMUNITY,
INSURANCE PROVISION? their unique farming operations. ESPECIALLY SMALL AND MICRO
The sustainability of our farming FARMERS?
community is directly linked to the HOW DO WE ENCOURAGE THE A well-defined structured approach is
correct insurance product for the GOVERNMENT TO ADOPT A MORE needed, involving a broader segment
specific farmers needs. SERIOUS APPROACH, WITH INTENT of the farming community, in financing,
TO CO-OPERATE WITH FARMERS training and insurance products
AND THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY? catering for farmers specific needs.
We accept that the government is
AN AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE Landmark is a specialist Insurance
serious in its approach to farmers and
BROKER MUST CONSIDER ALL the supporting insurance industry. Underwriter, underwritten by Compass
ASPECTS WHEN SETTING UP However, the strategy seems Insurance Company Ltd
CORRECT INSURANCE COVER fragmented and uncoordinated, with
insufficient communication and media
FOR THE FARMER.
coverage on what plans entail, what
has been achieved and what goals
have not transpired, and reasons for
The number of commercial farmers has
decreased, the scale of the remaining this.
commercial farmers has increased, and
WHERE IS THE TAKE-UP FOR AGRI
farmers have diversified to ensure their
INSURANCE?
sustainability.
Agricultural Insurance must understand
Each case is unique to the insureds the ever-changing need of the farming
needs and requirements. An agricultural community and specific farmers. An
insurance broker must consider all analysis of the farming operation
aspects when setting up correct should consider all aspects of potential
insurance cover for the farmer. Other risks and how to manage these risks.
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Munich_RE_Campaign_RZ_05.indd
Untitled-1 1 1 08.08.12
2014/02/05 09:16
12:01 AM
Short-term
Investing in people,
investing in fairness
Angela Mhlanga heads up
Standard Banks Financial
Planning business, with 650
financial planners nationally
offering financial planning,
insurance and wealth
management to customers in the
personal markets and business
markets segments of Standard
Bank. Tony Van Niekerk spoke
to Angela about the business and
how she plans to achieve success
in a competitive and challenging
regulatory environment.
In 2013, 15% of mobile media users Network speed is important: two thirds of 4G customers have
made some form of mobile payment made an m-payment.
to make a purchase. The largest
group of these users (7% of the total www.mefmobile.org
sample) did so via a mobile wallet,
especially those based on Near Field
Communications (NFC) technology.
Mobile money users do more of The report suggests that mobile
everything. They are 12% more likely banking is already mainstream in many
to scan barcodes, 11% more likely to regions, but for different reasons.
make charitable donations and 10% In the US, UK and China the use of
GLOBALLY, 91% more likely to use location based mobile apps for checking balances and
services. paying bills is commonplace, whereas
MADE SOME FORM OF in Africa handsets are used to send
airtime to other users, transfer funds
MOBILE PURCHASE IN and seek credit.
2013 AS OPPOSED TO In Africa, the mobile-only culture
means the mobile money account is
65% OF ALL MOBILE the bank account. Globally, 66% of
CONSUMERS. mobile media users use some form of
mobile banking. In Kenya, for example,
its 92%.
91%
65%
56%
49% 42% 40% 36%
25% 20% 23%
17%
9%
Any Purchase NETT Physical & Perishable Digital products (e.g. Physical Goods (e.g. Virtual Goods (e.g. In Perishable goods (e.g.
goods NETT ringtone, app, games, Books, CDs, clothing application currency, food and drink)
music) etc.) goods, prizes etc.)
UK US Kenya China Nigeria Mexico South Saudi Brazil Indonesia UAE Qatar India
Africa
Infographics
provided by MEF
Road safety has become a hot topic. COVER recently attended the Discovery
Insure round table discussion to find solutions to the problem. With rising
costs of fuel and even more heated feelings towards e-tolls in the Gauteng
province, we approached the experts on telematics for their advice and
sneaked a glimpse at the motor vehicle industry in Europe.
WRONG
For insurance companies, risk Telemetry systems are a great tool SOUL ABRAHAM
assessment is considerably more for trying to change behaviour while General Manager: Car & Home
scientific than perceptions about the reducing insurance costs. They highlight Regent Insurance
dangerous driving habits. poor driving behaviour like speeding,
harsh acceleration and braking, where Report compiled by the International
Insurance companies use statistical and when you drive and how often you Transport Forum revealed that in 2011
models and algorithms that take into are behind the wheel. Conversely, if the there were 27,6 deaths per 100 000
account all the factors in a vehicle tracker records good driving behaviour or inhabitants in South Africa.
users risk universe to determine the any improvements, a drivers risk profile
overall risk profile and premium. will automatically adjust over time. Telematics influences driver behaviour
by encouraging individuals to assess
A drivers age, gender, geography, In May last year, South Africa was their own driving before pointing
nature of travel, vehicle make, model ranked as worst out of 36 countries fingers at drivers of those vehicle
and age, among dozens of other when it came to the number of road brands perceived to wreak havoc on
factors, determine a unique risk profile. fatalities. The Road Safety Annual the roads.
In the other
study by the
Virginia Tech
Transportation
Institute and
National
Highway
Traffic Safety
Administration
in the US, using
mobile devices
trumped all
A new survey has revealed that other potential
distractions
four out of the 10 top driving
including talking
distractions that could cause to passengers,
motorists to have an accident tinkering with
are related to using a mobile dashboard
controls, eating,
device at the wheel. smoking, and
applying make-
Another study lists the use of handheld up, among others. The Road Traffic Management
devices as the number one driver Corporation says that drivers who use
distraction. Whats more, according to a survey hand-held devices are four times more
conducted by the AAA Foundation for likely to get into accidents serious
The first survey conducted Traffic Safety in the US, motorists who enough to injure themselves. To use a
by UK-based website, www. use cellphones while driving are more cellphone while driving is considered
moneysupermarket.com, showed that likely to engage in additional dangerous six times more dangerous than driving
although eating and drinking at the behaviours such as speeding, driving under the influence of alcohol.
wheel remains the biggest distraction drowsy and driving without a seatbelt.
for drivers, SMSing, speaking, updating A Carnegie Mellon University Study
Facebook and sending tweets on a In South Africa, the Automobile found that merely listening to
mobile device while driving are among Association recently counted 2500 cars somebody speak on a phone causes
the top ten most common dangerous during a morning rush hour to find that a 37% drop in activity in the parietal
distractions for motorists. 7,2% of the drivers were on their phones. lobe where spatial tasks are managed.
Global Telematics
For new cars, new business from
these products amounted to 2,6% of
the value of cars sold to consumers
in Denmark, France and Italy in
2012, and it was above average in
Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the UK
as well;
The six main types are motor In some countries, revenue from the Visit finaccord.com for more motor
insurance, extended warranties, prepaid sale of these financial services is nearly finance information in Europe.
service contracts, creditor insurance, twice that of the European average.
Cartrack has launched a new are available one calculates fares LORENZ STOGER
at e-tag holder rates and a second Fleet Services Manager
e-toll report that allows fleet Cartrack
option calculates rates for users who
managers to calculate their e-toll do not have e-tags fitted. The i-net
transactions and manage their reports setup generates reports at
predetermined intervals, for example e-toll event each time the vehicle
operating costs. This report is passes through a gantry. The date,
daily, weekly or monthly.
the solution to fleet managers time, gantry name, vehicle type/class,
who have been burdened with By geo-fencing the exact position of direction of travel and toll cost are then
each e-toll gantry in Gauteng, the fleet recorded in a database. The report also
the additional challenge of
management unit detects and logs an helps detect licence plate cloning.
having to manage and monitor
the complex e-toll tariff system
across multiple vehicles.
Apart from having to replace damaged assets, business Ensure maintenance of machinery and equipment
owners will experience loss of business income and
customers. Business Interruption cover protects Ensure that appropriate re ghting equipment
(sprinklers, hose reels, re detectors and
business owners against loss of profits or revenue.
extinguishers) has been installed and serviced at
the correct frequency.
It is equally important to disclose whether a business,
property or structure has a thatched roof. An insurer Have a clear policy for waste disposal and remove
will usually carry out an inspection of a thatched waste from the working environment and premises
property before it agrees to cover the property. Most frequently.
insurers will check what fire prevention and safety
measures are in place to protect the property. Once Make sure that employees only smoke in designated
a fire takes hold of a thatched property, it usually places and that these places have suitable
containers for disposal of discarded cigarettes.
spreads quickly and often causes extensive damage.
Take extra care with any stored chemicals and fuels,
The cause of fires can be attributed to electrical especially those stored in the garage.
faults, improper maintenance or not complying with
regulations. 90% of fires are caused by human Keep emergency services numbers such as Fire
negligence, according to Working on Fire (WoF), Brigade in easily accessible places.
a programme that focuses on Integrated Fire
Management in South Africa. Businesses must keep Conduct regular re drills and re training.
their records up to date and keep copies of important
documents (paper or electronic) off-site.
Wealth and Investment Management a holding division of Authorised Financial Service and Credit Provider FSP Numbers: 522; 523; 524; 552; 22877 - NCA NCRCP7; NCRCP68
Fire insurance
driving awareness of
risk management
Fire claims contribute to the cover, for example: loss of clients
and the distraction of management
losses suffered by insurers,
and executive. Many corporate fires
commerce and industry every could have been prevented through
year. Fire claims tend to be high appropriate risk management. It is in
value, high visibility claims. In an enterprises best interest to invest in
risk management from an ideological
2012 the industry experienced a and operational perspective.
significant level of fire loss during
As an insurer, we are concerned with
the St Francis Bay fires, and a
the quality of risk, pricing of risk and
significant number of commercial risk management, and we feel that
and corporate fire claims were local expertise is essential to provide
made in 2012 and 2013. While adequate service to brokers and clients.
Mutual & Federal takes a holistic risk
the number of fire claims hasnt management approach across the
increased, our experience is underwriting, risk management and
that the severity has increased, claims disciplines, employing local
decision makers and experts who
notwithstanding claims inflation. are accessible to brokers and clients
through the respective processes. In report on the extent and quality of
Currently, there is a sense that
order to assess risk in commercial the risk. Clients value these reports,
business enterprises are under pressure
and corporate enterprises, we employ as they provide an independent
due to the challenging economic
expert fire surveyors who produce a source of verification and guidance
times and that they are focused on
on the risks inherent in their business
survival, and therefore not as focused
premises, and provide risk management
on risk management. While insurance
recommendations and requirements.
programmes transfer some of the fire
There are consequences to the
risk to the insurer, enterprises still KAREN MILLER
Mutual & Federal
quality of risk and these play out in
suffer losses beyond the replacement
Executive: Corporate & Niche pricing, required risk improvements
of assets and the business interruption
or restrictions that are included in the
contract.
There is no long-term benefit to to assist with the proper compilation We cannot only rely on gut feel to
of a quotation. The rates reflected in underwrite the risk. First prize would
gut feel underwriting.
these manuals were accumulated and be to visit the site, ask questions, and
compiled over a period of many years gather first-hand information on the
and were based on statistical data. experience of the project manager and
his construction team. This will enable
WE HAVE NOTICED DRAMATIC One could argue that technology the underwriter to present terms and
CHANGES IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN has reduced the perceived risk, and conditions appropriate to the risk.
therefore attracted lower terms, but
ENGINEERING INSURANCE MARKET. repair costs have also escalated. But why do underwriters accept
risk when they dont have all the
The number of skilled underwriters underwriting information? Is the
has reduced due to natural attrition. reason a lack of expertise, managerial
The engineering short-term industry The training role played by insurance pressures to achieve premium income
has grown by capacity and in the companies and brokers is being targets, time pressures, or all of the
number of underwriting managers hampered by new anti-collusion above?
and agencies, but has expertise regulations and financial constraints.
grown in the same proportion? Are I would assume that no underwriter
we underwriting using technical skills Make no mistake, gut feel is an would like to explain to his directors
or gut feel or do we just follow the important part of underwriting, but that he accepted the risk on gut feel.
leading underwriter? it is crucial that gut feel is supported At the end of the day the underwriter
by experience and backed by the is accountable and needs to take
We have noticed dramatic changes application of solid underwriting responsibility for his actions.
in the South African engineering principles.
insurance market. It seems that good The insurance industry is no different
engineering risk underwriting is being Brokers spend a lot of time preparing to any other industry. Experience
replaced by gut feel underwriting. broking notes with referrals to comes with time which includes highs
additional reading, but do people read and lows. If gut feel underwriting
In the past new underwriters were and understand broking notes? We continues without the necessary
trained by highly skilled engineering are seeing a large number of projects experience or knowledge of the risk
underwriters from our professional taking place in Africa. Broking notes we will see the demise of a number of
reinsurers, larger insurance companies may sometimes be limited due to time underwriting managers.
and brokers. They had rating manuals constraints.
Let us help you to enhance your clients financial wellness and safety in 2014.
MomentumSTI_Cover_Feb
Untitled-1 1 2014.indd 1 2014/01/17 7:49
2014/02/05 8:35AM
AM
Short-term
Construction guarantees
Its common practice in the for the insurer undertaking to make enable the beneficiary to obtain
payment upon receipt of a first written payment for loss suffered through
construction industry for clients
demand from the beneficiary calling up the conduct of the contactor by the
awarding construction contracts the guarantee. production of the documentation
to building contractors to insist specified in the guarantee. The
that the contractor furnish a Insurers have attempted to avoid guarantee was enforceable according
liability under the guarantee on the to its terms, and the introduction of
guarantee from an acceptable grounds that the client was not entitled extraneous issues as a defence was
party, and a guaranteed sum to cancel the agreement, that the precluded, save for limited exceptions
is payable to the client upon contractor fulfilled his obligations like fraud. This approach has its
or that the problems experienced origin in the English Law relating to
cancellation of the contract on letters of credit issued by banks which
by the client were caused by faulty
the basis of default on the part design rather than the conduct of the required the issuing bank to pay if
of the contractor. contractor. the documents provided to it were in
order and the terms of the LOC were
Such guarantees, which are regularly Beneficiaries to a construction satisfied, any dispute between the
issued by insurance companies short- guarantee have argued that the parties to the underlying contract to be
term insurance business, provide purpose of such a guarantee is to determined by those parties alone. The
MARINE AVIATION
INSURANCE
INSURANCE Azriel Aero
Nautical Aviation
EVENTS AND
ENTERTAINMENT
KEU Xelus, Total Risk
Administrators
EXCESS BUYDOWN
INSURANCE MOTOR
STAND ALONE IUM, Paladin,
Beyonda Group SAU Paradigm,
Ad Ultimum
AIDS claimants
return to work
Latest statistics from South
African insurers reveal that the
fight against HIV/Aids is gaining
traction, with people affected
by the disease returning to work
after shorter periods of time and
claims earlier than in the past. Old
Aids related deaths declining
Mutual has seen a reduction in deaths,
significantly. which is likely to be linked to Aids.
In 2001 only 1% of Old Mutuals group Since 2008, a high level analysis we
disability claims were due to Aids. Ten conducted among major companies
years later Aids claims accounted for shows a 20% reduction in the mortality
more than 10% of total disabilities. rate. Simply put fewer people are
However, Parkin says that while the dying.
number of claims linked to Aids has
increased, the disease remains a However, since Aids is not generally
relatively short-term cause of disability. recorded as a cause of death, it is
Compared to the average disability difficult to assess whether a reduction
NEIL PARKIN in Aids deaths is driving this.
income claimant who is paid for 6 Group Assurance Actuary
years, and longer term conditions (such at Old Mutual Corporate
as psychiatric diseases) which are paid Comment has been made that Aids
for over 10 years, the duration of an is changing from a certain death
average Aids claim is just 1 years. sentence to a chronic and manageable
disease. The experience of our group
South Africans are claiming for Aids- Although stigma continues to surround risk schemes bears witness to this
related disabilities for short terms. This Aids, this is reducing, especially in the we have seen a period of increasing
is not due to the incorrect belief that insurance and employment context. deaths, and then the recent start of a
there is high death rate amongst Aids In the Group Assurance market, Aids reversal.
claimants, but rather because better is treated like any other condition
treatment is allowing people to return with no specific exclusions. A greater There is much speculation about the
to work much sooner than in the past. comfort with this principle may have future of Aids, but the hope is that the
led to increased reporting. We are thus savings from fewer Aids deaths will
In 2012 the majority of claims that classifying more claims correctly, and filter through into enhanced disability
ended saw the claimant recover employees are likely to be submitting benefits for all members.
sufficiently to return to work. This
is a major change in both the way
Aids claims are managed from an
insurance perspective, and the
expectation around peoples ability to
be reintegrated into the workplace.
Together with
Chartered Insurance
Brokers, Infiniti
sponsors the annual
Van Gaalens Dirt
Festival in November
of each year.
Iw
a
wan nt to
t to ride
ride my
Back
in the
it w bicy
day bicycles
were used as a method
her cle,
of transport. They were robust
and cheap, fulfilled the purpose for
eI I
which they were intended, almost impossible
like
to damage unless you got under a car in which case
everyone was more concerned about repairing you than
the bicycle, and only stolen if you neglected to use
your bicycle chain lock.
48
49
Since the Model T Ford rolled the Red Cross and Chairperson of the Baloyi said compulsory insurance will
Global Road Safety Partnership South force the effective assessment of
off the production line in 1908
Africa (GRSP); Gilberto Martin, Deputy vehicles risk prior to accepting cover,
weve come to accept that Director General of the Department of and this will deal with approximately
driving is dangerous. Motor Transport; and Howard Dembovsky, 740,000 vehicles that are either
vehicle accidents are the highest National Chairman of the Justice unroadworthy, unlicensed or both.
Project South Africa.
cause of death of young people Compulsory insurance is a powerful
between the ages of 18 and 25, The panel agreed that all stakeholders way to account for the size of the
should tackle the issue of road deaths vehicle population and to understand
and every 38 minutes a road
together. McKaiser said the media place where it is located for effective
accident fatality occurs. an irresponsible focus on road safety in monitoring and control. Zimbabwe
December. Martins agreed. We need has compulsory insurance on all their
With these words the CEO of Discovery vehicles.
a 365-day approach, he said. Road
Insure, Anton Ossip, opened the round
safety is not just about Christmas and
table discussion on road safety on
Easter, there are more deaths in July.
Wednesday 22 January. Ossip said that
mobility is a basic human need that is The biggest reasons for accidents are
vital for economic growth, so how can speeding, cornering, harsh breaking,
we make our roads safer and better? and driving at night, said Baloyi. The
most reckless driving takes place
He quoted the late Nelson Mandela, It
between 10pm and 4am, and a largely
only seems impossible until it is done.
ignored factor to bad driving is eye
Political analyst and PowerFM Power sight. He said that Discovery Insures
Talk presenter Eusebius McKaiser incentives and telematics technology
led the discussion between the four can help create safer roads for all. A
panellists: Themba Baloyi, Executive clear, collaborative approach is needed
Director of Discovery Insure; Professor from individuals, the private sector and
Sebastian van As, trauma surgeon at the public sector, he said.
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to fed action
The second trend is the rise of the
financial services consumer and the
potential for investment managers to
tap into a more savvy retail investor.
SI sees a lot of upside in the retail
segment as South Africa addresses its
rather lacklustre savings culture.
Insurance and services provided by member companies of American International Group, Inc. Coverage may not be available
in all jurisdictions and is subject to actual policy language. For additional information, please visit our website at www.AIG.com.
to the US and Europe through rising This change is nothing new. The trend Producer Prices continues to trend
export orders. To normalise investment has been in place for a few years, and lower both in China and Germany
to GDP ratios in Asia could cause lower this is in my opinion the reason for two or the world most impressive
inflation and lower export volume for slower growth in the world and the exporters.
the high flying export companies of the deflation risk. HSBC here shows how
world. growth and investment to GDP have POSITIVE SURPRISE ECB GOES TO
changed pre-crisis versus post-crisis. FULL QE
CHART 3: HSBC Global Research, 6 If Im right the European Central Bank
December 2013 GDP growth and will issue full Quantitative Easing. If Im
the investment-to-GDP ratio: good THE WIDENING GAP MEANS wrong market will return 10 to 20%
growth is linear correlation indicating GROWTH IS FALLING DUE TO based on recovery.
investment return is positive and
creating growth. Bad growth is rising
FALLING INVESTMENT RETURNS. There is no doubt that the ECB and to
investment to GDP ratio while growth some extend the German government
trails. CHART 4: In China and India growth helped the market when it has been
and rising investment are falling. needed, but is it safe to assume it will
The widening gap means growth China and India will provide less input help again? Jrg Asmussen is now a
is falling due to falling investment to world growth and a country like junior labour market minister in the
returns. The easy part of Asian growth Indonesia is having a tough outlook new German government.
is done. Japan grew approximately 10% with falling growth and investments.
per annum in the 1960s and 70s, 4 to No wonder IDR has been one of the NEGATIVE SURPRISE EUROPEAN
5% in the 1970s and 80s, and close to weakest currencies in the last six PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION IN
nothing in the 90s and 2000s. months. MAY
The European election normally makes
In 2012 world growth was 4,0%: 36% investors and voters eyes glaze over,
of this came from China directly, 24% but this could be different. Not only is
came from the rest of Asia. the Far Right and Far Left gaining in
most opinion polls in general anti-EU
DEFLATION
mood, but now they have a common
Barclays have estimated the chances
theme: welfare tourism.
of European deflation as a 50% using
inflation linked products, but I think the Government and pro EU
next three to six month will push more parliamentarians are hiding as the
and more European nations close to expansion of Europe includes free
zero inflation. Greece and Ireland are labour market movement for Bulgarians
already in deflation, Spain, Sweden and and Romanians, who go to northern
Denmark are very close, and for the Europe seeking job, failing and then
investors fearing inflation in Germany claiming benefits. This upsets the
on the back of the so called labour labour unions, the far left and the far
market reforms, the surprising drop
right.
from 1,4% to 1,2% must have been a
positive surprise.
resolutions for
comfortable
retirement
STEVEN NATHAN
Chief Executive Officer
10X Investments, shares his five
retirement investing resolutions.
Portfolios can be rebalanced while Listed property as an income is You cant time your way to wealth,
remaining in the market. The net favoured by some as the forward yield not even on the back of good profits.
effect may be to reduce some equity is 6% to 7% while distributions show Down the years, the market rewards
allocations, but the client is careful growth in the same range. loyalty. Stay in it.
Figure 1 below shows that the number of truly active managers has declined
For more information
significantly over the period the highest active share quintile (90-100%) speak to your Altrisk
fell from 60% in 1980 to 19% in 2009 with indexers and closet indexers
accounting for an astonishing 50% of the universe (up from 1,5% at the broker consultant or go
start of the period reviewed).
to www.altrisk.co.za
As managers become larger, their size constraint forces them to reduce their
active share components and their portfolios begin looking more like the
index.
Understanding
quantitative
management
Sometimes misunderstood,
quantitative investment
managers, unlike traditional
asset managers, do not
indulge in forecasts or
undertake site visits. Instead,
quant managers look
at current market pricing
with a view to buying
assets that their valuation
methodologies deem offer
value.
Quantitative investment
ELDRIA FRASER
Chief Investment Officer of Prescient
managers tend to have
Investment Management, writes smaller investment teams,
that a lack of understanding about allowing for lower costs to
quantitative management has led to be passed on to clients. capital preservation, low or negative
incorrect perceptions of complexity. Additional savings come from not correlation with other portfolios, and
having to pay analysts to undertake lower costs.
fundamental research, while in
Prescients case, costs are also An active beta strategy can also be
With the cost of professional applied where allocations are made away
contained by controlling portfolio
asset management services in transactions. from a benchmark, using a pragmatic
the spotlight, particularly in the approach which includes valuation and
Quantitative investing lends itself to behavioural-based strategies in order to
context of governments drive to the development of simple and cost deliver out-performance of the index.
reduce the impact of fees and effective equity, interest bearing and This is a way to make back the cost of
expenses on retirement benefits, balanced products. These can be used investing and more.
on their own as stand-alone solution
managers with a quantitative There is a strong role for quantitative
funds, or in combination with other
approach to investments are funds to construct a well-diversified investment in the context of retirement
likely to find growing acceptance balanced portfolio. These portfolios fund reform, because managers are
generally blend well with traditional able to create cost-effective, broad-
in the South African market. based and simple products.
portfolios due to their focus on risk and
Evolution of
the Risk Manager
The transition that a risk IN MANY CASES,
manager must make into a risk
influencer, is a critical evolution. RISKS ARE NOT
This has become a key resource
SINGLE EVENTS...
in adding strategic value to the
organisation.
Management, also provides the tools
Previously, it was often consigned to to evaluate multiple risk scenarios,
the narrow fields of hazard and health using data, analytics and portfolio risk
and safety factors, associated with analysis.
the risk transfer industry of insurance.
The alternative view, however, is that With risk exposures needing to be
risk management should be closely evaluated against risk appetite and
associated with the strategic resource tolerance, it needs to be kept in mind
allocation and decision-making that the sum of the strategic risks in
processes of organisations. any organisation will often exceed its
total financial risk bearing capacity. VOLKER VON WIDDERN
In many cases, risks are not single MD of Marsh Risk Consulting, discusses
events they challenge accepted It is thus important to align the how the risk manager in an organisation
business models and the risk organisations strategic objectives, has evolved into a risk influencer. With
solutions should include new business its strategic risk exposures and its more complexity in risk, there is a calling
processes and alternative risk transfer medium- to long-term financial for innovation and creative thinking.
methodologies. Marshs 10th paper capacity, in order for value-adding
on Excellence in Risk Management: and business development goals to be
Delivering Strategic Value Through Risk sustained in the medium term.
**ACE Travel Insurance is issued and underwritten by ACE Insurance Limited (1973/008933/06), a registered Financial
Services Provider (FSB 00060/01 FAIS 27176). Inall instances the terms and conditions of the policy wording apply.
ACE only provide general guidance (advice), and do not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs.
Business compliancy
made affordable
The value of commercial legal and challenges when it could be better
protection insurance for SMMEs is spent on production and revenue
that business owners have access to generating opportunities.
legal advice, support and infrastructure
to ensure compliance on all levels, The small business landscape is,
without breaking the bank. Sharon however, not entirely bleak. Select SA
Paterson, CEO of Inifinit Insurance also legal insurance underwriters are playing
argues that, It also frees business a pivotal role in putting affordable legal
owners to focus on actual business services within the reach of all SMME
activities, without having to waste their business owners in South African.
time trying to resolve legal problems
SUNETTE BRITTZ
Divisional Head of Infiniti Legal Sense,
outlines legislative risks business owners
of South Africa face as they grapple
with ensuring compliance to regulatory
requirements, adherence to labour laws
and consumer protectorate directives.
The imminent Protection of Many retailers communicate with card slips. Retailers would have to
their customers via social media retrain their employees in preparation
Personal Information (POPI)
platforms like Facebook. The fact that for POPI about the importance of
bill means retailers must information has been made publically safeguarding personal information.
be prepared to deal with available does not mean that POPI
wont apply. If the company wishes to POPI also has implications for future
customers questions about HR activities. These will for example
collect data via their Facebook page,
personal information that they they would still be responsible for include revising current policies and
are collecting, why they are securing and protecting that data once employee contracts. Although this may
they start processing it, and they would be a costly exercise most retailers see
collecting it and how they intend
still have to limit their use, disclosure the Act as a positive introduction to
to protect it against abuse. and retention of that information in their systems.
line with the purpose for which they
POPI provides a wide definition Retailers should liaise with an attorney
collected it.
because this includes diverse forms as a first step to becoming compliant
of data addresses, ID numbers, cell Security is a concern for retailers who with the Act.
phone numbers, biometrics and even frequently receive and retain sensitive
personal views on certain issues. hard copy information, such as credit
It differentiates between normal
personal information, special personal
information (such as health) and
childrens personal information all
of which have different rules that will
apply to the processing of the personal
information. There isnt a defined list of Remember requirements of
information that retailers are prohibited
from collecting, but as a rule of thumb, POPI with CLAAP:
businesses should only collect what
Consent: Organisations may only collect, use and
is necessary for them to achieve a
disclose personal information with the knowledge
specific purpose which should be
and consent of the individual. (In some instances
communicated to customers.
organisations will be able to use personal
One example is the use of ID information even though they have not received
documents to verify a customers the express consent, but mostly organisations
identity. The retailer has to justify why will still need to notify the individual that the
they need to collect the information. information has been collected.
They should only use it for the original
Limited use: The collection of personal
purpose. For any other purpose, they
information is limited to what is necessary for the
will need to notify the customer.
identified purposes and must be collected by fair
Consent does not always have to be and lawful means.
given in written format. It is important
Accountability: Retailers are accountable for
to bear in mind what the expectation
protecting the personal information under
of the individual would be what can
their control and must ensure that adequate
the retailer use the information for?
safeguards are in place.
Similarly, if a customer has signed up
Access: An individual has the right to access his/
for a loyalty programme, the retailer
her personal information, subject to legislated
is entitled to track their purchases
exceptions, and has the right to seek correction
and use it to promote products in the
of information or the withdrawal of permission.
future based on buying behaviour
provided that they received consent Purpose: The purposes for the collection of
to do so when the customer signed personal information must be identified prior to
up or notified the customer that the or during the collection.
information would be used for that
purpose.
pension interest
Glacier by Sanlam
society members
income statements and cash flow
statements. The group also conferred
about how the culture of Burial
Societies influences their financial
management and governance practices.
Emphasis was placed on how to
create a sound financial management
INSETA has prioritised the framework. One of the candidates
transfer of critical skills to Burial commented, I am very pleased to
Society members. INSETAs have been a part of this training. I
have learnt a lot and now I will be
purpose is to develop scarce able to help our members by teaching
skills in the insurance sector, them about this course. I thank our
and by so doing, to support the facilitator, Mr Siya Ntutela.
countrys transformation. On the second day of training,
Creative Minds trained the candidates
Burial Societies as mutuals are unique in basic computer literacy. The
institutions. Members come from workshop covered the fundamentals of
different backgrounds and are often computers and how to use Windows.
required to perform highly skilled The candidates thoroughly enjoyed
functions like risk management, the course and expressed a desire to
governance, investment management receive further training to take them
and bookkeeping. The training that was beyond the introductory level one
provided at the October and November course.
2013 workshops addressed the skills
SANDRA DUNN
Chief Executive Officer of the
Insurance Sector Education and
MOST OF THE CANDIDATES
Training Authority (INSETA),
recognises the potential of the
Burial Society sector to create
EXCELLED AT THEIR TRAINING.
wealth for poorer households.
were: basic covered were: basic financial skills, Zulu Ratswana, the general secretary
governance, secretarial skills and basic of the Burial Society of South Africa
financial skills, computer literacy. (BUSOSA), addressed the group of
governance, The basic financial skills course for
Burial Society members after their
session. He said that different Burial
secretarial Burial Society co-operatives was held Societies should come together and use
at Imsimbi Training in October and
skills and basic November 2013. Imsimbi Training offers
their unity as a bargaining tool. He also
discussed some of the programmes
computer personal effectiveness and leadership that are being implemented by
development training courses throughout BUSOSA, such as consumer education
literacy. South Africa. The trainees enjoyed the for Burial Societies.
learning process and said that they felt
comfortable enough to participate and INSETA plans to host more training
interact in the course. The majority of workshops for Burial Society members
candidates who attended the workshop in the Eastern Cape and Western Cape.
Manager belonged
registered member, even though he
was a manager, and a death benefit
was duly paid by the first respondent.
South African
Economy in review REPORT PRODUCED BY COFACE, THE INTERNATIONAL CREDIT INSURER
INFRASTRUCTURE
88 capital expenditure projects were
announced in 2012, the largest number
of projects since 2008, up from 65
projects in 2011. The private sector
remained the main driver of investment
BUSINESS CLIMATE
In the most recent Doing Business
report, SA is ranked 39 out of 185
countries in terms of ease of doing
business, up four positions from last
year. SAs ranking in some areas
remained unchanged. SA is still ranked
as number one for ease of getting
credit.
LABOUR FORCE
The unemployment rate rose to 25,6%
in the second quarter from 25,2% in
the first as the labour force expanded
by more than the number of employed
people. The labour force rose by 220
000 or 1,2% over the quarter, while
same period in 2012. Precious or semi- standard. South African banks are the number of employed people rose
precious stones boosted export which operating with an average capital by 0,7% or 100 000. Formal and
rose by 21,7% m-o-m, base metals adequacy ratio of 15% (12% for Tier 1 informal sectors created jobs, with the
(up 15,6%), and electrical equipment capital), above the minimum capital number of people employed rising by
(up 17,8%). Shipments of vehicles and adequacy requirement of 10%. 109 000 and 30 000 respectively.
equipment increased by 8,4%. On a Agricultural and private household
y-o-y basis, precious or semi-precious In June 2012 the SARB proposed a sectors shed jobs over the quarter. The
stones exports increased by 24,7%, minimum Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio number of discouraged work seekers
base metals by 37,8%, electrical of 6,5% and a total capital adequacy increased by 35 000 after rising by 73
equipment by 21,7%, while vehicles of 10% by January 2015. The financial 000 in the first quarter.
and equipment gained 23,8%. sector performed well in 2012.
The unemployment rate is likely to
On a monthly basis electrical Annual growth in broad money supply remain high in the short term as firms
equipment boosted total imports, (M3) slowed to 7,4% in July from 9,2% remain cautious of expanding capacity
which rose by 19,0% m-o-m, and in June. The market expected it to and employing more people in the
vehicles and equipment (up 32,4%). ease to 8,7%. During the month, M3 challenging economic and labour
On a y-o-y basis, electrical equipment grew by 1,2% or R29,6 billion, driven environment. Employment is likely to
imports rose by 31,5%, while vehicles by sharp rebounds in net foreign assets be driven by the public sector as it rolls
and equipment increased by 30,8%. and net claims on the government out its infrastructure programme.
sector, which rose by R11,1 billion and
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS R39,1 billion respectively following The increase in the unemployment
SAs financial system is stable thanks sharp falls in June. Claims on the rate adds to the evidence that the
to efficient regulatory infrastructure, private sector and net other assets and local economy is struggling to pick up
financial markets and financial liabilities declined in July, following momentum. Although recent indicators
institutions. SA ranked third out of strong rises in June. have shown that demand-driven
144 countries in financial market inflation remains contained, risks to the
development and first in legal rights DEBT inflation outlook are still on the upside.
in the financial sector and securities National governments domestic debt This, along with the poor economic
exchanges regulation (Global increased from R884 billion during growth outlook, is likely to persuade
Competitiveness Report 2012-2013). fiscal year 2010-11, to R1,06 trillion the Reserve Bank to maintain its
Domestic banks are capitalised above during fiscal year 2011-12. Domestic accommodative monetary policy stance
Basel III levels, a new global regulatory debt accounts for 90% of total well into 2014.
since 2008
that have not been lent out, the
build-up in reserves was an inevitable
consequence of Fed policy action
facilitating credit extension, namely
its loans and asset purchases. In any
event, total loans and leases of US
commercial banks have recovered from
their pre-crisis levels.
WHAT NOW?
Looking ahead, the Feds balance sheet
activity should be viewed separately
from its interest rate policy. Although
complementary, these two instruments
have two distinctly separate objectives.
The former seeks to promote financial
stability. The latter is focused on
achieving macroeconomic stability. QE
tapering does not automatically mean
earlier or more aggressive interest rate
hikes than currently indicated by the
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) DID IT WORK? Fed.
It is difficult to quantify the impact QE
responded aggressively to has had on the economy and asset A FINAL THOUGHT
systemic risk in the financial prices. What we can observe, though, It is ironic that in an era where the
system during the credit crunch is that the Feds first announcement usefulness of forecasts is increasingly
on 25 November 2008 of its intention being questioned, the Feds policy rate
by supplying liquidity, providing to directly purchase the obligations of is now, through its forward guidance,
loans to banks and non-bank housing-related government-sponsored more strongly than ever tied to its
firms and buying assets. But has enterprises (GSEs), as well as the medium-term economic forecast.
mortgage-backed securities backed by
it achieved what it set out to do? those GSEs, was immediately followed First published in Sanlam Intelligence.
by a material decline in the national
WHAT WAS THE GOAL? average yield on 30-year mortgages.
In addition to lowering interest rates
close to the zero-bound, the Feds This downward trend in the yield was
balance sheet became an important maintained through to late 2012.
instrument of monetary policy in The Feds QE programmes were also
supporting dysfunctional interbank accompanied by decreasing spreads on
markets and in trying to address high-yielding corporate debt relative
deficient demand in the economy. to benchmark rates. Furthermore, the
Feds policy action helped to avoid a
The idea was to boost money growth, sustained sharp fall in credit extension
support asset prices and reduce yields to the private sector.
(and lower borrowing costs). The
recovery in wealth, in tandem with While it is argued that the Feds policy
lower yields, was expected to support didnt work because it resulted in a
domestic demand. large build-up in banks excess reserves
Ten gang members beat his body and his head and left him
for dead. Camargues CEO Mitch Marescia found Lombard
and held his limp ice-cold body until the ambulance arrived.
He awoke in hospital weeks later.
BY KABELO LETEBELE
POLITICAL ASSESSMENT
Political analyst, journalist and television presenter Justice
entry level. He shared insights from international research
Malala assessed the political environment. He highlighted
consultants McKenzies that the next couple of years would
the need to acknowledge and continue to build on the good
be defined by VUCA volatility, uncertainty, complexity
work being done by public sector structures like the offices
and ambiguity. Whitfield suggested that business, labour
of the Auditor General and the Public Protector. Malala said
and government need to talk more with one another (and
these offices are important in showing challenges in our
argue less). He ended his presentation with an answer to his
country around irregular expenditure.
question: What keeps me awake at night is, what does this
place look like in the next 20 years? Malala told attendees to expect more alarmist talk and
political noise as we build up to next years elections. Issues
REWARD MANAGEMENT PRACTICES
like Nkandla gate and e-tolls remain major political tools
Peet Kruger spoke about reward management practices.
to obtain votes in 2014. According to Malala, major concern
Kruger asked: What is the value of money? He said in terms
should be South Africas poor economic growth, which is
of reward practices, there are two answers to this question:
affecting governments ability to deal with issues around
the money that goes into your account or bonus and the
unemployment.
perceived value of money.
Relying on the law and conventional rules of The plan is implemented in intervals of five years and should
engagement has limitations be fully implemented in 2030.
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