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Building Trends
2016
Developing Markets Accelerate
Global Green Growth
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F
or green building to accelerate also reveal that expansion will continue in
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH
Stephen A. Jones focuses of active leadership in many John Mandyck serves as Green Council in New York
on how emerging economic industry initiatives, including Chief Sustainability Officer City. He is a member of the
practice and technology trends the BuildingSMART Alliance, for United Technologies Corporate Council at the
are transforming the global and the TC Chan Center for Corporation. A global leader Harvard University Center
design and construction Building Simulation and Energy in the aerospace, food for Health and the Global
industry. In addition to Studies. Steve has also been a refrigeration and commercial Environment. He was appointed
hundreds of speaking judge for several BIM Awards. building industries, United by the U.S. Secretary of Energy
engagements around the Before joining Dodge Data Technologies provides high- to co-chair the Department
world and numerous articles & Analytics, Steve was Vice technology systems and
of Energys Appliance
in industry publications, he President of Primavera Systems services that set the standard
Standards and Rulemaking
authors many of Dodge Data (now part of Oracle), the global for performance, reliability
Federal Advisory Committee.
& Analytics SmartMarket leader in project management and energy efficiency, with
John is the co-author of the
Reports on key industry trends, software. Prior to that, Steve well-known global brands
which are read by millions spent 19 years in creative such as Pratt & Whitney, UTC book Food Foolish, which
worldwide and frequently cited and management roles with Aerospace Systems, Carrier explores the hidden connection
as authoritative references. top architectural firms, most and Otis. between food waste, hunger
Steve holds an MBA from recently as a Principal and John chairs the Corporate and climate change.
the Wharton School of the Board of Directors member with Advisory Board of the World He blogs on sustainability
University of Pennsylvania, and Burt Hill, one of thelargest A/E Green Building Council, and issues at SustainabilityView.
a BA from The Johns Hopkins firms in the US (now merged serves as chairman of the com and can be found on
University. He has a track record with Stantec). Board of Directors for the Urban Twitter @JohnMandyck.
significant results on the highlighted 13 countries. See page 64 for the full methodology and country-specific
results on pages 2449.
Afghanistan Finland Jordan Saudi Arabia
Albania France Lebanon Serbia
Algeria Germany Malaysia
Singapore
Argentina Ghana Mexico
Australia Gibraltar Morocco South Africa
Bahrain Greece Netherlands Spain
Bolivia Guatamala New Zealand Sri Lanka
Brazil Guernsey Nigeria Sweden
Bulgaria Hungary Norway
Thailand
Canada Iceland Palestine
Cayman Islands India Panama Trinidad and Tobago
China (Hong Kong) Indonesia Peru Turkey
China (Mainland) Iran Philippines Uganda
Colombia Iraq Poland United Arab Emirates
Costa Rica Ireland Portugal
United Kingdom
Czech Republic Italy Qatar
Ecuador Jamaica Romania United States
Egypt Japan Russia Venezuela
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
5 Executive Summary
5 Executive Summary
7 Summary: Country Findings
8 Data
8 Introduction
42 China
44 India
46 Australia
48 South Africa
4 Methodology
6
5 Resources
6
of their projects certified green is anticipated to more than 2015 2012 2008
double from 18% currently to 37% by 2018. This is a similar Client Demand
pattern to the growth in activity expected in 2012, although 40%
the greater share of respondents from developing markets 35%
and a shift from a majority to a minority of green building 34%
council member participants yields lower levels of activity Environmental Regulations
than was reported in 2012. 35%
As the chart at bottom demonstrates, the anticipated 23%
growth is largely driven by countries that still have developing 25%
green markets. Mature markets in the US and Europe Market Demand
(including Germany, Poland and the UK) report moderate 30%
levels of growth. In contrast, respondents from Mexico, 33%
Brazil, Colombia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, China and India 35%
report much more dramatic growth in the percentage of their Right Thing to Do
projects that they expect to certify as green. 25%
26%
Top Triggers for Green Building 42%
While client demand has consistently been an important
trigger in the studies conducted in 2008 and 2012, it takes
a significant leap in 2015 as one of the top triggers driving
future green activity, from 35% in 2012 to 40% in 2015. Clearly, 1_2_GlobalGreenSummary_Batch1_Triggers_#03
Percentage of Respondents Whose Firms Have Done More Than 60% Green Projects
(2015 and Expected 2018)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
Environmental regulations also experienced an uptick Top Obstacles for Green Building (by Country)
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH
in the percentage who selected it as a top trigger, driven Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
I
n 2008, Dodge Data & Analytics (formerly McGraw
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Hill Construction) conducted a study of global green Note About the Data
engagement that determined that green building The data and analysis in this report are
was emerging as an important trend in the global based on the opinions of 1,026 total survey
construction marketplace. In 2012, the study was updated respondents. These respondents break out as
follows by type:
to include more countries, and it demonstrated a shift to
market forces driving green building. That study capitalized Architect/Design Firm: 27%
on the green expertise of green building council (GBC) Contractor/Builder: 25%
members, who made up 75% of the respondents. Specialist/Consultant: 22%
The latest study, conducted in 2015 and featured in this Owner/Developer: 13%
report, further expands upon the previous studies in a few Engineering Firm: 13%
Green building already makes up a significant share of allowing a representative sample of the industry to be
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
global construction activity, and that share is expected knowledgeable about green building, as the current
to grow across all the countries and regions included study findings demonstrate.
in the study. For the 2015 study, as with the previous A Higher Proportion of Architects/Contractors Versus
World Green Building Trends studies conducted in 2008 Consultants: A higher percentage of architects (27%)
and 2012, a green project was identified as one that is and contractors (25%) and a lower percentage of
either certified or built to qualify for certification under consultants (22%) participated in the 2015 study than
a recognized green standard, such as LEED, BREEAM, in 2012 (which had 21%, 14% and 28%, respectively
Green Star and many other programs. for architect, contractor and consultant participation).
Consultants specializing in green are more likely to be
Share of Green Building Activity involved in a higher percentage of certified projects than
other industry players, due to the nature of their work.
TOTAL GLOBAL RESPONDENTS
More Developing Nations Included: The 2015 study
Green building is nearly one quarter (24%) of the total
was designed to examine green activity in several
share of construction activity among the participants in
developing nations, including Saudi Arabia, Colombia
the 2015 study. This is much lower than the percentage
and China, that were not included in the 2012 study.
(38%) reported in the 2012 study published in the 2013
Many of these countries currently have a lower green
World Green Building Trends SmartMarket Report.
share than that reported in more developed nations like
However, these findings reflect differences in the
the US, Australia and Germany, which are more typical
study population in 2015 versus in 2012, rather than a
of countries included in 2012.
decline in the overall level of green activity. In fact, the
2015 study indicates a strong and growing commitment BY COUNTRY
to green building globally, especially when considering Countries with green activity above the global
the rising share of green engagement by respondents average of 24% include South Africa, Singapore,
expected in just three years (see page 10). The following India, Germany and Mexico. The Singapore findings
are the main differences between the study populations are consistent with a high level of green activity report
in 2015 and 2012: in 2012 and demonstrate the effectiveness of the
More Industry-Representative Participation: In 2012, green building mandate put in place by the Singapore
76% of the respondents were members of national government in 2012.
green building councils (GBCs). This helped the study Countries with lower levels of activity include Saudi
to tap into rising expertise in green at that time. In the Arabia, Colombia, Brazil and China. In many cases, these
2015 study, only 33% of participants are GBC members. are also nations in which the commercial sector is the
By 2015, green has permeated the construction market, major driver for green. However, one surprising finding is
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
the relatively low green share of projects (27%) reported Level of Green Building Activity
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
in the UK. This is inconsistent with the 2012 findings in (According to Global Respondents)
which the UK had the second highest green share of the Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
countries reported. It will be interesting to see if this is an 1% to 15% Green Projects More Than 60% Green Projects
anomaly in the current study or the beginning of a trend Exploring 31% to 60% Green Projects
away from certifying projects in the UK. (No Green Involvement) 16% to 30% Green Projects
Percentage of Respondents Whose Firms Have Done More Than 60% Green Projects
(2015 and Expected for 2018)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
2015 2018
61%
52%
44%
39% 38% 38%
36%
31% 31% 32%
29% 27% 27% 29% 28%
24% 23%
21% 19% 20%
18% 17% 17%
6% 8%
5%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
Survey respondents were asked to select all the project On the other hand, Singapore has the highest
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
sectors in which they plan to build green in the next three percentage globally (48%) of respondents who expect
years. Their responses indicate the most likely sectors for to do a new instutitional project in the next three
green growth in the immediate future by country. years. However, institutional construction ranks third
As the chart on the following page demonstrates, in Singapore, below retrofits and new commercial
there is great variability by country and region in the construction and tied with new high-rise residential.
sectors pursued. Still, a few interesting patterns emerge Other countries with respondents expecting to do
about the sectors driving growth in green, both globally institutional work above the global average include
and by country. Germany (39%), Saudi Arabia (42%) and China (40%).
The countries with the lowest percentage of
Top Sectors for Growth respondents who expect to do new green institutional
projects include Poland (15%), Mexico (25%) and India
NEW COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION
(26%). It is notable that these are also the three countries
The top sector for green building growth globally is
with the highest percentage of those who expect to do
commercial construction, with nearly half (46%) of all
new green commercial construction projects.
respondents expecting to do a green commercial project
in the next three years. Commercial construction is also RETROFIT OF EXISTING BUILDINGS
the top sector in eight of the 13 countries included in the While there is a relatively high number of countries where
study, suggesting its widespread popularity and use. over 40% of respondents believe that they will do green
New commercial construction is the top sector for retrofit projects in the next three years, there is also
expected green building in Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, a relatively high number of countries with less than a
Germany, Poland, Saudi Arabia, China and India. quarter expecting to do green work in this sector.
The lowest level of new green commercial construction In the UK (44%), South Africa (46%) and Singapore
is expected in Australia and the UK. (55%), green retrofits of existing buildings rank first
among sectors for green work in the next three years.
For some countries, commercial construction can play
Although not the highest percentage in that country,
a critical role in driving a commitment to green building,
over 40% of respondents in the US (43%), Mexico
providing needed green experience that may eventually
(46%) and Brazil (47%) report the same, suggesting a
encourage green building in other sectors.
particular focus on this sector in the Americas.
NEW INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRUCTION Comparatively few respondents in China (19%), Poland
Despite only ranking first in one country and second (21%) and Saudi Arabia (22%) expect to do green
in two, generally strong expectations about new retrofits, suggesting a focus on greenfield projects in
institutional green projects globally lead this sector to these countries.
rank second in the global average of respondents.
The only country in which institutional construction
Trends for Other Building Sectors With a few exceptions, the patterns for high levels of
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Understanding patterns and trends that emerge among expected involvement with green communities mirror
other sectors can help product manufacturers and that of high involvement in high-rise residential. For the
service providers create strategies for markets not most part, countries tend to be above, near or below the
directly included in the study. global average for both. The one exception is Colombia,
Most countries with a lot of green activity expected which is above the global average for high-rise residential
in the high-rise residential sector report relatively low but below it for communities.
activity compared with global averages in the low-rise Nearly every country above the global average for
residential sector. The US is notably weak in both commercial interiors is also above the global average for
sectors, as is Poland. new commercial construction. The only exception here is
the US, which is above average for commercial interiors but
slightly below average for new commercial construction.
Sectors With Planned Green Activity Over the Next Three Years (Global Average and by Country)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
47% 55%
43% 46% 44% 46%
Retrofit of Existing 31% 36% 33%
37% 21% 22% 19% 24%
Buildings
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
3_5_Market_Sectors_Countries_#02
Sidebar: Megacities
leaders, city planners and private consultants are pushing hard to meet
demand, including the development of sustainable and smart megacities.
A
2013 IMF World Bank appeal to and the tourists they are space and all of the buildings are
report estimated that trying to draw in, [those people] are built to LEED standards. What they
by 2030, 96% of urban starting to demand solutions that found is that what the residents
growth will occur in have long-term credibility. enjoy are the green spaces, he
developing countries. This trend Rupert Booth, chief economist at says. Its attractiveness is tied
has spurred massive development Faithful+Gould, says sustainability to the quality of life provided
programs, including the creation of is a presumption when planning through sustainability.
new cities and an overhaul of existing these city programsboth in terms
ones. Whether a stated goal or a of quality of life and lifecycle costs. Planning for the Future
natural outcome, sustainability ranks No one wants an unsustainable Paul Doherty, president and CEO
as a key component of these plans. cityall of the investments required of The Digit Group, agrees that
Perhaps no country illustrates would not have a long-term future, sustainability has to be a part of all
this trend better than India. In 2015, he says. Sustainability is a given to city planning. This is what were
Prime Minister Narendra Modis justify long-term investment. supposed to do, he says. This
government advanced plans to shouldnt just be a branding exercise.
develop its 100 Smart Cities. Smart Cities Are He takes a holistic view of city
The program calls for a mix of Sustainable Cities planning that views a city as an
greenfield cities and wide-scale Booth notes that while the creation organism that is responsive so
improvements of existing cities. An of sustainable cities has been a goal that it can be sustainable and thrive.
early example of this strategy is the in city planning for some time, the One concept he is pursuing is the
planned city of Amaravati, which concept has been subsumed incorporation of kinetic sources of
would serve as the capital of the by the burgeoning smart city energy that could be built into roads
state of Andhra Pradesh in southern movement. He says that while and walkways, providing energy
India. Stated goals for this city concepts like Masdar City in Abu through friction or compression.
include extensive availability of open Dhabi are intended as models of Weve found that people walking on
green space and large-scale transit- sustainabilityparticularly through a piezo pad can create 14w per sq ft,
oriented development. use of renewable energy sources he says. That kind of technology can
all smart cities are inherently make a building its own generator.
The Appeal of sustainable. You cant create an Prior suggests that sustainability
Sustainability unsustainable smart city, he adds. efforts at a city level could be much
Jason Prior, chief executive of In fact, while the data gathering more predictable and achievable
buildings and places at AECOM, says side of smart city programs can than at the building level, where
that while urbanization has driven help a city run more efficiently, Booth performance is directly tied to user
high demand for new and improved says the public is more likely to behavior. At the city level, its easier
cities, many planners are competing recognize the green elements to meet your performance targets
against other cities to attract residents of an urban environment. One because youre dealing with some
and commercial investments. example, he notes, is Songdo, big macro moves, he says. If you
Theres a big issue of reputation South Korea. Advanced monitoring design a decent city, where the public
and brand here, he says. They are technology runs throughout the transport is done in the right way, it
realizing that some of the [future 1,500-acre development, but he says really doesnt matter if an individual
residents] they are trying to appeal residents are more likely to notice building fails or succeedsyouve
to, the companies they are trying to that nearly half of the city is green already made a huge difference. n
Respondents were asked to select up to three of the most Triggers Driving Future Green Building
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
important triggers from a list of 16 potential options that Activity (by Year)
would increase their firms involvement in green over time, Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
steadily declining over the last three studies. Though Market Demands
3_6_Influences_Triggers_Years_#02
SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 14 www.construction.com
Influences on the Green Building Markets
Triggers to Increased Levels of Green Building CONTINUED
Variation by Country (46%), Singapore (58%) and India (52%), but with few
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Examining which triggers are most dominant in certain reporting its influence in Mexico (23%), Germany
countries can be critical to creating a business strategy (21%), Poland (18%) and Saudi Arabia (22%).
for investment in that country. Doing the right thing is influential across the
The influence of client demands seen in the Americas and in South Africa, Singapore, China and
global averages is largely driven by US and UK India. However, it carries very little sway in Europe
respondents. Otherwise, it is roughly average with and Australia.
the other triggers, with little influence in India (13%) Lower operating costs have the least variation
or Colombia (19%). across any of the five top triggers globally, with
On the other hand, market demands rank among the between 20% and 29% of respondents selecting
top three triggers for most countries, with the greatest this as a top factor in 10 of the 13 countries included
influence in the UK and China. in the study. While generally recognized as important,
Environmental regulations have the widest range it rarely ranks as the No. 1 driver, suggesting that the
by country of any of the top five factors, with its argument for business benefits needs to include but
influence highly evident in the UK (64%), Australia not be limited to discussion of lower operating costs.
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
47% 43%
28% 31% 27% 33% 29%
Market Demands 7 22% 21% 24% 25% 17%
12%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
64% 58%
46% 52%
Environmental 30% 37% 31% 36%
6 23% 21% 22% 26%
Regulations 18%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
40%
Right Thing to Do 5 31% 25% 29% 26% 28% 24%
21% 23%
12% 13% 13% 12%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
3_7_InfluencesTriggersCountries_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics 15 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Influences on the Green Building Markets CONTINUED
Encouraging sustainable business practices is the Increasing worker productivity is most commonly
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
most important social reason for building green. selected by respondents in Saudi Arabia (50%),
The percentage who select it among all the global Mexico (44%), South Africa (41%) and Germany (41%).
respondents (58%) as one of their top two reasons is While overall these are very different markets, all of
double that of the next most important factors (29%). It them are influenced more by market factors than by
is also the top reason in nine of the 13 countries included environmental regulations, and increased productivity
in the study, including all the countries in the Americas could be a compelling part of the overall business case
(US, Mexico, Brazil and Colombia), the UK, South Africa, to be made for green building.
Singapore and China. The only country where it carries Supporting the domestic economy is an important
little sway is Saudi Arabia, at just 18%. reason for building green in Australia (46%), Saudi
Three out of the other five social reasons included in Arabia (44%), Singapore (43%) and India (40%), many of
the study were all selected by 29% globally. which have a relatively high percentage of companies
Creating a sense of community is most important to from other countries doing work in their country. It is
respondents from India (51%), China (33%) and Saudi less important than in countries like the US (24%), UK
Arabia (32%). All of these markets are also notable for (22%) and Germany (23%), where many international
their emphasis on new green buildings rather than companies are headquartered.
retrofits (see page 11), and for the development of
sustainable megacities.
Most Important Social Reasons for Building Green (Global Average and by Country)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
74% 72%
67% 65% 63% 64%
53% 49% 46%
Encourages 36% 32% 39%
Sustainable 58% 18%
Business Practices
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
51%
Creates a Sense 26% 31% 27% 25% 32% 29% 33%
29% 24% 23% 20% 19% 23%
of Community
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
44% 50%
34% 38% 41% 41%
Increases Worker 25% 28% 27% 32% 29%
29% 23% 23%
Productivity
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
Reducing energy consumption continues to be the top an important economic factor, including Brazil (47%),
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
environmental reason for building green, selected as Colombia (51%), Saudi Arabia (42%), South Africa (46%),
one of the top two reasons by 66% of all respondents Australia (50%), China (49%) and India (48%).
and by the highest percentage of respondents from all 13 Reducing water consumption ranks third globally, at
countries included in the study. 31%. Most of the respondents from the Americas, other
In the US, Germany, Poland and Singapore, the than Mexico, are above the global average for this factor,
percentage who select reducing energy consumption and US respondents rank it second only to energy. Also,
is just about double that of the next highest factor, so a over 45% selected this as critical from Saudi Arabia and
focus on energy clearly dominates these markets. South Africa. The percentage of European respondents
However, there is a less than five percentage point are notably low in this category, as are those from
difference between energy consumption and the next China, underscoring the importance of regionality in the
most important factor in Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Australia emphasis placed on water consumption.
and China, so other environmental factors carry a high The top countries motivated to lower greenhouse gas
degree of influence in these markets. emissionsthe UK (32%), Australia (29%) and Singapore
(31%)are also the top countries for considering
Protecting natural resources ranks second globally, at
environmental regulations an important trigger for green.
37%. Many of the countries with the highest percentage
The two countries with the highest percentage for
of respondents selecting this factor are also countries
improve indoor air quality, China (42%) and India (24%)
where extraction and exportation of raw materials is
are also notable for their struggles with air pollution.
Most Important Environmental Reasons for Building Green (Global Average and by Country)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
76% 84%
71% 65% 71% 67% 62%
58% 51% 58% 49% 50% 49%
Reduce Energy
Consumption 66%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
42%
Improve Indoor 24%
Air Quality 17% 16% 18% 17% 11% 12% 18% 15% 12% 11% 16%
7%
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
Survey respondents were asked to select up to three Challenges to Increasing Green Building
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Variation by Country On the other hand, the perception that green is for
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
The findings reveal that certain challenges carry greater high-end projects only is more common in developed
weight in some countries. countries. The US, UK, Australia, Singapore and China
While higher perceived first cost is one of the top all have a relatively high percentage selecting this
three challenges in nearly all (11) of the 13 countries option. Each of these are countries with well-established
included in the study, it is selected by over 50% of green markets or with strong regulations encouraging
the respondents only in the US (70%), Mexico (54%), rapid green building adoption. Poland also has a notably
Colombia (67%), Germany (52%), the UK (52%) and high percentage of respondents for this category, but
China (60%). Several of these markets are highly active, it doesnt rank in the top three for obstacles in Poland,
suggesting that cost concerns may come from greater which diminishes its overall influence.
competition for skilled labor and reduced availability of
Understanding these challenges can help companies
needed building products.
build their green businesses more effectively in
Lack of public awareness and lack of political
these countries.
support/incentives are most commonly selected
by a high percentage of respondents from developing
countries. These challenges are particularly noted by
respondents from Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Poland,
South Africa and India.
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
60%
38% 39% 41% 34% 35%
Lack of Political 22% 18% 25% 27% 21% 23%
6 15%
Support/Incentives
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
3_11_Influences_Challenges_Countries_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics 19 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Influences on the Green Building Markets CONTINUED
Survey respondents report using 19 different Benefits of Using a Green Building Rating System
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
green building rating systems, including nine that (According to Global Respondents by Year)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
they mentioned in addition to the list of 10 included
in the study. In general, rating system use was reported 2015 2012
by 78% of the respondents. Given the fact that only
one third of the respondents are members of a Green Provides Ability to Create
Better-Performing Buildings
Building Council, this demonstrates the widespread
61%
use of certification systems across the building
69%
industry globally.
There is some variation by country in the use of rating Provides Marketing and
systems. Rating system use is low in Colombia (50%), Competitive Advantage
Germany (64%), Saudi Arabia (47%) and South Africa 49%
(60%), compared with the global average. 67%
Creates Opportunity to Learn More
Benefits of Using Green Building About Specific Green Building Elements
Rating Systems 42%
Being able to create better-performing buildings 43%
is the top benefit reported in the 2015 study, the
same ranking it enjoyed in 2012. Despite a slight decline Encourages Use of
an Integrated Design Team
in the percentage who selected it, it is actually now
41%
selected by considerably more respondents than any
41%
other benefit included in the study.
The second most important benefit, marketing Provides a Common Language
and competitive advantage, retained its ranking from in the Industry
2012 but declined precipitously in the percentage who 38%
selected it, from 67% to 49%. This corresponds with a 40%
drop in those who find that branding/public relations is an Offers Government or Local
important trigger for green (see page 14), and it may be Financial Incentives/Rebates
influenced by wider adoption of green building, making it 30%
less of a differentiating factor for companies. 20%
One notable result is that the benefit of improving
industry practices and processes is important to a higher
Reasons for Not Using a Green Building Rating
percentage than financial incentives. Encouraging use
System (According to Global Respondents by Year)
of an integrated design team and the ability to provide 3_12_Influences_RatingSysBenefits_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
a common language to the industry are selected by
41% and 38%, respectively, but government incentives/ 2015 2012
rebates are only selected by 30%.
Too Costly/Time Intensive
53%
Reasons Not to Use a Rating System
The barriers to use of a rating system are roughly 61%
consistent with those in the 2012 study. Over half report Not Tailored to Regional
that use of a rating system is too costly or time intensive, Climate and Cultural
Implications
suggesting the need for better tools and simpler
25%
approaches. Only a relatively small percentage, though,
24%
are still concerned about rating systems being sufficiently
tailored to regional concerns or being able to understand Difficult to Understand Requirements/
the requirements, a change from the findings in 2008, Documentation Processes
when these were considered bigger challenges. 22%
15%
campus. In addition, the project will wind, using the higher wind speeds responsive, vernacular architecture
40.3-hectare campus, which is Were encouraging our clients to so inadequate that downhill
seeking certification under LEED build from their roots, their climate, neighborhoods routinely flood two
or three feet in a cloudburst. above from movement in the ground and replaced over hundreds of
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH
The citys population, now below; and the use of street planters years. It supports walking and
approaching 16 million, is expected and green-space networks as green transit use. It allows plug-and-play
to double by 2050. And, having infrastructure to prevent stormwater development and redevelopment
been rocked by earthquakes in from flooding districts downhill. of individual parcels as needed,
1999 and 2012, the city is overdue But, says David Green, a principal which in turn allows greater ranges
for a 500-year mega-quake. at Perkins+Will, technical solutions of affordability and use. It fosters a
In the face of these stresses, are emphatically not enough. finer grain of development, within
Istanbul has embarked on a Resiliency must have an adaptable which low- and mid-rise buildings
large-scale program of urban framework within which cities can can achieve the same densities as
regeneration in which entire accommodate change, he says. more widely-spaced towers, but
at-risk districts are slated for That means a strong, connected, without the need for superstructure
demolition and redevelopment. small-block street network. for lateral resistance. Perhaps
Perkins+Wills master plan for the By contrast with the large-grain, most significantly, a small-block
redevelopment of Sisli, a 24-hectare inwardly focused schemes with street network facilitates a range of
mixed-income, mixed-land-use privately owned infrastructure which increments for change whether
neighborhood that typifies the are common proposals for Istanbuls in response to earthquakes,
challenges Istanbul faces, proposes redevelopment, the Sisli master economics, population growth, or
a model for resilience using two plans small-block street network factors as yet unforeseen. n
complementary paradigms. enables multiple complementary
One paradigm consists of technical strategies for adaptability. It
solutions: the use of underground defines a continuous public domain
parking levels as base isolators, for within which infrastructure can
example, which decouple buildings be placed, accessed, maintained
Image: Perkins+Will
In redeveloping an at-risk neighborhood in Istanbul, technological solutions complement an adaptable framework for change.
The findings reveal that green building is still an emerging trend in South
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
America and the Caribbean, but expectations about more green building across
the region are high. Individual markets within the region have unique triggers
and obstacles, but commercial construction is a critical sector for green here.
Dramatic Increase in Average Green Share of between 2015 (18%) and 2018 (38%),
Green Expected in South Building Project Activity and the percentage doing between
America/Caribbean (For Firms in Brazil, Colombia 31% and 60% of their projects green
The findings from South America and 11 Other Countries in South is expected to double as well (from
and the Caribbean suggest that this America/Caribbean) 11% to 24%). This is in contrast
region is still an emerging market Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 to the respondents from Brazil,
when it comes to green building. Green Share Non-Green Share where most of the green growth
The share of green building reported is expected at the highest level of
by respondents in Brazil, Colombia involvement. This suggests that
and the other 11 countries that the Colombian market may be at an
participated in the study averages 71%
earlier stage of green involvement
73% 74%
29% or less, but the share of many than the market in Brazil.
developed markets, including the Other 11 Countries: Growth is
US, Australia, Germany and Poland, also evident in the other countries
averages above 30%. 29% 27% 26% from this region, with those who
However, the expectations of expect to do more than 30% of their
the level of green building in Brazil Colombia Respondents projects green nearly doubling
Respondents Respondents From 11 Other
three years demonstrate a strong Countries from 28% in 2015 to 52% in 2018.
commitment to green in this region. However, the findings are not as
Levels of Green Building
The percentage of respondents universally strong in the other 11
Activity for Respondents in
who expect more than 60% of countries as they are in Brazil and
Brazil (20152018 Expected)
their projects to be green grows 2_03_SAmerica_GreenShare_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
Colombia. The percentage who
dramatically throughout the region. report that they do not expect
Brazil: In addition to having the 1% to 15% More Than 60% to do any green projects also
Green Projects Green Projects
highest share of current green Exploring 31% to 60% increases from 7% in 2015 to 17%
building in the region, Brazil is (No Green Green Projects in 2018. This suggests a divided
Involvement) 16% to 30%
also expecting the most dramatic market, with strong commitment
Green Projects
growth in green in the next to green among some respondents
three years. The percentage of countered by a loss of interest in
respondents who expect to do doing green projects for others.
more than 60% of their projects 6% 36%
SECTORS WITH
green is six times higher than those
EXPECTED GROWTH
currently at that level of green 31% Across the region, a high percentage
involvement, from 6% to 36%.
21% of respondents expect to do green
Colombia: The growth in green
projects in two sectors in particular.
in Colombia occurs in those with
New Commercial Construction
both moderate and high levels of
green activity. The percentage of 18% 37% 32% (e.g., office, retail, hotel): New
9% commercial construction is driving
respondents from Colombia who 8% 2% green in this region, with the
do more than 60% of their projects
2015 2018 highest percentage of respondents
green is expected to double
SmartMarket Report
1_19_Global_Country_Batch1_
Dodge Data & Analytics 24 www.construction.com
Activity_Brazil_#01
Data: South America/Caribbean CONTINUED
and the other 11 countries (48%) this region from other developing This may provide opportunity for
reporting that they plan to do green markets like China, India and Saudi further growth in green building in
projects in this sector in the next Arabia, where the focus appears to this region, but government support
three years. The percentage in be on new green construction. rather than market forces may be
Colombia also exceeds the global needed to help drive green activity in
Other notable trends for green
average of 46%. It is comparable this sector.
building by sector vary by country.
to the percentage expecting to do
New green low-rise residential
commercial construction in China
projects are quite popular
Influence Factors
(55%), India (61%), Mexico (65%)
among those from the other 11
for Future Green
and Singapore (53%). For Colombia,
countries, with the second highest
Building Activity
like many other emerging markets,
percentage (44%) expecting to TRIGGERS
commercial construction is an
do a green low-rise residential The key triggers for future green
important driver of green building.
project in the next three years building vary among the countries
Retrofits of Existing Buildings: In
(second only to new commercial in the region.
Brazil, the percentage who expect
construction). The percentage Brazil: Environmental regulations
to do green retrofits of existing
who anticipate doing this work are the top driver for green building
buildings (47%) is equal to those
in Brazil (35%) also exceeds the activity in Brazil. This is in marked
who expect to do new green
global average (27%), but this contrast to the findings from 2012,
commercial buildings. Retrofits are
sector will see less activity in when market demand was selected
also selected by the third highest
Colombia (26%). as a top trigger by over half of the
percentage in Colombia (31%) and
New green high-rise residential respondents, double the amount
the other 11 countries (37%). This
projects are also anticipated for any other trigger. In the current
by respondents in Brazil (43%) study it has dropped to just 12%
Levels of Green Building and Colombia (36%) more who consider it important, with
Activity for Respondents in than globally (25%), but this is other triggers driving the market.
Colombia (20152018 Expected) a particularly weak sector in Other important triggers driving the
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 the other 11 countries in this market in Brazil include:
1% to 15% More Than 60% region (19%). Client demands, at 29%, ties
Green Projects Green Projects Brazil is a strong market for for second in Brazil in the current
Exploring 31% to 60% green communities (mixed- findings, a marked increase
(No Green Green Projects
Involvement) use developments), with 33% in terms of its overall ranking
16% to 30%
Green Projects expecting to do a green project compared to 2012. However, the
in this sector. This puts Brazil percentage who find it important
considerably above the global has only increased slightly, from
average (21%) and on par with 26% in 2012. In addition, the 29%
Singapore (35%) and China (36%). in the current study is considerably
38% below the global average of 40%.
When compared with other global
Higher ROI is a particularly
markets, green building has yet
18% important trigger in Brazil, also
to take hold in new institutional
25% selected by 29%. This percentage
11% 24% construction in South America
not only exceeds the Colombian
and the Caribbean. While new
(3%) or other regional (15%)
11% institutional construction is ranked
22% 24% 19% percentages, but it also tops
8% second globally, it does not rank
the global average of 11%.
in the top three sectors in Brazil,
2015 2018 Only Mexico has a comparable
Colombia or the other 11 South
1_20_Global_Country_Batch1_
Activity_Colombia_#01
Dodge Data & Analytics 25 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Data: South America/Caribbean CONTINUED
response to this trigger, with 25% findings suggest that green is Top Triggers Driving Future
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
regarding it as important. still an emerging trend across the Green Building Activity in
Doing the right thing is the third region because they are triggers Brazil, Colombia and 11
trigger that tied for second in that push firms into compliance Other Nations in South
Brazil. The percentage who select rather than compel them to adopt America/Caribbean
it in Brazil, however, is roughly green to improve their bottom Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
on par with that in Colombia and line. As green building becomes Brazil Respondents
the global average, and notably more common and the benefits Colombia Respondents
below the average for the other emerge more clearly, it is likely Respondents From 11 Other South American/
11 countries from South America/ other market and financial forces Caribbean Countries
Caribbean that participated in will gain influence. Client Demands
the study. Challenges There are two challenges 29%
Brazil falls behind Colombia that are considered important by 19%
and the other 11 countries in a high percentage of respondents 30%
that region in terms of the across the region. Market Demands
importance of market factors like Lack of Public Awareness: 45% 12%
market demands and internal of respondents in Colombia, and 22%
corporate commitments, 41% in Brazil and the other 11 33%
suggesting that a consistent call countries find this to be one of the Internal Corporate Commitment
for green based on business top three barriers to green building 8%
benefits is not as evident in Brazil in their country. This is on par with 33%
as it is in the rest of the region. responses from Saudi Arabia, India, 15%
Colombia: In Colombia, the top China, Poland and Mexico, which Higher ROI
three triggers for future green suggests that this is a common 29%
building are internal corporate issue for markets where green is 3%
commitments (selected by 33%), still emerging. 15%
market transformation (31%) Lack of Political Support or Right Thing to Do
and environmental regulation Incentives: This obstacle is most 29%
(31%). The emphasis placed on notable in Colombia, selected by 26%
internal corporate commitments 60%. Brazil, while significantly 41%
corresponds with the high level lower at 39%, still exceeds the Market Transformation
of commercial green building global average of 30% for this 20%
activity expected in Colombia, obstacle. The responses from the 31%
and it indicates the importance remaining 11 countries from this 22%
of corporate commitments for region are equivalent to Colombia, Lower Operating Costs
driving green in that country. with 59% finding this to be among 27%
Taken together, these three top the top three obstacles. Globally, 22%
triggers suggest that the market is no other countries exceed 50% 22%
simultaneously driven by the push of respondents who regard this Environmental Regulations
of regulations and the pull of the as a top obstacle, suggesting its 37%
ability to transform the construction particular importance in this region. 31%
market and corporate demands. 19%
Two obstacles are more important
Other 11 Countries: The triggers
in Brazil or Colombia than they
considered most important
are regionally.
regionally include doing the right
thing (41%), market demands (33%) 2_05_SAmerica_Triggers (2)_#02
and client demands (30%). These
as a top obstacle by 67% of the due to green building is the other Green Building
respondents in Colombia. While major factor of importance in Brazil Brazil is more conservative about
this is the top obstacle globally (34%) and Colombia (38%), no doubt the expected decreases in operating
and one that is selected by the due in part to the market focus on costs over one year but far more
highest percentage in many commercial buildings and existing optimistic about expected 5-year
countries included in the survey, building retrofits. decreases than the other countries
only in the US (70%) and China in South America and the Caribbean.
ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS
(60%) is the percentage who select However, payback periods for green
Reducing energy consumption
it so dominant compared with investments in both Brazil and
is the top environmental reason
other obstacles. Colombia are quite short, which
for building green in Brazil (51%),
Lack of trained/educated green could be an important driver for
Colombia (58%) and the other
building professionals is a top green building in the future. n
countries from that region (72%).
obstacle in Brazil, selected by 35%.
This finding corresponds to the
This is much higher than the 22%
global priorities around energy
in Colombia who regard this as
reflected in the overall study findings.
a top obstacle, and Colombia is
More notable is the importance
essentially on par with the global
of protecting natural resources to
average of 21%. Across the region,
respondents in both Brazil (47%)
only 15% of the respondents from
and Colombia (51%), roughly similar
the other 11 countries consider this a
in percentage to those who select
problem. Brazil has seen high levels
energy. Also notable is the concern
of construction activity in the last
about water consumption in Brazil,
few years, including a relatively high
selected by 47%.
percentage of green projects, and
this may be creating a shortage of
skilled workers for green projects.
Shift to High Green Average Green Share of do not do any green projects and
Involvement Varies Building Project Activity (For do not expect to do any in the next
Across Europe Firms in Germany, Poland, the UK three years. This may suggest that,
Across Europe, there is a general and 18 Other European Countries) without different triggers being put
trend toward companies expecting Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 into play, the UK may have defined
to be very highly engaged in green Green Share Non-Green Share the extent of its green market.
for the next three years. That trend The combined findings of the
remaining sectors also generally by the major institutions and Influence Factors
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
other European countries (5%) and building, with 64% far exceeding Top Triggers Driving Future
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
across the globe (9%). the European and global averages Green Building Activity in
Environmental regulations of 35%. Germany, Poland and the UK
is an important trigger equal to The high percentage expecting Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
2_02_Triggers_Europe _#01
SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 30 www.construction.com
Data: Europe CONTINUED
3% in Poland and 26% in the reason to build green. It is selected Business Benefits of
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
other European countries, as the top factor by 71% in Germany, Green Building
which is roughly on par with 71% in Poland, 65% in the UK, Overall, the respondents
the global average). and 78% of the other European from Europe report relatively
respondents, compared with consistent benefits from building
Social and 66% globally. green. Germany is slightly more
Environmental Reasons There are a couple of other conservative than other countries
for Building Green environmental reasons about the potential for decreased
that carry more sway in Europe operating costs over five years. The
SOCIAL REASONS
than globally: UK is also more conservative than
Encouraging sustainable business
Protecting natural resources other European countries about
activity is a top social reason for
is selected by 48% of UK payback periods for green, probably
building green across Europe. It
respondents, notably higher than due to the relatively expensive
is particularly popular in the UK,
the other European respondents construction market in general in the
where it is selected as one of the
and than the global average of 37%. UK. Still, despite these differences,
top reasons by 72% of respondents.
In addition, a high percentage there is clear agreement among the
It also ties for first in Poland, but it
(32%) of UK respondents consider European respondents about the
is considered a top social reason
lower greenhouse gas emissions benefits of building green. n
there by a much lower percentage
as a top environmental reason for
(32%), than those who consider it
building green, compared with the
important in the UK. This factor ranks
global average of 24%.
second in Germany (36%) to worker
productivity. It ranks first in the other
18 European nations (61%) by a
high percentage.
The importance of other social
reasons vary by country.
Worker productivity is the
top social reason in Germany, Expected Business Benefits of Green Buildings in Europe
selected by 41%. This puts (Including Germany, Poland, the UK and the Average of 18 Other
Germany on par with Saudi Arabia European Countries)
and Mexico, in terms of the value New Green Building Green Retrofit
placed on this factor. Respondents Respondents
Supporting the domestic From 18 Other From 18 Other
Germany Poland UK Germany Poland UK
economy is the other top social European European
reason in Poland, also selected Nations Nations
by 32%, which is roughly on par Decreased
with the global average influenced Operating 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 9%
8% 8%
by this factor. A high percentage Costs Over
(40%) of the respondents from One Year
the other 18 European nations Decreased
consider this important as well. Operating
9% 14% 14% 14% 11% 14% 13% 13%
Costs Over
ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS Five Years
There is general agreement across Payback Time
all European respondents about for Green 13 8 5 7 10 8
7 8
the importance of reduced energy Investments
(Years)
consumption as an environmental
The rapid growth of green building expected in the next three years in Saudi
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Arabia and the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region is largely in the
commercial and institutional sectors. In Saudi Arabia, business benefits are
key triggers, while the rest of the region is most influenced by regulations.
Green Activity Growing Average Green Share of their projects green nearly doubling
at a Rapid Pace in the Building Project Activity from 22% in 2015 to 40% by 2018.
MENA Region (For Firms in Saudi Arabia and
SECTORS WITH
While the current level of green 11 Other Countries in the Middle
EXPECTED GROWTH
activity in the MENA region is East/North Africa)
In the MENA region, including Saudi
roughly on par with global averages, Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
Arabia, new commercial and new
anticipated increases in green Green Share Non-Green Share institutional construction are the
involvement in the future suggests
two sectors with the highest level of
that the MENA region will be critical
expected growth. Each are selected
for the growth of green building
by nearly half of the respondents
globally in the next few years. 66%
76% as the sectors in which they plan to
Respondents from 11 MENA
build green in the next three years.
countries have an average green
New Commercial Construction
share of about 34%, which
34% (e.g., office, retail, hotel):
corresponds to levels reported in 24% Commercial construction ranks
the US, Mexico, Germany, Poland
Saudi Arabia Respondents first in the percentage from Saudi
and Australia. Saudi Arabia, on the
Respondents From 11 Other Arabia (44%) and the rest of MENA
other hand, is currently lagging in MENA Countries
(49%) who expect to do green
terms of the level of green building.
projects. This puts this region
The green share of work is currently
Levels of Green Building Activity roughly on par with the global
only 24%, 10 percentage points
for Respondents in Saudi average of 46%.
lower than the regional average. This 2_06_MENA_GreenShare_#03
Arabia (20152018 Expected) New Institutional Construction
is in part because nearly one third
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 (e.g., schools, hospitals, public
of respondents from Saudi Arabia
buildings): Nearly as many
(32%) report doing a very small share 1% to 15% More Than 60%
Green Projects Green Projects respondents in both Saudi
(15% or less) of their projects green.
Exploring 31% to 60% Arabia (42%) and the rest of
However, the responses from (No Green Green Projects MENA (44%) expect to do new
Saudi Arabia also clearly indicate a Involvement) 16% to 30%
Green Projects green institutional projects as
commitment to building green in the
new green commercial projects.
future. By 2018, those who expect to
Both are significantly above the
do a very small share of their projects
global average of 38%, making
green drops to 6%, and those who 32%
MENA one of the top regions
expect to do more than 60% of their
8% for new green institutional
projects green correspondingly
construction. Only the US,
grows from 8% in 2015 to 32% 22% 21% Canada, Singapore and China have
in 2018. 32%
similarly high expectations for
The other respondents from
6% this sector. Typically, institutional
the MENA region also report high 25% 26%
13% 15% construction is encouraged by
expectations for green involvement
active government support and
by 2018, with the percentage of those
2015 2018 engagement in green initiatives.
who expect to do more than 60% of
The only two sectors in which the Top Triggers Driving Future A high percentage of respondents
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
percentage in MENA expecting Green Building Activity in from Saudi Arabia consider business
to do work is much lower than the Saudi Arabia and 11 Other benefits like lower operating costs
global average is retrofits of existing Nations in the Middle East/ (29%) and better 10-year costs (24%)
buildings and commercial interiors. North Africa important triggers, far more than
This suggests a regional focus on Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 those from other MENA countries.
new green construction. Saudi Arabia Respondents Respondents from Saudi Arabia
projects, compared with the 20% 38% MENA countries other than
global average. 40% Saudi Arabia is environmental
Lower Operating Costs regulations, selected by 35%.
Influence Factors 29% However, in Saudi Arabia, only 22%
for Future Green 18%
consider this an important trigger.
Building Activity CHALLENGES
23%
TRIGGERS 10-Year Costs Are Better
On the other hand, Saudi Arabia
For respondents in Saudi Arabia and aligns with the rest of MENA about
24%
in the other MENA countries, client the key challenges to increasing the
6%
demand is an important trigger for growth of green building.
future green building. It is ranked 9% Lack of Public Awareness: 33% of
second in Saudi Arabia, selected by Environmental Regulations respondents in Saudi Arabia and
29% and first by the rest of MENA, 22% 40% in the rest of MENA select this
with 38% who consider it important. 35% as one of the top three barriers to
For most of the other important green building. This is on par with
35%
triggers, Saudi Arabia diverges from responses from Brazil, Colombia,
the rest of the MENA region. Business Local Competition India, China, Poland and Mexico,
benefits are bigger drivers for green 22% which suggests that this is a
in Saudi Arabia than in the rest of 11% common issue for markets where
MENA, where more emphasis is 9% green is still emerging.
placed on environmental regulations. Lack of Trained/Educated Green
Internal Corporate Commitments
Saudi Arabia is aligned with Building Professionals: While the
2%
the other MENA countries in global average for this obstacle
18%
the importance placed on client is 21%, it is selected by 29% of
demands as an important trigger 14% respondents from Saudi Arabia
for green building. and 28% from the rest of MENA.
Market demands rank first in respondents. However, for the The rapid acceleration of green
Saudi Arabia as a top trigger for other MENA respondents, it ranks building in these markets probably
2_07_MENA_Triggers_#02
future green building for 33% of third at 27%. contributes to the skilled labor gap.
Social and this respect. The rest of MENA is also Singapore do more than 30% of their
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Environmental Reasons considerably below the 66% global respondents also select this factor.
for Building Green average for this factor.
SOCIAL REASONS Not surprisingly, water Business Benefits of
Saudi Arabia has the highest conservation is nearly equal to Green Building
percentage (50%) of any country that energy conservation among the Saudi Arabia and the other MENA
participated in the study who select respondents from Saudi Arabia, countries are notably consistent
increased worker productivity as with 46% considering it a top factor. in the level of business benefits
a critical reason for building green. Protecting natural resources is a reported from green building, both
This aligns with the strong influence close third at 42%. for new and renovation projects.
of business benefits as triggers for Interestingly, only 15% of They are also roughly on par
future green building. It suggests that respondents from Saudi Arabia with global medians for estimated
more data on how green buildings consider improved indoor air quality decreased operating costs and
impact the health and well-being of important. While this is roughly on payback periods for new buildings.
their occupants could help increase par with the global average of 17%, However, the estimated decrease in
green investments in this country. the strong emphasis on improved operating costs is notably less for
Another social reason for building productivity as a social reason to renovation projects than the global
green in Saudi Arabia is the ability build green suggests that more medians, with global respondents
to support the domestic economy, attention to this environmental factor reporting a 9% estimated decrease
selected by 44%. This may tie into the is needed. in costs over one year and 13%
concerns about local competition, While the rankings are the same estimated decrease in costs over
because that competition could among the MENA respondents as five years. Despite these apparently
be coming from companies based among those from Saudi Arabia reduced benefits, though, the
outside of Saudi Arabia. Certainly, it for the importance of water payback period is much closer to
exceeds the global average for this conservation and protecting the global median of six years,
factor, which is just 29%. natural resources, the percentages suggesting that these benefits are
Respondents from the other are notably lower (36% and 33%, still sufficient to drive the market. n
MENA countries align more closely respectively). This is because more
to global averages than Saudi Arabia than 30% also consider lowering
for most of the social reasons, with greenhouse gas emissions to be an
the highest percentage selecting important environmental reason for
its ability to encourage sustainable building green. Only in the UK and
business practices (60%).
Expected Business Benefits of Green Buildings in the Middle
ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS
East/North Africa (Including Saudi Arabia and the Average of 11
Like respondents from the other
Other Countries)
countries in the study, the highest
percentage of those from Saudi New Green Building Green Retrofit
Arabia (49%) and the other MENA Respondents Respondents
countries (52%) consider the Saudi Arabia From 11 Other Saudi Arabia From 11 Other
reduction of energy consumption Countries Countries
one of the top environmental Decreased Operating
8% 8% 7% 5%
reasons for building green. However, Costs Over One Year
Saudi Arabia has one of the lowest Decreased Operating
16% 14% 11% 10%
percentages of respondents (49%) Costs Over Five Years
who consider this a top reason, Payback Time for Green
7 9 5 5
comparable only to China (49%) in Investments (Years)
doing a majority of their projects (more than 60%) green in the US. It also
suggests that more measurement of the benefits of building green could
help address key obstacles facing the US green construction market.
green, and 58% report that they schools, hospitals): At 46%, this
will be building green at that level is notably higher than the global
by 2018. average of 38%, suggesting a
On the surface, this may appear particularly strong market for green
to be a decline from the 2012 study. 1_04_Global_Country_Batch1_
Levels of Green Building institutional projects in the US.
After all, the green share of work for GreenShare_US_#02
Activity for US Respondents Education in particular has been
the respondents to the 2012 study (20152018 Expected) an important sector for green in
was a considerably higher 48%. Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 the US, as have public buildings,
However, it is critical to bear in mind 1% to 15% More Than 60% according to previous US research
that 82% of the US respondents in Green Projects Green Projects on sustainability conducted by
2012 were members of a national Exploring 31% to 60% Dodge Data & Analytics.
(No Green Green Projects
green building council, compared Involvement) 16% to 30%
Retrofits of Existing Buildings:
with 53% in the current study, which Green Projects The US is also notably higher in
provides a better portrait of the this category than most other
industry as a whole. countries included in the study,
Given the more representative with 43% reporting that they will
participation in the survey, it is be doing green retrofits in the
particularly notable that the highest next three years, compared with
level of growth in the US by 2018 39% the global average of 37%. Retrofits
24%
is expected among those who are a particular focus in North
will do more than 60% of their America in general, with a similar
projects green, which shoots up 28% 20% 19% percentage in Mexico and Canada
by 15 percentage points, from 24% 17% reporting an expectation that they
currently to 39% by 2018. will be doing green retrofits in the
13% 15% 10% 15%
next three years.
2015 2018
1_08_Global_Country_Batch1_
Activity_US_#01
Dodge Data & Analytics 35 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Data: United States CONTINUED
New Commercial Buildings (e.g., Top Triggers Driving Future However, it is surprising to see
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
office, retail, hotel): With 41% of Green Building Activity in environmental regulations emerge
respondents expecting to work on the United States as a top trigger in the current
green commercial buildings in the Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 study, when previously in 2012, it
next three years, the US is roughly US was only selected by 15% of US
on par with the global average Global Respondents respondents. Since the majority of
of 46%. environmental regulatory activity
Client Demands for buildings in the US has shifted
One sector in which the US is
52% from the federal to the state and local
notably lower than the global
40% levels, this increase may be due to
average is green high-rise residential
the more representative sample of
construction. Only 15% of US Right Thing to Do
respondents. The push of regulations
respondents expect to do green 31%
is more important among those
building in this sector, compared 25% who are not otherwise committed
with 25% of global respondents.
Environmental Regulations to green.
However, it is possible that this may
be due to concerns about the overall 30% CHALLENGES
demand for high-rise residential 35% More than any other country
buildings declining in the next few Market Demands included in the survey, respondents
years, whether the projects are green 28% in the US are concerned about higher
or not, because that market has first costs, with 70% regarding this
30%
seen aggressive growth in the US in as one of the top three barriers to the
the last couple of years and may be Lower Operating Costs growth of green, compared with 50%
becoming saturated. 26% of global respondents.
23% The US has seen a relatively strong
Influence Factors recovery in many construction
for Future Green sectors from the global recession
Building Activity that started in 2008, and recently
concerns about rising costs for
TRIGGERS 1_21_Global_Country_Batch1_ skilled labor and building materials
By far, the most important factor Triggers_US_#01 have emerged. It is likely that these
driving US respondents to build
concerns are driving greater cost
green is client demands. This
concerns about building green.
demonstrates relatively wide
The other challenges that seem to
recognition of the need to build
influence the US market more than
green in the US, and it speaks to the
other global markets include:
maturity of the market.
Lack of Market Demand
The remaining four of the top
US 39%
five factors helping to drive green
Global 29%
in the US market are separated
Inability to Prove Business Case
by only five percentage points,
Because of Split Between Capital
suggesting that they are all of
and Operating Costs
relatively equal importance. Financial
US 34%
factors like market demands and
Global 25%
lower operating costs continue
to be selected by a relatively high
percentage, similar to the 30% who
selected both categories in 2012.
sector. Therefore, it is not surprising that financial benefits are the key drivers
for green in Mexico. However, like many developing countries, the need for
greater public awareness and political support are key obstacles to green.
High Level of Green Average 2015 Green Share Retrofits of Existing Buildings:
Involvement Expected of Building Project Activity 46% of respondents from Mexico
in Mexico (For Firms in Mexico) expect to do green retrofits of
Within the next three years, nearly Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 existing buildings in the next three
half (44%) of the respondents in years. This is consistent with the
Green Share
Mexico expect to be heavily involved Non-Green Share
focus on retrofits in North America
with green building, with more than in general, with the US and Canada
60% of their projects anticipated to be reporting comparable expectations
green. This is more than double the for green activity in this sector.
percentage of Mexican respondents 35% All of the North American
(21%) who currently are at that level percentages exceed the 37% of
65%
of green involvement, and it exceeds global respondents expecting to
the level of green involvement do green retrofits.
reported by respondents from Commercial Interiors: 33% of
client demands, lower operating Top Triggers Driving Future 44% of Mexican respondents select
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
cost and higher ROI, suggesting Green Building Activity increasing worker productivity
that Mexico is driving toward green in Mexico as the top social reason, much
commercial work because of the Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 higher than the 29% globally, and
positive impact of green on the Mexico second only to Saudi Arabia in the
bottom line of businesses that Global Respondents percentage who consider this the
make that investment. top reason.
Generally, these top triggers Market Demands
As with most countries, reducing
correspond with global averages, 31%
energy consumption is the top
although there is a lower percentage 30%
environmental reason for building
of Mexican respondents for client Client Demands green in Mexico, selected by 58%.
demand and a higher percentage
27% However, that is slightly under the
who consider higher ROI important in
40% global average of 66% for this factor.
Mexico than the percentages globally.
Other important environmental
Right Thing to Do
CHALLENGES reasons for building green in
Similar to the other North American 25% Mexico include:
countries, the top barrier to further 25% Protecting Natural Resources:
green growth in Mexico is higher Lower Operating Costs 42% (compared with 37% globally)
first costs, selected by 54%. 25% Lowering Greenhouse Gas
The highest level of growth in this (e.g., office, retail, hotel): 53%
country is expected among those of respondents from Singapore
doing more than 60% of their expect to do new green commercial
projects green, with a 15 percentage Levels of Green Building construction projects in the next
point gain from 23% currently to 38% Activity for Respondents
1_01_Global_Country_Batch1_ three years, above the global
by 2018. This is a higher percentage GreenShare_Singapore_#02
in Singapore average of 46%. However,
than that from any country included (20152018 Expected) developing regions like Mexico,
in the survey, other than South Africa Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 India and Colombia do exceed
and India. Clearly Singapore is an Singapore in the percentage of
1% to 15% More Than 60%
important, growing market for Green Projects Green Projects respondents expecting to do green
green product manufacturers and Exploring 31% to 60% work in this sector.
(No Green Green Projects
service providers. Involvement)
New Institutional Construction
16% to 30%
These findings are strong Green Projects (e.g., schools, hospitals, public
compared with the other global buildings): 48% of respondents
findings in this study, but they do from Singapore expect to do new
appear on the surface to be a step green institutional construction,
back from the 2012 findings, where 38% compared with 38% globally. Again,
23%
64% of respondents reported doing this is the highest percentage of
more than 60% of their projects respondents from any country
green. However, 2012 was also the 14% included in the study.
15%
year in which Singapore launched New High-Rise Residential:
1_14_Global_Country_Batch1_
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Data: Singapore CONTINUED
including low-rise residential, Top Triggers Driving Future practices. It was selected by 64%
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Rapid Level of Growth Average 2015 Green Share New High-Rise Residential (4
in Green Involvement of Building Project Activity floors and above): 45% report that
Expected in China (For Firms in China) they will do new green high-rise
China still has an emerging green Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 residential buildings, far exceeding
building market. One third (33%) of Green Share the global average of 25% and
respondents from China report that Non-Green Share putting China on par with other
they are doing less than 16% of their developing green markets like
projects green currently, and very Singapore, India and Brazil.
few (5%) are doing the majority of Communities (mixed-use
1_15_Global_Country_Batch1_
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SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 42 www.construction.com
Data: China CONTINUED
The biggest difference between Top Triggers Driving Future Unlike many countries included in the
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
the top triggers globally and those Green Building Activity survey, several environmental reasons
in China is the importance of in China for building green are selected by
healthier neighborhoods in China, Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 over 40% of respondents as among
with twice the percentage (30%) of China the most important, rather than just
Chinese respondents who consider Global Respondents reducing energy consumption:
it important compared with global Reduce Energy Consumption: 49%
Strong Green Market Average 2015 Green Share This high level of activity is only
Currently With an of Building Project Activity exceeded by Mexico, although a
Even Higher Level of (For Firms in India) high degree of green commercial
Engagement Expected Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 activity is evident in many other
in India Green Share developing countries, including
In India, green building already Non-Green Share Colombia and China.
accounts for 37% of the total work of New High-Rise Residential (4 floors
1_16_Global_Country_Batch1_
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SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 44 www.construction.com
Data: India CONTINUED
There are no other triggers Top Triggers Driving Future Like those from many other
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
selected by more than 30% of Green Building Activity countries, respondents from India
Indian respondents as important. in India most frequently consider reducing
However, 28% do consider healthier Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 energy consumption to be an
neighborhoods an important trigger, India important environmental reason to
nearly double the global average Global Respondents build green, selected by 62%. The
of 15% and second only to China at only other environmental factor
30%. This reinforces the importance Environmental Regulations selected by more than one third of
of the residential market for driving 52% the respondents is the protection of
growth in green building in India. 35% natural resources (48%, much higher
than the global average of 37%).
CHALLENGES Healthier Neighborhoods
Like many other developing 28%
countries, lack of public awareness
Business Benefits of
15% Green Building
and concerns about corruption
Right Thing to Do Most of the respondents from India
are considered to be among the
24% (91%) use metrics to track building
top barriers preventing growth
25% performance. For new buildings,
of the green market in India, by
they report results that are slightly
48% and 41%, respectively. The Employee Recruitment
higher but overall consistent with
challenge of higher first costs is 22% global medians on operational
also noted by 35%, but an equal
5% savings over one year and five years.
percentage consider lack of political
Lower Operating Costs However, the quick payback period
support or incentives a serious
suggests that their construction
obstacle to green. Combined with 20%
costs are generally lower than most
the importance of environmental 23%
of the other countries in the study.
regulations among the triggers, this
They also report bigger operating
suggests that the market is seeking Two other social reasons were
cost decreases for retrofits than
more incentives as a balance to the selected by 40% or more of the
are reported globally, which may
regulatory green requirements. respondents from India:
1_26_Global_Country_Batch1_ eventually encourage more growth
46% see encouraging sustainable
Triggers_India_#01 in that market in India. n
Social and business practices as an important
Environmental Reasons reason to build green, although this
for Building Green percentage is lower than the global
India is unique among the countries average (58%).
that participated in the survey in the 40% believe that supporting the
Stable Green Market Average 2015 Green Share participation in the study by
With a Moderate Shift to of Building Project Activity Australia Green Building Council
More Green Activity (For Firms in Australia) members suggests widespread
in Australia Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 use of green building certification
The findings of the current study Green Share throughout Australia.
demonstrate a stable and mature Non-Green Share SECTORS WITH
green market in Australia, with
EXPECTED GROWTH
a moderate shift to higher levels
The top sector for expected green
of green involvement by the
growth in Australia is new low-rise
respondents expected in the next 34% residential construction, followed
three years.
66% by retrofits of existing buildings and
By 2018, nearly half (48%) of the
institutional construction.
respondents expect that more than
New Low-Rise Residential (1-3
30% of their projects will be green, an
floors): This is the only category in
increase of 14 percentage points over
which the percentage of Australian
those currently engaged with green
respondents (39%) exceeds
at that level. The majority of that
1_03_Global_Country_Batch1_ global responses (27%). A similar
growth comes in those who expect to Levels of Green Building
GreenShare_Australia_#02 high percentage is reported in
do 31% to 60% of their projects green. Activity for Respondents
the UK and Singapore. These
However, it is notable that 10% in Australia (2015 and
three countries also have higher
of Australian respondents do not Expected 2018)
percentage than average reporting
expect to do any green work by Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
that environmental regulations
2018, the same percentage as those
1% to 15% More Than 60% are important drivers for green,
not doing any green work currently. Green Projects Green Projects
suggesting the importance of
Therefore, the entire shift comes Exploring 31% to 60%
(No Green Green Projects those regulations to push low-rise
from those already doing green Involvement) 16% to 30% residential green construction.
who expect to increase their level of Green Projects Retrofits of Existing Buildings: 33%
green involvement. This suggests a
of Australian respondents believe
relatively mature and stable market,
that they will work on a green
where those who are likely to do
retrofit in the next three years. This
green projects have already engaged
29% is roughly comparable to the global
in at least some green work.
average of 37%.
Another indication of the stability 27%
Institutional Construction
and maturity of the Australian green 19% (e.g., schools, hospitals, public
building market is the relatively 7%
buildings): 30% of respondents
high green share indicated. While
23%
from Australia believe they will
only 15% of the respondents in the 33% 10% 32% engage in institutional green
current study are members of a
10% 10% building, slightly lower than the
green building council, the share of
38% global average.
green work is still 34%. The high level 2015 2018
of use of certification despite the low
1_10_Global_Country_Batch1_
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Data: Australia CONTINUED
1_17_Global_Country_Batch1_
Activity_South Africa_#01
SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 48 www.construction.com
Data: South Africa CONTINUED
On the other hand, client demands Top Triggers Driving Future well-being is important in the South
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
and market demands are both Green Building Activity in African green building community.
much more important triggers in South Africa South Africa is consistent with
the current study than they were Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016 the global consensus on the
in the past, suggesting increased South Africa importance of reducing energy
understanding in the South African Global Respondents consumption as an environmental
construction market of the value of reason for building green. In contrast,
green buildings. Right Thing to Do a much higher percentage (49%) of
40% South Africans consider reducing
CHALLENGES
25% water consumption important than
Despite wider recognition of the
respondents in China and India,
value of green in the market, the Client Demands
and countries in North America and
highest percentage of South African 37%
Europe, whose percentages range
respondents (37%) consider the 40% from 13% to under 30%. Finally,
lack of public awareness to be a
Market Demands like many other developing
top barrier limiting the growth of
29% economies in the survey such as
green building.
30% China, India, Saudi Arabia, Brazil
Three additional challenges
and Colombia, South Africa also
were selected by 34% of South Environmental Regulations considers protecting natural
African respondents: 26% resources important, with 46%
Higher First Costs: The percentage
35% regarding this as a key environmental
who select this as an obstacle in
Healthier Neighborhoods reason to build green.
South Africa are considerably less
than the global average of 50%. 26%
Lack of Trained Green Building
Business Benefits
15%
Most of the respondents in South
Professionals: The percentage
Africa (87%) use metrics to measure
exceeds the global average of 21%.
However, increasing worker the performance of their green
Other burgeoning green markets
productivity was named by 41%
1_27_Global_Country_Batch1_ buildings. While more modulated
like Singapore, India and Brazil
of South African
Triggers_South respondents as
Africa_#01 compared to the 2012 findings,
share this concern.
an important social reason for South Africans still see operational
Lack of Political Support and
building green, which is notably cost savings on new buildings to a
Incentives: The percentage
higher than all other countries much greater degree than those in
is roughly on par with the
included in the study except Mexico other countries included in the study.
global average.
(44%), Germany (41%) and Saudi However, their payback period for
Arabia (50%). This, combined their green investments of eight
Social and with the emphasis on healthier years is the same as the global
Environmental Reasons neighborhoods as a trigger for green, median, possibly suggesting higher
for Building Green suggests a focus on health and premiums to build green. n
The highest percentage (63%)
of South African respondents
by far consider encouraging Expected Business Benefits of Green Building in South Africa
sustainable business practices
New Green Building Green Retrofit
to be an important social reason
2012 2015 2012 2015
for building green, but this is
relatively consistent with many Decreased Operating Costs Over One Year 7% 18% 12% 9%
other countries in the survey. Decreased Operating Costs Over Five Years 33% 19% 37% 29%
Payback Time for Green Investments (Years) 7 8 5 6
Survey participants were asked to select the most Most Important Benefits of Green Building
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
important benefits of green building in their market (Countries With the Highest and Lowest
from a list of 10 possible options, with no limit in terms Percentage of Respondents and the
of the number of benefits they could select. The chart Global Average)
at right shows the countries with the highest and lowest Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
percentage of respondents who selected that benefit, Top Two Global Lowest Two
along with the global averages. Overall, the findings Countries Average Countries
reveal patterns in terms of the benefits valued most by Saudi
Lower Operating US Colombia China
developing countries, compared with those valued in Arabia
more well-established green markets. Costs (e.g., energy
costs, total 81% 79% 69% 38% 29%
By far, the most widely reported benefit globally lifecycle costs)
is lower operating costs. This corresponds to the
China Brazil Australia Germany
findings in the 2012 study. However, as the country data Documentation and
demonstrates, there are significant variations by market Certification Providing 51% 49% 31% 21% 18%
Quality Assurance
in terms of the importance of this benefit. A particularly
high percentage consider it important in the Americas, Brazil Singapore UK Germany
Education of
including in the US (81%), Colombia (79%), Mexico (73%) Occupants About 51% 45% 31% 19% 9%
and Brazil (65%). Respondents from China (38%) and Sustainability
Saudi Arabia (29%), on the other hand, consider other Mexico China US UK
benefits more important, including future proofing assets Higher Value at 50% 47% 30% 20% 20%
(66% and 38%, respectively) and a higher value at point Point of Sale
of sale (47% and 31%), both of which may have stronger China UK Colombia US
financial implications than operating costs. Future Proofing
Assets 66% 39% 26% 17% 13%
Globally, 30% to 31% of respondents consider three
additional benefits important in their markets: South Africa/ Brazil/
Documentation and Certification Providing Flexibility of
Singapore/ India Poland US
China
Quality Assurance Design Built Into
Green Buildings 40% 39% 25% 21% 15%
Education of Occupants About Sustainability
more important in developoing markets and less (12%), Germany (9%) or the UK (13%). Mexico and India
important in Europe and North America. It is the only are also the two countries with the highest percentage
category with five countries with roughly the same of respondents expecting to do commercial green
percentage of respondents at the upper end (39% to 40%), projects in the next three years, which perhaps
and all of those countries are developing markets in Asia, influences the importance of productivity as a green
Africa and South America. benefit in these markets.
Three quarters (75%) of the total study participants Metrics Used to Measure the Business
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
4_03_Global_Benefits_MetricsUsed_#02
Percentage of Respondents Using Metrics to Track Building Performance
(Global Average and by Country)
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
US Mexico Brazil Colombia Germany UK Poland Saudi South Australia Singapore China India
Arabia Africa
4_02_Global_Benefits_UsingMetrics_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics 51 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Business Benefits of Green Building CONTINUED
As the findings on the top triggers for green building Expected Operating Cost Decreases for New
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
demonstrate, information about the business benefits Green Building Efforts Over 12 Months and
resulting from green building investments is essential to Five Years (2012 and 2015)
encourage more green building activity in every global Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
market. (See pages 14 and 15 for more information.) More Than 15%
The benefits measured in the current study 11% 15%
operating cost decreases compared with traditional 6%10%
buildings, average payback periods for green 5% or Less
investments and increased asset value compared with None
traditional buildingsfrequently matched or exceeded
those reported in the 2012 study. This finding reinforces Over the Next 12 Months Over the Next 5 Years
the compelling business case for green and demonstrates
the validity of the findings in both studies. It is also 23% 22%
particularly notable since only 33% of the 2015 study 49% 43%
participants are green building council (GBC) members, 16% 19%
compared with 75% of study participants in 2012. This
demonstrates that a more industry-representative group 24% 18%
27% 17%
of participants still expects the same level of benefits
from green as those who are committed enough to green 19%
32% 19%
building to join a GBC. 26%
5% 6% 2% 16% 4%
One factor that may contribute to the level of 13%
knowledge about the benefits of green demonstrated by
the 2015 study participants is that three quarters (75%) of 2012 2015 2012 2015
them are tracking metrics on these benefits (see page 51), Median: 8% Median: 9% Median: 15% Median: 14%
which also reinforces the validity of the findings.
By and large, the countries that report the biggest New Green Building
one-year reductions in operating costs in green (According to All Global Respondents)
buildings differ from those reporting the largest five-year Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
VARIATION BY LEVEL OF
GREEN INVOLVEMENT 44% 41%
Firms with a high level of green involvement (more than
60% of their projects green) are more likely to find that
new green buildings have larger decreases in operating Median: 8 Years Median: 8 Years
costs for the first 12 months and for the first five years,
than those doing little or no green building (less than 15%
of their projects green).
44% of those highly involved in green report that new 4_05_Global_Beneftis_New_Payback_#02
green buildings lower operating costs in the first year
by more than 15%, compared with 15% of those doing
little or no green building.
40% of those highly involved in green report that new
Owners were asked about the degree to which the asset More Than 10%
value of new green buildings is higher than that of new 6% 10%
non-green buildings. The findings from owners are the 3% 5%
most striking difference from the 2012 findings, with the Less Than 3%
owners reporting a median 7% asset value increase in None
the 2015 study, compared with 5% from 2012.
This finding gains particular importance because of 16%
the median payback window of eight years also reported 24%
in the study. Commercial buildings often change owners
in five-year intervals or less. Since the investment in 31%
33%
green may not be paid off in operating cost savings in that
short window, owners are still encouraged to build green
in order to achieve a higher asset value when putting their 31%
24%
buildings on the market.
There is also a notable trend for owners with a higher 18% 4% 15% 4%
level of green involvement to report higher asset value
for their green buildings. Owners with 15% or fewer of
2012 2015
their building projects green report a median increase in
asset value of 4%, but those doing more than 30% green Median: 5% Median: 7%
projects report a median increase of 8%.
ARCHITECTS AND CONTRACTORS
4_06_Global_Benefits_AssetV_Owners_#02
Architects and contractors were asked to estimate
Expected Increase in Building Value
the percentage by which being green increases a
for a New Green Building
new buildings value. In the current study, as in 2012,
(According to AEC Respondents)
they believe the increase is even higher than that
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
reported by the owners. While the median increase in
value they estimated only grew by one percentage point More Than 10%
between 2012 and 2015, it is notable that those who 6% 10%
felt the increase was more than 10% grew dramatically Less Than 5%
between studies, from 19% to 27%. This expectation Retains Value Better
of increased value may help them convince owners None
unfamiliar with the benefits of green building to make
the necessary investments. 19%
27%
21%
23%
30%
22%
23% 22%
6%
7%
2012 2015
Median: 7% Median: 8%
About half (48%) of respondents report that they have Expected Operating Cost Decreases From
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
renovation project in the next three years. Retrofit/ More Than 15%
renovation activity is unevenly distributed globally, with 11% 15%
few respondents in Poland, Saudi Arabia, China and India 6%10%
expecting to engage in retrofit work in the next three 5% or Less
years (see pages 11 and 12 for more information). Data None
that makes a compelling business case for green retrofits,
therefore, is essential to help the existing building stock Over the Next 12 Months Over the Next 5 Years
globally improve its performance.
24% 21%
34%
Operating Cost Decreases 42%
Respondents were asked to what degree operating costs 17% 19%
declined due to green retrofit/renovation projects over
28%
two time periods: the first 12 months after the project was 27% 28% 20%
completed and the next five years.
As the chart at right indicates, the current studys 23% 21%
reported declines over the next 12 months closely mirror 30% 30%
those from the 2012 study, with both yielding a median 2% 2% 14% 1% 15% 2%
of 9% in operating cost decreases. The fact that the
operating costs decreased more for retrofit/renovation 2012 2015 2012 2015
projects than for new construction is consistent with Median: 9% Median: 9% Median: 13% Median: 13%
the findings from other studies about green building
conducted by Dodge Data & Analytics. It also speaks
to a generally higher level of building performance on
Payback Period for Cost of a
energy and other green factors expected currently in new
Green Retrofit/Renovation Project
buildings than was common decades ago. 4_08_Global_Benefits_Retrofit_OpCost_#02
(According to Global Respondents)
While the median expected cost decreases for one
Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
year are higher for retrofits/renovation than for new
buildings, they are slightly lower when considering 15 years
the next five years. This may be due to expectations 610 years
that retrofits/renovations may not always be able to More Than 10 Years
achieve the same level of high performance as a building 2012 2015
designed and built to be green from the start. However,
the gap between the two is slightly less in 2015 than it was
in 2012, possibly suggesting that the potential for high- 15% 16%
performance retrofits is more widely recognized.
In addition, while the median value turns out to be 43% 46%
the same, there are differences in the distribution of
respondents across the different levels of cost decreases 42% 38%
expected in five years. Between 2012 and 2015, there was
a drop of eight percentage points between those who
believe that green retrofits save more than 15%. This drop
is offset in part by an eight percentage point increase in Median: 7 Years Median: 6 Years
those who report an 11% to 15% operational savings.
4_09_Global_Beneftis_Retroft_Payback_#02
Dodge Data & Analytics 55 www.construction.com SmartMarket Report
Business Benefits of Green Building
Benefits of Green Retrofit and Renovation Projects CONTINUED
projects green) also report much greater cost reductions More Than 10%
than those doing little green work (between 1% and 14% 6% 10%
green projects). 3% 5%
Only 7% of those doing little green work find that green Less Than 3%
retrofits yield savings of more than 15% during the first None
12 months, compared with 35% of those with a high
level of green involvement. 14% 21%
20% of those doing little green work report savings of
more than 15% in the next five years compared with 24%
32% of those with a high level of green involvement. 33%
These differences may be influenced by multiple factors. 24%
For example, those with more experience with green
building may simply have more knowledge about the 33%
benefits. It is also possible that more green experience 31%
may help create higher-performing buildings, which 7% 6%
would therefore yield stronger savings. 7%
2012 2015
Average Payback on Green Retrofit/ Median: 4% Median: 7%
Renovation Investments
The median payback period for a green retrofit/
renovation reported by respondents is six years. While Expected Increase in Building Value From a
this is a slight improvement over the 2012 findings, in 4_10_Global_Benefits_Retr_AV_Owner_#01
Green Retrofit or Renovation Project
general, the findings are quite similar. (According to AEC Respondents)
There is no significant difference in terms of predicted Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
payback period between respondents with a high level of More Than 10%
green involvement and those with less. This is surprising, 6% 10%
given the much higher operating cost improvements Less Than 5%
reported by those doing more green building projects. Retains Value Better
It may suggest that they are also investing more in their No Difference
green retrofit projects, with improved performance on
other factors than energy as the result.
28% 22%
4_11_Global_Benefits_Retrof_AV_AEC_#01
SmartMarket Report Dodge Data & Analytics 56 www.construction.com
Interview:Thought Leader
Lisa Bate: 20122015 Managing Principal, Shanghai/
EVP Asia; As of January 1, 2016, Regional Managing
Principal, North America, B+H Architects
Lisa has project experience across Canada, China, the US, the
Caribbean and India. She is a Board Member of the World Green
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH
How does sustainability the most green spec possible ... What can drive the growth of
influence your approach to For occupants, its an amazing sustainability globally?
building an international practice staff retention, engagement and BATE: I think [green] is on
across several continents? attraction tool. But you have to be everyones agenda globally.
BATE: The way that I look at it, careful because you are disclosing Governments, global
and the way B+H looks at it, is what is going on, so there is a lot of organizations ... are doing
sustainability is just good design. transparency that is happening too. great research. The World
So what I really like right now Green Building Council brings
You have worked extensively is that in some things, the East is everybody together, and it is a
in Canada and China. What starting to lead the West because common platform to make sure
priorities do you see from your there are requirements in China everybodys talking and that tools
clients in these markets? to make broad moves and to get are developed and disseminated
BATE: It has always [previously] things really moving. to countries. But we have to
been about the cost of operating figure out how to assist and help
and the capital cost of the building What are the biggest emerging economies.
[in both countries]... Now if we look challenges facing the wider
at today, China is still very focused adoption of sustainable What has influenced your
on energy, but the tides are starting building practices? perspective on sustainability?
to turn. Health, materials, indoor air BATE: I think it is actually time BATE: My family did a fair amount
quality monitoring [are becoming ... how rapidly we can make this of travel [because] my father
more important]. A year ago 90% of change. There has got to be was a physician and assisted
Chinese staff would have switched collaboration at a global scale. internationally, so I was exposed
jobs for higher pay alone, but 56% of Air and water dont respect to lots of levels of living standards.
Chinese staff [now] view office health borders ... When the airpocalypse Food and clean water scarcity is
as a reason for switching jobs. happened in China, December real. Human health is paramount,
Thats staggering. 2013, if you looked at the skyline and the cost of environmental
So lets look at Canada. In most of Paris, the air shifted there. There degradation is in every country.
offices today, twenty to sixty percent is just so much more of a global We are only as good as what is
of office inhabitants have some effort that has to happen because being done in the underdeveloped
symptoms of sick building syndrome. there are no boundaries for our and emerging market countries. [As
What I am finding interesting is largest carbon sinks, which are manufacturing shifts from China to
the technology and innovation the oceans and air ... NIMBYism other countries], now the problem
that is given birth in China, often in has to stop. is hitting Indonesia, Cambodia,
collaboration with Westerners ... who In countries like China, with a Vietnam...These countries want to
are focused on sustainability and Communist government, often emerge and have a good quality
developing green global databases they can make tremendous of life. So how do we break the
that are free to suppliers. Suppliers change [happen] very quickly. In vicious cycle [of pollution and
can feed their information into democratic societies, we have to be carbon emission]? It is not just
the database, and it is third-party able to make rapid change and for about building. It is trying to stop
verified. And then it goes out to all people to realize that this is a top the cycle of the next emerging
the designers. So you can create priority for health and well-being. economy getting drawn into this. n
I
n 2015, 707 property companies Key trends from the data include: In 90% of studies, strong
from around the world, Sustainability goals and sustainability standards lowered
representing over 61,000 transparency with regard to the cost of capital.
properties, with an asset value environmental, social and In 88% of studies, strong ESG
of US$2.3 trillion, reported on the governance (ESG) practices are practices correlated with superior
sustainability of their operations now well established among operational performance.
as part of the Global Real Estate property companies and funds, In 80% of studies, strong
Sustainability Benchmark (GRESB). with 93% of survey participants sustainability practices
incorporating sustainability into correlated with superior stock
Benchmarking their business objectives. price performance.
GRESB, which has become standard The real estate sector is
practice for the worlds leading increasingly considering the Room for Improvement
real estate investment and asset effects of climate change, with But theres still plenty of room at the
management companies, is a 54% of participants having policies top. Out of a possible score of 100,
framework that identifies industry in place to address climate risks. this years GRESB global average sits
best practices on a global scale and Recognition of issues affecting the at 56. An adage in the industry says
then provides annual participants health, safety and well-being of that its easy to participate in GRESB,
with the chance to measure their occupants, the community and the but its hard to do well.
performance against the benchmarks supply chain is also on the rise. Winter sums up the main
and against their peers. challenge to improvement as a mix
By stimulating a race to the top Better Together of organizational inertia combined
and providing actionable intelligence While all this is undoubtedly with a dose of fear getting started.It
on global industry best practices, good for green building practices, takes upfront work to create
GRESB creates a virtuous cycle independent studies are establishing management systems, pursue data
among decision-makers concentrated that it is also good for the investors. A capture methods and implement the
at the highest levels of the real estate June 2015 study from the University organizational policies that underlie
industry, says Dan Winter, head of of Cambridge, for example, found a quality GRESB submission, he
North America for GRESB. that real estate investment trusts says.Companies with their eyes on
Since the launch of GRESB in 2009, with higher GRESB scores tend to the ball, however, who commit to
the average global sustainability show higher returns on equity, higher tracking the energy, water and waste
score has been climbing steadily returns on assets and stronger risk- data within their asset holdings, who
from the Green Starters category to adjusted stock performance. have engaged with rating systems like
its entry for the first time in 2015 in These findings tally with the LEED over the years, and who exhibit
the Green Stars category, albeit with results of an extensive literature strong internal governance practices
significant regional variations. survey from the Smith School of tend to do very well, and more easily
Oceania is well out in front. Expense and Environment at the differentiate from their peers.
Europe, Asia and North America University of Oxford, published in With links between sustainability
cluster around the average. March 2015, which identified an and financial performance
Africa and South America are impressive set of correlations: increasingly understood, more
currently following the rest. companies are likely to be making
the effort. n
Study participants were asked to identify the green Current and Expected Use of Green Building
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
Study participants were asked to select the top criteria Criteria Used to Evaluate If a Product Is
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
that they use to identify the green products that they have Green (According to All Respondents in 2008,
specified or installed.The same question, with largely the 2012 and 2015)
same options, was asked in the 2008 and 2012 studies. Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
Study participants were asked to select the sources of Most Relied Upon Sources of Information on
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH DATA
information about green building trends that they rely Green Building (According to All Respondents)
on most. This question was also asked in the 2008 and Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
activity, injury, access to healthy food, air and water quality, climate change
effects, mental health, strength of social fabric and equity of access to livelihood,
education and resourcesall rise and fall with the form and functioning of
urban neighborhoods, now home to a majority of the worlds population.
G
lobally, the urban Health at the University of Washington, urban growth is occurring, such as
population is increasing suggests three categories. Lagos, Jakarta, Mumbai and myriad
by about 70 million per The first category comprises smaller cities. Here, population
year, with most growth cities in which sustainability is an growth often overwhelms the
occurring in low- and middle-income established priority, and health citys capacity to provide basic
cities in Africa and Asia, followed factors play an explicit role. infrastructure, and poorer residents
by Latin America. For design and Curitiba, Brazil, and, more recently, suffer mightily. In Mumbai, for
building projects in these cities, Bogota, Colombia, provide well- example, informal settlements
health is often the strongest driver known examples. Exemplifying accommodate more than half of
for change. this categorys shared focus on the citys 11 million residents on
sustainability and health is Bogotas 8% of its area with no municipal
The Health Effect innovative public transportation services. Exemplifying a health-
When we stand in front of network: the citys 300-kilometer driven project in this category is
a community, and present five bike path network and separated, Mumbais Slum Sanitation Program,
strategies to boost their income, high-capacityrapid transit bus in which two- and three-story
or put their place on the map, says system have together reduced fuel community-maintained toilet blocks
Sheba Ross, a senior urban planner consumption and greenhouse gas provide sanitary facilities to reduce
and architect with HKS, who has emissions, improved air quality disease transmission; more than
worked with communities in Asia, and traffic safety, increased the that, many of these buildings also
the Middle East, Africa and North accessibility of the citys jobs and serve as community centers where
America, we get maybe 50% to 60% services, promoted physical activity, people can take a class or hold
of their interest. But when we say, and provided a model emulated by a meeting.
Here are five strategies to improve other highly congested cities.
your childrens health and the health The second category comprises Act Locally
of your community, we get their new eco-cities being cut from Within these general categories,
rapt attention. whole cloth in Asia and the Middle the health opportunities of any
The strength of health as a East, and whose sustainability building project will be unique,
driver of environmental change aspirations often incorporate health and a variety of frameworks for
can be expected to increase even priorities by corollary. Tianjin identifying and maximizing them
further as a health, well-being and Eco-City provides an example of are now available. These range
productivity campaign, now in the walking paths, green spaces, from informal yet effective
development at the World Green renewable energies and relatively community consultations to
Building Council, builds momentum. clean air that characterize these new formal and comprehensive health
cities. Prone to controversy, delay impact assessments.
Getting a Handle on and outright cancellation, however, Its important to find out
Urban Health cities in this well-intentioned what health factors are significant
To get a handle on the role of health category affect only a small portion in each community, and to make
in planning and building in low- of the worlds urban population. our design relevant to the health
and middle-income cities, Howard The third category comprises data, says Ross. And to do that
Frumkin, dean of the School of Public the cities where most of the worlds every chance we have. n
What are the biggest global WILLS: Green building is playing businesses and civil society.
challenges for green building? a critical role in the development Buildings Day at the COP21 in Paris in
WILLS: We face great hurdles when of many emerging economies, December launched a Global Alliance
it comes to renovating the existing particularly as their populations grow for Buildings and Construction: 18
[building] stock. In London, UK ... and create a pressing need for a countries and over 60 organizations
80% of buildings we have now will more sustainable built environment. representing thousands of
still exist in 2050, and the building India, for example, already has businesses will work together to
stock must be renovated to become the worlds second biggest green meet country emissions reduction
green. This is why WorldGBCs building footprint ... And thats just targets through green building.
European Regional Network has todaytwo thirds of the buildings And third, the increasing
launched the Build Upon Projectthe that will exist in India in 2030 are yet awareness of the link between green
worlds largest program of strategies to be built, so there is an enormous building and health and well-being
for deep retrofit, with 13 GBCs and opportunity to get buildings is leading to an increased demand
WorldGBC receiving 2.35m of right from the start and prevent for green building by owners and
support from the European Unions greenhouse gas emissions being occupiers. Our Better Places for
Horizon 2020 program to address this locked in for future generations. People project is a great example
major retrofit challenge. Socioeconomic development of how companies are looking for
in these countries is a top priority ways to better measure the health
As some countries begin ... Green Building Councils in the and well-being benefits of their own
to emerge from the global WorldGBC Americas, Middle East green buildings, and use this data to
recession, what do you think that North Africa, Africa and Asia-Pacific continuously improve the benefits of
will mean for green building? Regional Networks are focused their building to people.
WILLS: As economies strengthen on sustainable affordable housing,
around the world, we will see a great for example, which can bring not What is necessary for the future
shift toward buildings that benefit only environmental benefits, but of green building?
not only the environment, but also healthier homes, more jobs and WILLS: What is needed for that
peoplethe greatest asset of the happier communities. future is the same as what is needed
worlds most advanced companies. todayleadership from companies,
Workers from the Millenial What gives you the greateast countries, cities to adopt ambitious
generation are demanding [that] their optimism about the future of the goals and plans ... We have seen
employers provide green buildings green building movement? with the COP21 that even before
because of the value they place on WILLS: Three key developments the countries signed on the dotted
environmental responsibility, [and] indicate a turning point in green line, major companies like Saint-
because they are also happier and building. The first is the Paris Gobain, Philips, Lend Lease, City
healthier places to work. I believe Agreement. The implementation of Developments Limited and so
well see green building as an this treaty, signed by 195 nations, will many more put forward ambitious
essential benefit to employees as only be possible with green building commitments to decarbonize. The
companies compete for top talent. becoming business-as-usual. market signals sent by companies
Second, and related, is that we are like these will unleash a green
What influence does green have seeing an unprecedented level of building innovation the likes of which
in developing countries? collaboration between governments, have never been seen before. n
The 2015 World Green Building WGBC also invited Green Building Types of Firms
WORLD GREEN BUILDING TRENDS 2016: DEVELOPING MARKETS ACCELERATE GLOBAL GREEN GROWTH
Trends study was conducted to members to forward the survey Dodge Data & Analytics, 2016
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:
The authors wish to thank our premier sponsor United Technologies for
their vision and commitment that made this report possible. We would
also like to thank Saint-Gobain, US Green Building Council (USGBC) and
Dodge Data & Analytics
the Regenerative Network for all of their support for this effort.
Main Website : construction.com
Dodge : construction.com/dodge We thank our research partners for helping to distribute the survey,
Research & Analytics : including the American Institute of Architects (AIA), Architects Council
construction.com/dodge/ of Europe (ACE EU), Autodesk, the BIM Hub, Chartered Institute of
dodge-market-research.asp Buildings (CIOB), International Federation of Consulting Engineers
Sweets : sweets.com (FIDIC) and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). In
SmartMarket Reports : particular, we appreciate the participation of the World Green Building
analyticsstore.construction.com Council and all oftheir affiliate national green building councils that
actively promoted the survey to their members.
SmartMarket Report
www.construction.com
Research Partners