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Non-Linear Regression using Excel Solver

Fit a concrete shrinkage data to a non-linear equation:


In the current Australian Standard Code for concrete structures
the drying shrinkage is given by:
csd = k1k4csd.b
Where csd.b is the basic drying shrinkage, k4 is a factor related to
environmental conditions, and k1 is a factor related to the thickness
of the section and the time since commencement of drying.
The table below shows the results of fitting k1 data to two alternative
equations, using the Excel Solver:
k1calc.1 = A*LN(T*B)-C*T-D*Th
k1calc.2 = (A+B*exp(C*Th))*T^D/(T^E + F * Th)

k1calc.1 factors k1calc.2 factors


A 0.14797 A 0.80984
B 31.85994 B 1.20164
C 1.7881E-05 C -5.04720E-03
D 1.9936E-03 D 0.79627
E 0.79681
F 0.14911

Thickness, Time,
Th T k1 k1calc.1 0.3316044 k1calc.2 1.11E-005
100 10 0.452379 0.6533622225 0.0403944 0.4535519 1.38E-006
100 20 0.645904 0.7557493166 0.0120659 0.6466267 5.22E-007
100 40 0.856301 0.8579575988 2.75E-006 0.8565317 5.34E-008
100 80 1.053374 0.959808257 0.0087546 1.0533333 1.68E-009
100 160 1.213822 1.0609436673 0.0233718 1.2137953 7.05E-010
100 320 1.330192 1.1606485819 0.0287449 1.3303264 1.81E-008
100 640 1.407705 1.2574925048 0.0225637 1.4079701 7.04E-008
100 1280 1.45645 1.3486144445 0.0116285 1.4567155 7.06E-008
100 2560 1.486004 1.4282924178 0.0033306 1.4861186 1.32E-008
100 5120 1.503527 1.4850824583 0.0003402 1.5033605 2.76E-008
100 10240 1.513779 1.4960966332 0.0003127 1.5132344 2.97E-007
200 10 0.21573 0.4540062233 0.0567757 0.2162991 3.24E-007
200 20 0.332754 0.5563933174 0.0500144 0.3330124 6.66E-008
200 40 0.483346 0.6586015996 0.0307144 0.4830992 6.10E-008
200 80 0.653108 0.7604522578 0.0115229 0.6523651 5.51E-007
200 160 0.818147 0.8615876681 0.0018871 0.8171681 9.59E-007
200 320 0.957051 0.9612925827 1.80E-005 0.9561615 7.91E-007
200 640 1.060459 1.0581365056 5.39E-006 1.0598384 3.85E-007
200 1280 1.130622 1.1492584453 0.0003473 1.1302568 1.33E-007
200 2560 1.175284 1.2289364186 0.0028786 1.1750449 5.70E-008
200 5120 1.202567 1.2857264591 0.0069154 1.2022993 7.19E-008
200 10240 1.218818 1.296740634 0.0060719 1.2183853 1.87E-007
400 10 0.091576 0.0552942249 0.0013163 0.0920106 1.89E-007
400 20 0.14894 0.157681319 7.64E-005 0.1493241 1.48E-007
400 40 0.232637 0.2598896012 0.0007427 0.2328329 3.82E-008
400 80 0.343508 0.3617402594 0.0003324 0.3434095 9.74E-009
400 160 0.472972 0.4628756697 0.0001019 0.4726377 1.12E-007
400 320 0.603639 0.5625805842 0.0016858 0.6033278 9.67E-008
400 640 0.717485 0.6594245071 0.003371 0.7175016 2.84E-010
400 1280 0.804646 0.7505464469 0.0029267 0.8051446 2.49E-007
400 2560 0.864999 0.8302244202 0.0012093 0.8659392 8.84E-007
400 5120 0.90394 0.8870144607 0.0002865 0.9051673 1.51E-006
400 10240 0.927933 0.8980286356 0.0008943 0.9292703 1.79E-006
Shrinkage Coefcient
1.6

1.4

1.2

1 T=1
00
T=2
0.8
00
T=4
0.6
00
T=1
0.4 00

0.2

0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Time, Days
Shrinkage Coefcient

1.6

1.4

1.2

1 T=1
00
T=2
0.8
00
T=4
0.6
00
T=1
0.4 00

0.2

0
10 100 1000 10000 100000
Time, Days
Shrinkage Coefcient
1.6

1.4

1.2

T=1 1
00
T=2
0.8
00
T=4
00 0.6
T=1
00 0.4

0.2

0
2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Time, Days
Shrinkage Coefcient

1.6

1.4

1.2

T=1 1
00
T=2 0.8
00
T=4
0.6
00
T=1
00 0.4

0.2

0
00000 10 100 1000 10000 100000
Time, Days
T=1
00
T=2
00
T=4
00
T=1
00

10000 12000

T=1
00
T=2
00
T=4
00
T=1
00

000 100000

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