Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
- -
-
) // // (//
.
.
D
.
.
.
SI
IEEE-RTS .
:
of
.
Gen. 1
ive
Reliable and
] .[1
Gen.2 Adequate Trans.
Load
& Dis. systems
. 1
Gen.n
] .[2 HLI
ch
:
.
. HLII HLI
Ar
]:[3
HLIII
.
) (HLI
3
) (MCS ) (1
.
.
2
.
Email: haghifam@modares.ac.ir , : , : * :
www.SID.ir
] [4-8
. .
] [13
.
12 .
] [14 : 4 5
13 7
6
. ] .[9
.
.
D
]:[9
.
] [15
SI
of
.
- . 8 .
ive
. .
14 . ] [10
ch
] [16 )
(
. .
Ar
9
] [11
15
. 10
.
. ] [12
.
)
( 11
.
) ( .
.
www.SID.ir
.....
.
FC VC TC 16
= AFC = , AVC = , ATC
Q Q Q .
)(2
23
.
.
.
TC VC
= MC =
Q Q
)(3 .
D
.
.
.
P
SI
.
. n
of
24
Q
:
TR= P.Q
)(4 . n
ive
.
ch
] .[9 ].[17
.
Ar
25.
: 17
) 26 18 .19
27
(
. ) (5 .
].[18
f 0 HR .
= AVFC0
1000 .
)(5 TC = FC + VC
)(1
21 20
22
www.SID.ir
D
Installed Capacity Peak Demand
= RM % 100 .
Peak Demand
SI
)(8
29 30HHI ) (9
].[9
].[21
of
q
2
= HHI i
M
)(
ive
qi
] .[19
.
) ( ) 10000
.
( .
ch
HHI 1000
) (Pg
. 1000 1800
Ar
1800
].[22
.
) (
. n ) (6 .
31 Pg i = Pg 0 i (1 + i ) n ; i NG
)(6
. ) (e
) (d
n :
www.SID.ir
.....
] .[9 ] .[23
) (3 P=a-b.Q .
. ) (10 .
]P [mills / kWh dQ 1
| = Ed =|
dP b
)(10
Demand Curve
Total Offer Curve
Qn Qn
a
= . Qn
b
D
) (11 .
Qn Q
]Q [kW = P = a b.Q = b.Qn b.Q
:3 . Ed Ed
) (LOLE
SI )(
0/1 -0/2 2 3 0/3 -0/7
10 20 ) (2 ].[23
of
) (4
0.8
: 0.7
0.7
0.6
.1 .
Price ela sticity of de m an d
ive
0.5
0.5
.2 0.4
0.2
. 0.1
0.00001
0.15
ch
0
.3 0 2.5 15 20
:2
Ar
.
.4 ) (3
] [0-1 .
32
.
Qn
. ) (11
n ) (12 .
Qn (1 + ) n Q
. =p
Ed Ed
)(12
.
) (3
.5
) (12
www.SID.ir
:
.1 ) (
. ) ( .
.2 LOLE
10000 . .
.3 .6 2 5 LOLE
) .
( ) %9 %4/8 %0
( %13 . CALCULATE TOTAL OFFER
CURVE OF POWER PLANTS
.4
%3/4 %3/34
. CALCULATE DEMAND CURVE
D
FOR A DAY IN MCS
.5
%4 %1 .
)
( .
%1
SI SELECT POWER PLANTS FOR
GENERATION IN SELECTED DAY
CALCULATE AVAILABLE
of
. GENERATED POWER USING SELECTED
PLANTS FOR
.6
IEEE-RTS
CALCULATE LOLE FOR EACH
.
ive
ITERATION IN MCS
N
CONVERGENCE
ch
.
Y
CALCULATE FINAL LOLE
) (4 LOLE
Ar
:4
) (5 . .
][D a ys / Se co n d h a lf o f ye a r
100
80
60
L OL E
40
20
0
0 5 10 IEEE- RTS ].[24
RM=0% 77.49 35.53 25.88
63.52 33.18 23.84
RM=4.8%
RM=9% 49.9 22.01 23.58 HHI 634
RM=13% 37.35 31.72 22.28
Future years . 1000
.
:5 LOLE
) ( .
www.SID.ir
.....
) (
.
. ) (4
) (4 LOLE LOLE
) (6
) (8 . .
][D a ys / Se co n d h alf o f ye a r
][D a ys / S e co n d h a lf o f ye a r
100 150
80
100
60
LOL E
L OL E
D
40
50
20
0 0
0 5 10 0 5 10
SI
RM=0% 77.5 35.24 23.95 RM=0% 123.96 65.92 50.43
RM=4.8% 63.77 35.03 23.8 RM=4.8% 109.11 64.37 46.95
RM=9% 50.76 32.34 23.35 RM=9% 94.09 62.13 46.82
RM=13% 38.89 29.87 22.59 RM=13% 77.75 57.67 45.48
Future years Future years
of
:8 LOLE :6 LOLE
) O&M (. ) ( .
ive
ch
. %6/68
. )(4
LOLE
Ar
) (7 .
][D a ys / S e co n d h a lf o f ye a r
. 100
80
60
L OL E
40
20
LOLE .
0
0 5 10
.
RM=0% 76.35 44.55 44.38
RM=4.8% 64.97 44.01 42.79
RM=9% 49.27 41.88 41.28
RM=13% 36.84 38.89 37.87
. :7 LOLE
) (.
www.SID.ir
.
LOLE )
: ( LOLE.
.1 LOLE
. LOLE
.2 .
. .
) (7
D
:TC )(mills/h LOLE
:FC )(mills/h
:VC )(mills/h
:ATC )(mills/kWh
:AFC )(mills/kWh
SI .
) (5 ) (8
of
:AVC )(mills/kWh
:MC )(mills/kWh
:TR )(mills/h ) (
:Q )(kW LOLE
ive
:P )(mills/kWh
:f0 .
)(mills/GJ IEEE-RTS
ch
:HR )(kJ/kWh
:AVFC0
)(mills/kWh .
Ar
:Pg )(kW
:Pg0 )(kW .
: )(%
: )(%
:NG
.
:e )(%
:d )(%
:RM )(%
:Ed ) ( kW 2 h / mills
-
:Qn )(kW
.
:LOLE )
(
www.SID.ir
.....
(mills/kWh) :a :FOR
( mills / kW 2 h ) :b Hirschman-Herfindahl :HHI
i : qi
:M
1 - Billinton, R. and Allan, R. (1996). Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems. Second Ed. PP. 1, Plenum press,
New York.
2 - Billinton, R. and Allan, R. (1996). Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems. Second Ed. PP. 10, Plenum
press, New York.
3 - Billinton, R. and Allan, R. (1992). Reliability Evaluation of Engineering Systems. Second Ed. PP. 372,
Plenum press, New York.
D
4 - Energy Information Administration (EIA), (1996). The changing structure of the electric power industry: An
update, DOE/EIA-0562(96), Washington DC.
SI
5 - Energy Information Administration (EIA), (1996). Electric sales and revenue, DOE/EIA-0450(96),
Washington DC.
6 - Office of Gas and Electricity Market (OFGEM), Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), (2000). An
overview of the New Electricity Trading Arrangement (NETA). V. 1, England.
of
7 - Office of Gas and Electricity Market (OFGEM), DTI, (2001). News release, New electricity market goes
live. England.
8 - http://www.ks.dk/publikationer/konkurrence/ 2003/nordisk.
9 - Pindyck, Robert, S.and Rubinfeld, D. L. (2001). Microeconomics. Fifth Ed. Prentice Hall, USA.
ive
10 - Ding, Yi. et al (2007). "Reliability assessment of restructured power systems using reliability network
equivalent and pseudo- sequential simulation techniques." Electr. Power Syst. Res., doi:10.1016/j.epsr.
2006.11.010.
ch
11- Jaeseok Choi, Hongsik Kim, Junmin Cha, and Roy Billinton, (2001). "Nodal probabilistic congestion and
reliability evaluations of a transmission system under the deregulated electricity market." 2001 IEEE Power
engineering society summer meeting, PP. 497-502.
Ar
12 - Peng Wang, and Billinton, R. (2003). "Implementation of non-uniform reliability in a deregulated power
market." 2003 IEE Proc.-Gener. Transm. Distrib., Vol. 150, No. 5, PP. 857- 861.
13 - Satoru Niioka, and Ryuichi Yokoyama, (2004). "Supply reliability cost assessment in a generation market."
Electrical power and energy systems, Vol. 26, PP. 317-323.
14 - Zuwei Yu, Nderitu, G. and Smardo, F. (2000). "A proposed LOSBE as a generation reliability index for
deregulated electricity markets." IEEE Power Engineering Society Winter Meeting, Vol. 3, PP. 1820-1834.
15 - Meziane, R. et al. (2005). "Reliability optimization using ant colony algorithm under performance and cost
constrainnts." Electric power systems research, Vol. 76, PP. 1-8.
16 - Ding, Yi and Peng Wang. (2006). "Reliability and price risk assessment of restructured power systems with
hybrid market structure." IEEE Transactions on power systems, Vol. 21, No. 1, PP. 108-116.
17 - Billinton, R. and Allan, R. (1992). Reliability Evaluation of Engineering Systems. Second Ed. Chapter 13,
Plenum press, New York.
www.SID.ir
18 - International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), (1984). Expansion planning for electrical generating systems.
Chapter 6, IAEA, Vienna.
19 - http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi ?article=1018&context=iber/cpc.
20 - International Energy Agency (IEA), (2002). Security of supply in electricity markets- Evidence and policy
issues. Chapter 2, IEA, France.
21 - International Energy Agency (IEA), (2003). The Power to Choose- Demand Response in Liberalized
Electricity Markets. PP. 54, IEA, France.
22 - http://www.ks.dk/publikationer/konkurrence/ 2003/ nordisk/kap03.
23 - International Energy Agency (IEA), (2003). The Power to Choose- Demand Response in Liberalized
Electricity Markets. PP. 21, IEA, France.
24 - IEEE- Reliability Test System (IEEE- RTS). IEEE Trans. Power Apparatus Syst.,Vol. Pas-98, No.6, PP.
2047-2054.
www.SID.ir