Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
March 10, 2017, 12:59 AM IST Economic Times in The Speaking Tree | Edit Page, Li
festyle | ET
By: SADHGURU JAGGI VASUDEV
The term yoga , for many, means physical postures, and that too twisted, impossible
ones. But that s not what we re referring to as yoga. Yoga means to be in perfect t
une. Your body mind, spirit and existence are in absolute harmony. When you fine
-tune yourself to such apoint where everything functions beautifully within you,
the best of your abilities will just flow out of you.
When you re happy, your energies always function better. In fact, when you re happy,
you have endless energy. Even if you don t eat or sleep, it doesn t matter you can
go on and on. So, just knowing a little happiness liberates you from your normal
limitations of energy and capability. Yoga is the science of activating your in
ner energies in such a way that your body, mind and emotions function at their h
ighest peak.
When your body and mind function in a completely different state of relaxation a
nd a certain level of bliss, you can be released from most suffering. You come t
o your office, and you have a nagging headache.
The throbbing pain takes away everything. But with the practice of yoga, your bo
dy and mind will be kept at their highest possible peak.
There is a whole technology of applying this energy for higher possibilities. Ea
ch one of us must explore and know this.
Otherwise, life becomes limited and accidental; you get to do only what you re exp
osed to. Once you start activating your inner energies, your capabilities happen
in a different sphere altogether Yoga is a tool to find ultimate expression to
life.
Banking the unbanked: Is the NDA govt s flagship initiative Jan Dhan Yojana bearin
g fruit on the ground?
March 9, 2017, 2:00 AM IST Pulak Ghosh in TOI Edit Page | Edit Page, India | TOI
Sumit Agarwal, Shashwat Alok, Pulak Ghosh, Soumya Ghosh, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit
Seru
There is a big debate about the role of financial markets and products in shapin
g consumer welfare and real economic activity. In developed economies, there is
an increasing discussion that financial sector may have become inefficiently lar
ge and products offered to households may have become excessively complex. In co
ntrast, in many developing countries, like India, there has been a significant p
ush to increase the usage of financial products to complete the market. While ther
e is some empirical literature on the former, evidence on the latter is scant.
To address this we conducted an extensive scientific study of the largest outrea
ch programme in the world, the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (JDY). JDY was lau
nched in India on 28 August 2014, with the objective of providing banking servic
es to a large proportion of the unbanked population in India.
Our study has two modest objectives. First, we document the initial uptake and s
ubsequent usage of banking services that includes a savings account, overdraft f
acilities, and insurance benefits by the unbanked targeted by the programme. Sec
ond, we exploit the regional variation in pre-JDY financial access to explore ho
w expanding access to financial services is related to broader outcomes such as
lending, GDP growth, and consumer prices.
Several economic theories predict that financial inclusion programmes can direct
ly benefit lower income households at the micro level through savings, spending,
and reduction in transaction costs. What does the evidence say? We begin by doc
umenting substantial outreach of the programme that led to 255 million formerly
unbanked individuals getting access to formal banking services by November 2016.
About 77% of the new accounts maintain a positive balance with the average mont
hly balance of Rs 482, which is about 60% of the rural poverty line in India.
Overall, our micro-evidence suggests that there was substantial uptake by househ
olds under JDY. Moreover, both savings and transactions go up over time for indi
viduals banked under the programme. This evidence is consistent with learning by
individuals that results in an increase in usage over time as they gain familia
rity with banking services. The initial usage is also more frequent among marrie
d account holders.
We also note that financial inclusion programmes such as JDY can also have broad
er regional implications through at least two channels. First, such a programme
could allow new capital to come into the formal banking system by means of new d
eposits, relaxing the capital constraints. This would allow banks to increase le
nding to their clients.
Second, information asymmetry between new customers and lenders or other costs i
n acquiring new customers may imply that a programme like JDY may allow banks to
meet the unmet demand for credit for some households. To the extent that this i
ncrease in credit is large, one would see such programmes stimulating local econ
omic growth through increased consumption, investments, and employment.
To investigate such broader effects, we exploit spatial (regional) variation in
implementation of this programme to explore how access to consumer savings accou
nts is related to broader economic outcomes such as lending and local GDP growth
. To do this, we construct four pre-programme measures of JDY exposure that refl
ect the number of adults per branch in a region, the fraction of branches owned
by the state-owned banks in a region, the percentage of unbanked households in a
region, and a comprehensive index capturing the degree of financial inclusion i
n a region.
In districts with high ex-ante exposure to JDY, using aggregate data provided by
the central bank of India, we observe an increase in aggregate lending in areas
with greater ex-ante JDY exposure. We verify these effects are present in our m
icro data and find an increase in both the number of new loans granted and the a
mount of loans granted in regions with greater JDY exposure relative to those wi
th lower exposure. Our findings suggest that JDY may have allowed banks to meet
the unmet demand for credit for some households that did not have prior access t
o formal banking products.
We also examine the impact of JDY on a number of other macroeconomic outcomes at
the regional level. Here we do not observe an economically significant change i
n the GDP growth rate in more affected areas. However, given our near-term focus
due to the short time series of data, it is possible that the overall impact of
the programme on GDP growth rate will manifest itself over the longer term.
We do find some evidence suggesting that the programme was associated with an in
crease in investments, though the data underlying this test is very limited. Imp
ortantly, we do not observe any significant relative change in the inflation rat
e in more exposed areas. This suggests that one of the common concerns that the
programme may have led to substantially higher price level due to a higher circu
lation of money and creation of additional demand may be unwarranted, at least i
n the near term.
Overall, our research has shown that a financial inclusion programme like the JD
Y can have a very meaningful impact on the number of households using formal ban
king services. Our results also suggest that JDY has led banks to cater to the n
ew demand for formal banking credit by previously unbanked borrowers, which coul
d have a positive impact on the broader economy in the long run.
Authors affiliation is as follows: Agarwal, Georgetown University; Alok, Indian S
chool of Business; Pulak Ghosh, IIM Bangalore; Soumya Ghosh, State Bank of India
; Piskorski, Columbia University; Seru, Stanford University.
GST is the super expressway India must take to become an economic superpower
March 11, 2017, 12:18 AM IST Economic Times in ET Commentary | Economy, India |
ET
By Sachin Bansal
Almost 20 years ago, a pathbreaking infrastructure project that connected India
like never before took off. In more ways than one, the Golden Quadrilateral high
way network has contributed in a major way to our economy through increased trad
e, mobility and accessibility. This month, the blueprints of an expressway just
as important, if not more, may finally become a reality. The new highway goes be
yond the Golden Quadrilateral.
This not just connects major cities but reaches the entire country, every nook a
nd corner, and touches every single person within. Enter the goods and services
tax (GST).
The GST is nothing short of a super expressway with the power to create anationa
l market that works equally well for farmers in villages, families and businesse
s in small towns, and youngsters in corporate India. The problem is that the tol
l gates are down.
As Parliament meets for the second phase of the Budget session this month, legis
lations that bring the GST into effect must be in the forefront. It s no longer ju
st desirable but imperative if India is to emerge from the present global econom
ic rut as a more powerful and equitable economy. Already, there are major headwi
nds for the world economy from the US and Europe to larger emerging economies, a
nd the failure to pass the GST this session would release a deluge of ambiguitie
s towards consumers, businesses and investors.
It is commendable that the central and state governments have ironed out the fin
al few remaining details over the past few days. By all indications, the July 1
launch date will be met. GST is one of those rare economic reforms that enjoys m
ultipartisan support and has been worked upon by successive governments.
It is also reflective of the follies of current indirect taxes, with over a doze
n central and state levies choking interstate trade, and have led to imprecise c
lassification of products and services, high cost of compliance and the cascadin
g effect on prices from taxes on taxes. The value added tax (VAT), introduced in
2005, intended to fix many of those ills. But it achieved little in its diluted
, uneven form with states setting their own rules and rates.
SMEs Place Under the Sun
With the GST, we have the chance to relegate all of that to history. A product c
an then move from Kashmir to Kanyakumari without fear of double taxation or havi
ng to comply with state-by-state tax laws. Producers will find it easier to main
tain accounts as it s all digital, and consumers eventually benefit from lower, un
iform prices across the country.
The entry restrictions we face for e-commerce goods in over a dozen states will
also be a thing of the past. In fact, the tax predictability will add to million
s of formal jobs, besides raising productivity, output and consumption all posit
ive factors that could raise GDP by around 2 percentage points.
India s destiny lies in services, domestic consumption and small and medium enterp
rises (SMEs), unlike China s manufacturing and exports-fuelled growth. With the GS
T, SMEs can hope for a boost to their business. They can scale up without fears
of tax complexity or predatory regulation.
They can even hire more and pay more wages as the tax incidence reduces. SMEs ar
e our best bet if we have to empower millions of our youngsters to find work and
lift millions more from the clutches of extreme poverty.
So, government policies must work in their favour, even if SMEs lack a collectiv
e voice or tend to yield low bargaining power.
To that end, the provision of tax collected at source (TCS) actually works again
st SMEs that want to expand by selling online. It mandates that online marketpla
ces not traditional, offline retailers must deduct a percentage of the amount pa
yable to sellers and remit it to the government, which sellers can claim credit
for at a later stage.
While the decision to cap TCS at 1% is a welcome move, the provision in itself t
hrows up new challenges for SMEs, especially those operating on thin margins.
Besides, TCS chips away at one of the GST s core principles: that it would be indu
stry-agnostic. TCS also counters GoI s digitisation drive.
If, for example, a mobile shop owner in Ludhiana sells a phone screen guard wort
h Rs 100 through an e-marketplace, the GST draft law states that Rs 1 should be
withheld from the seller as TCS. However, if he has only earned Rs 5 from the sa
le, implying a notunusual 5% margin, the TCS freezes 20% of his working capital.
Multiply that by crores of rupees and the number is staggering.
The Tax Trap
TCS is not only a disincentive for sellers to move online, making a part of thei
r operations formal with clear audit trails, it also wrongly assumes they favour
tax evasion when selling online. If the objective is to increase compliance, th
e 1% rate can arguably be pruned down to 0.25%. That would be equally effective.
The next phase of the country s growth is likely to come from the millions of SMEs
closer to real India . By empowering SMEs through a favourable GST, we can reach t
he levels of society that are yet to reap the benefits of globalisation.
Who tucks children into bed? This International Women s Day, let s talk about men an
d how much care work they (don t) do
March 8, 2017, 2:13 AM IST Antara Ganguli in TOI Edit Page | Edit Page | TOI
We need to talk about men. Women need to talk about men and men need to talk abo
ut men. Children need to start seeing men. Outside schools waiting to pick them
up, in doctors chambers on sick days, at football grounds and dance studios, walk
ing them to the park every day and tucking them into bed every night.
We need to see more men in kitchens. We need to see more men with mops. We need
to see more men with toddler puke on their shirts, hair greasy and eyes shadowed
. We need to talk about men on International Women s Day because until men inhabit
women s worlds we will never stop having the need for an International Women s Day.
For centuries women have fought for the right to inhabit paid, public worlds tha
t still belong to men. Women are now in space and in boardrooms, we head univers
ities, laboratories, battalions, surgical teams and UN agencies (although not th
e UN).
Women are outnumbering men in colleges and universities around the world. Often
there are only a few of us and at decision-making levels, men-only discussions a
re often still the norm. But we are there. We are no longer invisible.
Illustration: Chad Crowe
But in this time, men have barely stepped into the domestic, unpaid worlds that
remain the realm of women. Ask a pre-school teacher how many fathers come at noo
n to pick up children. Ask geriatric doctors how often their weekday waiting roo
ms fill with sons. See how many detergent advertisements feature men. Women are
taking up men s work but men are not taking up women s work. Not enough men and not
enough of the work.
The men who are stepping in are bitter about the low value and power of private,
unpaid work. A friend who is a primary caregiver for his toddler said that his
friends assume he is still looking for a real job. Another friend said he feels le
ss valued as a man because of his caregiving. These men are finding out that in
the race to gather assets and power (that is public, paid work), absence hurts.
Unlike these two men, women often don t even notice it.
When i asked a group of 17-year-old girls and boys in a village in Telangana if
their lives were equal they all nodded enthusiastically.
On further questioning it turned out that the girls wake up at four thirty in th
e morning to fetch water, chop vegetables, cook breakfast and lunch, pack lunch
and get a younger sibling ready for school. The boys wake up at seven. Forget ab
out counting the extra two and a half hours of sleep the boys get, the girls did
not even count the two and a half hours of work they do.
Beyond the moral imperative of gender equality, we need men to take on care work
for many reasons. First, they need to take on care work so that we are not lyin
g to girls when we tell them that they can be anything which we never qualify by
adding that they can do anything while also doing the dishes and staying up all
night with a teething child.
Men are often surprised by women s bitterness. Perhaps they do not see the dissona
nce we face as adults between the dreams we were sold as children and the lives
we now live, where we stay up nights, like our grandmothers and mothers before u
s, wondering what to tell our daughters. (The clever ones tell their sons.)
Second, we are losing out on half the population learning to nurture, learning t
o empathise, learning to love the feeling of caring for the vulnerable. If fathe
ring is socially reproduced in the same way that mothering is, it is not unimagi
nable that the wars of the world would diminish and the peacekeeping tables grow
larger, more diverse and more successful.
Finally, changing gender norms for men would lend greater mass to questions on t
he growing encroachment of livelihoods into lives. Many women choose to take time
off not to or not only to bring up a child but to enjoy life more than they did
in an office.
When men take time off too or at least demand different modes of contributing to
an economy, the employers of the world will be more likely to sit up and take n
otice, not just because of numbers but because it will no longer be reductive to
biology.
There will come a day when work and the power and happiness associated with work
is not gendered. When i do not worry what it means for my next job interview th
at the woman who had the role previously, quit after having children. When all-m
en meetings happen in pre-schools between teachers and parents and no one notice
s.
When poverty is not feminine and national censuses do not need to count women-he
aded households separately. When children can cry because they are children and
being strong is just holding on to the bars in the playground as long as you can.
None of this can happen without men doing a lot more than they currently do and
are currently allowed to do. I look forward to the day when International Women s
Day is like a national memorial of a freedom struggle against colonialism an imp
ortant reminder of a civilisational battle, fought and won and already history.
Spread the net: To radically expand internet access, Trai must make full use of
Wi-Fi networks
March 8, 2017, 2:00 AM IST TOI Edit in TOI Editorials | Edit Page, India, Tech |
TOI
Internet access can enable Indians to leapfrog stages in development. A good ind
icator of its growing importance is the promise of free access made by politicia
ns in Uttar Pradesh s elections ending today.
Given this backdrop, telecom regulator Trai needs to be complimented for catalys
ing a public debate over the last eight months on ways to enhance broadband pene
tration through wireless fidelity, or Wi-Fi, networks.
India s internet penetration is not only poor with less than 30% of the population
having access, it ranks poorly in terms of affordability. These problems can be
overcome if Trai creates a conducive environment for internet penetration.
Today, internet in India is accessed mostly through mobile phones. With the adve
nt of Wi-Fi enabled mobile phones, Wi-Fi networks have emerged as the most impor
tant source of getting Indians connected to internet. Wi-Fi networks have the ad
vantage of allowing many users to share the same internet connection.
Given these advantages, a Trai consultation paper has estimated that under some
assumptions cost per MB in Wi-Fi networks could be less than 2 paise, as compare
d to around 23 paise for data usage in cellular networks. Affordability lies at
the heart of any attempt to enhance internet access.
Trai s attempt to invite public participation in suggesting ideas to enhance acces
s has been underpinned by a broad description of public Wi-Fi networks.
The regulator is looking at not just traditional telecom and internet service pr
oviders, but also a new class of entrepreneurs who see an opportunity in providi
ng this service.
It is the right approach as competition has always worked in favour of customers
. It spurs innovation and eventually improves access.
But it is important that when Trai gives its recommendations on the subject, it
avoid a prescriptive approach. Access is best guaranteed when market forces prev
ail and regulators focus on protecting consumer interests.
The Narendra Modi government has made Digital India one of its focus areas and h
as pushed a transition to a less-cash economy. But if they are to be more than m
ere slogans, it is important to remove obstacles in the way of widening and deep
ening internet access in India.
In this context, Trai s recommendations will have salience and it is for the gover
nment to make necessary legal changes to actualise its slogans. When Wi-Fi techn
ology offers advantages, regulatory obstacles which prevent its rapid spread sho
uld be eliminated.
In praise of women
March 8, 2017, 12:38 AM IST Economic Times in The Speaking Tree | Edit Page | ET
By: Sumit Paul
Woman has been the primary source of intellectual inspiration for man. When Muha
mmad was disturbed by the divine voices echoing in his mind and doubted their au
thenticity, it was Khadija, his wife, who assured him that those voices were ind
eed from God. She was not only the first woman to embrace Islam but also the fir
st person to accept it from Muhammad.
When Edison was driven out of the school for being unintelligent , his mother knew
that her son was destined to become great he went on to become arguably the grea
test inventor of all time. Napoleon Bonaparte would have remained an ordinary so
ldier; his mother s faith in him made a diminutive man to become one of the greate
st military geniuses of warfare.
Interestingly, the Romans and Greeks preferred female soldiers. Alexander had an
army of female soldiers, who fought alongside men and were often better cavalie
rs. Roman historian Catallus observed that when women brandished swords as caval
iers sitting on horseback, they could control themselves better than men because
of their anatomical advantage. Cleopatra had female soldiers and female general
s in her army. She herself was a good swordswoman. Amazon is a Greek word for ex
pert fighter woman.
Closer home, Lakshmibai, Chandbibi of Ahmednagar, Razia Sultan and Chittoor s Quee
n Chenamma are examples of valiant female soldiers. Kalhan s Rajatrangini describe
s how the king of Kashmir had an army of women. He also had women philosophers i
n his court.
The problem is that the flaws tend to get magnified after a loss and overlooked
after a win. These problems had manifested themselves earlier during the series
against the England touring team and became very apparent at Pune.
Solar energy: Now is the time for India to catch the sun
March 7, 2017, 12:41 AM IST Economic Times in ET Commentary | Edit Page, India |
ET
By: Ashok Jhunjhunwala & Bhaskar Ramamurthi
The recent tenders for setting up and operating solar and wind power generation
farms show that the price of renewable power is now approaching that from greenf
ield coal-based power plants in India. It will not take too long for solar photo
voltaics to become the cheapest source of power.
But solar power is generated only during the day, that too intermittently. Simil
arly, wind power is generated during certain months and the power output also va
ries. If energy storage was inexpensive, one could have dealt with this intermit
tency by storing excess energy generated to be used when needed. Since grid-conn
ected energy storage continues to be very expensive, generated power needs to be
consumed instantly.
As the consumer demand for power also varies with time-of-day and season, there
is a problem of matching demand to supply, both of which vary independently. One
option would be to have excess capacity and get the non-renewable power generat
ors, which are under our control, to back off when needed. However, this strateg
y has to be adopted judiciously, as it will increase the cost of non-renewable p
ower.
Demand management, where the customer is incentivised to use more power when ava
ilable and consume less when there is a shortage, will help and will, indeed, be
come necessary. Smart buildings and factories will take us towards implementatio
n of demand management in time.
But what would really enable renewable power to become an unfettered dominant su
pplier is some kind of largescale storage. The electric vehicle (EV) is precisel
y such an application, where the cost of energy per km, including the cost of it
s storage, has to be only lower than the corresponding cost of a petroleum-based
vehicle, to be economically viable.
EVs use distributed storage. Growth of renewable energy in India, thus, has an E
V compulsion, as it requires EVs to grow in the country and provide the first la
rge-scale storage that the growth in renewables needs. In energy terms, if all v
ehicles in India were electric today, they would use up 15-20% of India s electric
ity generated.
The glasses are half full
If their batteries are charged intelligently, EVs could help overcome the interm
ittent nature of renewable-power generation. But are EVs in themselves economica
lly viable in India today? The EV needs batteries to store energy needed for its
operation. As battery prices fall steadily and the efficiency of motors grows t
o deliver higher mileage per unit of energy, there is a crossover point when EVs
with sufficient range per battery charge become a more cost-effective option th
an diesel, petrol or CNG based-vehicles. Left to itself, it may take three to fi
ve years for prices to fall enough in international markets for EVs configured f
or use abroad to emerge as a better alternative for consumers in India.
This, however, implies that India would be importing EV subsystems from the star
t, and it will be difficult to establish any kind of technology leadership. We m
ay later see local manufacturing of at least some of the subsystems. Nevertheles
s, there is the real possibility that the value of imports of EVs and EV subsyst
ems will match the oil import bill today and leave us no better off than today.
But there is another option towards large-scale EV adoption. The key elements of
EV technology are available today at the right prices for several types of vehi
cles widely used in the Indian market. With an innovative, coordinated and marke
t-oriented effort by industry and the government, certain EVs can be produced in
India today. Adoption can be rolled out rapidly in a fully market-driven manner
.
In these specific segments, India could attain a globally competitive leadership
position in three to five years. This effort will simultaneously encourage loca
l intellectual property (IP) generation and the manufacture of most EV subsystem
s or substantial parts of them. India can move towards substitution of oil impor
ts with locally produced energy and EVs including subsystems.
Apart from these intrinsic benefits of early adoption of EVs, it forces the simu
ltaneous growth of renewable energy production in India. This slew of reasons sh
ould drive us to single-mindedly pursue immediate efforts in a mission mode to e
nable early adoption of EVs in India.
Alaissez-faire attitude will negatively impact the indigenous manufacturing of I
ndia s future automobiles and subsystems as well as India s import bill. It will als
o slow down the integration of renewable energy sources into the grid at scale.
Jhunjhunwala is adviser, minister of power, coal, new and renewable energy, and
Ramamurthi is director, IIT-Madras
GDP slowdown in the third quarter has hit important sectors of industry and serv
ices very badly
March 2, 2017, 12:15 PM IST Pyaralal Raghavan in Minority View | Economy | TOI
The much awaited quarterly numbers on GDP growth has surprised many. Contrary t
o expectation of cynics the GDP slowdown has been marginal with growth moving do
wn from 7.9% in the third quarter of 2015-16 to 7.1% in the third quarter of thi
s year a decline of just a few decimal points rather than the massive slowdown a
nticipated.
And the advance estimates brought out earlier in the year has indeed projected a
slowdown in the second half of 2016-17 even without incorporating the impact of
demonetization which meant that third and fourth quarter growth had to be defin
itely below the 7.2% and 7.4% clocked in the firs two quarters of the year.
However, the numbers on growth of value added, which is the real income generate
d and exclusive of net taxes levied, indicates the slowdown has been even less s
evere with growth rates dipping from 7% in the third quarter of the last year to
jut 6.6% in the current year. However, more detailed investigations across sect
ors show that some of the most important sectors have been badly affected. One o
f the worst hit has been the manufacturing sector, where growth has slowed down
from 12.8% in the third quarter of the last year to 8.3% in the corresponding pe
riod of the current year, a huge decline of 4.5 percentage points.
This is significant given that almost a third of the output of the manufacturing
sector originated in the unorganised or informal sector which was worst hit by
the demonetization drive. The small production units with many workers working i
n households would have been unable to function with traders, dealers and other
intermediaries starved off cash.
The other major sectors affected include two of the three segments of the servic
es sector. Of this two the worst affected was financial, real estate and profess
ional services where growth slowed down 10.4% to 3.1% over the two quarters, whi
ch indicates a decline of more than 7 percentage points.
The fall in trade, hotels, transport and communication was slower with the growt
h decelerating by a little over 2 percentage points from 9.6% to 7.2% during the
period. However, in the case of public administration and defence growth accele
rated from 7.5% to 11.9% indicating that the government had boosted spending to
the maximum to minimize the impact of demonetization.
Other sectors affected are mining and quarrying and construction. With small sca
le mining and quarrying almost wholly in the unorganised sector it is no big sur
prise that the production was badly impacted in both segments. However, the impa
ct of this extensive deceleration in growth across major sectors has been neutra
lized to a large extent by the pick up in production in the electricity and gas
segment and in agriculture.
In the case of electricity and gas production picked up from 4.1% in the third q
uarter of the last year to 6.8% in the third quarter of the current year. But ev
en more impressive is the pick up in agriculture where the good monsoon has boos
ted production to pick up by 6% as against the 2.2 decline in the same period of
the previous year.
The sharp surge in agriculture output has come at the right time as it would hav
e boosted the income in the rural sector where most people reside. And given tha
t agriculture employs around half the population in employment the boost from ag
riculture would have been significant especially since it comes on the back of t
wo successive years of drought.
The impact of the good performance of the agriculture sector on the economy is e
vident from the consumption figures which show that the share of private consump
tion spending went up from 58.7% in the third quarter of 2015-16 to 60.7% in the
third quarter of 2016-17. The large government expenditure incurred including o
n the pay commission recommendations has pushed up share of government spending
and boosted growth from 10% to 11.2% during the period. So the major thing that
has saved the economy from a sharp slowdown in the third quarter is the higher c
onsumption spending by the households, following the boost to agriculture and ru
ral incomes, and the government both of which helped avert a more massive meltdo
wn.
ndia would do well to heed OECD s advice on comprehensive tax reforms to promote i
nclusive growth
March 2, 2017, 12:10 PM IST Pyaralal Raghavan in Minority View | Economy | TOI
The OECD s most recent report on India is profuse with praises on the achievements
in the economic sphere. Pointing out that India still remains the fastest growi
ng G20 economy the OECD report says that this can be attributed to a number of r
easons. The foremost among them are the acceleration of structural reforms, stri
cter adherence to a rule based framework, which is economic speak for less corru
ption, and low commodity prices.
However, the OECD does not baulk when it comes to the critique on the problems b
esotting the economy. In fact it ascribes the current investment slowdown to a h
ost of problems including the high corporate tax rates, non availability of adeq
uate amounts of land, stringent regulations, infrastructure bottlenecks, weak co
rporate balance sheets and high non performing assets of the banking sector.
Most importantly it also puts a big question mark on fiscal consolidation achiev
ements by pointing out that despite all tall claims the debt GDP ratio continues
to go up. So it calls for better fiscal management by going for sharper subsidy
reform to divert funds and increase allocations for social and physical infrast
ructure and also by increasing tax collections by mobilizing more resources from
personal income taxes and increasing property tax rates. It wants that energy a
nd water prices to reflect the economic costs and replace subsidies with targete
d financial support. However, it also wants that electricity and water infrastru
cture to be upgraded and their access improved to all sections.
Thus unlike the World Bank and IMF policies, which normally focused on cut in bo
th subsidies and tax rate, the OECD approach is more nuanced. While it recommend
s that subsidies be replaced with targeted financial benefits and corporate tax
rates reduced it also focuses on raising the tax GDP ratio. This it points out i
s due to the small number of tax payers and low property taxes.
Not only does the OECD study recommend higher property or real estate taxes for
better resource mobilization of the urban bodies but it also calls for removing
tax expenditure or tax exemptions that favor the rich. However, to prevent the c
ontinued exodus of income tax payers from the tax net it also wants the governme
nt to freeze the minimum income threshold at which taxes apply.
Other tax reforms recommended is the removal of uncertainty about tax rules whic
h frequently results in long drawn tax disputes. Other handicaps highlighted on
the tax front are the inadequate staffing of the tax administration and poor tra
ining levels which create additional hurdles for tax payers and also erodes tax
mobilization efforts. Such reforms would raise more revenues promote social equi
ty and help sub national government to respond better to local needs says the OE
CD and that is sound advice that the government should heed.
Sense and censortivity: The secret fantasy of the Central Bored of Film Certific
ation
March 2, 2017, 2:00 AM IST Bachi Karkaria in Erratica | Edit Page, Entertainment
, Humour, India | TOI
It was my secret desire to put on lipstick and throw away my burkha. But I ve obed
iently thrown away the first and modestly put on the second because the Central
Board of Film Certification has said stories cannot be lady oriented, their fanta
sy above life . Great faith I have in Censor-ji, trusting him sau taka to preserve
India s culture, traditions, morals, secular fabric and nozone layer. So, instead
of that dangerous film, I m settling down to watch another Prakash Jha production
, Pahlaj-lal Ke Haseen Sapne .
Yes-ji, this film is lady oriented , but, no-ji, it is not about any fantasy-mantas
y. Indian women don t even know how to spell that word; in fact their spelling is
almost as bad as Shri Nihalani s. But why bother about his spelling when he is so
good at dictation?
This pure-as-desi-ghee film opens with a wide angle shot of disgustingly modern
girls in offices, malls, pubs, etc. The camera sweeps over them, as frontal as a
male gaze; a remix of Choli ke peechhey throbs. Clever CG pixelates this image, a
nd a small figure emerges in slo-mo. It pans to reveal a woman. She wears a tigh
t martyred look. As the details emerge we see that she is in chains. No, no, not
those kinds of chains, buddhu. This is not some S&M film with contanious sex sce
nes .
She s not chained to a bed, but to a stove. You see, ladies exist only to satisfy
the appetites of men. Yes, yes, she can steam up some sex makkhanwala, so long a
s it s only the male who is getting the makkhan.
In Nihalani s earlier B Grade films, the buxom heroines cavorted khullam khulla wi
th leering heroes, and emerged from pools in revealing, clinging saris. But this
is the new, improving, washes-whitest Pahlaj-lal, remember. So, in his Haseen Sa
pne there s nothing revealing. Nothing except stupidity.
Mad-or-wot? After her stuff is done, his lady does not light a cigarette. In our
chaste arya-nari culture, there s no smoke without a censor s ire.
P.S. Nihilism, c.1900, found nothing to approve of in the established social ord
er. Nihalaniism, c. 2016, finds nothing to approve of in films that question the
established social order.
Is India Well? While health indicators improve, more needs to be done to shore u
p Indians health
March 2, 2017, 2:00 AM IST TOI Edit in TOI Editorials | Edit Page, India | TOI
India s health indicators have made significant improvements over the last decade.
Indices such as infant mortality are down while institutional deliveries and se
x ratio are up. Data gathered during the fourth phase of the National Family Hea
lth Survey show that even a state like Haryana has experienced a commendable cha
nge in its sex ratio at birth it went from 762 females per 1,000 males in 2005-0
6 to 836 females per 1,000 males in 2014-15. India s total fertility rate also dec
lined to 2.2 close to the replacement rate of 2.1 from 2.7 over the decade.
Add to this the increase in immunisation coverage across the country with almost
70% of children fully immunised, compared to 44% in 2005-06. There was also a s
ignificant 10% decline in stunting while the percentage of underweight children
reduced from 42.5% to 35.7% in eight years. All of this shows that even moderate
investments in the health sector backed by good policies such as the Universal
Immunisation Programme can make a significant difference to society. If current
standards of awareness and infrastructure can bump up institutional deliveries f
rom 38.7% to 78.9% over a decade, then imagine the positive output if the govern
ment outlay for health was made commensurate with global levels.
Government expenditure on healthcare is a little over 1% of GDP today. In contra
st, the world average healthcare outlay stands at 5.99%. While there does exist
quality private tertiary care in urban areas, public hospitals are poorly staffe
d, overburdened and saddled with inadequate infrastructure. The situation is wor
se in rural hamlets. This dichotomy has made access to healthcare expensive and
hugely cumbersome for the vast majority of the people. Add to this a shortage of
nearly five lakh doctors in the country. Thus, while progress in health indicat
ors is commendable, much more needs to be done to universalise access to quality
healthcare in India.
States have more autonomy than ever before, must stick to fiscal rules for their
own good
March 2, 2017, 1:00 AM IST Hema Ramakrishnan in Exchequer | Edit Page, India, po
litics | ET
Many Indian states will grapple with public finances as they present their annua
l budgets this spring. Top on the agenda of elected governments will be to spend
money to fulfil poll promises.
The list free electricity for farmers, loan waivers, mobile phones to ration car
dholders, distribution of laptops, etc varies from state to state. While doles l
ike the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act are needed, other
s can hurt state finances and the country s macroeconomic health.
Four years ago, the Supreme Court had criticised the practice of prepoll sops be
ing announced by political parties. Yet, Tamil Nadu s new chief minister Edappadi
K Palaniswami now vows to implement the Amma Two-Wheeler Scheme from this year.
And you got to tighten your own belt
In neighbouring Andhra Pradesh, NChandrababu Naidu has to set aside money for un
employment doles. North Indian parties in Uttar Pradesh and Punjab will also go
on a spending binge. States should realise that they cannot live beyond their me
ans, especially when the economy is yet to really zip along.
This year s Economic Survey rightly underscored the need for market discipline, sa
ying macroeconomic conditions will not be as favourable to states as they were i
n the mid-2000s. Its suggestion that the Centre should reward fiscal prudence by
states, acting as a model through its own fiscal management, makes sense.
State budgets account for more than half of general government spending. This me
ans their combined deficit would have a bearing on the overall macroeconomic sta
bility.
To be fair, five states Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala, Uttar Pradesh and Punjab
adopted the Fiscal Responsibility Legislation (FRL) ahead of the Centre s law. The
goal was to limit the overall deficit to 3 per cent of the gross state domestic
product (GSDP) and wipe out revenue deficit by 2008-09. The global financial cr
isis halted progress for two years.
Remarkably, states achieved fiscal targets right away, and progress was reasonabl
y durable. The Survey s comparison of 11pre-FRL years to 10 years afterwards showed
that fiscal deficits fell by almost half: from an average of 4.1 per cent of GS
DP to 2.4 per cent of GSDP. Revenue deficits also fell sharply. Higher growth an
d more transfers from the Centre also helped.
Start Target Practice
The picture has changed. Weak private investment, uncertain global economic envi
ronment and tepid exports pose a challenge for states as well.
A special report by Ind-Ra on the budget performance of 23 states projected that
budgetary targets are likely to be missed in 2016-17. And at an aggregate level
, states are likely to have had a revenue deficit for a third consecutive year i
n 2015-16 they have to borrow to fund their expenses that do not create capital
assets.
Concerns over continuance of revenue deficits in relatively high-income states s
uch as Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Haryana are not misplaced. Structural reform
is the answer to reverse the trend.
Take the power sector. Jammu and Kashmir, which has already presented its budget
, admits to having the highest transmission and distribution losses in the count
ry. Reckless politically mandated tariffs and open theft of power must end.
Giving away power for free has wrecked many state utilities. Generating companie
s are wary of selling electricity to states whose utilities are broke.
Without tariff increases, warns the OECD s 2017 Economic Survey on India, the cent
ral government s Ujwal Discom Assurance Yojana may simply add to the debt burden o
f state governments, while liabilities at distribution companies build up again.
People must pay for power and water they consume as states need revenues to spe
nd on education, health and infrastructure.
Reform in land and labour market rules is also overdue. Low uniform stamp duties
across states will help boost revenues. The case to bring the real estate secto
r under the goods and services tax (GST) is compelling to curb evasion.
Finance commissions have repeatedly recommended more discipline: lowering the de
bt-to-GDP ratio for the Centre and states combined, zero revenue deficit and eme
rgence of revenue surplus. The combined debtto-GDP ratio stood at 69 per cent in
2015-16. Ahigh debt-to-GDP ratio, despite the Centre s fiscal consolidation, make
s it imperative for states to put their fiscal house in order.
The popular perception that sops help governments reap political rewards makes f
iscal prudence a tough goal. No state should have a perverse incentive to stay b
ackward either. Those that strive the best should be rewarded the most. States ow
n tax effort, progress in physical and social infrastructure creation and other
measures must be used to devolve funds.
States share of tax devolution increased to 42 per cent from 32 per cent of the d
ivisible pool, based on the recommendations of the 14th Finance Commission. But
many centrally sponsored schemes were withdrawn. The net result: states have mor
e autonomy now in deciding how to spend money. They should do so wisely.
Freedom to Change
Comprehensive tax reform, building up on the GST laws, would lift all boats, say
s the OECD, rightly. GST subsumes all indirect duties and levies, and will preve
nt cascading of taxes. States will also gain from being able to tax services.
Will they slack off on revenue collections as the Centre has guaranteed compensa
tion for revenue losses during the transition? States must not do so. They must
ensure that they follow fiscal discipline for their own good.
On Cyber Security
February 28, 2017, 1:17 AM IST Economic Times in ET Citings | Economy, World | E
T
By Piotr Kaminski et al
The idea that some assets are extraordinary of critical importance to a company
must be at the heart of an effective strategy to protect against cyber threats.
Because in an increasingly digitised world, protecting everything equally is not
an option.
The digital business model is, however, entirely dependent on trust. If the cust
omer interface is not secure, the risk can become existential. Systems breaches
great and small have more than doubled in the last five years, and the attacks h
ave grown in sophistication and complexity. Most large enterprises now recognise
the severity of the issue but still treat it as a technical and control problem
.
These defences, furthermore, are often designed to protect the perimeter of busi
ness operations. Our research and experience suggest that the next wave of innov
ation customer applications, business processes, technology structures and cyber
security defences must be based on a business and technical approach that prior
itises the protection of critical information assets.
We call the approach digital resilience , a cross-functional strategy that identifi
es and assesses all vulnerabilities, defines goals on an enterprise-wide basis,
and works out how best to deliver them.
A primary dimension of digital resilience is the identification and protection o
f the organisation s digital crown jewels: the data, systems and software applicat
ions that are essential to operations.
Sack Pahlaj Nihalani: In its latest act of tyranny, CBFC refuses to certify a fi
lm for being lady oriented
February 27, 2017, 2:00 AM IST TOI Edit in TOI Editorials | Edit Page, Entertain
ment, India | TOI
The film Lipstick Under My Burkha is written and directed by women, and stars em
inent actors Ratna Pathak Shah and Konkana Sen Sharma. Like its title its traile
r makes no bones about the film being provocative and bold, inviting the audienc
e into a hidden world of women s fantasies and desire.
As the opinion essay on this page elaborates, our quest to become a modern and e
qual society demands liberating female fantasies from puritanical shackles. But
the Pahlaj Nihalani led Central Board of Film Certification has refused to let I
ndia watch this film. He must be fired and the board must be reformed.
Director Alankrita Shrivastava understandably suspects that CBFC members don t und
erstand cinema. After all it must be surreal for her that while Lipstick Under M
y Burkha is being celebrated at festivals abroad, at home it is being denied cer
tification because it is lady oriented .
This is as baffling as why 89 cuts were demanded of Udta Punjab or why double mea
ning was declared objectionable or indeed countless other acts of scissoring by C
BFC. While films live in fear of being cut and mutilated, the censors never face
any repercussions for their arbitrariness, incompetence or brutality.
The tyrannical writ of this sanskari CBFC has run too long. There must be no furth
er delay in reforming it as recommended by the Shyam Benegal led committee. In e
ssence this means the board should stop scissoring or obstructing films and rema
in restricted to classifying them like suitable for over 12 years of age or over
18.
As Benegal points out in a free democracy where all adult citizens have the powe
r to choose their government, why should anyone usurp their power to decide what
film to see and what not?
ime has come to enact strong privacy protection law
February 27, 2017, 12:59 AM IST ET Edit in ET Editorials | Edit Page, India | ET
The Unique Identification Authority of India, which issues Aadhaar cards, has re
gistered a complaint of someone making use of stored biometric information for A
adhaar authorisation, raising concerns over how securely information collected f
rom citizens to build Aadhaar, the unique identity number, is stored and used. T
he Aadhaar (Targeted Delivery of Financial and Other Subsidies, Benefits and Ser
vices) Act says that impersonation or intentional copying of Aadhaar data is a c
riminal offence.
Those found guilty must be punished. Security of personal information goes beyon
d Aadhaar. India should not delay an unambiguous law to protect citizen s privacy,
given the judicial interpretation that privacy is a derivative of fundamental r
ights.
It must be modelled on the European Union s approach to privacy. The EU has common
rules to ensure that personal data enjoy a high standard of protection across i
ts member states a citizen has the right to complain and obtain redress if her d
ata are misused anywhere within the EU, and organisations that collect and manag
e personal information are mandated to protect it from misuse. Rightly, Aadhaars
eeded bank accounts are now used to transfer benefits directly to the beneficiar
y.
People must share information as it is in their interest to do so, but absence o
f a separate law on privacy raises the chance of Aadhaar being misused, for exam
ple to connect the separate silos in which medical, financial, legal information
is stored. Indian residents need a guarantee that their personal data would not
fall into the wrong hands.
A telling example is the reported sale of phone numbers of girls at mobile recha
rge shops in Uttar Pradesh to men who then stalk these girls. Call records or tr
ansactions stored on assorted messaging applications also pose a threat to priva
cy, underscoring the need for a strong law. It should specify the circumstances
in which privacy can be breached by the state, and separate silos must be merged
only for national security and after following due procedure that includes judi
cial sanction.