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A brief analysis of new data indicating that the sex ratio at birth in favour of males has continued to increase in Vietnam indicating sex determination prior to birth.
A brief analysis of new data indicating that the sex ratio at birth in favour of males has continued to increase in Vietnam indicating sex determination prior to birth.
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Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
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A brief analysis of new data indicating that the sex ratio at birth in favour of males has continued to increase in Vietnam indicating sex determination prior to birth.
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Verfügbare Formate
Als PDF, TXT herunterladen oder online auf Scribd lesen
Vietnam: Changing Sex Ratio at Birth Carlyle A. Thayer July 5, 2010
[client name deleted]: As you might know, Vietnam’s Sex Ratio at Birth (SRB) has experienced an unusually rapid rise over in recent years, from 106.2 in 2000 up to 110.5 boys per 100 girls, according to latest government data. Are you familiar with any study or research on this issue in Vietnam? Can you offer a brief assessment? Is there anything Vietnam can do to avert this disparity or it would be an inevitable outcome country has to face? ANSWER: Since 1999‐2001 Vietnam has witnessed an increase in the ratio of boys born per one hundred a year of about 1 percent per year and the ratio is above normal of 105. The SRB ratio was 108 in 2005. So the recent reported increase in this ratio confirms this trend. This would mean that about 2025 Vietnam would feel the effects of this growing ratio in favour of males among the youth population at the time of marriage. Vietnam's rate is lower for China and India. What accounts for the increased ratio? The most common cause is that married couples are able to determine the sex of the child before birth (ultrasound) and carry out abortions on females. This reflects a cultural bias in favour of sons. This trend is also occurring when economic development is associated with declining fertility. The national trend varies across provinces and is linked to such factors as the availability of good modern health care facilities, the number of times a pregnant woman visits the clinic before birth, the education level of the parents, age, education. The rise in the sex at birth ratio in Vietnam suggests that couples are taking steps to determine the sex of their child at birth in favour of males over females. The trend can be reversed by government policy and by educating the population. Government policy will take a long time to be effective. The government can restrict and make more difficult abortion. The government could institute better social welfare policies so the aged can be supported by retirement pensions rather than rely on their children. The government can conduct an educational policy point out that aborting females will only make it more difficult to carry on the family lineage if their sons cannot find a suitable bride.