Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
R. Jacob Baker
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering
Boise State University
1910 University Dr., ET 201
Boise, ID 83725
jbaker@boisestate.edu
Baker 1
Lets Step Back in Time
What are the following (hint: they were found in your local
supermarket in the 50s, 60s, and early 70s)
Baker 2
Semiconductor-based Electronics were still new during
this period of time
These were a big deal both because they were portable (something not
practically possible with vacuum tube radios) and because they used a
new technology (solid-state devices that didnt wear out)
1 mm
Baker 6
So why is Dr. Dennards invention such a big deal?
Baker 7
Dennards Scaling Theory*
* Dennard, R.H.; Gaensslen, F.H.; Rideout, V.L.; Bassous, E., and LeBlanc, A.R., Design
of ion-implanted MOSFET's with very small physical dimensions, IEEE Journal of
Solid-State Circuits, Volume 9, Issue 5, Oct 1974, pp. 256 - 268
Baker 8
Scaling Theory
Baker 9
The One-Transistor, One-Capacitor (1T1C) Dynamic
Random Access Memory (DRAM) cell
The array is formed with word (row) and column (bit) lines
Baker 10
Folded and Open Arrays
Baker 11
Folded and Open Arrays
Baker 12
The Folded Array
Baker 13
Further Reduction in Cell Size
Baker 14
Mbit Pair: Folded Array
Baker 15
Folded Array Cell Size
Baker 16
Open Array: 6F2
Baker 17
Array Block
Baker 18
The 1T1C DRAM Cell
ACT
Row 2
EQ
VDD/2
NLAT
Col 1
I/O
I/O
Baker 19
SEM Photo of a Modern DRAM Array
Baker 20
How is DRAM used today?
PC Servers, Enterprise
Units 0.91M
DRAM 24,581MB
Notebook DRAM Revenue - $2,684M
Computers Source: iSuppli
Baker 21
Communications and Networking Market
DSL Modems
Cellular Base Stations
Units 55M
Units - 0.35M
DRAM 8MB
DRAM - 256MB
Flash 2MB
Flash 5112MB
Baker 22
DRAM Demand by End-Use Application
100%
Industrial Automotive
Consume r
Mo bile C o m m u nic atio ns
P C G ra p hics
80%
Wire d Othe r Da ta
Perc en t o f To t al M eg abi t s
20% De sktop P C
0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
*Other Data Processing includes mainframe servers, enterprise servers, workstations, handheld PCs, storage cards,
printers, and internet appliances
Baker 23
Worldwide DRAM Shipments by Type
R
80%
70% 128Mb
512 Mb DDR2
RDRAM
60% 512Mb
256Mb DDR DDR3
50%
256
40% Mb
128 SD
Mb
DDR
30%
64Mb DDR
20% 128
Mb
64Mb EDO SDR
64M
10% b SD
RA M
16Mb SDRAM
FP/EDO
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Baker 24
DRAM Technology Trends
100%
90%
80%
70%
60% DDR3
DDR2
Units
50%
DDR
40% SDRA M
30%
20%
10%
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Baker 25
DRAM Density Trends
100%
90%
80%
4 Gb
70%
2 Gb
60% 1 Gb
512 Mb
Units
50%
256 Mb
40% 128 Mb
64 Mb
30%
16 Mb
20%
10%
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Baker 26
Historical PC Market Growth
60,000,000 35%
30%
50,000,000
25%
20%
40,000,000
15%
30,000,000 10%
5%
20,000,000
0%
- 5%
10,000,000
- 10%
0 - 15%
1Q95
3Q95
1Q96
3Q96
1Q97
3Q97
1Q98
3Q98
1Q99
3Q99
1Q00
3Q00
1Q01
3Q01
1Q02
3Q02
1Q03
3Q03
1Q04
3Q04
1Q05
3Q05E
Grand Total Grand Total
Baker 27
Price per Bit Cycles
100,000.00
1975 Historically Price per Bit has
1977 declined by an average of 9%
10,000.00 1974 every quarter
1979
1976 (1974-2005)
1981
Pric e per B it (Mil ic ents )
1978 1983
1,000.00 1980
1985 1987
1982
1984 1989
100.00
1991 1993
1986 1988 1995
1990
10.00 1992 1994
1997
1996 1999
1.00
1998 2001
2000 2003
2005
0.10
2002
2004
0.01 10,000
1
100
1,000,000
100,000,000
12
Cumulative Bit Volume (10 )
Baker 28
Americas DRAM Unit Shipments by Density
2,000.0
1,800.0
1,600.0
1Gb
1,400.0
Millions of Units
1,200.0
512Mb
1,000.0
64Mb
800.0
256Mb
600.0
128Mb
400.0
200.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1Mbit 4Mbit 16Mbit 64Mbit 128Mbit 256Mbit 512Mbit 1Gbit 2Gbit 4Gbit 8Gbit
Baker 29
256Mb Equivalent Unit DRAM Shipments
256Mb Equivalent Units Shipped
(K Units)
200,000 30%
20%
100,000
10%
0 0%
Apr-98
Jul-98
Oct-98
Jan-99
Apr-99
Jul-99
Oct-99
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
Jul-02
Oct-02
Jan-03
Apr-03
Jul-03
Oct-03
Jan-04
Apr-04
Jul-04
Oct-04
Jan-05
Apr-05
Baker 30
DRAM Applications with
the Highest Unit Growth Rates
(CAGR 2004 2008)
Entry-Level PC Servers
Internet Appliances
Mobile PCs
SAN Switches
MP3 player
Digital TVs
Baker 31
Fastest Growing DRAM Consumption
Upgrade Module
Handheld Computers
Mobile PCs
Deskbound PCs
Entry-Level PC Servers
Workstations
Internet Appliances
Mobile Handsets
Baker 32
Summary Overview
Baker 33