Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Norhayati Mohamed, Wee Shu Hui, Normah Hj. Omar, Rashidah Abdul Rahman,
Phone: +603-5544-4975
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Abstract: Thispaerempiricalyzendthedterminatsofdv
i dienpaymtforthe
top 200 companies in tersm of market c apitaliztion, listed on the Maslay ian share
market.Largeirf sm werechosentoincreasethelikhodfcapturingdvidenpray s.
The findgs showed that irf sm paid out on average, about 40 percent of their earnsig
as dividsen . Furthermore, a quarter of their operating cash flow was used to pay
v
id edi .
n Lastl,
y the studycrifno sm the caft that proitf abilty and liqutywere important
determinatsdiv
of pidenamyt.
2
INTRODUCTION
The topic of dividen sha ben xtensively studie. Yet it reainmed s one f the most
controversial subjects in Finace. Studies in the past have covered anmy facets of
dividens; oangm them are efcts of dividen payment on irf m value, reasons orf
pa i d v
ngy idens,determinatsodfiv,
ipolcyden andividentrends,oamngthers.
Despite the many theories and models put forth to explain the dividen phenoma,
Problem Statement
In Maslay ia, dv
i iden enpamty matters. Several studies have shown that an
ni shra e rp seci (Norathy i, 2005, dna Nur-Adrnai a et al., 2002). With the proliferation f
unit trusts in Malasy ia, investors were adem more awre of returns in the orf m of
v
id edisn . Furthre rom e thse eusdnf rerp se tne na ropmi tantnivse tign ra mthatv
ni se ts ni
shares that give god returns in the orf m of capital gains and dividen payments.
thfo si hpenom.
3
There are many cop haracteristics that have bn oufd to be related to dividen
policy such as the irf sm pritof abilty, liqu dity, size, ownership structure and capital
structure, among thers. Among these chartac e ristics, proiftabilty and liqudty are the
two ainm variables that afect a mangers cdeision to pay dividen for that finacl
perio d.
Usualy only firsm that are profitable wil pay dividens. Soem firms in Maslay ia have
very hig dviden opayut ratio (DPR). According to a survey performed by Noramh et
surveedy was about 83 percent. This showed the heavy pehmasis that some irf sm
placed on dividen paymt. On the other hand, it is not surprising f some irf ms also
paid out dividens even though they reported a loss orf that eary . This is due to the
reluctance of irms to cut or omit dividens due to research findgs whic ave shwon
ognmathers).
Liquidty is usualy emsured by the firms cas h flow. It is very important to copmare a
dividen if it has a strong cash position. However, many peimrical researches have
conetrated only on profit lowf and ignored the fect on cash low.
f Cash divdeni
distribution not only depns on the profitabilty of firms but also depns on the fre
sac h ,
wolf hwci s the nuomta fo rep ta gni sac h wolf te v
o re tfa er apnemyt rof catip la
sac h ,
wolf ti snaem the irf m has resilaud csa h, fi cash v
id edin si rom e than the rf e
cash flow then it means the irf m neds finacg to met the requiremnt of cash
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dividen. The agency cost explantion has ben poularly used to evalute this
The study therefore adresses the question whether profitabilty and cash lowf are
companies thatpaydividen a l s o av
h e strongprioftabiltya ndliqutypositions? Italso
LITERATURE REVIEW
Inthissecton,
i theparwilpresnte afewbsicareasofdividenresearch.First,itwil
briefl y discuss a few fin d gs corne nig divnide trends. Second, it wil isd scu s the
determinats of dv
i dien p,
olicy specifal y the study by Litn ren (1956), dna cnapomy
characteristicssuasch profitabilt,
y liqudtandysize.
Dividend Trends
In the study fo v
id nedi tresdn , Faam dna Frehcn (2001) dnuof that the eprecntaeg fo
dividen ingypa irf sm in the United States (US) fel rf om 67 percent of listed firsm in
1978 to 21 percent in 1999. Ferris, Sen ad Yui (2006) documented siilarm infdgs in
the United Kingdom (UK) market, a arm ket that is similar to that of the US in tersm of
breadthand mturit.
y Theirindfgs showed thatthe numbrof dividen pagyfrms in
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dividens, but by 2002, only 54.5 percent of the sample firms pay dividens. They also
oundfasimilarfrdeclin 60.2
om percentto28.6percentfornewlisy tedirf msinthUK.
e
For the mrgin arm ket, Norhaty i (2005) deocunmted a siimlar pattern i her study of
hwov
e re , the apttern sedem to relate very umch to the ceoimn cley. Her sapmel
exclud ompanis in the Finace d Unit Trusts sectors and ws itlm ed only to final
v
id edin ncauotem s. Her gnidfs shwode rf mo raey s 1981 to 1991, the
increase up ntil 1997, and wet on a dwonrd trend rf om that eary where there wre
only 55 percent inafl dividen erpay s in eary 2000. Plaese be noted that Maslay ia
expriencd two icenm dwturns in the sample ary s, one i 1987 and the other in
1997. And the downard trend in dividesn coindse with the years before the
Many theories and dmoels have ebn put orf th to examin the numerous facets of
dividen stud.
y The seminal article by Mi ler and Modiganl (1961) is probaly the
irrelevance. On the other hand, theories wich suport dividen relevnace include tax
prefrenc,signali,andgecyxpltions. Otherresearchershavedvelopdan
survesy of corporate mangers to learn the m so t ropmi tatn edtre naimts of corpro ta e
divideactn ivit.
y
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The first empirical study of dividen policy was perorf med by Lintner (1956). Through
tend to value stable dividen polices, dividens are increased graduly and rarely cut
and that most companies have reasonably defintive target paouyt ratios. Over the
thatthacetupaolytratmov
i esclosertothetargetopauytratio.
Profitability
Company chracteristics that a fect irf ms dividens policy n clude the firms profitabilt,
y
liqudty, size, ownershpi structure and cpital structure, aongm thers. The dsi cussion
herweiclontrateonprioft abilt,
y liqudtansidy ze.
Several survesy provide usulef insights into what actf ors infacl germ s conserid ed
Exchange (NYSE) firsm with normal kinds of divdien polcs in 1983. Based on theri
oundf that the major determinats of dividen enpamty s were the anticpated level of
ufturearnigsandthepatteronpasf tdivdiens.
Pruitt and Gitman (1991) surveeyd finacl mangers of the 1,000 largest US irf ms
about the interplay among the investment, infacg, and dividen ecisd sion in their
irf sm . Their evidenc sugested that important influecs on the amount of dividens
rg woth ni era gnis. Barek dna Polew (2000) dnuof surop t rof thrie hopythessi thta the
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most porim tant acftors influecg a firms v
id idne opcily ra e the v
el el of ucrretn nad
Aivazin, Booth and Cleary (2003) found that emrgin market irf ms exhibt divenid
behavior similar to US firms, in the sense that dividen s are explai ned by profitabilt,
y
debt, and the arm ket-to-bok ratio; however, theri sensitivity to these variables varies
acrosscountries.
contention ad they found that just as divdeni cotration had incraesed; so di the
nocetratoin fo rae nisg . Earnisg ni tob h 1978 dna 2000 fo the sapelm rif sm ra e
link betwne losses nad the ailufre to pay divdiens. Their findgs sugest that
Goergen et a.
l (2005) ansly ed the decision to change the dividen orf 221 Geranm
irf sm over 19841993. Their results shwedo that net earnigs were the key
of a loss is a key dterminat in adtion to the nt earnigs level. They observed that
80 percent of the loss-incurring German firms, with at least five years of positive
earnigsdiv
an idensprecthding loess,omitthdeivindetheary ofthlose s.
BakerandSmith(2006)surveedy309saplemfirmsexhibtingbehaviorconsistentwitha
residual v
di deni policy and their matched counterparts to learn how they set theri
dividen polices. Theri results showed t hta ofr the salpme adn amtchde irf sm , the
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pattern of past dividens, t he level and stabilty of earnig s, and desire to maintain a
Ferris et al. (2006) found mixe results orf the relation betwen a firms earnigs and its
system with a smal set of very hig earners providng a disproprtionate prcentage of
ag regate dividen s.
behavior of firms listed on the Kual Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE). The data used
and pst dividens, and irf sm have long-term target divdien whc is cndoitioned up
theirearnigsabilty.
Inconlusn,
io proitf abiltisy animportantdeterminatoairf sm dv
i i po den l c .
y
Size
investment oprtunities, and size. Their evidenc sugests that thre undamftals
profitabilty, investment oprt unities, and size are acftors in the decision to pay
dividens. Dividen rpya s tend to be large, profitable firms with earnigs on the order
of investment outlasy . Firsm that have nveraidp re smaler and they seem to be lss
rp ifotelba thna v
id nedi apry s, ubt they h ave orm e investment oprtunities, and theri
investment outlasy are much larger than thei r earnigs. The salient characteristics of
orf mer divenid rpay s are low earnigs and wef nivestmetn s. Mitton (2004) wrto e that
size and growth, in adition to proiftabilt y has ben proven to be positively correlated
9
tiw hv
id dineuoyapts. LiadnLie(2006)rerop ted thta irf sm areorm e ylkito rasi e theri
dividens if they are large and proitf able and the past dividen ield,
y debt ratio, cash
ratio, and market-to-bok ratio are low. Firms are orm e elyik to cut theri divsiden if
thhv
aey epro eporatemocnig,olsacw cnalbhse ,dnaolrmw ekt-to-rakob tio.
Cash Flow
Liu and Hu (2005) in his study of Chinese listed irf sm found that cash dividen youpat
was igher than the acounting prioft. However, he found that50 percent of the sample
irf sm had dividen sca h enmpaty higer than the fre cash flow. He attributed this
listed companies must have sca h dividen enamtpy in the past thre eary s. This
One theory that can be used to explain why firms borrow oneym to pay for dividens is
dividens relev,
ancy as ben advanced by Jensen and Meckling (1976), and later
txe dne by Rofez (1982) dna Easterrb ko (1984). Agycne throe y sop ti s that there si
a conflit of interests betwen the mangers (agents) and the outside shareholdrs
earnigs or they am invest the arnigs in sle s than optimal nvestments. This conflit
ofinterestsisreferredtoasagencyosts.Divenidhasnbeidtifedasaechmnism
thatcanreduceagnyosts.Bypingayoutalrgedividen,itreducestheamountof
undsf avbleai orf angmers to spend exsc sively on perquisites. Furthermore, the
the scrutiny of the capital market for new funds and reduces the possiiltb y orf
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suboptalim nvestments. Theroref e, acording to the agncy theory this wil reuced the
than the benfit gained from the aditional monitoring, then it makes sense orf
that firms establish hgeri dividen opuayts when insiders hold a werlo rf action of the
equity and/or a greater number of stockholders own the outside quity. This evncide
suports the view that dividen mtpay s are aprt of the firms optimu ontoring ad
dnobpisekcage rvetoreduceganoysts.
This study was ctondu ed on Maslay ian companies over a 3-year period from 2003
2005. The sapelm saw tanek rf om the top 200 apmocsein sil ted no the amni raob d fo
Bursa Masyal ai bsde no ram tek ctipa aziltnoi sa ta 31 Decrebm 2005. For the ray s
2003 and 2004, ten pcoamies we re exclud rf om the sample due to the unavailbty
of inorf mation. Thereorf e, the total bnuerm of pcoanimes for the thre eyars was 580.
According to several studies, biger firms tend to be pary s of dividens and they also
tendtopayhgierdivdeni(FamandFrench,2001;Mitton,2004;andLiandLie,2006,
to name few). For this study, we chose to include the gbir firms, whic are the top
(EPS), return o equity (ROE) and csh flow per share (CFPS) orf the thre ary s were
thefirmforeachnumbrofshareoutstandig.EPSisnetincomeprshare,ROEisnet
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eocnim epr ehca rintig v
ni se ted yb the shra heodlrs, dna CFPS aemsru es the
operating cash earsnig per share of the company. EPS and ROE are proxies ofr
prioftabiltwyCFPS
hi l e si thperorxfy liqudt.
y
Statistical tests in the form of correlation and regressino tests were undertaken to
Theoretic,
aly as disscu sed ea rlier, liqudty and pritof abilty deterinem the abilty of
companiesdisn tributdiv
ng id en s .
FINDINGS
v
id edin uoytap hcra catersi tisc . Foru th, ti sid suc ses the statsi tiacl sylan si ni tersm fo
thceorrelataiondregressireon sults.
This section descrsibe the findgs in term s of whether or not the companis are payrs
2005, there was an icrease to 91 percent. The majority of cmpanies paid videns in
the thre-eyra eprdoi sa shwon ni Table 1. Wheli the tredn of pmocseina niygap
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dividens si rising, some companies have ty to consider inpagy dividen ad to state
Payers 7
8 % 8 7% 91%
Non-Payers 13% 13% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100%
In Table 2, the saplem was divide into paery s and no-paery s category. The payers
st
category was further dv
i ide into arqu tiles where the irf st (1 ) qrau tiel snoc si ts fo the
nd
bottom most 25 percent of divdien paery s, the second (2 ) quartile consists of the
second 25 percent of the lowest dividen epayrs, and so on and so forth. As can be
seen rf om the table, those companies not inpayg dividens are those with the lowest
profitabilty as indcated by EPS and ROE, and also the lowst liqtud y as indcated by
the lowst acsh flow. On the other end are those whic pda the hgsi t dv
i idens and
theirprofitabiltandliquytwery ealsothehigst.
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Dividend Payout Characteristics
by EPS and ROE while liqudty is measured by CFPS. Referring to Table 3 one can
calute the dividen paouty ratio (DPR) by taking EPS divide by EPS. The yearly
average DPR ranges from 38.7 percent to 44.8 percent. This eansm that on average,
the firms in the sample paid out about 40 percent of their earnigs in the orf m of
v
id edisn . The resutl s lsa o shwo thta on v
a re ,
ega the dv
i dneis snoc emu batuo noe
quarterofthfire mscashflow.
Table 3: Yearly Analysis on the Association between average DPS and EPS, and
DPS and CFPS, 2003 2005
Statistical Tests
A roc retal oin test of the ruof cidnators, DPS, EPS, ROE and CFPS wsa run to xeanim
correlationresultsasshowniTaebl4indcatesiicgantf positiverelationshipsbetwen
DPS and EPS, CFPS and ROE. This icronf ms t hat proiftabilty and liquty are strongly
relatedtodividsen tributpiolcny.
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Table 4: Correlation Matrix of Regressors
Regression Results
Howv
e er, further test is ned to positively id entify that liqudty and profitabilty are
determinats of dv
i iden distribution policy . Podelo rerg se sino sanyl si wsa enod to
iexanm whther such a relationship exsted. Thre regressions were run, the results of
The first regression wsa done to inexam wh ether EPS, CFPS and ROE are siicgantf
determinats of dividen paymts. It can be seen i Taebl 5 that in each of the thre
eayrsanditotal,thethreindcatorsaresignifcatdeterminatsofdv
i idenpamty s.
2
The stregnth fo the relatsnoi hpi si nitacd de yb the sujda ted R . In 2003, the thre
indcators explain orf 63 percent of the dividen neampty s but thsi slaf to 43 epretcn ni
2004 and decreases to 35 percent in 2005 but they are al siicgantf . When the thre
eayrs are poled together, the result confirms that the thre indcators are siicgnfat
determinatsdiv
of pidenamyts.
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Table 5: Determinants of Dividend per Share; EPS, CFPS and ROE
skew the results. So, a second regression swa run without ROE. The result in Table 6
indcates similar results. The poled data shows that EPS and CFPS are siicantfg
notindcateanydifrencithestrengthoftherelationshipalthougtheresultconirf ms
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2
adjusted R remains at 0.3. There is no indcation to sugest that ROE is a better
ted re naimtthnaEPS.
CONCLUSION
capitaliztion were chosen as a sample. With large size poancmis it is hoped that this
study woul be al to capture more dividen arpy s. From the dscriptive asnly is it
was oundf that irf ms paid out about 40 percent of their earnigs in dividen. And on
average,aboutaqurteroftheri operatcaingshflowasusedtopaouty dv
i i den s.
Second, EPS, ROE and CFPS are signifcat deterinmats of dividen pmayts. This
study actualy separates the efct of earnigs and cash lowf on dividen menpayt.
Third, EPS and ROE, whether used together or separta ely are usef ul ind cators of
profitabilty. This suports the actf that com panies icwh are prioftabl e and liqu w be
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In conlusion, through a siplem sde criptive dan statistical sanly is, this study iconrf sm
the actf that pritof abilty and liqudty are tw o important deterinatm s of dividen. The
sanly is can be scon ride ed as exploratory and i the ufture, the scope should be widr
industries, and should asl o inculde more variables such as corporate governace and
other pcomany characteristics. The saplem size sholdu lsa o be incrase ed and oculd
the results and sly is wil be richer and hefulopy wi lphe unravel the smy tery of the
divide puz n l .
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