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com/r/syriancivilwar 8 December 2016 Volume 2 Issue 5

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

THE BATTLE FOR AL-BAB


A MICROCOSM IN THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR

IN DEPTH UPDATES
THE BATTLE FOR AL-BAB TIMELINE OF EVENTS SINCE THE PREVIOUS ISSUE
A TIMELINE OF THE BATTLE FOR MOSUL - PART 2 AN OVERVIEW OF THE SDF'S RAQQA OFFENSIVE
ALEPPO OFFENSIVE - REBELS REPULSED
WHAT HAS OPERATION CHAMMAL ACHIEVED SO FAR?
ADMIRAL KUZNETSOV
/R/SYRIANCIVILWAR
THE WEEK IN REVIEW INDEX AND MAP REFERENCE
Our team We are LOCATION PAGE TITLE

PUBLISHER A weekly publication written and edited by Page 2 Timeline of events since the previous issue
/u/oreng the moderators and contributors Page 4 A message from the team

EDITOR- IN-CHIEF of reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar Map ref 1 Page 5 An overview of the SDF's Raqqa offensive
/u/AofB, @qamaamaalamriki Map ref 2 Page 6 The Battle for al-Bab: a microcosm in the Syrian civil war
ACTING EDITOR- IN-CHIEF Social media Map ref 3 Page 8 A timeline of the battle for Mosul - part 2
/u/Naenil, @Naenil Map ref 4 Page 10 Aleppo offensive: rebels repulsed
ART DIRECTOR
Visit us on social media or scan the Page 12 What has operation Chammal achieved so far?
/u/CIA_Shill, @scw_shill QR code:
Page 14 Admiral Kuznetsov: the struggles of a Soviet era carrier in the modern age
PHOTO EDITOR
/u/Status_Gruen /ScwWeekInReview
MANAGING EDITOR
/u/stella-artois /r/syriancivilwar
EDITORS
Trenton S, /u/Chester_T_Molester Email us 2 3
Andy Jackson 4
CONTRIBUTORS Contact us by email at:
1
/u/AofB, @qamaamaalamriki contact.weekinreview@gmail.com
/u/Beansareno1
Chris Gentry, /u/Robowarrior123
/u/Naenil, @Naenil Ethics Statement
/u/NotVladeDivac, @NotVladeDivac The editors and contributors are all members of an online community
/u/Status_Gruen that has managed - some might say against all odds - to preserve a cul-
Trenton S, /u/Chester_T_Molester ture of inclusiveness, civility and mutual dialogue between users ranging
from the staunchest supporters of Syrias government to supporters of
entities as diverse as the FSA, YPG, the Islamic Front, Western states,
Israel and indeed the Islamic State.
This coexistence is made possible by active, often heavy-handed
moderation by the moderators of the subreddit and through a publicly-
stated policy of enforcing civility rather than ideological compliance. The
/r/syriancivilwar community uses self-selected flairs to enable users
to wear their allegiances on their sleeves. If you wish to investigate the
stated allegiances of contributors to this publication feel free to inspect
their flairs on reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar.

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 2 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 1
SINCE THE
More than 1,000 soldiers deployed by Rebel battle lines in northern Aleppo
Iran to Syria to back the government city collapsed under heavy pressure
side in its civil war have been killed, an from SAA and allied forces. Rebel forces

PREVIOUS ISSUE
Iranian official says, underlining Tehran's were forced to retreat from Hanano,
increasing presence on the front lines of Jabal Badro, Badaeen, Hay Jandoul,
the conflict. and Bustan al-Pasha neighborhoods.
(Reuters) (Saleh Soliman, @watanisy, BBC,
ground-based sources)
Euphrates Shield forces retake the
At least 49 people have been killed
strategic town of Qabasin from ISIS
in heavy government air strikes in the
eastern part of Syria's largest city,
following extensive shelling of the
An air strike thought to have been
27 November Syrian government troops have gained
town's outskirts by Turkish forces. control of 50% of rebel-held areas of
Aleppo, witnesses and activists say. carried out by Syrian government
Qabasin is 5 km NE of ISIS-held Al-Bab. east Aleppo, says a military spokesman.
(Al Jazeera) forces killed three Turkish soldiers and
( #QalaatAlMudiq) (BBC)
wounded 10 others overnight, one of
The predominantly Shiite Popular
Syria has applied to be part of a free them seriously, according to the Turkish
Mobilization Units (PMU) troops say
they have reached and retaken ISIS-held
trade zone with Russia. The proposal military. 3 December
will be discussed at a Eurasian Economic (Reuters)
Mosul's Tal Afar airport. Syria and its allies aim to drive rebels
Commissions (EEC) session, scheduled
(France24) SAA troops, in co-ordination with the from Aleppo before Donald Trump
for December 23.
(Russia Today) SDF, has advancde in Northern Aleppo, takes office as U.S. President, a senior
18 November seize 5 villages West of Al Bab.
(The Inside Source @InsideSourceInt)
official in the pro-Damascus military
alliance said.
22 November SAA and Liwa al-Quds forces continue
(Reuters)
The Russian government said on
Monday it would start talks with
A flotilla of Russian warships including to gain ground in the Hanano district Some 20,000 people have fled Washington on a rebel withdrawal from
the aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov A pro-government militia announces it is in Eastern Aleppo, capturing several intensified attacks on rebel-held eastern Aleppo this week as Russian-backed
arrived off the coast of Syria, readying cutting off roads connecting Syria with public buildings and an unknown Aleppo in Syria in the past 48 hours, Syrian forces fought to seize more
for a large-scale land and sea assault on Iraqs predominantly Turkmen city of Tal number of residential blocks. the International Committee of the Red territory from rebels who are struggling
the city of Aleppo. Afar, held by ISIS. (@InsideSourceInt, Saleh Soliman, Cross (ICRC) said on Tuesday. to avoid a major defeat.
(Telegraph) (Anadolu Agency) Sohayb Masri) (Reuters) (Reuters)

12 November 19 November 24 November 29 November 5 December

15 November 23 November 25 November 1 December 6 December


Food production in Syria has dropped The town of Arimah in Rif Aleppo, SDF forces capture Tall Jijan and the A counterattack by Fatah Halab Rebel commanders in Aleppo say they
to an all-time low as the country enters previously surrounded by SDF forces, surrounding area from ISIS in Northern elements has retaken most of Sheikh have agreed to withdraw from Aleppo
a sixth winter of war, U.N. agencies said is been overrun after an attack from Aleppo. Sa'eed from pro-government forces. following talks between officials in
on Tuesday. Wheat output dropped three axes. The Islamic State defenders (@CivilWarMap) Parts of Masraniyah Youth Housing Turkey and the UN (United Nations)
from an average 3.4 million metric were overwhelmed after fierce have also been captured following a (Qasioun news, @sayed_ridha)
tonnes harvested before the war began fighting, with several tanks eliminated. counterattack.
five years ago to 1.5 million this year. (ANHA News, SOHR, @SayedRidha, (@Aleppo_Free2, @QalaatalMudiq)
(Reuters) SyrianCivilWarMap, et. al.)
Russia resumed airstrikes on the 1st Coastal Division and Furqat
besieged rebel-held sections of 13 forces repelled a small-scale
Aleppo. Jets taking off from Russias government offensive in the region of
aircraft carrier, the Admiral Kuznetsov, Jabal Turkman, Latakia. Initial reports
conducted their first strikes on Syria. indicated at least 15 SAA soldiers
were killed.
(@QalaatalMudiq and @Houar_M_O.)
Forces battling the Islamic State group
in northern Iraq cut off the jihadists' last
supply line from Mosul to Syria. West
21 November of Mosul, Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular

Government forces backed by Iranian


Mobilisation) paramilitary forces made
a push to cut the road between two
30 November
and Russian troops and fighters from towns on the route heading to Syria. Early reports indicated that the SAA and
Lebanon's Hezbollah penetrate the (AFP) allied forces have captured the majority
eastern part of the Masakan Hanano of Aleppos Sheikh Sa'eed district,
Turkish artillery shell SAA positions
neighbourhood in Eastern Aleppo, compounding previous rebel losses
during a resumed offensive in the areas
according to the Britain-based Syrian within the city.
surrounding Nawara, Latakia
Observatory for Human Rights monitor. (sources on the ground, @
(Hassan Ridha @sayed_ridha)
(Telegraph) InsideSourceInt) By /u/Status_Gruen

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 2 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 3
AN OVERVIEW OF
THE SDF'S RAQQA OFFENSIVE
Regarding the operation, reactions from US CENTCOM (Central
Command) appear to be mixed. While they indicated that they would
both welcome the offensive and provide support, they also argued
against the SDF being the long-term solution for holding Raqqa.
General Dunford, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, for example,
publicly stated that the United States would not allow an attack on
the city proper without involving Turkey and their perspective into
the plans.6 The American command has been trying to balance the
wishes of their NATO ally Turkey, with the reality that the SDF is the
only force capable, both politically and militarily, of taking Raqqa.

Alongside this, the SDF also

A QUICK MESSAGE FROM ALL OF THE TEAM US special forces supporting the offensive
plans that Raqqa will be controlled
by local groups. They intend
that the bulk of the fighting will

HERE AT THE WEEK IN REVIEW: O n November 5th 2016, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)
started the so called "Wrath of the Euphrates" offensive, which
be done by the Raqqa Military
Council, which is indigenous to
the city. There are no intentions
targets the Islamic State's Capital of Raqqa. The stated end goal of to include Raqqa into the Rojava
the operation is the complete capture of Raqqa. The troops involved Jihan Sheikh Ahmed, a federation.7
Although we have gone from strength to strength since renewing Please remember to check out our list of recommended charities are multi-ethnic and multi-religious. The forces include Arabs, many spokeswoman for the SDF,
the Week In Review, it is important at this time of year that we on the back cover. of whom are from Raqqa, Kurds, Turkmen and Assyrians. There are holds a press conference in The Wrath of the Euphrates
take a moment out to remember all of those who will not see joy in also embedded United States Special Forces.2,3 the town of Ain Issa offensive has so far progressed
Iraq and Syria during this festive season. Indeed, we must spare a We wish a very festive period to all our readers, contributors and south along two main axes, Ayn
moment to think about anyone caught up in the multiple conflicts all that continue to keep this community great. Although all of us Discussions surrounding a Issa and Suluk. The capture of the village Tal Semen on November
raging around the world. may not always see eye-to-eye, it is thanks to your hard work and Raqqa offensive had been on- 16th was significant, as it has since given the SDF control of the
dedication that we do what we do. going for quite some time, northern bank of the Al-Rey channel.8 The area bordering the
We must also pay homage to those who have not lived to see the however, the Kurdish People's channel is mostly farmland, the rest is desert. Overall 26 villages
close of 2016. We cannot forget the men, women and children who Stay safe and warm this December. A big thanks from us all and Protection Units (YPG) had have so far been taken from IS. Although most of them are rather
have lost their lives in this brutal conflict. we'll see you in the New Year. maintained that their assault on small,9 Raqqa city is now only 25 km away from the front line.
An (SDF) member flashes the Raqqa ought to be in exchange
It is very easy for many of us in this community to sit, analyse and From all the team at the Week in Review, for official political recognition As interested parties follow the events on the ground, it seems
V-sign for 'victory' in Ain Issa
observe, but we must never lose sight of the fact we are always of Rojava.4 As far as has been that for now the offensive has stalled. Some reports have alleged
talking about real people and real events. Hundreds of thousands Happy holidays! indicated from reports that have surfaced, this recognition is still that the break has occurred because of the recent intensification of
of lives have been torn apart. Let's hope the end of 2017 reflects a yet to be assured, despite the on-going activities. According to one hostilities between Turkey and SDF in Northern Aleppo, and whilst
better year for humanity than the one past. Kurdish YPG fighter, Arabs within the SDF, and especially those from plausible, the reports remain unconfirmed.10
Raqqa, had been eager for the offensive to commence, expressing
dismay at the possibility of a delay due to YPG politicking.5
By /u/Beansareno1

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 4 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 5
THE BATTLE FOR AL-BAB
A MICROCOSM IN THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR

W hen Turkey launched Operation Euphrates Shield to clear the


Islamic State (IS) presence on its border and prevent the Syrian-
Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) from linking its territories,
Shaping Operations
Before the al-Bab offensive started, Turkey prepared its allies on
Rebel forces briefly took control of Qabasin, right outside of
al-Bab, later losing it and starting an ongoing tug-of-war over the
town.13 They were on the outskirts of al-Bab on November the
No Way but Forward
the seemingly straightforward plan was an easy sell to international the ground for the difficult task of taking the city from IS. The array 14th, with some sources claiming FSA fighters entered the northern In the two days following the strike on Turkish troops attempting
partners. The hostile Syrian government was preoccupied with trying of FSA and other rebel groups extremities of the city.14 Yet, not long into the offensive, cracks to encircle al-Bab, the Turkish and Russian Presidents spoke on
to maintain its siege on East Aleppo and, alongside this, had its that Turkey supports in the began to appear. the telephone twice, discussing developments in Syria.27 Clearly
hands full on all fronts with opposition forces. The Russians too did Aleppo countryside suffer from insulted by the attack on its soldiers and eager to avoid looking
not protest thanks to bilateral efforts to rebuild ties following last a chronic manpower shortage Fighting broke out in rebel-held Azaz between major groups weak, the Turkish military later carried out airstrikes on IS positions
years downing of a Russian jet by a Turkish F-16, reconciliation also which means progress is often participating in the operation. Jabhat al-Shamiyya forces were near al-Bab.28 A report from an anonymous local source also spoke
aided by the lifting of the de-facto ban on Turkish access to Syrian two steps forward and one step attacked by Ahrar al-Sham and other FSA groups over accusations of increased Turkish Air Force activity in the region.
airspace. Finally, the United States seemed eager to take all the help backwards. Turkeys solution has of corruption.15 The clashes went on for days. The United States
it could get in dealing a final blow to IS before President Obama been to supply rebel forces with announced that it was pulling support for the Al-Bab operation on FSA groups backed by Turkish firepower continued their advance
leaves office. For these reasons, Turkey was able to send special Units linked to the FSA man Turkish-built ACV-15 Armored the 16th, leaving Turkey alone to act unilaterally.16 The next day, a after the incident, albeit at a slower pace. Rebel forces made modest
forces and armored units across the border rather comfortably. an ACV-15 near al-Bab Personnel Carriers (APCs) to car bomb went off in Azaz, targeting an office belonging to Harakat gains against IS and the SDF, but the damage had already been
reduce casualties and act as Nour al-Din al-Zenki.17 All of this while fighting had begun with the done to Operation Euphrates Shield.29
At the center of Turkeys would-be safe zone is al-Bab, a strategic a force multiplier. A handful of APCs were transferred to various SDF to the northeast of Al-Bab.18
city north of Aleppo. It is currently held by IS and situated between groups, such as the FSAs Sultan Murad Division and Jabhat al- The Syrian government
the major territorial possessions of the PYD and their allies in the Shamiyya.4,5 Despite the difficulties of fighting both IS and the SDF on the demonstrated publicly that it
Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Turkey and the Free Syrian Army ground, Turkish-backed forces continued to make moderate is willing to use lethal force to
(FSA) fighters it backs desperately want to prevent the PYD from The capture of Tal Al-Hawa (northwest of Manbij) on November progress owing to escalated Turkish air and artillery support.19,20 SDF prevent Turkish-backed rebels
capturing the city and creating a single, combined autonomous 12th was a quiet milestone for Euphrates Shields progress.6 Ethnic forces also closed in on al-Bab from the east and west, capturing the from taking al-Bab from IS.
region in northern Syria. Much to Turkeys delight, so far, the absence kin in the FSAs Sultan Murad Division took the Turkmen village town of Arimah.21 Despite the Syrian militarys
of support from a major power has ensured that the SDFs plans back from IS and freed up manpower to advance on Al-Bab after IS limited capabilities to fight
have remained in rhetoric. The volatility of the situation, however, held out in the villages for weeks.7 SDF forces based out of Manbij The offensive on al-Bab became more difficult after a second FSA forces advance Turkey conventionally, Turkey is
promises that the balance of power may not remain the same moved west simultaneously and captured IS territory sandwiched front was opened against SDF forces. The situation remained in no hurry to risk an inter-state
for long. in between the two advancing forces, creating a new front line. To manageable, however, as Turkey struck SDF targets and continued war given its position domestically and internationally. One must also
make matters worse, dynamics in the area are an ethnic tinderbox. to back their FSA allies in clashes against them. remember that, only one year ago, Turkeys relations with Russia hit
At the time of writing, besieged rebel-held areas of Aleppo According to information received from prominent Syrian Turkmen rock-bottom. Turkey will be nervous to launch even the most limited
are falling to government forces after an attempt to lift the siege journalist Hseyin Bozan, there are many Turkmen villages in the of attacks on Assads forces for fear of mistakenly attacking Russian
failed several weeks ago.1 The Syrian governments momentum region but not all identify with this bloc. The Karakeili tribe which Cause for Hesitation as the Syrian Air Force assets in Syria.
has allowed it to react to the Turkish operation which President inhabits the region are Kurdish-speaking ethnic Turkmen, which Becomes Involved
Bashar al-Assad calls an invasion.2 Still lacking the ground forces explains conflicting claims of identity in areas such as Kanl Kuyu Although one cannot completely rule out private Russian approval
or Qanl Qoy in Kurdish. These dangerous circumstances set the Despite unconfirmed reports of Turkish jets being denied access
to make a push for Al-Bab, the government is relying on the SDF of the airstrike on Turkish soldiers near al-Bab, the dialog between
stage for clashes between the FSA and SDF, just as the rebels were to Syrian airspace,22 airstrikes continued against IS and SDF targets,
preventing Turkish backed rebels from taking the city. Where the the two leaders afterwards suggests that the order may have come
ready to push south. paving the way for a cautious
Syrian government could have grabbed territory itself to the west from Damascus independently. The SyAAF is overstretched and,
advance through the weekend
of Al-Bab, for example, it has settled for joint rule to allow an SDF without Russian participation, it seems reasonable to assume that
and into the beginning of the
advance. The Syrian government has also used its limited influence Bad News Comes Early as the week.23 Without confirmation,
the airstrike was more of a warning shot than a sign of a revised
over the airspace to keep Turkey from having free reign. policy.
Offensive Begins it is impossible to know what
transpired in the air; however, it
Just as opposition forces seemed to be making progress Images of advancing convoys and news of major rebel gains The loss of a small number of Turkish soldiers is, from a utilitarian
is feasible that the Syrian Arab
towards al-Bab, the issues plaguing Turkeys long-term strategy in marked the morning of November 13th.8 The al-Bab offensive perspective, hardly out of the norm for a country fighting an
Air Force (SyAAF) may have
Syria emerged as an obstacle blocking its path to the city. Turkeys had begun. Local sources insurgency at home and IS abroad. From this perspective, it seems
attempted to harass Turkish
current Syria policy is irreconcilable with the interests of the Assad indicated that up to 1,000 FSA Smoke rises after coalition undeniable that the operation will continue regardless. Beyond
aircraft. Radar lock-ons and
government and the SDF. Thus as the Turks turn up the heat on IS- fighters were set to participate airstrikes over IS targets at the tension between the two neighboring states, the advance of
other aerial interaction have
held Al-Bab, the prospect of Turkey fully joining the regional war in in the battle.9 Meanwhile it Baraan the SDF continues to be the biggest obstacle to Turkeys efforts to
happened in the past and the
Syria becomes all the more dangerous. was also reported that Turkey dislodge IS from al-Bab. The chances are of course slim that a one-
SyAAF is thought to have struck Euphrates Shield rebels previously
had increased the number of off airstrike triggers a regional war. However, there is still cause for
during the FSAs failed offensive on SDF-held Tal Rifaat.
Recep Tayyip Erdoans government is staking its credibility on special forces committed to the alarm. Following the airstrike incident, it has become clear that one
taking al-Bab and has, in fact, already mentioned taking Manbij operation.10 The participation side is willing to pull the trigger. That alone is not much of a surprise.
On November 24th, the SyAAF set a dangerous precedent by
from the SDF after.3 Though Turkey under Erdoan has executed of Turkeys elite Maroon Berets At the same time, Turkey appears willing to accept casualties or
Turkish military convoys directly striking Turkish troops for the first time inside Syria.25 Both
policy reversals in the past, the SDF capturing al-Bab would be a is well known but the Turkish worse retaliate, in the name of taking strategic objectives on the
advance in Jarablus countries have previously downed jets belonging to the other and
dramatic collapse of Turkish policy in Syria. There is no face-saving Armys 1st and 4th Commando ground. That is where the real danger lies.
Syrian jets have bombed Turkeys allies in the Aleppo countryside
solution to fall back on. The Turks did a reasonably good job of Brigades have also been seen inside Syria.11,12 Speaking on the before. However, the airstrike and subsequent death of three Since the article was written, anonymous officials have claimed that
keeping themselves outside of the broader war in Syria when they condition of anonymity, a source close to the military has also Turkish soldiers was the largest escalation in the conflict between the strike was carried out by an Iranian-made drone.30
first crossed the border but the abundance of enemies and lack of indicated that the Navys Underwater Offense (SAT) units have also the feuding neighbors so far. Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yldrm
friends in the region has brought the war to them. been involved. promised retaliation in the immediate aftermath of the incident,
although, as of yet, nothing has come of his threats.26 By /u/notvladedivac @NotVladeDivac

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 6 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 7
A TIMELINE OF THE BATTLE FOR MOSUL PART 2 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 9

A s the year comes to a close, the battle of Mosul rages on in


Iraqs Ninawa Province. Despite political and humanitarian
concerns, the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and their Peshmerga
11 November 11th
Hashd al-Shaabi took four more villages near Tal
Afar and continued to advance towards Tal Afar.14
15 November 15th
Hashd al-Shaabi units advanced to within 12km
of Tal Afar airport, encountering little resistance.19 To the
casualties on both sides,25 including several IS SVBIEDs.
Continued advances were made by Federal Police south
of Mosul.
21 November 21st
In Tal Afar, Hashd forces captured parts of the al-
Ulama district after significant clashes.29
and militia allies have continued to gain ground against the south of Mosul, the ISF and Hashd captured four villages
Islamic State (IS). IS has put up fierce resistance but has been
steadily losing ground both within and outside of Mosul city. 12 November 12th
IS retreated from Hay al-Intisar neighborhood in
Mosul, allowing the ISF to fully secure it.15,16
and advanced on Mosul airport.20 Federal Police and
auxiliary units bombarded the airport and its vicinity.21 18 November 18th
No significant fighting occurred. 22 November 22nd
Intense clashes occurred in northern and eastern
Mosul, but ISF forces were unable to advance.
Losses for both sides have been heavy, but no official casualty
numbers have been made available.
13 November 13th
IS attempted brief counterattacks on Hay al-Intisar,
16 November 16th
Federal Police liberated the town of Athbah and 19 November 19th
After significant clashes, Hashd al-Shaabi forces
retook the Tal Afar airport and secured it.26 Within the 23 November 23rd
The road between Mosul and Raqqa was finally cut,
Urban combat has begun in the eastern and northern surrounding hamlets, south of Mosul.22 Further west,
with no gains. The town of Nimrud, to the south of Mosul, Hashd al-Shaabi advanced units captured Tal Afar airport, next couple of days, Tal Afar was completely cut off as all road checkpoints were secured by Hashd forces.30
suburbs of Mosul, and a marked change in tactics has been
was fully secured. but fighting continued and IS counterattacked.23 Heavy and the encirclement of Mosul was complete as Sinjar Fighting around Tal Afar continued.
noted. As seen in several videos, ISF soldiers have been less
fighting occured in al-Mithaq neighborhood. Resistance Units (YBS) and Hashd forces linked up on the
willing to use heavy weaponry and have been taking steps to
ensure civilian casualties are limited. Despite this, collateral 14 November 14th highway to Raqqa.27
24 November 24th

17
Progress was made by Iraqi forces both west November 17th ISF forces, assisted by Coalition aircraft, pushed IS
damage has occurred and civilian lives have been lost during
operations within the city proper. It remains unclear whether
ISF or IS forces have been responsible for the majority of
and east of Mosul.17 Major clashes inside Mosul marked
the full capture of the Zahraa district, despite heavy IS
resistance and several SVBIEDs.18
IS briefly recaptured Tal Afar airport and confirmed
it through various media outlets.24 Hashd counterattacked 20 November 20th
No significant fighting occurred.
out of several more villages south of Mosul.31 Shelling of
the airport continued.
the airport vicinity and heavy clashes resulted in significant
these losses.

The timeline below provides a summary of the main


events in the Mosul campaign between November 1st and
November 20th.
1
1 November 1st
Both Bashiqa and Tell Keppe were shelled. The ISF entered
Aden neighborhood in Mosul.1 Heavy fighting ensued within
1,6

Aden and near Kokjaly suburb.2 IS leader Abu Bakr al-


Baghdadi issued an audio statement to his fighters, the first
one in a year and a half.3

2 November 2nd
Heavy fighting in Aden neighborhood continued.4 ISF
attempted to advance but ended up being repelled.
34
14
2,7
3 November 3rd
Little to no fighting occurred. 30 1
4 November 4th
An attempt by ISF to advance on Hay al-Intisar
neighborhood was repelled by IS defenders.5 The ISF
26
7
achieved minor gains elsewhere in the city.6 4
12,13
5 November 5th
Hashd al-Shaabi and ISF forces secured the city center of
the town of Hammam al-Alil, south of Mosul, after weeks of 16
fighting.7 Several villages west of Mosul were captured. The
ISF advanced on al-Mithaq, a neighborhood in eastern Mosul,
they also successfully repelled IS counterattacks.8

5
6 November 6th
Peshmerga forces, with Coalition air support, launched a
final assault to capture town of Bashiqa northeast of Mosul.9

24
Progress was made throughout the day. By the end of the
day, Bashiqa was captured and IS had been forced into the 16
countryside.10

7 November 7th
Hashd al-Shaabi forces advanced on the western axis of
Mosul and seized several villages.11 There was heavy fighting
in Mosul but no gains were made. 25 November 25th
No significant clashes were reported.
completely secured the Nineveh Plains
following continuous clashes with IS forces.34
Clashes in Tal Afar continued with no gains.
31 December 1st
Hashd units captured several more
villages west of Tal Afar, expanding the
33 December 3rd
Sandstorm continued.
fighting reported.
No major
The United Nations fears that over a million
people could be affected by the Mosul
operation. Reports suggest that while
8 November 8th
Little to no fighting occurred. 26 November 26th buffer zone they controlled along the Mosul- 60,000 shelters are currently available they
ISF forces launched a major assault on
IS defenses and recaptured al-Amin, al-Kadra, 29 November 29th
Hashd forces reached the Tal Abta
Raqqa highway.38 A sandstorm created poor
34 December 4th
Poor weather conditions abated and
will need many more to accommodate the

9 November 9th weather conditions in northern Iraq, halting flow of internally displaced people (IDPs)
and al-Karama districts in eastern Mosul.32 district of Tal Afar after clashes.35 ISF most operations. Sporadic clashes continued ICTS regiments resumed their offensive in expected.28 Fuel and food shortages are
The ISF gained new territory in Mosul city after heavy
advanced in Mosul, fully securing Karama despite the weather.39 the northern sector of Mosul, capturing Hay also expected, due to the difficulty of getting
fighting.12 Hammam al-Alil city was fully secured after minor
clashes. Hashd al-Shaabi forces continued to advance west 27 November 27th apartments and al-Zuhor district.36 al-Kafaat.40 supplies through Iraqi Kurdistan.

32
Heavy Coalition airstrikes were December 2nd Humanitarian concerns have once again
towards the crucial city of Tal Afar, with the aim of cutting IS
off from their Syrian territory.13
reported. No major advances, fighting in and
around Mosul city occurred.33 30 November 30th
ISF and ICTS forces cooperated to
capture the Qadisiyah al-Thaniah district.37
Poor weather conditions due to the
sandstorm continued to hamper military
been raised by numerous agencies as the
temperature at night drops in the provinces By Trenton S, /u/Chester_T_Molester

10 November 10th operations. No major fighting reported. of Ninawa and Dohuk, as more and more
Significant shelling but no major fighting occurred. 28 November 28th
YBS and Assyrian militia units
Fierce fighting along the frontline in the city. civilians seek shelter from on-going fighting.
ALEPPO OFFENSIVE
REBELS REPULSED

O nce considered the Jewel of the Rebellion, eastern Aleppo


seems poised to revert to government control.1 The citys pre-
war population totalled 2.1 million, eclipsing Damascus 1.7 million
On November 3rd rebel
forces launched a second phase
of the battle with further attacks
The rebel offensive failed for a variety of reasons. First, the army
had become aware of the rebels tactics. This offensive employed
similar tactics to those used during their summer offensive; the rebels
superiority lent by this hill will likely lead to the SAAs capturing of
Sheikh Lufti. It will also allowedthe government forces to advance
more easily into the more densely populated Maqar al-Anbiya
inhabitants. It had been a major industrial center with a major on the 1070 and 3000 Housing begin by deploying SVBIEDs along the front line in concurrence (Marjeh). The government effectively encircled the Shaar district by
concentration of electrical, chemical, textile and pharmaceutical Projects, al-Assad Military with volleys of shells and rocket strikes. This would be followed by capturing the Qadi Askar on December 6th.22 An official from Jabha
industries. Aleppo was responsible for 60% of the national budgets Academy, and New Aleppo.11 an assault using the bulk of their infantry backed up by only a small Shamiyeh told Reuters "The revolutionaries are fighting fiercely but
export revenues.2 As such, it has been a major focal point of the Despite three more suicide group of reserves. To counter this the Army would withdraw their the volume of bombardments and the intensity of the battles, the
wars fighting since 2012 when the eastern portion was captured by bombing and a heavy militant first line, determine the source of the rebels assault, direct airstrikes dead and the wounded, and the lack of hospitals, are all playing a
rebels invading from the Idlib countryside.3 For the last five months push, the rebels failed to break to those locations, and then, knowing the rebels to have only role in the collapse of these frontlines.23
Jaish al-Fatah (or Army of
government forces have been laying siege to the eastern pocket. any major new ground other minimal reserves, counter-attack those sectors.17 The second reason
Conquest) fighters watch the
During the summer rebel forces succeeded in briefly opening a than capturing a few positions in for the rebel offences failure was because of infighting. According Rebel fighters withdrew on December 7th from the old city
aftermath of an explosion
corridor, however in the months that followed government forces the 1070 Projects. to a member of Fatah Halab, a planned rebel assault against Ard through a 700m corridor between the Citadel of Aleppo and the
managed to re-encircle them. as-Sabbagh had to be cancelled due to infighting between Zinki, Eyes Hospital.24 The Government now controls 75% of Eastern
The 6th of November marked a turning point when the Syrian Abu Amarah and Fastaqem.18 Finally, as with many rebel assaults, Aleppo and are pushing into the Karm daad after the complete
On October 28th rebel forces consisting of Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, Arab Army (SAA) and Hezbollah launched their counter-attack. By the Russian and Syrian airstrikes drastically impeded their progress. collapse of Bab Nirab, Marjeh, and Sheik Lufti.25 The opposition
Fatah Halab, and Ahrar al-Sham, amongst others, began an assault November 8th, the SAA had recaptured the 1070 Housing Project, has demanded a five-day ceasefire that would evacuate wounded
on the south-eastern portion of the government forces lines.4 Calling Hikmah school and Minyan Industrial Complex, and had gained Following the failure of the rebel offensive, the government and allow civilians to leave the besieged areas and move to the
it the Battle of the Hero Martyr Abu Omar Saraqib, in reference to ground in Dahiyat al-Assad and Minyan.12,13 By November 12th, the launched Operation Dawn of Victory. This offensive began on countryside north of the city. However reports from inside of the
the al-Sham commander who was killed by an airstrike in September, Army had recaptured Dahiyat al-Assad, the cardboard factory, and November 15 with airstrikes all around Eastern Aleppo. The SAA claim the government is looking for a complete military victory
the assault intended to break the government encirclement around the Minyan Sawmills. Not only had government forces succeeded following day the SAA pushed into Rashidun and Aqrab.18 and are unlikely to deal.26,27
Aleppos eastern pocket.5 Abu Saeed al-Halabi, a Dutch member in regaining everything lost during the initial rebel offensive, but After heavy fighting over the following week, government forces The rebel pocket in Aleppo is now at its most vulnerable since
of Jabhat Fatah al-Sham, credited Jaish al-Fatah with organizing they also re-captured the few holdouts of territory lost to the rebels succeeded in progressing to the entrance of the Hanano district. the beginning of the conflict, it has become clear that rebels
the various (and often-infighting) rebel factions, as well as setting during the previous summer rebel offensive.14 Hanano represents a key strategic position for government forces outside the besieged area will be unable to break the siege. Unless
up the foundations of the offensive.6 They opened the offensive because its capture would lend to the possibility of splitting the something radically changes, and does so quickly, eastern Aleppo,
against the government forces western lines and the airport using There was a significant amount of rebel infighting during these rebel-held area into two smaller pockets. In the five days that the Jewel of the Rebellion will return to government control. The
150 shells and rockets.7 This strong rebel assault made significant offensives, especially between the Fastqim Union and their two followed, and with the assistance of heavy bombing, the army and rebellion collapsed so incredibly fast that there are reports of rebel
progress on the first day, capturing Minyan Sawmills, large portions rival groups Harakat Nour al-Zinki and the Abu Amara Brigades. SAA Tiger Forces captured Hanano from the Jaish al-Fatah militants commanders in negotiations with the government to withdraw from
of Dahiyat al-Assad, approximately half of the Minyan Residential On November 2nd, the Fastqim Union captured a Nour al-Zinki holding it. Over 100 rebel fighters were killed in the process and the city.28 The facts on the ground now indicate, short of a radical
District, as well as the cardboard factory. A simultaneous offensive commander. In response al-Zinki and Abu Amara assaulted the the capture of Hanano positioned the SAA only 1500 meters from development, that the rebels will lose their jewel.
on the 1070 and 3000 Housing Projects was repelled by government positions of Fastqim.15 After three days of in-fighting that included a splitting the rebel pockets.19 Only the rebel-held Sakhur district
forces.8 The next day the rebels attempted to continue their forward raid on the Fastqim Union Headquarters in the Salaheddine District, stood between the government forces linking their frontline in
momentum. They launched a second wave of assaults on Minyan al-Zinki began placing its fighters in all of the positions in eastern Suleiman Halabi. The next day, November 27th, the government By Chris Gentry, /u/Robowarrior123
and the Zahra district, as well as renewed attacks on the 1070 and Aleppo previously held by Fastaqim. By the conclusion of these forces pushed through Sakhur, succeeding in splitting the rebels.20
3000 Housing Projects.9 Despite this push the rebels made little inter-faction hostilities Fastiqim had few active fighters left, most Subsequently on the southeast side of the pocket the SAA, Liwa
additional progress; the capture of Minyan Residential District being having deserted or joined Ahrar al-Sham.16 Imam al-Baqir, Liwa al-Quds and the NDF (The National Democratic
their only success. The conflict once again briefly stalemated.10 Forces, a progovernment militia) advanced north of Sheik Lufti
to capture the strategic Hill 420 (Tell Police).21 The strategic fire

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 10 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 11
KEY
MOSUL OFFENSIVE

TARGET
QARRAYAH BASE

MANBIJ OFFENSIVE
AIRBASE

ARTILLERY BASE

AIRCRAFT CARRIER
CHARLES DE GAULLE
AIRCRAFT CARRIER

PRINCE HASSAN AIRBASE

AL DAFRAH AIRBASE

WHAT HAS OPERATION CHAMMAL ACHIEVED SO FAR?


AN ACCOUNT OF THE FRENCH ARMY INTERVENTION IN IRAQ AND SYRIA

O peration Chammal is the French counterpart to Operation


Inherent Resolve (OIR). The operations stated goal is to
degrade and destroy the Islamic State (IS) in Iraq and Syria. The
This expenditure has largely funded airstrikes launched from
airbases in Iraqi Kurdistan (KRG), Jordan, and UAE as well as from
the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle.7 From information available it
Le Drian has emphasized how the primary role of French troops
is to support Iraqi Security and Peshmerga forces. However, official
statements have seldom discussed the role of Frances Special
In general, Frances role in
the Coalition, via Operation
Chammal, has been kept
operation was launched on September 19th, 2014, alongside OIR,1 appears that the main French strike force is comprised of 6 Rafales, Forces (SOFs) who are also deployed in the KRG and alongside the relatively discrete. French
and is currently being commanded by General Serge Cholley.2 Since 6 Mirage 2000D, 12 Rafale Marine and 9 Super Etendard.8 Since Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). airstrikes and SOFs have mainly
the November attacks in Paris, Operation Chammal has increased January of this year, 2937 sorties have been flown with 416 confirmed acted in support of both local
in priority.3 Two years on, and with the subsequent progress of OIR strikes.9 Objectives have primarily focused on reconnaissance and The purpose of the SOFs forces and American military
against IS, the impact of the operation can now be assessed. supporting ground forces. While Frances responsibility for civilian in Iraq and Syria is mostly to actions. In addition, France Task Force Wagram firing a
casualties in the Iraq theatre is estimated to have been several perform coordination roles. has pursued its own objectives CAESAR 155mm howitzer
Despite having deployed 3200 soldiers, the operation has only hundred people, exact numbers are unknown.10 Working with 18,600 Iraqi in the overall war on terror
suffered two casualties. This is a low number relative to the overall soldiers assembled and aided designed to ensure its own security on home soil. As such, the French
Iraq and Syria conflicts that have thus far claimed hundreds of A second French contribution, Task Force Wagram, is comprised by the Coalition, France strategy in Iraq has been in accordance with a general consensus
thousands of lives.4 of 150 soldiers and 4 CAESAR long range canons deployed at the has helped form and train among the French political class concerning Frances overarching
Qarrayah base, south of Mosul. It has similar support-role objectives approximately 3,700 personnel role and aims. It thus seems unlikely that there will be significant
The economic costs have also been relatively low compared as Operation Chammal.11 The French militarys approach to Mosul in order to assemble the Iraqi alterations to French policies in the foreseeable future. The prospect
to other foreign bombing campaigns. Expenditure on Operation has been explained by Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian: Counter Terrorism Service of Francois Fillons election in May 2017, however, may plot a new
Chammal in 2016 has thus far totalled 330m, up from 220m in (ICTS). In Syria, the French General Serge Cholley course for Frances role in both Iraq and Syria, perhaps one with a
2015. Comparatively, Frances Operation Barkhane that began It's our Enemys cradle; it was from Mosul and SOFs have often performed more pro-Russia stance, but this remains to be seen.
in August 2014 against al-Qaeda in the Islamic Mahreb (AQIM) in the role of unofficial advisors. They have been identified working
Raqqa that the attacks that struck us were planned,
North Africa has thus far cost 550m. Whilst on a different scale, the alongside American SOFs with SDF soldiers. Both are likely involved
Coalitions OIR costs have reached $10bn.5,6 The French government and from where other attacks are being prepared. in coordinating and commanding airstrikes.13 Damascus has reacted By /u/Naenil, @Naenil
has justified the cost of Operation Chammal on the grounds of their We need to strike at their heart. That's what the negatively to their involvement, calling it interference, especially
perceived terror threat to Europe, meeting with little protest from Iraqis will do with the Coalition's support.12 since French SOFs are believed to have played a significant role in
the public or from within the government itself. the capture of Manbij from IS during the summer of 2016.14

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 12 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 13
ADMIRAL KUZNETSOV
THE STRUGGLES OF A SOVIET ERA CARRIER
IN THE MODERN AGE
As the battle of Aleppo approached a crescendo and Russian air
strikes in Syria increased, Russias only aircraft carrier, the Admiral
Kuznetsov arrived off the coast of Syria and began its first ever
combat operations.1

The next day, the Kuznetsov engaged in its Of the two aircraft on board intended for Ultimately it seems the Kuznetsov was
first ever combat operation. Russia Today combat use, the Su-33 is far older. It was deployed with an awareness that she would
The Kuznetsov left Severomorsk, Murmansk (RT) crews filmed as Su-33s, seemingly intended to have reached its operational not accomplish much tactically. On the
in mid-October, ending months of armed with only air-to-air munitions, took lifespan in 2015. While refurbished and ground, and if used efficiently, the jets can
speculation on whether or not it would off for targets in Homs and Idlib. According outfitted with the reportedly accurate SVP- benefit the Syrian government by steadily
be deployed.2,3 On route, the Kuznetsov to Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) claims, 24 free fall bomb guidance system, the Su- applying pressure on the opposition-held
cancelled previously scheduled refueling an Su-33 carrying FAB-500s killed at least 30 33 was not originally designed for bombing north. However, considering the Kuznetsovs
stops in Spain and Malta amid international JFS militants on November 15th, among runs.13,14 small fighter wing, the fleets air protection
pressure over the mounting civilian casualties them three high ranking commanders. The requirements, and evidence of her planes
resulting from Russias air campaign.4 The operation was also complemented by Kalibr The Kuznetsov has been plagued with a The MiG-29KR was As of late November, satellite evidence being based on the ground, the deployment
Kuznetsov reached the Syrian coastline on cruise missile launches from the Admiral history of problems, including so many introduced in 2010 for indicates that most, if not all, of the Su- was always destined to have a limited
November 8th. Grigorovich nearby.7 breakdowns that she requires a tugboat Indias expanding carrier 33s and one MiG had moved from the operational impact.
escort. In 2009 it hosted one fatality due to fleet. The Russian MoD Kuznetsov to the Russian Khmeimim air base
On the 13th, a day prior to beginning The Kuznetsov displaces 65,000 tons, fire and was also responsible for an oil spill saw it as the perfect in Latakia. The Russian MoD appears to have If anything, one may argue that the benefits
combat operations, the Kuznetsov was compared to the USs Nimitz class 100,000- off the coast of Ireland.9 While capable of replacement its aging abandoned the idea of carrier-launched of the Kuznetsovs deployment are more
engaged in training sorties when a problem ton displacement. It was ordered in the carrying 20 fixed-wing jets, the Kuznetsov fleet of Su-33s. Twenty- sorties altogether.16 abstract than practical. It now appears that
with the decks arrester cable forced a early 1980s and commissioned in the early currently carries at least 8 Su-33s and 4 four were ordered in 2009 and have been the deployment of the Admiral Kuznetsov
MiG-29KR to circle a distance from the 1990s during the collapse of the USSR. It is MiG-29KRs. No more than 15 planes are delivered recently. At present the MiGs are On the 3rd of December, an Su-33 was more likely intended as an advertisement
ship before crashing in the sea due to conventionally fueled but, unlike most NATO believed to be on board.10,11 Otherwise, amongst the most formidable carrier based attempting to land on the Kuznetsov broke for Russian equipment, a method of
mechanical problems. The pilot ejected and carriers, it lacks a catapult mechanism. This the Kuznetsov is complemented with utility fighters available to any military.15 However, the arrester cable and skidded off the deck projecting power and demonstrating Syrias
was promptly rescued. That same day, a necessitates smaller payloads and shorter helicopters including a debut from the naval since the crash on November 13th, there into the sea. Yet again the pilot ejected and significance, and, finally to instill a new sense
MiG-29KR was filmed over Idlib, though it is flight times.8 variant of the menacing Ka-52.12 has yet to be evidence of any MiGs flying was safely rescued, but this was the second of pride in the Russian and Syrian peoples.
unclear if it dropped munitions.5,6 combat operations in Syria. arrester cable related crash in a month.17,18

By /u/AofB, @qamaamaalamriki

8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 14 8 December 2016, The Week In Review | Page 15
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16. http://eldorar.com/node/105421 8. http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2016/11/22/
MOSUL UPDATE 17. http://eldorar.com/node/105532 assessing_the_admiral_kuznetsov_deployment_in_the_syrian_
18. http://bigstory.ap.org/02d35a69c0ce41728696f288f140488a conflict_110373.html
1. https://twitter.com/Mogared__Mosul/status/793450666752638976
19. http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=55193 9. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/22/world/europe/russia-admiral-
2. https://twitter.com/Bassam_Nasralla/status/793541413799624704
20. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/11/syrian-army-captures-rebel- kuznetsov-syria.html?_r=0
3. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/nov/03/isis-leader-abu-
district-aleppo-161127135516405.html 10. http://www.janes.com/article/65775/russian-carrier-jets-flying-from-
bakr-al-baghdadi-issues-first-message-since-mosul-offensive
21. https://www.yahoo.com/news/reports-syrian-troops-capture-high- syria-not-kuznetsov
4. https://twitter.com/dkimball12/status/794559222126145536
point-city-aleppo-092724371.html 11. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/22/world/europe/russia-admiral-
5. https://twitter.com/Nidalgazaui/status/794647153964675073
22. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/26/syrian-army-captures- kuznetsov-syria.html?_r=0
6. https://twitter.com/Mogared__Mosul/status/794648984140836868
part-rebel-held-east-aleppo/ 12. http://www.combataircraft.net/2016/10/21/carrier-based-ka-52k-
7. https://twitter.com/haditha_tribe/status/794997886555746304
23. http://www.straitstimes.com/world/middle-east/monitor-says-syrian- bound-for-syria/
8. https://twitter.com/Bassam_Nasralla/status/795334888081788928
army-seizes-aleppo-old-city-from-rebels 13. http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2016/11/22/
9. https://twitter.com/RudawEnglish/status/795491823930265600
24. http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/aleppo-syrian-army-control-75-per- assessing_the_admiral_kuznetsov_deployment_in_the_syrian_

8 December, The Week In Review | Page 16 8 December, The Week In Review | Page 17
LIST OF CHARITIES RATED "B+"
(72%-74% OF FUNDS RAISED ARE USED FOR THE PURPOSES STATED)
WHO PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR SYRIAN HUMANITARIAN RELIEF:

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