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Reprinted from Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. 2003 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.

com
INTERVIEW

The Charts Know It All

Chart Patterns, Trading,


And Dan Zanger
Trader Dan Zanger of Chartpattern.com first hit the media spotlight
in December 2000 when he was featured in a Fortune article. The
article, entitled My Stocks Are Up 10,000%! discussed how he had
turned $11,000 into $18 million in 18 months (with a return of
164,000%), an unofficial world record for trading stocks (with the tax
receipts to prove it). Not mentioned in the article was that in 23
months, the total grew to $42 million.
Also not mentioned except in passing was much detail about
Zangers trading techniques, indicators, and philosophies or an
outline of his typical trading day. He uses chart patterns to find high-
volatility (frisky) stocks. The article piqued the interest of many
readers about the art of technical analysis and provided insight into
what is possible for those with the skill and dedication. How is he
doing more than two years later? How does he trade and what
motivates him? STOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor Matt Blackman
caught up with Dan Zanger by telephone on April 23, 2003, at his
home in Florida.

hat indicators do you use?

W
major secular bull market
Do you use momentum or that started in 1982. All my
other indicators with your learning was to the upside
chart patterns? and knowing when to step
I use absolutely no indicators what- aside when the charts pre-
soever. I simply rely on chart patterns, dicted a correction was
price, and volume. Who has time to about to start. It took at
look at so many indicators when youre least seven months for me
scrolling through 400 stocks a night? I to get the hang of the charts
look at daily bars intensely and dissect for a bear market, and other I use absolutely no indicators
them and then add in the volume bars to items took over two years. whatsoever. I simply reply on chart
come up with sort of a pressure factor Even with the chart knowl-
that tells me what the stock wants to do edge I learned, news sto-
patterns, price, and volume.
next and when it wants to do it. Is it ries and interest rate cuts
ready now or does it need more time? would and could and did
rocket stocks right out of the bear pat- tells me its a very strong stock. That
CARMELO BLANDINO

Thats the job at hand every day.


terns. It was brutal, but a great learning also tells me I need to sell half or all of
You use price volume and chart pat- experience. my position on the second or third day
terns and thats it? above the trading band. AIQ bands em-
Thats 100% of what I use. What trading tools have you found to ploy moving averages over a long time.
be most useful? No other bands replicate them that I
How have you found trading chart As far as trading tools are concerned, know of. Bollinger Bands come close in
patterns over the last few years during I like AIQs proprietary moving average some ways but not others.
the current bear market? trading bands. When a stock breaks out
Like most people in the market to- of a base or pattern and if it blows Some traders use volume and price as
day, I learned about trading with the through the upper trading band, that well but also employ support and resis-
Reprinted from Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. 2003 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
INTERVIEW

tance levels and moving averages to In the early 1990s you couldnt give a market and never learned bear patterns
trade. Do you use Fibonacci or sup- semiconductor stock away. Then all of or bear analysis. It took me two years to
port/resistance levels? a sudden they became stock darlings in learn, and now that Ive learned bear
Support and resistance yes, but Fi- 199697, as did networking stocks and market tactics, the bear might be over
bonacci rarely; but I do use them more telecommunications stocks. Its what- with, at least for a year or two.
often in bear markets/corrections and ever the market chooses to play, be it
certainly on the leading averages during biotechs, chips, networks, fibers, How is your website, Chartpattern.com,
pullbacks. As I mentioned, I have 400 Internet youve got to go with what going? Have you been playing some of
stocks that I look at every night. I view the market is going to push up the most. the shorts in this bear market?
them every day and have a feeling for I scan through my 400 stocks and I Things are going well. We have a lot
their personalities and behavior. They can tell you in 25 minutes which are the of members and many leading institu-
are my buddies. Its very important to strongest groups and the fastest stocks tions and hedge funds. Business is down
get to know your stocks personality. I and the ones to own and play with. because the market has been brutal, but
dont use any intraday charts, but I do overall Im very pleased with what Ive
refresh and check daily charts every You dont use automated scans to help accomplished with the site, and doing
hour during the day and scroll through you? the newsletter four nights a week keeps
stocks that look particularly inviting or No. Because then I have to look me very focused.
have good action. I highlight those to through the stocks that the scans spit out As far as shorting goes, people say
focus on when I look at the daily chart as well as my 400 stocks, and scans are that youre going to make a lot of money
after the market closes. not going to get all the movers the way I because you have a lot of great shorts on
will on a manual scan. The charts tell you the site. Shorts only go down by 15
Do you use money flow at all? everything you need to know about the 35%. Rarely will a stock go from $80 to
No. I have not found a way to make it stock. If a stock is lying dormant, no scan $0 like Enron. In a bull move, you can
work effectively. I have seen it fail so will tell you its time to go before it goes, get stocks going from $10 to $40 or $20
many times and in no way will this but viewing the chart manually will. to $60 or $80 over several months or a
indicator highlight or pinpoint the big year. Thats a 400% move, and on a 2-
movers in the market. Again, I use only How have you been doing in the last to-1 margin you can double that. The
chart patterns and volume. couple of years? big money is in a bull market. There are
The bear market has been brutal. This no two ways about it. You play the bear
Do you prefer candlesticks or bars? is my first true bear market, and we market just to hang around so that when
Bars. I look for patterns on daily must learn from our mistakes. How- the big move finally does come, youre
charts using daily bars. However, I do ever, starting in October 2002 since the there.
understand what candlesticks are all market bottomed, Im up about 60%.
about and use that knowledge in view- Im still leery about the market and have How did you get started in your trading
ing and interpreting my daily bars. jumped out far quicker than I would career?
have before. The fear factor of things I started in about 1976 watching The
What do you use as your market proxy? breaking down is so embedded in me Business Channel in Los Angeles on
When the market rallies, I focus on now, it will take time to change that. I UHF. They would have guys coming on
the leading index at the time, be it the will say, though, that this market is talking about technical stuff. Sherman
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index acting like one of the great bulls of McClellan used to come on once a week
(SOX) or the Biotech Index (BTK) or yesteryear. Im pretty thrilled to be up and talk about the McClellan oscillator.
whichever index is leading the market. 60% at this point. Other people talked about cycle analy-
Right now, its the Goldman Sachs sis. You could see what they were doing
Internet Index (GIN) that is leading this Have you been playing some of the and how it worked on the market. So I
market move. BTK looks interesting, bear rallies from the end of September learned at a very early age how techni-
and so does the Biotech Holders Trust 2001? cal analysis was an important factor in
(BBH), with its long tight channel base. I played it in October 2001 and oth- the market.
ers, but they came and went lightning There was a guy named Gene Mor-
So youre still playing the techs? fast. Just when you thought it was going gan, who every day at 1:30 pm would
Yes, and I will continue to do so until to continue, it ended. I grew up in a come on with his show called Charting
something becomes more volatile. But secular bull market. It was a period of the Market, in which he would show
really, I go with what is moving in the higher highs and higher lows on the charts that were marked up manually
market the most. It used to be cellular long-term charts with an occasional they didnt have TelePrompTers or digi-
phone stocks in the 1980s and then break, but the market would pick up and tal stuff then. Hed show parabolic
health maintenance organizations head higher again. It was an 18-year curves and explain that here was a stock
(HMOs) in the late 1980s and early 1990s. bull market. I never lived through a bear that went parabolic. Then hed show a
Reprinted from Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. 2003 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
INTERVIEW

cup and handle formation, and hed What made you make the transition your head handed to you. Thats exactly
explain the growth that the stock would from trading the ticker to learning to what happened to me. A lot of these
have out of that pattern. Then hed show trade chart patterns? stocks came back, but when there is a
a pennant formation or a flag or a falling My mother passed away and left me 35% to 40% correction and youre on 2-
wedge and how they would forecast $100,000. I took a seminar by William to-1 margin, youre close to broke. There
price movements. I was absolutely as- ONeil, who showed us a few chart was something going on that I didnt
tounded and it changed my life. patterns and his CANSLIM formula. I know about. Thats when I got serious,
spent the next six months to a year went back, and studied my mistakes.
taking chart patterns that he gave us and And I did this many times.
trying to find them in the charting books I didnt understand that corrections
hat did it inspire you to

W
and on my new ultra-fast 286 PC. I could last two to four months or even
do? would overlay a chart pattern over stock longer. I didnt understand how to spot
We had no personal com- charts and do this every evening and for the next winners. I realized that I didnt
puters back then to help us about six hours every Saturday and Sun- know anything. You just have to keep
plot charts, so I would watch the day until I finally found one. I would going back over and over again until
tickertape and buy stocks that would keep doing this over and over for thou- things sink in.
light up the tape. I bought one stock at sands of hours until I could identify the
a buck and sold it a couple of weeks later cup and handles. So you did a post-mortem on your
at $3.90. I was hooked. Thats how I Then I got pretty good at it and real- trades?
started. ized that there was a lot more to it than Pretty much. A lot of it was that at
Then in 1983 I got a chart book. Id the cup and handle or channel patterns first, I believed in stocks instead of
look through it for cup and handles, that hed taught us. So I called him up believing in trends, trendlines, and ris-
pennants, and flags. Id be looking at one day because he had a weekly TV ing trendlines, and when a trendline is
cheap stocks that I felt I could afford, but show back then and asked him if he had broken after a stock has been rising for
I couldnt pick out anything. Cheap stocks an advanced course. He said that was some time, it needs to be sold, period.
rarely have good patterns to identify and the advanced course. I realized I was on Other items that took years to learn how
to tell you the truth I couldnt identify my own and spent the next six years to identify were several reversal pat-
any pattern back then. So I basically gave learning everything I could about terns or reversal bars such as a spinning
it up for the time being. But I always trendlines, daily bars, reversal patterns, top or a bearish engulfing day after a big
picked up the financial papers and fol- how to spot a correction and so on. I runup in price. I dont use candlesticks,
lowed stocks. I did predict the crash in now give a very advanced charting semi- which is what these terms are normally
1987 the day before it happened, for nar about twice a year. applied to, but I do understand how they
what thats worth, and that cemented my work. Daily bars work the same way but
calling to be in stocks full time. Who were your other mentors? dont have fancy names, the way the
Gene Morgan, host of the Charting candlesticks do.
What tipped you off about the crash? The Market show.
I used to go to the gym every night at It took a while to learn, I would
the time, and everyone there would be What did you do to learn after that? imagine.
talking stocks and how much money I read Edwards and Magee. I looked I remember getting hammered on a
they were making in the market. Then more at the charts than reading the text, market correction more than once and
one Friday the market took a 200-point though. But really, from then on it was saying Ill never do stocks again and
hit, but markets usually have their big the school of hard knocks. We got into a walking away. After a few months of
drops on Mondays. I told my mother strong bull market in early 1991. I made my not paying attention to the market, it
who was the person who got me into a lot of money right after the first Gulf was taking off again, and I was missing
stocks in the first place to wait until war and then gave it all back during the the move because Id walked away.
Monday, as that would be the big day. I summer with the very first correction Worst of all, Id missed the new winners
didnt watch the market since I was [at because I didnt know what a correction because I was asleep at the wheel in-
work], but on the way home that Mon- was. I didnt know you could go broke or stead of watching the market during the
day the evening news announced that close to it because I believed that my correction like I shouldve been.
the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stocks were so good that they couldnt go
had dropped 508 points. I had friends down in price by 30% or 50%. What did you learn from that?
who went broke that day, but I was I realized Id been wiped out in a
elated because Id called it. My predic- Famous last words! market correction but if I decided not to
tion had come true and I felt connected When you think that a company is too go back, I would have never gotten my
to the markets for good. good and the earnings are too strong for money back. At that point I realized you
it to go down, thats when youll have could never, ever turn your back on the
Reprinted from Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. 2003 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
INTERVIEW

market. You have to be there every factors accordingly. Thats how I turned then so am I. If its no longer the stock
single day. Then youre ready to go $10,775 into $18 million in 18 months it was last week Ill just walk away until
when stocks make their move out of a and ultimately went to $42 million in 23 it gets frisky again.
correction. You have to be there every months. I would own the one or two
day in a bear market and every day in a fastest stocks of the week during the What would be a typical size of your
correction. You have to anticipate the bubble, and I would know exactly when trades today?
correction as well and be ready to go to to buy it on 2-to-1 margin and be out It depends on the volume. If a stock
cash when it comes. within a few points of the top and com- trades six to 10 million shares a day, I
It took me six years at 5060 hours pound my money weekly, swing trad- can be happy owning 100,000 shares. If
per week to finally put it all together. I ing these lightning-fast moving stocks the stock trades only one million shares
was in the construction business back leaping $10 to $25 a day or more. I a day, then owning no more than 20,000
then, and the severe housing market would be so glued to the computer screen to 30,000 is about my max.
downturn during the early 1990s when you would almost have to peel my eyes
the construction market came to a off the monitor with a spatula. You set a record in turning $10,775 into
screeching halt allowed me to devote so $18 million in 18 months. Are you aware
much time to learning everything that I What do you watch for during the of anyone else who beat that record?
know today. trading day? No one has come close, as far as I
Im watching the heartbeat of the know. There was someone trading on the
stocks. Im watching the action. I have CBOT who turned $50,000 or $100,000
five screens, but focus on one main into $100 million or something like that,

S
o let me get this straight. monitor running MyTrack with a backup but that was commodities or futures and
You got started in 1976 and on another monitor using eSignal. I have the time frame was longer. No one has
then got into trading more a Level II, which I use rarely, on another done it trading stocks that I am aware of.
seriously in 1989 and then monitor, but it also has my stock posi-
gave it all back in 1991? tions; I have AIQ on another monitor and What were your single best and worst
Yes, thats about right, I gave it all LiveWire on another. I dont watch fu- days in the market?
back several times. I gave it all back tures or any of that other stuff. I dont There were so many wonderful days
three or maybe four times. My aggres- have time. I just watch the chart, the price for me during the bubble that I cant list
sive 2-to-1 margin style took years to action, and the volume of the stock dur- them all. I could go on and on about
learn, and getting in and out and under- ing the day. I want to know how institu- stocks like Amazon leaping from $120
standing money management is key. If tions are treating the stock and do that by to $200 on the day it split 3 for 1, or
you want this lifestyle and the rewards watching price and volume action. CMGI running up from $118 to $305 in
it can bring, it will take time and heart- just two days on its way to splitting 2 for
ache before you can put it together. And Are you looking for price and vol- 1, or QCOM running up from $256 to
spotting a correction and being ready to ume breakouts and chart patterns nearly $800 in eight weeks and selling it
go to cash is top priority to surviving. that you like? the day it split 4 for 1, $5 off its all-time
Yes. But I want to see how the insti- post-split high of $196. Then there was
Do you think its necessary to give it all tutions are treating the stock as well by National Discount Brokers (NDB), which
back a few times before you finally get watching the ebb and flow during the has since been bought out, which ran
it? Is it necessary for someone starting day. I watch bid, ask, and volume as from $32 to more than $85 in a few days,
out today to go broke before they be- well as price change throughout the day or UBID as it ran from $63 to $180 in four
come successful? and I watch how they run through it on days. Just to name a few that I was in.
Its not necessary, but Im not sure volume spikes. I watch to get a feel of
you are going to be able to do it unless the stock on the quote screen. On vari- What else? Good days and bad days?
you get hammered a few times, and you ous chart patterns, stocks should be do- There was also the time one day after
wont fully understand the seriousness ing certain things at certain times. When the market topped in March and the
of the market until you do. And it also the stock is acting right, volume should market had come down from 5132 to
depends on your style. Im a type-A come in and do certain things. If it 3200 where I covered my shorts and
personality kind of guy. I enjoy the doesnt do what its supposed to do, went long on margin 2 to 1, only to
adrenaline rush. To get that thrill, I have when its supposed to do it, then some- watch the market soar on some ridicu-
to be on 2-to-1 margin and that keeps thing isnt right and Ill pass on that lous news story. The market soared
my interest in the market. Im the racecar stock until the time is right. A stock something like 200 points that day and
driver doing 180 MPH around the course might suddenly go limp or it may be I made around $5.2 million in one day.
inches from the wall. And thats what I very hot for a week and then volume just It was a good day at the office.
like. If you arent like that, then you disappears. Whoever was playing with The worst day was in October 2000
have to adjust yourself and your risk the stock is gone and if theyre gone, when fiberoptic stocks were the rage
Reprinted from Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. 2003 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
INTERVIEW

CANSLIM after-hours trading. Things got worse construction business like I did for 20
the next day, with stocks such as NEWP years youd understand this. If the mar-
William ONeil founded Investors getting whacked as much as $45 or a kets are open, I have to be here. There is
Business Daily. CANSLIM is an acro-
third of its value during the day. Good nothing more exciting and enjoyable. It
nym for the seven criteria that he
considered most important in finding thing I wasnt 100% invested in fibers is the passion and love of my life. Im so
winning stocks. and luckily had a few shares of some blessed to be doing what I want to do
software stocks, which didnt take the and get paid to do it. It doesnt get any
C Current quarterly earnings per hit that the fibers did. I lost about 32% better. There is nothing Id rather do.
share: Should be accelerating. of my total portfolio in just one day. Every day is different and your brain is
A Annual earnings increases: being taxed and you have to figure out
Look for meaningful growth. You made a comment about Royal Gold the puzzle. Do you hold em or fold
(RGLD) in Forbes. Do you trade gold em? Whats going to happen next? It
N New products, new manage-
ment, new highs: Buy at the right
stocks as well? doesnt get more exciting that this. I do
time. I trade whatever the market is going to take time off every 18 months or so, but
push up the most. At the time, gold was I cant think of anything Id rather do
S Shares of common stock out-
the no. 1 group of equities moving up. than trade and watch the markets. When
standing: Keep it small.
The market was bad, gold was a Im on vacation I cant wait to get back
L Leader or laggard: Find an countermarket, counterdollar safe haven to the market where all the action is.
industrys leaders, not laggards.
play at the time, and the market was This is truly exciting stuff!
I Institutional sponsorship: A little pushing gold up. Royal Gold (RGLD)
goes a long way. was one of the leaders of the gold group. Thank you, Dan.
M Market direction I could never figure out why this stock
MB was holding up so well, as there were no Matt Blackman is a trader, technical
earnings and very poor revenues. There analyst, software reviewer, and content
were certainly much better gold stocks to provider for technical trading/invest-
and almost every fiber stock was set up own at the time, but somewhere, someone ment websites. He is an affiliate mem-
to break out and run on earnings news decided to support and push this stock. ber of the Market Technicians Associa-
from each company as it reported. By tion (MTA) and Canadian Society of
this time I had so much cash it was Do you use cycles in your analysis? Technical Analysts (CSTA).
mind-boggling. Even worse, with that I have been doing more work with
kind of money leveraged on 2-to-1 mar- cycles over the past six years, even though SUGGESTED READING
gin, its very tough to buy stocks as they Ive known about them for 25 years. Berentson, Ben [2002]. Breakout For
break out. I had to start buying stocks They are powerful and an absolute Royal Gold? Forbes, September 11.
during basing periods, which is what must. They help to explain why stocks http://www.forbes.com/2002/09/11/
institutions do, and why you get the act the way they do if you can deci- 0911chartroom.html
base patterns you get. pher these cycles. You have to know Edwards, Robert D., and John Magee
I was in just about every hot fiber the various cycles and combine them [2001]. Technical Analysis Of Stock
stock at the time from Corning (GLW) to with patterns and then youll really Trends, 8th ed., W.H.C. Bassetti, ed.
Juniper Network (JNPR), Broadcom get a boost to your trading. There are Saint Lucie Press.
(BRCM), and Newport Corp. (NEWP), many cycles, from very short term to Lee, Clifford [2000]. My Stocks Are Up
just to name a few. Wouldnt you know long term to very long term. The 10,000%! Fortune, December 18.
it, I had just loaded up on these and other nine-month cycle and the Presiden- http://www.chartpattern.com/news/
very high-beta stocks on 2-to-1 margin, tial cycles are two of the most power- fortune.html
when Nortel Networks (NT) ful in the market today. ONeil, William J. [1988]. How to Make
preannounced a short fall in revenue Money in Stocks, McGraw-Hill.
and earnings after the close of trading Weve got to wrap up here. You men- Penn, David [2001]. He Knows Inves-
one day. Since it was the sector leader of tioned that you have to watch the markets tors Business, Daily: William
the group at the time, the news caused every day. When do you take time off? ONeil, interview, Technical Analy-
every fiber and fiber-related stock to For me, every day in the markets is a sis of STOCK & COMMODITIES, Vol-
gap down anywhere from $15 to $20 in vacation. If youve ever worked in the ume 19: October.
S&C

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