Thank you for the opportunity to provide a submission in response to the
Independent Review into the Future Security of the National Electricity Market Preliminary Report. The South Australian Government considers that a coordinated approach to the transition of Australias energy supplies to a low carbon future which maintains the security of the system while delivering competitive energy to Australian users has to be the central focus of the Review. Australia has committed to reduce emissions to 26-28 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030. A significant increase in renewable generation from current levels will be required for Australia to meet this commitment. Whilst communities support the delivery of this commitment, they expect that affordability, reliability and security of energy supplies will be delivered both during and after the transformation of the energy sector. To date, the incentive for the transformation of the energy sector has been the Renewable Energy Target, which is an Australian Government scheme designed to ensure that at least 33,000 Gigawatt-hours of Australias electricity comes from renewable sources by 2020. Whilst this scheme has been a successful incentive for renewable energy generation, particularly in South Australia, new policy is required to provide a technology neutral, adaptive policy for further emissions reduction in energy supply. This will ensure an orderly transition of the energy sector. Such a transition will require the continued participation of gas-fired generation alongside renewable energy generation to maintain reliability and security over the medium term. The South Australian Government supports a national market based mechanism for reducing emissions. In the absence of national leadership in this area, however, it is likely that each jurisdiction will move in separate directions to fill the policy vacuum and take control of the delivery of Australias emission commitment. For the energy sector, an emissions intensity scheme would require generators with an emissions intensity above the set emissions target to buy credits and those with an emissions intensity below the target create and sell credits. It will increase the costs of high emissions generation such as coal and lower the cost of low emissions generation such as gas and renewables. The COAG Energy Council sought advice on this policy mechanism, as well as expanding the Renewable Energy Target and a regulatory mechanism to further transform the energy sector. Advice received by the COAG Energy Council indicates that such a scheme has the lowest impact on prices relative to the business-as-usual scenario and the other emissions reduction policy mechanisms. It also has the lowest cost of abatement compared to the other emissions reduction mechanisms. The South Australian Government therefore firmly believes that a national emissions intensity scheme will ensure the energy supply sector is incentivised to transition to a carbon constrained future in a measured and responsible way to maintain low cost, sustainable and reliable energy supply. Most importantly a national EIS would encourage the right balance of new investment into domestic electricity generation and energy supply. Whilst an emissions intensity scheme should be the primary mechanism for supporting the transition of Australias energy supply, complementary measures will be required to meet affordability, reliability and security objectives. Interconnection The South Australian Government firmly believes that better interconnection between the National Electricity Market (NEM) regions will be required to support the transition of our energy supplies. As renewable energy generation across the NEM increases and power system security services become scarcer, there will be a greater need for jurisdictions to share the services which are available. A truly national electricity market, through further interconnection will also allow for significant interregional trade and risk management, as well as ensure that there is no barrier to constructing the renewable energy generation needed to meet Australias emissions commitment. To achieve our emissions commitment, we will require a very high level of renewable energy generation in the system. Greater interconnection will provide for geographic diversity in these facilities which will help address variability issues. The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has identified net benefits from interconnection investment across the NEM. What will be important is to ensure that the right mechanisms are in place to ensure that this interconnector investment occurs and the transition of our energy supply can occur in the most efficient manner. Technical standards and markets The change in technology and generation mix which accompanies the transition of the energy sector has a significant impact on how power systems are operated and consequently on how underlying markets adapt to new modes of power system operation. Currently technical standards and markets have been designed based on conventional power systems and they need to urgently adapt to respond to the energy sector transition. Clear technical standards are important for having a secure and reliable power system. Standards should be set to accommodate a full range of potential technological solutions at all levels of the power system. It is also important to recognise that markets are required to deliver the most economically efficient solutions to meet technical standards. Centralised planning methods with prescriptive rules may lack the flexibility and efficiency to provide solutions that are more diversified and granular in nature in a new power system. Market frameworks need to be designed to encourage investment not just in the delivery of energy but also of system security services. It is the balance struck between how certain market arrangements are and how flexible they can be that will ensure investment in system security services are available at all times for guaranteeing a secure power system. As opposed to centrally planned solutions where risk of expenditure is likely to be borne by customers, market participants are better placed to assume the risk and take accountability of their investment decisions by making the necessary cost-risk trade- off calculation themselves. South Australia recognised early the need to address technical standards and markets. Since 2005, the Essential Services Commission of South Australia (ESCOSA) has put in place additional technical requirements for wind-powered electricity generators in South Australia. These include additional requirements for fault ride through capability and reactive power capacity. In the absence of robust national regulation in this area, ESOCSA commenced a process to consider any changes which may be needed to these technical standards in a transitioning energy sector. ESCOSA is now conducting an inquiry into whether current licence conditions for wind generators should be changed and whether additional technical requirements should be imposed on the other grid scale inverter-connected electricity generators (such as solar generators). AEMOs preliminary advice to ESCOSA on their inquiry supported the continuation of the licence conditions with few amendments. AEMO further suggested additional requirements relating to frequency control, the rate of change of frequency and system strength. It is also worth noting that while the inquiry is still underway, ESCOSA has implemented interim measures to ensure new generators do not exacerbate existing issues with respect to reduced frequency control ancillary services (FCAS) availability. ESCOSAs recent generation licence approval for Hornsdale 2 Wind Farm included two new additional technical conditions relating to frequency disturbances and provision of frequency control ancillary services. In addition, Hornsdale 2 Wind Farm has undertaken to participate in an FCAS trial and has been in discussions with AEMO regarding the parameters and timing of the trial. Whilst South Australian will continue with its process of ensuring robust technical standards to support the transitioning energy sector, a unified approach to technical standards for the NEM is a preferred approach. Concurrently to ESCOSAs inquiry, the South Australian Government submitted rule changes to the Australian Energy Market Commission to provide for mechanisms to support a transitioning energy sector. In particular, it is recognised that services which in the past have had little value are becoming scarce in the transitioning energy sector and technical standards, market and other relevant mechanisms are required to stimulate the investment in and provision of these services. Increasing levels of non-synchronous generation are posing system security challenges in the NEM and these challenges now have a national urgency as coal fired generation continues to close around Australia. Coupled with the withdrawal of synchronous generation from the NEM, power system inertia is decreasing. Low system inertia is creating instances of high Rates of Change of Frequency (RoCoF). A high RoCoF is detrimental to system security following a sudden supply/demand imbalance, as both the existing frequency control ancillary services are insufficient to arrest frequency change to keep frequency within prescribed standards and emergency protection schemes are ineffective to prevent cascading failure and, ultimately, a black system. Given that there is no provision in the current energy framework for market or regulatory means to acquire services to maintain RoCoF within acceptable limits, the South Australian Governments rule change proposed that AEMO have the ability to procure a broader range of ancillary services to assist in addressing issues such as RoCoF. After the consultation with stakeholders, the System Security Market Frameworks reviews interim report released in December 2016 highlighted, in broad terms, three technical solutions: Minimising the initial RoCoF by the provision of extra inertia by utilising synchronous generators/condensers to increase system inertia; Increasing the capacity to return the system to stability by obtaining Fast Frequency Response (FFR) services that exhibit a time delay but operate within a shorter timeframe than the current fastest FCAS specification of six seconds, including schemes that shed load and generation; and Enhancing the tolerance of the system by imposing additional obligations on generators to withstand higher RoCoF. The interim report discusses a range of market and non-market procurement options to implement the preferred technical solutions. Each option discussed in the interim report is based on the level of inertia required, which is divided into two components; a minimum amount basic component before any fast frequency response service can operate and an energy cost reduction component beyond the basic component that would potentially provide market benefits by alleviating costs, such as constraining the power system. While the immediate issues of high RoCoF are manifested on a regional level, namely in South Australia and Tasmania at present, it will only be a matter of time before the rule change request submitted by the South Australian Government will become more relevant in other jurisdictions. As a strategic view, the South Australian Government sees an urgent need to develop the necessary regulatory and market frameworks to enable inertia and fast frequency response service markets to exist in the NEM. Gas as a transition fuel In the medium term, the South Australian Government strongly believes that gas will act as a transition fuel in the transformation of the energy sector. Whilst new markets are developed to provide power system security services and the costs of dispatchable renewable energy technology reduces, gas-fired generation will help ensure a reliable and secure electricity supply. A key barrier to this future is the range of jurisdictional moratoria that are curbing onshore gas exploration and development. The South Australian Government has taken action to support gas as a transition fuel by committing $24 million to incentivise companies to extract more gas and supply it to the local market to increase the supply of gas into the energy market, with South Australian energy generators, industry and households having first offering. However, national commitment is required for further exploration and development of gas. This will be complemented by the suite of gas reforms being implemented by the COAG Energy Council Gas Market Reform Group, which seek to provide for more flexible gas markets. Reforms being implemented include a new commercial arbitration framework for pipelines, market transparency reforms and pipeline capacity trading reforms. Competition and market power The transition of our energy supplies will require existing high emissions coal fired generation to withdraw from the market. The closure of South Australias Port Augusta power stations and more recently the announced closure of the Hazelwood power station provide evidence of the relatively short notice that the NEM received of these structural adjustments. Not only does the withdrawal of generation reduce generation capacity available to meet demand, it also can reduce competition and has the potential to result in other market participants having the ability to exercise market power. The inability of the NEM to address competition and market power issues will result in inefficient pricing outcomes for consumers. Accordingly, the review needs to consider the appropriate mechanisms to protect against such outcomes as more coal-fired generation exits the market. Innovation Currently, the bulk of renewable energy capacity which has been delivered by the renewable energy target is wind generation. More recently, a significant interest is being shown in large-scale solar pv systems. Other solutions with potential to contribute to the transition of our energy supply over the medium term include synchronous condensers, utility-scaled storage and general advancements in renewable energy technology. It is important that mechanisms are in place to encourage innovation, research and development and the trial of new solutions in our power system. The South Australian Government is a strong supporter of the role of the Australian Renewable Energy Agency and Clean Energy Finance Corporation in this area. Further, the national energy frameworks should not include barriers to new technologies participating in the transition of our energy supplies. Markets and other incentives for services required to deliver secure, reliable and affordable electricity supply should be technology neutral. This will ensure that we transition to a low emissions electricity supply in the most efficient manner. Governance Energy Market governance arrangements need to be capable of managing a rapidly changing energy sector, where change is driven by consumers and private investor decisions. Neither the South Australian Government nor the South Australian community accepts the proposition that a crisis needs to occur before action is taken. Our market institutions need to not only identify and analyse emerging issues in the transition of our energy supply, but implement action before such issues cause harm. This will require our market institutions to work swiftly and for our frameworks to support such behaviour. It is a poor reflection on our national energy frameworks that state-based policy is being implemented to address emerging energy issues which are slow to be addressed nationally. We consider that a close look at the governance framework is required to ensure a clear framework for strategic decision making and implementation, as well as the correct incentives on market institutions for the swift identification, analysis and action in relation to emerging issues. In relation to the COAG Energy Councils strategic work program, the Council should have the ability to seek consolidated advice and a consolidated implementation package from market institutions to keep pace with the rapid rate of change. Not only would this increase the rate at which change can occur, but would also reduce the number of consultation processes that stakeholders are required to participate in. Importantly, the time for conservative interpretation of the energy frameworks is gone. Where flexibility and discretion is provided to our market institutions, it should be exercised to deliver our affordability, reliability and security objectives. The speed at which change is occurring in the energy sector will not wait for prescriptive policy to verify and affirm every action required of our market institutions. Market institutions will need to have the appropriate expertise and resourcing to successfully perform their roles in a transitioning market. In particular, AEMO requires significant technical expertise to identify and assess emerging issues and to perform their functions. AEMO is the primary adviser to the NEM on power system security matters. It is important that AEMO focuses and dedicates significant resources to this function and recognises the importance of technical standards and advice in the security and reliability of our power system. I thank you for the opportunity to contribute to the Independent Review into the Future Security of the National Electricity Market and look forward to the next stage of the process.